SuperTrend Strategy with Trend-Based Exits🟩 SuperTrend Strategy with Trend-Based Exits
This is a fully automated trend-following strategy based on the popular SuperTrend indicator, enhanced with a position sizing algorithm tied to stop-loss distance and dynamic entry/exit rules. The strategy is designed for futures trading with an emphasis on sustainable risk, realistic backtesting, and transparent logic.
🧠 Concept and Methodology
The strategy uses the SuperTrend indicator, which is derived from ATR (Average True Range) and is widely used to capture medium- to long-term market trends.
Key features:
✅ Entries are triggered only when the SuperTrend direction changes (trend reversal).
✅ Exits are performed using a dynamic stop-loss placed at the SuperTrend line.
✅ Position size is automatically calculated based on the trader’s fixed dollar risk per trade and the current distance to the stop-loss.
✅ Rounding logic is included to ensure quantity is valid for the exchange’s lot size.
This strategy does not use any take-profit or classic trailing stop — the position is only closed when the trend reverses or the stop is hit by touching the SuperTrend line.
⚙️ Default Parameters
ATR Length: 300
Factor: 7.5
Risk per trade: $90 (3% of the default $3,000 capital)
Lot step: 10
Commission: 0.05%
These default parameters are not universal. They were optimized specifically for STXUSDT swap at 15M timeframe at Bybit and may not produce viable results on other pairs and timeframes.
Users are encouraged to customize the settings according to specific asset’s volatility, timeframe and other characteristics.
❗ These default settings yield meaningful backtesting results on STXUSDT with a reasonable number of trades (105+) over 7-month period. If applied to other assets, results may vary significantly.
📈 Position Sizing Logic
The strategy uses a dynamic position sizing formula:
Pine Script®
position_size = floor((risk_per_trade / stop_loss_distance) / lot_step) * lot_step
This ensures the trader always risks a fixed dollar amount per trade and never exceeds a sustainable equity exposure (recommended 2% or less).
✅ Realism in Backtesting
To ensure realistic and non-misleading backtest results, this strategy includes:
— Slippage and commission settings matching average exchange conditions (commission = 0.05%, slippage 5 ticks).
— Position sizing based on stop-loss distance (not fixed contract quantity).*
— A fixed risk-per-trade model that adheres to responsible capital management principles.
— This is in compliance with TradingView's Script publishing rules and House Rules.
📌 How to Use
Apply the strategy to a clean chart (preferably 15M for STXUSDT by default).
If using another asset, adjust:
- ATR Length
- Factor
- Risk per trade
- Qty step (lot precision for the symbol)
Avoid using with other indicators unless you understand their purpose.
Use the Strategy Tester to evaluate performance and optimize parameters.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Always perform forward testing and assess risk before deploying any strategy on live capital. The strategy is designed for educational and experimental use.
Göstergeler ve stratejiler
Daily Engulfing Zones Visually appear Daily Engulfing Zones on the chart. Combine with your favorite oscillator indicator to create a solid setup. Bullish EZ is marked by green arrow/zone. Bearish EZ is marked by red arrow/zone.
Supply & Demand Pro [Institutional]🎯 Overview
The most comprehensive Supply & Demand indicator on TradingView, designed for serious traders and prop firm professionals. Unlike traditional S&D indicators that just draw pretty zones, this system tracks actual performance metrics, provides entry/exit signals, and includes professional risk management tools.
❓ Why This Indicator?
After extensive research into what traders actually need (not just want), this indicator addresses the TOP complaints about Supply & Demand trading:
- ❌ "I don't know which zones to trust" → ✅ Each zone shows historical win rate
- ❌ "No clear entry/exit rules" → ✅ Multiple entry methods with visual R:R
- ❌ "Can't backtest effectiveness" → ✅ Full performance tracking
- ❌ "Too many false signals" → ✅ Quality filters and volume validation
🚀 Key Features
🎯 Professional Zone Detection
- Volume Profile Analysis (finds institutional accumulation/distribution)
- Swing Point Detection (classic pivot-based zones)
- Order Flow Analysis (coming in v2)
- Hybrid Mode (combines multiple methods)
📊 Performance Analytics
- Individual zone win rates
- Daily P&L tracking
- Account balance simulation
- Success/failure ratio for each zone
- Historical performance data
💼 Prop Firm Tools
- Daily loss limits (auto-stops trading)
- Position sizing controls
- Maximum concurrent positions
- Daily profit targets
- Clean reporting for evaluations
🎨 Entry & Risk Management
- Zone Edge entry (immediate)
- 50% Retracement entry (patient)
- Momentum Confirmation entry
- Visual Risk:Reward boxes
- Multiple stop loss methods (ATR, Fixed %, Zone-based)
📈 Advanced Features
- Auto-removes failed zones
- Volume confirmation requirements
- Strength-based zone ranking
- Smart alerts for high-probability setups
- Multi-timeframe compatibility
📋 How It Works
1. Zone Creation: Continuously scans for high-quality supply/demand zones using your selected method
2. Quality Filtering: Each zone must pass strength, volume, and historical performance filters
3. Visual Feedback: Zones display strength %, test count, and win rate directly on chart
4. Trade Signals: When price touches a zone, the system calculates entry, stop, and target
5. Performance Tracking: Every zone touch is tracked to build historical win rates
⚙️ Quick Settings Guide
For Beginners:
- Detection Method: "Swing Points"
- Min Zone Strength: 15%
- Risk:Reward: 2:1
- Entry Method: "Zone Edge"
For Advanced Traders:
- Detection Method: "Volume Profile"
- Min Zone Strength: 20%
- Min Win Rate: 50%
- Entry Method: "Momentum Confirm"
For Prop Firm Traders:
- Enable all Prop Firm Tools
- Set Daily Loss Limit to your drawdown rules
- Max Positions: 2-3
- Use "Professional" theme for screenshots
📊 What Makes This Different?
Traditional S&D Indicators:
- Draw zones based on one method
- No performance tracking
- No entry/exit rules
- Can't verify effectiveness
Supply & Demand Pro:
- Multiple detection methods
- Tracks win rate for EVERY zone
- Clear entry/exit signals
- Full backtesting capability
- Risk management built-in
🎓 Best Practices
1. Start Conservative: Use higher strength requirements (20%+) until familiar
2. Trust the Data: Zones with 3+ tests and 60%+ win rate are golden
3. Respect Risk Limits: The daily loss limit feature will save your account
4. Volume Matters: Zones with volume confirmation are significantly stronger
5. Be Patient: Wait for high-probability setups (check the win rate!)
🔔 Alert Options
- Zone Touch Alerts (with strength & win rate)
- High Probability Setups (60%+ win rate zones)
- Daily Limit Warnings
- Risk Management Alerts
💡 Pro Tips
- Combine with market structure for best results
- Higher timeframe zones are more reliable
- Watch for zones that align with round numbers
- Use partial profits feature to lock in gains
- Review daily performance to improve
🐛 Troubleshooting
- No zones appearing? → Lower Min Zone Strength to 10%
- Too many zones? → Increase strength requirement or enable filters
- Win rates not updating? → Zones need multiple tests to calculate
⚡ Performance Note
This indicator uses advanced calculations and may take a moment to load on lower-end devices. The comprehensive analytics are worth the wait!
