Forecasting Quadratic Regression [UPDATED V6] Forecasting Quadratic Regression applies a second-degree polynomial regression model to price data, offering a non-linear alternative to traditional linear regression. By fitting a quadratic curve of the form:
y=a+bx+cx2
the indicator captures both directional trend and curvature, allowing traders to detect momentum shifts earlier than with straight-line models.
🔹 Core Features
Fits a quadratic regression curve to user-defined lookback periods
Extends the fitted curve forward to generate forecast projections
Calculates slope curvature to highlight trend acceleration or deceleration
Adapts dynamically as new bars are added
🔹 Trading Applications
Identify potential reversal zones when the curve inflects (2nd derivative sign change)
Forecast near-term mean reversion targets or extended trend continuations
Filter trades by measuring momentum curvature rather than linear slope
Visualize higher-order structure in price beyond standard regression lines
⚠️ Note: This model is statistical and assumes past curvature informs short-term future price paths. It should be combined with confirmation signals (volume, oscillators, support/resistance) to reduce false inflection points.
Regression
Bitcoin Expectile Model [LuxAlgo]The Bitcoin Expectile Model is a novel approach to forecasting Bitcoin, inspired by the popular Bitcoin Quantile Model by PlanC. By fitting multiple Expectile regressions to the price, we highlight zones of corrections or accumulations throughout the Bitcoin price evolution.
While we strongly recommend using this model with the Bitcoin All Time History Index INDEX:BTCUSD on the 3 days or weekly timeframe using a logarithmic scale, this model can be applied to any asset using the daily timeframe or superior.
Please note that here on TradingView, this model was solely designed to be used on the Bitcoin 1W chart, however, it can be experimented on other assets or timeframes if of interest.
🔶 USAGE
The Bitcoin Expectile Model can be applied similarly to models used for Bitcoin, highlighting lower areas of possible accumulation (support) and higher areas that allow for the anticipation of potential corrections (resistance).
By default, this model fits 7 individual Expectiles Log-Log Regressions to the price, each with their respective expectile ( tau ) values (here multiplied by 100 for the user's convenience). Higher tau values will return a fit closer to the higher highs made by the price of the asset, while lower ones will return fits closer to the lower prices observed over time.
Each zone is color-coded and has a specific interpretation. The green zone is a buy zone for long-term investing, purple is an anomaly zone for market bottoms that over-extend, while red is considered the distribution zone.
The fits can be extrapolated, helping to chart a course for the possible evolution of Bitcoin prices. Users can select the end of the forecast as a date using the "Forecast End" setting.
While the model is made for Bitcoin using a log scale, other assets showing a tendency to have a trend evolving in a single direction can be used. See the chart above on QQQ weekly using a linear scale as an example.
The Start Date can also allow fitting the model more locally, rather than over a large range of prices. This can be useful to identify potential shorter-term support/resistance areas.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 On Quantile and Expectile Regressions
Quantile and Expectile regressions are similar; both return extremities that can be used to locate and predict prices where tops/bottoms could be more likely to occur.
The main difference lies in what we are trying to minimize, which, for Quantile regression, is commonly known as Quantile loss (or pinball loss), and for Expectile regression, simply Expectile loss.
You may refer to external material to go more in-depth about these loss functions; however, while they are similar and involve weighting specific prices more than others relative to our parameter tau, Quantile regression involves minimizing a weighted mean absolute error, while Expectile regression minimizes a weighted squared error.
The squared error here allows us to compute Expectile regression more easily compared to Quantile regression, using Iteratively reweighted least squares. For Quantile regression, a more elaborate method is needed.
In terms of comparison, Quantile regression is more robust, and easier to interpret, with quantiles being related to specific probabilities involving the underlying cumulative distribution function of the dataset; on the other expectiles are harder to interpret.
🔹 Trimming & Alterations
It is common to observe certain models ignoring very early Bitcoin price ranges. By default, we start our fit at the date 2010-07-16 to align with existing models.
By default, the model uses the number of time units (days, weeks...etc) elapsed since the beginning of history + 1 (to avoid NaN with log) as independent variable, however the Bitcoin All Time History Index INDEX:BTCUSD do not include the genesis block, as such users can correct for this by enabling the "Correct for Genesis block" setting, which will add the amount of missed bars from the Genesis block to the start oh the chart history.
🔶 SETTINGS
Start Date: Starting interval of the dataset used for the fit.
Correct for genesis block: When enabled, offset the X axis by the number of bars between the Bitcoin genesis block time and the chart starting time.
🔹 Expectiles
Toggle: Enable fit for the specified expectile. Disabling one fit will make the script faster to compute.
Expectile: Expectile (tau) value multiplied by 100 used for the fit. Higher values will produce fits that are located near price tops.
🔹 Forecast
Forecast End: Time at which the forecast stops.
🔹 Model Fit
Iterations Number: Number of iterations performed during the reweighted least squares process, with lower values leading to less accurate fits, while higher values will take more time to compute.
Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds [SciQua]╭──────────────────────────────────────────────╮
☁️ Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds
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🔍 Overview
The Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds (SMRC) indicator is a powerful visual tool for identifying price compression , trend strength , and slope momentum using multiple layers of linear regression Clouds. Designed to extend the classic squeeze framework, this indicator captures the behavior of price through dynamic slope detection, percentile-based spread analytics, and an optional UI for trend inspection — across up to four customizable regression Clouds .
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⚙️ Core Features
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Up to 4 Regression Clouds – Each Cloud is created from a top and bottom linear regression line over a configurable lookback window.
Slope Detection Engine – Identifies whether each band is rising, falling, or flat based on slope-to-ATR thresholds.
Spread Compression Heatmap – Highlights compressed zones using yellow intensity, derived from historical spread analysis.
Composite Trend Scoring – Aggregates directional signals from each Cloud using your chosen weighting model.
Color-Coded Candles – Optional candle coloring reflects the real-time composite score.
UI Table – A toggleable info table shows slopes, compression levels, percentile ranks, and direction scores for each Cloud.
Gradient Cloud Styling – Apply gradient coloring from Cloud 1 to Cloud 4 for visual slope intensity.
Weight Aggregation Options – Use equal weighting, inverse-length weighting, or max pooling across Clouds to determine composite trend strength.
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🧪 How to Use the Indicator
1. Understand Trend Bias with Cloud Colors
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Each Cloud changes color based on its current slope:
Green indicates a rising trend.
Red indicates a falling trend.
Gray indicates a flat slope — often seen during chop or transitions.
Cloud 1 typically reflects short-term structure, while Cloud 4 represents long-term directional bias. Watch for multi-Cloud alignment — when all Clouds are green or red, the trend is strong. Divergence among Clouds often signals a potential shift.
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2. Use Compression Heat to Anticipate Breakouts
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The space between each Cloud’s top and bottom regression lines is measured, normalized, and analyzed over time. When this spread tightens relative to its history, the script highlights the band with a yellow compression glow .
This visual cue helps identify squeeze zones before volatility expands. If you see compression paired with a changing slope color (e.g., gray to green), this may indicate an impending breakout.
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3. Leverage the Optional Table UI
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The indicator includes a dynamic, floating table that displays real-time metrics per Cloud. These include:
Slope direction and value , with historical Min/Max reference.
Top and Bottom percentile ranks , showing how price sits within the Cloud range.
Current spread width , compared to its historical norms.
Composite score , which blends trend, slope, and compression for that Cloud.
You can customize the table’s position, theme, transparency, and whether to show a combined summary score in the header.
