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Monte Carlo Option Forecast [Skachkov]Transform your chart into a professional quantitative analysis terminal. Montecarlo Option Forecast leverages Monte Carlo methods (2000+ simulations) to model future price paths, assess volatility, and calculate the "fair" theoretical value of options. Forget linear predictions. The market is about probability. This tool doesn't just tell you where the price might go—it visualizes the probability distribution and helps you find the mathematical edge to trade it. 🔥 Key Features 🧠 Smart Simulation Engine: Three modeling modes: Historical (Raw) for trending assets, Stationary (Flat) for ranging markets, and Ensemble (50/50 mix). Neon Line: A deterministic forecast line that visualizes the most probable path based on your settings. 🧲 Magnet Mechanics (Mean Reversion): Built-in physics for Mean Reversion. Adjust the Magnet Strength to simulate trends decaying or prices pulling back to the mean/fair value over time. 📊 Professional Option Desk: An embedded table calculates theoretical option values (Call/Put) based on your simulations. MC vs. Black-Scholes: Compares your custom Monte Carlo valuation (MC Val) against the standard Black-Scholes price (BS Pr) to find market inefficiencies. Kelly Criterion: Suggests optimal position sizing (% of budget) based on your calculated edge. Smart Markers: Easily identify the Spot Price (⌖) and the Forecast Target (★) directly in the strike column. 🏆 The Judge (Backtester): The script constantly "judges" itself by running backtests on past data. It displays honest accuracy stats (Win Rate, Error %, Drift). Auto-Correction: Can automatically adjust the forecast drift based on historical errors (Bias). 🎨 Cyberpunk Visuals: A clean, "gap-free" rendering engine with a futuristic Neon aesthetic. Designed to be informative without cluttering your price action. ⚙️ Settings Guide 🔧 Core Engine: Model Source: Choose your distribution logic (Raw / Flat / Ensemble). Magnet Strength: Controls the Mean Reversion pull (0.0 = Off/Pure Trend, 0.5 = Strong Pull). Correct Bias: Enables auto-correction of forecast drift based on historical backtest errors. Disc. Trend: "Discounts" the trend magnitude if the model's past accuracy was low (makes the forecast more conservative). 📊 Option Desk: Strategy: Select your strategy (Long, Short, Vertical Spreads, Iron Condor, Straddle). Volatility %: Manual input for Annualized Volatility (used for the Black-Scholes benchmark). Strike Steps: Adjusts the spread between strike prices in the table. 📅 Dates: Freeze Analysis: Allows you to "freeze" time and anchor the forecast to a specific past date to see how the prediction would have played out. 💡 How to use this? Select your asset and timeframe. Adjust the Magnet if you expect the trend to fade or return to the mean. Check the Option Desk: If the MC Value (Your Model) is significantly different from the BS Price (Market Model) and the Kelly % is positive, you have found a potential mathematical edge. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For educational and quantitative analysis purposes only.
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Laosec tarafından
iFVG Pro [Smart Money Concepts] iFVG Pro is a specialized analysis toolkit designed for Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders. It automates the detection of Inversion Fair Value Gaps (iFVG) combined with Liquidity Sweeps to identify high-probability reaction zones in the market. Indicator Logic: To ensure transparency, here is how the script calculates signals: Swing Detection: Using a ZigZag-based logic, the script marks short-term highs and lows acting as Buy-Side (BSL) and Sell-Side (SSL) liquidity. Liquidity Sweep: The indicator waits for price to "sweep" these levels (wick break only, no body candle close beyond the level). This often indicates a liquidity grab. Inversion FVG: Following the sweep, the algorithm scans for a Fair Value Gap (Imbalance) that gets broken by price, thus becoming "inverted". For example, a bearish FVG is broken upward and now acts as bullish support. Signal Generation: A setup is plotted only when this specific chain of events (Liquidity -> Sweep -> iFVG) is complete. Features: 🎯 iFVG Zones: Automated boxes highlighting potential entry or re-test zones. 💧 Liquidity Lines: Dynamic display of unmitigated highs/lows. 🧹 Clean Chart: Built-in logic removes old objects to keep the chart clutter-free. 📊 Status Panel: Displays details about the last detected setup. ⏰ Time Filter: Configurable trading sessions (e.g., London/New York Session). Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not financial advice.