🎁 Bonus Features
- 4 Professional themes
- Customizable dashboard
- R:R visualization
- Zone strength ranking
- Session-based filtering (coming soon)
📧 Support & Updates
This is an actively maintained indicator. Updates include:
- New detection methods
- Enhanced analytics
- Community-requested features
- Performance optimizations
⭐ If you find this indicator helpful, please leave a rating and comment with your results!
📌 Remember: No indicator is perfect. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Easy Market Structure BOS & CHoCH (Swing Logic)A trend reversal occurs when the direction of the market changes from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. It is typically confirmed by a shift in price structure, such as a break of key support or resistance, a change in swing highs/lows, or specific candlestick patterns like engulfing or pin bars. Indicators like RSI divergence or moving average crossovers can also support reversal identification. Reversals often follow a strong trend and signal a potential new direction in price movement
SR-PrecisionZoneSR-PrecisionZone — Dynamic Support & Resistance Mapping
SR-PrecisionZone is a precision-engineered support and resistance zone indicator designed for traders who value structure, accuracy, and real-time adaptability. It intelligently detects clusters of pivot points to highlight price levels that have historically acted as strong support or resistance — and projects these zones into the current market with customizable sensitivity.
- Key Features
Dynamic Zone Construction
Automatically detects key support and resistance zones based on pivot clustering logic, with customizable width and minimum strength thresholds.
Strength-Weighted Transparency
Zone opacity reflects the number of pivot hits — the more respected the level, the more visible the zone becomes. This allows traders to instantly gauge the strength of each zone at a glance.
Real-Time Zone Development
Zones appear live as pivot criteria are met; no lag or historical-only rendering.
Breakout & Breakdown Detection
Automatic breakout/breakdown tags highlight when price leaves a zone, helping spot continuation or reversal setups.
Multi-Timeframe Adaptive
Works effectively on intraday, swing, and macro timeframes with a tunable lookback window.
Clean Visual Hierarchy
Support and resistance zones extend 10 bars beyond the current candle, with MA overlays plotted above zones for clear visibility.
- Inputs & Settings
Source: Choose between High/Low or Close/Open pivots
Maximum Channel Width (%): Controls how far apart pivots can be to qualify as a zone
Minimum Strength: Sets how many pivot hits are required for a zone to appear
Lookback Period: Adjusts how far back the script evaluates pivot clusters
Customizable Colors: Separate colors for support, resistance, and mid-zone overlap
Breakout Tags: Optional visual markers for when price breaks out of a zone
MA Overlays: Two optional moving averages (SMA/EMA) to provide additional context
- Ideal Use Cases
Identifying high-probability support/resistance levels
Spotting breakout or fakeout setups
Enhancing confluence in technical strategies
Filtering entries/exits based on structural zones
HyperChannelThought for 1m 33sHyperChannel Exhaustion Indicator
Overview
This open-source indicator creates a dynamic volatility channel to identify trend directions and potential support/resistance levels, while incorporating momentum analysis, trend strength assessment, and a composite exhaustion metric to highlight possible trend fatigue and reversal points. The core idea is to combine volatility adaptation with multi-layered exhaustion signals, providing a unified tool that goes beyond standalone channels or oscillators. By integrating these elements, it offers a comprehensive view: the channel tracks price within volatile bounds, momentum detects strength or weakening, and exhaustion quantifies reversal risks—allowing users to spot continuations in strong trends or prepare for reversals during fatigue. This synergy creates a unique, actionable framework not found in isolated indicators, helping users make informed decisions across various market conditions.
The indicator builds on public domain concepts like ATR-based channels and standard exhaustion ratios (with credits to Franklin Moormann for foundational exhaustion logic, significantly enhanced here through integration and scoring). Improvements include a custom composite score weighting multiple factors, adaptive coloring for visual clarity, and a dashboard for quick stats—resulting in a tool that's more than a simple merge, but a cohesive system for trend management.
Key Features
Volatility Channel: Plots adaptive upper and lower bands based on smoothed true range multiples around a price midpoint, with trend confirmation requiring consecutive closes beyond bands for reliability.
Momentum Layer: Uses averaged relative changes across varying periods to flag strong impulses or pullbacks, enhancing channel breakouts with contextual strength.
Trend Strength: Differentiates strong trends from ranges or transitions, altering band colors for intuitive reading (e.g., vibrant in trends, subdued otherwise).
Exhaustion Metrics:
A ratio-based signal comparing price advances to highs, smoothed to detect fading momentum.
A composite score (0-100%) aggregating normalized exhaustion, divergence flags, and volume surges—low scores suggest trend health, medium warn of fatigue, high indicate reversal potential.
Visuals:
Band plots (active/inactive) with fills for trend highlighting.
Circles on candles for pullback warnings.
Candle coloring: Dark shades for robust trends (e.g., deep green/up, maroon/down), lighter/warning tones (yellow/up, orange/down) for weakening phases.
Divergence labels on price vs. momentum for hidden/regular setups.
Dashboard: Compact table with trend, risk score (integrated exhaustion), composite value, regime, and higher-timeframe levels; background gradients from green (low risk) to red (high) for at-a-glance reversal probability.
Alerts: For channel events, momentum shifts, exhaustion thresholds, and signals.
How It Works
The indicator operates on core technical concepts without relying on external data:
Channel Construction: Starts with true range (high-low, gaps) smoothed over a period (default 120) to form ATR. Bands are midpoint ± ATR multiple (default 3.0), tightened/loosened based on closes and momentum to avoid whipsaws. Trends flip only after confirmed breaches (default 2 bars), reducing false signals.
Momentum Calculation: Aggregates percentage changes from short to long moving averages (defaults 10-200 periods), smoothed into dynamic thresholds. This detects "strong" (beyond multiples) vs. "exhausting" (pullbacks below fractions), feeding into channel logic and warnings.
Strength and Regime: ADX (default period 14) classifies markets: above high threshold (25) as trending, below low (20) as ranging, in-between as transitioning (with bias if rising and momentum aligns).
Exhaustion and Scoring:
Compares cumulative closes above priors vs. new highs, smoothed (default length 10) into a slope: positive/negative for bull/bear, intensifying for strength.
Composite score weights this normalization (40%), binary divergence checks on a standard oscillator (30%), and volume ratios (30%)—scaled to 0-100%. Thresholds (e.g., 80 for high) trigger color shifts.
