Pro Bollinger Bands CalculatorThe "Pro Bollinger Bands Calculator" indicator joins our suite of custom trading tools, which includes the "Pro Supertrend Calculator", the "Pro RSI Calculator" and the "Pro Momentum Calculator."
Expanding on this series, the "Pro Bollinger Bands Calculator" is tailored to offer traders deeper insights into market dynamics by harnessing the power of the Bollinger Bands indicator.
Its core mission remains unchanged: to scrutinize historical price data and provide informed predictions about future price movements, with a specific focus on detecting potential bullish (green) or bearish (red) candlestick patterns.
1. Bollinger Bands Calculation:
The indicator kicks off by computing the Bollinger Bands, a well-known volatility indicator. It calculates two pivotal Bollinger Bands parameters:
- Bollinger Bands Length: This parameter sets the lookback period for Bollinger Bands calculations.
- Bollinger Bands Deviation: It determines the deviation multiplier for the upper and lower bands, typically set at 2.0.
2. Visualizing Bollinger Bands:
The Bollinger Bands derived from the calculations are skillfully plotted on the price chart:
- Red Line: Represents the upper Bollinger Band during bearish trends, suggesting potential price declines.
- Teal Line: Represents the lower Bollinger Band in bullish market conditions, signaling the possibility of price increases.
3.Analyzing Consecutive Candlesticks:
The indicator's core functionality revolves around tracking consecutive candlestick patterns based on their relationship with the Bollinger Bands lines. To be considered for analysis, a candlestick must consistently close either above (green candles) or below (red candles) the Bollinger Bands lines for multiple consecutive periods.
4. Labeling and Enumeration:
To convey the count of consecutive candles displaying consistent trend behavior, the indicator meticulously assigns labels to the price chart. The position of these labels varies depending on the direction of the trend, appearing either below (for bullish patterns) or above (for bearish patterns) the candlesticks. The label colors match the candle colors: green labels for bullish candles and red labels for bearish ones.
5. Tabular Data Presentation:
The indicator complements its graphical analysis with a customizable table that prominently displays comprehensive statistical insights. Key data points within the table encompass:
- Consecutive Candles: The count of consecutive candles displaying consistent trend characteristics.
- Candles Above Upper BB: The number of candles closing above the upper Bollinger Band during the consecutive period.
- Candles Below Lower BB: The number of candles closing below the lower Bollinger Band during the consecutive period.
- Upcoming Green Candle: An estimated probability of the next candlestick being bullish, derived from historical data.
- Upcoming Red Candle: An estimated probability of the next candlestick being bearish, also based on historical data.
6. Custom Configuration:
To cater to diverse trading strategies and preferences, the indicator offers extensive customization options. Traders can fine-tune parameters such as Bollinger Bands length, upper and lower band deviations, label and table placement, and table size to align with their unique trading approaches.
Forecasting
Pro RSI CalculatorThe "Pro RSI Calculator" indicator is the latest addition to a series of custom trading tools that includes the "Pro Supertrend Calculator" and the "Pro Momentum Calculator."
Building upon this series, the "Pro RSI Calculator" is designed to provide traders with further insights into market trends by leveraging the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator.
Its primary objective remains consistent: to analyze historical price data and make informed predictions about future price movements, with a specific focus on identifying potential bullish (green) or bearish (red) candlestick patterns.
1. RSI Calculation:
The indicator begins by computing the RSI, a widely used momentum oscillator. It calculates two crucial RSI parameters:
RSI Length: This parameter determines the lookback period for RSI calculations.
RSI Upper and Lower Bands: These thresholds define overbought and oversold conditions, typically set at 70 and 30, respectively.
2. RSI Bands Visualization:
The RSI values obtained from the calculation are skillfully plotted on the price chart, appearing as two distinct lines:
Red Line: Represents the RSI when indicating a bearish trend, anticipating potential price declines.
Teal Line: Represents the RSI in bullish market conditions, signaling the possibility of price increases.
3. Consecutive Candlestick Analysis:
The indicator's core functionality revolves around tracking consecutive candlestick patterns based on their relationship with the RSI lines.
To be included in the analysis, a candlestick must consistently close either above (green candles) or below (red candles) the RSI lines for multiple consecutive periods.
4. Labeling and Enumeration:
To communicate the count of consecutive candles displaying consistent trend behavior, the indicator meticulously assigns labels to the price chart.
Label positioning varies depending on the trend's direction, appearing either below (for bullish patterns) or above (for bearish patterns) the candlesticks.
The color scheme aligns with the candle colors: green labels for bullish candles and red labels for bearish ones.
5. Tabular Data Presentation:
The indicator enhances its graphical analysis with a customizable table that prominently displays comprehensive statistical insights.
Key data points in the table include:
- Consecutive Candles: The count of consecutive candles displaying consistent trend characteristics.
- Candles Above Upper RSI: The number of candles closing above the upper RSI threshold during the consecutive period.
- Candles Below Lower RSI: The number of candles closing below the lower RSI threshold during the consecutive period.
- Upcoming Green Candle: An estimated probability of the next candlestick being bullish, derived from historical data.
- Upcoming Red Candle: An estimated probability of the next candlestick being bearish, also based on historical data.
6. Custom Configuration:
To cater to various trading strategies and preferences, the indicator offers extensive customization options.
Traders can fine-tune parameters like RSI length, upper, and lower bands, label and table placement, and table size to align with their unique trading approaches.
The Next Pivot [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script "The Next Pivot" uses various similarity measures to compare historical price sequences to the current price sequence!
Features
Find the most similar price sequence up to 100 bars from the current bar
Forecast price path up to 250 bars
Forecast ZigZag up to 250 bars
Spearmen
Pearson
Absolute Difference
Cosine Similarity
Mean Squared Error
Kendall
Forecasted linear regression channel
The image above shows/explains some of the indicator's capabilities!
The image above highlights the projected zig zag (pivots) pattern!
Colors are customizable (:
Additionally, you can plot a forecasted LinReg channel.
Should load times permit it, the script can search all bar history for a correlating sequence. This won't always be possible, contingent on the forecast length, correlation length, and the number of bars on the chart.
