Dear Traders SwingX Score v1🎯 Dear Traders SwingX Score
A powerful swing trading indicator that combines momentum, trend strength, and volume analysis to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
🔍 Key Features:
Multi-factor Scoring System (1-5 for bullish, -1 to -5 for bearish)
Volume Confirmation (with MA filter for stronger signals)
Trend Strength Analysis (proprietary ADX calculation)
Momentum Detection (custom RSI thresholds)
Clear Visual Signals (color-coded labels above/below bars)
💡 How It Works:
The indicator evaluates:
Trend strength using a modified ADX formula
Momentum conditions through specialized RSI thresholds
Volume confirmation with moving average filter
Combines these factors into an easy-to-read scoring system
🚦 Signal Interpretation:
Positive Scores (1-5): Bullish opportunities (higher numbers = stronger signal)
Negative Scores (-1 to -5): Bearish opportunities
"*" Symbol: Volume-confirmed (stronger validity)
Neutral (0): Market in balance
⚙️ Customizable Settings:
Adjustable ADX length and threshold
Configurable RSI period
Volume MA length for confirmation filter
📈 Best Used For:
Swing trading and Holding Decision
Confirming other strategy signals
Identifying trend reversals early
Filtering high-probability entries
Note: This is a standalone indicator but works exceptionally well when combined with price action analysis and proper risk management.
Z-score
Dear Traders SwingX Score🎯 Dear Traders SwingX Score
A powerful swing trading indicator that combines momentum, trend strength, and volume analysis to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
🔍 Key Features:
Multi-factor Scoring System (1-5 for bullish, -1 to -5 for bearish)
Volume Confirmation (with MA filter for stronger signals)
Trend Strength Analysis (proprietary ADX calculation)
Momentum Detection (custom RSI thresholds)
Clear Visual Signals (color-coded labels above/below bars)
💡 How It Works:
The indicator evaluates:
Trend strength using a modified ADX formula
Momentum conditions through specialized RSI thresholds
Volume confirmation with moving average filter
Combines these factors into an easy-to-read scoring system
🚦 Signal Interpretation:
Positive Scores (1-5): Bullish opportunities (higher numbers = stronger signal)
Negative Scores (-1 to -5): Bearish opportunities
"*" Symbol: Volume-confirmed (stronger validity)
Neutral (0): Market in balance
⚙️ Customizable Settings:
Adjustable ADX length and threshold
Configurable RSI period
Volume MA length for confirmation filter
📈 Best Used For:
Swing trading and Holding Decision
Confirming other strategy signals
Identifying trend reversals early
Filtering high-probability entries
Note: This is a standalone indicator but works exceptionally well when combined with price action analysis and proper risk management.
Uptrick: Z-Trend BandsOverview
Uptrick: Z-Trend Bands is a Pine Script overlay crafted to capture high-probability mean-reversion opportunities. It dynamically plots upper and lower statistical bands around an EMA baseline by converting price deviations into z-scores. Once price moves outside these bands and then reenters, the indicator verifies that momentum is genuinely reversing via an EMA-smoothed RSI slope. Signal memory ensures only one entry per momentum swing, and traders receive clear, real-time feedback through customizable bar-coloring modes, a semi-transparent fill highlighting the statistical zone, concise “Up”/“Down” labels, and a live five-metric scoring table.
Introduction
Markets often oscillate between trending and reverting, and simple thresholds or static envelopes frequently misfire when volatility shifts. Standard deviation quantifies how “wide” recent price moves have been, and a z-score transforms each deviation into a measure of how rare it is relative to its own history. By anchoring these bands to an exponential moving average, the script maintains a fluid statistical envelope that adapts instantly to both calm and turbulent regimes. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) tracks momentum; smoothing RSI with an EMA and observing its slope filters out erratic spikes, ensuring that only genuine momentum flips—upward for longs and downward for shorts—qualify.
Purpose
This indicator is purpose-built for short-term mean-reversion traders operating on lower–timeframe charts. It reveals when price has strayed into the outer 5 percent of its recent range, signaling an increased likelihood of a bounce back toward fair value. Rather than firing on price alone, it demands that momentum follow suit: the smoothed RSI slope must flip in the opposite direction before any trade marker appears. This dual-filter approach dramatically reduces noise-driven, false setups. Traders then see immediate visual confirmation—bar colors that reflect the latest signal and age over time, clear entry labels, and an always-visible table of metric scores—so they can gauge both the validity and freshness of each signal at a glance.
Originality and Uniqueness
Uptrick: Z-Trend Bands stands apart from typical envelope or oscillator tools in four key ways. First, it employs fully normalized z-score bands, meaning ±2 always captures roughly the top and bottom 5 percent of moves, regardless of volatility regime. Second, it insists on two simultaneous conditions—price reentry into the bands and a confirming RSI slope flip—dramatically reducing whipsaw signals. Third, it uses slope-phase memory to lock out duplicate signals until momentum truly reverses again, enforcing disciplined entries. Finally, it offers four distinct bar-coloring schemes (solid reversal, fading reversal, exceeding bands, and classic heatmap) plus a dynamic scoring table, rather than a single, opaque alert, giving traders deep insight into every layer of analysis.
Why Each Component Was Picked
The EMA baseline was chosen for its blend of responsiveness—weighting recent price heavily—and smoothness, which filters market noise. Z-score deviation bands standardize price extremes relative to their own history, adapting automatically to shifting volatility so that “extreme” always means statistically rare. The RSI, smoothed with an EMA before slope calculation, captures true momentum shifts without the false spikes that raw RSI often produces. Slope-phase memory flags prevent repeated alerts within a single swing, curbing over-trading in choppy conditions. Bar-coloring modes provide flexible visual contexts—whether you prefer to track the latest reversal, see signal age, highlight every breakout, or view a continuous gradient—and the scoring table breaks down all five core checks for complete transparency.
Features
This indicator offers a suite of configurable visual and logical tools designed to make reversal signals both robust and transparent:
Dynamic z-score bands that expand or contract in real time to reflect current volatility regimes, ensuring the outer ±zThreshold levels always represent statistically rare extremes.
A smooth EMA baseline that weights recent price more heavily, serving as a fair-value anchor around which deviations are measured.
EMA-smoothed RSI slope confirmation, which filters out erratic momentum spikes by first smoothing raw RSI and then requiring its bar-to-bar slope to flip before any signal is allowed.
Slope-phase memory logic that locks out duplicate buy or sell markers until the RSI slope crosses back through zero, preventing over-trading during choppy swings.
Four distinct bar-coloring modes—Reversal Solid, Reversal Fade, Exceeding Bands, Classic Heat—plus a “None” option, so traders can choose whether to highlight the latest signal, show signal age, emphasize breakout bars, or view a continuous heat gradient within the bands.
A semi-transparent fill between the EMA and the upper/lower bands that visually frames the statistical zone and makes extremes immediately obvious.
Concise “Up” and “Down” labels that plot exactly when price re-enters a band with confirming momentum, keeping chart clutter to a minimum.
A real-time, five-metric scoring table (z-score, RSI slope, price vs. EMA, trend state, re-entry) that updates every two bars, displaying individual +1/–1/0 scores and an averaged Buy/Sell/Neutral verdict for complete transparency.
Calculations
Compute the fair-value EMA over fairLen bars.
Subtract that EMA from current price each bar to derive the raw deviation.
Over zLen bars, calculate the rolling mean and standard deviation of those deviations.
Convert each deviation into a z-score by subtracting the mean and dividing by the standard deviation.
Plot the upper and lower bands at ±zThreshold × standard deviation around the EMA.
Calculate raw RSI over rsiLen bars, then smooth it with an EMA of length rsiEmaLen.
Derive the RSI slope by taking the difference between the current and previous smoothed RSI.
Detect a potential reentry when price exits one of the bands on the prior bar and re-enters on the current bar.
Require that reentry coincide with an RSI slope flip (positive for a lower-band reentry, negative for an upper-band reentry).
On first valid reentry per momentum swing, fire a buy or sell signal and set a memory flag; reset that flag only when the RSI slope crosses back through zero.
