BlueHatInvestor

VIX Volatility Index ~ Trend Analysis (2H Chart)

TVC:VIX   S&P 500 Volatilite Endeksi
VIX chart mapping/analysis.

Always been a firm-believer in strong negative correlation with SPX.

Key is not matching SPX highs with VIX lows ie "catching the bottom" - it should be used as a supplementary indicator for overall market direction, by identifying key support/resistance areas for trend switches that aids you in developing a Trading Edge.

Chart Example:
  • October 2022 peak in VIX marked (temporary?) bottom in SPX
  • VIX unable to break above ~34 resistance zone after multiple attempts = gives way to lower highs & lower lows (change in trend)
  • SPX responds by making series of higher highs & higher lows
  • VIX bottoms around July 2023, unable to break below ~13 resistance zone (ie trend switch)
  • SPX peaks in July & proceeds to pull back until recent reversal - coinciding with dramatic drop in volatility
This is by no means a done & dusted chart - after all it's called the "Volatility Index" lol.

It will require ongoing tweaking, back-testing & confluence with SPX TA work, as well as vigilance of evolving macro-economic events which get rapidly priced into both indices.

Good luck :)


Note: "SPX TEMP BOTTOM horizontal line should be adjusted higher to sit on VIX peaks - can't edit chart & cbf re-publishing...but you get the idea, cheers.

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.