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4. Analyze Candle Color for Composite Signals
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When enabled, the indicator colors candles based on a weighted composite score. This score factors in:
The signed slope of each Cloud (up, down, or flat)
The percentile pressure from the top and bottom bands
The degree of spread compression
Expect green candles in bullish trend phases, red candles during bearish regimes, and gray candles in mixed or low-conviction zones.
Candle coloring provides a visual shorthand for market conditions , useful for intraday scanning or historical backtesting.
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🧰 Configuration Guidance
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To tailor the indicator to your strategy:
Use Cloud lengths like 21, 34, 55, and 89 for a balanced multi-timeframe view.
Adjust the slope threshold (default 0.05) to control how sensitive the trend coloring is.
Set the spread floor (e.g., 0.15) to tune when compression is detected and visualized.
Choose your weighting style : Inverse Length (favor faster bands), Equal, or Max Pooling (most aggressive).
Set composite weights to emphasize trend slope, percentile bias, or compression—depending on your market edge.
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✅ Best Practices
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Use aligned Cloud colors across all bands to confirm trend conviction.
Combine slope direction with compression glow for early breakout entry setups.
In choppy markets, watch for Clouds 1 and 2 turning flat while Clouds 3 and 4 remain directional — a sign of potential trend exhaustion or consolidation.
Keep the table enabled during backtesting to manually evaluate how each Cloud behaved during price turns and consolidations.
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📌 License & Usage Terms
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This script is provided under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License .
✅ You are allowed to:
Use this script for personal or educational purposes
Study, learn, and adapt it for your own non-commercial strategies
❌ You are not allowed to:
Resell or redistribute the script without permission
Use it inside any paid product or service
Republish without giving clear attribution to the original author
For commercial licensing , private customization, or collaborations, please contact Joshua Danford directly.
Adaptive Market Profile – Auto Detect & Dynamic Activity ZonesAdaptive Market Profile is an advanced indicator that automatically detects and displays the most relevant trend channel and market profile for any asset and timeframe. Unlike standard regression channel tools, this script uses a fully adaptive approach to identify the optimal period, providing you with the channel that best fits the current market dynamics. The calculation is based on maximizing the statistical significance of the trend using Pearson’s R coefficient, ensuring that the most relevant trend is always selected.
Within the selected channel, the indicator generates a dynamic market profile, breaking the price range into configurable zones and displaying the most active areas based on volume or the number of touches. This allows you to instantly identify high-activity price levels and potential support/resistance zones. The “most active lines” are plotted in real-time and always stay parallel to the channel, dynamically adapting to market structure.
Key features:
- Automatic detection of the optimal regression period: The script scans a wide range of lengths and selects the channel that statistically represents the strongest trend.
- Dynamic market profile: Visualizes the distribution of volume or price touches inside the trend channel, with customizable section count.
- Most active zones: Highlights the most traded or touched price levels as dynamic, parallel lines for precise support/resistance reading.
- Manual override: Optionally, users can select their own channel period for full control.
- Supports both linear and logarithmic charts: Simple toggle to match your chart scaling.
Use cases:
- Trend following and channel trading strategies.
- Quick identification of dynamic support/resistance and liquidity zones.
- Objective selection of the most statistically significant trend channel, without manual guesswork.
- Suitable for all assets and timeframes (crypto, stocks, forex, futures).
Originality:
This script goes beyond basic regression channels by integrating dynamic profile analysis and fully adaptive period detection, offering a comprehensive tool for modern technical analysts. The combination of trend detection, market profile, and activity zone mapping is unique and not available in TradingView built-ins.
Instructions:
Add Adaptive Market Profile to your chart. By default, the script automatically detects the optimal channel period and displays the corresponding regression channel with dynamic profile and activity zones. If you prefer manual control, disable “Auto trend channel period” and set your preferred period. Adjust profile settings as needed for your asset and timeframe.
For questions, suggestions, or further customization, contact Julien Eche (@Julien_Eche) directly on TradingView.
PSAR LRC [CRT Trader]
SAR (Stop and Reverse) is a technical indicator used in financial markets to track trends and identify potential reversal points.
The indicator plots SAR calculations at three different speeds as dot markers above or below the candlesticks. If all three dots are below, it is considered a bullish signal; if they are above, it is considered a bearish signal.
In addition to the indicator, a Linear Regression Channel has been added. These lines can provide information such as trend direction, support, resistance, and potential breakouts.
Logistic Regression ICT FVG🚀 OVERVIEW
Welcome to the Logistic Regression Fair Value Gap (FVG) System — a next-gen trading tool that blends precision gap detection with machine learning intelligence.
Unlike traditional FVG indicators, this one evolves with each bar of price action, scoring and filtering gaps based on real market behavior.
🔧 CORE FEATURES
✨ Smart Gap Detection
Automatically identifies bullish and bearish Fair Value Gaps using volatility-aware candle logic.
📊 Probability-Based Filtering
Uses logistic regression to assign each gap a confidence score (0 to 1), showing only high-probability setups.
🔁 Real-Time Retest Tracking
Continuously watches how price interacts with each gap to determine if it deserves respect.
📈 Multi-Factor Assessment
Evaluates RSI, MACD, and body size at gap formation to build a full context snapshot.
🧠 Self-Learning Engine
The logistic regression model updates on each bar using gradient descent, refining its predictions over time.
📢 Built-In Alerts
Get instant alerts when a gap forms, gets retested, or breaks.
🎨 Custom Display Options
Control the color of bullish/bearish zones, and toggle on/off probability labels for cleaner charts.
🚩 WHAT MAKES IT DIFFERENT
This isn’t just another box-drawing indicator.
While others mark every imbalance, this system thinks before it draws — using statistical modeling to filter out noise and prioritize high-impact zones.
By learning from how price behaves around gaps (not just how they form), it helps you trade only what matters — not what clutters.
⚙️ HOW IT WORKS
1️⃣ Detection
FVGs are identified using ATR-based thresholds and sharp wick imbalances.
2️⃣ Behavior Monitoring
Every gap is tracked — and if respected enough times, it becomes part of the elite training set.
3️⃣ Context Capture
Each new FVG logs RSI, MACD, and body size to provide a feature-rich context for prediction.
4️⃣ Prediction (Logistic Regression)
The model predicts how likely the gap is to be respected and assigns it a probability score.
5️⃣ Classification & Alerts
Gaps above the threshold are plotted with score labels, and alerts trigger for entry/respect/break.
⚙️ CONFIGURATION PANEL
🔧 System Inputs
• Max Retests – How many times a gap must be respected to train the model
• Prediction Threshold – Minimum score to show a gap on the chart
• Learning Rate – Controls how fast the model adapts (default: 0.009)
• Max FVG Lifetime – Expiration duration for unused gaps
• Show Historic Gaps – Show/hide expired or invalidated gaps
🎨 Visual Options
• Bullish/Bearish Colors – Set gap colors to fit your chart style
• Confidence Labels – Show probability scores next to FVGs
• Alert Toggles – Enable alerts for:
– New FVG detected
– FVG respected (entry)
– FVG invalidated (break)
💡 WHY LOGISTIC REGRESSION?
Traditional FVG tools rely on candle shapes.
This system relies on probability — by training on RSI, MACD, and price behavior, it predicts whether a gap will act as a true liquidity zone.
Logistic regression lets the system continuously adapt using new data, making it more accurate the longer it runs.
That means smarter signals, fewer false positives, and a clearer view of where real opportunities lie.
Ultimate Regression Channel v5.0 [WhiteStone_Ibrahim]Ultimate Regression Channel v5.0: Comprehensive User Guide
This indicator is designed to visualize the current trend, potential support/resistance levels, and market volatility through a statistical analysis of price action. At its core, it plots a regression line (a trend line) based on prices over a specific period and adds channels based on standard deviation around this line.
