Larry Connors RSI 3 StrategyThe Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is a short-term mean-reversion trading strategy. It combines a moving average filter and a modified version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential buying opportunities in an uptrend. The strategy assumes that a short-term pullback within a long-term uptrend is an opportunity to buy at a discount before the trend resumes.
Components of the Strategy:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price must be above the 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend.
2-Period RSI: This is a very short-term RSI, used to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. The standard RSI is typically calculated over 14 periods, but Connors uses just 2 periods to capture extreme overbought and oversold conditions.
Three-Day RSI Drop: The RSI must decline for three consecutive days, with the first drop occurring from an RSI reading above 60.
RSI Below 10: After the three-day drop, the RSI must reach a level below 10, indicating a highly oversold condition.
Buy Condition: All the above conditions must be satisfied to trigger a buy order.
Sell Condition: The strategy closes the position when the RSI rises above 70, signaling that the asset is overbought.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a trader, author, and founder of Connors Research, a firm specializing in quantitative trading research. He is best known for developing strategies that focus on short-term market movements. Connors co-authored several popular books, including "Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies" with Linda Raschke, which has become a staple among traders seeking reliable, rule-based strategies. His research often emphasizes simplicity and robust testing, which appeals to both retail and institutional traders.
Scientific Foundations
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), originally developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. However, the use of a 2-period RSI in Connors' strategy is unconventional, as most traders rely on longer periods, such as 14. Connors' research showed that using a shorter period like 2 can better capture short-term reversals, particularly when combined with a longer-term trend filter such as the 200-day SMA.
Connors' strategies, including this one, are built on empirical research using historical data. For example, in a study of over 1,000 signals generated by this strategy, Connors found that it performed consistently well across various markets, especially when trading ETFs and large-cap stocks (Connors & Alvarez, 2009).
Risks and Considerations
While the Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is backed by empirical research, it is not without risks:
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the premise that markets revert to the mean. However, in strong trending markets, the strategy may underperform as prices can remain oversold or overbought for extended periods.
Short-Term Nature: The strategy focuses on very short-term movements, which can result in frequent trading. High trading frequency can lead to increased transaction costs, which may erode profits.
Market Conditions: The strategy performs best in certain market environments, particularly in stable uptrends. In highly volatile or strongly trending markets, the strategy's performance can deteriorate.
Data and Backtesting Limitations: While backtests may show positive results, they rely on historical data and do not account for future market conditions, slippage, or liquidity issues.
Scientific literature suggests that while technical analysis strategies like this can be effective in certain market conditions, they are not foolproof. According to Lo et al. (2000), technical strategies may show patterns that are statistically significant, but these patterns often diminish once they are widely adopted by traders.
References
Connors, L., & Alvarez, C. (2009). Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work. TradingMarkets Publishing Group.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research
Osilatörler
Potential Divergence Checker#### Key Features
1. Potential Divergence Signals:
Potential divergences can signal a change in price movement before it occurs. This indicator identifies potential divergences instead of waiting for full confirmation, allowing it to detect signs of divergence earlier than traditional methods. This provides more flexible entry points and can act as a broader filter for potential setups.
2. Exposing Signals for External Use:
One of its advanced features is the ability to expose signals for use in other scripts. This allows users to integrate divergence signals and related entry/exit points into custom strategies or automated systems.
3. Custom Entry/Exit Timing Based on Years and Days:
The indicator provides entry and exit signals based on years and days, which could be useful for time-specific market behavior, long-term trades, and back testing.
#### Basic Usage
This indicator can check for all types of potential divergences: bullish, hidden bullish, bearish, hidden bearish. All you need to do is choose the type you want to check for under “DIVERGENCE TYPE” in the settings. On the chart, potential bullish divergences will show up as triangles below the price candles. one the chart potential bearish divergences will show up as upside down triangles above the price candles
#### Signals for Advanced Usage
You can use this indicator as a source in other indicators or strategies using the following information:
“ PD: Bull divergence signal ” will return “1” when a divergence is present and “0” when not present
“ PD: HBull divergence(hidden bull) signal ” will return “1” when a divergence is present and “0” when not present
“ PD: Bear divergence signal ” will return “1” when a divergence is present and “0” when not present
“ PD: HBear divergence(hidden bear) signal ” will return “1” when a divergence is present and “0” when not present
“ PD: enter ” signal will return a “1” when both the days and years criteria in the “entry filter settings” are met and “0” when not met.
“ PD: exit ” signal will return a “1” when the days criteria in the “exit filter settings” are met and “0” when not met.
#### Examples of Using Signals
1. If you are testing a long strategy for Bitcoin and do not want it to run during bear market years(e.g., the second year after a US presidential election), you can enable the “year and day filter for entry,” uncheck the following years in the settings: 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022, 2026, and reference the signal below in our strategy
signal: “ PD: enter ”
2. Let’s say you have a good long strategy, but want to make it a bit more profitable, you can tell the strategy not to run on days where there is potential bearish divergence and have it only run on more profitable days using these signals and the appropriate settings in the indicator
signal: “ PD: Bear divergence signal ” will return a ‘0’ with no bearish divergence present
signal: “ PD: enter ” will return a “1” if the entry falls on a specific, more profitable day chosen in the settings
#### Disclaimer
The "Potential Divergence Checker" indicator is a tool designed to identify potential market signals. It may have bugs and not do what it should do. It is not a guarantee of future trading performance, and users should exercise caution when making trading decisions based on its outputs. Always perform your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Averaging Down Strategy1. Averaging Down:
Definition: "Averaging Down" is a strategy in which an investor buys more shares of a declining asset, thus lowering the average purchase price. The main idea is that, by averaging down, the investor can recover faster when the price eventually rebounds.
Risk Considerations: This strategy assumes that the asset will recover in value. If the price continues to decline, however, the investor may suffer larger losses. Academic research highlights the psychological bias of loss aversion that often leads investors to engage in averaging down, despite the increased risk (Barberis & Huang, 2001).
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Definition: The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. A reading below 30 (or in this case, 35) typically indicates an oversold condition, which might suggest a potential buying opportunity (Wilder, 1978).
Risk Considerations: RSI-based strategies can produce many false signals in range-bound or choppy markets, where prices do not exhibit strong trends. This can lead to multiple losing trades and an overall negative performance (Gencay, 1998).
3. Combination of RSI and Price Movement:
Approach: The combination of RSI for entry signals and price movement (previous day's high) for exit signals aims to capture short-term market reversals. This hybrid approach attempts to balance momentum with price confirmation.
Risk Considerations: While this combination can work well in trending markets, it may struggle in volatile or sideways markets. Additionally, a significant risk of averaging down is that the trader may continue adding to a losing position, which can exacerbate losses if the price keeps falling.
Risk Warnings:
Increased Losses Through Averaging Down:
Averaging down involves buying more of a falling asset, which can increase exposure to downside risk. Studies have shown that this approach can lead to larger losses when markets continue to decline, especially during prolonged bear markets (Statman, 2004).
A key risk is that this strategy may lead to significant capital drawdowns if the price of the asset does not recover as expected. In the worst-case scenario, this can result in a total loss of the invested capital.
False Signals with RSI:
RSI-based strategies are prone to generating false signals, particularly in markets that do not exhibit strong trends. For example, Gencay (1998) found that while RSI can be effective in certain conditions, it often fails in choppy or range-bound markets, leading to frequent stop-outs and drawdowns.
Psychological Bias:
Behavioral finance research suggests that the "Averaging Down" strategy may be influenced by loss aversion, a bias where investors prefer to avoid losses rather than achieve gains (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This can lead to poor decision-making, as investors continue to add to losing positions in the hope of a recovery.
Empirical Studies:
Gencay (1998): The study "The Predictability of Security Returns with Simple Technical Trading Rules" found that technical indicators like RSI can provide predictive value in certain markets, particularly in volatile environments. However, they are less reliable in markets that lack clear trends.
Barberis & Huang (2001): Their research on behavioral biases, including loss aversion, explains why investors are often tempted to average down despite the risks, as they attempt to avoid realizing losses.
Statman (2004): In "The Diversification Puzzle," Statman discusses how strategies like averaging down can increase risk exposure without necessarily improving long-term returns, especially if the underlying asset continues to perform poorly.
Conclusion:
The "Averaging Down Strategy with RSI" combines elements of technical analysis with a psychologically-driven averaging down approach. While the strategy may offer opportunities in trending or oversold markets, it carries significant risks, particularly in volatile or declining markets. Traders should be cautious when using this strategy, ensuring they manage risk effectively and avoid overexposure to a losing position.
Relative Rating Index (RRI)The technical rating is one of the most perfect indicators. The reason is that this indicator is based on a majority vote of multiple indicators. It is logical that the judgment based on a majority vote of multiple indicators would not be inferior to the judgment made using only a single indicator. However, just as any indicator has its shortcomings, the technical rating also has weaknesses. The most significant issue is that it primarily provides only a momentary evaluation of the current situation.
Let's consider this in more detail. In the technical rating, an evaluation of 1.0 by the majority vote of indicators is considered a strong buy. However, in the market, there are naturally varying levels of strength. For example, would a market that only once reached an evaluation of 1.0 within a given period be considered the same as a market that consistently maintains an evaluation of 1.0? The latter clearly shows a stronger trend, but the technical rating does not provide an objective criterion for such differentiation. While it is possible to check the histogram to see how long the buy or sell rating has continued, there is no objective standard for judgment.
The indicator I have created this time compensates for this weakness by using the concept of RSI. As is well known, RSI is an indicator that shows the momentum of the market. RSI typically calculates the strength of the price increase during a 14-period by dividing the total upward movement by the total movement range. Similarly, I thought that if we divide the positive evaluations of the technical rating during a given period by the total evaluations, we could calculate the "momentum of the technical rating," which shows how often positive ratings have appeared during that period.
Below is the calculation formula.
1. Setting the Evaluation Period
Decide the period to calculate (e.g., 14 periods). This is denoted as `n`.
2. Total Positive Ratings of the Technical Rating
Calculate the total number of times the technical rating is evaluated as "strong buy" or "buy" during each period. This is called `positive_sum`.
3. Total Ratings
Count the total number of ratings (including buy, sell, and neutral) during the period. This is called `total_sum`.
4. Calculating the Upward Strength
Divide `positive_sum` by `total_sum` to calculate the ratio of positive ratings in the technical rating. This is called the "ratio of positive ratings."
The ratio of positive ratings, denoted as `P`, is calculated as follows:
P = positive_sum / total_sum
5. Calculating RRI
Following the calculation method of RSI, RRI is calculated by the following formula:
RRI = 100 - (100 / (1 + (P / (1 - P))))
As you can see, the calculation method is similar to that of RSI. Therefore, initially, I intended to name this indicator the Technical Rating RSI. However, RSI calculates based on the difference between the previous bar's price and the current bar's price, whereas this indicator calculates by summing the values of the technical ratings themselves. In the case of prices, if the difference between bars is zero, it indicates a flat market, but in the case of technical rating values, if 1.0 continues for two consecutive periods, it signifies an extremely strong buy rather than a flat market. For this reason, I decided that the calculation method could no longer be considered the same as the traditional RSI, and to avoid confusion, I chose to give this new indicator the name "Relative Rating Index" (RRI), as it provides a new type of numerical evaluation.
The information provided by this indicator is simple. When RRI exceeds 50, it means that more than 50% of the technical rating evaluations during the set period (I recommend 50 periods, but please determine the optimal value based on your timeframe) are buy evaluations. However, since there may be many false signals around exactly 50, I define it as buy-dominant when the value exceeds 60 and sell-dominant when it falls below 40. Additionally, if the graph itself is rising, it indicates that the buying momentum is strengthening, and if it is falling, it indicates that the selling momentum is increasing.
Furthermore, there are lines drawn at 90 and 10, but please note that unlike RSI, these do not indicate overbought or oversold conditions. When RRI exceeds 90, it means that over 90% of the technical rating evaluations during the specified period are buy evaluations, indicating an ongoing extremely strong buy trend. Until the RRI graph turns downward and falls below 90, it should rather be considered a buying opportunity.
With this new indicator, the technical rating becomes an indicator with depth, providing evaluations not only for the moment but over a specified period. I hope you find it helpful in your market analysis.
Dema DMI | viResearchDema DMI | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Dema DMI" indicator integrates the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with the Directional Movement Index (DMI), creating a more responsive and precise trend-following system. The DEMA is used to smooth price data while minimizing lag, making it highly effective for trend detection. The DMI, on the other hand, measures the strength and direction of a trend by analyzing positive and negative directional movements. By combining these two elements, the "Dema DMI" offers traders a powerful tool for identifying trend changes and evaluating the strength of ongoing trends. This combination helps filter out noise in price data while maintaining sensitivity to market movements, providing better trend signals and decision-making opportunities.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Dema DMI" script uses two main components: the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) and the Directional Movement Index (DMI). The DEMA is applied to both the high and low prices, creating smoothed versions of these prices based on a user-defined length. The DMI is then calculated by comparing changes in the smoothed high and low prices to measure directional movement. Positive directional movement (DM+) and negative directional movement (DM−) are calculated by evaluating whether the price is trending upward or downward, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) is computed to measure the strength of the trend. The ADX is smoothed to provide a more stable signal of trend strength.