Reversal risk (0-100%) blends exhaustion depth, divergences, unconfirmed bars, and the score—labeled Low (<30%), Medium (30-70%), High (>70%).
These interact: e.g., channel bands adjust with momentum, exhaustion colors candles/dashboard, creating a feedback loop for holistic analysis.
Usage Suggestions
Setup: Add to a clean chart (no other indicators unless combining for confluence, e.g., with volume—explain in notes). Use defaults for most assets; tweak ATR period/multiplier for volatility (shorter for crypto, longer for stocks). Set higher timeframe (default 60min) for context.
Interpreting Trends: Green-filled uptrends (active support band) signal buys on pullbacks; red downtrends for shorts. Vibrant colors indicate ADX strength—trade with trend.
Spotting Exhaustion/Reversals: Watch for yellow/orange candles (weakening signal) or circles (pullback warnings). Composite >80% (red dashboard cell) or high risk (yellow/orange table background) suggests exits/preparation. Divergences add confirmation: bullish (green label) near supports, bearish (red) at resistances.
Regimes: Trending: Follow channel breaks. Ranging: Fade extremes. Transitioning: Wait for emerging bias.
Alerts: Enable for real-time notifications—e.g., high exhaustion for potential tops/bottoms.
Customization: Adjust weights for risk sensitivity (e.g., boost exhaustion for conservative trading). Test on historical data to align with strategy; aim for balanced risk (e.g., <5% per trade).
This tool visualizes concepts like volatility clustering and momentum divergence, aiding in trend-following or mean-reversion setups. Always combine with personal analysis—it's not a signal generator but a decision aid.
Credits and Notes
Builds on public domain ATR/ADX ideas; exhaustion ratio inspired by Franklin Moormann (cheatcountry), with major enhancements like multi-momentum integration, composite scoring, and visual/dashboard features for originality.
Compliant with Pine v6; open-source for community use. No ads/guarantees—past performance isn't indicative. Manage risk; this is educational. For chart: Publish clean, with this script only, showing clear outputs.
ZigZag Volume Profile [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
ZigZag Volume Profile combines swing structure with volume analytics by plotting a ZigZag of major price swings and overlaying a detailed volume profile around each swing. At the end of each swing, it highlights the Point of Control (POC) — the price level with the highest traded volume — and extends it forward to identify key areas of potential support or resistance.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
ZigZag Swing Detection:
Automatically detects swing highs and lows based on a user-defined length, creating clean visual segments of market structure.
These segments act as boundaries for volume profile calculations.
swingHigh = ta.highest(swingLength)
swingLow = ta.lowest(swingLength)
ZigZag Channel Visualization:
The ZigZag structure is connected with sloped lines, forming a visual “channel” of the price movement.
The ZigZag can optionally, scaled by ATR.
Volume Profile Around Each Swing:
For every completed swing (high to low or low to high), the indicator constructs a full volume profile using user-defined bin counts.
It scans volume across price levels in the swing and plots histogram-style bins using a gradient color to indicate volume magnitude.
Dynamic Bin Width and Slope Adjustment:
Bins are distributed across a vertical ATR-based range, and their width is adjusted based on the percentage of total swing volume.
The volume fill direction is adapted to the swing’s slope for visually aligned plotting.
POC Detection and Extension:
The highest volume bin in each swing is identified as the Point of Control (POC).
This level is plotted with a thicker line and extended horizontally into the future as a key reaction level.
Automatic POC Expiry on Price Interaction:
POC lines are continuously extended unless breached by price.
When price crosses the POC level, the extension is terminated — signaling that the level may have been absorbed.
Clean Volume Bin Visualization:
Bin colors range from green (low volume) to blue (higher volume), with the POC always marked in red by default for easy identification.
Volume percentages are optionally labeled at each bin level.
Flexible Swing Profile Parameters:
Users can control:
Number of volume bins
Bin width
Channel width (ATR factor)
Visibility of the swing channel or POC lines
Efficient Memory Handling:
Old POC lines and volume profiles are automatically removed from memory after a threshold to keep charts clean and performant.
⯁ USAGE
Use ZigZag swings to define market structure visually.
Analyze volume profile around each swing to understand where most trading activity occurred.
Use POC extensions as dynamic support/resistance zones for entries, stops, or take-profits.
Watch for price interaction with extended POC lines — breaks may suggest absorbed liquidity or breakout potential.
Use the ATR-based channel width to adapt profiles based on market volatility.
⯁ CONCLUSION
ZigZag Volume Profile offers a powerful fusion of structure and volume. By plotting detailed volume profiles over each price swing and extending the POC as actionable S/R levels, this tool provides deep insight into market participation zones — giving traders a tactical edge in both ranging and trending environments.
easy Market Structure BOS & CHoCH (Swing Logic)
A trend reversal occurs when the direction of the market changes from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. It is typically confirmed by a shift in price structure, such as a break of key support or resistance, a change in swing highs/lows, or specific candlestick patterns like engulfing or pin bars. Indicators like RSI divergence or moving average crossovers can also support reversal identification. Reversals often follow a strong trend and signal a potential new direction in price movement
Game Theory Trading StrategyGame Theory Trading Strategy: Explanation and Working Logic
This Pine Script (version 5) code implements a trading strategy named "Game Theory Trading Strategy" in TradingView. Unlike the previous indicator, this is a full-fledged strategy with automated entry/exit rules, risk management, and backtesting capabilities. It uses Game Theory principles to analyze market behavior, focusing on herd behavior, institutional flows, liquidity traps, and Nash equilibrium to generate buy (long) and sell (short) signals. Below, I'll explain the strategy's purpose, working logic, key components, and usage tips in detail.
1. General Description
Purpose: The strategy identifies high-probability trading opportunities by combining Game Theory concepts (herd behavior, contrarian signals, Nash equilibrium) with technical analysis (RSI, volume, momentum). It aims to exploit market inefficiencies caused by retail herd behavior, institutional flows, and liquidity traps. The strategy is designed for automated trading with defined risk management (stop-loss/take-profit) and position sizing based on market conditions.
Key Features:
Herd Behavior Detection: Identifies retail panic buying/selling using RSI and volume spikes.
Liquidity Traps: Detects stop-loss hunting zones where price breaks recent highs/lows but reverses.
Institutional Flow Analysis: Tracks high-volume institutional activity via Accumulation/Distribution and volume spikes.
Nash Equilibrium: Uses statistical price bands to assess whether the market is in equilibrium or deviated (overbought/oversold).
Risk Management: Configurable stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) percentages, dynamic position sizing based on Game Theory (minimax principle).
Visualization: Displays Nash bands, signals, background colors, and two tables (Game Theory status and backtest results).
Backtesting: Tracks performance metrics like win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, and Sharpe ratio.
Strategy Settings:
Initial capital: $10,000.