1. Core Features and Settings
Length Mode:
Numerical (Manual): You define the number of bars to be used for the regression channel calculation. You can use lower values (e.g., 50-100) for short-term analysis and higher values (e.g., 200-300) to identify long-term trends.
Automatic (Based on Market Structure): This mode automatically draws the channel starting from the highest high or lowest low that has formed within the Auto Scan Period. This allows the indicator to adapt itself to significant market turning points (swing points), which is highly useful.
Regression Model:
Linear: Calculates the trend as a straight line. It generally works well in stable, short-to-medium-term trends.
Logarithmic: Calculates the trend as a curved line. It more accurately reflects price action, especially on long-term charts or for assets that experience exponential growth/decline (like cryptocurrencies or growth stocks).
Channel Widths:
These settings determine how far from the central trend line (in terms of standard deviations) the channels will be drawn.
The 0 (Inner), 1 (Middle), and 2 (Outer) channels represent the "normal" range of price movement and the "extreme" zones. Statistically, about 95% of all price action occurs within the outer channels (2nd standard deviation).
2. Visual Extras and Their Interpretation
Breakout Style:
This feature alerts you when the price closes above the uppermost channel (Channel 2) with a green arrow/background or below the lowermost channel with a red arrow/background.
This is a very important signal. A breakout can signify that the current trend is strengthening and likely to continue (a breakout/trend-following strategy) or that the market has become overextended and may be due for a reversal (an exhaustion/top-bottom signal). It is critical to confirm this signal with other indicators (e.g., RSI, Volume).
Info Label:
This provides an at-a-glance summary of the channel on the right side of the chart:
Trend Status: Identifies the trend as "Uptrend," "Downtrend," or "Sideways" based on the slope of the centerline. The Horizontal Threshold setting allows you to filter out noise by treating very small slopes as "Sideways."
Regression Model and Length: Shows your current settings.
Trend Slope: A numerical value representing how steep or weak the trend is.
Channel Width: Shows the price difference between the outermost channels. This is a measure of current volatility. A widening channel indicates increasing volatility, while a narrowing one indicates decreasing volatility.
3. What Users Should Pay Attention To & Best Practices
Define Your Strategy: Mean Reversion or Breakout?
Mean Reversion: If the market is in a ranging or gently trending phase, the price will tend to revert to the centerline after hitting the outer channels (overbought/oversold zones). In this case, the outer channels can be considered opportunities to sell (upper channel) or buy (lower channel).
Breakout: If a strong trend is in place, a price close beyond an outer channel can be a sign that the trend is accelerating. In this scenario, one might consider taking a position in the direction of the breakout. Correctly analyzing the current market state (ranging vs. trending) is key to deciding which strategy to employ.
Don't Use It in Isolation: No indicator is a holy grail. Use the Regression Channel in conjunction with other tools. Confirm signals with RSI divergences for overbought/oversold conditions, Moving Averages for the overall trend direction, or Volume indicators to confirm the strength of a breakout.
Choose the Right Model: On shorter-term charts (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour), the Linear model is often sufficient. However, on long-term charts like the daily, weekly, or monthly, the Logarithmic model will provide much more accurate results, especially for assets with parabolic movements.
The Power of Automatic Mode: The Automatic length mode is often the most practical choice because it finds the most logical starting point for you. It saves you the trouble of adjusting settings, especially when analyzing different assets or timeframes.
Use the Alerts: If you don't want to miss the moment the price touches a key channel line, set up an alert from the Alert Settings section for your desired line (e.g., only the "Outer Channels"). This helps you catch opportunities even when you are not in front of the screen.
Bitcoin Power Law [LuxAlgo]The Bitcoin Power Law tool is a representation of Bitcoin prices first proposed by Giovanni Santostasi, Ph.D. It plots BTCUSD daily closes on a log10-log10 scale, and fits a linear regression channel to the data.
This channel helps traders visualise when the price is historically in a zone prone to tops or located within a discounted zone subject to future growth.
🔶 USAGE
Giovanni Santostasi, Ph.D. originated the Bitcoin Power-Law Theory; this implementation places it directly on a TradingView chart. The white line shows the daily closing price, while the cyan line is the best-fit regression.
A channel is constructed from the linear fit root mean squared error (RMSE), we can observe how price has repeatedly oscillated between each channel areas through every bull-bear cycle.
Excursions into the upper channel area can be followed by price surges and finishing on a top, whereas price touching the lower channel area coincides with a cycle low.
Users can change the channel areas multipliers, helping capture moves more precisely depending on the intended usage.
This tool only works on the daily BTCUSD chart. Ticker and timeframe must match exactly for the calculations to remain valid.
🔹 Linear Scale
Users can toggle on a linear scale for the time axis, in order to obtain a higher resolution of the price, (this will affect the linear regression channel fit, making it look poorer).
🔶 DETAILS
One of the advantages of the Power Law Theory proposed by Giovanni Santostasi is its ability to explain multiple behaviors of Bitcoin. We describe some key points below.
🔹 Power-Law Overview
A power law has the form y = A·xⁿ , and Bitcoin’s key variables follow this pattern across many orders of magnitude. Empirically, price rises roughly with t⁶, hash-rate with t¹² and the number of active addresses with t³.
When we plot these on log-log axes they appear as straight lines, revealing a scale-invariant system whose behaviour repeats proportionally as it grows.
🔹 Feedback-Loop Dynamics
Growth begins with new users, whose presence pushes the price higher via a Metcalfe-style square-law. A richer price pool funds more mining hardware; the Difficulty Adjustment immediately raises the hash-rate requirement, keeping profit margins razor-thin.
A higher hash rate secures the network, which in turn attracts the next wave of users. Because risk and Difficulty act as braking forces, user adoption advances as a power of three in time rather than an unchecked S-curve. This circular causality repeats without end, producing the familiar boom-and-bust cadence around the long-term power-law channel.
🔹 Scale Invariance & Predictions
Scale invariance means that enlarging the timeline in log-log space leaves the trajectory unchanged.
The same geometric proportions that described the first dollar of value can therefore extend to a projected million-dollar bitcoin, provided no catastrophic break occurs. Institutional ETF inflows supply fresh capital but do not bend the underlying slope; only a persistent deviation from the line would falsify the current model.
🔹 Implications
The theory assigns scarcity no direct role; iterative feedback and the Difficulty Adjustment are sufficient to govern Bitcoin’s expansion. Long-term valuation should focus on position within the power-law channel, while bubbles—sharp departures above trend that later revert—are expected punctuations of an otherwise steady climb.
Beyond about 2040, disruptive technological shifts could alter the parameters, but for the next order of magnitude the present slope remains the simplest, most robust guide.
Bitcoin behaves less like a traditional asset and more like a self-organising digital organism whose value, security, and adoption co-evolve according to immutable power-law rules.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 General
Start Calculation: Determine the start date used by the calculation, with any prior prices being ignored. (default - 15 Jul 2010)
Use Linear Scale for X-Axis: Convert the horizontal axis from log(time) to linear calendar time
🔹 Linear Regression
Show Regression Line: Enable/disable the central power-law trend line
Regression Line Color: Choose the colour of the regression line
Mult 1: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default +1), pick line colour and area fill colour
Mult 2: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default +0.5), pick line colour and area fill colour
Mult 3: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default -0.5), pick line colour and area fill colour
Mult 4: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default -1), pick line colour and area fill colour
🔹 Style
Price Line Color: Select the colour of the BTC price plot
Auto Color: Automatically choose the best contrast colour for the price line
Price Line Width: Set the thickness of the price line (1 – 5 px)
Show Halvings: Enable/disable dotted vertical lines at each Bitcoin halving
Halvings Color: Choose the colour of the halving lines
Support and Resistance Logistic Regression | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Logistic Regression Support / Resistance indicator! This tool leverages advanced statistical modeling "Logistic Regressions" to identify and project key price levels where the market is likely to find support or resistance. For more information about the process, please check the "HOW DOES IT WORK ?" section.