Features and User Inputs
The "Dema DMI" script provides several customizable inputs, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their strategies. The DEMA Length controls the period over which the DEMA is calculated for both high and low prices. The DMI Length sets the window for calculating directional movement, while the ADX Smoothing Length determines how smooth the ADX line appears, making it easier to assess whether a trend is strengthening or weakening. The script also includes customizable bar colors and alert conditions, providing traders with clear visual cues and notifications when a trend change occurs.
Practical Applications
The "Dema DMI" indicator is designed for traders looking to assess trend strength and direction more effectively. The DEMA smooths price movements, while the DMI highlights shifts in directional movement, providing early signals of potential trend reversals. The ADX helps gauge whether a trend is gaining momentum, allowing traders to improve the timing of trade entries and exits. Additionally, the customizable inputs make the indicator adaptable to different market conditions, ensuring its usefulness in both trending and ranging environments.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The "Dema DMI" script offers significant value by merging the smoothing effects of DEMA with the directional analysis of the DMI. This combination reduces the lag commonly associated with trend-following indicators, providing more timely and accurate trend signals. The ADX further enhances the indicator’s utility by measuring the strength of the trend, helping traders filter out weak signals and stay aligned with stronger trends. This makes the "Dema DMI" an ideal tool for traders seeking to improve their trend-following strategies and optimize their market positioning.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes alert conditions that notify traders when a significant trend change occurs. The "Dema DMI Long" alert is triggered when the indicator detects an upward trend, while the "Dema DMI Short" alert signals a potential downward trend. Visual cues, such as changes in the bar color and the difference between positive and negative directional movement, help traders quickly identify trend shifts and act accordingly.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Dema DMI | viResearch" indicator combines the smoothing benefits of the DEMA with the directional analysis of the DMI, providing traders with a reliable tool for detecting trend changes and confirming trend strength. By incorporating this script into your trading strategy, you can improve your ability to detect early trend reversals, confirm trend direction, and reduce noise in price data. The "Dema DMI" is a flexible and adaptable solution for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis in various market conditions.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Ema Z-score | viResearchEma Z-score | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Ema Z-score" indicator introduces a novel method of analyzing price deviations from the mean by combining the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a Z-score calculation. The Z-score is a statistical measure that quantifies how far a value deviates from the mean in terms of standard deviations. By applying the Z-score to an EMA, this indicator provides traders with insights into the strength and momentum of price movements relative to a smoothed average. This enables better detection of overbought and oversold conditions, as well as potential trend reversals.
The use of the Z-score helps filter out noise and provides more robust signals by highlighting extreme deviations from the mean, allowing traders to make more informed decisions in both trending and ranging markets.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Ema Z-score" script consists of two main components: the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Z-score calculation. The EMA is calculated over a user-defined length, smoothing price movements to provide a clearer trend line. The Z-score is then derived by measuring the deviation of the current EMA value from the mean of the EMA over a lookback period, divided by the standard deviation of the EMA during that same period.
For the Z-score calculation, the script first computes the mean EMA over the lookback period using the ta.ema function. It then calculates the standard deviation of the EMA over the same period using the ta.stdev function. The Z-score is determined by subtracting the mean EMA from the current EMA value and dividing by the standard deviation, producing a normalized measure of deviation from the average.
Features and User Inputs
The "Ema Z-score" script offers several customizable inputs that allow traders to adjust the indicator according to their strategies. The EMA Length controls the smoothing period of the EMA, while the Lookback Period defines how far back the script looks when calculating the mean and standard deviation for the Z-score. Customizable thresholds allow traders to define when the Z-score signals potential uptrends or downtrends, based on their chosen levels of deviation.
Practical Applications
The "Ema Z-score" indicator is designed for traders who want to better understand price deviations from the mean and use those insights to identify potential trading opportunities. This tool is particularly effective for:
Identifying Overbought and Oversold Conditions: The Z-score provides a quantitative measure of how far the price has deviated from the mean, helping traders spot extreme conditions that could lead to reversals. Detecting Trend Reversals: By monitoring when the Z-score crosses certain thresholds, traders can identify potential trend reversals early and adjust their positions accordingly. Confirming Trend Strength: The Z-score can help confirm whether a price move is backed by momentum or is likely to revert to the mean, providing additional context for trade entries and exits.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The "Ema Z-score" script offers a significant advantage by combining the smoothing effect of the EMA with the precision of Z-score analysis. This approach reduces the impact of market noise while highlighting meaningful deviations from the norm. The ability to quantify deviations in terms of standard deviations gives traders a statistical edge in identifying overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend shifts. This makes the "Ema Z-score" an effective tool for both trend-following and contrarian strategies.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes alert conditions to notify traders of key Z-score threshold crossings. The "Ema Z-score Long" alert is triggered when the Z-score exceeds the upper threshold, signaling a potential upward trend. Conversely, the "Ema Z-score Short" alert signals a possible downward trend when the Z-score falls below the lower threshold. Visual cues such as color changes in the bar chart and Z-score plot help traders easily identify these conditions on the chart.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Ema Z-score | viResearch" indicator offers a unique combination of EMA smoothing and Z-score analysis, giving traders a statistical measure of price deviations and improving their ability to detect overbought or oversold conditions, trend reversals, and trend confirmations. By incorporating this script into your trading strategy, you can better quantify price extremes and make more informed decisions in both volatile and stable markets. Whether you're focused on spotting early reversals or confirming ongoing trends, the "Ema Z-score" provides a reliable and customizable solution.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Median For Loop | viResearchMedian For Loop | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Median For Loop" indicator provides an innovative approach to analyzing market data by combining the power of the Median Price with a dynamic scoring system based on a for loop mechanism. This unique script evaluates the median price of the market over a user-defined period, then applies a loop function to generate a score that helps traders detect trends, reversals, and market momentum.
The median, being a robust measure of central tendency, helps filter out noise and better represent the middle of a price range. By applying a loop function that compares the current median to historical values, this script offers a detailed view of price momentum, allowing traders to detect potential trend changes with improved accuracy.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Median For Loop" script is composed of two primary components:
Median Calculation: The indicator calculates the median price of the market based on the chosen input source (default is HLC3: the average of high, low, and close) and the specified length. This creates a central value around which market movements can be evaluated.
For Loop Scoring System: This system compares the current median value with past values within a user-defined range, generating a score that reflects how the market is trending. The loop mechanism dynamically sums the score based on whether the current median is higher or lower than historical medians, providing a clear signal of trend strength and direction.
Key Calculations:
Median Calculation: The median is calculated using the percentile_nearest_rank function, providing the 50th percentile of the selected price data over the given length.
For Loop Scoring:
The loop evaluates the median over a defined range (from and to), comparing the current median to historical values.
If the current median is higher than a previous value, a positive score is added; if it is lower, a negative score is added. This forms the final total score, indicating the trend strength.
Features and User Inputs
The "Median For Loop" script offers flexibility and customization options for traders to adapt it to various market conditions and trading strategies:
Median Length: Control the period over which the median price is calculated, affecting the responsiveness of the indicator to price changes.
Loop Range (From and To): Define the range over which the loop evaluates historical median values, allowing traders to adjust how far back the script looks when assessing momentum.
Thresholds: User-defined thresholds are available to specify when the score indicates an uptrend or downtrend. This provides traders with control over the sensitivity of the trend signals.
Practical Applications
The "Median For Loop" indicator is ideal for traders seeking a balanced, noise-filtered approach to trend detection. It is particularly effective for:
Detecting Early Trend Reversals: The loop-based scoring system offers early signals of potential reversals by comparing the current median with past medians, giving traders an advantage in volatile markets.
Confirming Trend Strength: By analyzing the median over time, the script helps confirm whether trends are gaining or losing momentum, improving the accuracy of trade entries and exits.
Strategic Positioning: The customizable parameters allow traders to adapt the script to various market conditions, enhancing their ability to position themselves effectively in both trending and ranging markets.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The key advantage of the "Median For Loop" script is its ability to reduce market noise by focusing on the median price while providing a dynamic scoring system for trend detection. The combination of median calculation and loop-based evaluation offers a more refined view of market momentum, reducing false signals and increasing the reliability of trend identification. This makes it a valuable tool for traders aiming to enhance their market timing and strategy development.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes built-in alerts to notify traders of potential trend changes:
Median For Loop Long: Triggers when the score exceeds the upper threshold, indicating a possible upward trend.
Median For Loop Short: Triggers when the score falls below the lower threshold, signaling a potential downward trend.
Visual cues are also provided, with background colors highlighting potential trend shifts when the score crosses certain levels, offering traders an easy-to-read signal on the chart.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Median For Loop | viResearch" indicator provides a powerful combination of median price smoothing and dynamic trend scoring, allowing traders to gain a clearer understanding of market momentum. By incorporating this script into your trading strategy, you can improve your ability to detect trends and reversals while reducing the noise that often affects price data. Whether you're focusing on early reversals or confirming the strength of existing trends, this indicator offers a reliable and customizable solution.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Lsma For Loop | viResearchLsma For Loop | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Lsma For Loop" indicator offers a unique combination of the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) with a dynamic scoring system based on a loop function. By comparing the current LSMA value with historical values over a user-defined range, this indicator generates a detailed score that helps detect trend strength and potential reversals. This approach provides traders with a more nuanced analysis of price action, allowing them to identify trends earlier and with more accuracy.
The LSMA, which minimizes lag compared to traditional moving averages, is ideal for detecting trends as it provides a smooth and quick-to-respond line. When combined with the loop-based scoring system, traders can benefit from a powerful tool for analyzing market momentum and capturing profitable trends.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Lsma For Loop" script features two essential components:
Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA): The LSMA is calculated over a user-defined length using a linear regression model. It provides a smooth line that follows price trends more closely, reducing the noise that is often present in simple moving averages.
For Loop Scoring System: This system evaluates the LSMA over a range of previous values, generating a score based on whether the current LSMA is higher or lower than its previous values within the specified range. The resulting score reflects the strength of the trend, with higher scores indicating a stronger uptrend and lower scores signaling a downtrend.
Key Calculations:
LSMA Calculation: The LSMA is derived from the closing price over the selected period (len), providing a smooth moving average that fits the price data closely.
For Loop Scoring:
The loop iterates over a range of previous LSMA values, comparing the current LSMA to each past value.
If the current LSMA is higher than a previous value, a positive score is added; if it is lower, a negative score is added. The sum of these comparisons forms the overall score.
Features and User Inputs
The "Lsma For Loop" script offers a range of customization options, allowing traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies and market conditions:
LSMA Length: Adjust the length of the LSMA, controlling the smoothness of the indicator and how quickly it reacts to price changes.
Loop Range (From and To): Define the range over which the for loop evaluates LSMA values. This provides flexibility in assessing momentum over different timeframes.
Thresholds: Customizable threshold levels are used to define when the score indicates an uptrend or downtrend. This allows traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to market movements.
Practical Applications
The "Lsma For Loop" is a versatile tool for traders who want to leverage the advantages of LSMA smoothing while gaining a more detailed view of trend strength. This indicator is particularly useful for:
Identifying Trend Reversals: The loop-based scoring system provides an early indication of potential trend reversals, allowing traders to react before major market movements.
Confirming Trend Strength: By evaluating the LSMA against a range of previous values, the script helps confirm whether a trend is strengthening or weakening.
Enhanced Market Positioning: The customizable range and thresholds enable traders to adapt the script to different market conditions, whether they are day trading or swing trading.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The primary advantage of the "Lsma For Loop" script lies in its ability to provide a more granular analysis of LSMA behavior through the use of the for loop. This dynamic approach reduces the likelihood of false signals and offers greater accuracy in detecting trends. The indicator’s versatility makes it a valuable tool for both short-term and long-term trading strategies.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes built-in alert conditions to notify traders of key trend changes:
Lsma For Loop Long: Indicates a potential upward trend when the score exceeds the upper threshold.
Lsma For Loop Short: Signals a potential downward trend when the score falls below the lower threshold.
Additionally, visual cues such as background color changes highlight when the score crosses certain key levels, providing an easy-to-read representation of market trends directly on the chart.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Lsma For Loop | viResearch" indicator provides traders with a powerful tool that combines LSMA smoothing with a dynamic loop-based scoring system for trend detection. Incorporating this script into your trading strategy can help improve trend identification and enhance decision-making around entries and exits. Whether you are trading in trending markets or looking for early reversal signals, this script offers a reliable and flexible solution.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Multi-Kernel CCI [BackQuant]Multi-Kernel CCI
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
It offers a fresh take on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) by integrating three distinct kernel functions—Exponential Decay, Gaussian Decay, and Cosine Decay—to create a more robust and adaptive momentum indicator. The use of these kernel functions allows the CCI calculation to be more responsive to price changes while smoothing out noise, providing traders with clearer trend signals and reducing false alerts in varying market conditions.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The core of this indicator is a multi-kernel approach to calculating the CCI, where three different decay kernels are applied to the price source. Each kernel provides a unique weighting mechanism for price data over a user-defined lookback period. The result is an average of these three kernel calculations, which serves as the foundation for the CCI calculation. This innovative approach makes the Multi-Kernel CCI more adaptive to different market conditions compared to traditional CCI calculations.
Exponential Decay Kernel: Applies an exponential weighting to recent price data, giving more importance to recent values while smoothing out older data.
Gaussian Decay Kernel: Weights data using a Gaussian function, ensuring smooth transitions between price points and reducing outliers' impact.