Reasonable Assessment
The script uses various similarity measures to find the "most similar" price sequence to what's currently happening. Once found, the subsequent price move (to the most similar sequence) is recorded and projected forward.
So,
1: Script finds most similar price sequence
2: Script takes what happened after and projects forward
While this may be useful, the projection is simply the reaction to a possible one-off "similarity" to what's currently happening. Random fluctuations are likely and, if occurring, similarities between the current price sequence and the "most similar" sequence are plausibly coincidental.
That said, if you have any ideas on cool features to add please let me know!
Thank you (:
Machine Learning: Trend Pulse⚠️❗ Important Limitations: Due to the way this script is designed, it operates specifically under certain conditions:
Stocks & Forex : Only compatible with timeframes of 8 hours and above ⏰
Crypto : Only works with timeframes starting from 4 hours and higher ⏰
❗Please note that the script will not work on lower timeframes.❗
Feature Extraction : It begins by identifying a window of past price changes. Think of this as capturing the "mood" of the market over a certain period.
Distance Calculation : For each historical data point, it computes a distance to the current window. This distance measures how similar past and present market conditions are. The smaller the distance, the more similar they are.
Neighbor Selection : From these, it selects 'k' closest neighbors. The variable 'k' is a user-defined parameter indicating how many of the closest historical points to consider.
Price Estimation : It then takes the average price of these 'k' neighbors to generate a forecast for the next stock price.
Z-Score Scaling: Lastly, this forecast is normalized using the Z-score to make it more robust and comparable over time.
Inputs:
histCap (Historical Cap) : histCap limits the number of past bars the script will consider. Think of it as setting the "memory" of model—how far back in time it should look.
sampleSpeed (Sampling Rate) : sampleSpeed is like a time-saving shortcut, allowing the script to skip bars and only sample data points at certain intervals. This makes the process faster but could potentially miss some nuances in the data.
winSpan (Window Size) : This is the size of the "snapshot" of market data the script will look at each time. The window size sets how many bars the algorithm will include when it's measuring how "similar" the current market conditions are to past conditions.
All these variables help to simplify and streamline the k-NN model, making it workable within limitations. You could see them as tuning knobs, letting you balance between computational efficiency and predictive accuracy.
Price Variation and Projection IndicatorThis indicator calculates and visualizes various aspects of price variation and projection based on certain parameters such as rate of change, time interval, constant value, and more. It helps traders understand potential price movements and provides insights into potential support and resistance levels.
The indicator displays the following information:
Resistance and support levels based on the highest and lowest prices over a specified period.
∆P (Price Variation) calculated between two high oscillations.
∆t (Time Variation) calculated between two high oscillations.
Price variation rate.
Price projections based on rate of change and the most occurred variation.
Additionally, parallel lines are drawn to illustrate projected price ranges, and the most frequent ∆P value is shown for reference.
in short the indicator does it projects possible support and resistance for you to add a mark for example you see that it gave a projection you mark it on the chart with horizontal line or horizontal ray you can configure it by Period or by ∆t calculation limit au increase the period it will increase the projection of all targets interesting periods to use 20 50 80 120 200 since the ∆t calculation limit au decrease increases the projection in the Price projection that is showing the information in blue color when increasing it decreases the projection target ∆t calculation interesting limit to use 3 4 6 7 8 9
it works for all timeframes can be used for Swing trade or day trade
use I like to use it with a closed market that helps me to trace possible support and resistance can be used with open market as well
Choose your preferred language to display the information
Please note that this indicator is designed for educational and informational purposes. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before making trading decisions.
Advanced Optimized VSA - 15 MinThis script is written in Pine Script and is designed to be run on the TradingView trading platform. It is an advanced technical analysis indicator that utilizes various methods and indicators to generate trading signals based on a Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) approach.
Here's a detailed breakdown of its functionalities:
### Customizable Parameters:
1. `scoreLabel` and `TDLabel`: Customizable labels for score and trend direction.
2. `labelColorScore` and `labelColorTD`: Colors for the score and trend direction labels.
### Base Indicators and Variables:
1. `spread`: Calculates the difference between the high and low of a candle.
2. `emaVolume`: Exponential moving average of volume over a 21-period range.
3. `rsi14`: Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-period range.
4. `sma200` and `ema50`: Simple moving average over a 200-period range and exponential moving average over a 50-period range, respectively.
5. `volatility`: Calculates the 14-period Average True Range (ATR) to determine volatility.
6. `trendDirection`: Establishes the trend direction based on the SMA200.
### Risk Management:
1. `atrValue`: Calculates the value of the ATR.
2. `stopLoss` and `takeProfit`: Calculates the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the ATR.
### MACD:
Computes the MACD line, signal line, and histogram.
### Volume Analysis:
1. `weightedVol`: Weighted volume.
2. `forceFactor`: Measures the strength of price movement in relation to volume.
### Support and Resistance:
1. `support` and `resistance`: Calculates support and resistance levels based on the most recent 50 periods.
### Liquidity Check:
1. `isLiquid`: Checks if an asset is sufficiently liquid.
### Score Calculation:
Evaluates various factors such as price position relative to support/resistance levels, RSI, MACD, strength of movement, and volatility to generate a score.
### Criteria for Final Signals:
1. `isBullSpread` and `isBearSpread`: Generates a bullish or bearish signal based on various factors, including the score, trend direction, and liquidity.
### Notifications:
Generates alert conditions for bullish and bearish signals.
### Graphical Elements:
Displays various indicators and signals on the chart, including stop-loss, take-profit, SMA200, EMA50, and support and resistance lines.
### Debugging Labels:
Shows labels on the chart for score and trend direction.
The goal is to provide a comprehensive picture of the current asset, taking into consideration various factors and generating potentially profitable trading signals.
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Questo script è scritto in Pine Script e progettato per essere eseguito sulla piattaforma di trading TradingView. È un indicatore di analisi tecnica avanzata che utilizza diversi metodi e indicatori per generare segnali di trading basati su un approccio Volume Spread Analysis (VSA).
Ecco un riepilogo dettagliato delle funzionalità:
### Parametri personalizzabili:
1. `scoreLabel` e `TDLabel`: Etichette personalizzabili per i punteggi e la direzione del trend.
