Ichimoku Kinko Hyo1) Plot up to 8 moving averages or donchian channels.
2) Moving average types include SMA, EMA, Double EMA, Triple EMA, Quadruple EMA, Pentuple EMA, Zero-Lag EMA, Tillson's T3, Hull's MA, Smoothed MA, Weighted MA, Volume-Weighted MA.
3) Donchian channels can be plotted for a user specified period with upper and lower lines based on either A) highest and lowest prices or B) highest candle body (open/close) and lowest candle body (open/close) over a specified period.
4) Plot 2 arithmetic means averaging any 2 to 8 of the previously mentioned moving averages or donchian median lines.
5) Display 2 fills/clouds between any of the previously mentioned plots.
6) Enough flexibility in the script to utilize Ichimoku Kinko Hyo with correctly adjusted offsets.
7) Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is the default settings. Display additional moving averages or donchian channels for comparison.
"One Half" color scheme by Son A. Pham
Mean
Deviation BandsThis indicator plots the 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations from the mean as bands of color (hot and cold). Useful in identifying likely points of mean reversion.
Default mean is WMA 200 but can be SMA, EMA, VWMA, and VAWMA.
Calculating the standard deviation is done by first cleaning the data of outliers (configurable).
ETF 3-Day Reversion StrategyIntroduction: This strategy is a modification of the “3-day Mean Reversion Strategy” from the book "High Probability ETF Trading" by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. In the book, the authors discuss a high-probability ETF mean reversion strategy for a 1-day time-frame with these simple rules:
The price must be above the 200 day SMA and below the 5 day SMA.
The low of today must be lower than the low of yesterday (must be true for 3 consecutive days)
The high of today must be lower than the high of yesterday (must be true for 3 consecutive days)
If the 3 rules above are true, then buy on the close of the current day.
Exit when the closing price crosses above the 5 day SMA.
In practice and in backtesting, I’ve found that the strategy consistently works better when using an EMA for the trend-line instead of an SMA. So, this script uses an EMA for the trend-line. I’ve also made the length of the exit EMA adjustable.
How it works:
The Strategy will buy when the buy conditions above are true. The strategy will sell when the closing price crosses over the Exit Moving Average
Plots:
Green line = Exit Moving Average (Default 5 Day EMA)
Blue line = 5 Day EMA (Used as Entry Criteria)
Disclaimer: Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
EMA MTF PlusI like trading the 1 minute and 3 minutes time-frames. I'm what is commonly called a "scalper". Long term investments yes, I have some, but for trading, I don't have neither the time,
nor the patience to wait hours or days for my trade to be complete.
This doesn't mean I discount the higher time-frames, no, I actually rely heavily on them. I found that EMAs do a decent job as support/resistance, sometimes to a tick level of precision. And this is important for a 1 minute trader.
As such, I made this script that tracks the higher time-frames EMAs and displays the last value as a line.
I do not need the whole EMA, I'm not interested in crossovers or crossunders, these are anyway late signals for me.
What's with the triangles? These are local tops/bottoms , candles that have a have decent size of the wick. These tops and bottoms are by no means "final", they are merely a rejection at certain levels of price. Due to markets complexities (and human erratic behaviors hehe) these levels could be breached at the very next candle. For a more "final" version (nothing is really final but..) I added Schaff Trend Cycle as filter, so a triangle will pop only when a trend is mature enough ( STC with a value near 0 or near 100).
Colored bars. When the body of the candle is big, it shows strength. Strong bars tend to have follow through, especially when breaking key levels. The script looks at the body of the candle and compares it with ATR (Average True Range), if it's at least 0.8 of ATR it changes the bar color to yellow (bull candles) or fuchsia(bear candles).
Range identifier. This code is copied from Lazy Bear (if there are any issues please let me know), it's very useful in conjunction with colored bars.
I look for breakout candles that go outside of the range as a signal for a trade.
There are many ways in which this script can be useful, like trading mean reversions or momentum trades (breakouts) or simply trend following trades.
I hope you guys find it useful, you can play with default values and change them as you like, these are what I found to be working best for me and my trading universe (mostly crypto).
Special thanks for the original work of:
LazyBear
everget
Jim8080
Pythagorean Means of Moving AveragesDESCRIPTION
Pythagorean Means of Moving Averages
1. Calculates a set of moving averages for high, low, close, open and typical prices, each at multiple periods.
Period values follow the Fibonacci sequence.