Cosine Decay Kernel: Utilizes a cosine function to apply a unique oscillating weight to the data, capturing cyclical market movements more effectively.
Adaptive Thresholding: Like the Adaptive Momentum Oscillator, this indicator adjusts its long and short thresholds dynamically using percentile-based calculations over historical CCI values.
Features and User Inputs The Multi-Kernel CCI offers a wide range of customization options for traders:
Kernel Calculation Length & Alpha: Traders can fine-tune the sensitivity of the CCI by adjusting the length of the kernel calculation and the alpha parameter for the Exponential Decay Kernel.
Adaptive Thresholds: The indicator provides percentile-based thresholds for both long and short signals, allowing traders to dynamically adjust their signals based on historical data.
Extreme Value Detection: This feature highlights extreme overbought and oversold conditions with customizable thresholds and background hues, visually aiding in identifying high-probability reversal zones.
Divergence Detection: The script includes a divergence detection feature, identifying regular and hidden bullish or bearish divergences to help traders spot potential trend reversals.
Practical Applications The Multi-Kernel CCI excels in markets where adaptive trend detection and momentum confirmation are critical. Traders can leverage this tool in several ways:
Adaptive Trend Following: The dynamically adjusting thresholds allow traders to capture trends more effectively while avoiding false signals during consolidations or choppy markets.
Reversal Detection: The multi-kernel approach ensures that reversals are detected with greater precision, particularly in volatile markets where traditional indicators might fail.
Divergence Identification: With built-in divergence detection, the indicator provides traders with an early warning of potential trend reversals, helping to time their entries and exits more effectively.
Advantages and Strategic Value The Multi-Kernel CCI offers several strategic advantages over traditional CCI indicators:
Multi-Kernel Smoothing:
By using multiple decay kernels, this CCI calculation is better suited to detect subtle changes in market momentum, reducing the impact of noise and providing clearer trend signals.
Dynamic Thresholds:
The adaptive percentile-based thresholds ensure that the indicator remains relevant across different market conditions, enhancing signal accuracy.
Visual and Analytical Aids:
With features like extreme value detection and divergence spotting, this indicator equips traders with powerful tools to confirm trend strength and identify potential reversals.
Summary and Usage Tips
The Multi-Kernel CCI is a highly versatile tool for traders seeking a more adaptive and robust momentum indicator. Its multi-kernel foundation provides smoother, more reliable signals, while the adaptive thresholds and divergence detection features help traders refine their entries and exits. The dynamic nature of this indicator makes it ideal for both trend-following and reversal strategies in volatile markets.
Traders should experiment with the kernel calculation length and alpha parameter to align the indicator's sensitivity with their specific trading style and market conditions. Additionally, the adaptive thresholds can be fine-tuned to ensure the CCI captures the most significant trend changes without being overly reactive to short-term fluctuations.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
RSI Standard Deviation | viResearchRSI Standard Deviation | viResearch
The "RSI Standard Deviation" indicator, developed by viResearch, introduces a new approach to combining the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a standard deviation measure to offer a more dynamic view of market momentum. By applying standard deviation to the RSI values, this indicator refines the traditional RSI, providing a more precise and adaptive way to measure overbought and oversold conditions. This unique combination allows traders to better understand the underlying volatility in RSI movements, leading to more informed decisions in trending and ranging markets.
Technical Composition and Calculation:
The core of the "RSI Standard Deviation" lies in calculating the RSI based on user-defined input parameters and then applying standard deviation to these RSI values. This method enhances the sensitivity of the RSI, making it more responsive to market volatility.
RSI Calculation:
RSI Length (len): The script computes the Relative Strength Index over a customizable length (default: 21), offering a traditional measure of momentum in the market. The RSI tracks the speed and change of price movements, oscillating between 0 and 100 to indicate overbought and oversold conditions.
Standard Deviation Applied to RSI:
Standard Deviation Length (sdlen): The script calculates the standard deviation of the RSI values over a user-defined period (default: 35). This standard deviation represents the volatility in RSI movements, adding a new layer of analysis to traditional RSI.
Upper (u) and Lower (d) Bands:
The standard deviation values are used to create upper and lower bands around the RSI, offering an adaptive range that expands or contracts based on market volatility. This helps traders identify moments when the market is more likely to reverse or continue its trend.
Trend Identification:
Uptrend (L): The script identifies an uptrend when the RSI moves above the lower band and stays above the midline (50). This indicates that the market is gaining upward momentum, potentially signaling a long position.
Downtrend (S): A downtrend is identified when the RSI moves below 50, suggesting a weakening market and a potential short position.
Features and User Inputs:
The "RSI Standard Deviation" script offers various customization options, enabling traders to tailor it to their specific needs and strategies:
RSI Length: Traders can adjust the length of the RSI calculation to control how quickly the indicator responds to price movements.
Standard Deviation Length: Adjusting the standard deviation length allows users to control the sensitivity of the upper and lower bands, fine-tuning the indicator’s responsiveness to market volatility.
Source Input: The script can be applied to different price sources, offering flexibility in how it calculates RSI and standard deviation values.
Practical Applications:
The "RSI Standard Deviation" indicator is particularly useful in volatile markets, where traditional RSI may produce false signals due to rapid price movements. By adding a standard deviation measure, traders can filter out noise and better identify trends.
Key Uses:
Trend Following: The standard deviation bands provide a clearer view of momentum shifts in the RSI, allowing traders to follow the trend more confidently.
Volatility Assessment: The indicator dynamically adjusts to market volatility, making it easier to assess when the market is overbought or oversold and when a trend reversal is likely.
Signal Confirmation: By comparing the RSI to the adaptive standard deviation bands, traders can confirm signals and avoid false entries during periods of high volatility.
Advantages and Strategic Value:
The "RSI Standard Deviation" offers several advantages:
Enhanced Precision: The combination of RSI and standard deviation results in a more refined momentum indicator that adapts to market conditions.
Noise Reduction: The standard deviation bands help filter out short-term market noise, making it easier to identify significant trend changes.
Dynamic Volatility Awareness: By using standard deviation, the indicator adjusts its bands based on real-time volatility, providing more accurate overbought and oversold signals.
Summary and Usage Tips:
The "RSI Standard Deviation" is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their RSI analysis with volatility measures. For optimal performance, traders should experiment with different RSI and standard deviation lengths to suit their trading timeframe and strategy. Whether used to follow trends or confirm momentum signals, the "RSI Standard Deviation" provides a reliable and adaptive solution for modern trading environments.
HMA Smoothed RSI [Pinescriptlabs]This indicator uses a modified version of the RSI (Relative Strength Index) weighted by volume. This means it not only takes into account the price but also the amount of volume supporting those price movements, making the indicator more sensitive to real market fluctuations.
Hull Moving Average (HMA) Applied to RSI: To smooth the volume-weighted RSI, a Hull Moving Average (HMA) is applied. The HMA is known for its ability to reduce market "noise" and quickly react to trend changes. This process helps better identify when an asset is overbought or oversold.
Overbought and Oversold Regions: The indicator sets clear overbought and oversold levels, which are adjustable. By default, the overbought level is set at 20 and the oversold level at -20, but you can customize these values. Additionally, there are extreme overbought and oversold levels to help identify more extreme market conditions where a price reversal is more likely.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: This is generated when the modified RSI crosses above the oversold level. This indicates that the price has dropped enough and may be about to rise.
Sell Signal: This occurs when the RSI crosses below the overbought level. This suggests that the price has risen too much and could be about to fall.
Dynamic Visualization and Colors: The indicator is displayed with different colors based on its behavior:
When the RSI is within normal levels, the color is neutral.
If it is above the overbought level, the color turns red (sell alert).
If it is below the oversold level, the color turns green (buy alert).
Alerts: This indicator also allows you to set up alerts. You will receive automatic notifications when buy or sell signals are generated, helping you make decisions without constantly monitoring the chart.
Español:
Este indicador utiliza una versión modificada del RSI (Índice de Fuerza Relativa), ponderado por volumen. Esto significa que no solo tiene en cuenta el precio, sino también la cantidad de volumen que respalda esos movimientos de precios, haciendo que el indicador sea más sensible a las fluctuaciones reales del mercado.
Media Móvil Hull (HMA) aplicada al RSI: Para suavizar el RSI ponderado por volumen, se le aplica una Media Móvil Hull (HMA). La HMA es conocida por su capacidad para reducir el "ruido" del mercado y reaccionar rápidamente a los cambios de tendencia. Este proceso ayuda a identificar mejor cuándo un activo está sobrecomprado o sobrevendido.
Regiones de sobrecompra y sobreventa: El indicador establece niveles claros de sobrecompra y sobreventa que son ajustables. Por defecto, el nivel de sobrecompra está en 20 y el de sobreventa en -20, pero puedes personalizar estos valores. Además, hay niveles extremos de sobrecompra y sobreventa que te ayudan a identificar condiciones más extremas del mercado, donde una reversión de precio es más probable.
Señales de compra y venta:
Señal de compra: Se genera cuando el RSI modificado cruza hacia arriba el nivel de sobreventa. Esto indica que el precio ha bajado lo suficiente y puede estar a punto de subir.
Señal de venta: Se produce cuando el RSI cruza hacia abajo el nivel de sobrecompra. Esto indica que el precio ha subido demasiado y podría estar a punto de bajar.
Visualización y colores dinámicos: El indicador se muestra con diferentes colores según su comportamiento:
Cuando el RSI está dentro de los niveles normales, el color es neutro.
Si está por encima del nivel de sobrecompra, el color se vuelve rojo (señal de alerta de venta).
Si está por debajo del nivel de sobreventa, el color se vuelve verde (señal de alerta de compra).
Alertas: Este indicador también te permite configurar alertas. Así, recibirás notificaciones automáticas cuando se generen señales de compra o venta, ayudándote a tomar decisiones sin estar constantemente monitoreando el gráfico.
Inverted SD Dema RSI | viResearchInverted SD Dema RSI | viResearch
The "Inverted SD Dema RSI" developed by viResearch introduces a new approach to trend analysis by combining the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), Standard Deviation (SD), and Relative Strength Index (RSI). This unique indicator provides traders with a tool to capture market trends by integrating volatility-based thresholds. By using the smoothed DEMA along with standard deviation, the indicator offers improved responsiveness to price fluctuations, while RSI thresholds offer insight into overbought and oversold market conditions.
At the core of the "Inverted SD Dema RSI" is the combination of DEMA and standard deviation for a more nuanced view of market volatility. The use of RSI further aids in detecting price extremes and potential trend reversals.
DEMA Calculation (sublen): The Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) smoothes out price data over a user-defined period, reducing lag compared to traditional moving averages. This provides a clearer representation of the market's overall direction.
Standard Deviation Calculation (sublen_2): The standard deviation of the DEMA is used to define the upper (u) and lower (d) bands, highlighting areas where price volatility may signal a change in trend. These dynamic bands help traders gauge price volatility and potential breakouts or breakdowns.
RSI Calculation (len): The script applies the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the smoothed DEMA values, allowing traders to detect momentum shifts based on a modified data set. This provides a more accurate reflection of market strength when combined with the DEMA.
Thresholds: The RSI is compared to user-defined thresholds (70 for overbought and 55 for oversold conditions). These thresholds help in identifying potential market reversals, especially when the price breaks outside of the calculated standard deviation bands.
Uptrend (L): An uptrend signal is generated when the RSI exceeds the upper threshold (70) and the price is not above the upper standard deviation band, indicating that there may be room for further price appreciation.
Downtrend (S): A downtrend signal occurs when the RSI falls below the lower threshold (55), indicating that the price may continue to decline.
The "Inverted SD Dema RSI" offers a wide range of customizable settings, allowing traders to adjust the indicator based on their trading style or market conditions.
DEMA Length (sublen): Controls the period used to smooth the price data, impacting the sensitivity of the DEMA to recent price movements.
Standard Deviation Length (sublen_2): Defines the length over which the standard deviation is calculated, helping traders control the width of the upper and lower bands.
RSI Length (len): Adjusts the period used for the RSI calculation, providing flexibility in determining overbought and oversold conditions.
RSI Thresholds: Traders can define their own levels for detecting trend reversals, with default values of 70 for an uptrend and 55 for a downtrend.
The "Inverted SD Dema RSI" is particularly well-suited for traders looking to capture trends while accounting for volatility and momentum. By using a smoothed DEMA as the foundation, it effectively filters out noise, making it ideal for detecting reliable trends in volatile markets.
Key Uses:
Trend Following: The indicator’s combination of DEMA, standard deviation, and RSI helps traders follow trends more effectively by reducing noise and identifying key momentum shifts.
Volatility Filtering: The use of standard deviation bands provides a dynamic measure of volatility, ensuring that traders are aware of potential breakouts or breakdowns in the market.
Momentum Detection: The inclusion of RSI ensures that the indicator is not only focused on trend direction but also on the strength of the underlying momentum, helping traders avoid entering trades during weak trends.
The "Inverted SD Dema RSI" provides several key advantages over traditional trend-following indicators:
Reduced Lag: The use of DEMA ensures faster trend detection, reducing the lag associated with simple moving averages.
Noise Reduction: The integration of standard deviation helps filter out irrelevant price movements, making it easier to identify significant trends.