2. `labelColorScore` e `labelColorTD`: Colori delle etichette per punteggio e direzione del trend.
### Indicatori e variabili base:
1. `spread`: Calcola la differenza tra il massimo e il minimo di una candela.
2. `emaVolume`: Media mobile esponenziale del volume con un periodo di 21.
3. `rsi14`: RSI (Relative Strength Index) con un periodo di 14.
4. `sma200` e `ema50`: Media mobile semplice con un periodo di 200 e media mobile esponenziale con un periodo di 50, rispettivamente.
5. `volatility`: Calcola l'Average True Range (ATR) con un periodo di 14 per determinare la volatilità.
6. `trendDirection`: Stabilisce la direzione del trend basata sulla SMA200.
### Gestione del rischio:
1. `atrValue`: Calcola il valore dell'ATR.
2. `stopLoss` e `takeProfit`: Calcola i livelli di stop-loss e take-profit basati sull'ATR.
### MACD:
Calcola le linee MACD, segnale e l'istogramma.
### Analisi del volume:
1. `weightedVol`: Volume ponderato.
2. `forceFactor`: Misura la forza del movimento del prezzo in relazione al volume.
### Supporto e resistenza:
1. `support` e `resistance`: Calcola i livelli di supporto e resistenza basati sui 50 periodi più recenti.
### Verifica della liquidità:
1. `isLiquid`: Verifica se un asset è sufficientemente liquido.
### Calcolo del punteggio:
Valuta diversi fattori come la posizione del prezzo rispetto ai livelli di supporto/resistenza, RSI, MACD, forza del movimento e volatilità per generare un punteggio.
### Criteri per i segnali finali:
1. `isBullSpread` e `isBearSpread`: Genera un segnale rialzista o ribassista basato su vari fattori, incluso il punteggio, la direzione del trend e la liquidità.
### Notifiche:
Genera condizioni di allarme per segnali rialzisti e ribassisti.
### Elementi grafici:
Visualizza diversi indicatori e segnali sul grafico, inclusi stop-loss, take-profit, SMA200, EMA50, e linee di supporto e resistenza.
### Etichette di debug:
Mostra etichette sul grafico per il punteggio e la direzione del trend.
L'obiettivo è fornire un quadro completo dell'asset corrente, prendendo in considerazione diversi fattori e generando segnali di trading potenzialmente profittevoli.
ICT Daily BiasThis indicator is based on ICT's teaching - Daily Bias. Indicator tries to predict which direction (bias) the price will move in the near future and it can tell you in which direction should you take trades on the lower timeframe (buy or sell). It works on every timeframe but best to use on 1D timeframe. It can also show historical Daily Biases. Daily Bias can be BUY, SELL or NEUTRAL. If there is NEUTRAL Daily Bias then you should not take any trade because following price direction is not clear until the Daily Bias changes to BUY or SELL.
Current Daily Bias is shown in the right bottom corner.
Daily Bias can be calculated by 2 types: Previous H/L or Previous Swing H/L.
Previous H/L:
This calculation is based on previous H/L. If actual candle reaches previous high (red line by default) or low (green line by default) with wick then price should reverse into opposite direction. If actual candle closes with body above previous high (green line by default) or below previous low (red line by default) then price should continue in current direction. There are also colorful arrows showing the following daily bias based on previous candle.
Previous Swing H/L:
This calculation is based on previous untested swing H/L. If actual candle reaches previous untested swing high (red line by default) or low (green line by default) with wick then price should reverse into opposite direction. If actual candle closes with body above previous untested swing high (green line by default) or below previous untested swing low (red line by default) then price should continue in current direction. Lookleft and lookright period (default: 3) for swing H/L can be set in indicator settings. This period tells you how many candles left and right from the swing H/L need to be higher (swing low) or lower (swing high). Previous tested swing H/L are labeled by colorful (yellow by default) diamonds. There are also colorful arrows showing the following daily bias based on previous tested swing H/L.
All settings of this indicator should be self-explanatory and some of them have tooltips for better understanding.
Forecast by ScanYourStratOverview :
This indicator scans historical price data and focus on 3 main characteristics:
1. Momentum of the move
2. Volume changes
3. Proprietary candle scoring system (a scoring based on the candles open and close, wicks and color of the candle)
After it analyzes the above 3 characteristics, it will find the pattern most closely to each one and will make an average Forecast which is the result you see on the chart. They can be all 3 in the same area or across historical data. The length of the price range that you want to analyze is user dependent, based on the Bar calculation length (see below on settings), and then will take the price movements that followed each of the 3 characteristics and It will project it into the future to provide potential price actions as an average forecast. As we all know, certain patterns and sequences, do repeat in the market. From these patterns we can try to forecast what will be the response based on previous data. The closer the past values to the historical data, the more likely the price will continue to move according to the same rules.
How it works :
Once you have set the Bar calculation length and the Forecast length, it will find the closest pattern that fulfills all 3 characteristics as above (either together or separate). Meaning, if you want to look at the last 10 candle bars on the current timeframe, the algorithm will find the pattern that resembles closest in momentum, volume, and candles scores to bring the forecast based on the movement that happened after those 10 candles (average of all 3). For the length of the forecast, you can choose how far into the future you want to look for.
Calculations :
The indicator works by scanning historical price data for the 3 characteristics above, and then forecast based on previous patterns. It uses mainly Pearson correlation calculation, but also, we have included Spearmen and cosine similarity equations to calculate different ways depending on the style of the trader. Essentially, the indicator takes the historical price moves that followed the pattern to forecast what might happen next. It will be an average of all 3 characteristics.
Potential Pitfalls :
This comes with certain problems, choose a pattern to small and you will have too many variables, choose a pattern too long and could limit the results that may not be statistically significant. Each person is encouraged to test depending on the timeframe that you trade. As you change the number of candles and calculations, it will change the forecast path.