Logistic Regression Support / Resistance Features :
Intelligent S/R Identification : The indicator uses a logistic regression model to intelligently identify and plot significant support and resistance levels.
Predictive Probability : Each identified level comes with a calculated probability, indicating how likely it is to act as a true support or resistance based on historical data.
Retest & Break Labels : The indicator clearly marks on your chart when a detected support or resistance level is retested (price touches and respects the level) or broken (price decisively crosses through the level).
Alerts : Real-time alerts for support retests, resistance retests, support breaks, and resistance breaks.
Customizable : You can change support & resistance line style, width and colors.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
What makes this indicator truly unique is its application of logistic regression to the concept of support and resistance. Instead of merely identifying historical highs and lows, our indicator uses a statistical model to predict the future efficacy of these levels. It analyzes underlying market conditions (like RSI and body size at pivot formation) to assign a probability to each potential S/R zone. This predictive insight, combined with dynamic, real-time labeling of retests and breaks, provides a more robust and adaptive understanding of market structure than traditional, purely historical methods.
📌HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The Logistic Regression Support / Resistance indicator operates in several key steps:
First, it identifies significant pivot highs and lows on the chart based on a user-defined "Pivot Length." These pivots are potential areas of support or resistance.
For each detected pivot, the indicator extracts relevant market data at that specific point, including the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and the Body Size (the absolute difference between the open and close price of the candle). These serve as input features for the model.
The core of the indicator lies in its logistic regression model. This model is continuously trained on past pivot data and their subsequent behavior (i.e., whether they were "respected" as support/resistance multiple times). It learns the relationship between the extracted features (RSI, Body Size) and the likelihood of a pivot becoming a significant S/R level.
When a new pivot is identified, the model uses its learned insights to calculate a prediction value—a probability (from 0 to 1) that this specific pivot will act as a strong support or resistance.
If the calculated probability exceeds a user-defined "Probability Threshold," the pivot is designated a "Regression Pivot" and drawn on the chart as a support or resistance line. The indicator then actively tracks how price interacts with these levels, displaying "R" labels for retests when the price bounces off the level and "B" labels for breaks when the price closes beyond it.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Pivot Length: This setting defines the number of bars used to determine a significant high or low for pivot detection.
Target Respects: This input specifies how many times a level must be "respected" by price action for it to be considered a strong support or resistance level by the underlying model.
Probability Threshold: This is the minimum probability output from the logistic regression model for a detected pivot to be considered a valid support or resistance level and be plotted on the chart.
2. Style
Show Prediction Labels: Enable or disable labels that display the calculated probability of a newly identified regression S/R level.
Show Retests: Toggle the visibility of "R" labels on the chart, which mark instances where price has retested a support or resistance level.
Show Breaks: Toggle the visibility of "B" labels on the chart, which mark instances where price has broken through a support or resistance level.
Weighted Regression Bands (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Weighted Regression Bands is a precision-engineered trend and volatility tool designed to adapt to the real market structure instead of reacting to price noise.
This indicator analyzes Weighted High/Low medians and applies user-selectable smoothing methods — including Kalman Filtering, ALMA, and custom Linear Regression — to generate a Fair Value line. Around this, it constructs dynamic standard deviation bands that adapt in real-time to market volatility.
The result is a visually clean and structurally intelligent trend framework suitable for breakout traders, mean reversion strategies, and trend-driven analysis.
█ How It Works
⚪ Structural High/Low Analysis
At the heart of this indicator is a custom high/low weighting system. Instead of using just the raw high or low values, it calculates a midline = (high + low) / 2, then applies one of three weighting methods to determine which price zones matter most.
Users can select the method using the “Weighted HL Method” setting:
Simple
Selects the single most dominant median (highest or lowest) in the lookback window. Ideal for fast, reactive signals.
Advanced
Ranks each bar based on a composite score: median × range × recency. This method highlights structurally meaningful bars that had both volatility and recency. A built-in Kalman filter is applied for extra stability.
Smooth
Blends multiple bars into a single weighted average using smoothed decay and range. This provides the softest and most stable structural response.
⚪ Smoothing Methods (ALMA / Linear Regression)
ALMA provides responsive, low-lag smoothing for fast trend reading.
Linear Regression projects the Fair Value forward, ideal for trend modeling.
⚪ Kalman Smoothing Filter
Before trend calculations, the indicator applies an optional Kalman-style smoothing filter. This helps:
Reduce choppy false shifts in trend,
Retain signal clarity during volatile periods,
Provide stability for long-term setups.
⚪ Deviation Bands (Dynamic Volatility Envelopes)
The indicator builds ±1, ±2, and ±3 standard deviation bands around the fair value line:
Calculated from the standard deviation of price,
Bands expand and contract based on recent volatility,
Visualizes potential overbought/oversold or trending conditions.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Trading & Filtering
Use the Fair Value line to identify the dominant direction.
Only trade in the direction of the slope for higher probability setups.
⚪ Volatility-Based Entries
Watch for price reaching outer bands (+2σ, +3σ) for possible exhaustion.
Mean reversion entries become higher quality when far from Fair Value.
█ Settings
Length – Lookback for Weighted HL and trend smoothing
Deviation Multiplier – Controls how wide the bands are from the fair value line
Method – Choose between ALMA or Linear Regression smoothing
Smoothing – Strength of Kalman Filter (1 = none, <1 = stronger smoothing)
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Bitcoin Power Law OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. The main body of the script can be found here.
Understanding the Bitcoin Power Law Model
Also called the Long-Term Bitcoin Power Law Model. The Bitcoin Power Law model tries to capture and predict Bitcoin's price growth over time. It assumes that Bitcoin's price follows an exponential growth pattern, where the price increases over time according to a mathematical relationship.
By fitting a power law to historical data, the model creates a trend line that represents this growth. It then generates additional parallel lines (support and resistance lines) to show potential price boundaries, helping to visualize where Bitcoin’s price could move within certain ranges.
In simple terms, the model helps us understand Bitcoin's general growth trajectory and provides a framework to visualize how its price could behave over the long term.
The Bitcoin Power Law has the following function:
Power Law = 10^(a + b * log10(d))
Consisting of the following parameters:
a: Power Law Intercept (default: -17.668).
b: Power Law Slope (default: 5.926).
d: Number of days since a reference point(calculated by counting bars from the reference point with an offset).
Explanation of the a and b parameters:
Roughly explained, the optimal values for the a and b parameters are determined through a process of linear regression on a log-log scale (after applying a logarithmic transformation to both the x and y axes). On this log-log scale, the power law relationship becomes linear, making it possible to apply linear regression. The best fit for the regression is then evaluated using metrics like the R-squared value, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. This process can be quite complex and is beyond the scope of this post.
Applying vertical shifts to generate the other lines:
Once the initial power-law is created, additional lines are generated by applying a vertical shift. This shift is achieved by adding a specific number of days (or years in case of this script) to the d-parameter. This creates new lines perfectly parallel to the initial power law with an added vertical shift, maintaining the same slope and intercept.