Momentum Awareness: The addition of RSI provides valuable insight into the strength of trends, helping traders avoid false signals during periods of weak momentum.
The "Inverted SD Dema RSI" offers a powerful blend of trend-following and momentum detection, making it a versatile tool for modern traders. By integrating DEMA, standard deviation, and RSI, the indicator provides a comprehensive view of market trends and volatility. Traders are encouraged to experiment with different settings for the DEMA length, standard deviation, and RSI thresholds to fine-tune the indicator for their specific trading strategies. Whether used for trend confirmation, volatility assessment, or momentum analysis, the "Inverted SD Dema RSI" offers a valuable tool for traders seeking a comprehensive approach to market analysis.
Composite Momentum█ Introduction
The Composite Momentum Indicator is a tool we came across that we found to be useful at detecting implied tops and bottoms within quick market cycles. Its approach to analyzing momentum through a combination of moving averages and summation techniques makes it a useful addition to the range of available indicators on TradingView.
█ How It Works
This indicator operates by calculating the difference between two moving averages—one fast and one slow, which can be customized by the user. The difference between these two averages is then expressed as a percentage of the fast moving average, forming the core momentum value which is then smoothed with an Exponential Moving Average is applied. The smoothed momentum is then compared across periods to identify directional changes in direction
Furthermore, the script calculates the absolute differences between consecutive momentum values. These differences are used to determine periods of momentum acceleration or deceleration, aiming to establish potential reversals.
In addition to tracking momentum changes, the indicator sums positive and negative momentum changes separately over a user-defined period. This summation is intended to provide a clearer picture of the prevailing market bias—whether it’s leaning towards strength or weakness.
Finally, the summed-up values are normalized to a percentage scale. This normalization helps in identifying potential tops and bottoms by comparing the relative strength of the momentum within a given cycle.
█ Usage
This indicator is primarily useful for traders who focus on detecting quick cycle tops and bottoms. It provides a view of momentum shifts that can signal these extremes, though it’s important to use it in conjunction with other tools and market analysis techniques. Given its ability to highlight potential reversals, it may be of interest to those who seek to understand short-term market dynamics.
█ Disclaimer
This script was discovered without any information about its author or original intent but was nonetheless ported from its original format that is available publicly. It’s provided here for educational purposes and should not be considered a guaranteed method for market analysis. Users are encouraged to test and understand the indicator thoroughly before applying it in real trading scenarios.
Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator
Title: Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator (DPVO)
### Overview
The "Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator" (DPVO) is an advanced trading tool designed to enhance market analysis by integrating volume data with price action. This indicator is specially developed to provide traders with deeper insights into market dynamics, making it easier to spot potential entry and exit points based on volume and price interactions. The DPVO stands out by offering a sophisticated approach to traditional volume analysis, setting it apart from typical volume indicators available on the TradingView platform.
### Unique Features
Unlike traditional indicators that analyze volume and price movements separately, the DPVO combines these two critical elements to offer a comprehensive view of market behavior. By calculating the Volume Impact, which involves the product of the exponential moving averages (EMAs) of volume and the price range (close - open), this indicator highlights significant trading activities that could indicate strong buying or selling pressure. This method allows traders to see not just the volume spikes, but how those spikes relate to price movements, providing a clearer picture of market sentiment.
### Customization and Inputs
The DPVO is highly customizable, catering to various trading styles and strategies:
- **Oscillator Length (`oscLength`)**: Adjusts the period over which the volume and price difference is analyzed, allowing traders to set it according to their trading timeframe.
- **Fast and Slow Moving Averages (`fastMA` and `slowMA`)**: These parameters control the responsiveness of the DPVO. A shorter `fastMA` coupled with a longer `slowMA` can help in identifying trends quicker or smoothing out market noise for more conservative approaches.
- **Signal Smoothing (`signalSmooth`)**: This input helps in reducing signal noise, making the crossover and crossunder points between the DVO and its smoothed signal line clearer and easier to interpret.
### Functionality Details
The DPVO operates through a sequence of calculated steps that integrate volume data with price movement:
1. **Volume Impact Calculation**: This is the foundational step where the product of the EMA of volume and the EMA of price range (close - open) is calculated. This metric highlights trading sessions where significant volume accompanies substantial price movements, suggesting a strong market response.
2. **Dynamic Volume Oscillator (DVO)**: The heart of the indicator, the DVO, is derived by calculating the difference between the fast EMA and the slow EMA of the Volume Impact. This result is then normalized by dividing by the EMA of the volume over the same period to scale the output, making it consistent across various trading environments.
3. **Signal Generation**: The final output is smoothed using a simple moving average of the DVO to filter out market noise. Buy and sell signals are generated based on the crossover and crossunder of the DVO with its smoothed version, providing clear cues for market entry or exit.
### Originality
The DPVO's originality lies in its innovative integration of volume and price movement, a novel approach not typically observed in other volume indicators. By analyzing the product of volume and price change EMAs, the DPVO captures the essence of market dynamics more holistically than traditional tools, which often only reflect volume levels without contextualizing them with price actions. This dual analysis provides traders with a deeper understanding of market forces, enabling them to make more informed decisions based on a combination of volume surges and significant price movements. The DPVO also introduces a unique normalization and smoothing technique that refines the oscillator's output, offering cleaner and more reliable signals that are adaptable to various market conditions and trading styles.
### Practical Application
The DPVO excels in environments where volume plays a crucial role in validating price movements. Traders can utilize the buy and sell signals generated by the DPVO to enhance their decision-making process. The signals are plotted directly on the trading chart, with buy signals appearing below the price bars and sell signals above, ensuring they are prominent and actionable. This setup is particularly useful for day traders and swing traders who rely on timely and accurate signals to maximize their trading opportunities.
### Best Practices
To maximize the effectiveness of the DPVO, traders should consider the following best practices:
- **Market Selection**: Use the DPVO in markets known for strong volume-price correlation such as major forex pairs, popular stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
- **Signal Confirmation**: While the DPVO provides powerful signals, confirming these signals with additional indicators such as RSI or MACD can increase trade reliability.
- **Risk Management**: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risks associated with trading signals. Adjust the position size based on the volatility of the asset to avoid significant losses.
### Practical Example + How to use it
Practical Example1: Day Trading Cryptocurrencies
For a day trader focusing on the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, the DPVO can be an effective tool on a 15-minute chart. Suppose a trader is monitoring Bitcoin (BTC) during a period of high market activity. The DPVO might show an upward crossover of the DVO above its smoothed signal line while also indicating a significant increase in volume. This could signal that strong buying pressure is entering the market, suggesting a potential short-term rally. The trader could enter a long position based on this signal, setting a stop-loss just below the recent support level to manage risk. If the DPVO later shows a crossover in the opposite direction with decreasing volume, it might signal a good exit point, allowing the trader to lock in profits before a potential pullback.
- **Swing Trading Stocks**: For a swing trader looking at stocks, the DPVO could be applied on a daily chart. If the oscillator shows a consistent downward trend along with increasing volume, this could suggest a potential sell-off, providing a sell signal before a significant downturn.
You can look for:
--> Increase in volume - You can use indicators like 24-hour-Volume to have a better visualization
--> Uptrend/Downtrend in the indicator (HH, HL, LL, LH)
--> Confirmation (Buy signal/Sell signal)
--> Correct Price action (Not too steep moves up or down. Stable moves.) (Optional)
--> Confirmation with other indicators (Optional)
Quick image showing you an example of a buy signal on SOLANA:
### Technical Notes
- **Calculation Efficiency**: The DPVO utilizes exponential moving averages (EMAs) in its calculations, which provides a balance between responsiveness and smoothing. EMAs are favored over simple moving averages in this context because they give more weight to recent data, making the indicator more sensitive to recent market changes.
- **Normalization**: The normalization of the DVO by the EMA of the volume ensures that the oscillator remains consistent across different assets and timeframes. This means the indicator can be used on a wide variety of markets without needing significant adjustments, making it a versatile tool for traders.
- **Signal Line Smoothing**: The final signal line is smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise. The choice of SMA for smoothing, as opposed to EMA, is intentional to provide a more stable signal that is less prone to frequent whipsaws, which can occur in highly volatile markets.
- **Lag and Sensitivity**: Like all moving average-based indicators, the DPVO may introduce a slight lag in signal generation. However, this is offset by the indicator’s ability to filter out market noise, making it a reliable tool for identifying genuine trends and reversals. Adjusting the `fastMA`, `slowMA`, and `signalSmooth` inputs allows traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the DPVO to match their specific trading strategy and market conditions.
- **Platform Compatibility**: The DPVO is written in Pine Script™ v5, ensuring compatibility with the latest features and functionalities offered by TradingView. This version takes advantage of optimized functions for performance and accuracy in calculations, making it well-suited for real-time analysis.
Conclusion
The "Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator" is a revolutionary tool that merges volume analysis with price movement to offer traders a more nuanced understanding of market trends and reversals. Its ability to provide clear, actionable signals based on a unique combination of volume and price changes makes it an invaluable addition to any trader's toolkit. Whether you are managing long-term positions or looking for quick trades, the DPVO provides insights that can help refine any trading strategy, making it a standout choice in the crowded field of technical indicators.
Nothing from this indicator or any other Uptrick Indicators is financial advice. Only you are ultimately responsible for your choices.
Combo 2/20 EMA & CCI
This is another part of my research work, where I test a combination of two strategies, receiving a combined signal. In order to understand which indicator combinations work better, which work worse, as filters for trades. This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This indicator plots 2/20 exponential moving average. For the Mov Avg X 2/20 Indicator, the EMA bar will be painted when the Alert criteria is met.
Second strategy
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is best used with markets that display cyclical or seasonal characteristics, and is formulated to detect the beginning and ending of the cycles by incorporating a moving average together with a divisor that reflects both possible and actual trading ranges. The final index measures the deviation from normal, which indicates major changes in market trend.
Strategy tester settings:
Initial capital: 1000
Order size: 0.5
Commission: 0.1%
Other as default.
Indicator settings:
EMA Length: 50
CCI Length: 10
Fast MA Length: 15
Slow MA Length: 20
Other as default.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Stock Market Scout's Buy/Sell Signals - PremiumEnglish description, Türkçe açıklaması da hemen altında.
Stock Market Scout's Buy/Sell Signals - Premium
This indicator combines four different technical analysis tools, enabling investors to analyze market trends and volatility, generate strong buy/sell signals, and detect divergences. Each tool is based on a specific analysis method, allowing investors to customize their strategies according to various market conditions. The strength of this indicator lies in its ability to offer a multi-dimensional analysis by combining various calculation methods.
Indicator 1: Buy/Sell Signals
Objective:
This indicator generates buy and sell signals by utilizing various data derived from price movements. It provides dynamic analysis sensitive to market movements by using adaptive price calculation methods and different volatility measurements.
How It Works:
Adaptive Moving Average (AMA): Calculates a moving average responsive to price movements. This average can quickly adapt to the current market situation and respond faster to trend changes.
Kaufman’s Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): This average takes into account the direction and volatility of price movements. By adjusting itself according to market conditions, it provides more accurate trend information to investors.
Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA): Considers the fractal structure of the price, allowing for more accurate detection of trends and turning points.
Volatility Measurements: The indicator utilizes various volatility measurement methods such as Wilder's ATR, AMA, KAMA, and FRAMA, enabling investors to optimize their buy and sell signals.
Time Interval: Different timeframes can be selected for buy and sell signals, allowing strategies to be more effective in specific timeframes.
Signal Generation: Based on price movements and volatility, buy and sell signals are displayed at specific levels on the chart. These signals are visualized with lines and labels.
Why Use It: This indicator provides dynamic analysis that can quickly adapt to market movements. Investors can make more informed buy and sell decisions by accurately analyzing trend changes and volatility in the market.
Author's Recommendation:
In the Buy/Sell Signals Section, create combinations of the data source types and volatility options I have designed for you to determine the strategy that suits you best; it won't take much of your time. For example: Keep the period settings of the Buy/Sell signals as 10. Data Source Type S_M_S-10, Volatility Type S_M_S-Ozel3 Volatility, Sensitivity Setting: 7 /// S_M_S-5, S_M_S-Ozel3 Volatility, Sensitivity Setting: 5 /// S_M_S-6, S_M_S-Ozel1 Volatility, Sensitivity Setting: 5 /// S_M_S-6, S_M_S-Ozel6 Volatility, Sensitivity Setting: 5, etc.
Stock_Market_Scout's Buy/Sell Signals – Premium adapts to every chart, but as you know, every chart has different dynamics. You can either stick to a single combination or find the most suitable combination for each chart; my recommendation is to find the most appropriate combination for each chart.
Indicator 2: Trend Tracking
Objective:
The Trend Tracking indicator analyzes the strength of market trends using Renko charts. Renko bricks reduce noise caused by price movements, making trends easier to identify.
How It Works:
Renko Brick Size: Users can choose whether to base Renko bricks on trend or volatility. A fixed brick size can be set, or a volatility-based dynamic brick size can be used.
Source Data: The indicator supports various types of data sources, ranging from standard OHLC prices to customized calculations.
Time Interval: Users can select the timeframe for calculating Renko bricks, allowing analysis of how trends change over different periods.
Trend Strength: The indicator calculates the correlation between Renko brick closing prices and price movements over a specific period, determining the strength of the trend based on this correlation. It provides information on the strength and direction of the trend.