For each bar, assign scores of +1, –1, or 0 for the z-score direction, RSI slope, price vs. EMA, trend-state, and reentry status.
Average those five scores; if the result exceeds +0.1, label “Buy,” if below –0.1, label “Sell,” otherwise “Neutral.”
Update bar colors, the semi-transparent fill, reversal labels, and the scoring table every two bars to reflect the latest calculations.
How It Actually Works
On each new candle, the EMA baseline and band widths update to reflect current volatility. The RSI is smoothed and its slope recalculated. The script then looks back one bar to see if price exited either band and forward to see if it reentered. If that reentry coincides with an appropriate RSI slope flip—and no signal has yet been generated in that swing—a concise label appears. Bar colors refresh according to your selected mode, and the scoring table updates to show which of the five conditions passed or failed, along with the overall verdict. This process repeats seamlessly at each bar, giving traders a continuous feed of disciplined, statistically filtered reversal cues.
Inputs
All parameters are fully user-configurable, allowing you to tailor sensitivity, lookbacks, and visuals to your trading style:
EMA length (fairLen): number of bars for the fair-value EMA; higher values smooth more but lag further behind price.
Z-Score lookback (zLen): window for calculating the mean and standard deviation of price deviations; longer lookbacks reduce noise but respond more slowly to new volatility.
Z-Score threshold (zThreshold): number of standard deviations defining the upper and lower bands; common default is 2.0 for roughly the outer 5 percent of moves.
Source (src): choice of price series (close, hl2, etc.) used for EMA, deviation, and RSI calculations.
RSI length (rsiLen): period for raw RSI calculation; shorter values react faster to momentum changes but can be choppier.
RSI EMA length (rsiEmaLen): period for smoothing raw RSI before taking its slope; higher values filter more noise.
Bar coloring mode (colorMode): select from None, Reversal Solid, Reversal Fade, Exceeding Bands, or Classic Heat to control how bars are shaded in relation to signals and band positions.
Show signals (showSignals): toggle on-chart “Up” and “Down” labels for reversal entries.
Show scoring table (enableTable): toggle the display of the five-metric breakdown table.
Table position (tablePos): choose which corner (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right) hosts the scoring table.
Conclusion
By merging a normalized z-score framework, momentum slope confirmation, disciplined signal memory, flexible visuals, and transparent scoring into one Pine Script overlay, Uptrick: Z-Trend Bands offers a powerful yet intuitive tool for intraday mean-reversion trading. Its adaptability to real-time volatility and multi-layered filter logic deliver clear, high-confidence reversal cues without the clutter or confusion of simpler indicators.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own testing and apply careful risk management before trading live.
Neural Adaptive VWAPNeural Adaptive VWAP with ML Features is an advanced trading indicator that enhances traditional Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculations through machine learning-inspired adaptive algorithms and predictive volume modeling.
🌟 Key Features:
🧠 Machine Learning-Inspired Adaptation
Dynamic weight adjustment system that learns from prediction errors
Multi-feature volume prediction using time-of-day patterns, price momentum, and volatility
Adaptive learning mechanism that improves accuracy over time
📊 Enhanced VWAP Calculation
Combines actual and predicted volume for forward-looking VWAP computation
Session-based reset with proper daily anchoring
Confidence bands based on rolling standard deviation for dynamic support/resistance
🎯 Advanced Signal Generation
Volume-confirmed crossover signals to reduce false entries
Color-coded candle visualization based on VWAP position
Multi-level strength indicators (strong/weak bullish/bearish zones)
⚙️ Intelligent Feature Engineering
Normalized volume analysis with statistical z-score
Time-series pattern recognition for intraday volume cycles
Price momentum and volatility integration
Sigmoid activation functions for realistic predictions
📈 How It Works:
The indicator employs a sophisticated feature engineering approach that extracts meaningful patterns from:
Volume Patterns: Normalized volume analysis and historical comparisons
Temporal Features: Time-of-day and minute-based cyclical patterns
Market Dynamics: Price momentum, volatility, and rate of change
Adaptive Learning: Error-based weight adjustment similar to neural network training
Unlike static VWAP indicators, this system continuously adapts its calculation methodology based on real-time market feedback, making it more responsive to changing market conditions while maintaining the reliability of traditional VWAP analysis.
🔧 Customizable Parameters:
VWAP Length (1-200 bars)
Volume Pattern Lookback (5-50 periods)
Learning Rate (0.001-0.1) for adaptation speed
Prediction Horizon (1-10 bars ahead)
Adaptation Period for weight updates
📊 Visual Elements:
Blue Line: Adaptive VWAP with predictive elements
Red/Green Bands: Dynamic confidence zones
Colored Candles: Position-based strength visualization
Signal Arrows: Volume-confirmed entry points
Info Table: Real-time performance metrics and weight distribution
🎯 Best Use Cases:
Intraday Trading: Enhanced execution timing with volume prediction
Institutional-Style Execution: Improved VWAP-based order placement
Trend Following: Adaptive trend identification with confidence zones
Support/Resistance Trading: Dynamic levels that adjust to market conditions
Fibo Normalized RSI & RSI RibbonPlots both standard and Z-score normalized RSI ribbons using Fibonacci-based periods. Supports adjustable normalization, optional 0–100 scaling, and multi-line visualizations for momentum and deviation analysis.
This tool is designed for traders who want to go beyond standard RSI by adding:
Statistical normalization (Z-score)
Multi-period analysis (Fibonacci structure)
Advanced divergence and exhaustion detection
It gives you both classical momentum context and mathematically rigorous deviation insight, making it ideal for:
Swing traders
Quant-inclined discretionary traders
Multi-timeframe analysts
Trend Confirmation
When both RSI and normalized RSI across short and long periods are stacked in the same direction (e.g., above 50 or with high Z-scores), the trend is likely strong.
Disagreement between the two ribbons (e.g., RSI high but normalized RSI flat) may indicate late-stage trend or false strength.
Mean Reversion Trades
Look for normalized RSI values > +2 or < -2 (i.e., ~2 standard deviations).
Cross-check with standard RSI to see if the move aligns with a traditional overbought/oversold level.
Great for fade/reversal setups when Z-score RSI is extreme but classic RSI is just beginning to turn.
Divergence Detection
Compare the slope of RSI vs. normalized RSI over same period:
If RSI is rising but normalized RSI is falling → momentum is fading despite apparent strength.
Excellent for early warnings before reversals.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Use short-period ribbons (e.g., 3–13) for tactical entries/exits.
Use long-period ribbons (e.g., 55–233) for macro trend bias.
Alignment across both = high-confidence zone.
Supply In Profit Z-Score | Vistula LabsOverview
The Supply In Profit Z-Score indicator is a Pine Script™ tool developed by Vistula Labs for technical analysis of cryptocurrencies, specifically Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It utilizes on-chain data from IntoTheBlock to calculate the difference between the percentage of addresses in profit and those in loss, transforming this metric into a Z-Score. This indicator helps traders identify market sentiment, trend-following opportunities, and overbought or oversold conditions.
What is Supply In Profit?
Supply In Profit is defined as the net difference between the percentage of addresses in profit and those in loss:
Profit Percentage: The proportion of addresses where the current value of holdings exceeds the acquisition price.
Loss Percentage: The proportion of addresses where the current value is below the acquisition price.
A positive value indicates more addresses are in profit, suggesting bullish sentiment, while a negative value indicates widespread losses, hinting at bearish sentiment.
How It Works
The indicator computes a Z-Score to normalize the Supply In Profit data relative to its historical behavior:
Z-Score = (Current Supply In Profit - Moving Average of Supply In Profit) / Standard Deviation of Supply In Profit
Current Supply In Profit: The latest profit-minus-loss percentage.
Moving Average: A customizable average (e.g., EMA, SMA) over a default 180-bar period.
Standard Deviation: Calculated over a default 200-bar lookback period.
Key Features
Data Source:
Selectable between BTC and ETH, pulling daily profit/loss percentage data from IntoTheBlock.
