Demand and Supply Zones Pro [Afnan]Are you looking to level up your trading game and spot potential turning points in the stock market? Introducing the Smart Money Demand and Supply Zones indicator, a powerful tool designed to identify opportunities created by the Smart money.
The Smart Money Demand and Supply Zones indicator is built upon the principles of Rally Base Rally (RBR), Rally Base Drop (RBD), Drop Base Rally (DBR), Drop Base Drop (DBD).
🔍 Key Details 🔍
The "Smart Money" concept refers to large institutional investors and professional traders who possess significant financial resources and expertise. The importance of smart money lies in their influence on market trends and price movements. Their actions and positions often serve as signals for retail traders and investors to make informed decisions.
Formation of Smart Money: Smart money is attracted to areas in the market where they can find favourable risk-to-reward opportunities.
1. Rally Base Rally (RBR) Zones: These zones occur after a rally (upward price movement), followed by a period of consolidation (base formation), and then another rally. Smart money often forms positions here as it suggests a strong uptrend continuation.
2. Rally Base Drop (RBD) Zones: In this case, there is a rally, followed by a base formation, but instead of another rally, the price drops. Smart money may position themselves here in anticipation of a potential trend reversal.
3. Drop Base Rally (DBR) Zones: These zones form when there is a drop in price, followed by a base formation, and then a rally. Smart money may take positions here, expecting a trend reversal to the upside.
4. Drop Base Drop (DBD) Zones: In this scenario, the price drops, then forms a base, but subsequently continues to drop. Smart money might take bearish positions here, anticipating further downward movement.
🚀 Pending Orders from Smart Money Zones: 🚀
When the price approaches these smart money zones, institutional investors often place remaining pending orders to enter the market.
By identifying RBR/DBR zones as potential buying opportunities and RBD/DBD zones as potential selling opportunities on price charts, retail traders can align their trades with smart money activities. Implementing proper risk management and confirming signals enhances the likelihood of successful trades by following the footsteps of institutional investors.
💡 Key Features of the Indicator 💡
This indicator includes the following features:
Customizable Zone Length: Adjust the number of base candles in a zone to suit your preferences and strategy.
Candle Body Size Customization: Personalize the body size of candles for fine-tuning visual representation.
Alert Feature: The alert feature can notify you when the price reaches a demand or supply zone, with the ability to customize the risk-to-reward parameters.
Base Candle Selection: Choose between the body of the candle or narrow range candles as the base candle for zone plotting.
Colour Customization For Candles: Customize Drop, Base, Rally, and Zone colours to match your visual preferences.
Number of Zones: This feature is flexible, allowing you to customize the quantity of zones displayed on the chart for improved visibility.
Zone Colours: You have the option to personalize the colours for both fresh and tested zones based on your preferences.
Zone Strength Customization: Adjust candle sensitivity for better control.
Swing High and Swing Low: Enable or disable support and demand lines based on Swing High and Swing Low.
Wick of Candle: Customize zone plotting using the body or wicks of candles for flexible analysis.
Previous Zones: You can choose to display or disable previous zones on the chart that have been deleted and utilized before. This option helps you maintain a clutter-free chart while retaining valuable historical information.
Moving Averages: Utilize four (4) customizable Moving Averages to enhance analysis from any time frame.
💎 Employing a Top-Down Approach and Multiple Time Frame Analysis: 💎
Let's delve into the concept of adopting a top-down approach combined with multiple time frame analysis in trading scenarios. It is consistently recommended to trade with the trend because, as the saying goes, "the trend is your friend." If you identify a demand zone on the chart but the overall trend is downward, it's crucial to confirm the stock's trend in higher timeframes. Avoid purchasing from the demand zone in such a scenario as you would be going against the trend. To consider buying from the demand zone, ensure that the overall trend is upward by checking the higher timeframe.
Similarly, if the higher timeframe trend is upward but the price is approaching a higher timeframe supply zone, refrain from buying in the lower timeframe. If the price reaches a higher timeframe supply zone, there is a likelihood that the price will face rejection from this zone.
If the price is significantly extended from the EMA 20 on a higher timeframe, for instance, if you plan to trade on a 30-minute timeframe and the price is considerably extended from the daily EMA 20, consider trading from zones that are closer to the daily EMA 20. When the price is extended from the higher timeframe EMA 20, it implies that the price is expensive, and there may be a tendency for it to return to the EMA 20. Therefore, it is advisable to trade from zones that are closer to the higher timeframe EMA 20 and avoid zones that are extended from the higher timeframe EMA 20.
For instance, imagine you're considering purchasing a stock that has reached a demand zone known as Rally Base Rally (RBR). If you identify a corresponding demand zone in a higher time frame located at the same position, and concurrently observe that the intermediate time frame indicates an upward trend, your potential for a successful trade is enhanced.
Conversely, if you spot a buying zone in a lower time frame, but notice a supply zone in the higher time frame at that exact position, the likelihood of a profitable trade decreases significantly. In such cases, it's prudent to steer clear of the lower time frame zone. This emphasizes the critical significance of employing a top-down approach or conducting a multiple time frame analysis.
Note: By Doing top down approach you can easily follow the footprints of smart money in the stock market or any other market by using this indicator and make well-informed trading decisions.
Remember, don't make decisions based only on one time frame. Check the overall trend of the stock and look at buying and selling points on bigger time scales. If you only use one time scale, your chances of making successful trades will be lower.
💎 To execute these comprehensive analyses and optimize your trading outcomes, you can make use of my indicator called "Demand & Supply Zone Scoring: Rally Base & Drop Concept."💎
This indicator is thoughtfully crafted to assess the strength of trade setups based on demand and supply zones through a scoring mechanism. It serves as your guide for correct top-down and multiple time frame analysis, eliminating the possibility of overlooking any strategic parameters. To gain deeper insights, you can learn more about how to use this indicator in its description.
Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments." Feel free to ask if you have questions.
Let's conquer the markets together! 🚀
Komut dosyalarını "zone" için ara
Professional Zones - Institutional Demand and Supply Imbalances
Intro to Supply and Demand Zone Technical Analysis
Supply and demand is an increasingly common strategy among day and swing traders in equity, forex, and the futures markets. The goal of analyzing supply and demand zones is to pre-determine where price action may pivot before that pivot happens, thus giving us an edge over the market. There are many unique charting/trading strategies that fit under the supply and demand umbrella, however we are going to focus primarily on Institutional Zones of Demand and Supply Imbalances, as this is what our TradingView indicator actively displays.
What are Institutional Zones of Demand and Supply Imbalances?
First, let’s break down the phrase above. The first word is ‘institutional’, which is a key aspect in our trading. As a retail trader, you must understand that retail traders (individual traders like you and I) have very little control and very little effect on price action in the major markets. The price action that we see everyday is caused by large institutions and hedge funds buying and selling equities in massive quantities.
This chart displays the price action for ES, which is the S&P500 E-mini futures .
At the time this guide was created, that chart for ES displays the low of this year (2022). You can see major highs and major lows, as well as steep drops and momentous runs.
Price action like this appears random to the naked eye, however it is all controlled by major institutions. These institutions place large buy and sell orders for markets such as the S&P 500 Index which causes these moves.
Our Institutional Demand and Supply Analysis attempts to discover the price zones where institutions have placed their buy/sell orders. Their buy orders create “demand zones”. And their sell orders create “supply zones”. Knowing where these zones exist allows us to anticipate price trend reversals so we can profitably participate in them alongside the major institutions when these key moves take place.
We are looking for areas in the chart where institutions have created major imbalances (more buy orders than sell orders or vice versa) which creates demand and supply zones that impact price action and trend reversals in predictable ways.
What Causes These Supply and Demand Zones?
Understanding that institutions control the price of the markets is crucial for understanding how these zones of supply and demand imbalances are formed, and it can be derived from historical price action.
There are two types of price action, balanced and imbalanced. Balanced price action is flat, consolidatory price action where the overall direction is sideways. Imbalanced price action is an exaggerated move in price either up or down. Now here is the key: institutional supply and demand imbalances are formed when price action goes from balanced to imbalanced. Below is an example of balanced price action .
There are clearly areas of institutional buy and sell orders that are causing price action to oscillate between the areas of demand and supply. The longer price action consolidates and moves sideways, the larger the volume profile will be in this range. In other words, more institutional orders will build up as price remains relatively the same for a longer period of time.
Here is how a demand zone is formed :
Due to bullish CPI news, price action went from balanced to imbalanced by exploding to the upside. This bullish price action filled all of the sell orders and broke past the previous area of supply. Because price moved up so fast, the buy orders did not get a chance to fill, essentially leaving an area with a high concentration of buy orders remaining. Hence, a new demand zone is formed which is shown here .
Our state-of-the-art indicator automatically scans for these historical shifts in price action (balanced to imbalanced) via our supply and demand zone detection formula, and displays them on your chart instantly. Remember the first image sent of blank price action? Here it is below:
The image below shows the exact same chart of ES, however, our advanced Professional Zones - Institutional Demand and Supply Imbalances indicator has been applied to the chart.
Just like that, price action has been transformed from unexplainable chaos to an orderly sequence of demand bounces and supply rejections.
Yes, all of these zones may be charted manually if one were to acquire the knowledge required to chart them by hand, and spend numerous hours going back in time to find all these zones. Additionally, these charts would then have to be constantly monitored and updated, which would require hours of work each day. This powerful indicator automates all of that work to give you more precious time to analyze and trade these zone-driven pivots in the markets.
How To Measure the Strength of Supply and Demand Zones?
The longer the consolidation takes place, the larger the demand/ supply zone will be. This strength is measured by the time frame of the origin of the zone.
Each zone may be formed on a different time frame, the biggest being the 1 Month time frame, and the smallest being the 30 Minute. Each supply and demand zone is automatically labeled based on the time frame from which the zone originated.