How to use :
Each new candle will give you a forecast that may be new or consistent with previous candles. You cannot rely solely on this indicator as no indicator is 100%. Best strategy to work, is to already have some type of zone for demand or supply, or expansion zones or liquidity zones and use this indicator in conjunction to it. This indicator has been tested mainly on the 1 hour but will work on any timeframe. Best settings so far are with Pearson calculation and a length of 12 bars. The forecast line should not be used as an exact replica but more as a trend whether going up or down. The targets although sometimes close, the trader is not encouraged to use the line targets as their entry or stops but more using the above zones to help for those. In addition, the trader can use the option to average the last few candles forecast to see if the movement is consistent as well.
Settings :
- Bar calculation length : will be the X number of candles that the script will look in historical data that resembles the most. (Example chose 3 candles or 10, or 20)
- Forecast length : how many X number of candles that the script will look forward (forecast).
- Average forecast color : you can change the color of the forecast line.
- Multi bar forecast : is a way to bring the previous forecast lines from past candles to see if there is a pattern without having to use the bar replay, the more you candles you choose, the more lines will be available but at the same time making it harder to see.
- Average all on end bar : if you want to average all the forecast lines into one. You can choose the amount of candles that you want to average based on the multi bar forecast.
Disclaimer :
This is still an indicator that is being tested and in no way should be used alone. Currently will be in closed beta to find bugs and to work on accuracy.
The information contained in this script does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts are only for educational purposes!
Crypto/DXY ScoringHi!
This indicator "Crypto/DXY Scoring", a multi-purpose script, consists of various comparison statistics (including an alternative RS/RSMOM model) to show the strength of a currency against the DXY.
Features
"Contrived" RS/RSMOM alternative model
Compare the strength of the crypto currency on your chart to any asset (DXY default)
Glass's ∆
Z-comparison
Hedges' g
Cliff's Delta
Z-score for log returns
RRG graph (with adjusted dimensions) Traditional RRG graph coming soon (:
Let's go over some simplified interpretations of what's shown on the chart!
The image above provides generalized interpretations for the three of the data series plotted by the indicator.
The image above further explains the other plots for the indicator!
The image above shows the final result!
Underlying Theory
"When the dollar is strong as indicated by the DXY, it usually means that investors are seeking safety in traditional assets. Bitcoin (crypto) is often considered a "risk-on" asset, meaning investors might sell BTC in favor of holding dollars, thus driving BTC prices down."
Given the complexities associated with this relationship, including its contentious implications and a variable correlation between crypto and the DXY, this theory is one within a plethora.
That said, regardless of accuracy, this indicator adheres to the theory outlined above (:
The image above shows the purpose of the red/lime columns and the corresponding red/green lines.
Should the crypto on your chart and the DXY (or comparison symbol) exhibit negative correlation, and should the performance of DXY (or comparison symbol) hold any predictive utility for the subsequent performance of the crypto on your chart, the red columns violating the red line might indicate an upcoming "dump" for the crypto on your chart.
Lime green columns violating the green line may indicator an inverse response.
Alternative Relative Rotation Graph
In its current state, the alternated dimensions for the Relative Rotation Graph cause it to function more as a "Relative Performance Graph".
Fear not; a traditional RRG graph is coming soon!
The image above shows our alternative RRG!
Interpretation
With this model, you can quickly/intuitively assess the relative performance of the display cryptos against an index of their performance.
The image above shows generalized interpretations of the model!
That's it for this indicator! Thank you for checking it out; more to come (:
Intraday Volatility BarsThis script produce a volatility histrogram by bar with the current volatility overlayed.
The histogram shows cumulative average volatility over n days.
And the dots are todays cumulative volatility.
In other words, it calculates the True Range of each bar and adds it to todays value.
This script is build for intraday timeframes between one and 1440 minutes only.
I use this to show me when volatility is above/below/equal to the average volatility.
When the dots are above the histogram then it is a more volatile day, and vice versa.
Recognizing a more volatile day as early as possible can be an advantage for daytrader.
Days that start with higher volatility seems to continue to increase relative to the past few days. Or when midday volatility rises it seems to continue as well.
Happy Trading!
Volatility Price RangeThe Volatility Price Range is an overlay which estimates a price range for the next seven days and next day, based on historical volatility (already available in TradingView). The upper and lower bands are calculated as follows:
The Volatility for one week is calculated using the formula: WV = HV * √t where:
WV: one-week volatility
HV: annual volatility
√: square root
t: the time factor expressed in years
From this formula we can deduce the weekly volatility WV = HV * √(1 / 52) = HV / 7.2 where 52: weeks in a year.
The daily volatility DV = HV * √(1 / 365) = HV / 19.1 where 365: days in a year.
To calculate the lower and upper value of the bands, the weekly/daily volatility value obtained will be subtracted/added from/to the current price.
Liquidity Heatmap [BigBeluga]The Liquidity Heatmap is an indicator designed to spot possible resting liquidity or potential stop loss using volume or Open interest.
The Open interest is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts for an asset—such as options or futures—that have not been settled. Open interest keeps track of every open position in a particular contract rather than tracking the total volume traded.
The Volume is the total quantity of shares or contracts traded for the current timeframe.
🔶 HOW IT WORKS
Based on the user choice between Volume or OI, the idea is the same for both.
On each candle, we add the data (volume or OI) below or above (long or short) that should be the hypothetical liquidation levels; More color of the liquidity level = more reaction when the price goes through it.
Gradient color is calculated between an average of 2 points that the user can select. For example: 500, and the script will take the average of the highest data between 500 and 250 (half of the user's choice), and the gradient will be based on that.
If we take volume as an example, a big volume spike will mean a lot of long or short activity in that candle. A liquidity level will be displayed below/above the set leverage (4.5 = 20x leverage as an example) so when the price revisits that zone, all the 20x leverage should be liquidated.
Huge volume = a lot of activity
Huge OI = a lot of positions opened
More volume / OI will result in a stronger color that will generate a stronger reaction.
🔶 ROUTE
Here's an example of a route for long liquidity:
Enable the filter = consider only green candles.
Set the leverage to 4.5 (20x).
Choose Data = Volume.
Process:
A green candle is formed.
A liquidity level is established.
The level is placed below to simulate the 20x leverage.
Color is applied, considering the average volume within the chosen area.
Route completed.