Color Coding: When the trend strength reaches specific levels, candles are highlighted with color coding, offering a quick visual reference for the strength of the trend.
Why Use It: The Trend Tracking indicator helps investors to see market trends more clearly and analyze their strength. It is ideal for obtaining clearer signals in trend-based strategies.
Indicator 3: Trend Direction Simulation
Objective:
Trend Direction Simulation analyzes market trends using Renko bricks in three different timeframes. This allows investors to see how trends change and whether they are aligned across various timeframes.
How It Works:
Three Different Timeframes: Users can select three different timeframes, and Renko bricks are calculated separately for each timeframe. This allows the simultaneous analysis of short, medium, and long-term trends.
Source Data: Different data sources can be used for each timeframe, enabling more detailed analysis based on various data sources.
Renko Brick Size: Fixed or dynamic brick sizes can be set for each timeframe, allowing users to customize trend analysis based on different volatility levels.
Trend Simulation: Trend direction is calculated using Renko bricks for each timeframe and is visually displayed on the chart. Additionally, buy/sell signals can be generated to understand whether these trends are aligned.
Buy/Sell Signals: Trend Direction Simulation can generate buy and sell signals under certain conditions, helping to determine whether trends are aligned across different timeframes and identify potential turning points.
Why Use It: This indicator helps understand how trends change and whether they are aligned across different timeframes. Investors can use this simulation to analyze market trends more deeply and optimize their strategies accordingly.
Indicator 4: RSI and Divergences
Objective:
This indicator detects market divergences using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and displays them on the chart. Divergences help identify potential turning points by determining the momentum of price movements.
How It Works:
RSI Calculation: RSI can be calculated using classic price data or Renko-based data, allowing analysis of how RSI responds under different market conditions.
Divergence Detection: The indicator detects positive and negative divergences between price and RSI. Positive divergence is when the price is falling, but RSI is rising, and negative divergence is when the price is rising, but RSI is falling.
Chart Display: Divergences are shown on the chart with special labels and lines. These visual representations provide information about potential turning points, making quick decision-making easier.
Color Coding: The indicator highlights divergences with color codes. Positive divergences are shown in shades of green, while negative divergences are shown in shades of red.
Why Use It: The RSI and Divergences indicator allows investors to identify market momentum and potential turning points. Divergences are critical in determining when trends may be ending or weakening. This indicator visually highlights such signals, helping investors make more informed decisions.
General Overview and User Guide
How to Use:
Buy/Sell Signals: First, select the data sources and volatility measurement methods you want to use in the Buy/Sell Signals section. Choose the timeframe and monitor the signals on the chart. Using these signals during periods when the trend is strong and volatility is at an appropriate level can help you make more successful trades.
Trend Tracking: Use Renko-based trend analysis in this section to determine the general direction of the market. Since trend strength is shown with color coding, you can quickly understand which direction is experiencing a strong movement. This information can be used to support your current positions or open new ones.
Trend Direction Simulation: Analyze trends in three different timeframes. Check whether the trends are aligned in each timeframe. If the trends are aligned, it may indicate a strong trend continuation. You can use the buy/sell signals obtained from the simulation as part of your strategy.
RSI and Divergences: Detect divergences between price movements and RSI using the RSI indicator. These divergences play a critical role in identifying potential trend reversals. Especially, negative divergences may indicate the end of an uptrend, while positive divergences may signal the end of a downtrend.
Why Use It:
Versatile Analysis: This indicator combines four different analysis tools on a single platform, allowing investors to conduct more in-depth market analysis. Each tool offers a different strategic approach, enhancing the versatility of the indicator.
Customizable Settings: The wide range of settings offered by the indicator allows investors to make customizations that suit their strategies. This enables flexibility and effectiveness under different market conditions.
Visual Aids: The visual signals provided on the chart offer quick and easily accessible information about trend direction, divergences, and buy/sell signals. This helps in making investment decisions quickly and effectively.
Rapid Adaptation to Market Conditions: Adaptive calculation methods quickly adapt to market conditions, producing accurate and timely signals. This helps investors to be more prepared for market fluctuations.
Note for Moderation and Approval Process: This indicator is not just about combining classic analysis tools but is also optimized to work effectively across different timeframes and market conditions. Each component adds value to the indicator, enhancing its uniqueness and utility. The broad customization options and versatile analysis capability offered to investors make this indicator much more than an ordinary combination.
Important Disclaimer: No indicator, algorithm, or strategy can predict the markets with 100% accuracy. This tool is designed to help make informed decisions but should not be used as the sole basis for trading. Always consider using additional analysis and risk management strategies. Blind reliance on any tool can lead to significant financial losses.
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Stock Market Scout'un Al/Sat Sinyalleri - Premium
Bu gösterge, dört farklı teknik analiz aracını bir araya getirerek, yatırımcıların piyasa trendlerini ve volatiliteyi analiz etmelerini, güçlü alım/satım sinyalleri üretmelerini ve uyumsuzlukları tespit etmelerini sağlar. Her bir araç, belirli bir analiz yöntemi üzerine kuruludur ve yatırımcıların çeşitli piyasa koşullarına göre stratejilerini özelleştirmelerine olanak tanır. Bu göstergenin güçlü yanı, çeşitli hesaplama yöntemlerini birleştirerek çok boyutlu bir analiz sunmasıdır.
Gösterge 1: Al/Sat Sinyalleri
Amaç:
Bu gösterge, fiyat hareketlerinden elde edilen çeşitli verileri kullanarak alım ve satım sinyalleri üretir. Gösterge, adaptif fiyat hesaplama yöntemlerini ve farklı volatilite ölçümlerini kullanarak, piyasa hareketlerine duyarlı dinamik bir analiz sağlar.
Nasıl Çalışır:
1. Adaptive Moving Average (AMA): Fiyat hareketlerine duyarlı bir hareketli ortalama hesaplar. Bu, piyasanın mevcut durumuna hızlıca adapte olabilen bir ortalamadır ve trend değişikliklerine daha hızlı yanıt verir.
2. Kaufman’s Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): Bu ortalama, fiyat hareketlerinin yönünü ve volatilitesini dikkate alır. Piyasa koşullarına göre kendini ayarlayarak, yatırımcılara daha doğru trend bilgisi sağlar.
3. Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA): Fiyatın fraktal yapısını dikkate alarak, trendlerin ve dönüş noktalarının daha doğru tespit edilmesine olanak tanır.
4. Volatilite Ölçümleri: Gösterge, Wilder's ATR, AMA, KAMA, FRAMA gibi çeşitli volatilite ölçüm yöntemlerini kullanarak, yatırımcının alım ve satım sinyallerini optimize etmesine olanak tanır.
5. Zaman Aralığı: Alım ve satım sinyalleri için farklı zaman dilimlerinin seçilmesi mümkündür. Bu sayede, stratejilerin belirli zaman dilimlerinde daha etkin çalışması sağlanır.
6. Sinyal Üretimi: Fiyat hareketlerine ve volatiliteye dayalı olarak, grafikte alım ve satım sinyalleri belirli seviyelerde gösterilir. Bu sinyaller, çizgiler ve etiketler ile görselleştirilir.
Neden Kullanılmalı:
Bu gösterge, piyasa hareketlerine hızlıca adapte olabilen dinamik bir analiz sağlar. Yatırımcılar, piyasadaki trend değişikliklerini ve volatiliteyi doğru bir şekilde analiz ederek daha bilinçli alım ve satım kararları verebilirler.
Yazardan tavsiye:
Al/Sat Sinyalleri Bölümü'nde sizler için oluşturduğum veri kaynağı türlerinden ve volatilite çeşitlerinden kombinasyonlar yaparak, size en uygun stratejiyi belirleyin, fazla zamanınızı almaz. Örneğin; Al/Sat sinyallerinin periyot ayarları 10 olarak kalsın. Veri Kaynağı Türü S_M_S-10, Volatilite Türü S_M_S-Ozel3 Volatility, Hassasiyet Ayarı: 7 /// S_M_S-5, S_M_S-Ozel3 Volatility, Hassasiyet Ayarı: 5 /// S_M_S-6, S_M_S-Ozel1 Volatility, Hassasiyet Ayarı: 5 /// S_M_S-6, S_M_S-Ozel6 Volatility, Hassasiyet Ayarı: 5 vb.
Stock_Market_Scout'un Al/Sat Sinyalleri – Premium, her grafiğe uyum sağlar fakat, sizlerin de bildiği üzere her grafiğin dinamikleri farklıdır. İster tek kombinasyon belirleyip onun üzerinden gidin, isterseniz her grafiğe en uygun kombinasyonu bulun, benim tavsiyem her grafiğe en uygun kombinasyonu bulmanızdır.
Gösterge 2: Trend Takibi
Amaç:
Trend Takibi göstergesi, Renko grafikleri kullanarak piyasa trendlerinin gücünü analiz eder. Renko tuğlaları, fiyat hareketlerinden kaynaklanan gürültüyü azaltır ve trendleri daha net bir şekilde görmeyi sağlar.
Nasıl Çalışır:
1. Renko Tuğla Boyutu: Kullanıcılar, trend mi yoksa volatilite mi baz alınarak Renko tuğlalarının nasıl oluşturulacağını seçebilirler. Sabit bir tuğla boyutu belirlenebilir veya volatilite tabanlı dinamik bir tuğla boyutu kullanılabilir.
2. Kaynak Veri: Gösterge, birçok farklı veri kaynağı türünü destekler. Bu veri kaynakları, standart OHLC fiyatlarından, özelleştirilmiş hesaplamalara kadar geniş bir yelpazeyi kapsar.
3. Zaman Aralığı: Kullanıcılar, Renko tuğlalarının hesaplanacağı zaman dilimini seçebilirler. Bu, farklı zaman dilimlerinde trendlerin nasıl değiştiğini analiz etmeye olanak tanır.
4. Trend Gücü: Gösterge, Renko tuğlalarının kapanış fiyatları ile belirli bir dönem boyunca fiyat hareketleri arasındaki korelasyonu hesaplar ve bu korelasyon üzerinden trend gücünü belirler. Korelasyon katsayısına dayalı olarak, trendin gücü ve yönü hakkında bilgi verir.
5. Renk Kodlaması: Trend gücü belirli seviyelerde olduğunda, mumlar renk kodlaması ile vurgulanır. Bu, yatırımcılara trendin gücü hakkında hızlı bir görsel referans sunar.
Neden Kullanılmalı:
Trend Takibi göstergesi, yatırımcıların piyasa trendlerini daha net bir şekilde görmelerine ve bu trendlerin gücünü analiz etmelerine yardımcı olur. Özellikle trend bazlı stratejilerde daha net sinyaller elde etmek için idealdir.
Gösterge 3: Trend Yönü Simülasyonu
Amaç:
Trend Yönü Simülasyonu, üç farklı zaman diliminde Renko tuğlalarını kullanarak piyasa trendlerini analiz eder. Bu sayede, yatırımcılar farklı zaman dilimlerinde trendlerin nasıl değiştiğini ve uyumlu olup olmadığını görebilirler.
Nasıl Çalışır:
1. Üç Farklı Zaman Dilimi: Kullanıcılar, üç farklı zaman dilimi seçebilirler ve her bir zaman dilimi için Renko tuğlaları ayrı ayrı hesaplanır. Bu, kısa, orta ve uzun vadeli trendlerin aynı anda analiz edilmesine olanak tanır.
2. Kaynak Veri: Her bir zaman dilimi için farklı veri kaynakları kullanılabilir. Bu, çeşitli veri kaynaklarına dayalı olarak daha detaylı bir analiz yapmayı mümkün kılar.
3. Renko Tuğla Boyutu: Her zaman dilimi için sabit veya dinamik tuğla boyutları belirlenebilir. Bu, kullanıcıların farklı volatilite seviyelerine göre trend analizini özelleştirmesini sağlar.
4. Trend Simülasyonu: Her bir zaman dilimi için trend yönü, Renko tuğlaları ile hesaplanır ve bu trendler grafikte görsel olarak gösterilir. Ayrıca, bu trendlerin uyumlu olup olmadığını anlamak için alım/satım sinyalleri üretilebilir.
5. Al/Sat Sinyalleri: Trend Yönü Simülasyonu, belirli koşullar altında alım ve satım sinyalleri üretebilir. Bu sinyaller, farklı zaman dilimlerinde trendlerin nasıl uyumlu olduğunu ve potansiyel dönüş noktalarını belirlemeye yardımcı olur.
Neden Kullanılmalı:
Bu gösterge, farklı zaman dilimlerinde trendlerin nasıl değiştiğini ve uyumlu olup olmadığını anlamaya yardımcı olur. Yatırımcılar, bu simülasyon ile piyasa trendlerini daha derinlemesine analiz edebilir ve stratejilerini bu trendlere göre optimize edebilirler.
Gösterge 4: RSI ve Uyumsuzluklar
Amaç:
Bu gösterge, RSI (Relative Strength Index) kullanarak piyasa uyumsuzluklarını tespit eder ve grafikte bu uyumsuzlukları gösterir. Uyumsuzluklar, fiyat hareketlerinin momentumunu belirleyerek olası dönüş noktalarını tespit etmeye yardımcı olur.