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DarwinFuturesTrading tarafından
Axiom Flow: NQ/MNQ Algo - 5 Min TFAxiom Flow: Institutional NQ/MNQ Algo Axiom Flow is a specialized, institutional-grade trend and momentum system designed specifically for the Nasdaq (NQ/MNQ) on the 5-minute timeframe. Unlike standard indicators that lag, Axiom Flow combines volatility compression, trend strength, and velocity analysis to filter out "chop" and identify high-probability expansion moves. It is designed to keep you out of the noise and put you in the trade only when the market shows true intent. 🚀 Core Strategy Philosophy The system operates on a "Compression → Expansion" logic. It identifies when the market is building energy (Squeeze) and executes entries when that energy is released in the direction of the dominant trend, validated by institutional volume and momentum. ⚡ Key Features 1. The "Anti-Chop" Filter Engine Most strategies fail in ranging markets. Axiom Flow utilizes a proprietary "Hug" logic that detects when price action is too tight to trade. If the market is chopping, the signals are hard-blocked to protect capital. 2. Traffic Light Volatility System Visualizes market energy at a glance: 🟢 Green Dots (Safe Squeeze): High-potential energy build-up outside of value. 🔴 Red Dots (Risky Squeeze): Compression occurring inside value (chop zone)—warning to stay away. ⚪ Grey Dots: Normal market conditions. 3. Velocity & Momentum Override Sometimes the market moves too fast for standard trend indicators. The Velocity Engine detects abnormal, high-momentum candles (Institutional buying/selling) to trigger "Home Run" entries even if standard conditions haven't fully aligned yet. 4. Dynamic Risk Management Stop Losses and Take Profits are not static points. The system calculates targets based on the Daily ATR (Average True Range). This means your stops and targets breathe with the market's volatility—tighter in slow markets, wider in fast markets. Target 1: High-probability "Bank" target. Target 2: Extended "Runner" target for trend days. 5. Session & Killzone Logic Optimized for the New York Session. The algorithm includes specific filters to highlight the "Kill Zone" (07:00 - 10:00 EST) and automatically closes positions at the end of the session to prevent overnight gaps. 🛡️ How to Use Timeframe: Optimized for 5 Minute. Asset: Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ / MNQ). Visuals: The "Trend Ribbon" turns Green for Bullish and Red for Bearish. Wait for the ribbon to align with a signal label (BUY/SELL). Execution: Follow the signals generated by the strategy tester. All risk parameters are pre-calculated for you.
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AxiomFlow tarafından
SCOTTGO 5 PILLARS & ELITE MOMO PRODescription: SCOTTGO 5 Pillars & Elite Momo Pro This comprehensive trading dashboard combines ScottGo’s 5 Pillars of Momentum with the Elite Momo Pro confluence system. It is designed to help traders identify high-probability momentum setups by filtering for price, volume, and technical alignment in real-time. Key Features: The 5 Pillars Table: Automatically tracks the core requirements for momentum trading: Pillar 1: Relative Volume (RVOL): Compares current volume to a 30-day average. Pillar 2: Daily % Change: Monitors momentum against the daily open. Pillar 3: Catalyst Check: Displays a "🔥" icon for strong intraday moves. Pillar 4: Price Range: Ensures the asset is within your preferred trading window. Pillar 5: Float Analysis: Filters for low-float runners (with "⚠️ N/A" handling). Elite Momo Dashboard: A confluence-based scoring system (0-6) that monitors: VWAP & 9EMA Alignment: Confirms price is on the right side of the trend. RVOL Direction: Checks if volume is expanding. RSI & MACD Confluence: Validates momentum and trend strength. Visual Signals & Labels: * Supertrend Buy/Sell: Visualizes trend flips on the chart. Elite Bull/Bear Labels: Highlights specific high-volume breakout points. Dynamic Daily Label: Real-time floating label showing Daily %, Volume, and RVOL. How to Use: Watch for "Meets All Criteria": When the 5 Pillars table turns green, the stock has passed the core momentum filters. Verify Confluence: Look for a high Elite Momo Score (5/6 or 6/6) to confirm technical alignment. Check News: Use the "Catalyst" prompt to perform a manual check for news or fundamental drivers.
