Orion Algo Strategy v2.0Hi everyone.
I decided to make the latest Orion Algo open to people. I don't have enough time to work on it lately, so I figured it would be best that everyone can have it to work on it. I took out some stuff from the original but it should give an idea on how things work. I made two strategies with this so far so you can use that to come up with your own. I recommend the DCA strategy because it gives you the most bang for Orion Algo's buck. It's pretty good at finding long entries.
Overall I hope you guys like this one. Also, Banano is the best crypto currency :)
-INFO-
Orion Algo is a trading algorithm designed to help traders find the highs and lows of the market before, during, and after they happen. We wanted to give an indicator to people that was simple to use. In fact we created the algorithm in such a way that it currently only needs a single input from the user. Since no indicator can predict the market perfectly, Orion should be used as just another tool (although quite a sharp one) for you to trade with. Fundamental knowledge of price action and TA should be used with Orion Algo.
Being an oscillator, Orion currently has a bias towards market volatility . So you will want to be trading markets over 30% volatility . We have plans to develop future versions that take this into account and adjust automatically for dead conditions. Also, while there are some similarities across all oscillators, what sets ours apart is the prediction curve. The prediction curve looks at the current signal values and gives it a relative score to approximate tops and bottoms 1-2 bars ahead of the signal curve. We also designed a velocity curve that attempts to predict the signal curve 2+ bars ahead. You can find the relative change in velocity in the Info panel. The bottom momentum wave is based on the signal curve and helps find overall market direction of higher time-frames while in a lower one.
Settings and How to Use them:
User Agreement – Orion Algo is a tool for you to use while trading. We aren’t responsible for losses OR the gains you make with it. By clicking the checkbox on the left you are agreeing to the terms.
Super Smooth – Smooths the main signal line based on the value inside the box. Lower values shift the pivot points to the left but also make things more noisy. Higher values move things to the right making it lag a bit more while creating a smoother signal. 8 is a good value to start with.
Theme – Changes the color scheme of Orion.
Dashboard – Turns on a dashboard with useful stats, such as Delta v, Volatility , Rsi , etc. Changing the value box will move the dashboard left and right.
Prediction – A secondary prediction model that attempts to predict a reversal before it happens (0-2bars). This can be noisy some times so make your best judgement. Curve will toggle a curve view of the prediction. Pivots will toggle bull/bear dots.
∆v – Delta v (change in velocity). This shows momentum of the signal. Crossing 0 signals a reversal. If you see the delta v changing direction, it may signify a reversal in the several bars depending on the overall momentum of the market.
Momentum Wave – Uses the signal as a macro trend indicator. Changes in direction of the wave can signify macro changes in the market. Average will toggle an averaging algorithm of the momentum waves and makes it easy to understand.
-STRATEGIES-
Simple - Just buy and sell on the dots
DCA - Uses the settings in the script for entries. If a buy dot appears then it will buy, if the price goes below the percentage it will wait for another dot before entering. This drastically improves DCA potential.
Bitcoin (Kriptopara)
Bagheri IG Ether v2In this version, the winning ratio has been decreased, but the Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR) has been set to be better than the previous version.
This is a technical trading strategy for Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ). We built and developed it on MetaEditor and optimized it with MetaTrader optimizer.
The main indicators are Donchian Channel, Oscillator of ROC , Bears Power, Balance of Power , and Simple Moving Average ( SMA ). Default values in the input panel are the best combination of these indicators, but you can change any of them and try it for better results.
Please notice that this strategy has been optimized on the 1-minute chart of Ethereum .
For each position, you can see the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels. Also, you can find the values of mentioned TP and SL in points from the input panel of the script.
Attention: The price of Ethereum has 2 decimal places.
Therefore, 3000 points for TP means 30 USDT for trading 1 BINANCE:ETHUSDT .
MACD + DMI Scalping with Volatility Stop by (Coinrule)Trend-following strategies are cool because they allow you to catch potential high returns.