The weakest zones are derived from the 30 minute time frame. This means the zone only took two 30 minute candles to form, which is not a lot of time for institutions to place large orders. This means that the bounces and rejections off of these zones will usually be smaller, and usually won’t last more than a few days.
Larger zones such as 1 Day, 1 Week, and 1 Month often cause large swings in the market lasting weeks, months and even years. So pay attention not just to where the demand and supply zones currently appear, but also to the strength of that zone. You can see below that the demand zone that the market bottomed in and reversed out of in 2022 was in fact, a very strong weekly zone.
What is the Significance of Supply and Demand Zone Breaks?
These zones are order-based. This means that a supply zone level doesn’t turn into demand when price action breaks above it, and demand doesn’t turn into supply when price action breaks below it. It is unlike standard trend-based support and resistance levels. If price action breaks below demand by even $0. 01 , all of the buy orders have been filled and the demand must be deleted from the chart (and vice versa for a supply zone ).
While it is possible to play these zone breaks as continuation plays off of current momentous price action, it is unpredictable how far price will go up or down after breaking supply or demand during that leg.
However, in my years of supply and demand experience, I have noticed that if demand breaks, the market will eventually come down to the next viable demand zone . This is because without a pivot caused by an institutional-created demand or supply imbalance, there is often not enough participation to cause a sustainable trend reversal for a long period of time. Below is an example of this:
Above is the 4 Hour chart of TSLA bouncing up off of a demand zone . We call this a bounce in “no man's land”, as there is no major demand bounce to support this reversal to the upside. So in theory, price action should return lower to the next major historical zone of demand before it has a chance of pulling off a solid reversal. Here is what happened:
As you can see above, TSLA did indeed end up heading back down into the next major demand zone before getting a sustainable reversal to the upside. So you may play these supply and demand zone breaks as continuation trades, either long or short, with a price target at the next major zone. Just make sure to use proper risk management and position sizing, as timing the trigger of a price target can be difficult.
How Might I Place a Trade Using the Indicator?
Now that the basics of institutional supply and demand zones have been discussed, there will come a time that this strategy must be actively applied to personal trading with a goal of becoming profitable. Here is a step-by-step process to place a trade using supply and demand paired with an example of a day trade from the 1 minute time frame.
Step 1: Find a highly institutionally traded stock that is currently in supply or demand as shown by our indicator. For example, AAPL:
Step 2: Look for an above-average (exaggerated) volume spike. Because we are in one of the green zones at the bottom of the chart, we know that we are in demand where large institutional buy orders reside. We need to wait for some of these orders to actually fill before we take our trade. This is known as volume confirmation. The color of the volume usually does not matter in this situation.
Step 3: Now that we have a volume spike which is confirmation of large orders being filled, we need more confirmation that the institutional orders are not only a buy, but large enough to actually reverse the current trend.
This is ultimately a judgment call. A few green candles may be good enough to dictate a reversal, or a trend break. It comes down to personal preference and how aggressive you would like to be. Keep in mind, the longer you wait, the more confirmation your trade has, but also, the longer you wait, the greater the risk of missing the new trend. In this example, we will use a trend line to confirm our trend reversal.
Step 4: Enter the trade. Now that you have proper demand confirmation, you may place your trade. Be sure to determine your stop loss, price target, position size, and all other risk management factors along the way.
In this example, AAPL ran all the way up to supply before rejecting; making for a perfect demand to supply call trade. Also, more short trade entries could have been taken based off of the multiple supply rejections AAPL had.
The Bottom Line
There are many ways one may go about trading the stock market. However in my years of trading and teaching, there has never been a strategy that has not only changed my career, but improved the trading careers of my students, more dramatically than Institutional Zones of Demand and Supply Imbalances.
Though charting new zones and deleting broken ones everyday was time consuming and repetitive, the results of trading these zones made it well-worth the hours of charting. However, after months of development and fine-tuning, the painful charting process has been automated by this powerful indicator, completely replacing the tedious charting work for myself and my students.
While numerous other indicators include the name “Supply and Demand Zones”, we believe that no supply and demand indicator remotely this advanced and accurate available on TradingView. I am very blessed to finally bring this revolutionary tool to the market.
Introduction to the Aurora Demand and Supply Indicator for TradingView and its Functionality
This page is dedicated to providing a thorough walk-through of our Professional Zones - Institutional Demand and Supply Imbalances indicator. The settings functionality, customizability, and purpose will be discussed to give you an in-depth understanding of the indicator. Understanding the purpose of the different functions and settings is crucial to utilizing this powerful tool at its full potential.
First Look Upon Indicator Addition
After purchasing the indicator, your chart may initially appear cluttered, zoomed out, and hard to read. But do not worry, it just means the indicator settings must be fine-tuned to optimize your experience. Tt may appear overwhelming. However this page will discuss each major customizable setting and the functionality behind it to streamline your TradingView set up.
Filter Options Settings Category
This is the first customizable feature that appears when accessing the settings of the indicator. What Filter Zone Ranges does is allow you to filter the range at which zones appear both above and below the current asset price. With this setting unchecked, every single demand and supply zone within the 5k candle limit (or 20k limit if you have a premium TradingView account) will appear on your chart. This causes chart clutter which limits the visibility of price action.
If you have this setting activated, you can choose exactly the range of zones visible to you. This range is percent based and is measured both above and below the current market price. For example, if you activate Filter Zone Ranges and set the Filter Percentage at 7%, only zones within the range of 7% above, and 7% below the current asset price will be shown.
Demand/ Supply Zone Options Settings Category
The next two categories contain the majority of the customizability for supply and demand zones. The first option in both the Demand/ Supply Zone Options is Create Demand/Supply Zones. This toggle is very straight forward, you may choose whether or not to display all demand zones, or all supply zones.
The next two options are Demand/ Supply Zone Border and Demand/ Supply Zone Fill. Again, these are straight forward. The border setting allows you to edit both the color and opacity of the zones’ border lines. The fill setting allows you to edit the color and opacity of the interior of the supply/demand boxes.
Following the first pair of visual settings, you will see Demand/ Supply Zone Box Offset. This allows you to toggle how much the indicator offsets each zone from its origin point. In other words, move it to the left or right from the point in time at which the zone was created. The 0 offset is the base setting which is actually a slight offset to the right of the origin point to ensure that the candlesticks remain unobstructed visually.
After the offset options, you will find Demand/ Supply Zone ERC Multiple. This is a key setting which inputs the value our formula utilizes to scan the areas of institutional supply and demand imbalances. Unless you are extremely experienced with supply and demand analysis or you are running backtesting, it is highly recommended this value is left at ‘2’ for both the demand and supply options.
The next two options you will see in your indicator settings are Extend Demand/ Supply Zone and Demand/ Supply Zone Size. This feature allows you to customize exactly how far your zones will extend from the point of origin into the future.
The three options on the drop down menu are Extend, Fixed, and Dynamic. Each of these options extend your zones in a different fashion. It is important to note that the value inputted in the size option is the amount of units the zones will extend to the right for both Fixed and Dynamic options. The larger this input is, the further out the zones will extend into the future, and vice versa.
The final setting in the Demand/ Supply Zone Options category is Broken Zones to Keep and Broken Demand/ Supply Zone Fill. The Broken Zones to Keep input allows you to see recent supply or demand zones that have been broken and deleted from your chart. This may be useful for a trader in a few different ways. The Broken Demand/ Supply Zone Fill setting allows you to customize the number of broken zones displayed as well as their color and opacity. The most prominent example of this option’s utility is for traders that do not observe price action during the entirety of the market open.
If an individual left their charts for a few hours and missed a demand break, it may give the illusion that there was never a demand there and price action has been in “no-man's land” all day. However if that individual inputted ‘1’ in the Broken Zones to Keep setting, they would be able to see that a demand has broken. This may be useful as the trader may have an altered sentiment after knowing that a zone did in fact break.
Note: the value inputted is the amount of previously broken zones that will appear on your chart. For example, if the value ‘3’ is inputted, the three most recently broken zones will appear on your chart.
Time Frame Options Settings Category
Time Frame Options Settings allows you to toggle which supply and demand zones appear on your chart by time frame. For example, if you are analyzing a chart on a larger time frame such as the daily or weekly, the small 30 minute and 45 minute zones will often clutter your chart. By deselecting the weaker and smaller time frame zones, it will clean your chart up, allowing you to only see the zones that assist your analysis.
However the first two options in the category are unique.The first is Show Forming Zones. This option is extremely useful if you are watching price action play out live, when seeing the possibility of a supply or demand zone forming may be of benefit during your day trading. By toggling this setting ON, you will see all possible supply and demand zones forming in real time. However, this could cause clutter if multiple zones are forming at once in which case, toggling it off may be more beneficial.
The second option in the Timeframe Options category is the Show Zones Inside toggle, which controls the table at the top right of your screen (you may get rid of this table by deselecting tables in display settings).
This setting simply is a “yes” or “no” as to whether or not the table located at the top right of your screen will display the number of zones price action is currently sitting in. This setting is useful as zones may sometimes pile up on top of one another, making it hard to know exactly how many zones price action is currently sitting in.
Gap Options Settings Category
Just below the Timeframe Options category, is the Gap Options category. Gaps appear when two daily candles highs and lows do not overlap. These are often created when a catalyst is released into the market overnight causing a large move, resulting in a “gap” up or down the next morning.
A Gap often forms due to a strong move to the upside, and the indicator highlights this gap with a gray box. Gaps are important to many traders as there is often a large lack of liquidity inside the gap area, which often acts as a magnet that attracts future price action to fill it. If toggled on, the indicator displays the gap among the supply and demand zones seamlessly. The rest of the settings for this category are options to customize the color, opacity, size, and offset. These have the same effect as the options in the Demand/ Supply Zone Options category.