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SCOTTGO tarafından
iFVG Pro [Smart Money Concepts]English / German below iFVG Pro is a specialized analysis toolkit designed for Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders. It automates the detection of Inversion Fair Value Gaps (iFVG) combined with Liquidity Sweeps to identify high-probability reaction zones in the market. Indicator Logic: To ensure transparency, here is how the script calculates signals: Swing Detection: Using a ZigZag-based logic, the script marks short-term highs and lows acting as Buy-Side (BSL) and Sell-Side (SSL) liquidity. Liquidity Sweep: The indicator waits for price to "sweep" these levels (wick break only, no body candle close beyond the level). This often indicates a liquidity grab. Inversion FVG: Following the sweep, the algorithm scans for a Fair Value Gap (Imbalance) that gets broken by price, thus becoming "inverted". For example, a bearish FVG is broken upward and now acts as bullish support. Signal Generation: A setup is plotted only when this specific chain of events (Liquidity -> Sweep -> iFVG) is complete. Features: 🎯 iFVG Zones: Automated boxes highlighting potential entry or re-test zones. 💧 Liquidity Lines: Dynamic display of unmitigated highs/lows. 🧹 Clean Chart: Built-in logic removes old objects to keep the chart clutter-free. 📊 Status Panel: Displays details about the last detected setup. ⏰ Time Filter: Configurable trading sessions (e.g., London/New York Session). Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not financial advice.
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DarwinFuturesTrading tarafından
SMA TR 30 90 180 360 Pine Script version 6 script that displays simple moving averages (SMAs) of 30, 90, 180, and 360 periods. The indicator will plot these four moving averages on the chart, each with a different color for easy identification. It also includes the option for the user to choose whether to show or hide each moving average individually. Colors: SMA30: Blue SMA90: Red SMA180: Green SMA360: Orange You can also adjust the width of the lines so they are visible but not too thick. Note: Since 360 ​​periods is a long moving average, it may not be fully displayed on charts with limited data. However, the calculation will be performed using the available data.
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migtradermexico tarafından
PostingTrader 25 Gold Futures Strategy V1PostingTrader 25 Gold Futures Strategy is a fully automated algorithmic trading strategy developed by PostingTrader, a proprietary product of Utrademy. This strategy is designed exclusively for private, paid members of the PostingTrader community and is available by invitation only. Strategy Overview PostingTrader 25 is based on a proprietary trading algorithm that executes trades 100% automatically, eliminating emotional decision-making and manual intervention. Once enabled, the strategy: * Analyzes market conditions in real time * Automatically executes entries and exits * Applies predefined **targets, stop losses, and risk protection** * Manages trades without user input Users are not required to manually place trades. The only setup required is connecting the strategy to our secure webhook automation private solution, available exclusively to paid users, which allows seamless execution through supported brokers. Markets & Instruments This strategy is designed to operate on MNQ (Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100) electronic futures charts, which are based on the Nasdaq index. The algorithm is optimized for futures trading environments and structured to perform efficiently in both trending and corrective market conditions. Performance & Account Types PostingTrader 25 is engineered for scalability and disciplined risk management: * Designed to target approximately 20%–50% gains on smaller accounts (around $4,000) under proper risk conditions * Suitable for funded trading accounts, including firms such as Apex Funding, with account sizes $100,000+ * Larger accounts allow greater flexibility during drawdowns while maintaining high-probability trade execution ⚠️ Results may vary depending on market conditions, risk settings, and account configuration. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk, and results may vary depending on market conditions, account size, leverage, execution quality, and risk configuration. No performance guarantees are made. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Users are responsible for understanding the risks associated with futures and automated trading. PostingTrader and Utrademy do not provide financial advice. This strategy is provided for educational and technological purposes only. Who This Strategy Is For * Traders seeking fully automated futures trading * Users who want hands-free execution with predefined risk controls * Funded traders looking for systematic, rule-based strategies * Investors who prefer algorithmic discipline over discretionary trading Access & Contact This strategy is not publicly available and is offered only to approved members of the PostingTrader private community. To learn more about: * Strategy access * Our automation technologies * Webhook execution solutions 👉 Visit postingtrader.com
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luisbet78 tarafından
PrecisionAlmanac v1.2Description: PrecisionAlmanac is a probability-based setup detection system that evaluates market conditions through a 4-pillar framework: Flow, Structure, Trend, and Ready. Unlike traditional indicators that generate buy/sell signals, Almanac answers the question "Are conditions favorable for my trade?" How It Works: The indicator continuously monitors four key market components and tracks historical outcomes when multiple pillars align. When conditions meet your probability threshold, visual signals appear on the chart. Signal Types: 🟢 HOT (Green Diamond) - 3+ pillars aligned with high historical profit probability 🟡 WATCH (Yellow Diamond) - 2-3 pillars building, setup developing 🔵 COLD (Cyan Diamond) - Setup has broken down, pillars dropped below 2 with trend break Features: Real-time pillar alignment tracking Historical probability calculation based on your chart's data Configurable lookback period and profit targets Visual rays showing active setup duration Optional info box with live statistics Long and Short bias modes Adjustable sensitivity and pillar stickiness Best Used With: PrecisionAlmanac works as a filter or confirmation tool alongside your existing strategy. Use it to validate setups from PrecisionGateKeeper, PrecisionFlowDominator, or any entry system.