In the case of this script, shifts are made by adding +365 days, +2 * 365 days, +3 * 365 days, +4 * 365 days, and +5 * 365 days, effectively introducing one to five years of shifts. This results in a total of six Power Law lines, as outlined below (From lowest to highest):
Base Power Law Line (no shift)
1-year shifted line
2-year shifted line
3-year shifted line
4-year shifted line
5-year shifted line
The six power law lines:
Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the Bitcoin Power Law. This version applies a logarithmic transformation to the price, Base Power Law Line, and 5-year shifted line using the formula: log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed Base Power Law Line and 5-year shifted line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(Base Power Law Line) / log(5-year shifted line) - log(Base Power Law Line)
Finally, the normalized price was multiplied by 5 to map its value between 0 and 5, aligning with the shifted lines.
Interpretation of the Bitcoin Power Law Model:
The shifted Power Law lines provide a framework for predicting Bitcoin's future price movements based on historical trends. These lines are created by applying a vertical shift to the initial Power Law line, with each shifted line representing a future time frame (e.g., 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, etc.).
By analyzing these shifted lines, users can make predictions about minimum price levels at specific future dates. For example, the 5-year shifted line will act as the main support level for Bitcoin’s price in 5 years, meaning that Bitcoin’s price should not fall below this line, ensuring that Bitcoin will be valued at least at this level by that time. Similarly, the 2-year shifted line will serve as the support line for Bitcoin's price in 2 years, establishing that the price should not drop below this line within that time frame.
On the other hand, the 5-year shifted line also functions as an absolute resistance , meaning Bitcoin's price will not exceed this line prior to the 5-year mark. This provides a prediction that Bitcoin cannot reach certain price levels before a specific date. For example, the price of Bitcoin is unlikely to reach $100,000 before 2021, and it will not exceed this price before the 5-year shifted line becomes relevant. After 2028, however, the price is predicted to never fall below $100,000, thanks to the support established by the shifted lines.
In essence, the shifted Power Law lines offer a way to predict both the minimum price levels that Bitcoin will hit by certain dates and the earliest dates by which certain price points will be reached. These lines help frame Bitcoin's potential future price range, offering insight into long-term price behavior and providing a guide for investors and analysts. Lets examine some examples:
Example 1:
In Example 1 it can be seen that point A on the 5-year shifted line acts as major resistance . Also it can be seen that 5 years later this price level now corresponds to the Base Power Law Line and acts as a major support at point B(Note: Vertical yearly grid lines have been added for this purpose👍).
Example 2:
In Example 2, the price level at point C on the 3-year shifted line becomes a major support three years later at point D, now aligning with the Base Power Law Line.
Finally, let's explore some future price predictions, as this script provides projections on the weekly timeframe :
Example 3:
In Example 3, the Bitcoin Power Law indicates that Bitcoin's price cannot surpass approximately $808K before 2030 as can be seen at point E, while also ensuring it will be at least $224K by then (point F).
Bitcoin Power LawThis is the main body version of the script. The Oscillator version can be found here.
Understanding the Bitcoin Power Law Model
Also called the Long-Term Bitcoin Power Law Model. The Bitcoin Power Law model tries to capture and predict Bitcoin's price growth over time. It assumes that Bitcoin's price follows an exponential growth pattern, where the price increases over time according to a mathematical relationship.
By fitting a power law to historical data, the model creates a trend line that represents this growth. It then generates additional parallel lines (support and resistance lines) to show potential price boundaries, helping to visualize where Bitcoin’s price could move within certain ranges.
In simple terms, the model helps us understand Bitcoin's general growth trajectory and provides a framework to visualize how its price could behave over the long term.
The Bitcoin Power Law has the following function:
Power Law = 10^(a + b * log10(d))
Consisting of the following parameters:
a: Power Law Intercept (default: -17.668).
b: Power Law Slope (default: 5.926).
d: Number of days since a reference point(calculated by counting bars from the reference point with an offset).
Explanation of the a and b parameters:
Roughly explained, the optimal values for the a and b parameters are determined through a process of linear regression on a log-log scale (after applying a logarithmic transformation to both the x and y axes). On this log-log scale, the power law relationship becomes linear, making it possible to apply linear regression. The best fit for the regression is then evaluated using metrics like the R-squared value, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. This process can be quite complex and is beyond the scope of this post.
Applying vertical shifts to generate the other lines:
Once the initial power-law is created, additional lines are generated by applying a vertical shift. This shift is achieved by adding a specific number of days (or years in case of this script) to the d-parameter. This creates new lines perfectly parallel to the initial power law with an added vertical shift, maintaining the same slope and intercept.
In the case of this script, shifts are made by adding +365 days, +2 * 365 days, +3 * 365 days, +4 * 365 days, and +5 * 365 days, effectively introducing one to five years of shifts. This results in a total of six Power Law lines, as outlined below (From lowest to highest):
Base Power Law Line (no shift)
1-year shifted line
2-year shifted line
3-year shifted line
4-year shifted line
5-year shifted line
The six power law lines:
Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the Bitcoin Power Law. This version applies a logarithmic transformation to the price, Base Power Law Line, and 5-year shifted line using the formula: log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed Base Power Law Line and 5-year shifted line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(Base Power Law Line) / log(5-year shifted line) - log(Base Power Law Line)
Finally, the normalized price was multiplied by 5 to map its value between 0 and 5, aligning with the shifted lines.
Interpretation of the Bitcoin Power Law Model:
The shifted Power Law lines provide a framework for predicting Bitcoin's future price movements based on historical trends. These lines are created by applying a vertical shift to the initial Power Law line, with each shifted line representing a future time frame (e.g., 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, etc.).
By analyzing these shifted lines, users can make predictions about minimum price levels at specific future dates. For example, the 5-year shifted line will act as the main support level for Bitcoin’s price in 5 years, meaning that Bitcoin’s price should not fall below this line, ensuring that Bitcoin will be valued at least at this level by that time. Similarly, the 2-year shifted line will serve as the support line for Bitcoin's price in 2 years, establishing that the price should not drop below this line within that time frame.
On the other hand, the 5-year shifted line also functions as an absolute resistance , meaning Bitcoin's price will not exceed this line prior to the 5-year mark. This provides a prediction that Bitcoin cannot reach certain price levels before a specific date. For example, the price of Bitcoin is unlikely to reach $100,000 before 2021, and it will not exceed this price before the 5-year shifted line becomes relevant. After 2028, however, the price is predicted to never fall below $100,000, thanks to the support established by the shifted lines.
In essence, the shifted Power Law lines offer a way to predict both the minimum price levels that Bitcoin will hit by certain dates and the earliest dates by which certain price points will be reached. These lines help frame Bitcoin's potential future price range, offering insight into long-term price behavior and providing a guide for investors and analysts. Lets examine some examples:
Example 1:
In Example 1 it can be seen that point A on the 5-year shifted line acts as major resistance . Also it can be seen that 5 years later this price level now corresponds to the Base Power Law Line and acts as a major support at point B (Note: Vertical yearly grid lines have been added for this purpose👍).
Example 2:
In Example 2, the price level at point C on the 3-year shifted line becomes a major support three years later at point D, now aligning with the Base Power Law Line.
Finally, let's explore some future price predictions, as this script provides projections on the weekly timeframe :
Example 3:
In Example 3, the Bitcoin Power Law indicates that Bitcoin's price cannot surpass approximately $808K before 2030 as can be seen at point E, while also ensuring it will be at least $224K by then (point F).
PolyBand Convergence System (PBCS)PolyBand Convergence System (PBCS)
The PolyBand Convergence System (PBCS) is an advanced technical analysis indicator that combines multiple polynomial regressions with statistical bands to identify trend strength and potential reversal zones.