Text Options Settings Category
The final category in the indicator input settings is Text Options. This category allows you to toggle zone labeling on or off, and to specify how you would like the zone labels to appear. It’s strongly recommended that zone labeling is left ON because knowing the time frame a supply or demand zone originated from is a massive indicator of its strength. Top right alignment causes labeling such as “3H” to appear at the top right of each zone.
Indicator Data Limitations
There are a few limitations of TradingView which impact the Professional Zones - Institutional Supply and Demand Imbalances indicator. The first is the data TradingView provides to its users. With a basic TradingView account, a user only has access to 5,000 candles of data. So if a user is on the 1 minute time frame, that user can only see 5,000 candles before that current point. This is important because our advanced indicator scans historical price action that has formed supply and demand zones and displays it on your chart. This means that if a user is on a 1 minute time frame chart, they will only be able to see zones formed within the last 5,000 candles. Older supply and demand zones can not be displayed. However if a user has the Premium TradingView subscription, they can access up to 20,000 candles, which greatly increases the potential zones the user may see on the smaller time frames.
To counter this, we strongly recommend checking the larger time frames before starting your trading day, as there could be an old zone lurking behind the scenes. Once you spot it on the 30 minute time frame, for example, you may easily take note of the demand zone and its location.
The Bottom Line
This indicator has been intricately and powerfully designed to not only display institutional supply and demand imbalances more accurately and efficiently than any other TradingView indicator, but it has also been designed to give the user full control. Full control means the user has the ability to customize the appearance and inputs, as well as toggle specific objects visible to the trader.
We have meticulously designed the Professional Zones - Institutional Supply and Demand Imbalances indicator to be extremely valuable as a stand-alone strategy, as well as versatile enough to incorporate multiple other trading strategies on top of supply and demand .
However, in order for this indicator to be utilized by you at its full potential, it is important that you understand all of its features, capabilities and configuration options before you dive into trading.
Exhaustion ZonesOur Indicator “Exhaustion Zones” offers an insight into the expected Volatility of any given Instrument applied to. Understanding Volatility is essential for using this Indicator. If you are familiar with the concept, then you will most likely find this indicator useful in your trading. If you are unfamiliar with the concept and are interested in this topic, then continue reading a “Brief Concept of Volatility” at the end of the description, where we will provide some informational Links.
This description will provide a High Level description of how our Indicator identifies and visualizes Exhaustion Zones, followed by how to use the Indicator in your trading. At the end we would like to introduce our team and experience.
High Level Description of “Exhaustion Zones”:
Our indicator is predicting the expected market volatility for a predefined period based on recent historical Volatility, which will be referred to as “Period Volatility” from now on. Currently there are two Predefined Periods…
...a daily period, which starts from 21 UTC for the next 24 hours.
...a weekly period, which starts from Sunday 21 UTC for the next 7 days.
Our indicator calculates an expected volatility for the respective period and informes you, the trader, how large the price range could be. The indicator calculates “Exhaustion Zones” using the Period Volatility, which is a multiple (1x, 2x and 3x) of the Period Volatility, based on the Period High/Low. Basically, adding the multiple of the Period Volatility to the Period Low would equate to the “Upper Exhaustion Zones”, and subtracting the multiple of the Period Volatility from the Period High would equate to the “Lower Exhaustion Zones”.
Visualisation:
Our indicator needs to display 2 states …
…price range is SMALLER than predicted Period Volatility. An example would be, a daily period has just begun, and the Daily range is small, hence the Daily range is smaller than the predicted Period Volatility. This state will be referred to as “Moving Exhaustion Zones”
...price range is GREATER than predicted Period Volatility. An example would be, a market has experienced a shock leading to a huge price change and exceeding the Period Volatility. This state will be referred to as “Locked Exhaustion Zones”
What do the Boxes mean:
Our Indicator displays 2 different Periods - Daily and Weekly. The Daily period is displayed with a red accent color, whereas a weekly Period has a yellow accent.
The Boxes themself display the “Exhaustion Zones”. Each period displays upto 4 Exhaustion Zones - 2 Upper Exhaustion Zones, 2 Lower Exhaustion Zones, each having a “Zone 0” and “Zone 1”.
Moving Exhaustion Zones
Moving Exhaustion Zones displays 4 Exhaustion Zones. These Zones are based on the Period High/Low and are NOT locked, and can still be redrawn. As prices make new Period Highes and Lows, exhaustion Zones will be adjusted. This state is visualized by the Open Lock on the right side of the current Exhaustion Zone.
Locked Exhaustion Zones
Locked Exhaustion Zones display 2 Exhaustion Zones and a dashed Line. Price has made its move and has exceeded predicted Period Volatility. Exhaustion Zones are locked and will NOT be repainted from now on. This state is visualized by the closed Lock on the right side of the current Exhaustion Zone.
How to use it:
The Exhaustion Zones indicator is a mean reverting Indicator. That being said, when Price approaches/enters a Zone, the assumption is that Price will either slow down, or reverse.
The Exhaustion Zone is displayed as 2 Sub-Zones: Zone 0 and Zone 1. As Price continues through the Zones without a reversal, the potential for a reversal increases.
We recommend using this Indicator with a reversal Trading Strategy familiar to you.
Furthermore, this Indicator is well suited as a Target. You can use the Exhaustion Zones to define your Target or where you would like to remove partial Profits.
Important
Please note, that the indicator itself just presents price areas where there is a potential for a price reversal, and that these Zones should not be traded blindly
Time frame:
This indicator is programmed to be used on all Timeframes lower than Weekly Timeframes.
Instruments:
This indicator aims to visualize areas of where Market price has the potential to reverse, hence making this a mean reverting Indicator.
Taking this statement to account, it is recommended to apply this Indicator to Instruments with a mean reverting character.
Examples of mean reverting markets could be for example …
...all FOREX instruments, as FOREX is considered a mean reverting Market.
...an instrument that is in a consolidation, or which you are expecting to enter a period of consolidation.
Indicator settings and configuration:
The Indicator has no functional parameters, to reduce User error, and only has visual parameters. The color of the Zones can be tailored to your liking.
Furthermore you have decided what you would like to display on your chart:
… Display Weekly Zones
...Display Daily Zones
...Show History
...Show Zone States.
Brief concept of Volatility:
Volatility is a concept that has been around for a very long time. Following links are helpful to get a grasp of the concept:
en.wikipedia.org(finance)
www.investopedia.com
Our Team:
We are a team of 3 Traders with a co mbined experience of 40 years. We are using our experiences from the market to create Indicators to Visualize the most relevant Patterns to us in our trading today. Our goal is to reconstruct these patterns to match our understanding of the market and to simplify the process of creating reproducible trading Strategies.
VHF-Adaptive, Digital Kahler Variety RSI w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]VHF-Adaptive, Digital Kahler Variety RSI w/ Dynamic Zones is an RSI indicator with adaptive inputs, Digital Kahler filtering, and Dynamic Zones. This indicator uses a Vertical Horizontal Filter for calculating the adaptive period inputs and allows the user to select from 7 different types of RSI.
What is VHF Adaptive Cycle?
Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) was created by Adam White to identify trending and ranging markets. VHF measures the level of trend activity, similar to ADX DI. Vertical Horizontal Filter does not, itself, generate trading signals, but determines whether signals are taken from trend or momentum indicators. Using this trend information, one is then able to derive an average cycle length.
What is Digital Kahler?
From Philipp Kahler's article for www.traders-mag.com, August 2008. "A Classic Indicator in a New Suit: Digital Stochastic"
Digital Indicators
Whenever you study the development of trading systems in particular, you will be struck in an extremely unpleasant way by the seemingly unmotivated indentations and changes in direction of each indicator. An experienced trader can recognise many false signals of the indicator on the basis of his solid background; a stupid trading system usually falls into any trap offered by the unclear indicator course. This is what motivated me to improve even further this and other indicators with the help of a relatively simple procedure. The goal of this development is to be able to use this indicator in a trading system with as few additional conditions as possible. Discretionary traders will likewise be happy about this clear course, which is not nerve-racking and makes concentrating on the essential elements of trading possible.
How Is It Done?
The digital stochastic is a child of the original indicator. We owe a debt of gratitude to George Lane for his idea to design an indicator which describes the position of the current price within the high-low range of the historical price movement. My contribution to this indicator is the changed pattern which improves the quality of the signal without generating too long delays in giving signals. The trick used to generate this “digital” behavior of the indicator. It can be used with most oscillators like RSI or CCI .
First of all, the original is looked at. The indicator always moves between 0 and 100. The precise position of the indicator or its course relative to the trigger line are of no interest to me, I would just like to know whether the indicator is quoted below or above the value 50. This is tantamount to the question of whether the market is just trading above or below the middle of the high-low range of the past few days. If the market trades in the upper half of its high-low range, then the digital stochastic is given the value 1; if the original stochastic is below 50, then the value –1 is given. This leads to a sequence of 1/-1 values – the digital core of the new indicator. These values are subsequently smoothed by means of a short exponential moving average . This way minor false signals are eliminated and the indicator is given its typical form.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
4 signal types
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Loxx's Moving Averages
Loxx's Variety RSI
Loxx's Dynamic Zones
CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones is a Jurik-Composite-Fractal-Behavior-Adaptive Williams % Range indicator with Dynamic Zones. These additions to the WPR calculation reduce noise and return a signal that is more viable than WPR alone.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R , also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
What is Composite Fractal Behavior ( CFB )?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
3 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones is a standard deviation filtered R-squared Adaptive T3 moving average with dynamic zones.
What is the T3 moving average?
Better Moving Averages Tim Tillson
November 1, 1998
Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
Introduction
"Digital filtering includes the process of smoothing, predicting, differentiating, integrating, separation of signals, and removal of noise from a signal. Thus many people who do such things are actually using digital filters without realizing that they are; being unacquainted with the theory, they neither understand what they have done nor the possibilities of what they might have done."