The "short" set includes moving average having the following periods: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377.
The "mid" set includes moving average having the following periods: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597.
The "long" set includes moving average having the following periods: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181.
2. User selects the type of moving average: SMA, EMA, HMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA.
3. Calculates the mean of each set of moving averages.
4. User selects the type of mean to be calculated: 1) arithmetic, 2) geometric, 3) harmonic, 4) quadratic, 5) cubic. Multiple mean calculations may be displayed simultaneously, allowing for comparison.
5. Plots the mean for high, low, close, open, and typical prices.
6. User selects which plots to display: 1) high and low prices, 2) close prices, 3) open prices, and/or 4) typical prices.
7. Calculates and plots a vertical deviation from an origin mean--the mean from which the deviation is measured.
8. Deviation = origin mean x a x b^(x/y)/c.
9. User selects the deviation origin mean: 1) high and low prices plot, 2) close prices plot, or 3) typical prices plot.
10. User defines deviation variables a, b, c, x and y.
Examples of deviation:
a) Percent of the mean = 1.414213562 = 2^(1/2) = Pythagoras's constant (default).
b) Percent of the mean = 0.7071067812 = = = sin 45˚ = cos 45˚.
11. Displaces the plots horizontally +/- by a user defined number of periods.
PURPOSE
1. Identify price trends and potential levels of support and resistance.
CREDITS
1. "Fibonacci Moving Average" by Sofien Kaabar: two plots, each an arithmetic mean of EMAs of 1) high prices and 2) low prices, with periods 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181.
2. "Solarized" color scheme by Ethan Schoonover.
Keltner Channels BandsKeltner Channel Bands
Great indicator for mean reversion strategies.
Alerts you can set:
Crossover EMA
Crossunder EMA
Crossover upper band
Crossunder upper band
Crossover lower band
Crossunder lower band
Have fun!
level_statsThis script tells you the percentage of time an instrument's closing value is above and below a level of your choosing. The background color visually indicates periods where the instrument closed at or above the level (red) and below it (blue). For "stationary-ish" processes, you can get a loose feel for the mean, high, and low values. The historical information conveyed through the background coloring can help you plan derivatives trades. Try with your favorite pairs, commodities, or volatility indices.
Usage: pick a level of interest using the input.
[cache_that_pass] 1m 15m Function - Weighted Standard DeviationTradingview Community,
As I progress through my journey, I have come to the realization that it is time to give back. This script isn't a life changer, but it has the building blocks for a motivated individual to optimize the parameters and have a production script ready to go.
Credit for the indicator is due to @rumpypumpydumpy
I adapted this indicator to a strategy for crypto markets. 15 minute time frame has worked best for me.
It is a standard deviation script that has 3 important user configured parameters. These 3 things are what the end user should tweak for optimum returns. They are....
1) Lookback Length - I have had luck with it set to 20, but any value from 1-1000 it will accept.
2) stopPer - Stop Loss percentage of each trade
3) takePer - Take Profit percentage of each trade
2 and 3 above are where you will see significant changes in returns by altering them and trying different percentages. An experienced pinescript programmer can take this and build on it even more. If you do, I ask that you please share the script with the community in an open-source fashion.
It also already accounts for the commission percentage of 0.075% that Binance.US uses for people who pay fees with BNB.
How it works...
It calculates a weighted standard deviation of the price for the lookback period set (so 20 candles is default). It recalculates each time a new candle is printed. It trades when price lows crossunder the bottom of that deviation channel, and sells when price highs crossover the top of that deviation channel. It works best in mid to long term sideways channels / Wyckoff accumulation periods.
MomentsLibrary "Moments"
Based on Moments (Mean,Variance,Skewness,Kurtosis) . Rewritten for Pinescript v5.
logReturns(src) Calculates log returns of a series (e.g log percentage change)
Parameters:
src : Source to use for the returns calculation (e.g. close).
Returns: Log percentage returns of a series
mean(src, length) Calculates the mean of a series using ta.sma
Parameters:
src : Source to use for the mean calculation (e.g. close).
length : Length to use mean calculation (e.g. 14).