Key Features
Multi-Degree Polynomial Analysis: Combines 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th degree polynomial regressions into a composite regression line
Adaptive Statistical Bands: Uses percentile-based bands enhanced with standard deviation multipliers
Asymmetric Volatility Measurement: Separately calculates upside and downside volatility for more accurate band placement
Smart Trend Detection: Identifies bullish, bearish, or neutral market conditions based on price position relative to bands
How It Works
PBCS creates a composite regression line from multiple polynomial fits to better capture the underlying price structure. This line is then surrounded by adaptive bands that represent statistical thresholds for price movement. When price breaks above the upper band, a bullish trend is signaled; when it breaks below the lower band, a bearish trend is indicated.
Customization Options
Regression Settings: Adjust source data, lookback period, and smoothing parameters
Percentile Controls: Fine-tune the statistical thresholds for upper and lower bands
Volatility Sensitivity: Modify standard deviation multipliers to control band width
Visual Preferences: Choose from multiple color schemes to match your trading platform
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk and may result in financial loss. Always perform your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Kernel Regression Bands SuiteMulti-Kernel Regression Bands
A versatile indicator that applies kernel regression smoothing to price data, then dynamically calculates upper and lower bands using a wide variety of deviation methods. This tool is designed to help traders identify trend direction, volatility, and potential reversal zones with customizable visual styles.
Key Features
Multiple Kernel Types: Choose from 17+ kernel regression styles (Gaussian, Laplace, Epanechnikov, etc.) for smoothing.
Flexible Band Calculation: Select from 12+ deviation types including Standard Deviation, Mean/Median Absolute Deviation, Exponential, True Range, Hull, Parabolic SAR, Quantile, and more.
Adaptive Bands: Bands are calculated around the kernel regression line, with a user-defined multiplier.
Signal Logic: Trend state is determined by crossovers/crossunders of price and bands, coloring the regression line and band fills accordingly.
Custom Color Modes: Six unique color palettes for visual clarity and personal preference.
Highly Customizable Inputs: Adjust kernel type, lookback, deviation method, band source, and more.
How to Use
Trend Identification: The regression line changes color based on the detected trend (up/down)
Volatility Zones: Bands expand/contract with volatility, helping spot breakouts or mean-reversion opportunities.
Visual Styling: Use color modes to match your chart theme or highlight specific market states.
Credits:
Kernel regression logic adapted from:
ChartPrime | Multi-Kernel-Regression-ChartPrime (Link in the script)
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Use at your own risk.
ConeCastConeCast is a forward-looking projection indicator that visualizes a future price range (or "cone") based on recent trend momentum and adaptive volatility. Unlike lagging bands or reactive channels, this tool plots a predictive zone 3–50 bars ahead, allowing traders to anticipate potential price behavior rather than merely react to it.
How It Works
The core of ConeCast is a dynamic trend-slope engine derived from a Linear Regression line fitted over a user-defined lookback window. The slope of this trend is projected forward, and the cone’s width adapts based on real-time market volatility. In calm markets, the cone is narrow and focused. In volatile regimes, it expands proportionally, using an ATR-based % of price to scale.
Key Features
📈 Predictive Cone Zone: Visualizes a forward range using trend slope × volatility width.
🔄 Auto-Adaptive Volatility Scaling: Expands or contracts based on market quiet/chaotic states.
📊 Regime Detection: Identifies Bull, Bear, or Neutral states using a tunable slope threshold.
🧭 Multi-Timeframe Compatible: Slope and volatility can be calculated from higher timeframes.
🔔 Smart Alerts: Detects price entering the cone, and signals trend regime changes in real time.
🖼️ Clean Visual Output: Optionally includes outer cones, trend-trail marker, and dashboard label.
How to Use It
Use on 15m–4H charts for best forward visibility.
Look for price entering the cone as a potential trend continuation setup.
Monitor regime changes and volatility expansion to filter choppy market zones.
Tune the slope sensitivity and ATR multiplier to match your symbol's behavior.
Use outer cones to anticipate aggressive swings and wick traps.
What Makes It Unique
ConeCast doesn’t follow price — it predicts a possible future price envelope using trend + volatility math, without relying on lagging indicators or repainting logic. It's a hybrid of regression-based forecasting and dynamic risk zoning, designed for swing traders, scalpers, and algo developers alike.
Limitations
ConeCast projects based on current trend and volatility — it does not "know" future price. Like all projection tools, accuracy depends on trend persistence and market conditions. Use this in combination with confirmation signals and risk management.
Linear Regression Slope The Linear Regression Slope provides a quantitative measure of trend direction. It fits a linear regression line to the past N closing prices and calculates the slope, representing the average rate of price change per bar.
To ensure comparability across assets and timeframes, the slope is normalized by the ATR over a shorter window. This produces a volatility-adjusted measure which allows for the slope to be interpreted relative to typical price fluctuations.
Mathematically, the slope is derived by minimizing the sum of squared deviations between actual prices and the fitted regression line. A positive normalized slope indicate upwards movement; a negative slope indicate downwards movement. Persistent values near zero could indicate an absence of clear trend, with price dominated by short-term fluctuations or noise.
The definition of a trend depends on the period of observation. The lookback setting should be set based on to the desired timeframe. Shorter lookbacks will respond faster to recent changes but may be more sensitive to noise, while longer lookbacks will emphasize broader structures.
While effective at quantifying existing trends, this method is not predictive. Sudden regime changes, volatility shocks, and non-linear dynamics can all cause rapid slope reversals. Therefore, it is best applied as part of a broader analytical framework.
In summary, the Linear Regression Slope quantifies price direction and serves as a measurable supplement to the visual assessment of trends on price charts.
Additional Features:
Option to display or hide the normalized slope line.
Option to enable background coloring when the slope is above or below zero.
Liquidity Trap Reversal Pro (Radar v2)Liquidity Trap Reversal Pro (Radar v2) is a non-repainting indicator designed to detect hidden liquidity traps at key swing highs and lows. It combines wick analysis, volume spike detection, and optional trend and exhaustion filters to identify high-probability reversal setups.
🔷 Features:
Non-Repainting: Pivots confirmed after lookback period, no future leaking.
Volume Spike Detection: Filters traps that occur during major liquidity events.
EMA Trend Filter (Optional): Focus on traps aligned with the prevailing trend.
Higher Timeframe Trend Filter (Optional): Confirm traps using a higher timeframe EMA bias.
Exhaustion Guard (Optional): Prevents traps after overextended moves based on ATR stretch.
Clean Visuals: Distinct plots for raw trap points vs confirmed traps.
Alerts Included: Set alerts for confirmed high/low liquidity traps.
📚 How to Use:
Watch for Trap Signals:
A Trap High signal suggests a potential bearish reversal.
A Trap Low signal suggests a potential bullish reversal.
Use Confirmed Signals for Best Entries:
Confirmed traps fire only after price moves opposite to the trap direction, adding reliability.
Use Trend Filters to Improve Accuracy:
In an uptrend (price above EMA), prefer Trap Lows (buy setups).
In a downtrend (price below EMA), prefer Trap Highs (sell setups).
Use the Exhaustion Guard to Avoid Bad Trades:
This filter blocks signals when price has moved too far from trend, helping avoid late entries.
Recommended Settings:
Best used on 15-minute, 1-hour, or 4-hour charts.
Trend filter ON for trending markets.
Exhaustion guard ON for volatile or stretched markets.
📈 Important Notes:
This script does not repaint once a pivot is confirmed.
Alerts trigger only on confirmed trap signals.
Always combine signals with sound risk management and trading strategy.
Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a guarantee of results. Always do your own research before trading.