This quote from R. W. Hamming applies to the vast majority of indicators in technical analysis . Moving averages, be they simple, weighted, or exponential, are lowpass filters; low frequency components in the signal pass through with little attenuation, while high frequencies are severely reduced.
"Oscillator" type indicators (such as MACD , Momentum, Relative Strength Index ) are another type of digital filter called a differentiator.
Tushar Chande has observed that many popular oscillators are highly correlated, which is sensible because they are trying to measure the rate of change of the underlying time series, i.e., are trying to be the first and second derivatives we all learned about in Calculus.
We use moving averages (lowpass filters) in technical analysis to remove the random noise from a time series, to discern the underlying trend or to determine prices at which we will take action. A perfect moving average would have two attributes:
It would be smooth, not sensitive to random noise in the underlying time series. Another way of saying this is that its derivative would not spuriously alternate between positive and negative values.
It would not lag behind the time series it is computed from. Lag, of course, produces late buy or sell signals that kill profits.
The only way one can compute a perfect moving average is to have knowledge of the future, and if we had that, we would buy one lottery ticket a week rather than trade!
Having said this, we can still improve on the conventional simple, weighted, or exponential moving averages. Here's how:
Two Interesting Moving Averages
We will examine two benchmark moving averages based on Linear Regression analysis.
In both cases, a Linear Regression line of length n is fitted to price data.
I call the first moving average ILRS, which stands for Integral of Linear Regression Slope. One simply integrates the slope of a linear regression line as it is successively fitted in a moving window of length n across the data, with the constant of integration being a simple moving average of the first n points. Put another way, the derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. Note that ILRS is not the same as a SMA ( simple moving average ) of length n, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
We can measure the lag of moving averages with respect to a linear trend by computing how they behave when the input is a line with unit slope. Both SMA (n) and ILRS(n) have lag of n/2, but ILRS is much smoother than SMA .
Our second benchmark moving average is well known, called EPMA or End Point Moving Average. It is the endpoint of the linear regression line of length n as it is fitted across the data. EPMA hugs the data more closely than a simple or exponential moving average of the same length. The price we pay for this is that it is much noisier (less smooth) than ILRS, and it also has the annoying property that it overshoots the data when linear trends are present.
However, EPMA has a lag of 0 with respect to linear input! This makes sense because a linear regression line will fit linear input perfectly, and the endpoint of the LR line will be on the input line.
These two moving averages frame the tradeoffs that we are facing. On one extreme we have ILRS, which is very smooth and has considerable phase lag. EPMA has 0 phase lag, but is too noisy and overshoots. We would like to construct a better moving average which is as smooth as ILRS, but runs closer to where EPMA lies, without the overshoot.
A easy way to attempt this is to split the difference, i.e. use (ILRS(n)+EPMA(n))/2. This will give us a moving average (call it IE /2) which runs in between the two, has phase lag of n/4 but still inherits considerable noise from EPMA. IE /2 is inspirational, however. Can we build something that is comparable, but smoother? Figure 1 shows ILRS, EPMA, and IE /2.
Filter Techniques
Any thoughtful student of filter theory (or resolute experimenter) will have noticed that you can improve the smoothness of a filter by running it through itself multiple times, at the cost of increasing phase lag.
There is a complementary technique (called twicing by J.W. Tukey) which can be used to improve phase lag. If L stands for the operation of running data through a low pass filter, then twicing can be described by:
L' = L(time series) + L(time series - L(time series))
That is, we add a moving average of the difference between the input and the moving average to the moving average. This is algebraically equivalent to:
2L-L(L)
This is the Double Exponential Moving Average or DEMA , popularized by Patrick Mulloy in TASAC (January/February 1994).
In our taxonomy, DEMA has some phase lag (although it exponentially approaches 0) and is somewhat noisy, comparable to IE /2 indicator.
We will use these two techniques to construct our better moving average, after we explore the first one a little more closely.
Fixing Overshoot
An n-day EMA has smoothing constant alpha=2/(n+1) and a lag of (n-1)/2.
Thus EMA (3) has lag 1, and EMA (11) has lag 5. Figure 2 shows that, if I am willing to incur 5 days of lag, I get a smoother moving average if I run EMA (3) through itself 5 times than if I just take EMA (11) once.
This suggests that if EPMA and DEMA have 0 or low lag, why not run fast versions (eg DEMA (3)) through themselves many times to achieve a smooth result? The problem is that multiple runs though these filters increase their tendency to overshoot the data, giving an unusable result. This is because the amplitude response of DEMA and EPMA is greater than 1 at certain frequencies, giving a gain of much greater than 1 at these frequencies when run though themselves multiple times. Figure 3 shows DEMA (7) and EPMA(7) run through themselves 3 times. DEMA^3 has serious overshoot, and EPMA^3 is terrible.
The solution to the overshoot problem is to recall what we are doing with twicing:
DEMA (n) = EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))
The second term is adding, in effect, a smooth version of the derivative to the EMA to achieve DEMA . The derivative term determines how hot the moving average's response to linear trends will be. We need to simply turn down the volume to achieve our basic building block:
EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))*.7;
This is algebraically the same as:
EMA (n)*1.7-EMA( EMA (n))*.7;
I have chosen .7 as my volume factor, but the general formula (which I call "Generalized Dema") is:
GD (n,v) = EMA (n)*(1+v)-EMA( EMA (n))*v,
Where v ranges between 0 and 1. When v=0, GD is just an EMA , and when v=1, GD is DEMA . In between, GD is a cooler DEMA . By using a value for v less than 1 (I like .7), we cure the multiple DEMA overshoot problem, at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay. Now we can run GD through itself multiple times to define a new, smoother moving average T3 that does not overshoot the data:
T3(n) = GD ( GD ( GD (n)))
In filter theory parlance, T3 is a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter. Kalman filters are ones which use the error (in this case (time series - EMA (n)) to correct themselves. In Technical Analysis , these are called Adaptive Moving Averages; they track the time series more aggressively when it is making large moves.
What is R-squared Adaptive?
One tool available in forecasting the trendiness of the breakout is the coefficient of determination ( R-squared ), a statistical measurement.
The R-squared indicates linear strength between the security's price (the Y - axis) and time (the X - axis). The R-squared is the percentage of squared error that the linear regression can eliminate if it were used as the predictor instead of the mean value. If the R-squared were 0.99, then the linear regression would eliminate 99% of the error for prediction versus predicting closing prices using a simple moving average .
R-squared is used here to derive a T3 factor used to modify price before passing price through a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Variety RSI w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]Variety RSI w/ Dynamic Zones is an indicator with 7 different RSI types with Dynamic Zones. This indicator has signal crossing options for signal, middle, and all Dynamic Zone levels.
What is RSI?
The relative strength index ( RSI ) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis . RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.
The RSI can do more than point to overbought and oversold securities. It can also indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought situation. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
RSI source pre-smoothing options
Bar coloring
4 types of signal crossing options
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Loxx's RSI Variety RSI types
Natural Market Mirror (NMM) and NMAs w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]Natural Market Mirror (NMM) and NMAs w/ Dynamic Zones is a very complex indicator derived from Sloman's Ocean Theory. This indicator contains 3 core outputs and those outputs, depending on the one you select to be used to crate a long/short signal, will be highlighted and bound by Dynamic Zones. Pre-smoothing of source input is available, you only need to increase the period length to greater than 1. The smoothing algorithm used here it's Ehlers Two-pole Super Smoother. This indicator should be used as you would use the popular QQE, the difference being this indicator is multi-level momentum adaptive, and QQE is fixed RSI-based. This indicator is multilayer adaptive.
The three core indicators calculations are as follows:
NMM = Natural Market Mirror, solid line
NMF = Natural Moving Average Fast, dashed line (white when off)
NMA = Natural Moving Average Regular, dashed line (yellow when off)
Whichever one you select to be used as the signal output base, that line with increased in width and change color to match the price inputted trend. The Dynamic Zones will then readjust around that selected output and form a new bounding zone for signal output.
What is the Ocean Natural Market Mirror?
Created by Jim Sloman, the NMA is a momentum indicator that automatically adjusts to volatility without being programed to do so. For more info, read his guide "Ocean Theory, an Introduction"
What is the Ocean Natural Moving Average?
Also created by Jim Sloman, the NMA is a moving average that automatically adjusts to volatility.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
Bar coloring
3 types of signal output options
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Dynamic Zone of Bollinger Band Stops Line [Loxx]Dynamic Zone of Bollinger Band Stops Line is a Bollinger Band indicator with Dynamic Zones. This indicator serves as both a trend indicator and a dynamic stop-loss indicator.
What are Bollinger Bands?
A Bollinger Band is a technical analysis tool defined by a set of trendlines plotted two standard deviations (positively and negatively) away from a simple moving average (SMA) of a security's price, but which can be adjusted to user preferences.
Bollinger Bands were developed and copyrighted by famous technical trader John Bollinger, designed to discover opportunities that give investors a higher probability of properly identifying when an asset is oversold or overbought.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
3 types of signal smoothing
Dynamic Zone Range on PDFMA [Loxx]Dynamic Zone Range on PDFMA is a Probability Density Function Moving Average oscillator with Dynamic Zones.
What is Probability Density Function?
Probability density function based MA is a sort of weighted moving average that uses probability density function to calculate the weights.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
4 signal types
Bar coloring
Alerts
Channels fill
Dynamic Zone Range on OMA [Loxx]Dynamic Zone Range on OMA is an One More Moving Average oscillator with Dynamic Zones.
What is the One More Moving Average (OMA)?
The usual story goes something like this : which is the best moving average? Everyone that ever started to do any kind of technical analysis was pulled into this "game". Comparing, testing, looking for new ones, testing ...