Returns: The sma of the source over the length provided.
variance(src, length) Calculates the variance of a series
Parameters:
src : Source to use for the variance calculation (e.g. close).
length : Length to use for the variance calculation (e.g. 14).
Returns: The variance of the source over the length provided.
standardDeviation(src, length) Calculates the standard deviation of a series
Parameters:
src : Source to use for the standard deviation calculation (e.g. close).
length : Length to use for the standard deviation calculation (e.g. 14).
Returns: The standard deviation of the source over the length provided.
skewness(src, length) Calculates the skewness of a series
Parameters:
src : Source to use for the skewness calculation (e.g. close).
length : Length to use for the skewness calculation (e.g. 14).
Returns: The skewness of the source over the length provided.
kurtosis(src, length) Calculates the kurtosis of a series
Parameters:
src : Source to use for the kurtosis calculation (e.g. close).
length : Length to use for the kurtosis calculation (e.g. 14).
Returns: The kurtosis of the source over the length provided.
skewnessStandardError(sampleSize) Estimates the standard error of skewness based on sample size
Parameters:
sampleSize : The number of samples used for calculating standard error.
Returns: The standard error estimate for skewness based on the sample size provided.
kurtosisStandardError(sampleSize) Estimates the standard error of kurtosis based on sample size
Parameters:
sampleSize : The number of samples used for calculating standard error.
Returns: The standard error estimate for kurtosis based on the sample size provided.
skewnessCriticalValue(sampleSize) Estimates the critical value of skewness based on sample size
Parameters:
sampleSize : The number of samples used for calculating critical value.
Returns: The critical value estimate for skewness based on the sample size provided.
kurtosisCriticalValue(sampleSize) Estimates the critical value of kurtosis based on sample size
Parameters:
sampleSize : The number of samples used for calculating critical value.
Returns: The critical value estimate for kurtosis based on the sample size provided.
Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) mean reversion testThe augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF) is a statistical test for the tendency of a price series sample to mean revert .
The current price of a mean-reverting series may tell us something about the next move (as opposed, for example, to a geometric Brownian motion). Thus, the ADF test allows us to spot market inefficiencies and potentially exploit this information in a trading strategy.
Mathematically, the mean reversion property means that the price change in the next time period is proportional to the difference between the average price and the current price. The purpose of the ADF test is to check if this proportionality constant is zero. Accordingly, the ADF test statistic is defined as the estimated proportionality constant divided by the corresponding standard error.
In this script, the ADF test is applied in a rolling window with a user-defined lookback length. The calculated values of the ADF test statistic are plotted as a time series. The more negative the test statistic, the stronger the rejection of the hypothesis that there is no mean reversion. If the calculated test statistic is less than the critical value calculated at a certain confidence level (90%, 95%, or 99%), then the hypothesis of a mean reversion is accepted (strictly speaking, the opposite hypothesis is rejected).
Input parameters:
Source - The source of the time series being tested.
Length - The number of points in the rolling lookback window. The larger sample length makes the ADF test results more reliable.
Maximum lag - The maximum lag included in the test, that defines the order of an autoregressive process being implied in the model. Generally, a non-zero lag allows taking into account the serial correlation of price changes. When dealing with price data, a good starting point is lag 0 or lag 1.
Confidence level - The probability level at which the critical value of the ADF test statistic is calculated. If the test statistic is below the critical value, it is concluded that the sample of the price series is mean-reverting. Confidence level is calculated based on MacKinnon (2010) .
Show Infobox - If True, the results calculated for the last price bar are displayed in a table on the left.
More formal background:
Formally, the ADF test is a test for a unit root in an autoregressive process. The model implemented in this script involves a non-zero constant and zero time trend. The zero lag corresponds to the simple case of the AR(1) process, while higher order autoregressive processes AR(p) can be approached by setting the maximum lag of p. The null hypothesis is that there is a unit root, with the alternative that there is no unit root. The presence of unit roots in an autoregressive time series is characteristic for a non-stationary process. Thus, if there is no unit root, the time series sample can be concluded to be stationary, i.e., manifesting the mean-reverting property.
A few more comments:
It should be noted that the ADF test tells us only about the properties of the price series now and in the past. It does not directly say whether the mean-reverting behavior will retain in the future.