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precisiontrader_tv tarafından
RSI + MACD Regime Table (Strength/Weakness,Chop,Explode,Fakeout)RSI + MACD + VWAP Regime Table Market Regime, Momentum Quality & VWAP Context This indicator is a market-state and context tool designed to help traders objectively assess trend strength, momentum quality, and consolidation risk in real time. It does not generate trade signals and does not attempt to predict price. Its purpose is to provide clear, structured information about current market conditions so traders can make better-informed decisions using their own strategies. Overview Markets alternate between: Directional trends Weakening trends Sideways consolidation (chop) Momentum expansion after compression This indicator focuses on identifying those conditions, not on telling you when to buy or sell. Indicator Components COMBINED – Market Regime Evaluates alignment between RSI and MACD to describe the broader market environment, such as: Bull trend / Bear trend Weakening directional pressure Mixed or transitional conditions Neutral / chop regimes This helps traders avoid trading against unfavorable conditions. MOMENTUM – Acceleration vs Fading Analyzes momentum behavior to indicate whether pressure is: Expanding (bullish or bearish) Fading after a move Non-expansive / flat Useful for avoiding late entries and identifying when trends are losing energy. VWAP – Contextual Reference (Display Only) Anchored VWAP is shown for contextual awareness only and does not influence RSI or MACD logic. It classifies price behavior relative to VWAP, such as: Holding above / below VWAP Reclaimed or lost VWAP Decision areas around VWAP Rejections and tests This provides a clear institutional reference level without generating signals. MACD – Momentum Quality MACD is interpreted as a momentum quality and energy tool, not a simple crossover system. It highlights: Expansion vs contraction Strength vs weakness Chop / whipsaw risk Directional pressure This reduces reliance on basic crossover interpretations. RSI – Regime & Pressure RSI is used as a regime and pressure indicator, not as an overbought/oversold trigger. It evaluates: Bullish / bearish regimes Soft vs strong pressure Compression zones Failure swings and divergence awareness This helps distinguish sustained pressure from short-term noise. Intended Use Market context and regime awareness Filtering trades rather than generating them Supporting discretionary trading decisions Applicable across timeframes and markets What This Indicator Does NOT Do Does not repaint Does not predict future price Does not generate automatic entries or exits Does not guarantee performance No indicator can replace proper risk management or sound trading judgment. Customization Adjustable table position and text size Configurable RSI and MACD parameters Multiple VWAP anchor options Clean overlay with no forced plots Final Notes This indicator is designed to describe market conditions as they are, including periods where trading may be unfavorable. It is most effective when used alongside: Price action Market structure Your existing trade plan and risk rules For educational and analytical purposes only. Always manage risk appropriately.
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kiyoshin999 tarafından
TQ Silver / Gold (Weekly Macro)This indicator tracks the Silver / Gold ratio on a weekly basis to determine whether silver is leading gold (risk appetite returning inside metals) or gold is leading silver (a more defensive precious-metals posture). Within the TQ Weekly Macro Framework, this indicator is designed to be used after confirming the broader macro environment using TQ Gold Trend (Weekly Macro), TQ Gold / DXY (Weekly Macro), and TQ Gold / SPY (Weekly Macro). Why Silver / Gold matters >When Silver / Gold rises, silver is outperforming gold — often associated with reflation, growth expectations, or broad risk appetite within precious metals. >When Silver / Gold falls, gold is outperforming silver — often associated with defense, uncertainty, or tighter financial conditions. >This ratio is not a timing tool — it is a regime and leadership indicator within the metals complex. How it works (regime rules) Using weekly data: Compute Silver ÷ Gold Apply a 30-week SMA Regime definitions: Bull: Ratio above a rising 30-week SMA (silver leading) Bear: Ratio below a falling 30-week SMA (gold leading) Neutral: Transition / range A clear label marks the current regime. How to use it in your system Use after confirming: TQ Gold Trend (Weekly Macro) TQ Gold / DXY (Weekly Macro) TQ Gold / SPY (Weekly Macro) > If Silver / Gold is Bull, metals participation is broadening and silver often has more upside torque. > If Silver / Gold is Bear, gold leadership is defensive and silver exposure may underperform. > Neutral often signals rotation or consolidation. Best timeframe Designed for weekly macro regime analysis.