The idea of this one is simple: it should not be itself, but it should be a kind of a chameleon - it should "imitate" as much other moving averages as it can. So the need for zillion different moving averages would diminish. And it should have some extra, of course:
The extras:
it has to be smooth
it has to be able to "change speed" without length change
it has to be able to adapt or not (since it has to "imitate" the non-adaptive as well as the adaptive ones)
The steps:
Smoothing - compared are the simple moving average (that is the basis and the first step of this indicator - a smoothed simple moving average with as little lag added as it is possible and as close to the original as it is possible) Speed 1 and non-adaptive are the reference for this basic setup.
Speed changing - same chart only added one more average with "speeds" 2 and 3 (for comparison purposes only here)
Finally - adapting : same chart with SMA compared to one more average with speed 1 but adaptive (so this parameters would make it a "smoothed adaptive simple average") Adapting part is a modified Kaufman adapting way and this part (the adapting part) may be a subject for changes in the future (it is giving satisfactory results, but if or when I find a better way, it will be implemented here)
Some comparisons for different speed settings (all the comparisons are without adaptive turned on, and are approximate. Approximation comes from a fact that it is impossible to get exactly the same values from only one way of calculation, and frankly, I even did not try to get those same values).
speed 0.5 - T3 (0.618 Tilson)
speed 2.5 - T3 (0.618 Fulks/Matulich)
speed 1 - SMA , harmonic mean
speed 2 - LWMA
speed 7 - very similar to Hull and TEMA
speed 8 - very similar to LSMA and Linear regression value
Parameters:
Length - length (period) for averaging
Source - price to use for averaging
Speed - desired speed (i limited to -1.5 on the lower side but it even does not need that limit - some interesting results with speeds that are less than 0 can be achieved)
Adaptive - does it adapt or not
Variety Moving Averages w/ Dynamic Zones contains 33 source types and 35+ moving averages with double dynamic zones levels.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
4 signal types
Bar coloring
Alerts
Channels fill
Williams %R on Chart w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]Williams %R on Chart w/ Dynamic Zones is a Williams %R indicator but instead of being an oscillator it appears on chart. The WPR calculation used here leverages T3 moving average for its calculation. In addition, the WPR is bound by Dynamic Zones.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R , also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
What is T3 moving average?
Developed by Tim Tillson, the T3 Moving Average is considered superior to traditional moving averages as it is smoother, more responsive and thus performs better in ranging market conditions as well.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
Bar coloring
Channels fill
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
35+ moving average types
Low Liquidity Zones [PhenLabs]📊 Low Liquidity Zones
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
Low Liquidity Zones identifies and highlights periods of unusually low trading volume on your chart, marking areas where price movement occurred with minimal participation. These zones often represent potential support and resistance levels that may be more susceptible to price breakouts or reversals when revisited with higher volume.
Unlike traditional volume analysis tools that focus on high volume spikes, this indicator specializes in detecting low liquidity areas where price moved with minimal resistance. Each zone displays its volume delta, providing insight into buying vs. selling pressure during these thin liquidity periods. This combination of low volume detection and delta analysis helps traders identify potential price inefficiencies and weak structures in the market.
🚀 Points of Innovation
• Identifies low liquidity zones that most volume indicators overlook but which often become significant technical levels
• Displays volume delta within each zone, showing net buying/selling pressure during low liquidity periods
• Dynamically adjusts to different timeframes, allowing analysis across multiple time horizons
• Filters zones by maximum size percentage to focus only on precise price levels
• Maintains historical zones until they expire based on your lookback settings, creating a cumulative map of potential support/resistance areas
🔧 Core Components
• Low Volume Detection: Identifies candles where volume falls below a specified threshold relative to recent average volume, highlighting potential liquidity gaps.
• Volume Delta Analysis: Calculates and displays the net buying/selling pressure within each low liquidity zone, providing insight into the directional bias during low participation periods.
• Dynamic Timeframe Adjustment: Automatically scales analysis periods to match your selected timeframe preference, ensuring consistent identification of low liquidity zones regardless of chart settings.
• Zone Management System: Creates, tracks, and expires low liquidity zones based on your configured settings, maintaining visual clarity on the chart.
🔥 Key Features
• Low Volume Identification: Automatically detects and highlights candles where volume falls below your specified threshold compared to the moving average.
• Volume Delta Visualization: Shows the net volume delta within each zone, providing insight into whether buyers or sellers were dominant despite the low overall volume.
• Flexible Timeframe Analysis: Analyze low liquidity zones across multiple predefined timeframes or use a custom lookback period specific to your trading style.
• Zone Size Filtering: Filters out excessively large zones to focus only on precise price levels, improving signal quality.
• Automatic Zone Expiration: Older zones are automatically removed after your specified lookback period to maintain a clean, relevant chart display.
🎨 Visualization
• Volume Delta Labels: Each zone displays its volume delta with “+” or “-” prefix and K/M suffix for easy interpretation, showing the strength and direction of pressure during the low volume period.
• Persistent Historical Mapping: Zones remain visible for your specified lookback period, creating a cumulative map of potential support and resistance levels forming under low liquidity conditions.
📖 Usage Guidelines
Analysis Timeframe
Default: 1D
Range/Options: 15M, 1HR, 3HR, 4HR, 8HR, 16HR, 1D, 3D, 5D, 1W, Custom
Description: Determines the historical period to analyze for low liquidity zones. Shorter timeframes provide more recent data while longer timeframes offer a more comprehensive view of significant zones. Use Custom option with the setting below for precise control.
Custom Period (Bars)
Default: 1000
Range: 1+
Description: Number of bars to analyze when using Custom timeframe option. Higher values show more historical zones but may impact performance.
Volume Analysis
Volume Threshold Divisor
Default: 0.5
Range: 0.1-1.0
Description: Maximum volume relative to average to identify low volume zones. Example: 0.5 means volume must be below 50% of the average to qualify as low volume. Lower values create more selective zones while higher values identify more zones.
Volume MA Length
Default: 15
Range: 1+
Description: Period length for volume moving average calculation. Shorter periods make the indicator more responsive to recent volume changes, while longer periods provide a more stable baseline.
Zone Settings
Zone Fill Color
Default: #2196F3 (80% transparency)
Description: Color and transparency of the low liquidity zones. Choose colors that stand out against your chart background without obscuring price action.
Maximum Zone Size %
Default: 0.5
Range: 0.1+
Description: Maximum allowed height of a zone as percentage of price. Larger zones are filtered out. Lower values create more precise zones focusing on tight price ranges.
Display Options
Show Volume Delta
Default: true
Description: Toggles the display of volume delta within each zone. Enabling this provides additional insight into buying vs. selling pressure during low volume periods.
Delta Text Position
Default: Right
Options: Left, Center, Right
Description: Controls the horizontal alignment of the delta text within zones. Adjust based on your chart layout for optimal readability.
✅ Best Use Cases
• Identifying potential support and resistance levels that formed during periods of thin liquidity
• Spotting price inefficiencies where larger players may have moved price with minimal volume
• Finding low-volume consolidation areas that may serve as breakout or reversal zones when revisited
• Locating potential stop-hunting zones where price moved on minimal participation
• Complementing traditional support/resistance analysis with volume context
⚠️ Limitations
• Requires volume data to function; will not work on symbols where the data provider doesn’t supply volume information
• Low volume zones don’t guarantee future support/resistance - they simply highlight potential areas of interest
• Works best on liquid instruments where volume data has meaningful fluctuations
• Historical analysis is limited by the maximum allowed box count (500) in TradingView
• Volume delta in some markets may not perfectly reflect buying vs. selling pressure due to data limitations
💡 What Makes This Unique
• Focus on Low Volume: Unlike some indicators that highlight high volume events particularly like our very own TLZ indicator, this tool specifically identifies potentially significant price zones that formed with minimal participation.
• Delta + Low Volume Integration: Combines volume delta analysis with low volume detection to reveal directional bias during thin liquidity periods.
• Flexible Lookback System: The dynamic timeframe system allows analysis across any timeframe while maintaining consistent zone identification criteria.
• Support/Resistance Zone Generation: Automatically builds a visual map of potential technical levels based on volume behavior rather than just price patterns.
🔬 How It Works
1. Volume Baseline Calculation:
The indicator calculates a moving average of volume over your specified period to establish a baseline for normal market participation. This adaptive baseline accounts for natural volume fluctuations across different market conditions.
2. Low Volume Detection:
Each candle’s volume is compared to the moving average and flagged when it falls below your threshold divisor. The indicator also filters zones by maximum size to ensure only precise price levels are highlighted.
3. Volume Delta Integration:
For each identified low volume candle, the indicator retrieves the volume delta from a lower timeframe. This delta value is formatted with appropriate scaling (K/M) and displayed within the zone.
4. Zone Management:
New zones are created and tracked in a dynamic array, with each zone extending rightward until it expires. The system automatically removes expired zones based on your lookback period to maintain a clean chart.
💡 Note:
Low liquidity zones often represent areas where price moved with minimal participation, which can indicate potential market inefficiencies. These zones frequently become important support/resistance levels when revisited, especially if approached with higher volume. Consider using this indicator alongside traditional technical analysis tools for comprehensive market context. For best results, experiment with different volume threshold settings based on the specific instrument’s typical volume patterns.
Demand Supply Zone AlertsDemand Supply Zone Alert Indicator
This indicator functions as a scanner/screener and is designed to identify symbols with potential demand and supply zones and generate alerts based on your customized settings. It does not visually plot anything on the chart but is used to place alerts.
Key Features:
1. Demand Supply Zone Patterns:
- Drop Base Rally
- Rally Base Rally
- Rally Base Drop
- Drop Base Drop
2. Zoning Methods:
- Wick to Wick: In a demand zone, this method uses the highest high of the basing as the proximal line. For supply zones, it uses the lowest low of the basing.