The ADF test results don't directly reveal the direction of the next price move. It only tells wether or not a mean-reverting trading strategy can be potentially applicable at the given moment of time.
The ADF test is related to another statistical test, the Hurst exponent. The latter is available on TradingView as implemented by balipour , QuantNomad and DonovanWall .
The ADF test statistics is a negative number. However, it can take positive values, which usually corresponds to trending markets (even though there is no statistical test for this case).
Rigorously, the hypothesis about the mean reversion is accepted at a given confidence level when the value of the test statistic is below the critical value. However, for practical trading applications, the values which are low enough - but still a bit higher than the critical one - can be still used in making decisions.
Examples:
The VIX volatility index is known to exhibit mean reversion properties (volatility spikes tend to fade out quickly). Accordingly, the statistics of the ADF test tend to stay below the critical value of 90% for long time periods.
The opposite case is presented by BTCUSD. During the same time range, the bitcoin price showed strong momentum - the moves away from the mean did not follow by the counter-move immediately, even vice versa. This is reflected by the ADF test statistic that consistently stayed above the critical value (and even above 0). Thus, using a mean reversion strategy would likely lead to losses.
Pythagorean Moving Averages (and more)When you think of the question "take the mean of this dataset", you'd normally think of using the arithmetic mean because usually the norm is equal to 1; however, there are an infinite number of other types of means depending on the function norm (p).
Pythagoras' is credited for the main types of means: his harmonic mean, his geometric mean, and his arithmetic mean:
Harmonic Average (p = -1):
- Take the reciprocal of all the numbers in the dataset, add them all together, divide by the amount of numbers added together, then take the reciprocal of the final answer.
Geometric Average (p = 0):
- Multiply all the numbers in the dataset, then take the nth root where n is equal to the amount of number you multiplied together.
Arithmetic Mean (p = 1):
- Add all the numbers in the dataset, then divide by the amount of numbers you added by.
A couple other means included in this script were the quadratic mean (p = 2) and the cubic mean (p = 3).
Quadratic Mean (p = 2):
- Square every number in the dataset, then divide by the amount of numbers your added by, then take the square root.
Cubic Mean (p = 3):
- Cube every number in the dataset, then divide by the amount of numbers you added by, then take the cube root.
There are an infinite number of means for every scenario of p, but they begin to follow a pattern after p = 3.
Read more:
www.cs.uni.edu
en.wikipedia.org
en.wikipedia.org
Note : I added the functions for the quadratic mean and cubic mean, but since market charts don't have those types of graphs, the functions don't usually work. It's the same reason why sometimes you'll see the harmonic average not working.
Disclaimer : This is not financial or mathematical advice, please look for someone certified before making any decisions.
Hophop Reversion Strategy
█ OVERVIEW
Mean reversion is a financial term assuming that an asset's price will tend to converge to the average price over time.
Due to the trending nature of the crypto markets, mean reversion on a high timeframe could be pretty dangerous. When it comes to running mean reversion strategy on low timeframe, commission and slippage may cost more than strategy gains.
In this strategy, I tried to achieve being conservative in the trending market while avoiding trades if necessary and trading high probability reversion opportunities .
█ CONCEPTS
Strategy is build based on the combination of the momentum and the historical / implied volatility; when the price exceeds the potential volatility range, the strategy places the orders, and the target point is the mean of the expected range high and range low.
The range low and high lines displayed on the chart shows where to short or long, to make sure that the orders are limit orders; orders are placed 0.5% above/below the ranges!
Key information about the strategy
• All the orders are limit entry
• 0.02% commission is included in the backtest
• 30 ticks set for Verify Price Limit for Orders
• 30 ticks set for Slippage
• Initial version does not include the money management and hard stops hence you need to be extra cautious in trending markets
• Restricted to be used for BTC and ETH for 15 min timeframe
█ Ozet
Ortalamaya dönme, bir varlığın fiyatının zaman içinde ortalama fiyata yakınsama eğiliminde olacağını varsayan bir finansal terimdir.
Kripto piyasalarının trend egilimli doğası nedeniyle, yüksek zaman diliminde ortalamaya dönüş oldukça tehlikeli olabilir.
Ortalama geri dönüş stratejisini düşük zaman diliminde calistirmak söz konusu olduğunda, komisyon ve kayma, strateji kazanımlarından daha pahalıya mal olabilir.
