Are Semiconductors Stalling?
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ripped about 29 percent between early July and early August, but now it may be showing signs of fatigue.
The first pattern on this chart is last Thursday’s peak of 3087 -- slightly below the early June high of 3159. That lower high is potentially noteworthy when compared with the broader Nasdaq-100, which pushed above the respective level on its chart to the highest since early May. It could be sign of relative weakness for chips.
Next is Monday’s doji candlestick, a potential reversal pattern. Also notice how SOX appears to have broken a rising trendline.
Third, the Relative Strength Index has retreated from near an overbought condition.
Finally, you have an increasingly mediocre news flow. Nvidia’s warning yesterday, combined with similar news from
Intel and 
Western Digital, may reflect less-than-stellar fundamentals in chip stocks.
Given the market’s healthy bounce and falling volatility, SOX may not retest the 2022 lows. But it may have lost its mojo and chop around for a while as investors seek outperformance in other corners of the market.
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This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: https://www.tradestation.com/important-information.
The first pattern on this chart is last Thursday’s peak of 3087 -- slightly below the early June high of 3159. That lower high is potentially noteworthy when compared with the broader Nasdaq-100, which pushed above the respective level on its chart to the highest since early May. It could be sign of relative weakness for chips.
Next is Monday’s doji candlestick, a potential reversal pattern. Also notice how SOX appears to have broken a rising trendline.
Third, the Relative Strength Index has retreated from near an overbought condition.
Finally, you have an increasingly mediocre news flow. Nvidia’s warning yesterday, combined with similar news from
Intel and Western Digital, may reflect less-than-stellar fundamentals in chip stocks. Given the market’s healthy bounce and falling volatility, SOX may not retest the 2022 lows. But it may have lost its mojo and chop around for a while as investors seek outperformance in other corners of the market.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: https://www.tradestation.com/important-information.
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