- Body to Wick: In a demand zone, this method uses the highest body of the basing as the proximal line. For supply zones, it uses the lowest body of the basing.
3. Legin Methods:
- Candle Type: Based on the candle's bullish or bearish structure.
- Candle Color: Uses the candle color to determine the legin, with green indicating a rally and red indicating a drop.
4. Additional Zone Options:
- Follow Through Pattern: Zones with one legout followed by another legout, based on user-defined strength settings.
- Overnight Gap Zones: Zones formed due to overnight gaps after the basing.
- All Demand Supply Zone Structures: Includes all zones, even if they are not considered quality zones.
5. Zone Settings:
- Number of Candles in Basing: Customize the number of candles in the basing phase. For example, setting it to 3 will only identify zones with 3 or fewer basing candles.
- Legout Strength for Single Legout Pattern: Defines how strong a legout candle must be to qualify as a zone.
- Legout Strength for Follow-Through Pattern: Specifies the strength required for two consecutive legout candles to qualify as a follow-through pattern.
Functionality:
The indicator identifies zones based on a three-component structure: legin, basing, and legout. It uses an algorithm that categorizes candles as legin, basing, or legout based on their range compared to the average candle on the chart. Quality zones are defined by legout candles that are significantly larger than the average candle, while basing candles are smaller.
Once a valid zone structure is identified, the indicator will generate an alert from the list of symbols provided in the settings. Alerts will notify users according to their alert notification settings.
Usage Recommendations:
- This indicator works as a real-time scanner or screener to shortlist symbols when a valid zone is formed based on user settings.
- It aids in identifying potential demand and supply zones, but does not provide explicit buy or sell signals.
- Users should integrate this tool with their own trading plan and thoroughly evaluate any identified symbols before making trades.
Limitations:
This indicator does not provide explicit buy or sell signals. It is intended to aid in identifying symbols where demand and supply zones are being created. Users should use this tool in conjunction with their own trade plan and thoroughly evaluate any identified symbols before making any trades.
Disclaimer:
Please ensure you thoroughly evaluate and qualify any identified symbols according to your individual trade plan before making any trades.
GKD-C Variety Filters w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C Variety Filters w/ Dynamic Zones is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
What is Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System"?
The Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System is a trading system built on the philosophy of the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) algorithmic trading.
What is the NNFX algorithmic trading strategy?
The NNFX (No-Nonsense Forex) trading system is a comprehensive approach to Forex trading that is designed to simplify the process and remove the confusion and complexity that often surrounds trading. The system was developed by a Forex trader who goes by the pseudonym "VP" and has gained a significant following in the Forex community.
The NNFX trading system is based on a set of rules and guidelines that help traders make objective and informed decisions. These rules cover all aspects of trading, including market analysis, trade entry, stop loss placement, and trade management.
Here are the main components of the NNFX trading system:
1. Trading Philosophy: The NNFX trading system is based on the idea that successful trading requires a comprehensive understanding of the market, objective analysis, and strict risk management. The system aims to remove subjective elements from trading and focuses on objective rules and guidelines.
2. Technical Analysis: The NNFX trading system relies heavily on technical analysis and uses a range of indicators to identify high-probability trading opportunities. The system uses a combination of trend-following and mean-reverting strategies to identify trades.
3. Market Structure: The NNFX trading system emphasizes the importance of understanding the market structure, including price action, support and resistance levels, and market cycles. The system uses a range of tools to identify the market structure, including trend lines, channels, and moving averages.
4. Trade Entry: The NNFX trading system has strict rules for trade entry. The system uses a combination of technical indicators to identify high-probability trades, and traders must meet specific criteria to enter a trade.
5. Stop Loss Placement: The NNFX trading system places a significant emphasis on risk management and requires traders to place a stop loss order on every trade. The system uses a combination of technical analysis and market structure to determine the appropriate stop loss level.
6. Trade Management: The NNFX trading system has specific rules for managing open trades. The system aims to minimize risk and maximize profit by using a combination of trailing stops, take profit levels, and position sizing.
Overall, the NNFX trading system is designed to be a straightforward and easy-to-follow approach to Forex trading that can be applied by traders of all skill levels.
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:
GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Variety Filters w/ Dynamic Zones as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Fisher Transform
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
4. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
█ GKD-C Variety Filters w/ Dynamic Zones
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading levels. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
What is Variety Filters w/ Dynamic Zones?
This indicator first smooths price with one of 65+ moving averages and then injects that output into the Dynamic Zones algorithm to create levels of significances. These levels are used to generate trading signals.
Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-B Baseline
Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Solo Confirmation Super Complex: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Stacked 1: None
Stacked 2+: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 1
Outputs
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation 2 indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Continuation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-BT Backtest
Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-BT Backtest or GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Super Complex: GKD-C Continuation indicator
Stacked 1: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 2+
Stacked 2+: GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-B Stacked 2+ or GKD-BT Backtest
Additional features will be added in future releases.
Trend Following with Dynamic Price ZonesThis script provides a complete framework for following trends , especially on those assets which are sufficiently liquid and don't go through random spikes.
Since it is a trend-following system, it works well during trends only. However, I cannot claim any numbers since the execution requires some discretion at the user's end. This framework can also be combined with other technical tools such as trend lines to increase its efficacy.
Features:
Dynamic Price Zones:
• The Dynamic Price Zones (DPZ) are determined using a proprietary logic that incorporates price movement and certain other factors.
• These zones change more rapidly than conventional support and resistance (S/R) zones, which is why I have named them "Dynamic".
• DPZs can serve as support and resistance zones and help with trend identification to some extent.
• The upper boundary of a zone is called Dynamic Price Zone High (DPZ-H) , while the lower boundary is called Dynamic Price Zone Low (DPZ-L) .
Colour Bars:
• Candle colours are based on another proprietary logic, independent of dynamic price zones .
• These are not traditional moving average-based coloured bars, which is evident from the presence of uncoloured bars in between.
• The uncoloured bars indicate periods of uncertain trends .
• Colour functionality helps in smoothening the trend and assists in riding it for as long as possible.
Stats Table:
• RSI
• VWAP
• % Change from the previous day's closing
• Dynamic Price Zone High (DPZ-H) value
• Dynamic Price Zone Low (DPZ-L) value
Settings:
• DPZs are displayed as horizontal lines with background fill by default, but users can toggle lines and background fill on or off.
• Bar colours can be customized according to user preferences.
• The table can be enabled or disabled based on user input.
• The position of the table can be changed based on 4 available options: Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, and Bottom Right.
• Users can toggle individual table fields on or off . For example: If the user wants to hide "Vwap" and "%Change" values, he can turn them off. In that case, only 3 fields will be displayed on the table without occupying additional space.
• Background and text colours for each field of the table can be customized based on user preferences.
How to Use the Dynamic Price Zones:
• When the price is above a DPZ, it indicates a bullish trend , suggesting the possibility of higher prices. These zones are termed Bullish DPZs.
• Conversely, if the price is below a DPZ, it signals a bearish trend , with an expectation of lower prices. These zones are termed Bearish DPZs.
• In a trending market, when the price returns to a previous DPZ, it can present a trading opportunity in the direction of the prior trend (e.g., if the market is falling and the price returns to a previous DPZ, it is likely to reject it).
• Consecutive ascending DPZs indicate a shift in buyers from lower to higher levels and can provide buying opportunities. This also indicates a period of a strong bullish trend.
• Similarly, consecutive descending DPZs indicate a shift in sellers from higher to lower levels and can provide selling opportunities. This also indicates a period of a strong bearish trend.
• Please note that we must be flexible when determining the consecutive zones. For example: There may be a few smaller bearish DPZs in between the bullish DPZs but if the area is dominated by the bullish DPZs then we can consider the zones as consecutive. Similar is true for bearish consecutive zones.
• Closely stacked or adjacent zones suggest that prices will likely remain within a range, moving sideways.
• Wider zones act as big hurdles and, the price may struggle to cross them. They may also lead to a sideways movement.
• Zones that remain clean and untested for several sessions are likely to act as strong support or resistance when the price revisits them.
Bullish Examples:
Bearish Examples:
Some Examples of the Complete System
Trend follower system combined with Trendlines
Special Thanks
I would like to extend my special thanks to all the experts whose lectures and blogs I have studied to gain a limited yet significant knowledge of the Pine language.
Best regards,
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView.
Diddly - Liquidity ZonesDiddly Liquidity Zones is an indicator to highlight where the liquidity exists in a market place.
What is Liquidity
Liquidity refers to the ability of an asset to be turned into cash. Cash is the more liquid form of any asset, whereas selling a house would take a little longer to liquidate and convert to cash.
Liquidity in financial markets is in essence based on the same principle and refers to how easily an asset can be bought and sold.
Liquidity in simple terms is the volume of participants who are willing to be involved in the market at any given time. Markets are based on auction theory, the more participants who want to buy at a certain price than sell, will dictate that the price goes up. As a result it is important to understand the role that volume has in financial markets, as volume will directly correlate to liquidity and supply and demand.
What does it mean?
Areas of abnormal liquidity and volume can lead to a price range where there is high supply and demand, which in turn can become a zone that forms a support and resistance level in the future. As we all know what happens in the past does not mean it will happen in the future, but what liquidity zones will tell us is that in the past a higher number of people were interested in doing business at those prices, which is critical information when making trading decisions.
Although markets are based on auction theory, sadly we don't have the advantage of a traditional auction, where we are all sitting in a room putting our hands in the air when we are interested in paying x price for a particular item. In this environment it is very clear to see how popular the item for sale is and whether it is possible to pick up a bargain.
Being able to identify liquidity areas on a chart, provides an insight into market sentiment at a given price range. Also we have to consider that typically most retail traders participate in very liquid markets, where you can get in and out of a position with relative ease.