Customization:
Moving Average Type: Options include SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA (default: EMA).
Moving Average Length: Default is 180 bars.
Z-Score Lookback: Default is 200 bars.
Thresholds: Adjustable for long/short signals and overbought/oversold levels.
Signals:
Long Signal: Z-Score crosses above the Long Threshold (default: 1.0).
Short Signal: Z-Score crosses below the Short Threshold (default: -0.64).
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Overbought: Z-Score > 3.0.
Oversold: Z-Score < -2.0.
Visualizations:
Z-Score Plot: Teal for long signals, magenta for short signals.
Threshold Lines: Dashed lines for long/short, solid lines for overbought/oversold.
Candlestick Coloring: Matches signal colors (teal/magenta).
Arrows: Green up-triangles for long entries, red down-triangles for short entries.
Background Colors: Magenta for overbought, teal for oversold.
Alerts:
Conditions for Long Opportunity, Short Opportunity, Overbought, and Oversold.
Usage Guide
Trend Following
Long Entry: When Z-Score crosses above 1.0, indicating potential upward momentum.
Short Entry: When Z-Score crosses below -0.64, suggesting potential downward momentum.
Overbought/Oversold Analysis
Overbought (Z-Score > 3.0): Consider profit-taking or preparing for a reversal.
Oversold (Z-Score < -2.0): Look for buying opportunities or exiting shorts.
Timeframe
Uses daily IntoTheBlock data, ideal for medium to long-term analysis.
Interpretation
High Z-Score: Indicates Supply In Profit is significantly above its historical mean, potentially signaling overvaluation.
Low Z-Score: Suggests Supply In Profit is below its mean, indicating possible undervaluation.
Signals and thresholds help traders act on shifts in market sentiment or extreme conditions.
Conclusion
The Supply In Profit Z-Score indicator provides a robust, data-driven approach to analyzing cryptocurrency market trends and sentiment. By combining on-chain metrics with statistical normalization, it empowers traders to make informed decisions based on historical context and current market dynamics.
Z-Score Trend Monitor [EdgeTerminal]The Z-Score Trend Monitor measures how far the short-term moving average deviates from the long-term moving average using the spread difference of the two — in standardized units. It’s designed to detect overextension, momentum exhaustion, and potential mean-reversion points by converting the spread between two moving averages into a normalized Z-score and tracking its change and direction over time.
The idea behind this is to catch the changes in the direction of a trend earlier than the usual and lagging moving average lines, allowing you to react faster.
The math behind the indicator itself is very simple. We take the simple moving average of the spread between a long term and short term moving average, and divide it by the difference between the spread and spread mean.
This results in a relatively accurate and early acting trend detector that can easily identify overbought and oversold levels in any timeframe. From our own testing, we recommend using this indicator as a trend confirmation tool.
How to Use It:
Keep an eye on the Z-Score or the blue line. When it goes over 2, it indicates an overbought or near top level, and when it goes below -2, it indicates an oversold or near bottom.
When Z-Score returns to zero or grey line, it suggests mean reversion is in progress.
You can also change the Z-Score criteria from 2 and -2 in the settings to any number you’d like for tighter or wider levels.
For scalping and fast trading setups, we recommend shorter SMAs, such as 5 and 20, and for longer trading setups such as swing trades, we recommend 20 and 100.
Settings:
Short SMA: Lookback period of short term simple moving average for the lower side of the SMA spread.
Short Term Weight: Additional weight or multiplier to suppress the short term SMA calculation. This is used to refine the SMA calculation for more granular and edge cases when needed, usually left at 1, meaning it will take the entire given value in the short SMA field.
Long SMA: Lookback period of long term simple moving average for the upper side of the SMA spread.
Long Term Weight: Additional weight or multiplier to suppress the long term SMA calculation. This is used to refine the long SMA calculation for more granular and edge cases when needed, usually left at 1, meaning it will take the entire given value in the long SMA field.
Z-Score Threshold: The threshold for upper (oversold) and lower (overbought) levels. This can also be set individually from the style page.
Z-Score Lookback Window: The lookback period to calculate spread mean and spread standard deviation
Volumetric Tensegrity🧮 Volumetric Tensegrity unifies two of the Leading Indicator suite's critical engines — ZVOL ( volume anomaly detection ) and OBVX ( directional conviction ). Originally designed as a structural economizer for traders navigating strict indicator limits (e.g. < 10 slots per chart), it was forced to evolve beyond that constraint simply to fulfill it, albeit with a difference. The fatal flaw of traditional fusion, where two metrics are blended mathematically, is that they lose scale integrity (i.e. meaning). VTense encodes optical tensegrity to scale the amplitude of the ZVOL histogram and the slope of the OBVX spread independently, so that expansion and direction may coexist without either dominating the frame.
🧬 Tensegrity , by definition, is an intelligent design principle where elements in compression are suspended within a network of continuous tension, forming a stable, self-supporting structure . Originally conceived in esoteric biomorphology (c.f. Da Vinci, Snelson, Casteneda), tensegrity balances force through opposition, not rigidity. Applied to financial markets, Volumetric Tensegrity captures this same principle: price compresses, volume expands, conviction builds or fades — yet structure holds through the interplay. The result is not a prediction engine, but a pressure field — one that visualizes where structure might bend, break, or rebound based on how volume breathes.
🗜️ Rather than layering multiple indicators and consuming precious chart space, VTense frees up room for complementary overlays like momentum mapping, liquidity tiers, or volatility phase detection — making it ideal for modular traders operating in tight technical real estate.
🧠 Core Logic - VTense separates and preserves two essential structural forces:
• ZVOL Histogram : A Z-score-based expansion map that measures current volume deviation from its historical average. It reveals buildup zones, dormant stretches, and breakout pressure — regardless of price behavior.
• OBVX Spread : A directional conviction curve that tracks the difference between On-Balance Volume and its volume-weighted fast trend. It shows whether the crowd is leaning in (accumulation/distribution) or backing off.
🔊 ZVOL controls the amplitude of the histogram, while OBVX controls the curvature and slope of the spread. Without sacrificing breathing behavior or analytical depth, VTense provides a compact yet dynamic lens to track both expansion pressure and directional bias within a single footprint.
🌊 Volumetric Tensegrity forecasts breakout readiness, trend fatigue, and compression zones by measuring the volatility within volume . Unlike traditional tools that track volatility of price, this indicator reveals when effort becomes unstable — signaling inflection points before price reacts. Designed to decode rhythm shifts at the volume level, it operates as a pre-ignition scanner that thrives on low-timeframe charts (15m and under) while scaling effectively to 1H for validation.
🪖 From Generals to Scouts
👀 When used jointly, ZVOL + OBVX act as the general : deep-field analysts confirming stress, commitment, or exhaustion. VTense , by contrast, functions as a scout — capturing subtle buildup and alignment before structure fully reveals itself. The indicator aims to be a literal vanguard, establishing a position that can be confirmed or flexibly abandoned when the higher authority arrives to evaluate.
🥂 Use the ZVOL + OBVX pair when :
• You need independent axis control and manual dissection
• You’re building long-form confluence setups
• You have more indicator slots than you need
🔎 Use VTense when :
• You need compact clarity across multiple instruments
• You’re prioritizing confluence _detection_ over granular separation
• You’re building efficient multi-layered systems under slot constraints
🏗️ Structural Behavior and Interpretation
🫁 Z VOL Respiration Histogram : Structural Effort vs Baseline
🔵 Compression Coil – volume volatility is low and stable; the market is coiling
🟢 Steady Rhythm – volume is healthy but unremarkable; balanced participation
🟡 Passive/Absorbed Effort – expansion failing to manifest; watch for reversal
🟠 Clean Expansion – actionable volatility rise backed by structure
🔴 Volatile Blowout – chaos, climax; likely end-phase or fakeout
⚖️ ZVOL Respiration measures how hard the crowd is pressing — not just that volume is rising, but how statistically abnormal the surge is. Because it is rescaled proportionally to OBVX, the amplitude of the histogram reflects structural urgency without overwhelming the visual field.