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tradingqueen18 tarafından
TQ Gold / SPY (Weekly Macro)What this indicator does This indicator tracks the Gold/SPY ratio on a weekly basis to show whether gold is outperforming U.S. equities (risk assets). It helps you determine if the market is favoring hard money / defensive leadership vs risk-on equity leadership. Within the TQ Weekly Macro Framework, this indicator is intended to be used after confirming gold’s primary trend using TQ Gold Trend (Weekly Macro) and its monetary backdrop using TQ Gold / DXY (Weekly Macro). Why Gold/SPY matters Gold can rise during equity booms and during equity stress. The Gold/SPY ratio tells you which asset class is winning in relative terms. Rising Gold/SPY often signals defensive leadership, shifting macro preferences, or risk repricing, especially when aligned with TQ Gold Trend (Weekly Macro). How it works (regime rules) Using weekly data: Compute Gold ÷ SPY Apply a 30-week SMA Regime definitions: Bull: Ratio above a rising 30-week SMA (gold leading equities) Bear: Ratio below a falling 30-week SMA (equities leading gold) Neutral: Transition / range A clear label marks the current regime. How to use it in your system Use after TQ Gold Trend (Weekly Macro) and TQ Gold / DXY (Weekly Macro). > If Gold/SPY is Bull, gold is leading risk assets — metals tend to behave stronger and more “macro-relevant.” > If Gold/SPY is Bear, equities are winning — gold moves may be less dominant. > Neutral usually means rotation or consolidation. Best timeframe Designed for weekly macro regime analysis, not short-term trading.
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tradingqueen18 tarafından
TCT - Range Bar ScalperA confluence-based scalping indicator designed for range bar charts that identifies high-probability trade entries using ADX momentum, Directional Movement bias, and Short-Term Trend direction. 📊 How It Works This indicator generates buy and sell signals when three key conditions align: Buy Signal Triggers When: ADX is above the threshold (default: 20) confirming trend strength Directional Movement shows bullish bias (DI+ > DI-) Short-Term Trend candles are bullish Sell Signal Triggers When: ADX is above the threshold confirming trend strength Directional Movement shows bearish bias (DI- > DI+) Short-Term Trend candles are bearish 🎯 Key Features Dashboard Panel Real-time display of Momentum (ADX value), Bias (DM direction), and Direction (STT state) Color-coded cells for instant visual assessment Fully customizable position, colors, and text size Short-Term Trend Candles Smoothed candles using linear regression to filter noise Overlaid directly on your chart Adjustable reaction speed for faster or smoother signals Smart Signal Logic Toggle between consecutive signals or alternating buy/sell mode Optional filter to require bar close in signal direction Signals only fire when conditions fail and recover (prevents spam) Confluence Dots (Optional) Visual status indicators for each component (ADX, DM, STT) Quickly see which conditions are met or missing Alerts Built-in alert conditions for both buy and sell signals ⚙️ Settings ADX Length Period for ADX/DI calculation (default: 10) ADX Threshold Minimum ADX for signals (default: 20) STT Speed Speed for trend candles (5-200, default: 25) Allow Consecutive Signals Enable/disable same-direction signal repeats Require Bar Close in Direction Filter signals by candle close direction 💡 Best Used On Range bar charts (primary design intent) Works on any timeframe but optimized for scalping Pairs well with support/resistance levels and volume analysis 📝 Notes Lower STT Speed values react faster to price changes; higher values provide smoother signals The ADX threshold filters out choppy, sideways markets Use the confluence dots to understand why signals may not be firing
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the-coding-trader tarafından
1
TQ Gold / DXY (Weekly Macro)What this indicator does This indicator tracks the relative performance of gold versus the U.S. dollar using the Gold/DXY ratio. It helps determine whether gold’s strength is real (monetary) or merely nominal. Why Gold/DXY matters Gold rising with a rising dollar is not a strong signal. Gold rising against a weakening dollar signals monetary outperformance. This ratio filters out dollar noise and focuses on true purchasing-power strength. How it works The indicator calculates Gold ÷ DXY using weekly data. A 30-week SMA is applied to the ratio. Regimes are defined as: Bull: Ratio above a rising 30-week SMA (gold beating the dollar) Bear: Ratio below a falling 30-week SMA Neutral: Transition or range-bound periods A clear on-chart label shows the current regime. How to use it Use after confirming Gold Trend is Bull. When Gold/DXY is Bull, gold has a true monetary tailwind. When Gold/DXY is Bear, gold rallies are often fragile or dollar-driven. Neutral readings signal consolidation or regime change. Best timeframe Designed for weekly charts and macro analysis. Not intended for short-term trading signals.
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tradingqueen18 tarafından