The main limit of such strategies are:
False signals > the asset is not experiencing a strong trend. The strategy gets stuck with a sideways move or, worst, with the beginning of a downtrend.
The sell signal may come later than the actual top, leading in some cases to turn a trade in profit into a loss.
This strategy tries to address these limitations to develop a trading system that optimises the entry and closes trade once the profit achieves a pre-set level.
ENTRY
The trading system uses the MACD and the DMI to confirm when is the best time for buying. Combining these two indicators prevents trading during downtrends and reduces the likelihood of getting stuck in a market with low volatility.
The system confirms the entry when:
The MACD histogram turns bullish.
When the positive DMI is greater than the negative DMI, there are more chances that the asset is trading in a sustained uptrend.
EXIT
The strategy comes with a fixed take profit combined with a volatility stop, which acts as a trailing stop to adapt to the trend's strength. Depending on your long term confidence in the asset, you can edit the fixed take profit to be more conservative or aggressive.
The position is closed when:
The price increases by 3%
The price crosses below the volatility stop.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our backtest is the 3-hr . The 4-hr can work well. In general, this approach suits medium to long term strategies
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital to make the results more realistic. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
Dual MACD StrategyThis strategy Multi Time Frame Macd Indicator
We take the first long position when we have a buy signal in Weekly Macd (Macd line crosses above Signal line). This open a trading window, showed with green background color
We close the first position when either Weekly or Daily Macd give us a sell signal ((Macd line crosses below Signal line))
Enable Profit and Stop in strategy settings with different percentage to backtest the strategy. Also if it is better to use a Traditional Stop Loss or a Trailing Stop Loss based on a percentage from low prices
Change macd resolution in settings for other time frames to test the strategy
This Strategy was tested on Crypto Market with good results in assets as BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, LTC, XLM, BCH, among others
Traffic Lights Strategy4HS Crypto Market Strategy
This strategy uses 4 ema to get Long or Short Signals
Length are: 4, 9, 18, 100
We take long positions when the order of the emas is the following:
green > yellow > red (As the color of Traffic Lights) and they are above white ema (Used as a filter for long positions)
We take short positions when the order of the emas is the following:
green < yellow < red (As the color of inverse Traffic Lights) and they are below white ema (Used as a filter for short positions)
Enable Long and/or Short Positions in settings
Enable Profit and Stop in strategy settings with different percentage to backtest the strategy. Also if it is better to use a Traditional Stop Loss or a Trailing Stop Loss based on ATR
Change ema filter resolution in settings for better strategy performance
This Strategy was tested on Crypto Market with good results in assets as BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, LTC, XLM, BCH, among others
Feel free to optimize this strategy, optimizing its parameters. Each asset has its own "personality".
MACD 5 iN 1 [Pro-Tool]introducing MACD Which has different indicators inside,
And not only that, five different strategies have also been included in this indicator.
Strategy №1:👉 MACD Crossover Signal Line
Strategy №2:👉 MACD Crossover + MACD Overbought Section (for ignore false Crossover signals)
Strategy №3:👉 MACD Crossover + Market Close should b greater tha MOVING AVERAGE
Strategy №4:👉 MACD Crossover + Market Close should b greater tha MOVING AVERAGE ZONE
Strategy №5:👉 MACD Crossover + RSI Close should b greater tha 50 Level (or whatever level you choose)
also 5 types of MOVING AVERAGE you can choose
1: Simple Moving Average ( SMA )
2: Exponential Moving Average ( EMA )
3: Weighted Moving Average ( WMA )
4: Volume Weighted Moving Average ( VWMA )
5: Relative Moving Average (RMA)
and you can customize MACD Colors + Widths + Signals and MACD lines, and also can Hide or Unhide Histogram / Cross Sign / MACD Zone Color
hope so you like it, 🥰
Investing and trading in cryptocurrencies is very risky, as anything can happen at any time.