🖐️ OBVX Spread : Real-Time Directional Conviction Behind Price Moves
🔑 The curvature of the spread reveals not just directional bias but crowd temp o: sharp slopes = urgent transitions; gradual slopes = building structural shifts. Curvature is key: sharp OBVX slope = urgency; gentle arcs = controlled drift or indecision.
• Green Rising : Accumulation — upward pressure from real buyers
• Red Falling : Distribution — sell pressure, downward slope
• Flat Curves : Transitional → uncertainty, microstructure digestion
🎭 Synchronized vs Divergent Behavior
⏱️ Synchronized (high-confluence) : often precedes structural breakouts, with internal conviction clearly visible before price resolves.
• ZVOL expands (yellow/orange/red) and OBVX climbs steeply green = strong bullish pressure
• ZVOL expands while OBVX steepens red = growing sell-side intent
🪤 Divergent (conflict tension) : flags potential traps, fakeouts, and liquidity sweeps.
• ZVOL expands sharply, but OBVX flattens or opposes → reactive expansion without crowd commitment
⛔️ Latent Drift + Structural Holding Patterns : tensegrity in action — the market holds tension without directional release.
• ZVOL compresses (blue) + OBVX meanders near zero → structure is resting, building up energy
• After prolonged drift, expect violent asymmetry when balance finally breaks
📚 Phase Interpretation: Dynamic Structural Read
• 1️⃣ Quiet Coil : Histogram flat, OBVX flat → no urgency
• 2️⃣ Initial Pulse : Yellow bars, OBVX slope builds → actionable tension
• 3️⃣ Structural Breath : Synchronized expansion and slope → directional commitment
• 4️⃣ Disagreement : Spike in ZVOL, flattening OBVX → exhaustion risk or false signal
💡 Suggested Use
• Run on 15m charts for breakout anticipation and 1H for validation
• Pair with ZVOL + OBVX to confirm crowd conviction behind the tension phase
• Use as a rhythm filter for the suite's trend indicators (e.g., RDI , SUPeR TReND 2.718 , et. al.)
• Ideal during low-volume regimes to detect pressure buildup before triggers
🧏🏻 Volumetric Tensegrity doesn’t signal. It breathes , and listens to pressure shifts before they speak in price. As a scout, it lets you see structural posture before signals align — helping you front-run resolution with clarity, not prediction.
Custom Performance TableThis script generates a table designed to provide a concise yet highly customizable overview of the performance of multiple financial instruments, displayed directly on the chart. The table can include up to 40 tickers, each individually configurable, with values updated in real time based on either the current chart timeframe or a specific user-selected timeframe.
NOTE : The update frequency of the table values depends on the refresh rate of the chart's main ticker to which the indicator is applied. To ensure a consistent and reliable data feed, especially when monitoring heterogeneous instruments, it is recommended to apply the indicator to a highly liquid and continuously traded asset, such as BTCUSD.
PERFORMANCE CALCULATION MODES
You can choose from three different performance calculation modes:
1) Change % (Percentage Change)
Displays the percentage change of the current price compared to the previous candle within the selected timeframe.
(Current Price - Previous Price) / Previous Price * 100
This mode provides an immediate and straightforward measure of each instrument's percentage movement, useful for quick visual comparisons of relative strength among assets.
2) Z-Score
The Z-Score measures how much the current price variation deviates from the historical average variation, relative to the standard deviation of those variations.
(Current Variation - Average Variation) / Standard Deviation of Variations
The result indicates how statistically unusual a movement is:
- Values near 0 suggest normal variations.
- Values above ±2 indicate statistically significant deviations.
This is a valuable tool for identifying overbought/oversold conditions or market stress events and is often used in mean reversion strategies.
NOTE : Due to technical constraints, Z-Score can only be calculated when the selected timeframe matches the chart's timeframe exactly.
3) RAROC (Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital)
RAROC expresses an asset's performance in relation to the risk taken, measured through its volatility (standard deviation of price).
Percentage Change / Standard Deviation of Price
It allows for an assessment of return efficiency in relation to volatility.
A high RAROC value indicates a high return relative to the risk, making it a useful tool for comparing assets with different risk profiles. It is especially suitable for portfolio selection and allocation purposes.
TABLE CONFIGURATION
Each ticker can be customized with its own label, colors, and position in the table.
Each row can display the ticker name or a custom label, which, at the user's discretion, can either replace the name or be shown as an informational tooltip.
The table can be placed anywhere on the chart using horizontal and vertical offset parameters. Thanks to offset support, you can, for example, create financial market overview layouts. This can be done by completely “cleaning” the chart from price and indicators using TradingView settings, and then displaying multiple tables simultaneously (see the example chart published here).
Advanced customization options are also available for the table's appearance, including font settings, colors, borders, and more.
CALCULATION TIMEFRAME
The indicator allows the user to force a specific timeframe (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Yearly) when applied to intraday charts.
However, for Z-Score mode, the selected timeframe must match the chart's timeframe exactly to ensure correct computation. Otherwise, the script will halt until settings are properly adjusted.
USAGE NOTES
Custom Performance Table is a flexible and adaptable tool, suitable for both intraday operations and medium- to long-term analysis. It is designed for traders and analysts who need to compare assets based on quantitative metrics, whether simple (like percentage change) or more advanced and risk-adjusted (such as Z-Score and RAROC).
Institutional MACD (Z-Score Edition) [VolumeVigilante]📈 Institutional MACD (Z-Score Edition) — Professional-Grade Momentum Signal
This is not your average MACD .
The Institutional MACD (Z-Score Edition) is a statistically enhanced momentum tool, purpose-built for serious traders and breakout hunters . By applying Z-Score normalization to the classic MACD structure, this indicator uncovers statistically significant momentum shifts , enabling cleaner reads on price extremes, trend continuation, and potential reversals.
💡 Why It Matters
The classic MACD is powerful — but raw momentum values can be noisy and relative , especially on volatile assets like BTC/USD . By transforming the MACD line, signal line, and histogram into Z-scores , we anchor these signals in statistical context . This makes the Institutional MACD:
✔️ Timeframe-agnostic and asset-normalized
✔️ Ideal for spotting true breakouts , not false flags
✔️ A reliable tool for detecting momentum divergence and exhaustion
🧪 Key Features
✅ Full Z-Score normalization (MACD, Signal, Histogram)
✅ Highlighted ±Z threshold bands for overbought/oversold zones
✅ Customizable histogram coloring for visual momentum shifts
✅ Built-in alerts for zero-crosses and Z-threshold breaks
✅ Clean overlay with optional display toggles
🔁 Strategy Tip: Mean Reversion Signals with Statistical Confidence
This indicator isn't just for spotting breakouts — it also shines as a mean reversion tool , thanks to its Z-Score normalization .
When the Z-Score histogram crosses beyond ±2, it marks a statistically significant deviation from the mean — often signaling that momentum is overstretched and the asset may be due for a pullback or reversal .
📌 How to use it:
Z > +2 → Price action is in overbought territory. Watch for exhaustion or short setups.
Z < -2 → Momentum is deeply oversold. Look for reversal confirmation or long opportunities.
These zones often precede snap-back moves , especially in range-bound or corrective markets .
🎯 Combine Z-Score extremes with:
Candlestick confirmation
Support/resistance zones
Volume or price divergence
Other mean reversion tools (e.g., RSI, Bollinger Bands)
Unlike the raw MACD, this version delivers statistical thresholds , not guesswork — helping traders make decisions rooted in probability, not emotion.
📢 Trade Smart. Trade Vigilantly.
Published by VolumeVigilante
ZVOL — Z-Score Volume Heatmapⓩ ZVOL transforms raw volume into a statistically calibrated heatmap using Z-score thresholds. Unlike classic volume indicators that rely on fixed MA comparisons, ZVOL calculates how many standard deviations each volume bar deviates from its mean. This makes the reading adaptive across timeframes and assets, in order to distinguish meaningful crowd behavior from random volatility.