Nasıl Çalışır:
1. RSI Hesaplama: RSI, klasik fiyat verileri veya Renko tabanlı veriler kullanılarak hesaplanabilir. Bu sayede, farklı piyasa koşullarında RSI'nın nasıl tepki verdiği analiz edilebilir.
2. Uyumsuzluk Tespiti: Gösterge, fiyat ile RSI arasındaki pozitif ve negatif uyumsuzlukları tespit eder. Pozitif uyumsuzluk, fiyat düşerken RSI'nın yükselmesi; negatif uyumsuzluk ise fiyat yükselirken RSI'nın düşmesi olarak tanımlanır.
3. Grafik Üzerinde Gösterim: Uyumsuzluklar, grafikte özel etiketler ve çizgiler ile gösterilir. Bu görsel gösterimler, yatırımcılara potansiyel dönüş noktaları hakkında bilgi verir ve hızlı karar almayı kolaylaştırır.
4. Renk Kodlaması: Gösterge, uyumsuzlukları renk kodlarıyla vurgular. Pozitif uyumsuzluklar yeşil tonlarında, negatif uyumsuzluklar ise kırmızı tonlarında gösterilir.
Neden Kullanılmalı:
RSI ve Uyumsuzluklar göstergesi, yatırımcılara piyasa momentumunu ve olası dönüş noktalarını tespit etme imkanı sunar. Uyumsuzluklar, özellikle trendlerin sona erdiği veya zayıfladığı noktaları belirlemek için kritik öneme sahiptir. Bu gösterge, bu tür sinyalleri görsel olarak vurgulayarak yatırımcıların daha bilinçli kararlar almasına yardımcı olur.
Genel Değerlendirme ve Kullanım Rehberi
Nasıl Kullanılır:
1. Al/Sat Sinyalleri: İlk olarak, Al/Sat Sinyalleri bölümünde kullanmak istediğiniz veri kaynaklarını ve volatilite ölçüm yöntemlerini belirleyin. Zaman dilimini seçin ve grafik üzerinde sinyalleri izleyin. Bu sinyalleri, trendin güçlü olduğu ve volatilitenin uygun seviyede olduğu dönemlerde kullanmak, daha başarılı işlemler yapmanıza yardımcı olabilir.
2. Trend Takibi: Bu bölümde, Renko tabanlı trend analizini kullanarak piyasanın genel yönünü belirleyin. Trend gücü renk kodlamaları ile gösterildiği için, hangi yönde güçlü bir hareket olduğunu hızlıca anlayabilirsiniz. Bu bilgi, mevcut pozisyonlarınızı desteklemek veya yeni pozisyonlar açmak için kullanılabilir.
3. Trend Yönü Simülasyonu: Üç farklı zaman diliminde trendleri analiz edin. Her bir zaman diliminde trendlerin uyumlu olup olmadığını kontrol edin. Eğer trendler arasında uyum varsa, bu, güçlü bir trendin devam ettiğine işaret edebilir. Simülasyondan elde edilen al/sat sinyallerini, stratejinizin bir parçası olarak kullanabilirsiniz.
4. RSI ve Uyumsuzluklar: RSI göstergesini kullanarak fiyat hareketleri ile RSI arasındaki uyumsuzlukları tespit edin. Bu uyumsuzluklar, olası trend dönüşlerini belirlemede kritik rol oynar. Özellikle, negatif uyumsuzluklar yükseliş trendinin sonuna işaret edebilirken, pozitif uyumsuzluklar düşüş trendinin sona erebileceğini gösterir.
Neden Kullanılmalı:
• Çok Yönlü Analiz: Bu gösterge, tek bir platformda dört farklı analiz aracını birleştirerek yatırımcıların daha derinlemesine bir piyasa analizi yapmalarına olanak tanır. Her bir araç, farklı bir stratejik yaklaşım sunar ve bu da göstergenin çok yönlülüğünü artırır.
• Özelleştirilebilir Ayarlar: Göstergenin sunduğu geniş ayar seçenekleri, yatırımcıların kendi stratejilerine uygun kişiselleştirmeler yapmalarına olanak tanır. Bu, farklı piyasa koşullarında esnek ve etkili olmanızı sağlar.
• Görsel Yardımcılar: Grafik üzerinde sağlanan görsel sinyaller, trend yönü, uyumsuzluklar ve al/sat sinyalleri hakkında hızlı ve kolay erişilebilir bilgi sunar. Bu, yatırım kararlarını hızlı ve etkili bir şekilde almanıza yardımcı olur.
• Piyasa Koşullarına Hızlı Adaptasyon: Adaptif hesaplama yöntemleri, piyasa koşullarına hızla uyum sağlayarak doğru ve zamanında sinyaller üretir. Bu da yatırımcıların piyasa dalgalanmalarına karşı daha hazırlıklı olmasını sağlar.
Moderasyon ve Onay Süreci İçin Not:
Bu gösterge, sadece klasik analiz araçlarını birleştirmekle kalmayıp, farklı zaman dilimlerinde ve piyasa koşullarında etkin bir şekilde çalışacak şekilde optimize edilmiştir. Her bir bileşen, göstergeye ek bir değer katmakta ve bu da göstergenin özgünlüğünü ve faydasını artırmaktadır. Yatırımcılara sunduğu geniş özelleştirme seçenekleri ve çok yönlü analiz kabiliyeti, bu göstergeyi sıradan bir birleşimden çok daha fazlası haline getirir.
Önemli Uyarı:
Hiçbir gösterge, algoritma veya strateji piyasaları %100 doğrulukla tahmin edemez. Bu araç, bilinçli kararlar vermenize yardımcı olmak için tasarlanmıştır, ancak yalnızca ticaret için tek temel olarak kullanılmamalıdır. Daima ek analizler ve risk yönetimi stratejileri kullanmayı düşünün. Herhangi bir araca körü körüne bağlı kalmak, önemli finansal kayıplara yol açabilir.
True Strength Index with Buy/Sell Signals and AlertsThe True Strength Index (TSI) is a momentum oscillator that helps traders identify trends and potential reversal points in the market. Here’s how it works:
1. **Price Change Calculation**:
- **`pc = ta.change(price)`**: This calculates the change in price (current price minus the previous price).
2. **Double Smoothing**:
- **`double_smooth(src, long, short)`**: This function smooths the price change data twice using two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
- The first EMA smooths the raw data.
- The second EMA smooths the result of the first EMA.
- **`double_smoothed_pc`**: The double-smoothed price change.
- **`double_smoothed_abs_pc`**: The double-smoothed absolute price change, which helps normalize the TSI value.
3. **TSI Calculation**:
- **`tsi_value = 100 * (double_smoothed_pc / double_smoothed_abs_pc)`**: This calculates the TSI by dividing the double-smoothed price change by the double-smoothed absolute price change, then multiplying by 100 to scale the value.
- The TSI oscillates around the zero line, indicating momentum. Positive values suggest bullish momentum, while negative values suggest bearish momentum.
4. **Signal Line**:
- **`signal_line = ta.ema(tsi_value, signal)`**: This creates a signal line by applying another EMA to the TSI value. The signal line is typically used to identify entry and exit points.
5. **Buy and Sell Signals**:
- **Buy Signal**: Occurs when the TSI crosses above the signal line (`ta.crossover(tsi_value, signal_line)`), indicating that bullish momentum is strengthening, which might suggest a buying opportunity.
- **Sell Signal**: Occurs when the TSI crosses below the signal line (`ta.crossunder(tsi_value, signal_line)`), indicating that bearish momentum is strengthening, which might suggest a selling opportunity.
6. **Visual Representation**:
- The TSI line and the signal line are plotted on the chart.
- Buy signals are marked with green "BUY" labels below the bars, and sell signals are marked with red "SELL" labels above the bars.
**How to Use It**:
- **Trend Identification**: When the TSI is above zero, it suggests an uptrend; when it's below zero, it suggests a downtrend.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Traders often enter a buy trade when the TSI crosses above the signal line and enter a sell trade when the TSI crosses below the signal line.
- **Divergences**: TSI can also be used to spot divergences between the indicator and price action, which can signal potential reversals.
The TSI is particularly useful in identifying the strength of a trend and the potential turning points, making it valuable for trend-following and swing trading strategies.
Standardized PSAR Oscillator [AlgoAlpha]Enhance your trading experience with the "Standardized PSAR Oscillator" 🪝, a powerful tool that combines the Parabolic Stop and Reverse (PSAR) with standardization techniques to offer more nuanced insights into market trends and potential reversals.
🔑 Key Features:
- 🛠 Customizable PSAR Settings: Adjust the starting point, increment, and maximum values for the PSAR to tailor the indicator to your strategy.
- 📏 Standardization: Smooth out volatility by standardizing the PSAR values using a customizable EMA, making reversals easier to identify.
- 🎨 Dynamic Color-Coding: The oscillator changes colors based on market conditions, helping you quickly spot bullish and bearish trends.
- 🔄 Divergence Detection: Automatic detection of bullish and bearish divergences with customizable sensitivity and confirmation settings.
- 🔔 Alerts: Set up alerts for key events like zero-line crossovers and trend weakening, ensuring you never miss a critical market move.
🚀 How to Use:
✨ Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to favorites by pressing the star icon, adjust the settings to suite your needs.
👀 Monitor Signals: Watch for the automatic plotting of divergences and reversal signals to identify potential market entries and exits.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts to get notified of key changes without constantly monitoring the charts.
🔍 How It Works:
The Standardized PSAR Oscillator is an advanced trading tool that refines the traditional PSAR (Parabolic Stop and Reverse) indicator by incorporating several key enhancements to improve trend analysis and signal accuracy. The script begins by calculating the PSAR, a widely used indicator known for its effectiveness in identifying trend reversals. To make the PSAR more adaptive and responsive to market conditions, it is standardized using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the high-low range over a user-defined period. This standardization helps to normalize the PSAR values, making them more comparable across different market conditions.
To further enhance signal clarity, the standardized PSAR is then smoothed using a Weighted Moving Average (WMA). This combination of EMA and WMA creates an oscillator that not only captures trend direction but also smooths out market noise, providing a cleaner signal. The oscillator's values are color-coded to visually indicate its position relative to the zero line, with additional emphasis on whether the WMA is rising or falling—this helps traders quickly interpret the trend’s strength and direction.
The oscillator also includes built-in divergence detection by comparing pivot points in price action with those in the oscillator. This feature helps identify potential discrepancies between the price and the oscillator, signaling possible trend reversals. Alerts can be configured for when the oscillator crosses the zero line or when a trend shows signs of weakening, ensuring that traders receive timely notifications to act on emerging opportunities. These combined elements make the Standardized PSAR Oscillator a robust tool for enhancing your trading strategy with more reliable and actionable signals
Periodical Trend [BigBeluga]The Periodical Trend indicator is designed to provide a detailed analysis of market trends and volatility. It utilizes a combination of Moving Averages and volatility measures to plot trend line, highlight potential trend reversals, and indicate mean reversion opportunities. The indicator offers customizable display options, allowing traders to adjust for sensitivity, volatility bands, and price deviation visibility.
🔵 KEY FEATURES
● Periodical Trend Analysis
Uses (high + volatility) or (low - volatility) as the foundation for trend analysis with a set period.
// Condition to update the AVG array based on the selected mode
if mode == "Normal"
? bar_index == 122
: bar_index % period == 0
AVG.push(close) // Add the close price to the AVG array
// Update AVG array based on the period and price comparison
if bar_index % period == 0
if close > AVG.last() // If the current close is greater than the last stored value in AVG
AVG.push(low - vlt) // Add the low price minus volatility to the array
if close < AVG.last() // If the current close is lower than the last stored value in AVG
AVG.push(high + vlt) // Add the high price plus volatility to the array
Provides adjustable sensitivity modes ("Normal" and "Sensitive") for different market conditions.
Trend direction is visualized with dynamic color coding based on the relationship between the trend line and price.
● Volatility Bands
Displays upper and lower volatility bands derived from a moving average of price volatility (high-low).
The bands help identify potential breakout zones, overbought, or oversold conditions.
Users can toggle the visibility of the bands to suit their trading style.
● Mean Reversion Signals
Detects mean reversion opportunities when price deviates significantly from the trend line.
Includes both regular and strong mean reversion signals, marked directly on the chart.
Signals are based on oscillator crossovers, offering potential entry and exit points.
● Price Deviation Oscillator
Plots an oscillator that measures the deviation of price from the average trend line.
The oscillator is normalized using standard deviation, highlighting extreme price deviations.
Traders can choose to display the oscillator for in-depth analysis of price behavior relative to the trend.
● Dynamic Trend Coloring
The indicator colors the background on the direction of the trend.
Green indicates bullish trends, while blue indicates bearish trends.
The trend colors adapt dynamically to market conditions, providing clear visual cues for traders.
🔵 HOW TO USE
● Trend Analysis
The trend line represents the current market direction. A green trend line suggests a bullish trend, while a blue trend line indicates a bearish trend.
Use the trend line in conjunction with volatility bands to confirm potential breakouts or areas of consolidation.
● Volatility Bands
Volatility bands offer insight into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Price exceeding these bands can signal a strong trend continuation or a possible reversal.
● Mean Reversion Strategies
Look for mean reversion signals (regular and strong) when price shows signs of reverting to the trend line after significant deviation.
Regular signals are represented by small dots, while strong signals are represented by larger circles.
These signals can be used as entry or exit points, depending on the market context.