There are obviously exceptions, extremely low float stocks, but on the whole with liquid assets it takes some big orders to move price, especially with currencies and high float stocks. Understanding these principles helps us as retail traders identify where the big money is seeing a bargain, if buying or overpriced if selling.
However you identify liquidity, I hope you agree that it is an extremely important element to be considering before taking a trade. The last thing any trader wants to be doing if they can help it, is selling where the market perceives price to be a bargain and buying when overpriced.
Just as a side note, high and low "Float Stocks" refers to the number of shares in general circulation for buying and selling.
What is Diddly Liquidity Zones
This liquidity zones indicator in simple terms will plot zones on the chart and make an assessment of whether this is predominately buying or selling liquidity. Price will frequently come back to test areas of liquidity before making any further continuation in a specific direction. This is why liquidity zones are often described as areas of support and resistance.
How does it Work
To identify these zones the indicator is looking at a number of pieces of information predominantly based on volume.
Volume
Rate of Change
Relative Strength
From these calculations the algorithm is then looking for the standard deviation away from the normal, to identify exceptions that then become the liquidity zones. These can be classified up to 4 levels, the first being the weakest exception to four being the strongest. By default 3 levels are displayed.
What is the Indicator Showing me?
The Liquidity Zones indicator comprises two basic elements: Bull Zones and Bear Zones.
Zones that are not broken in the past are projected forward and can act as strong support and resistance levels that can also be used for targets or ignoring a trade due to lack of room above or below.
Here on AUDCHF 15 minute chart, during March 2023, it provides an example of the three indicator zone types. Details have been annotated on the chart.
The third type of zone is a “Trap Zone” which can be extremely powerful for identifying potential reversals. A Trap Zone can be either Trapped Buyers or Trapper Sellers. In essence it is a Zone that is identified, but price can never trade above or below in the direction of the zone.
As an example if a bear zone is identified and price fails to trade below the lower edge and bounces immediately out of the top. The trap is set and the indicator changes the zone from the default green (bull) or red (bear) zone to a different colour, which is orange by default.
As price moves higher away from the zone, those in their short positions start to feel the pain. The higher the move away before a retracement the higher the pain. When the retracement finally comes and price returns to the zone, you will often see price bounce off the zone for the move back to retest the highs, following the same principles of support and resistance.
In this example above a resistance level is broken, which has been identified by a volume exception identified by the indicator, when price returns to that area it now becomes support as those traders in short positions look to cover at breakeven.
Here on EURUSD 15 minute chart, during the last week in March 2023, it provides a great example of a "trap zone" setup. Details have been annotated on the chart.
Usage
This indicator will compliment any existing strategy or could be traded as part of a support and resistance trading strategy. One of the great advantages of support and resistance is that levels and zones are identified ahead of time, so trades can be planned and considered well in advance.
There is also the advantage of where to stop out, once a support or resistance level is broken then we no longer want to be in that trade. We have to accept the facts that the market sentiment has changed and no longer sees price here as good value for bull zones or overpriced at bear zones.
You will sometimes see spikes of price through a zone, where the market has grabbed the liquidity in the form of stops on the other-side, which can be extremely frustrating as a trader, but important to understand that it does happen and why it is happening.
You will find liquidity zones on all charts, from the daily to the 1 second chart. The higher the timeframe, the wider the zones are. As a result we would not recommend planning an entry purely on a daily zone, but it is extremely useful information when drilling into the lower time frame charts. So using multiple timeframe analysis is a really useful technique when looking to understand a market.
There are a number of elements to consider before taking entries around support and resistance levels. The most important thing to remember is these levels have to break at some point, otherwise price would never go anywhere. Understanding that these levels can fail is important and is the reason we should always have clearly defined stops and manage risk.
You may also want to consider higher timeframe trend analysis to try and ensure you are trading with the trend. First and second retests work better as these zones will weaken over multiple retests as traders give up on that area, as it no longer is giving the reactions of price that it used to.
The easiest entry method when working with support and resistance levels, is to place limit orders in the market. This is not a recommended approach, although it can be useful for traders who can't sit in front of charts all day. By taking this approach you would want to ensure that you are trading with the predominant trend on a higher timeframe and are in effect using these levels on a lower timeframe as pullback entries. You would also want to ensure that you have a wide enough stop to ensure that any spikes through don't stop out the trade, so using an Average True Range multiplier can be very helpful. The key point is don't oversize and manage risk.
A better approach to identifying entries would be to look at price action on a lower time frame chart, once price has arrived at the level.
A more conservative approach would be to wait for price to close outside the zone in the direction you want to trade on the signal chart and look for an entry on the retest of the top of the zone for buys or the bottom of the zone for the sells, with the stop the other-side of the zone.
For the purpose of examples we will focus on the last two methods, although there are many sources of information on how to trade support and resistance levels, so please don't take the above as the only way to plan or take entries.
Multiple Timeframe Alignment
Here on a stock asset MSFT (Microsoft), we have a zoomed out 15 minute chart. The top left is August 2022 and the bottom right is November 2022, which is quite a sell-off and there were many opportunities to the short side, although many traders would have been looking to see when this stock was at a bargain price.
Here on the 7th November 2022, there were the first signs of a potential change in market sentiment, as the indicator identified a Bull Zone on the 15 minute chart. At this stage the stock has been beaten up for a long time and there is a Bear Zone, above price - so not much distance to get a decent risk reward trade as yet.
Then on the Thursday of the same week, price came back to test the high of this previously created Bull Zone, after being rejected from the Bear Zone above.
So drilling into the 1 minute chart to find good risk : reward entries, price at the opening bell explodes through Bear Zones in the above chart and prints a big 1 minute Bull Zone. This on its own would be hard to trade, is it a fake out? price must surely retrace before a move higher, also there is a trapped buyers zone above price, so there will be a lot of liquidity and sell orders at that level.
Here again on the 1 minute chart, we see the breakout of the orange zone with a new Bull Zone (which is coloured blue, being a 2nd level zone) . Now we just want to see this zone being confirmed by breaking the top and then we would look for entries on the retest.
Price action is now ready for taking a buy entry for a short-term swing trade as illustrated on the next chart.
About a month later the price hit the target, as shown on the 4 hour chart.
The target was set on the 15 min chart, being the next substantial level of a bear zone. Also on the 1 hour chart above, a big green bull zone of liquidity was identified, so there's a fair chance that price will come back to retest liquidity before a greater move away. The trade planner has been removed from this chart, so it is easier to see the printed zones, but the entry was at the 238.00
You will see since January 2023 there have been many opportunities on this stock using the 15 minute chart to find zones to trades and manage risk. The one thing that is clear in this chart is where the market sentiment was on this stock as it made the run-up to current price.
Alerting
Utilising the power of TradingView Alerts enables you to monitor many pairs, when you are away from your charts. You can set up alert for the indicator, by right-clicking on a zone that you see on a chart and choose the first option that appears on the menu "Add Alert to Diddly Zones". You can also perform the same operation from the indicator tile that appears in the top left corner of the chart.
Within setting you can choose to be alerted under the following conditions:
When New Bull Zone has been Identified
When New Bear Zone has been Identified
When Price approaches a Bear Zone from below. Notifying traders that we are approaching a resistance level
When Price approaches a Bull Zone from above. Notifying traders that we are approaching a support level
When Price is Trading inside a Zone at a certain configurable time.
On the last point above: This is useful on a slightly higher timeframe, where large zones exist and you may want to be notified if this asset is trading in a zone at say the London open. You would have already been sent an alert telling you price was arriving at the zone, but that could have been a couple of days ago.
Key Settings
Within the indicator settings there are a number of options that are available to users. From changing the colours and their transparency of different zone types, to the number of exception levels that you want to see on the chart.
The most important ones that are in need of explanation are outline below:
To simplify the settings, the indicator is configured by using a similar analogy to driving style. The reason this is needed is because different assets and asset classes have different levels of liquidity, as a result the indicator requires some basic information to provide the best results. The principle being the faster you drive the more zones you will encounter.
To continue with the analogy, it is important not to drive too fast on a particular asset otherwise all you will see is zones and nowhere for price to go. If this is the case, slow the setting down or go to a higher time frame for a broader perspective.
Settings
"Determine Algo Driving Style" : Available options = "Slow", "Steady", "Sports", "Racing", "Rocket" (Default Setting = Sports)
So this is setting the speed of the indicator
"Turn on Turbo Mode" : True or False (Default Settings = True)
This setting will give the indicator a boost
"What type of asset is the Algo looking at" : Available Options = "Small Caps", "Large Caps", "Futures", "Currencies" (Default Setting = Currencies)
The only difference in these settings currently is a magnification element that is applied to the calculations, which is particularly relevant for highly liquid assets like currencies, futures and large cap stock. The only option that by default does not use the magnification element is Small Cap low float stocks, where liquidity is lower this setting is not required. This magnification can be change later in the settings under "Zone Identification Calculation Models"
Finally
We greatly appreciate the support and feedback from the Trading View community, and we are dedicated to continuing to improve our indicators with your support.
We want to help you manage risk, and that's why we emphasise that trading is risky and any technology used to support our trading decisions is based on information from the past. We encourage traders to take responsibility for their trading businesses and always prioritise risk management.
R-sqrd Adapt. Fisher Transform w/ D. Zones & Divs. [Loxx]The full name of this indicator is R-Squared Adaptive Fisher Transform w/ Dynamic Zones and Divergences. This is an R-squared adaptive Fisher transform with adjustable dynamic zones, signals, alerts, and divergences.
What is Fisher Transform?
The Fisher Transform is a technical indicator created by John F. Ehlers that converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
The indicator highlights when prices have moved to an extreme, based on recent prices. This may help in spotting turning points in the price of an asset. It also helps show the trend and isolate the price waves within a trend.