GIGANEVA V6.61 PublicThis enhanced Fibonacci script for TradingView is a powerful, all-in-one tool that calculates Fibonacci Levels, Fans, Time Pivots, and Golden Pivots on both logarithmic and linear scales. Its ability to compute time pivots via fan intersections and Range interactions, combined with user-friendly features like Bool Fib Right, sets it apart. The script maximizes TradingView’s plotting capabilities, making it a unique and versatile tool for technical analysis across various markets.
1. Overview of the Script
The script appears to be a custom technical analysis tool built for TradingView, improving upon an existing script from TradingView’s Community Scripts. It calculates and plots:
Fibonacci Levels: Standard retracement levels (e.g., 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.) based on a user-defined price range.
Fibonacci Fans: Trendlines drawn from a high or low point, radiating at Fibonacci ratios to project potential support/resistance zones.
Time Pivots: Points in time where significant price action is expected, determined by the intersection of Fibonacci Fans or their interaction with key price levels.
Golden Pivots: Specific time pivots calculated when the 0.5 Fibonacci Fan (on a logarithmic or linear scale) intersects with its counterpart.
The script supports both logarithmic and linear price scales, ensuring versatility across different charting preferences. It also includes a feature to extend Fibonacci Fans to the right, regardless of whether the user selects the top or bottom of the range first.
2. Key Components Explained
a) Fibonacci Levels and Fans from Top and Bottom of the "Range"
Fibonacci Levels: These are horizontal lines plotted at standard Fibonacci retracement ratios (e.g., 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.) based on a user-defined price range (the "Range"). The Range is typically the distance between a significant high (top) and low (bottom) on the chart.
Example: If the high is $100 and the low is $50, the 0.618 retracement level would be at $80.90 ($50 + 0.618 × $50).
Fibonacci Fans: These are diagonal lines drawn from either the top or bottom of the Range, radiating at Fibonacci ratios (e.g., 0.382, 0.5, 0.618). They project potential dynamic support or resistance zones as price evolves over time.
From Top: Fans drawn downward from the high of the Range.
From Bottom: Fans drawn upward from the low of the Range.
Log and Linear Scale:
Logarithmic Scale: Adjusts price intervals to account for percentage changes, which is useful for assets with large price ranges (e.g., cryptocurrencies or stocks with exponential growth). Fibonacci calculations on a log scale ensure ratios are proportional to percentage moves.
Linear Scale: Uses absolute price differences, suitable for assets with smaller, more stable price ranges.
The script’s ability to plot on both scales makes it adaptable to different markets and user preferences.
b) Time Pivots
Time pivots are points in time where significant price action (e.g., reversals, breakouts) is anticipated. The script calculates these in two ways:
Fans Crossing Each Other:
When two Fibonacci Fans (e.g., one from the top and one from the bottom) intersect, their crossing point represents a potential time pivot. This is because the intersection indicates a convergence of dynamic support/resistance zones, increasing the likelihood of a price reaction.
Example: A 0.618 fan from the top crosses a 0.382 fan from the bottom at a specific bar on the chart, marking that bar as a time pivot.
Fans Crossing Top and Bottom of the Range:
A fan line (e.g., 0.5 fan from the bottom) may intersect the top or bottom price level of the Range at a specific time. This intersection highlights a moment where the fan’s projected support/resistance aligns with a key price level, signaling a potential pivot.
Example: The 0.618 fan from the bottom reaches the top of the Range ($100) at bar 50, marking bar 50 as a time pivot.
c) Golden Pivots
Definition: Golden pivots are a special type of time pivot calculated when the 0.5 Fibonacci Fan on one scale (logarithmic or linear) intersects with the 0.5 fan on the opposite scale (or vice versa).
Significance: The 0.5 level is the midpoint of the Fibonacci sequence and often acts as a critical balance point in price action. When fans at this level cross, it suggests a high-probability moment for a price reversal or significant move.
Example: If the 0.5 fan on a logarithmic scale (drawn from the bottom) crosses the 0.5 fan on a linear scale (drawn from the top) at bar 100, this intersection is labeled a "Golden Pivot" due to its confluence of key Fibonacci levels.
d) Bool Fib Right
This is a user-configurable setting (a boolean input in the script) that extends Fibonacci Fans to the right side of the chart.
Functionality: When enabled, the fans project forward in time, regardless of whether the user selected the top or bottom of the Range first. This ensures consistency in visualization, as the direction of the Range selection (top-to-bottom or bottom-to-top) does not affect the fan’s extension.
Use Case: Traders can use this to project future support/resistance zones without worrying about how they defined the Range, improving usability.
3. Why Is This Code Unique?
Original calculation of Log levels were taken from zekicanozkanli code. Thank you for giving me great Foundation, later modified and applied to Fib fans. The script’s uniqueness stems from its comprehensive integration of Fibonacci-based tools and its optimization for TradingView’s plotting capabilities. Here’s a detailed breakdown:
All-in-One Fibonacci Tool:
Most Fibonacci scripts on TradingView focus on either retracement levels, extensions, or fans.
This script combines:
Fibonacci Levels: Static horizontal lines for retracement and extension.
Fibonacci Fans: Dynamic trendlines for projecting support/resistance.
Time Pivots: Temporal analysis based on fan intersections and Range interactions.
Golden Pivots: Specialized pivots based on 0.5 fan confluences.
By integrating these functions, the script provides a holistic Fibonacci analysis tool, reducing the need for multiple scripts.
Log and Linear Scale Support:
Many Fibonacci tools are designed for linear scales only, which can distort projections for assets with exponential price movements. By supporting both logarithmic and linear scales, the script caters to a wider range of markets (e.g., stocks, forex, crypto) and user preferences.
Time Pivot Calculations:
Calculating time pivots based on fan intersections and Range interactions is a novel feature. Most TradingView scripts focus on price-based Fibonacci levels, not temporal analysis. This adds a predictive element, helping traders anticipate when significant price action might occur.
Golden Pivot Innovation:
The concept of "Golden Pivots" (0.5 fan intersections across scales) is a unique addition. It leverages the symmetry of the 0.5 level and the differences between log and linear scales to identify high-probability pivot points.
Maximized Plot Capabilities:
TradingView imposes limits on the number of plots (lines, labels, etc.) a script can render. This script is coded to fully utilize these limits, ensuring that all Fibonacci levels, fans, pivots, and labels are plotted without exceeding TradingView’s constraints.
This optimization likely involves efficient use of arrays, loops, and conditional plotting to manage resources while delivering a rich visual output.
User-Friendly Features:
The Bool Fib Right option simplifies fan projection, making the tool intuitive even for users who may not consistently select the Range in the same order.
The script’s flexibility in handling top/bottom Range selection enhances usability.
4. Potential Use Cases
Trend Analysis: Traders can use Fibonacci Fans to identify dynamic support/resistance zones in trending markets.
Reversal Trading: Time pivots and Golden Pivots help pinpoint moments for potential price reversals.
Range Trading: Fibonacci Levels provide key price zones for trading within a defined range.
Cross-Market Application: Log/linear scale support makes the script suitable for stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
The original code was from zekicanozkanli . Thank you for giving me great Foundation.
Stochastic Overlay - Regression Channel (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Stochastic Overlay – Regression Channel (Zeiierman) is a next-generation visualization tool that transforms the traditional Stochastic Oscillator into a dynamic price-based overlay.
Instead of leaving momentum trapped in a lower subwindow, this indicator projects the Stochastic oscialltor directly onto price itself — allowing traders to visually interpret momentum, overbought/oversold conditions, and market strength without ever taking their eyes off price action.
⚪ In simple terms:
▸ The Bands = The Stochastic Oscillator — but on price.