Bu stratejide, gerektiğinde alım satımlardan kaçınırken ve yüksek olasılıklı ortalamaya dönüş fırsatlarını degerlendiren, trend olan piyasada ise isleme girerken temkinli olmasi uzerine calistim
█ Aciklama
Strateji, momentum ve tarihsel / zımni oynaklığın birleşimine dayalı olarak inşa edilmistir; fiyat potansiyel oynaklık aralığını aştığında, strateji emirleri verir ve hedef nokta, beklenen yüksek aralığın ve düşük aralığın ortalamasıdır.
Grafikte görüntülenen aralık alt ve üst satırları,
Stratejiye ait onemli bilgiler/b]
• Tüm emirler limit emirdir girişlidir
• Backtest performansinda %0.02 komisyon dahildir
• Limit Emir fiyat dogrulamasi icin 30 tick bekleme kullanilmistir
• Slippage için 30 tick bekleme kullanilmistir
• İlk sürüm para yönetimini ve stoploss içermez, bu nedenle trend olan piyasalarda ekstra dikkatli olmanız gerekir.
• 15 dakikalık zaman dilimi ile BTC ve ETH için kullanımla sınırlıdır
Emirlerin limit emir olduğundan emin olmak için nerede short veya long isleme girilecegini gosteren cizgilerin %0.5 üstünde/altında verilir!
Roc Mean Reversion (ValueRay)This Indicator shows the Absolute Rate of Change in correlation to its Moving Average.
Values over 3 (gray dotted line) can savely be considered as a breakout; values over 4.5 got a high mean-reverting chance (red dotted line).
This Indicator can be used in all timeframes, however, i recommend to use it <30m, when you want search for meaningful Mean-Reverting Signals.
Please like, share and subscribe. With your love, im encouraged to write and publish more Indicators.
Drift Study (Inspired by Monte Carlo Simulations with BM) [KL]Inspired by the Brownian Motion ("BM") model that could be applied to conducting Monte Carlo Simulations, this indicator plots out the Drift factor contributing to BM.
Interpretation : If the Drift value is positive, then prices are possibly moving in an uptrend. Vice versa for negative drifts.
Alpha Trading - Deviation Log Pro - Coder WolvesAlpha Trading - Deviation Log Pro
Here at Alpha Trading we love our indicators built on returns. In our view, the only way to play divergences in Trading is divergences between Returns based oscillators and Price.
The Alpha Trading Deviation Log Pro displays a mean of log returns, with returns and price both weighted using our proprietary root mean square (RMS) Z-Score.
We also show standard error and confidence intervals.
Within the indicator settings, you can apply alerts to the RMS Z Score, as well as an option to turn on triangle and square shapes to assist with showing potential buy/sell and get out of trade signals.
Things to Understand First
Standard Error
The term "standard error" is used to refer to the standard deviation of various sample statistics, such as the mean or median. For example, the "standard error of the mean" refers to the standard deviation of the distribution of sample means taken from a population. The smaller the standard error, the more representative the sample will be of the overall population.
The relationship between the standard error and the standard deviation is such that, for a given sample size, the standard error equals the standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. The standard error is also inversely proportional to the sample size; the larger the sample size, the smaller the standard error because the statistic will approach the actual value.
The standard error is considered part of inferential statistics. It represents the standard deviation of the mean within a dataset. This serves as a measure of variation for random variables, providing a measurement for the spread. The smaller the spread, the more accurate the dataset.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval is a range of values where an unknown population parameter is expected to lie most of the time, if you were to repeat your study with new random samples.
With a 95% confidence level, 95% of all sample means will be expected to lie within a confidence interval of ± 1.96 standard errors of the sample mean.
Settings
• Confidence Intervals plotted with Green and Red Horizontal Lines
• Standard Error Mean - Plotted as a blue dots
• Standard Error Upper - Plotted as a grey line
• Standard Error Lower -Plotted as grey line
• RMS Z-Score Alerts shown as Red and Green Dots
• Potential Buy Signal Green Triangle Up
• Potential Sell Signal - Red Triangle Down
• Get out of Long Trade - White Square
• Get Out of Short Trade - White Square
The Chart below is showing the Divergences between Returns and Price Action over a long term trend of a time series, no matter the time frame.