Pyramiding: Up to 3 positions.
Position size: 10% of equity (default_qty_value=10).
Configurable inputs for RSI, volume, liquidity, institutional flow, Nash equilibrium, and risk management.
Warning: This is a strategy, not just an indicator. It executes trades automatically in TradingView's Strategy Tester. Always backtest thoroughly and use proper risk management before live trading.
2. Working Logic (Step by Step)
The strategy processes each bar (candle) to generate signals, manage positions, and update performance metrics. Here's how it works:
a. Input Parameters
The inputs are grouped for clarity:
Herd Behavior (🐑):
RSI Period (14): For overbought/oversold detection.
Volume MA Period (20): To calculate average volume for spike detection.
Herd Threshold (2.0): Volume multiplier for detecting herd activity.
Liquidity Analysis (💧):
Liquidity Lookback (50): Bars to check for recent highs/lows.
Liquidity Sensitivity (1.5): Volume multiplier for trap detection.
Institutional Flow (🏦):
Institutional Volume Multiplier (2.5): For detecting large volume spikes.
Institutional MA Period (21): For Accumulation/Distribution smoothing.
Nash Equilibrium (⚖️):
Nash Period (100): For calculating price mean and standard deviation.
Nash Deviation (0.02): Multiplier for equilibrium bands.
Risk Management (🛡️):
Use Stop-Loss (true): Enables SL at 2% below/above entry price.
Use Take-Profit (true): Enables TP at 5% above/below entry price.
b. Herd Behavior Detection
RSI (14): Checks for extreme conditions:
Overbought: RSI > 70 (potential herd buying).
Oversold: RSI < 30 (potential herd selling).
Volume Spike: Volume > SMA(20) x 2.0 (herd_threshold).
Momentum: Price change over 10 bars (close - close ) compared to its SMA(20).
Herd Signals:
Herd Buying: RSI > 70 + volume spike + positive momentum = Retail buying frenzy (red background).
Herd Selling: RSI < 30 + volume spike + negative momentum = Retail selling panic (green background).
c. Liquidity Trap Detection
Recent Highs/Lows: Calculated over 50 bars (liquidity_lookback).
Psychological Levels: Nearest round numbers (e.g., $100, $110) as potential stop-loss zones.
Trap Conditions:
Up Trap: Price breaks recent high, closes below it, with a volume spike (volume > SMA x 1.5).
Down Trap: Price breaks recent low, closes above it, with a volume spike.
Visualization: Traps are marked with small red/green crosses above/below bars.
d. Institutional Flow Analysis
Volume Check: Volume > SMA(20) x 2.5 (inst_volume_mult) = Institutional activity.
Accumulation/Distribution (AD):
Formula: ((close - low) - (high - close)) / (high - low) * volume, cumulated over time.
Smoothed with SMA(21) (inst_ma_length).
Accumulation: AD > MA + high volume = Institutions buying.
Distribution: AD < MA + high volume = Institutions selling.
Smart Money Index: (close - open) / (high - low) * volume, smoothed with SMA(20). Positive = Smart money buying.
e. Nash Equilibrium
Calculation:
Price mean: SMA(100) (nash_period).
Standard deviation: stdev(100).
Upper Nash: Mean + StdDev x 0.02 (nash_deviation).
Lower Nash: Mean - StdDev x 0.02.
Conditions:
Near Equilibrium: Price between upper and lower Nash bands (stable market).
Above Nash: Price > upper band (overbought, sell potential).
Below Nash: Price < lower band (oversold, buy potential).
Visualization: Orange line (mean), red/green lines (upper/lower bands).
f. Game Theory Signals
The strategy generates three types of signals, combined into long/short triggers:
Contrarian Signals:
Buy: Herd selling + (accumulation or down trap) = Go against retail panic.
Sell: Herd buying + (distribution or up trap).
Momentum Signals:
Buy: Below Nash + positive smart money + no herd buying.
Sell: Above Nash + negative smart money + no herd selling.
Nash Reversion Signals:
Buy: Below Nash + rising close (close > close ) + volume > MA.
Sell: Above Nash + falling close + volume > MA.
Final Signals:
Long Signal: Contrarian buy OR momentum buy OR Nash reversion buy.
Short Signal: Contrarian sell OR momentum sell OR Nash reversion sell.
g. Position Management
Position Sizing (Minimax Principle):
Default: 1.0 (10% of equity).
In Nash equilibrium: Reduced to 0.5 (conservative).
During institutional volume: Increased to 1.5 (aggressive).
Entries:
Long: If long_signal is true and no existing long position (strategy.position_size <= 0).
Short: If short_signal is true and no existing short position (strategy.position_size >= 0).
Exits:
Stop-Loss: If use_sl=true, set at 2% below/above entry price.
Take-Profit: If use_tp=true, set at 5% above/below entry price.
Pyramiding: Up to 3 concurrent positions allowed.
h. Visualization
Nash Bands: Orange (mean), red (upper), green (lower).
Background Colors:
Herd buying: Red (90% transparency).
Herd selling: Green.
Institutional volume: Blue.
Signals:
Contrarian buy/sell: Green/red triangles below/above bars.
Liquidity traps: Red/green crosses above/below bars.
Tables:
Game Theory Table (Top-Right):
Herd Behavior: Buying frenzy, selling panic, or normal.
Institutional Flow: Accumulation, distribution, or neutral.
Nash Equilibrium: In equilibrium, above, or below.
Liquidity Status: Trap detected or safe.
Position Suggestion: Long (green), Short (red), or Wait (gray).
Backtest Table (Bottom-Right):
Total Trades: Number of closed trades.
Win Rate: Percentage of winning trades.
Net Profit/Loss: In USD, colored green/red.
Profit Factor: Gross profit / gross loss.
Max Drawdown: Peak-to-trough equity drop (%).
Win/Loss Trades: Number of winning/losing trades.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Simplified Sharpe ratio (returns / drawdown).
Avg Win/Loss Ratio: Average win per trade / average loss per trade.
Last Update: Current time.
i. Backtesting Metrics
Tracks:
Total trades, winning/losing trades.
Win rate (%).
Net profit ($).
Profit factor (gross profit / gross loss).
Max drawdown (%).
Simplified Sharpe ratio (returns / drawdown).
Average win/loss ratio.
Updates metrics on each closed trade.
Displays a label on the last bar with backtest period, total trades, win rate, and net profit.
j. Alerts
No explicit alertconditions defined, but you can add them for long_signal and short_signal (e.g., alertcondition(long_signal, "GT Long Entry", "Long Signal Detected!")).
Use TradingView's alert system with Strategy Tester outputs.
3. Usage Tips
Timeframe: Best for H1-D1 timeframes. Shorter frames (M1-M15) may produce noisy signals.