▸ The Midline = Stochastic 50 level
▸ Upper Band = Stochastic Overbought Threshold
▸ Lower Band = Stochastic Oversold Threshold
When the price moves above the midline → it’s the same as the oscillator moving above 50
When the price breaks above the upper band → it’s the same as Stochastic entering overbought.
When the price reaches the lower band →, think of it like Stochastic being oversold.
This makes market conditions visually intuitive. You’re literally watching the oscillator live on the price chart.
█ How It Works
The indicator layers 3 distinct technical elements into one clean view:
⚪ Stochastic Momentum Engine
Tracks overbought/oversold conditions and directional strength using:
%K Line → Momentum of price
%D Line → Smoothing filter of %K
Overbought/Oversold Bands → Highlight potential reversal zones
⚪ Volatility Adaptive Bands
Dynamic bands plotted above and below price using:
ATR * Stochastic Scaling → Creates wider bands during volatile periods & tighter bands in calm conditions
Basis → Moving average centerline (EMA, SMA, WMA, HMA, RMA selectable)
This means:
→ In strong trends: Bands expand
→ In consolidations: Bands contract
⚪ Regression Channel
Projects trend direction with different models:
Logarithmic → Captures non-linear growth (perfect for crypto or exponential stocks)
Linear → Classic regression fit
Adaptive → Dynamically adjusts sensitivity
Leading → Projects trend further ahead (aggressive mode)
Channels include:
Midline → Fair value trend
Upper/Lower Bounds → Deviation-based support/resistance
⚪ Heatmap - Bull & Bear Power Strength
Visual heatmeter showing:
% dominance of bulls vs bears (based on close > or < Band Basis)
Automatic normalization regardless of timeframe
Table display on-chart for quick visual insight
Dynamic highlighting when extreme levels are reached
⚪ Trend Candlestick Coloring
Bars auto-color based on trend filter:
Above Basis → Bullish Color
Below Basis → Bearish Color
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Trading
→ Use Band direction + Regression Channel to identify trend alignment
→ Longs favored when price holds above the Basis
→ Shorts favored when price stays below the Basis
→ Use the Bull & Bear heatmap to asses if the bulls or the bears are in control.
⚪ Mean Reversion
→ Look for price to interact with Upper or Lower Band extremes
→ Stochastic reaching OB/OS zones further supports reversals
⚪ Momentum Confirmation
→ Crossovers between %K and %D can confirm continuation or divergence signals
→ Especially powerful when happening at band boundaries
⚪ Strength Heatmap
→ Quickly visualize current buyer vs seller control
→ Sharp spikes in Bull Power = Aggressive buying
→ Sharp spikes in Bear Power = Heavy selling pressure
█ Why It Useful
This is not a typical Stochastic or regression tool. The tool is designed for traders who want to:
React dynamically to price volatility
Map momentum into volatility context
Use adaptive regression channels across trend styles
Visualize bull vs bear power in real-time
Follow trends with built-in reversal logic
█ Settings
Stochastic Settings
Stochastic Length → Period of calculation. Higher = smoother, Lower = faster signals.
%K Smoothing → Smooths the Stochastic line itself.
%D Smoothing → Smooths the moving average of %K for slower signals.
Stochastic Band
Band Length → Length of the Moving Average Basis.
Volatility Multiplier → Controls band width via ATR scaling.
Band Type → Choose MA type (EMA, SMA, WMA, HMA, RMA).
Regression Channel
Regression Type → Logarithmic / Linear / Adaptive / Leading.
Regression Length → Number of bars for regression calculation.
Heatmap Settings
Heatmap Length → Number of bars to calculate bull/bear dominance.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Log Regression Oscillator Channel [BigBeluga]
This unique overlay tool blends logarithmic trend analysis with dynamic oscillator behavior. It projects RSI, MFI, or Stochastic lines directly into a log regression channel on the price chart — offering an intuitive way to detect overbought/oversold momentum within the broader price structure.
🔵Key Features:
Logarithmic Regression Channel:
➣ Draws a trend-based channel using logarithmic regression, adapting to price growth curvature over time.
➣ Features upper, lower, and optional midline boundaries to visualize trend flow and range extremes.
Oscillator Overlay (RSI / MFI / Stochastic):
➣ Projects your chosen oscillator inside the channel using dynamic polylines.
➣ Allows switching between RSI, Money Flow Index, or Stochastic for versatile momentum insight.
Threshold-Based Scaling:
➣ The top and bottom of the channel represent traditional oscillator thresholds (e.g., RSI 70/30).
➣ Users can modify the scale in settings to customize what "overbought" or "oversold" means visually.
Signal Line Integration:
➣ Adds a yellow moving average (signal line) for smoother confirmation of oscillator turns.
➣ Helps identify divergence, momentum shifts, and fakeouts with better clarity.
Live Oscillator Readout:
➣ Displays the real-time oscillator value at the right edge of the chart.
➣ Ensures traders stay aware of current momentum levels without switching panels.
🔵Usage:
Momentum Context:
➣ When the oscillator touches the upper regression band, it may signal local overbought pressure.
➣ Touching the lower band may indicate oversold conditions within the current log trend.
Divergence Detection:
➣ Use the oscillator’s behavior relative to the channel slope to spot divergence from price.
➣ For example, RSI rising inside a falling channel can flag early trend shifts.
Trend-Sensitive Entries:
➣ Combine oscillator signals with log channel direction to filter trades in trend alignment.
➣ Signal line crossovers inside the channel act as early warning for momentum turns.
The Log Regression Oscillator Channel transforms how traders view classic momentum tools. By embedding oscillators into a logarithmic trend structure, it offers unmatched clarity on momentum positioning relative to price expansion. Ideal for swing traders, mean-reverters, or trend followers looking to sharpen entries and exits with style.
Linear Regression Volume Profile [ChartPrime]LR VolumeProfile
This indicator combines a Linear Regression channel with a dynamic volume profile, giving traders a powerful way to visualize both directional price movement and volume concentration along the trend.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Linear Regression Channel: Draws a statistically fitted channel to track the market trend over a defined period.
Volume Profile Overlay: Splits the channel into multiple horizontal levels and calculates volume traded within each level.
Percentage-Based Labels: Displays each level's share of total volume as a percentage, offering a clean way to see high and low volume zones.
Gradient Bars: Profile bars are colored using a gradient scale from yellow (low volume) to red (high volume), making it easy to identify key interest areas.
Adjustable Profile Width and Resolution: Users can change the width of profile bars and spacing between levels.
Channel Direction Indicator: An arrow inside a floating label shows the direction (up or down) of the current linear regression slope.
Level Style Customization: Choose from solid, dashed, or dotted lines for visual preference.
⯁ HOW TO USE
Use the Linear Regression channel to determine the dominant price trend direction.
Analyze the volume bars to spot key levels where the majority of volume was traded—these act as potential support/resistance zones.
Pay attention to the largest profile bars—these often mark zones of institutional interest or price consolidation.
The arrow label helps quickly assess whether the trend is upward or downward.
Combine this tool with price action or momentum indicators to build high-confidence trading setups.
⯁ CONCLUSION
LR Volume Profile is a precision tool for traders who want to merge trend analysis with volume insight. By integrating linear regression trendlines with a clean and readable volume distribution, this indicator helps traders find price levels that matter the most—backed by volume, trend, and structure. Whether you're spotting high-volume nodes or gauging directional flow, this toolkit elevates your decision-making process with clarity and depth.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression ModelThis is the main version of the script. Click here for the Oscillator part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. The Oscillator version can be found here.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. Click here for the other part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