***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! JUST OPINION! I AM NOT AN EXPERT! I DO NOT GUARANTEE A PARTICULAR OUTCOME I HAVE NO INSIDE KNOWLEDGE! YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! THIS IS JUST EDUCATION & ENTERTAINMENT! USE ALTCOIN DAILY AS A STARTING OFF POINT!
Optimized Keltner Channels SL/TP Strategy for BTCThis strategy is optimized for Bitcoin with the Keltner Channel Strategy, which is TradingView's built-in strategy. In the original Keltner Channel Strategy, it was difficult to predict the timing of entry because the Buy and Sell signals floated in the middle of the candle in real time. This strategy is convenient because if the bitcoin price hits the top or bottom of the Keltner Channel and closes the closing price, you can enter Buy or Sell at the next candle start price. In addition, this strategy provides Stop Loss and Take Profit functions to maximize profit.
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Recommended settings are below.
- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 19
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 20
_________________________________
- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 18
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 5
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▶ Usefulness and Originality
- Stop Loss and Take Profit functions are available
- Convenient Buy and Sell entry compared to the original Keltner Channel Strategy
- Optimized for BTCUSD market (maximizing profits)
___________________________________________
이 전략은 TradingView의 Built-in 전략인 Keltner Channel Strategy를 비트코인에 맞게 최적화되었습니다. 기존의 Keltner Channel Strategy는 Buy, Sell 신호가 캔들 중간에 실시간으로 떠서 진입 시점을 예측하기 어려운 불편함이 있었지만 이 전략은 비트코인 가격이 Keltner Channel 상단 혹은 하단을 찍고 종가를 마감하면 그 다음 캔들 시작가에서 Buy 혹은 Sell 진입이 가능하여 편리합니다. 또한, 이 전략은 Keltner Channel을 만나서 캔들을 마감한 가격 (bprice, sprice)을 시각적으로 plot을 제공하여 타점 및 차트를 보기에 편리하며 손절가 및 목표가를 지정한 백테스팅이 가능합니다.
Chanu Delta StrategyThis strategy is built on the Chanu Delta Indicator, which indicates the strength of the Bitcoin market. When the Chanu Delta Indicator hits “Delta_bull” and “Delta_bear” and closes the candle, long and short signals are triggered respectively. The example shown on the screen is a default setting optimized for a 4-hour candlestick strategy based on the Bybit BTCUSDT futures market. For the 15-minute candle, "Delta_bull=32", "Delta_bear=-31", "Source=hlc3" are best. You can use it by adjusting the setting value and modifying it to suit you.
If you use this strategy in conjunction with the Chanu Delta Indicator, it is convenient to anticipate alert signals in advance. Since the Chanu Delta Indicator represents the price difference based on the Bybit BTCUSDT futures market, backtesting is possible from March 2020.
Multi-X by HamidBoxHello to All, introducing Multi Types Crossover strategy,
simply the best way of trading with Crossover and Crossunder Strategy, How it Works???
I added 5 types of Moving Averages,
1: Simple Moving Average ( SMA )
2: Exponential Moving Average ( EMA )
3: Weighted Moving Average ( WMA )
4: Volume Weighted Moving Average ( VWMA )
5: Relative Moving Average (RMA)
With this indicator, you can do scalping, You can trade not only with similar types of Moving Average indicators but also with different types of Moving Average indicators.
what is mean? like: Normal Condition is:
( Simple Moving Average ) Crossover to ( Simple Moving Average ), SMA x SMA
( Exponential Moving Average ) Crossover to ( Exponential Moving Average ), EMA x EMA
But we can Crossover with:
( Exponential Moving Average ) Crossover to ( Simple Moving Average ), EMA x SMA
( Simple Moving Average ) Crossover to ( Weighted Moving Average ), SMA x WMA
( Weighted Moving Average ) Crossover to ( Weighted Moving Average ), WMA x WMA
( Simple Moving Average ) Crossover to (Relative Moving Average), WMA x RMA
and also I added Moving Average ZONE in this tool, What does it work???