📊 The core display is a five-zone histogram, each encoded by color and statistical depth. Optional background shading mirrors these zones across the entire pane, revealing subtle compression or structural rhythm shifts across time. By grounding the volume reading in volatility-adjusted context, ZVOL inhibits impulsive trading tactics by compelling the structure, not the sentiment, to dictate the signal.
🥵 Heatmap Coloration:
🌚 Suppressed volume — congestion, coiling phases
🩱 Stable flow — early trend or resting volume
🏀 High activity — emerging pressure
💔 Extreme — possible climax or institutional print
🎗️ A dynamic Fibonacci-based 21:34-period EMA ribbon overlays the histogram. The fill area inverts color on crossover, providing a real-time read on tempo, expansion, or divergence between price structure and crowd effort.
💡 LTF Usage Suggestions:
• Confirm breakout legs when orange or red zones align with range exits
• Fade overextended moves when red bars appear into resistance
• Watch for rising EMAs and orange volume to front-run impulsive moves
• Combine with volatility suppression (e.g. ATR) to catch compression → expansion transitions
🥂 Ideal Pairings:
• OBVX Conviction Bias — to confirm directional intent behind volume shifts
• SUPeR TReND 2.718 — for directional filters
• ATR Turbulence Ribbon — to detect compression phases
👥 The OBVX Conviction Bias adds a second dimension to ZVOL by revealing whether crowd effort is aligning with price direction or diverging beneath the surface. While ZVOL identifies statistical anomalies in raw volume, OBVX tracks directional commitment using cumulative volume and moving average cross logic. Use them together to spot fake-outs, anticipate structure-confirmed breakouts, or time pullbacks with volume-based conviction.
🔬 ZVOL isn’t just a volume filter — it’s a structural lens. It reveals when crowd effort is meaningful, when it's fading, and when something is about to shift. Designed for structure-aware traders who care about context, not noise.
MACD Z-ScoreMACD Z-Score Indicator Description
This indicator takes the traditional MACD and converts its histogram into a standardized z‑score. It does so by first calculating the MACD using a fast and a slow moving average (which you can choose to compute with either SMA or EMA). The MACD histogram is then derived as the difference between the MACD line and a signal line (again, with your choice of smoothing method).
Next, the indicator computes a z‑score of that histogram over a user‑defined lookback period. In simple terms, it measures how far (in terms of standard deviations) the current histogram value deviates from its average. This standardization makes it easier to compare the MACD’s momentum across different assets or timeframes. There’s also an option to further smooth the z‑score with an EMA to reduce noise.
Finally, the indicator plots the resulting z‑score along with horizontal reference lines at key levels (such as 1, -1, 2, -2, 3, and -3) and changes the background color when the z‑score exceeds a high threshold (above 2) or drops below a low threshold (below -2), providing a visual cue for potential long or short conditions.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking for a normalized way to assess momentum, helping them to easily spot when the MACD histogram deviates significantly from its typical range.
NUPL Z-Score | Vistula LabsWhat is NUPL?
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is a fundamental on-chain metric used to evaluate the profit or loss state of a cryptocurrency's market participants, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It compares the current market capitalization—the total value of all coins at their current price—to the realized capitalization, which represents the average price at which all coins were last transacted on-chain.
Market Capitalization: Current price × circulating supply.
Realized Capitalization: The sum of the value of all coins based on the price at their last on-chain movement.
For Bitcoin (BTC):
NUPL = (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap * 100
For Ethereum (ETH):
NUPL = (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap
A positive NUPL indicates that the market holds unrealized profits, meaning the current value exceeds the price at which coins were last moved. A negative NUPL signals unrealized losses. Extreme NUPL values—high positives or low negatives—can suggest overvaluation (potential market tops) or undervaluation (potential market bottoms), respectively.
How NUPL is Calculated for BTC & ETH
This indicator calculates NUPL using data sourced from Glassnode and CoinMetrics:
For Bitcoin:
Market Cap: GLASSNODE:BTC_MARKETCAP
Realized Cap: COINMETRICS:BTC_MARKETCAPREAL
Formula: ((btc_market_cap - btc_market_cap_real) / btc_market_cap) * 100
For Ethereum:
Market Cap: GLASSNODE:ETH_MARKETCAP
Realized Cap: COINMETRICS:ETH_MARKETCAPREAL
Formula: ((eth_market_cap - eth_market_cap_real) / eth_market_cap) * 100
The indicator then transforms these NUPL values into a Z-Score, which measures how many standard deviations the current NUPL deviates from its historical average. The Z-Score calculation incorporates:
A customizable moving average of NUPL (options: SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA) over a user-defined length (default: 220 periods).
The standard deviation of NUPL over a specified lookback period (default: 200 periods).
Z-Score Formula:
Z-Score = (Current NUPL - Moving Average of NUPL) / Standard Deviation of NUPL
This normalization allows the indicator to highlight extreme market conditions regardless of the raw NUPL scale.
How This Indicator Can Be Used
Trend Following
The NUPL Z-Score indicator employs a trend-following system with adjustable thresholds to generate trading signals:
Long Signals: Triggered when the Z-Score crosses above the Long Threshold (default: 0.26).
Short Signals: Triggered when the Z-Score crosses below the Short Threshold (default: -0.62).
Visual Representations:
Green up-triangles: Indicate long entry points (plotted below the bar).
Red down-triangles: Indicate short entry points (plotted above the bar).
Color-coded elements:
Candles and Z-Score plot turn teal (#00ffdd) for long positions.
Candles and Z-Score plot turn magenta (#ff00bf) for short positions.
These signals leverage historical NUPL trends to identify potential momentum shifts, aiding traders in timing entries and exits.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions
The indicator flags extreme market states using additional thresholds:
Overbought Threshold (default: 3.0): When the Z-Score exceeds this level, the market may be significantly overvalued, hinting at potential selling pressure. Highlighted with a light magenta background (#ff00bf with 75% transparency).
Oversold Threshold (default: -2.0): When the Z-Score drops below this level, the market may be significantly undervalued, suggesting buying opportunities. Highlighted with a light teal background (#00ffdd with 75% transparency).
These extreme Z-Score levels have historically aligned with major market peaks and troughs, making them useful for medium- to long-term position management.
Customization Options
Traders can tailor the indicator to their preferences:
Cryptocurrency Source: Choose between BTC or ETH.
Moving Average Type: Select from SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA.
Moving Average Length: Adjust the period for the NUPL moving average (default: 220).
Z-Score Lookback Period: Set the historical window for Z-Score calculation (default: 200).
Thresholds: Fine-tune values for: Long Threshold (default: 0.26), Short Threshold (default: -0.62), Overbought Threshold (default: 3.0), Oversold Threshold (default: -2.0)
These options enable users to adapt the indicator to various trading strategies and risk profiles.
Alerts
The indicator supports four alert conditions to keep traders informed:
NUPL Long Opportunity: Alerts when a long signal is triggered.
NUPL Short Opportunity: Alerts when a short signal is triggered.
NUPL Overbought Condition: Alerts when the Z-Score exceeds the overbought threshold.
NUPL Oversold Condition: Alerts when the Z-Score falls below the oversold threshold.
These alerts allow traders to monitor key opportunities without constantly watching the chart.
Ichimoku Score Indicator [tanayroy]The Ichimoku Cloud is a comprehensive indicator that provides a clear view of market states through five key components. By analyzing the interaction between these components and the asset's price, traders can gain insights into trend direction, momentum, and potential reversals.
Introducing the Ichimoku Score System
I have developed a scoring system that quantifies these interactions, offering an objective method to evaluate market conditions. The score is calculated based on the relative positioning of Ichimoku components, with adjustable weightings via user input.