Settings:
Risk Management: Adjust sl_percent (e.g., 1% for volatile markets) and tp_percent (e.g., 3% for scalping).
Herd Threshold: Increase to 2.5 for stricter herd detection in choppy markets.
Liquidity Lookback: Reduce to 20 for faster markets (e.g., crypto).
Nash Period: Increase to 200 for longer-term analysis.
Backtesting:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate performance.
Check win rate (>50%), profit factor (>1.5), and max drawdown (<20%) for viability.
Test on different assets/timeframes to ensure robustness.
Live Trading:
Start with a demo account.
Combine with other indicators (e.g., EMAs, support/resistance) for confirmation.
Monitor liquidity traps and institutional flow for context.
Risk Management:
Always use SL/TP to limit losses.
Adjust position_size for risk tolerance (e.g., 5% of equity for conservative trading).
Avoid over-leveraging (pyramiding=3 can amplify risk).
Troubleshooting:
If no trades are executed, check signal conditions (e.g., lower herd_threshold or liquidity_sensitivity).
Ensure sufficient historical data for Nash and liquidity calculations.
If tables overlap, adjust position.top_right/bottom_right coordinates.
4. Key Differences from the Previous Indicator
Indicator vs. Strategy: The previous code was an indicator (VP + Game Theory Integrated Strategy) focused on visualization and alerts. This is a strategy with automated entries/exits and backtesting.
Volume Profile: Absent in this strategy, making it lighter but less focused on high-volume zones.
Wick Analysis: Not included here, unlike the previous indicator's heavy reliance on wick patterns.
Backtesting: This strategy includes detailed performance metrics and a backtest table, absent in the indicator.
Simpler Signals: Focuses on Game Theory signals (contrarian, momentum, Nash reversion) without the "Power/Ultra Power" hierarchy.
Risk Management: Explicit SL/TP and dynamic position sizing, not present in the indicator.
5. Conclusion
The "Game Theory Trading Strategy" is a sophisticated system leveraging herd behavior, institutional flows, liquidity traps, and Nash equilibrium to trade market inefficiencies. It’s designed for traders who understand Game Theory principles and want automated execution with robust risk management. However, it requires thorough backtesting and parameter optimization for specific markets (e.g., forex, crypto, stocks). The backtest table and visual aids make it easy to monitor performance, but always combine with other analysis tools and proper capital management.
If you need help with backtesting, adding alerts, or optimizing parameters, let me know!
Liquidity Hours By HH🚦 Liquidity Hours By HH 🚦
This script highlights the major trading sessions on your chart — Asia, London KTW, and New York KTW — so you always know when the markets are buzzing! 🌏🕒
✨ Asia Session
Shows a colored box marking the entire session 🟣
Tracks the high and low with clear lines 📈📉
Optional midline that you can toggle ON/OFF 🔀 — perfect for spotting the session’s midpoint without cluttering your chart!
✨ London KTW & New York KTW Sessions
Displays clean boxes marking session duration 🟦🟩
No distracting high/low lines — just simple, neat session highlights
⏰ London session starts 1 hour earlier ⏰ — so you get an advanced heads-up for European market action! 🇬🇧
⏳ Boxes automatically hide on higher timeframes for a cleaner look 👀
Customize colors, durations, and toggle what you want to see — your chart, your rules! 🎨⚙️
Stay sharp and trade smarter with clear liquidity session zones! 💹🔥
VP + Game Theory Integrated Strategy9s için DüşünceVP + Game Theory Integrated Strategy Indicator: Explanation and Working Logic
Hello! You can upload the provided Pine Script code to TradingView. This is compatible with Pine Script Editor (v6 version) – simply copy-paste it directly. The indicator's name is "VP + Game Theory Integrated Strategy," and since overlay=true, it will display on top of the price chart (over the candlesticks). Maximum boxes, lines, and labels are set to 500, so it handles dense charts without performance issues.
Below, I'll provide a detailed explanation of the indicator, its working logic, main components, and usage tips step by step. This indicator integrates Volume Profile (VP), Game Theory, and Wick (Candle Wick) Patterns to generate buy/sell signals. It aims to detect high-probability reversal points by analyzing market liquidity, herd behavior, and institutional movements. It's suitable for crypto, forex, or stock markets, but always backtest before using in live trading.
1. General Description
Purpose: This indicator combines volume-based analysis (Volume Profile), game theory elements (herd behavior, Nash equilibrium, contrarian strategies), and candle wick patterns. It identifies strong resistance/support levels (POC, VAH/VAL, liquidity zones) and generates "Power" signals based on them. Signals are shown with labels, lines, and alerts for buy (green) or sell (red).
Key Features:
Volume Profile (VP): Calculates high-volume areas (POC: Point of Control, the highest volume level; VAH/VAL: Value Area High/Low) and displays them on the chart.
Game Theory (GT): Models the market as "players" (retail herd, institutions). Detects herd buying/selling panics and generates contrarian signals.
Wick-Based Signals: Captures reversals with large wicks. Applies strict criteria for "Power" and "Ultra Power" levels.
Market Maker (MM) Elements: Monitors liquidity traps and institutional volume spikes.
Visualization: Nash bands, liquidity boxes, info table (top-right), background colors, and alerts.
Signal Types: Normal, Power, Ultra Power, GT-confirmed. Signals are limited (max 1-5 per zone) with a minimum wait time (40 bars).
Input Parameters: Grouped into 3 sections (GT, Wick, VP, MM). Default values are balanced, but customizable (e.g., strictMode=true makes it more selective).
Warning: This is an indicator, not a full strategy. It includes alerts, but add stop-loss/take-profit for risk management. Use TradingView's Strategy Tester for backtesting.
2. Working Logic (Step by Step)
The indicator processes each bar (candle) as follows:
a. Basic Calculations
ATR (Average True Range): Measures volatility (20 periods). Candle size (high-low) must be at least ATR x 2.5 for signals to be valid.
Candle Components: Calculates candle body (close-open), upper/lower wick.
Volume Analysis: Average volume (SMA 20), detects spikes (based on threshold).
Trend Filter: EMAs (20/50/200) determine up/downtrend. In strict mode, it's stricter (strong uptrend: EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 and close > EMA20).
b. Game Theory (GT) Component
Herd Behavior: RSI (14) overbought/oversold (70/30) + volume spike + momentum detects it. Herd buying: Overbuying frenzy (red background). Herd selling: Selling panic (green background).
Institutional Flow: Volume > average x 2.5 + Accumulation/Distribution (AD) indicator. Accumulation: Institutions buying (strengthens buy signals). Distribution: Selling (strengthens sell).
Liquidity Traps: In the last 50 bars, if a new high/low is broken but close pulls back + volume spike = Trap (up/down).
Smart Money: Intra-candle movement (close-open)/(high-low) x volume. Positive = Smart money inflow.