🔶 FEATURE
Possibility to change the color of both long and short liquidity
Manual opacity value
Manual opacity average
Leverage
Autopilot - set a good average automatically of the opacity value
Enable both long or short liquidity visualization
Filtering - grab only red/green candle of the corresponding side or grab every candle
Data - nzVolume - Volume - nzOI - OI
🔶 TIPS
Since the limit of the line is 500, it's best to plot 2 scripts: one with only long and another with only short.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The liquidity levels are an interesting way to think about possible levels, and those are not real levels.
ROC Based Buy/Sell SignalsIndicator Explanation:
The "Consolidation Identifier (ROC) with Buy/Sell Signals" indicator is designed to help traders identify potential consolidation zones in the market using the Rate of Change (ROC) indicator. It plots both the positive and negative ROC values, providing insights into price momentum changes. The indicator also includes buy and sell signals that are generated when the positive ROC crosses above the negative ROC (buy signal) or when the negative ROC crosses above the positive ROC (sell signal).
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the ROC of the closing price over a specified period. ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period. Positive ROC values indicate price increases, while negative ROC values indicate price decreases.
The positive and negative ROC values are plotted on the chart using different colors. The key feature of this indicator is the buy and sell signals that occur when the positive ROC crosses above the negative ROC (buy signal) or when the negative ROC crosses above the positive ROC (sell signal). These signals can help traders identify potential shifts in momentum and potential consolidation zones.
Why It's Useful:
Consolidation Detection: The indicator helps identify periods of potential consolidation in the market. Consolidation zones often precede significant price movements, making them valuable for traders looking to anticipate trends.
Momentum Shifts: The ROC crossovers provide insights into momentum changes. Buy and sell signals can indicate shifts in the market sentiment, helping traders make more informed decisions.
Pairs Well With:
Volume Analysis: Combining this indicator with volume analysis can provide a more comprehensive view of market activity during consolidation zones.
Trend Confirmation Indicators: Pairing with trend-following indicators can help confirm the direction of potential breakout moves following consolidations.
Warnings:
False Signals: Like any technical indicator, false signals can occur, especially in choppy or low-volume markets. Always use additional indicators or analysis to confirm signals.
Market Conditions: The effectiveness of the indicator can vary based on market conditions. It may work better during ranging or consolidation periods rather than strong trending phases.
Parameter Optimization: Adjusting the indicator's parameters (ROC period, SMA period, ROC threshold) may be necessary to fine-tune its performance for specific assets or timeframes.
Machine Learning Regression Trend [LuxAlgo]The Machine Learning Regression Trend tool uses random sample consensus (RANSAC) to fit and extrapolate a linear model by discarding potential outliers, resulting in a more robust fit.
🔶 USAGE
The proposed tool can be used like a regular linear regression, providing support/resistance as well as forecasting an estimated underlying trend.
Using RANSAC allows filtering out outliers from the input data of our final fit, by outliers we are referring to values deviating from the underlying trend whose influence on a fitted model is undesired. For financial prices and under the assumptions of segmented linear trends, these outliers can be caused by volatile moves and/or periodic variations within an underlying trend.
Adjusting the "Allowed Error" numerical setting will determine how sensitive the model is to outliers, with higher values returning a more sensitive model. The blue margin displayed shows the allowed error area.
The number of outliers in the calculation window (represented by red dots) can also be indicative of the amount of noise added to an underlying linear trend in the price, with more outliers suggesting more noise.
Compared to a regular linear regression which does not discriminate against any point in the calculation window, we see that the model using RANSAC is more conservative, giving more importance to detecting a higher number of inliners.
🔶 DETAILS
RANSAC is a general approach to fitting more robust models in the presence of outliers in a dataset and as such does not limit itself to a linear regression model.
This iterative approach can be summarized as follow for the case of our script:
Step 1: Obtain a subset of our dataset by randomly selecting 2 unique samples
Step 2: Fit a linear regression to our subset
Step 3: Get the error between the value within our dataset and the fitted model at time t , if the absolute error is lower than our tolerance threshold then that value is an inlier
Step 4: If the amount of detected inliers is greater than a user-set amount save the model
Repeat steps 1 to 4 until the set number of iterations is reached and use the model that maximizes the number of inliers
🔶 SETTINGS
Length: Calculation window of the linear regression.
Width: Linear regression channel width.
Source: Input data for the linear regression calculation.
🔹 RANSAC
Minimum Inliers: Minimum number of inliers required to return an appropriate model.
Allowed Error: Determine the tolerance threshold used to detect potential inliers. "Auto" will automatically determine the tolerance threshold and will allow the user to multiply it through the numerical input setting at the side. "Fixed" will use the user-set value as the tolerance threshold.
Maximum Iterations Steps: Maximum number of allowed iterations.
Pro Supertrend CalculatorThis indicator is an adapted version of Julien_Eche's 'Pro Momentum Calculator' tailored specifically for TradingView's 'Supertrend indicator'.
The "Pro Supertrend Calculator" indicator has been developed to provide traders with a data-driven perspective on price movements in financial markets. Its primary objective is to analyze historical price data and make probabilistic predictions about the future direction of price movements, specifically in terms of whether the next candlestick will be bullish (green) or bearish (red). Here's a deeper technical insight into how it accomplishes this task:
1. Supertrend Computation:
The indicator initiates by computing the Supertrend indicator, a sophisticated technical analysis tool. This calculation involves two essential parameters:
- ATR Length (Average True Range Length): This parameter determines the sensitivity of the Supertrend to price fluctuations.
- Factor: This multiplier plays a pivotal role in establishing the distance between the Supertrend line and prevailing market prices. A higher factor value results in a more significant separation.
2. Supertrend Visualization:
The Supertrend values derived from the calculation are meticulously plotted on the price chart, manifesting as two distinct lines:
- Green Line: This line represents the Supertrend when it indicates a bullish trend, signifying an anticipation of rising prices.
- Red Line: This line signifies the Supertrend in bearish market conditions, indicating an expectation of falling prices.
3. Consecutive Candle Analysis:
- The core function of the indicator revolves around tracking successive candlestick patterns concerning their relationship with the Supertrend line.
- To be included in the analysis, a candlestick must consistently close either above (green candles) or below (red candles) the Supertrend line for multiple consecutive periods.