What is R-squared Adaptive?
One tool available in forecasting the trendiness of the breakout is the coefficient of determination ( R-squared ), a statistical measurement.
The R-squared indicates linear strength between the security's price (the Y - axis) and time (the X - axis). The R-squared is the percentage of squared error that the linear regression can eliminate if it were used as the predictor instead of the mean value. If the R-squared were 0.99, then the linear regression would eliminate 99% of the error for prediction versus predicting closing prices using a simple moving average .
R-squared is used here to derive an r-squared value that is then modified by a user input "factor"
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
4 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones BT [Loxx]STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones BT is the backtest strategy for "STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones " seen below:
Included:
This backtest uses a special implementation of ATR and ATR smoothing called "True Range Double" which is a range calculation that accounts for volatility skew.
You can set the backtest to 1-2 take profits with stop-loss
Signals can't exit on the same candle as the entry, this is coded in a way for 1-candle delay post entry
This should be coupled with the INDICATOR version linked above for the alerts and signals. Strategies won't paint the signal "L" or "S" until the entry actually happens, but indicators allow this, which is repainting on current candle, but this is an FYI if you want to get serious with Pinescript algorithmic botting
You can restrict the backtest by dates
It is advised that you understand what Heikin-Ashi candles do to strategies, the default settings for this backtest is NON Heikin-Ashi candles but you have the ability to change that in the source selection
This is a mathematically heavy, heavy-lifting strategy with multi-layered adaptivity. Make sure you do your own research so you understand what is happening here. This can be used as its own trading system without any other oscillators, moving average baselines, or volatility/momentum confirmation indicators.
What is the T3 moving average?
Better Moving Averages Tim Tillson
November 1, 1998
Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
Introduction
"Digital filtering includes the process of smoothing, predicting, differentiating, integrating, separation of signals, and removal of noise from a signal. Thus many people who do such things are actually using digital filters without realizing that they are; being unacquainted with the theory, they neither understand what they have done nor the possibilities of what they might have done."
This quote from R. W. Hamming applies to the vast majority of indicators in technical analysis . Moving averages, be they simple, weighted, or exponential, are lowpass filters; low frequency components in the signal pass through with little attenuation, while high frequencies are severely reduced.
"Oscillator" type indicators (such as MACD , Momentum, Relative Strength Index ) are another type of digital filter called a differentiator.
Tushar Chande has observed that many popular oscillators are highly correlated, which is sensible because they are trying to measure the rate of change of the underlying time series, i.e., are trying to be the first and second derivatives we all learned about in Calculus.
We use moving averages (lowpass filters) in technical analysis to remove the random noise from a time series, to discern the underlying trend or to determine prices at which we will take action. A perfect moving average would have two attributes:
It would be smooth, not sensitive to random noise in the underlying time series. Another way of saying this is that its derivative would not spuriously alternate between positive and negative values.
It would not lag behind the time series it is computed from. Lag, of course, produces late buy or sell signals that kill profits.
The only way one can compute a perfect moving average is to have knowledge of the future, and if we had that, we would buy one lottery ticket a week rather than trade!
Having said this, we can still improve on the conventional simple, weighted, or exponential moving averages. Here's how:
Two Interesting Moving Averages
We will examine two benchmark moving averages based on Linear Regression analysis.
In both cases, a Linear Regression line of length n is fitted to price data.
I call the first moving average ILRS, which stands for Integral of Linear Regression Slope. One simply integrates the slope of a linear regression line as it is successively fitted in a moving window of length n across the data, with the constant of integration being a simple moving average of the first n points. Put another way, the derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. Note that ILRS is not the same as a SMA ( simple moving average ) of length n, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
We can measure the lag of moving averages with respect to a linear trend by computing how they behave when the input is a line with unit slope. Both SMA (n) and ILRS(n) have lag of n/2, but ILRS is much smoother than SMA .
Our second benchmark moving average is well known, called EPMA or End Point Moving Average. It is the endpoint of the linear regression line of length n as it is fitted across the data. EPMA hugs the data more closely than a simple or exponential moving average of the same length. The price we pay for this is that it is much noisier (less smooth) than ILRS, and it also has the annoying property that it overshoots the data when linear trends are present.
However, EPMA has a lag of 0 with respect to linear input! This makes sense because a linear regression line will fit linear input perfectly, and the endpoint of the LR line will be on the input line.
These two moving averages frame the tradeoffs that we are facing. On one extreme we have ILRS, which is very smooth and has considerable phase lag. EPMA has 0 phase lag, but is too noisy and overshoots. We would like to construct a better moving average which is as smooth as ILRS, but runs closer to where EPMA lies, without the overshoot.
A easy way to attempt this is to split the difference, i.e. use (ILRS(n)+EPMA(n))/2. This will give us a moving average (call it IE /2) which runs in between the two, has phase lag of n/4 but still inherits considerable noise from EPMA. IE /2 is inspirational, however. Can we build something that is comparable, but smoother? Figure 1 shows ILRS, EPMA, and IE /2.
Filter Techniques
Any thoughtful student of filter theory (or resolute experimenter) will have noticed that you can improve the smoothness of a filter by running it through itself multiple times, at the cost of increasing phase lag.
There is a complementary technique (called twicing by J.W. Tukey) which can be used to improve phase lag. If L stands for the operation of running data through a low pass filter, then twicing can be described by:
L' = L(time series) + L(time series - L(time series))
That is, we add a moving average of the difference between the input and the moving average to the moving average. This is algebraically equivalent to:
2L-L(L)
This is the Double Exponential Moving Average or DEMA , popularized by Patrick Mulloy in TASAC (January/February 1994).
In our taxonomy, DEMA has some phase lag (although it exponentially approaches 0) and is somewhat noisy, comparable to IE /2 indicator.
We will use these two techniques to construct our better moving average, after we explore the first one a little more closely.
Fixing Overshoot
An n-day EMA has smoothing constant alpha=2/(n+1) and a lag of (n-1)/2.
Thus EMA (3) has lag 1, and EMA (11) has lag 5. Figure 2 shows that, if I am willing to incur 5 days of lag, I get a smoother moving average if I run EMA (3) through itself 5 times than if I just take EMA (11) once.
This suggests that if EPMA and DEMA have 0 or low lag, why not run fast versions (eg DEMA (3)) through themselves many times to achieve a smooth result? The problem is that multiple runs though these filters increase their tendency to overshoot the data, giving an unusable result. This is because the amplitude response of DEMA and EPMA is greater than 1 at certain frequencies, giving a gain of much greater than 1 at these frequencies when run though themselves multiple times. Figure 3 shows DEMA (7) and EPMA(7) run through themselves 3 times. DEMA^3 has serious overshoot, and EPMA^3 is terrible.
The solution to the overshoot problem is to recall what we are doing with twicing:
DEMA (n) = EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))
The second term is adding, in effect, a smooth version of the derivative to the EMA to achieve DEMA . The derivative term determines how hot the moving average's response to linear trends will be. We need to simply turn down the volume to achieve our basic building block:
EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))*.7;
This is algebraically the same as:
EMA (n)*1.7-EMA( EMA (n))*.7;
I have chosen .7 as my volume factor, but the general formula (which I call "Generalized Dema") is:
GD (n,v) = EMA (n)*(1+v)-EMA( EMA (n))*v,
Where v ranges between 0 and 1. When v=0, GD is just an EMA , and when v=1, GD is DEMA . In between, GD is a cooler DEMA . By using a value for v less than 1 (I like .7), we cure the multiple DEMA overshoot problem, at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay. Now we can run GD through itself multiple times to define a new, smoother moving average T3 that does not overshoot the data:
T3(n) = GD ( GD ( GD (n)))
In filter theory parlance, T3 is a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter. Kalman filters are ones which use the error (in this case (time series - EMA (n)) to correct themselves. In Technical Analysis , these are called Adaptive Moving Averages; they track the time series more aggressively when it is making large moves.
What is R-squared Adaptive?
One tool available in forecasting the trendiness of the breakout is the coefficient of determination ( R-squared ), a statistical measurement.
The R-squared indicates linear strength between the security's price (the Y - axis) and time (the X - axis). The R-squared is the percentage of squared error that the linear regression can eliminate if it were used as the predictor instead of the mean value. If the R-squared were 0.99, then the linear regression would eliminate 99% of the error for prediction versus predicting closing prices using a simple moving average .
R-squared is used here to derive a T3 factor used to modify price before passing price through a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Dynamic Zones of On Chart Stochastic [Loxx]Dynamic Zones of On Chart Stochastic is a Stochastic indicator that sits on top of the chart instead of below as an oscillator. Dynamic zone levels are included to find breakouts/breakdowns and reversals.
What is the Stochastic Oscillator?
A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator comparing a particular closing price of a security to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The sensitivity of the oscillator to market movements is reducible by adjusting that time period or by taking a moving average of the result. It is used to generate overbought and oversold trading signals, utilizing a 0–100 bounded range of values.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
4 types of signal smoothing
Fisher Transform w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]What is Fisher Transform?
The Fisher Transform is a technical indicator created by John F. Ehlers that converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
The indicator highlights when prices have moved to an extreme, based on recent prices. This may help in spotting turning points in the price of an asset. It also helps show the trend and isolate the price waves within a trend.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
3 signal types
Bar coloring
Alerts
Channels fill
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Variety Moving Averages w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]Variety Moving Averages w/ Dynamic Zones contains 33 source types and 35+ moving averages with double dynamic zones levels.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
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Dynamic Zones Polychromatic Momentum Candles [Loxx]Dynamic Zones Polychromatic Momentum Candles is a candle coloring, momentum indicator that uses Jurik Filtering and Dynamic Zones to calculate the monochromatic color between two colors.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