Scoring Criteria
Each component contributes to the overall score as follows:
Price vs. Cloud (Kumo) & Other Components
Price vs. Kumo → 2 Points
Price vs. Kumo Shadow → 0.5 Points
Tenkan vs. Kijun
Tenkan vs. Kijun → 2 Points
Tenkan vs. Kumo → 0.5 Points
Kijun vs. Kumo → 0.5 Points
Tenkan Slope → 0.5 Points
Kijun Slope → 0.5 Points
Chikou Span Interactions
Price vs. Chikou → 2 Points
Chikou vs. Kumo → 0.5 Points
Chikou Consolidation → 0.5 Points
Senkou Span Analysis
Senkou A vs. Senkou B → 2 Points
Senkou Slope → 0.5 Points
Price vs. Key Levels
Price vs. Tenkan → 2 Points
Price vs. Kijun → 2 Points
Interpreting the Score
The aggregate score functions as an oscillator, fluctuating between a range of ±16.0.
A higher score indicates strong bullish momentum.
A lower score suggests bearish market conditions.
To enhance readability and smooth fluctuations, a 9-period SMA is applied to the score.
Application in Algorithmic Trading
This scoring system helps integrate Ichimoku Cloud principles into algorithmic trading strategies by providing a structured and quantifiable method for assessing market conditions.
Would love to hear your feedback! 🚀 Let me know how this system works for you.
Z-Score Financial Market Conditions | JeffreyTimmermansZ-Score Financial Market Conditions
The Z-Score Financial Market Conditions indicator is a cutting-edge tool for measuring financial market stress and relaxation by combining eight critical financial metrics into a single composite Z-score. This dynamic indicator provides traders and analysts with actionable insights into the overall state of the financial markets, enabling informed decision-making across various trading and investment systems.
Purpose of the Indicator
This indicator serves as a comprehensive gauge of financial market conditions, offering a clear visualization of whether the markets are in a state of stress (elevated risks) or relaxation (normalized conditions). The Z-Score Financial Market Conditions tool is particularly effective for:
Macro-Level Risk Assessment: Identifying periods of high market stress or calmness.
Trend Following Systems: Gauging the market's underlying conditions to validate trends.
Mean Reversion Strategies: Using extreme Z-score levels to detect potential reversals.
Portfolio Risk Management: Adjusting asset exposure based on market-wide financial conditions.
This indicator works exclusively on the 1-day timeframe, as it is calibrated to analyze daily changes in the financial metrics that drive market behavior.
The Eight Key Components and Their Importance
The composite Z-score integrates the Z-scores of the following eight financial metrics. These metrics have been selected for their complementary insights into various aspects of financial market conditions:
VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index)
Reflects implied volatility in the U.S. equity market.
High VIX values indicate increased uncertainty and risk aversion among market participants.
MOVE (US Treasury Bond Volatility Index)
Captures volatility in U.S. Treasury bonds.
Essential for understanding risk in fixed-income markets, which significantly impact broader economic conditions.
ICE BofA High Yield Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2)
Measures the risk premium for high-yield corporate bonds.
Rising spreads suggest increased credit risk and potential economic stress.
ICE BofA Corporate Index Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLC0A0CM)
Tracks credit spreads in the investment-grade bond market.
Helps evaluate the health of higher-quality corporate debt, a key indicator of financial stability.
ICE BofA US High Yield Index Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2)
Focuses on high-yield U.S. corporate bonds.
Provides localized insights into U.S. credit conditions and risk levels.
CDS (Credit Default Swap Spreads)
Measures the cost of insuring against bond defaults.
Rising CDS spreads signal growing concern over creditworthiness, often a leading indicator of financial stress.
Global Bond Spread (AGG)
Represents global fixed-income spreads.
Offers a broader perspective on international financial conditions beyond the U.S. market.
TED Spread (Treasury-EuroDollar Spread)
The difference between interbank lending rates and short-term U.S. Treasury yields.
Widely regarded as an indicator of systemic risk in the banking sector.
Features and Improvements
This script builds upon the original concept by introducing advanced features to enhance its precision and usability:
Lookback Period Adjustment
A customizable lookback period for Z-score calculations (default: 160 days).
Allows for greater flexibility in adapting to different market conditions.
Moving Average (MA) Smoothing
Optional smoothing of Z-scores using an exponential moving average (EMA) for enhanced clarity.
Default smoothing length: 8 days.
Individual Component Visibility
Plots for individual Z-scores can be enabled or disabled to focus on specific metrics.
Dynamic Background Coloring
Visual cues to indicate bullish (green) or bearish (red) financial conditions based on the composite Z-score.
Custom Inputs
Toggle on/off for each financial metric to tailor the indicator to specific use cases.
Customizable parameters for smoothing and moving averages.
Applications
This indicator is versatile and can be effectively used in various trading systems and strategies:
Long-Term Investment Decision-Making: Assess macroeconomic trends for portfolio rebalancing.
Systematic Trading: Incorporate market conditions into algorithmic models to enhance robustness.
Volatility-Based Strategies: Use Z-score fluctuations to anticipate periods of market turbulence or calm.
Credits
This indicator was inspired by and builds upon the work of TomasOnMarkets . While incorporating significant enhancements, it acknowledges the foundational concepts provided by this original source. Thank you for sharing your input on this important indicator. We are honored to use it and to further improve upon it.
-Jeffrey
VWAP Valuation Model | JeffreyTimmermansVWAP Valuation Model
This indicator provides a powerful tool for traders looking to assess the value of an asset based on the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) and the z-score. The VWAP Valuation Model is designed to give insights into the overbought or oversold condition of an asset by comparing the current price to a volume-weighted average over a defined period.
Key Features:
VWAP Baseline: The indicator calculates a volume-weighted moving average of the price, which serves as the core reference line for price analysis.
Z-Score: The z-score is calculated to determine how far the current price deviates from the mean, adjusted for volatility. This score helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Smoothing Option: Optionally, the indicator can be smoothed for better visualization, with the smoothing length being adjustable.
Real-time Data: The indicator provides real-time insights for multiple assets, such as Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Ethereum (ETHUSD), and Solana (SOLUSD), and can take the broader market performance (like the total crypto market) into account.
Z-Score Table: The indicator features an interactive table that provides valuable information on the z-scores of selected assets, allowing traders to quickly get an overview of market conditions. The table is strategically positioned above the chart for maximum visibility without interfering with the chart data.
Usage:
Overbought/Oversold: A z-score above +1.5 indicates overvaluation (overbought), while a score below -1.5 indicates undervaluation (oversold). This indicator helps in making informed trading decisions.
VWAP Range: The indicator offers a visual representation of the VWAP range, crucial for understanding price trends and market dynamics.
This indicator is ideal for investors interested in fundamental analysis while also needing technical insights to identify buy and sell opportunities. It helps to objectively assess market valuation and make well-informed decisions.
Important Note: This indicators works only in mean-reverting markets, not trending periods.
-Jeffrey
Z-Score + Valuation BTC | JeffreyTimmermansBTC Valuation Indicator with Z-Score Analysis
The BTC Valuation Indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to offer traders and analysts a deeper understanding of Bitcoin’s market valuation, empowering them to make more informed decisions. By utilizing a combination of key moving averages and a logarithmic trendline, along with advanced statistical analysis through the Z-Score Indicator, this tool provides a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s potential undervaluation or overvaluation.
Key Features:
200MA/P (200-Day Moving Average to Price Ratio)
This component compares Bitcoin’s current price to its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), offering insights into the long-term trend. A positive value signals a potential undervaluation of Bitcoin, while a negative value may indicate overvaluation.
Use case: Identifying long-term price trends to forecast potential buying or selling opportunities.
50MA/P (50-Day Moving Average to Price Ratio)
This ratio focuses on the short-term dynamics of Bitcoin’s price, comparing it to its 50-day SMA. It helps traders detect bullish or bearish trends in the immediate future.
Use case: Spotting short-term market movements and adjusting strategies accordingly.
LTL/P (Logarithmic TrendLine to Price Ratio)
This ratio incorporates Bitcoin’s historical age, using a logarithmic trendline to measure price movements against long-term expectations. A divergence from this trendline can signal potential overvaluation or undervaluation, assisting in aligning trading decisions with broader market trends.
Use case: Evaluating the overall trajectory of Bitcoin’s value over time and predicting significant market shifts.