4.Labeling and Enumeration:
- To communicate the count of consecutive candles displaying uniform trend behavior, the indicator meticulously applies labels to the price chart.
- The positioning of these labels varies based on the direction of the trend, residing either below (for bullish patterns) or above (for bearish patterns) the candlestick.
- The color scheme employed aligns with the color of the candle, using green labels for bullish candles and red labels for bearish ones.
5. Tabular Data Presentation:
- The indicator augments its graphical analysis with a customizable table prominently displayed on the chart. This table delivers comprehensive statistical insights.
- The tabular data comprises the following key elements for each consecutive period:
a. Consecutive Candles: A tally of the number of consecutive candles displaying identical trend characteristics.
b. Candles Above Supertrend: A count of candles that remained above the Supertrend during the sequential period.
3. Candles Below Supertrend: A count of candles that remained below the Supertrend during the sequential period.
4. Upcoming Green Candle: An estimation of the probability that the next candlestick will be bullish, grounded in historical data.
5. Upcoming Red Candle: An estimation of the probability that the next candlestick will be bearish, based on historical data.
6. Tailored Configuration:
To accommodate diverse trading strategies and preferences, the indicator offers extensive customization options. Traders can fine-tune parameters such as ATR length, factor, label and table placement, and table size to align with their unique trading approaches.
In summation, the "Pro Supertrend Calculator" indicator is an intricately designed tool that leverages the Supertrend indicator in conjunction with historical price data to furnish traders with an informed outlook on potential future price dynamics, with a particular emphasis on the likelihood of specific bullish or bearish candlestick patterns stemming from consecutive price behavior.
Pro Momentum CalculatorThe Pro Momentum Calculator Indicator is a tool for traders seeking to gauge market momentum and predict future price movements. It achieves this by counting consecutive candle periods above or below a chosen Simple Moving Average (SMA) and then providing a percentage-based probability for the direction of the next candle.
Here's how this principle works:
1. Counting Consecutive Periods: The indicator continuously tracks whether the closing prices of candles are either above or below the chosen SMA.
- When closing prices are above the SMA, it counts consecutive periods as "green" or indicating potential upward momentum.
- When closing prices are below the SMA, it counts consecutive periods as "red" or suggesting potential downward momentum.
2. Assessing Momentum: By monitoring these consecutive periods, the indicator assesses the strength and duration of the current market trend.
This is important information for traders looking to understand the market's behavior.
3. Predicting the Next Candle: Based on the historical data of consecutive green and red periods, the indicator calculates a percentage probability for the direction of the next candle:
- If there have been more consecutive green periods, it suggests a higher likelihood of the next candle being green (indicating a potential upward movement).
- If there have been more consecutive red periods, it suggests a higher likelihood of the next candle being red (indicating a potential downward movement).
The Pro Momentum Calculator indicator's versatility makes it suitable for a wide range of financial markets, including stocks, Forex, indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies...
[SS] Linear ModelerHello everyone,
This is the linear modeler indicator.
It is a statistical based indicator that provides a likely price target and range based on a linear regression time series analysis.
To represent it visually, all the indicator does is it represents a linear regression channel and actually plots out the range at various points based on the current trend (see the chart below):
The indicator will perform the same assessment, but give you a working range and timeline for targets.
As well, the indicator will back-test the range and variables to see how it is performing and how reliable the results are likely to be.
General Functions:
In the chart above you can see all the various parameters and functions.
The indicator will display the most likely target (MLT) to be expected within the next pre-determined timeframe (by candles).
So for the first target, the indicator is saying within the next 10 candles, BA's MLT is 221.46 and based on BT results the reliability of this assessment is around 46%.
The indicator will also display the anticipated range at each designated timeframe.
In the chart above, we can see that at 20 candles, the likely range that BA should be trading in is 204 and 238 with a reliability of around 62% based on previous performance.
Plot Functions:
As this is performing a linear time series projection, you can have the indicator plot the projected ranges. Simply go to the settings menu and select the desired forecast length:
This will plot out the desired range and result over the specified time period. Here is an example of BA plotted over the next 50 candles on the hourly:
You can technically use this as an SMA/EMA type indicator, just keep in mind it may be a bit slower than a traditional EMA and SMA indicator, as it is processing a lot of data and plotting out forecasted data as opposed to an SMA or EMA.
If you wish to use it as an EMA or SMA, you can unselect the "Display Chart" Function to hide the table, and you can also select the "Plot Label" function. This will display the current projection analytics directly on your plotted line so you don't need to reference the table at all:
Tips on use:
I use this on the larger and smaller timeframes. On all timeframes, I will look to targets that display 90% to 100% in the BT results.
Bear in mind, this does not mean that we will 100% of the time hit this target, these targets can fail, it just means that there is a higher confidence of hitting this target than other, less reliable targets.
I will plot these targets out if they fall within the implied range of the timeframe I am looking at and will act on them according to the price action.
This is a great indicator to use in combination with other range based indicators. If you use the implied range from options to help guide your trading, you can see which targets are likely to be hit based on the current trend that fall within that implied range.
You can also assess the strength of the trends at various points in time and have an actionable range with a reliability reading at various points in time.
That is pretty much the bulk of the indicator.
Hopefully you find it helpful and useful.
As always, leave your questions and suggestions below.
Thanks for reading and checking it out!
Guassian Distribution Forecast [prediction intervals]The Indicator
The Indicator combines volatility and frequency distributions to forecast an area of possible price expansion with an approximate confidence interval / level and level of significance (significance level).
The Script Formula
Additional comments
To alter the models forecasting precision to reflect a given confidence interval, e.g the 90% confidence level (C.L.), use the 1.64 multiplier (toggle value in "Standard normal distribution sd" setting), to use a specific C.L., e.g. the 85th percentile either search for this on google, or calculate it yourself using a Standard Normal Distribution Probability table. Additionaly volatility may be changed by toggling the lookback period setting, this can be thought of as widening the distribution tails.
The look forward parameter is currently fixed at 20, this is because it does not currently work correctly with higher integers, I will try resolve this problem and any other bugs as soon as possible
Value At RiskThe Value at Risk Channel (VaR Channel) is a trading indicator designed to assist traders in managing their risk exposure effectively. By allowing users to select a specific time period and a probability value, this indicator generates upper and lower limits that the price might potentially attain within the chosen timeframe and probability range.