● Price Deviation Analysis
The oscillator provides a detailed view of price deviations from the trend line.
A positive oscillator value indicates that the price is above the trend, while a negative value suggests it is below.
Use the oscillator to identify potential overbought or oversold conditions within the trend.
🔵 USER INPUTS
● Period
Defines the length of the period used for calculating the trend line. A higher period smooths out the trend, while a shorter period makes the trend line more sensitive to price changes.
● Mode
Choose between "Normal" and "Sensitive" modes for trend detection. The "Sensitive" mode responds more quickly to price changes, while the "Normal" mode offers smoother trend lines.
● Volatility Bands
Toggle the display of upper and lower volatility bands. These bands help identify potential areas of price exhaustion or continuation.
● Price Deviation
Toggle the display of the price deviation oscillator. This oscillator shows the deviation of the current price from the trend line and highlights extreme conditions.
● Mean Reversion Signals
Toggle the display of mean reversion signals. These signals highlight potential reversal points when the price deviates significantly from the trend.
● Strong Mean Reversion Signals
Toggle the display of stronger mean reversion signals, which occur at more extreme deviations from the trend.
● Width
Adjust the thickness of the trend line for better visibility on the chart.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Periodical Trend indicator combines trend analysis, volatility bands, and mean reversion signals to provide traders with a comprehensive tool for market analysis. By offering customizable display options and dynamic trend coloring, this indicator can adapt to different trading styles and market conditions. Whether you are a trend follower or a mean reversion trader, the Periodical Trend indicator helps identify key market opportunities and potential reversals.
For optimal results, it is recommended to use this indicator alongside other technical analysis tools and within the context of a well-structured trading strategy.
Pulse Oscillator [UAlgo]The "Pulse Oscillator " is a trading tool designed to capture market momentum and trend changes by combining the strengths of multiple well-known technical indicators. By integrating the RSI (Relative Strength Index), CCI (Commodity Channel Index), and Stochastic Oscillator, this indicator provides traders with a comprehensive view of market conditions, offering both trend filtering and precise buy/sell signals. The oscillator is customizable, allowing users to fine-tune its parameters to match different trading strategies and timeframes. With its built-in smoothing techniques and level adjustments, the Pulse Oscillator aims to be a reliable tool for both trend-following and counter-trend trading strategies.
🔶 Key Features
Multi-Indicator Integration: Combines RSI, CCI, and Stochastic Oscillator to create a weighted momentum oscillator.
Why Use Multi-Indicator Integration?
Script uses Multi-Indicator Integration to combine the strengths of different technical indicators—such as RSI, CCI, and Stochastic Oscillator—into a single tool. This approach helps to reduce the weaknesses of individual indicators, providing a more comprehensive and reliable analysis of market conditions. By integrating multiple indicators, we can generate more accurate signals, filter out noise, and enhance our trading decisions.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust weights, periods, and smoothing techniques, providing flexibility to adapt the indicator to various market conditions.
Trend Filtering Option: An optional trend filter is available to enhance the accuracy of buy and sell signals, reducing the risk of false signals in choppy markets.
Dynamic Levels: The indicator dynamically calculates multiple levels of support and resistance, adjusting to market conditions with customizable decay factors and offsets.
Visual Clarity: The indicator visually represents different levels and trends with color-coded plots and fills, making it easier for traders to interpret market conditions at a glance.
Alerts: Configurable alerts for buy and sell signals, as well as trend changes, enabling traders to stay informed of key market movements without constant monitoring.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the Slow Line crosses under the Fast Line during an uptrend or when the trend filter is disabled. This indicates a potential bullish reversal or continuation of an upward trend.
Sell Signal: A sell signal occurs when the Slow Line crosses above the Fast Line during a downtrend or when the trend filter is disabled, signaling a potential bearish reversal or continuation of a downward trend.
Trend Change: The indicator detects trend changes when the Fast Line shifts from increasing to decreasing or vice versa, providing early warning of possible market reversals.
Dynamic Levels: The indicator calculates upper and lower levels based on the Fast Line's values. These levels can be used to identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential areas of support or resistance.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
RSI For Loop | viResearchRSI For Loop | viResearch
Understanding the fundamental concepts of an indicator before adding it to a system is absolutely crucial. This knowledge will allow you to incorporate it in a logical and effective manner.
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "RSI for Loop" script is a novel approach to enhancing the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI) by incorporating a loop-based scoring mechanism. This method dynamically evaluates the RSI values within a user-defined range, offering a more nuanced interpretation of market momentum. By systematically scoring the RSI's behavior across multiple thresholds, this indicator provides a robust tool for identifying potential trend reversals and confirmations with increased accuracy and responsiveness.
Technical Composition and Calculation
At the core of the "RSI for Loop" script is a custom scoring system that iterates through a defined range of RSI values. The script calculates the standard RSI based on the chosen source and length parameters. It then applies a loop that evaluates whether the RSI exceeds or falls below each level within the specified range, scoring the results accordingly.
Scoring Mechanism:
Loop Execution: The loop iterates from the "From" to the "To" levels, incrementing by one for each iteration.
Score Calculation: For each level, the script adds or subtracts from the total score based on whether the RSI is above or below the threshold.
Trend Detection: The final score is compared against user-defined threshold levels to identify potential uptrends and downtrends, triggering visual cues and alerts.
Thresholds and Alerts:
Threshold_L and Threshold_S: These user-defined levels determine the sensitivity of the trend detection. The script generates alerts when the score crosses above or below these thresholds, indicating potential long or short opportunities.
EMA Smoothing: The script also offers an EMA smoothing of the final score to provide a clearer trend visualization, reducing noise while retaining sensitivity to market changes.
Features and User Inputs
The "RSI for Loop" script is highly customizable, allowing traders to tailor its behavior to different market conditions and trading strategies:
RSI Length: The standard RSI calculation period can be adjusted to control the responsiveness of the RSI to price movements.
Scoring Range (From and To): Users can define the range of RSI levels that the loop evaluates, offering flexibility in how the market's momentum is assessed.
Thresholds: Customizable threshold levels for detecting uptrends and downtrends allow traders to fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity.
EMA Length: The length of the EMA used for smoothing the score can be adjusted, providing additional control over the trend visualization.
Practical Applications
The "RSI for Loop" script is designed for traders seeking a more sophisticated analysis of market momentum and trend strength. By integrating a loop-based scoring mechanism with traditional RSI calculations, this indicator is particularly effective in:
Identifying Trend Reversals: The loop-based scoring offers an early indication of potential trend reversals, giving traders an edge in volatile markets.
Confirming Trend Strength: The combination of RSI scoring and EMA smoothing helps confirm the strength and direction of trends, improving the timing of entries and exits.
Strategic Market Positioning: The customizable parameters enable traders to adapt the script to various market conditions, enhancing their ability to position themselves effectively.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The "RSI for Loop" script offers a significant advantage by providing a more detailed and dynamic analysis of RSI behavior. The loop-based scoring system reduces the risk of false signals by incorporating multiple RSI levels into the trend assessment. This makes it a valuable tool for traders looking to refine their trend-following strategies with greater precision and adaptability.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "RSI for Loop" script is a powerful enhancement of the traditional RSI, offering traders a more responsive and detailed tool for trend analysis. Incorporating this script into your trading system can help you identify and confirm trends with greater accuracy, improving your ability to make informed trading decisions. Whether you're focused on detecting trend reversals or confirming trend strength, the "RSI for Loop" provides a versatile and reliable solution for traders at all levels.
Please keep in mind the following text: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics v1OVERVIEW:
The G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics indicator system enables users to discover unorthodox indicator patterns, reading price charts in unusual ways, thus gaining an edge over the majority of market participants they trade against.
CONCEPTS:
Th G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics is a system that aims to satisfy the fundamental condition for successful online trading - providing an edge.
It's a battle between advantages. To take other people's money, successful traders must have an advantage over everybody else. To hope for consistent success in trading, you need to do things differently and see what almost nobody else sees. Of course then you must act on it, and that's where the G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostic's mandate ends.
I believe the vast majority of indicators out there show you what everybody else sees. I've always been an indicator guy, I respect and cherish most indicators and I know a good indicator when I see it.
However, although most indicators are great works of art, their practicality is in most cases doubtful. Presenting great information is one thing, but providing an edge over the people you trade against is something different.
What Everybody Else Sees
The G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics is based on indicators most of you have probably heard of and used:
Moving Averages (particularly the Kaufman Moving Average, among others)
ADX and DI
Bollinger Bands
Stochastic (particularly the Stochastic RSI)
Most traders should be well familiar with these classic indicators, they've provided the basis for online indicator trading for decades. But it's also true that due to how popular online trading has become all over the world, one is more and more unable to use these indicators successfully on lower timeframes.
Usually, more noteworthy success is achieved by going up in scale and discovering the timeframe where a particular indicator produces no false signals. Often times these timeframes range from bi-weekly to multi-month scale. In other words, consistently successful low timeframe trading and scalp trading in particular are now almost impossible using indicators.
Traders that dominate the scalping arena are big professional/institutional groups of traders, who have systematic access to the order books of most exchanges. This can be achieved one way or another, but not by individuals, small groups without significant capital or simply traders who lack political/social power and influence in the trading field.
In other words - giant order book traders have an edge over everybody else, who use indicators to trade on lower timeframes.
Through a series of interventions into these classical indicators, the G.O.A.T. System brings them back into the lower timeframe competitive game. Most original formulas are preserved, but these immortal classics are applied in ways popular TA would consider unorthodox.
Ingenious Indicators Built by Creators
The G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics relies on the fundamental work of others. The System is developed on the basis of:
Quadratic Kernel Regression - it uses the publicly published library of Justin Dehorty: www.tradingview.com
PMARP - Price Moving Average Ratio & Percentile, publicly published by "The_Caretaker": www.tradingview.com
These Creators deserve full credit for their fundamental work and are endorsed by the G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics project.
And yet... ingenious and inspired as these tools are, in my humble opinion the general public is presented with a rather unproductive way to apply them. In my own view, these wonderful tools built by JDehorty and The_Caretaker have a massive potential should they be applied and wielded in a different direction. So I tried to bring my vision about them into flesh with the G.O.A.T. Diagnostics.
What the G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics Is and How to Use It
It's a System for new pattern discovery, bringing the disciplines of pattern and indicator trading together.
By using it as a stand-alone, or mixing it with other great indicators, one is able to discover new indicator patterns. Patterns can be compared, matched together and categorized. By applying statistics to differentiated historical pattern groups, we're able to derive their meaning.
Thus, the trader is able to research their own "alphabet" to read the price charts. After categorizing and differentiating pattern groups with statistically predominant meaning, the trader is then able to read into longer scenarios - price set-ups that are harder to detect due to them being stretched in time or misshapen according to the particular situation.
The G.O.A.T. Scalper leverages and encourages group trading, as different traders will probably discover different price "alphabets" for themselves, potentially giving rise to a social economy of sharing and combining "trading languages" based on indicator patterns people have discovered via the G.O.A.T. Diagnostics.
Support/Resistance Trading
The G.O.A.T. Scalper has its own way of deriving Support/Resistance.
Unlike most existing S/R indicators, The Scalper derives Support/Resistance not by measuring price highs, lows and closes, but solely by using momentum and trend strength.
This seems like a much more versatile way to plot S/R during scalping on low timeframes where time is of essence and the trader's view is too narrow to have macro S/R levels in constant consideration.
The Scalper's way to derive S/R in real time and on the go, while staying very relative to important higher timeframe S/R zones, makes it much more desirable than any other S/R indicator I've thus far encountered.
All S/R functionality is derived from the classical ADX and DI indicator. To do this, I use the ADX and DI in an unpopular way. To generate the actual plot of S/R levels I also modify the indicator's code, not by removing functional parts from it, but adding more to it in order to filter the signals it produces.
I can metaphorically describe its action in the following way:
Imagine you're Price action itself;
You're walking through a labyrinth or corridors. You're walking through one straight corridor, and it has a crossing with another corridor ahead;
Very strong wind is blowing along that other corridor. You can't see the wind, but when you reach it and try to move past it, the force of the wind resists your moving ahead and instead pushes you sideways.
At this point, the G.O.A.T. Diagnostics already knows this can only be one thing - resistance.
Orthodox TA and trading demand retests. In my opinion, this deeply rooted tradition wastes time proving the obvious, then wastes time again double-proving the validity of recent past, while scalping opportunities go to waste. Modern successful traders are way ahead of the popular strategy of testing and retesting S/R that almost every trader uses. So-called "Stops hunting" is just one expression of this situation, where wide adoption of the S/R retesting strategy actually lures unsuccessful traders into the schemes of the successful few.
In my own way of trading, I use the G.O.A.T. Diagnostics to take action on Support/Resistance as it's plotted in real time.
But probably my biggest heresy into the DI is my opinion, that the crossings of the +DI and -DI are useless and should actually be discarded.
My research shows that the DIs often show indications of being "oversold", but don't seem to exhibit an "overbought" state. Statistically, I've had much more success basing my TA on that, rather than cross-ups and cross-downs of the DI plot lines.
Therefore I discarded these crossings by presenting the DI part of the ADX and DI as a Heatmap channel rather than crossing lines.
To further enhance the ability of the System to provide S/R analysis, I plot this Heatmap onto an adjustable price offset plots (a percentage above and below current price).