Z-Score Indicator Integration:
The BTC Valuation Indicator utilizes the Z-Score, a powerful statistical measure, to assess how far each of the aforementioned ratios deviates from the mean. Z-Scores help standardize these ratios, allowing traders to gauge the severity of under or overvaluation compared to historical averages.
What is a Z-Score?
A Z-score measures how far a data point is from the mean in terms of standard deviations. A Z-score of 0 indicates the value is exactly at the mean, while a positive or negative score shows how much the value deviates from it. A higher Z-score signals a more significant deviation, potentially pointing to a market anomaly, while a Z-score near 0 indicates normal conditions.
For instance:
A Z-score above +2 indicates that Bitcoin may be overvalued, with the likelihood of a market correction or reversion to the mean.
A Z-score below -2 signals possible undervaluation, suggesting an upward trend may be on the horizon.
Z-Score and Market Volatility
The Z-Score Indicator can be used in conjunction with volatility measures, such as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), to forecast potential market volatility. Just as a Z-scored VIX above +2 suggests decreasing volatility and the possibility of an upward trend, a Z-scored VIX below -2 indicates increasing volatility and a potential downward trend. This parallel can be used to predict Bitcoin’s potential movements in times of market uncertainty.
How to Use:
The BTC Valuation Indicator, when paired with the Z-Score, provides a more refined statistical framework to analyze Bitcoin’s market conditions. This integration allows traders to assess the severity of potential trends and price anomalies, assisting in the identification of profitable entry and exit points.
Important Considerations:
No Guarantee of Market Predictions: While this indicator is a valuable tool for assessing market conditions, no indicator can guarantee future performance. Always consider multiple factors and use the indicator as part of a comprehensive strategy.
Market Dynamics:
As market conditions evolve, continuously refine your approach. Historical performance may not be indicative of future results, and traders should remain vigilant to changing trends and developments.
By combining the power of moving averages, logarithmic trend lines, and Z-scores, the BTC Valuation Indicator equips investors with a robust, data-driven approach to Bitcoin valuation, enhancing decision-making and enabling a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics.
-Jeffrey
Universal Trend and Valuation System [QuantAlgo]Universal Trend and Valuation System 📊🧬
The Universal Trend and Valuation System by QuantAlgo is an advanced indicator designed to assess asset valuation and trends across various timeframes and asset classes. This system integrates multiple advanced statistical indicators and techniques with Z-score calculations to help traders and investors identify overbought/sell and oversold/buy signals. By evaluating valuation and trend strength together, this tool empowers users to make data-driven decisions, whether they aim to follow trends, accumulate long-term positions, or identify turning points in mean-reverting markets.
💫 Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The Universal Trend and Valuation System by QuantAlgo provides a unique framework for assessing market valuation and trend dynamics through a blend of Z-score analysis and trend-following algorithm. Unlike traditional indicators that only reflect price direction, this system incorporates multi-layered data to reveal the relative value of an asset, helping users determine whether it’s overvalued, undervalued, or approaching a trend reversal. By combining high quality trend-following tools, such as Dynamic Score Supertrend, DEMA RSI, and EWMA, it evaluates trend stability and momentum quality, while Z-scores of performance ratios like Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega standardize deviations from historical trends, enabling traders and investors to spot extreme conditions. This dual approach allows users to better identify accumulation (undervaluation) and distribution (overvaluation) phases, enhancing strategies like Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) and overall timing for entries and exits.
📊 Technical Composition and Calculation
The Universal Trend-Following Valuation System is composed of several trend-following and valuation indicators that create a dynamic dual scoring model:
Risk-Adjusted Ratios (Sharpe, Sortino, Omega): These ratios assess trend quality by analyzing an asset’s risk-adjusted performance. Sharpe and Sortino provide insight into trend consistency and risk/reward, while Omega evaluates profitability potential, helping traders and investors assess how favorable a trend or an asset is relative to its associated risk.
Dynamic Z-Scores: Z-scores are applied to various metrics like Price, RSI, and RoC, helping to identify statistical deviations from the mean, which indicate potential extremes in valuation. By combining these Z-scores, the system produces a cumulative score that highlights when an asset may be overbought or oversold.
Aggregated Trend-Following Indicators: The model consolidates multiple high quality indicators to highlight probable trend shifts. This helps confirm the direction and strength of market moves, allowing users to spot reversals or entry points with greater clarity.
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The Universal Trend and Valuation System combines various technical and statistical tools to deliver a well-rounded analysis of market trends and valuation:
The indicator utilizes trend-following indicators like RSI with DEMA smoothing and Dynamic Score Supertrend to minimize market noise, providing clearer and more stable trend signals. Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega ratios are calculated to assess risk-adjusted performance and volatility, adding a layer of analysis for evaluating trend quality. Z-scores are applied to these ratios, as well as Price and Rate of Change (RoC), to detect deviations from historical trends, highlighting extreme valuation levels.
The system also incorporates multi-layered visualization with gradient color coding to signal valuation states across different market conditions. These adaptive visual cues, combined with threshold-based alerts for overbought and oversold zones, help traders and investors track probable trend reversals or continuations and identify accumulation or distribution zones, adding reliability to both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Universal Trend-Following Valuation System to your favourites and to your chart.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts and Valuation Levels: Watch the average Z score, trend probability state and gradient colors to identify overbought and oversold conditions. During undervaluation, consider using a DCA strategy to gradually accumulate positions (buy), while overvaluation may signal distribution or profit-taking phases (sell).
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for significant trend or valuation changes, ensuring you can act on market movements promptly, even when you’re not actively monitoring the charts.
🌟 Summary and Usage Tips
The Universal Trend and Valuation System by QuantAlgo is a highly adaptable tool, designed to support both trend-following and valuation analysis across different market environments. By combining valuation metrics with high quality trend-following indicators, it helps traders and investors identify the relative value of an asset based on historical norms, providing more reliable overbought/sell and oversold/buy signals. The tool’s flexibility across asset types and timeframes makes it ideal for both short-term trading and long-term investment strategies like DCA, allowing users to capture meaningful trends while minimizing noise.
Volume Bars [jpkxyz]
Multi-Timeframe Volume indicator by @jpkxyz
This script is a Multi-Timeframe Volume Z-Score Indicator. It dynamically calculates /the Z-Score of volume over different timeframes to assess how significantly current
volume deviates from its historical average. The Z-Score is computed for each
timeframe independently and is based on a user-defined lookback period. The
script switches between timeframes automatically, adapting to the chart's current
timeframe using `timeframe.multiplier`.
The Z-Score formula used is: (current volume - mean) / standard deviation, where
mean and standard deviation are calculated over the lookback period.
The indicator highlights periods of "significant" and "massive" volume by comparing
the Z-Score to user-specified thresholds (`zScoreThreshold` for significant volume
and `massiveZScoreThreshold` for massive volume). The script flags buy or sell
conditions based on whether the current close is higher or lower than the open.
Visual cues:
- Dark Green for massive buy volume.
- Red for massive sell volume.
- Green for significant buy volume.
- Orange for significant sell volume.
- Gray for normal volume.
The script also provides customizable alert conditions for detecting significant or massive buy/sell volume events, allowing users to set real-time alerts.
Z-Score RSI StrategyOverview
The Z-Score RSI Indicator is an experimental take on momentum analysis. By applying the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to a Z-score of price data, it measures how far prices deviate from their mean, scaled by standard deviation. This isn’t your traditional use of RSI, which is typically based on price data alone. Nevertheless, this unconventional approach can yield unique insights into market trends and potential reversals.
Theory and Interpretation
The RSI calculates the balance between average gains and losses over a set period, outputting values from 0 to 100. Typically, people look at the overbought or oversold levels to identify momentum extremes that might be likely to lead to a reversal. However, I’ve often found that RSI can be effective for trend-following when observing the crossover of its moving average with the midline or the crossover of the RSI with its own moving average. These crossovers can provide useful trend signals in various market conditions.