CONCEPTS
This indicator employs the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) calculation, a crucial metric in risk management. VaR quantifies the potential financial loss within a position, portfolio, or company over a defined time period. Financial institutions like banks and investment firms use VaR to estimate the extent and likelihood of potential losses in their portfolios.
The "historical method" is utilized to compute VaR within the indicator. This method analyzes the historical performance of returns and constructs a histogram representing the statistical distribution of past returns. Assuming returns adhere to a normal distribution, probabilities are assigned to different return values based on their position in the distribution percentile.
HOW TO USE
Suppose you wish to plot upper and lower price limits for a 4-hour period with a 5% probability. Access the indicator's Settings tab and set the Timeframe parameter to "4 hours" while configuring the Probability parameter to 5.0.
The indicator serves as a tool to determine appropriate Stop-Loss levels triggering with low probability. Additionally, it helps gauge the likelihood of triggering such levels.
Likewise, you can assess the probability of your desired Take-Profit level being reached within a specified time frame. For instance, if you anticipate your target to be achieved within a week, set the Timeframe parameter to "1 week" and adjust the Probability parameter to align the VaR channel's limits with your Take-Profit level. The resulting Probability parameter value reflects the likelihood of your target being met within the expected time frame.
This indicator proves valuable for evaluating and managing risk, as well as refining trading strategies. If you discover other applications for this indicator, feel free to share them in the comments!
SETTINGS
Timeframe: Designates the time period within which the price might touch the VaR channel's upper or lower boundary, considering the specified Probability parameter.
Probability: Defines the likelihood of the price reaching the VaR channel's upper or lower limit during the timeframe determined by the Timeframe parameter.
Window: Establishes the historical period (number of past bars) utilized for VaR calculation.
PTS Divergence Finder SellThe PTS Divergence Finder Sell Indicator by Roger Medcalf of Precision Trading Systems.
Bearish - Sell Indications only.
First and foremost, I have been asked many times why I did not provide a sell divergence indicator while happily providing a buy signal divergence finder for many years.
I gave the answer that sell divergences are less reliable than the buy divergences, which is still true.
Some solutions to change this were found, not by giving in to peer pressure or by modification of this indicator which I made more than fifteen years ago, but by changing the default settings to be more strict.
I also noticed that Trading View calculates indicators very fast.
The nature of fear and greed are entirely different as fear is fast and instinct driven at market tops as the opposite emotions of fear and euphoria can instantly lead a human brain into the survival mode of fight or flight.
In the bottoming or oversold conditions in markets greed probogates slowly in buyers as they consider picking up value purchases at market lows with a mindset of having a low expectation of success.
This is what causes the asymmetry in market tops versus bottoms. Therefore the asymmetric settings of the buy and sell versions of this product are now explained for clarity.
I have decided to release the sell divergence indicator with "stricter" default settings.
The Demand Index length used is 55 and the difference it needs to trigger a signal is 12. These of course are user adjustable. The strictness means there are less bad signals.
The results are many tops and intermediate high points defined with pinpoint accuracy. As expected there are some disastrous signals in the midst of violent up trends which a trader can lose on if not using risk management and stops. Likewise it frequently finds the exact top.
How does the PTS Divergence Finder Sell Indicator work?
The PTS Divergence Finder Sell Indicator accurately measures the number of divergences which have occurred in Demand Index, which is a volume based indicator.
This is a histogram style indicator for subgraph two, which plots spikes which appear like stalagmites coming up from the base.
The indicator examines multiple lookback periods of the volume based Demand Index Indicator for the length that you specify. It finds high points in prices where the DI is not making a new "local" high and missing it by the "difference" setting you input.
The Demand Index is called via the library file and the intelligent code sets volume to 1 if no volume is found.
For this reason it will “work” (producing a meaningful plot) on Forex or indices without volume but performance is going to be slightly less than optimal as the valuable dimension of volume is missing.
It is therefore best to focus on instruments like stocks and futures and cryptos that have large volumes and lots of participants.
Liquid markets where many people are “voting” on the market direction give the best results.
A total of twenty look back periods are scanned on every bar and these are hard coded and non adjustable. The length of Demand Index is user adjustable but it is suggested not to wander too far below the default setting of length 55.
The second user adjustable field is “difference” and this represents the difference between Demand Index now and Demand Index “N” bars ago. (N being 20 different look back periods of various periods)
You will understand that a length 18 Demand Index produces a much more volatile plot than a 80 period plot.
For this reason you can find short lengths of “DI” and small “difference” values will produce many more signals of divergences as there is higher volatility in the underlying indicator.
You will observe this when you use it. You can set it to give hundreds of insignificant values but it is best used so you just see the significant ones by following the guidelines below.
Consider this like using a 20 period MA on a 30 second chart compared to a 20 period MA on an hourly chart.
Clearly the hourly MA change of direction is much more meaningful and important.
Suggested settings for various lengths:
Demand Index lengths less than 12 are not generally recommended for finding "good" sell divergences
DI Length 20 = difference of 20 – 35
DI Length 30 = difference of 15 – 33
DI Length 40 = difference of 13 – 31
DI Length 50 = difference of 10 – 19
DI Length 60 = difference of 9 – 15
DI Length 70 = difference of 8 – 14
DI Length 80 = difference of 8 – 13
DI Length 90 = difference of 7 – 12
DI Length 100 = difference of 7 – 11
DI Length 110 to DI Length 200 = difference of 6 – 10
DI Length > 200 = difference of less than 6
You can use decimal places of 0.24 or 0.65 if using lengths > 500
This indicator goes up to length 1000.
As I designed this myself and have been using it for more than fifteen years you can trust me when I suggest to stay reasonably close to the default settings.
Output relevance.
The minimum value is zero which means there are no divergences found, you can then find values from 1 to 20 which is a count of the number of instances found.
Paradoxically it is not so significance if the number is very high or very low as a major top occurring on a multi month high may just show a reading of 1, but some minor mid up trend rally might show a reading of 9.