Alpha Trading - Absolute Mean Entropy with A2 EPPAbsolute Mean Entropy with Alpha Squared Entropy Price Percentile
Entropy
The history of the word ―entropy can be traced back to 1865 when the German physicist Rudolf Clausius tried to give a new name to irreversible heat loss, what he previously called ―equivalent-value.
The word ―entropy was chosen because in Greek, “en+tropein” means “content transformative” or “transformation content”
Since then, entropy has played an important role in thermodynamics and many other scientific fields. Being defined as the sum of “heat supplied” divided by “temperature” it is central to the Second Law of Thermodynamics. It also helps measure the amount of order and disorder and/or chaos.
The application of entropy in finance can be regarded as an extension of “Information Entropy” and “Probability Entropy”
Entropy in Finance can be used in many ways such as Asset Selection, Asset Diversification, Measure an Assets Risk, inputs into Options pricing. While Entropy started in the field of Thermodynamics as aforementioned it has also found a home in Finance. However, studies with entropy in the field of Finance are still in their infancy.
• Entropy is a measure of randomness. Entropy is used to help model and represent the degree of uncertainty of a random variable.
• Entropy is used by financial analysts and market technicians to determine the chances of a specific type of behavior by a security or market.
• Entropy has long been a source of study and debate by market analysts and traders. It is used in quantitative analysis and can help predict the probability that a security will move in a certain direction or according to a certain pattern.
The concept of Entropy is explored in the book "A Random Walk Down Wall Street."
Entropy is plotted below the axis with negative values. Entropy can also colorize the candle color if selected.
R-squared (The Coefficient of Determination)
R-squared is a statistical measurement that examines how differences in one variable can be explained by the difference in a second variable, when predicting the outcome of a given event.
In other words, this coefficient, which is more commonly known as R-squared (or R2), assesses how strong the linear relationship is between two variables, and is heavily relied on by researchers when conducting trend analysis.
To cite an example of its application, this coefficient may contemplate the following question: if an indicator becomes pregnant on a certain day, what is the likelihood that this indicator would deliver a new indicator on a particular date in the future? In this scenario, this metric aims to calculate the correlation between two related events: conception of the indicator and the birth of the indicator.
• The coefficient of determination is a complex idea centered on the statistical analysis of models for data.
• The coefficient of determination is used to explain how much variability of one factor can be caused by its relationship to another factor.
• This coefficient is commonly known as R-squared (or R2) and is sometimes referred to as the "goodness of fit."
• This measure is represented as a value between 0.0 and 1.0, where a value of 1.0 indicates a perfect fit, and is thus a highly reliable model for future forecasts, while a value of 0.0 would indicate that the model fails to accurately model the data at all.
R2 and Price
The hypothesis that R2 is related to investors’ biases in processing information.
This theory motivates an empirical hypothesis that stocks with lower R2 should exhibit more pronounced overreaction-driven price momentum.
Alpha Trading AME/A2 EPP Settings
Settings for AME (Absolute Mean Entropy)
Length: Sample size.
Use as Barcolor: AME color as Price Action Candle color.
Show Entropy Flashes: If absolute value of entropy is very low, it gives yellow color for AME and Price Action Candle color if selected.
Band StdDev: (2 times) AME StdDev bands.1st and 2nd default.
Exponential Weighted Entropy: Weights the AME exponentially, is more reactive, but more noise.
Settings for EPP (Entropy Price Percentile)
Percentile Period: lookback for percentile range(relevant for flashes)
Background flashes: if EPP is below threshold default is below 10%, Flashes green in the background.
Std.err bands period: default 3 and multiplier 1.
EPP Column Meanings
Bright Green: Returns above the mean and increasing.
Dark Green: Returns above the mean and decreasing.
Bright Red: Returns below the mean and increasing.
Dark Red: Returns below the mean and decreasing.
Basic Trade Signal
Long – Value of AME is low, as you see EPP increasing with a coloration of green consider taking a long if you have confluence with other Alpha Trading Indicators.
Short – Value of AME is low, as you see EPP increasing with a coloration of red consider taking a short if you have confluence with other Alpha Trading Indicators.
The Chart below is showing Entries, Exponential Weighting input turned on, Percentile Period set to 30 instead of default 100, everything else is Default....