By combining RSI with a Z-score of price, this indicator estimates the relative strength of the price’s distance from its mean. Positive Z-score trends may signal a potential for higher-than-average prices in the near future (scaled by the standard deviation), while negative trends suggest the opposite. Essentially, when the Z-Score RSI indicates a trend, it reflects that the Z-score (the distance between the average and current price) is likely to continue moving in the trend’s direction. Generally, this signals a potential price movement, though it’s important to note that this could also occur if there’s a shift in the mean or standard deviation, rather than a meaningful change in price itself.
While the Z-Score RSI could be an insightful addition to a comprehensive trading system, it should be interpreted carefully. Mean shifts may validate the indicator’s predictions without necessarily indicating any notable price change, meaning it’s best used in tandem with other indicators or strategies.
Recommendations
Before putting this indicator to use, conduct thorough backtesting and avoid overfitting. The added parameters allow fine-tuning to fit various assets, but be careful not to optimize purely for the highest historical returns. Doing so may create an overly tailored strategy that performs well in backtests but fails in live markets. Keep it balanced and look for robust performance across multiple scenarios, as overfitting is likely to lead to disappointing real-world results.
Fetch Z-scoreThis script is enspired by the creator of the Z-score probability indicator made by www.tradingview.com
I took his calculation for the z-score and created my own strategy based on that z-score.
What is z-score? The Z-score represents how far the current price deviates from the moving average, measured in terms of standard deviations
What does this script do with the Z-score?
The script offers several customizable options, including displaying buy and sell signals based on Z-score thresholds and overlaying these signals directly on the chart or below/above the bars.
The idea is that when the Z-score exceeds a certain treshold, a count will start. The count will lead to a signal. For example: Say the Z-score dipped below -1. From there, the script will by default count whether the current Z-score is higher than the Z-score of the past 10 datapoints. If so, a buy signal will be printed on the chart. The idea is that the Z-score will creep up after a low, making sure you buy earyly in the new uptrend, making this a trend followiung system, with early trend detection.
You can choose whether you want the buy and sell signals on the seperate pane, or on the chart by toggeling a simple setting.
What are my favorite settings?
- Timeframe: weekly
- SMA Length: 75
- Z score buy treshold: -1.5
- Z score sell treshold: 3
- Lookback buy period: 20
- Lookback sell period: 20
HMA Z-Score Probability Indicator by Erika BarkerThis indicator is a modified version of SteverSteves's original work, enhanced by Erika Barker. It visually represents asset price movements in terms of standard deviations from a Hull Moving Average (HMA), commonly known as a Z-Score.
Key Features:
Z-Score Calculation: Measures how many standard deviations the current price is from its HMA.
Hull Moving Average (HMA): This moving average provides a more responsive baseline for Z-Score calculations.
Flexible Display: Offers both area and candlestick visualization options for the Z-Score.
Probability Zones: Color-coded areas showing the statistical likelihood of prices based on their Z-Score.
Dynamic Price Level Labels: Displays actual price levels corresponding to Z-Score values.
Z-Table: An optional table showing the probability of occurrence for different Z-Score ranges.
Standard Deviation Lines: Horizontal lines at each standard deviation level for easy reference.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the Z-Score by comparing the current price to its HMA and dividing by the standard deviation. This Z-Score is then plotted on a separate pane below the main chart.
Green areas/candles: Indicate prices above the HMA (positive Z-Score)
Red areas/candles: Indicate prices below the HMA (negative Z-Score)
Color-coded zones:
Green: Within 1 standard deviation (high probability)
Yellow: Between 1 and 2 standard deviations (medium probability)
Red: Beyond 2 standard deviations (low probability)
The HMA line (white) shows the trend of the Z-Score itself, offering insight into whether the asset is becoming more or less volatile over time.
Customization Options:
Adjust lookback periods for Z-Score and HMA calculations
Toggle between area and candlestick display
Show/hide probability fills, Z-Table, HMA line, and standard deviation bands
Customize text color and decimal rounding for price levels
Interpretation:
This indicator helps traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions based on statistical probabilities. Extreme Z-Score values (beyond ±2 or ±3) often suggest a higher likelihood of mean reversion, while consistent Z-Scores in one direction may indicate a strong trend.
By combining the Z-Score with the HMA and probability zones, traders can gain a nuanced understanding of price movements relative to recent trends and their statistical significance.
Composite Z-Score with Linear Regression Bands [UAlgo]The Composite Z-Score with Linear Regression Bands is a technical indicator designed to provide traders with a comprehensive analysis of price momentum, volatility, and volume. By combining multiple moving averages with slope analysis, volume/volatility compression-expansion metrics, and Z-Score calculations, this indicator aims to highlight potential breakout and breakdown points with high accuracy. The inclusion of linear regression bands further enhances the analysis by providing dynamic support and resistance levels, which adapt to market conditions. This makes the indicator particularly useful in identifying overbought/oversold conditions, volume squeezes, and the overall direction of the trend.
🔶 Key Features
Multi-Length Slope Calculation: The indicator uses multiple Hull Moving Averages (HMA) across various lengths to calculate slope angles, which are then converted into Z-Scores. This helps in capturing both short-term and long-term price momentum.
Volume/Volatility Composite Analysis: By calculating a composite value derived from both volume and volatility, the indicator identifies periods of compression (squeezes) and expansion, which are crucial for detecting potential breakout opportunities.
Linear Regression Bands: The inclusion of dynamic linear regression bands provides traders with adaptive support and resistance levels. These bands are enhanced by the composite value, which adjusts the band width based on market conditions, offering a clearer view of possible price reversals.
Overbought/Oversold Detection: The indicator highlights overbought and oversold conditions by comparing Z-Scores against the upper and lower bounds of the regression bands, which can signal potential reversal points.
Customizable Inputs: Users can customize key parameters such as the lengths of the moving averages, the regression band period, and the number of deviations used for the bands, allowing for flexibility in adapting the indicator to different market environments.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Z-Score Plots: The individual Z-Score plots represent the normalized slope of the Hull Moving Averages over different periods. Positive values indicate upward momentum, while negative values suggest downward momentum. The combined Z-Sum provides a broader view of the overall market momentum.
Composite Value: The composite value is a ratio of volume to volatility, which highlights periods of market compression and expansion. When the composite value rises, it suggests increasing market activity, often preceding a breakout.
Why are we calculating values for multiple lengths?
The Composite Z-Score with Linear Regression Bands indicator employs a multi-timeframe analysis by calculating Z-scores for various moving average lengths. This approach provides a more comprehensive view of market dynamics and helps to identify trends and potential reversals across different timeframes. By considering multiple lengths, we can:
Capture a broader range of market behaviors: Different moving average lengths capture different aspects of price movement. Shorter lengths are more sensitive to recent price changes, while longer lengths provide a smoother representation of the underlying trend.
Reduce the impact of noise: By combining Z-scores from multiple lengths, we can help to filter out some of the noise that can be present in shorter-term data and obtain a more robust signal.
Enhance the reliability of signals: When Z-scores from multiple lengths align, it can increase the confidence in the identified trend or potential reversal. This can help to reduce the likelihood of false signals.
In essence, calculating values for multiple lengths allows the indicator to provide a more nuanced and reliable assessment of market conditions, making it a valuable tool for traders and analysts.
Linear Regression Bands: The central line represents the linear regression of the Z-Sum, while the upper and lower bands represent the dynamic resistance and support levels, respectively. The deviation from the regression line indicates the strength of the current trend. When price moves beyond these bands, it may signal an overbought (above upper band) or oversold (below lower band) condition.
Volume/Volatility Squeeze: When the price moves between the regression bands and the volume/volatility-adjusted bands, the market is in a squeeze. Breakouts from this squeeze can lead to significant price moves, which are indicated by the filling of areas between the Z-Score plots and the bands.
Color Interpretation: The indicator uses color changes to make it easier to interpret the data. Teal colors generally indicate upward momentum or strong conditions, while red suggests downward momentum or weakening conditions. The intensity of the color reflects the strength of the signal.
Overbought/Oversold Signals: The indicator marks potential overbought and oversold conditions when Z-Scores cross above or below the upper and lower regression bands, respectively. These signals are crucial for identifying potential reversal points in the market.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