Be suspicious if you see too many large readings of 12 to 18 reoccurring as it is likely that the indicator is plotted on a market in a very long term and rapid up trend which is dangerous to be shorting.
Execution of trades.
Exercise caution with this product.
Risk control is essential and risking more than 1% to 1.5% of your capital from entry price to stop would not be advised.
As with hunting, firing out lots of small trades in a shot gun approach will lead to better results than gambling all on the first signal you see.
There is much more chance of hitting a bird with a shot gun than a canon and the ammunition is much cheaper.
Always always use a stop loss. Something like 3 to 7 times a fifty period average true range for example.
Whilst it is often possible that a spike appears exactly at the precise high of the week or year and could be the only one you see all year it is risky just to short it or sell it instantly as some markets produce several failed signals which continue to rally higher.
The safest and least risky method is to wait for the trend to begin falling after you see a divergence. This is subjective to your own definition of how to measure the trend as “falling” but I would suggest waiting for a 8-20 period Exponential average to turn down before selling.
Once the trade is entered you can implement a trailing stop to allow maximum potential gains and if your style is one of wanting to take quick profits then it is wise to take only some partial profits and give the sell off a chance to go lower and exit the remainder when the trend changes. If the move was picked up near the absolute top it could be a very large collapse in the downtrend.
Sometimes you might wait up to twenty five bars after the divergence is seen before the trend begins falling. Much longer than this an it gradually negates the signal as it shows the buyers have become stronger and the safest decision is to stay out of the market.
It is not unusual for the divergences to mark the exact high of a market and this high can lead to a large move down.
There are however frequent “failed divergences” and these can be treated in the same technical analysis manner as a failed head and shoulders or failed double top where the failure to fall indicates a likelihood of a continuation higher, meaning it is time to cut a loss.
This indicator only gives sell signals. Every single signal will be given in some degree or another in an up trend at the highest high price.
Market selection is important.
Avoid markets in an endless up trend. Look for ebbs and flows in a major down trend.
Best results are on liquid markets in a good long term down trend that has frequent rallies, you can observe the past signals and often history repeats with the good previous signals tending to indicate that future signals may also be good. (This is not certain of course)
This is also true of a market showing several historically bad divergence signals leading to more bad signals.
If the past performance of this indicator is poor on the market you are viewing, then move to another market until one is found where the readings show good price dips after the signals in historical data.
Time frames.
This product can be applied to any time frame of market but be aware as is stated above, the slower time frames yield more valid signals and shorter time frames lead to more randomness and noise ridden plots of lower significance.
That said, it provides a valid reason to enter a trade and can give good results providing good stops and risk control are used. I have seen plenty of valid signals on 30 second charts right up to weekly charts.
Idiosyncrasies.
It can often be seen that multiple divergences occur over a range of ten to thirty or so bars during a very gentle spiky kind of rally.
This can be treated in the same way as above - waiting for the trend to fall after the last divergence occurs is the way to play it.
Groups of divergences can indicate some patient insider selling patterns in anticipation of some bad news they might know.
Thanks for reading this and please read it a few more times to fully understand the points mentioned.
After that please spend some time changing settings and markets to fully appreciate how it operates.
Roger Medcalf - Precision Trading Systems
Custom SMA Plot It creates a custom indicator named "Custom SMA Plot (CSP)" that overlays on a price chart. The indicator fetches the closing prices and calculates a 14-period simple moving average (SMA) of these prices. This SMA is then visually represented as a blue line, which starts from the SMA value of the bar 100 candles ago and extends to the current bar's SMA value. The line has a thickness of 1 unit.
When price breaks over wave go long.
When price breaks below wave go short.
Gaussian Detrended ReversionThis strategy, titled "Gaussian Detrended Reversion Strategy," aims to identify potential price reversals using the customized Gaussian Detrended Price Oscillator (GDPO) in combination with smoothed price cycles.
Key Elements of the Strategy:
GDPO Calculation: The strategy first calculates the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) by comparing the close price to an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of a specified period. This calculation helps identify short-term price cycles by detrending the price data.
Gaussian Smoothing: The DPO values are then smoothed using the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA), applying a Gaussian smoothing technique. This smoothed version of the DPO is intended to filter out noise and provide a clearer picture of price trends.
Entry and Exit Conditions: The strategy defines conditions for both long and short entry points as well as exit points. It looks for specific crossover events between the smoothed GDPO and its lagged version. The strategy enters a long position when the smoothed GDPO crosses above the lag and is negative, and exits the long position when the smoothed GDPO crosses below the lag or the zero line. Similarly, the strategy enters a short position when the smoothed GDPO crosses below the lag and is positive, and exits the short position when the smoothed GDPO crosses above the lag or the zero line.
Visualization: The smoothed GDPO and its lag are plotted on the chart using distinct colors. The zero line is also displayed as a reference point. Additionally, the chart background changes color when the strategy enters a long or short position. Cross markers are also plotted at the crossover points as exit cues.
Overall, this strategy aims to capture potential price reversals using the GDPO and Gaussian smoothing, with specific entry and exit conditions to guide trading decisions.
Market Sessions and TPO (+Forecast)This indicator "Market Sessions and TPO (+Forecast)" shows various market sessions alongside a TPO profile (presented as the traditional lettering system or as bars) and price forecast for the duration of the session.
Additionally, numerous statistics for the session are shown.
Features
Session open and close times presented in boxes
Session pre market and post market shown
TPO profile generated for each session (normal market hours only)
A forecast for the remained of the session is projected forward
Forecast can be augmented by ATR
Naked POCs remain on the chart until violated
Volume delta for the session shown
OI Change for the session shown (Binance sourced)
Total volume for the session shown
Price range for the session shown
The image above shows processes of the indicator.
Volume delta, OI change, total volume and session range are calculated and presented for each session.
Additionally, a TPO profile for the most recent session is shown, and a forecast for the remainder of the active session is shown.
The image above shows an alternative display method for the session forecast and TPO profile!
Additionally, the pre-market and post-market times are denoted by dashed boxes.
The image above exemplifies additional capabilities.
That's all for now; further updates to come and thank you for checking this out!
And a special thank you to @TradingView of course, for making all of this possible!