Nash Equilibrium: Price mean (SMA 100) ± deviation (stdev x 0.02). In equilibrium: Normal. Above: Sell potential. Below: Buy. Bands are optionally shown.
GT Signals:
Contrarian: Herd selling + accumulation = Buy.
Momentum: Below Nash + positive smart money = Buy (opposite for sell).
Nash Reversion: Below Nash + rising close + volume = Buy.
Power Signal: At least 3 GT signals (min_signals_for_power=3) + volume confirmation = Power GT buy/sell. Can show only GT-confirmed signals (show_gt_only_signals=true).
c. Volume Profile (VP) Component
Calculation: For the last 100 bars (vpPeriod), divides the price range (high-low) into vpRows (24) rows. Distributes volume across rows.
POC (Point of Control): Highest volume level (orange line). Threshold 80% (pocThreshold).
Value Area (VA): 70% of total volume (valueAreaPercent). VAH (upper bound, blue dotted), VAL (lower bound).
High-Volume Area: Price near POC or volume > POC x 80% = Strong zone.
Visualization: Histogram boxes on the right (blue/orange). POC/VAH/VAL lines and labels.
d. Wick (Candle Wick) and Power Signals
Main Wick Criteria: Large candle (ATR x 2.5), small body (<8%), wick 8x body length (anaFitilCarpan) and 80% of candle (anaFitilYuzde). High volume + trend filter (downtrend for upper wick).
Signal Wick: More flexible for triggers (5x length, 70%).
Power/Ultra Power:
Power Sell: Main upper wick + near POC/VAH + MM volume (2.5x) + GT contrarian/momentum.
Power Buy: Similar for lower wick.
Super Wick: Power + institutional volume + strong momentum.
Ultra Power: Super + GT power (3/3) + distribution/accumulation + Nash deviation + liquidity trap. Rarest and strongest (fuchsia/lime color).
Signal Management: Detected wick level (high/low) is saved. Wait min 40 bars, max 1-5 signals per zone. When trigger candle arrives (price reaches level + long wick + close in opposite direction) = BUY/SELL plotshape.
e. Market Maker (MM) and Liquidity
MM Volume: Average x 2.5 + wick bonus (1.3x).
Liquidity Zones: Saves last 20 high-volume highs/lows. Shown as boxes on chart (red/green, lasting 200 bars).
Traps: Integrated with GT, strengthens power signals.
f. Visualization and Alerts
Background: Ultra Power (fuchsia/lime), Power GT (red/green), Herd (red/green).
Lines: Active resistance/support (dashed, colored).
Table (Top-Right): Resistance/support levels, remaining signals, POC/VAH/VAL, GT status (herd, institutional, Nash, signal strength), volume/liquidity.
Alerts: For Ultra Power, GT Power, Super Wick, normal signals. Messages include level/price.
g. Filters and Options
Strict Mode: Stricter (higher volume 1.5x, strong trend, RSI filter).
Require Volume Confirmation: Mandatory volume check.
Only Show Power Signals: Display only power/ultra.
Require Ultra Power: Strictest, only ultra.
3. Usage Tips
Chart Timeframe: H1-D1 for medium-long term. Shorter frames (M1-M5) may produce too many signals.
Settings:
StrictMode=true: Fewer but higher-quality signals.
Use_game_theory=false: Use only VP + Wicks.
ShowVP=false: Hide histogram to reduce clutter.
Strategy Integration: Filter BUY/SELL with EMAs. Stop-loss: ATR x 1-2, Take-profit: POC/VAH levels.
Backtesting: Convert to strategy in TradingView (use alertconditions). Test on historical data.
Risk: Designed for market manipulation (MM traps), but no indicator is 100% accurate. Apply capital management.
Troubleshooting: If errors (e.g., vpInitialized=false), increase period or refresh chart.
This indicator is complex but powerful – blending VP for volume zones with GT for psychology. If you have questions or need setting changes, let me know!
BUY SELL TP/SL BOS CHOCH OB FVG SMC Golden Heaven AIIndicator Can be used with all assets, whether it's stocks, gold, oil, Bitcoin, currency pairs, and others ✅️📉 But !!!! The indicator is just an analysis tool. Users should study the risks before deciding to trade."
[caracalla] Woori Rejection + Divergence Signal V1.6📌 지표 개요 | Indicator Overview
KR
이 스크립트는 리젝션 패턴과 RSI 다이버전스를 활용해 매수(R+)·매도(R-) 반전 신호를 생성합니다. 특히 일반 다이버전스(RD+, RD-)를 히든 다이버전스(RH+, RH-)보다 우선 표시하며, 과매도/과매수 조건도 실전 트레이딩에 맞게 유연하게 조정되어 있습니다.
EN
This script generates buy (R+) and sell (R−) reversal signals by combining rejection candlestick patterns and RSI divergences. It prioritizes regular divergence signals (RD+/RD−) over hidden ones (RH+/RH−), with relaxed overbought/oversold RSI conditions to better suit real trading environments.
🔍 리젝션 조건 | Rejection Conditions
KR
R+: 이전 음봉 후 양봉 전환, 아래꼬리가 몸통보다 길며 RSI < 45
R-: 이전 양봉 후 음봉 전환이거나 긴 위꼬리 음봉, RSI > 50
도지 캔들은 제외되며, 꼬리 길이 비중이 중요한 요소로 작용
EN
R+: Bullish rejection after a bearish candle, long lower wick, RSI < 45
R-: Bearish rejection after bullish candle or long upper wick, RSI > 50
Doji candles are filtered out; long wick length relative to body is essential.
⚙️ 다이버전스 감지 | Divergence Detection
✅ 일반 다이버전스 | Regular Divergence (RD+/RD−)
KR
RD+: 가격 저점 하락 + RSI 저점 상승 + 리젝션
RD-: 가격 고점 상승 + RSI 고점 하락 + 리젝션
EN
RD+: Price makes lower lows, RSI makes higher lows, with rejection
RD−: Price makes higher highs, RSI makes lower highs, with rejection
✅ 히든 다이버전스 | Hidden Divergence (RH+/RH−)
KR
RH+: 가격 저점 상승 + RSI 저점 하락 + 리젝션
RH-: 가격 고점 하락 + RSI 고점 상승 + 리젝션
EN
RH+: Price makes higher lows, RSI makes lower lows, with rejection
RH−: Price makes lower highs, RSI makes higher highs, with rejection
🧠 시그널 우선순위 | Signal Priority
KR
동일한 캔들에서 일반 다이버전스와 히든 다이버전스가 동시에 발생해도, **일반 다이버전스(RD+, RD−)**가 **히든 다이버전스(RH+, RH−)**보다 우선 표시됩니다.
EN
When both regular and hidden divergence conditions are met on the same candle, regular divergence (RD+, RD−) is prioritized over hidden divergence (RH+, RH−).