In modern times, the vast majority of trading is done by automatic machines and algorithms. To give a specific example, one can easily notice, that a 5% offset of the BTC 1h price plot leads to remarkably accurate S/R charting. Following the rule to chart a S/R line connecting highs and lows on the 5% price offset often successfully "foresees" valid S/R zones before price ever visits them. Or, the levels were visited so far back in the timeframe's history that orthodox understanding considers them "invalidated" or washed away in the noise of the relevant volume profile.
My explanation for this is simple - I think Grid bots now dominate automatic trading across the majority of exchanges.
In my understanding, by adjusting the percentage offset of current price action I can often discover relevant conglomerations of dominating Grid bot cell parameters and anticipate price reaction. By plotting the DI heatmap on these price action offsets I can use the indicator for my trading decisions.
Heatmaps
Every heatmap produces different series of data. They're not the same.
Bollinger Band heatmap depicts the percentile distance between the Band's extremes.
The price candles heatmap, and the KAMA moving average heatmap, depict the percentile distance between price and the KAMA. So, it's the same thing. However, the percentile of that distance is calculated in two different ways, hence the difference in color in every particular moment. This color discrepancy aims to visualize the "strain" between price action and KAMA, like a soft and hard "springs" that go in unison with each other in sustainable moves, and in dissonance with each other during unsustainable moves.
Price offset heatmap depicts the percentile average of the +DI (above price) and the -DI (below price). A Hot temperature above price and a Cold temperature below price would mean a strong bullish sentiment, and vise versa, while Green would mean neutrality in sentiment.
There are important interplays between different heatmaps. For example, although representing totally different things, a Teal price bar would almost always (according to historical statistics) foreshadow a change in DI's heatmap sentiment. That's just one avenue of correlation between S/R analysis and sentiment analysis using the G.O.A.T. Diagnostics.
Oscillator Chart
In terms of applying Quadratic Kernel Regression, I endorse the natural principle that no center can exist without a periphery, and no periphery can exist without a center. Therefore I try to pay attention not only to the average of the regression's values, but also to the cloud of data points itself.
Following this understanding, I attempt to depict the natural cycles of price converging/diverging towards/from its regression average. To do this, I apply the classic Stochastic formula.
Thus, the Oscillator part of the System depicts the following:
Thin heatmap line displays the cycles of price converging with its quadratic kernel regression average (moving down), and diverging with its regression average (moving up). Its heatmap depicts the percentile of this oscillation.
The wider heatmap line displays the KAMA's cycles of convergence/divergence with its own quadratic kernel regression average. The reason for this is again creating discrepancy - while KAMA is based on price action, its regression data values differ from those of price action's regression. This discrepancy produces useful historic patterns that can be studied statistically.
The thin and wide purple oscillator lines depict the change of slope of price action regression average and KAMA regression average, respectively. Very often change of slope is not detectable with the naked eye, but clearly indicated by the oscillators.
By combining all these elements into a single analysis, a trader can detect hidden trends that are yet to become visible for the rest of market participants.
For example, convergence of price with its quadratic kernel regression average while the slope of the average deteriorates down in most cases (according to statistics) means a sideways consolidation in a downtrend before downtrend continuation. Conversely, deviation of price action from its regression average while the regression average slope deteriorates down usually marks the very beginning of a downtrend.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are not modified, but are based on quadratic kernel regression values. Thus, if Bollinger Bands themselves are indicative of volatility, then based on kernel regression values, they should indicate the volatility of change of values in the regression's window.
Again, applying it to both the price and KAMA regression data series, a discrepancy is highlighted that leads to useful historical patterns subject to analysis and categorization.
SOME EXAMPLES
Support / Resistance
Support/Resistance levels are market by White Triangles with dotted lines plotted from them, in real time. The indicator plots Ghost Triangles in anticipation of Support/Resistance, preparing the trader for the eventual confirmation of a zone of interest and signaling price is feeling Support or Resistance pressure.
Dialing the length of the S/R lines to 25 makes the indicator more useful.
Dialing the setting to 500 clearly shows macro S/R zones by conglomerating and bundling individual lines. The thicker the bundling and the confluence of lines, the more significant the zone.
Thus lower timeframe scalping and trading is made more easy, without the need to do nearly as much manual S/R charting. Support/Resistance analysis and plotting is entirely based on a modified ADX.
Heatmap
Sustainable moves are generally marked by Green price color and calm KAMA colors.
Unsustainable moves are usually marked by more extreme colors of price bars and KAMA. Red usually means price is unsustainably distanced from the KAMA, while deep Blue usually means price is undesirably close to the KAMA, foreshadowing a directional distancing.
Usually Teal color of price bars and KAMA foreshadow a change of sentiment of the outside Heatmap sentiment channel.
Red color of the outside channel always signals the direction of the desired sentimental movement, while Blue signals the extent at which the counter-element suffers. Thus, one side being Green, while the other is Blue, often means the Blue will soon evolve into a warmer color, attracting price in that direction. Outside Heatmap channel is entirely based on a modified DI.
Oscillator Chart
An example of Chart Diagnosis using the Oscillator and other elements of the G.O.A.T. Scalper:
First (far left), a Resistance is plotted. This coincides with price bars being Red (distressed state). The thin colorful Oscillator line takes an Up-turn, signifying a period of price moving away from its Quadratic Kernel Regression (pink moving average).
After Price cools down to Green sustainable colors, a Support is plotted. During this time, the thin colorful line is falling down, signifying a period when the distance between price action and its quadratic kernel regression average is decreasing.
During this phase, the thin purple Oscillator line goes up. This signifies the slope of the price regression is restoring to the upside.
Next, the thin colorful line starts going up again, signifying another period of price getting further away from its regression average. This time to the upside.
Resistance is being broken and new support is established. At this point, the thin colorful line starts falling again, signifying distance between price and its regression MA is shortening. This is clearly visible as a sideways consolidation (with a slight tilt up of slope).
A moment comes when all lines - the price and KAMA lines, and price and KAMA regression slopes, all point down. A new down period is clearly starting. This is further indicated by Teal price bars and new Resistance forming. Notice how the external heatmap channel goes into more balanced Green colors with trend enthusiasm calming down.
This analysis may appear to be overwhelming and confusing at first, as these metrics are unorthodox and unpopular. But different aspects of the indicator can be toggled ON/OFF to single them out, which makes observations much simpler for new users. After some time spent discovering personal patterns, or reviewing other users' catalogues with already published pattern libraries, it soon becomes easy to read charts in this new way.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands provide another way to produce patterns that give users specific chart information.
One noteworthy indication is when the price and KAMA Bollinger Bands separate their value zones. Since the zones of these Bands are based on the kernel regression values of the respective sources, their separation is significant and too often means violent reversals or violent continuations (which usually can be judged using the other metrics the System provides, or additional indicators of choice).
Another noteworthy Bollinger Band pattern is when price action leaves a prolonged trending move.
First phase of the end of a prolonged trending move is the BB zones expanding and doing a significant overlap.
Second stage is price getting reaccepted in the Price BB. This however doesn't mean reacceptance in the KAMA BB and if the moment isn't right, usually leads to bounces and continuations.
The KAMA needs to "make space" for price to get reaccepted into the KAMA BB. While the KAMA is outside its BB or very near to its wall, price reacceptance into it is not very probable. When KAMA withdraws from its BB wall, opening an "entrance on its membrane", that's when price is eligible to get reaccepted into the KAMA BB. That's usually the moment the long awaited consolidation starts and a long trending move is over.
Users of the G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics can discover many more patterns and correlations between patterns within the System. But the System itself can multiply all possible patterns when inspected in the context of additional indicators, leading to vast possibilities of signal and pattern discovery with huge potential.
A very good idea would probably be to use the G.O.A.T. Diagnostics together with the Ichimoku.
Ichimoku has always been famous for its genius simplicity and elegant profoundness, but notorious for its total lack of accuracy, as well as general uselessness on lower timeframes. The G.O.A.T. System has the potential to enhance all of Ichimoku's strengths and cure its weaknesses.
Yet another good idea may be to pair it with kindred indicators, like the Gaussian Channel, which has a stunning performance, but suffers from too high level of generalization. The Diagnostics can provide the intricate texture of price manoeuvres the Gaussian Channel fails to register, while the GC can give the Scalper even more solid context for its patterns.
The worthwhile possibilities seem endless...
Entry Table
I've added a little Entry Table at the bottom right corner. It's designed to potentially help scalpers trade faster, and to visualize a potential trade they're thinking about before they execute it. A Stop Loss is visually plotted in real time to better visualize it's placement in the chart context.
It encourages responsible risk management in its settings:
The user enters the amount of their trading portfolio;
Then specify the percentage of their portfolio they're willing to risk at every trade;
After that the user can chose to specify a flat percentage Stop Loss.
The table will calculate the size of the entry of a market order, so the user only risks the specified percentage of their portfolio should the specified Stop Loss level is hit.
There's also the option to use automatically suggested Stop Loss, based on recent volatility. The actual Stop Loss is calculated 20% away from the actual volatility level, to better protect from unforeseen wicks.
In the current example, the user with a $1000 trading portfolio has to do a $1000 entry to lose 1% of their portfolio ($10) at a 1% Stop Loss.
But the user has to do a $2,525 entry in order to lose 1% of their portfolio (%10) at a much closer Stop Loss which is less than 1%, based on recent volatility.
The Entry Table should be considered as a cosmetic convenience and not a dedicated risk management tool.
CONCLUSION:
The G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics is an indicator System, based on popular, but modified and tweaked versions of indicators like the ADX and DI, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands and MAs. It also leverages the remarkable work of inspired creators: JDehorty's Quadratic Kernel Regression library, and The_Caretaker's PMARP .
The G.O.A.T. Scalper Diagnostics indicator system enables users to discover so-called new "indicator-pattern alphabets", reading price charts in new and unorthodox ways, thus gaining an edge over the majority of market participants they trade against.
The high degree of freedom when discovering new patterns, either within the System itself or correlating its output to external auxiliary indicators, highlights the System's potential for original discoveries leading to highly personalized trading strategies. Exchanging information about personal pattern libraries can potentially also give birth to new private trading communities.
Realized Price Oscillator [InvestorUnknown]Overview
The Realized Price Oscillator is a fundamental analysis tool designed to assess Bitcoin's price dynamics relative to its realized price. The indicator calculates various metrics using data from the realized market capitalization and total supply. It applies normalization techniques to scale values within a specified range, helping investors identify overbought or oversold conditions over the long time horizon. The oscillator also features DCA-based signals to assist in strategic market entry and exit.
Key Features
1. Normalization and Scaling:
The indicator scales values using a limit that can be adjusted for decimal precision (Limit). It allows for both positive and negative values, providing flexibility in analysis.
Decay functionality is included to progressively reduce the extreme values over time, ensuring recent data impacts the oscillator more than older data.
f_rescale(float value, float min, float max, float limit, bool negatives) =>
((limit * (negatives ? 2 : 1)) * (value - min) / (max - min)) - (negatives ? limit : 0)
2. Realized Price Oscillator Calculation:
Realized Price Oscillator is computed using logarithmic differences between the open, high, low, and close prices and the realized price. This helps in identifying how the current market price compares with the average cost basis of the Bitcoin supply.
f_realized_price_oscillator(float realized_price) =>
rpo_o = math.log(open / realized_price)
rpo_h = math.log(high / realized_price)
rpo_l = math.log(low / realized_price)
rpo_c = math.log(close / realized_price)
3. Oscillator Normalization:
The normalized oscillator calculates the range between the maximum and minimum values over time. It adjusts the oscillator values based on these bounds, considering a decay factor. This normalized range assists in consistent signal generation.
normalized_oscillator(float x, float b) =>
float oscillator = b
var float min = na
var float max = na
if (oscillator > max or na(max)) and time >= normalization_start_date
max := oscillator
if (min > oscillator or na(min)) and time >= normalization_start_date
min := oscillator
if time >= normalization_start_date
max := max * decay
min := min * decay
normalized_oscillator = f_rescale(x, min, max, lim, neg)
4. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Signals:
DCA-based signals are generated using user-defined thresholds (DCA IN and DCA OUT). The oscillator triggers buy signals when the normalized low value falls below the DCA IN threshold and sell signals when the normalized high value exceeds the DCA OUT threshold.
5. Visual Representation:
The indicator plots candlestick representations of the normalized Realized Price Oscillator values (open, high, low, close) over time, starting from a specified date (plot_start_date).
Colors are dynamically adjusted using a gradient to represent the state of the oscillator, ranging from green (buy zone) to red (sell zone). Background and bar colors also change based on DCA conditions.
How It Works
Data Sourcing: Realized price data is sourced using Bitcoin’s realized market cap (BTC_MARKETCAPREAL) and total supply (BTC_SUPPLY).
Realized Price Oscillator Metrics: Logarithmic differences between price and realized price are computed to generate Realized Price Oscillator values for open, high, low, and close.
Normalization: The indicator rescales the oscillator values based on a defined limit, adjusting for negative values if allowed. It employs a decay factor to reduce the influence of historical extremes.
Conclusion
The Realized Price Oscillator is a sophisticated tool that combines market price analysis with realized price metrics to offer a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's valuation. By leveraging normalization techniques and DCA thresholds, it provides actionable insights for long-term investing strategies.