The zone will tell us what type of direction the market has, if the market is above the zone, it's mean we have a Bullish Trend, and if the market is below the zone, it means the market has a Bearish Trend,
so if you want to play on the safe side, never trade when the market is in Bearish Trend, and if you want to play on aggressive mood, you can skip Moving Average Zone section.
Ichimoku Cloud Strategy Long Only [Bitduke]Slightly modificated and optimized for Pine Script 4.0, Ichimoku Cloud Strategy which, suddenly, good suitable for the several crypto assets.
Details:
Enter position when conversion line crosses base line up, and close it when the opposite happens.
Additional condition for open / close the trade is lagging span, it should be higher than cloud to open position and below - to close it.
Backtesting:
Backtested on SOLUSDT ( FTX, Binance )
+150% for 2021 year, 8% dd
+191% for all time, 32% dd
Disadvantages:
- Small number of trades
- Need to vary parameters for different coins (not very robust)
Should be tested carefully for other coins / stock market. Different parameters could be needed or even algo modifications.
Strategy doesn't repaint.
TEMA Cross +HTF BacktestThis is a follow up to a previous script release called " TEMA Cross Backtest ".
This new strategy uses two TEMA crosses, one for trend direction, one for entry and exit. The entry and exit parameters are the same as the previous script. The trend direction is based on a user configurable higher timeframe TEMA cross which determines when to take longs or shorts. When the indicator is purple, it is looking for shorts, and when it is yellow, it is looking for longs. The background of the chart is colored accordingly to see the trend direction at a glance.
The default settings are the ones I have found produce the highest backtest results. The backtest is set by default to use a $500 account, and use $500 for every entry and exit, no matter the direction or overall profit/loss.
Parts of script borrowed from other public scripts.
EMA+RSI Pump & Drop Swing Sniper (SL+TP) - StrategyThis is the strategy version of the 'EMA-RSI-Pump-Drop-Swing-Sniper-With-Alerts':
Some additions with this strategy:
~Added Stop loss & Take profit control. In Settings > Inputs if the Stop Loss is at .051 that means it's 5.1% and the Take Profit at .096 is 9.6%. If you wish to remove the TP and SL just change the value to 1.00 and it would be the same as it being 100% TP and SL which is likely to never be hit.
~Added Backtesting by changing the month/date/year in Settings > Inputs
~Added a 2nd EMA line to assist with the long entry signals. I only use this for long entry & exits, though you could use the long exits as Short entries too. I just personally don't do short trading on Bitcoin.
This is using an EMA and RSI with slightly modified settings to give good entry and exit points while looking at Bitcoin. I use this on a 1-hour and 4-hour chart and with other indicators to find good positions to enter a trade or exit if things are turning red.
It's important to know this strategy was made as a request by another user that was using the indicator version. I don't use this as a trading strategy by itself, I use the visuals it gives as a confirmation with other indicators to find the best possible entry and exit positions.
If you click on the EMA line it will color the bars of the chart based on if they are above or below the EMA - This is just visually helpful for me to see the active trend.
Make sure you hover over or click on the EMA line to see the colors of the candles change - it's not visible by default or without doing this.
Stochastic TrendDear community,
I've made another simple trading bot for you to use. This bot is based on the Stochastic Oscillator. It only produces long trades currently.
I changed the oscillation period to a much longer one, which in turn creates opportunities to trade long term trends.
The bot goes long when the Entry lines is crossed from below and it will close its long position once the Exit line has been crossed from above.
Extremely Overfit Bitcoin Long/ShortThis is a highly overfit (in my opinion) script to long/short BTC on the 15m time frame. May be usable for other cryptocurrencies or timeframes with some parameter adjustments. I backtested it on a few exchanges with ETH.