🔔 알림 기능 | Alert System
KR
모든 시그널(R+, R-, RD+, RD-, RH+, RH-)에 대해 알림 설정이 포함되어 있어, 자동매매나 실시간 대응이 가능합니다.
EN
Alert conditions are included for all signals (R+, R-, RD+, RD-, RH+, RH-), enabling automation or real-time trading reactions.
Mig Trade Model - Kill Zones
Key features:
Liquidity Hunt Detection: Spots aggressive moves that "hunt" stops beyond recent swing highs/lows.
Consolidation Filter: Requires 1-3 small-range candles after a hunt before confirming with a strong candle.
Bias Application: Uses daily open/close to auto-detect bias or allows manual override.
Kill Zone Restriction: Limits signals to London (default: 7-10 AM UTC) and NY (default: 12-3 PM UTC) sessions for better relevance in active markets.
This strategy is inspired by smart money concepts (SMC) and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodologies, aiming to capture venom-like "stings" in price action where liquidity is grabbed before reversals.
How It Works
ATR Calculation: Uses a user-defined ATR length (default: 14) to measure volatility, which scales candle body and range thresholds.
Bias Determination:
Auto: Compares daily close to open (bullish if close > open).
Manual: User selects "Bullish" or "Bearish."
Strong Candles:
Bullish: Green candle with body > 2x ATR (configurable).
Bearish: Red candle with body > 2x ATR.
Small Range Candles:
Candles where high-low < 0.5x ATR (configurable).
Liquidity Hunt:
Bullish Hunt: Strong bearish candle making a new low below the past swing low (default: 10 bars).
Bearish Hunt: Strong bullish candle making a new high above the past swing high.
Signal Generation:
After a hunt, counts 1-3 small-range candles.
Confirms with a strong candle in the opposite direction (e.g., strong bullish after bearish hunt).
Resets if >3 small candles or an opposing strong candle appears.
Kill Zone Filter:
Checks if the current bar's time (in UTC) falls within London or NY Kill Zones.
Only allows final "Buy" (bullish entry) or "Sell" (bearish entry) if bias matches and in Kill Zone.
Plots:
Yellow circle (below): Bullish liquidity hunt.
Orange circle (above): Bearish liquidity hunt.
Blue diamond (below): Raw bullish signal.
Purple diamond (above): Raw bearish signal.
Green triangle up ("Buy"): Filtered bullish entry.
Red triangle down ("Sell"): Filtered bearish entry.
Inputs
Bias: "Auto" (default), "Bullish", or "Bearish" – Controls signal direction based on daily trend.
ATR Length: 14 (default) – Period for ATR calculation.
Swing Length for Liquidity Hunt: 10 (default) – Bars to look back for swing highs/lows.
Strong Candle Body Multiplier (x ATR): 2.0 (default) – Threshold for strong candle bodies.
Small Range Multiplier (x ATR): 0.5 (default) – Threshold for small-range candles.
London Kill Zone Start/End Hour (UTC): 7/10 (default) – Customize London session hours.
NY Kill Zone Start/End Hour (UTC): 12/15 (default) – Customize New York session hours.
Usage Tips
Timeframe: Best on lower timeframes (e.g., 5-15 min) for intraday trading, especially forex pairs like EURUSD or GBPUSD.
Timezone Adjustment: Inputs are in UTC. If your chart is in a different timezone (e.g., EST = UTC-5), adjust hours accordingly (e.g., London: 2-5 AM EST → 7-10 UTC).
Risk Management: Use with stop-loss (e.g., beyond the hunt low/high) and take-profit based on ATR multiples. Not financial advice—backtest thoroughly.
Customization: Tweak multipliers for different assets; higher for volatile cryptos, lower for stocks.
Limitations: Relies on historical data; may generate false signals in ranging markets. Combine with other indicators like volume or support/resistance.
This indicator is for educational purposes. Always use discretion and proper risk management in live trading. If you find it useful, feel free to share feedback or suggestions!
Accurate Monthly Session HighlighterYou can adjust the start/end times and highlight settings directly from the indicator's input parameters.
UT Bot Confirmed Edition by 相棒This is a high-precision indicator combining UT Bot and QQE MOD, designed for trend detection and confirmed logic.
It is optimized for Gold and USDJPY on the 5-minute and 1-minute timeframes.
Also compatible with other pairs and timeframes.
The Buy/Sell signals use Confirmed Logic to filter out noise and assist with reliable and practical entry decisions.
This is an invite-only script.
To use this script, authorization from the author is required.
Basic ORB [MOT]Basic ORB – Opening Range Breakout Tool
The Basic ORB is a visual tool designed to assist intraday traders by identifying the opening range from 9:30–9:45 AM ET. It automatically plots the high, low, and midpoint of this range to help traders analyze potential areas of interest.
This script provides a simple and customizable way to frame market structure during the early trading session. It is intended to support various intraday strategies across multiple asset classes including futures, stocks, ETFs, indexes, and crypto.
🔹 Key Features
1. Opening Range Levels
- Automatically plots the High, Low, and Midline of the 9:30–9:45 AM ET session.
- Midline helps visualize the midpoint of the range.
- Customizable colors and line thickness.
2. Previous ORB Ranges
- Option to display previous days’ ORB levels for visual pattern recognition.
- Useful for spotting recurring reactions to prior day levels.
3. Dynamic Price Labels
- Adds price labels to each ORB line for quick reference.
- Fully customizable: adjust text size, background color, label position, and offset.
4. Clean Settings Panel
- Customize all visual elements to match your charting style.
- Control how many previous ORBs to display.
- Toggle features on or off for a simplified interface.
🧠 How to Use
- Best viewed on 1m, 5m, or 15m charts.
- Combine with your existing entry/exit criteria to monitor how price interacts with the opening range.
- Common use cases include breakout confirmation, rejection trades, and support/resistance analysis based on prior ORBs.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries risk, and users should test any tools in a demo environment before live use. Always implement proper risk management.
Gold Pullback Strategy [Backtest + Alerts]XAU USD M5 M15 TP1-1
BUY Pull black EMA 21
Storsi oversold
MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing SignalMSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal
## Overview
The **MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal** is a custom TradingView indicator designed to help investors dynamically allocate between two YieldMax ETFs: **MSTY** (YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF) and **WNTR** (YieldMax Short MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF). These ETFs are tied to MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, which is heavily influenced by Bitcoin's price due to MSTR's significant Bitcoin holdings.
MSTY benefits from upward movements in MSTR (and thus Bitcoin) through a covered call strategy that generates income but caps upside potential. WNTR, on the other hand, provides inverse exposure, profiting from MSTR declines but losing in rallies. This indicator uses Bitcoin's momentum and MSTR's relative strength to signal when to hold MSTY (bullish phases), WNTR (bearish phases), or stay neutral, aiming to optimize returns by switching allocations at key turning points.