When using other Alpha Trading indicators in confluence, there are other entries available when the indicator isn't flashing and the indicator still supports the move.
References
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.wallstreetmojo.com
byjus.com
www.investopedia.com
en.wikipedia.org
papers.ssrn.com
Res/Sup With Concavity & Increasing / Decreasing Trend AnalysisPurple means the concavity is down blue means concavity is up which is good.
Yellow means increasing, Red means decreasing.
Sup = Green
Res = Red
Coefficient of variation (standard deviation over mean)Shows the coefficient of variation defined as standard deviation over mean (for the specified window).
Jaws Mean Reversion [Strategy]This very simple strategy is an implementation of PJ Sutherlands' Jaws Mean reversion algorithm. It simply buys when a small moving average period (e.g. 2) is below
a longer moving average period (e.g. 5) by a certain percentage and closes when the small period average crosses over the longer moving average.
If you are going to use this, you may wish to apply this to a range of investment assets using a screener for setups, as the amount signals are low. Alternatively, you may wish to tweak the settings to provide more signals.
Context can be found here:
LINK
Hurst ExponentMy first try to implement Full Hurst Exponent.
The Hurst exponent is used as a measure of long-term memory of time series. It relates to the autocorrelations of the time series and the rate at which these decrease as the lag between pairs of values increases
The Hurst exponent is referred to as the "index of dependence" or "index of long-range dependence". It quantifies the relative tendency of a time series either to regress strongly to the mean or to cluster in a direction.
In short, depending on the value you can spot the trending / reversing market.
Values 0.5 to 1 - market trending
Values 0 to 0.5 - market tend to mean revert
Hurst Exponent is computed using Rescaled range (R/S) analysis.
I split the lookback period (N) in the number of shorter samples (for ex. N/2, N/4, N/8, etc.). Then I calculate rescaled range for each sample size.
The Hurst exponent is estimated by fitting the power law. Basically finding the slope of log(samples_size) to log(RS).
You can choose lookback and sample sizes yourself. Max 8 possible at the moment, if you want to use less use 0 in inputs.
It's pretty computational intensive, so I added an input so you can limit from what date you want it to be calculated. If you hit the time limit in PineScript - limit the history you're using for calculations.
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Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Simple Hurst Exponent [QuantNomad]This is a simplified version of the Hurst Exponent indicator.
In the meantime, I'm working on the full version. It's computationally intensive, so it's a challenge to squeeze it to PineScript limits. It will require some time to optimize it, so I decided to publish a simplified version for now.
The Hurst exponent is used as a measure of long-term memory of time series. It relates to the autocorrelations of the time series, and the rate at which these decrease as the lag between pairs of values increases
The Hurst exponent is referred to as the "index of dependence" or "index of long-range dependence". It quantifies the relative tendency of a time series either to regress strongly to the mean or to cluster in a direction.
In short depend on value you can spot trending / reversing market.
Values 0.5 to 1 - market trending
Values 0 to 0.5 - market tend to mean revert
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Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
B3 HL2MA Painter ~ Extremely Smooth Average & Bar PaintMy HL2MA is a 'proprietary' formula based on the idea that I never again want to see a jagged average line. I released a version of this a long time ago, but I wanted to update it to how I have it on my charts in other platforms. Here are some notes about this moving average script:
The default input value is 5, and I suggest the range of use 4-6 with the rare occasion of using 3 or 7.
For me 5 is what I use UNLESS I AM IN A TRADE, then I might switch to 4 if I have some profits to lock, or 6 if I want to stay in for a lengthier trade.
This average when kept within the above parameters is the smoothest MA in my arsenal, HL2 refers to the middle of the candles which further de-noises the line.
The colors are green/red for good movement with the confirmed trend.
The colors are gray for movement against the current trend (signaling a possible mean reversion)
The colors blue & yellow appear when signaling possible chop or trend exhaustion.
Carried forward from the last time I posted this, the bias for longs and shorts is depicted as the color of the average line green or maroon, and ALERTS are based on that overall bias created the line by itself.
Also carried from the last post, the green and maroon clouds depict the price deviance from the line; when the cloud stretches wide it may be time to take profits and enter back in closer to the line.
Thanks again for liking and following!!!!
This share is in response to my 10,000th like on TradingView!
Favorite this one, and enjoy :-)