Inspired by strategies discussed in crypto communities (e.g., X posts analyzing MSTR-linked ETFs), this indicator promotes an active rebalancing approach over a "set and forget" buy-and-hold strategy. In simulated backtests over the past 12 months (as of August 4, 2025), the optimized version has shown potential to outperform holding 100% MSTY or 100% WNTR alone, with an illustrative APY of ~125% vs. ~6% for MSTY and ~-15% for WNTR in one scenario.
**Important Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult a financial advisor. Trading involves risk, and you could lose money. The indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
## Key Features
- **Momentum-Based Signals**: Uses a Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Bitcoin's price to detect bullish (price > SMA) or bearish (price < SMA) trends.
- **RSI Confirmation**: Incorporates MSTR's Relative Strength Index (RSI) to filter signals, avoiding overbought conditions for MSTY and oversold for WNTR.
- **Visual Cues**:
- Green upward triangle for "Hold MSTY".
- Red downward triangle for "Hold WNTR".
- Yellow cross for "Switch" signals.
- Background color: Green for MSTY, red for WNTR.
- **Information Panel**: A table in the top-right corner displays real-time data: BTC Price, SMA value, MSTR RSI, and current Allocation (MSTY, WNTR, or Neutral).
- **Alerts**: Configurable alerts for holding MSTY, holding WNTR, or switching.
- **Optimized Parameters**: Defaults are tuned (SMA: 10 days, RSI: 15 periods, Overbought: 80, Oversold: 20) based on simulations to reduce whipsaws and capture trends effectively.
## How It Works
The indicator's logic is straightforward yet effective for volatile assets like Bitcoin and MSTR:
1. **Primary Trigger (Bitcoin Momentum)**:
- Calculate the SMA of Bitcoin's closing price (default: 10-day).
- Bullish: Current BTC price > SMA → Potential MSTY hold.
- Bearish: Current BTC price < SMA → Potential WNTR hold.
2. **Secondary Filter (MSTR RSI Confirmation)**:
- Compute RSI on MSTR stock (default: 15-period).
- For bullish signals: If RSI > Overbought (80), signal Neutral (avoid overextended rallies).
- For bearish signals: If RSI < Oversold (20), signal Neutral (avoid capitulation bottoms).
3. **Allocation Rules**:
- Hold 100% MSTY if bullish and not overbought.
- Hold 100% WNTR if bearish and not oversold.
- Neutral otherwise (e.g., during choppy or extreme markets) – consider holding cash or avoiding trades.
4. **Rebalancing**:
- Switch signals trigger when the hold changes (e.g., from MSTY to WNTR).
- Recommended frequency: Weekly reviews or on 5% BTC moves to minimize trading costs (aim for 4-6 trades/year).
This approach leverages Bitcoin's influence on MSTR while mitigating the risks of MSTY's covered call drag during downtrends and WNTR's losses in uptrends.
## Setup and Usage
1. **Chart Requirements**:
- Apply this indicator to a Bitcoin chart (e.g., BTCUSD on Binance or Coinbase, daily timeframe recommended).
- Ensure MSTR stock data is accessible (TradingView supports it natively).
2. **Adding to TradingView**:
- Open the Pine Editor.
- Paste the script code.
- Save and add to your chart.
- Customize inputs if needed (e.g., adjust SMA/RSI lengths for different timeframes).
3. **Interpretation**:
- **Green Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to MSTY – Bitcoin is in an uptrend, MSTR not overbought.
- **Red Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to WNTR – Bitcoin in downtrend, MSTR not oversold.
- **Yellow Switch Cross**: Rebalance your portfolio immediately.
- **Neutral (No Signal)**: Panel shows "Neutral" – Hold cash or previous position; reassess weekly.
- Monitor the panel for key metrics to validate signals manually.
4. **Backtesting and Strategy Integration**:
- Convert to a strategy script by changing `indicator()` to `strategy()` and adding entry/exit logic for automated testing.
- In simulations (e.g., using Python or TradingView's backtester), it has outperformed buy-and-hold in volatile markets by ~100-200% relative APY, but results vary.
- Factor in fees: ETF expense ratios (~0.99%), trading commissions (~$0.40/trade), and slippage.
5. **Risk Management**:
- Use with a diversified portfolio; never allocate more than you can afford to lose.
- Add stop-losses (e.g., 10% trailing) to protect against extreme moves.
- Rebalance sparingly to avoid over-trading in sideways markets.
- Dividends: Reinvest MSTY/WNTR payouts into the current hold for compounding.
## Performance Insights (Simulated as of August 4, 2025)
Based on synthetic backtests modeling the last 12 months:
- **Optimized Strategy APY**: ~125% (by timing switches effectively).
- **Hold 100% MSTY APY**: ~6% (gains from BTC rallies offset by downtrends).
- **Hold 100% WNTR APY**: ~-15% (losses in bull phases outweigh bear gains).
In one scenario with stronger volatility, the strategy achieved ~4533% APY vs. 10% for MSTY and -34% for WNTR, highlighting its potential in dynamic markets. However, these are illustrative; real results depend on actual BTC/MSTR movements. Test thoroughly on historical data.
## Limitations and Considerations
- **Data Dependency**: Relies on accurate BTC and MSTR data; delays or gaps can affect signals.
- **Market Risks**: Bitcoin's volatility can lead to false signals (whipsaws); the RSI filter helps but isn't perfect.
- **No Guarantees**: This indicator doesn't predict the future. MSTR's correlation to BTC may change (e.g., due to regulatory events).
- **Not for All Users**: Best for intermediate/advanced traders familiar with ETFs and crypto. Beginners should paper trade first.
- **Updates**: As of August 4, 2025, this is version 1.0. Future updates may include volume filters or EMA options.
If you find this indicator useful, consider leaving a like or comment on TradingView. Feedback welcome for improvements!
Night Session HighlighterYou can adjust the start/end times and highlight settings directly from the indicator's input parameters.
easy market structure finderA trend reversal occurs when the direction of the market changes from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. It is typically confirmed by a shift in price structure, such as a break of key support or resistance, a change in swing highs/lows, or specific candlestick patterns like engulfing or pin bars. Indicators like RSI divergence or moving average crossovers can also support reversal identification. Reversals often follow a strong trend and signal a potential new direction in price movement
SAFE Leverage x50Description:
Safe Leverage x50 is an indicator designed to help traders choose prudent, realistic, and dynamic leverage, adapted to the timeframe and volatility of the asset they are trading.
Based on rigorous statistical and practical observation, this indicator does not propose fixed rules, but rather provides a visual estimate of the maximum leverage a typical trade can tolerate without being liquidated, based on the current candle's movement range. At the same time, it automatically suggests a more conservative leverage (by default, half of the maximum) for more controlled risk management.