The simplest way to increase the number of trades is to decrease the "FastChannelLength" parameter or increase the "SlowChannelLength" parameter, or both. Decreasing the margins of the channels also increases the number of trades. In GENERAL, you should expect that adding more trades will hurt profitability, because, as the title says, this script is extraordinarily overfit.
It does include a commission fee from the start, which I find is essential to not providing an overly rosy view of how a strategy would work.
RSI Trend CryptoDear community,
Today I want to present you one of my favorite and simple trading bots: The RSI Trend.
This bot is based on the RSI, which normally is used as a trend reversal indicator. However, here it’s used as a trend finding indicator, often with great success. This bot making long-only trades, which is quite successful in bull-markets like the one we’re currently in.
In case you want to use an emergency exit for your trade, toggle the Emergency Exit parameter. During bull-markets it’s better in the long term to keep this option off.
Currently the bot only makes one trade at a time (pyramiding = 1), for higher risk and higher rewards you can increase this parameter. More than 5 is not advised.
I’ve optimized this bot on 15min time frame. It has some decent results for most cryptos on this TF, feel free to test this out.
In case you want to hook this bot up to your exchange, feel free to edit the ALERT messages in the code.
Default Trading Rules:
Long: RSI crosses over 35
Close Long: RSI crosses under 75
Emergency Exit: RSI crosses under 10
ELIA MULTI INDICATORS STRATEGYExperimental multi indicators strategy, to catch right entry and avoid noise.
Each indicator included in the strategy, assume a value based on its status and because is a trend-follow strategy, some indicator value are higher then the other
Backtested on ETHUSDTPERP
BINANCE:ETHUSDTPERP
Scalping Dips On Trend (by Coinrule)Coinrule's Community is an excellent source of inspiration for our trading strategies.
In these months of Bull Market, our traders opted mostly on buy-the-dips strategies, which resulted in great returns recently. But there has been an element that turned out to be the cause for deep division among the Community.
Is it advisable or not to use a stop-loss during a Bull Market?
This strategy comes with a large stop-loss to offer a safer alternative for those that are not used to trade with a downside protection.
Entry
The strategy buys only when the price is above the Moving Average 50 , making it less risky to buy the dip, which is set to 2%.
The preferred time frame is 1-hour.
The stop-loss is set to be quite loose to increase the chances of closing the trade in profit, yet protecting from unexpected larger drawdowns that could undermine the allocation's liquidity.
Exit
Stop loss: 10%
Take Profit: 3%
In times of Bull Market, such a trading system has a very high percentage of trades closed in profit (ranging between 70% to 80%), which makes it still overall profitable to have a stop-loss three times larger than the take profit.
Pro tip: use a larger stop-loss only when you expect to close in profit most of the trades!
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital and opens a trade at a time. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account.
Flawless Victory Strategy - 15min BTC Machine Learning StrategyHello everyone, I am a heavy Python programmer bringing machine learning to TradingView. This 15 minute Bitcoin Long strategy was created using a machine learning library and 1 year of historical data in Python. Every parameter is hyper optimized to bring you the most profitable buy and sell signals for Bitcoin on the 15min chart. The historical Bitcoin data was gathered from Binance API, in case you want to know the best exchange to use this long strategy. It is a simple Bollinger Band and RSI strategy with two versions included in the tradingview settings. The first version has a Sharpe Ratio of 7.5 which is amazing, and the second version includes the best stop loss and take profit positions with a Sharpe Ratio of 2.5 . Let me talk a little bit more about how the strategy works. The buy signal is triggered when close price is less than lower Bollinger Band at Std Dev 1, and the RSI is greater than a certain value. The sell signal is triggered when close price is greater than upper Bollinger Band at Std Dev 1, and the RSI is greater than a certain value. What makes this strategy interesting is the parameters the Machine Learning library found when backtesting for the best Sharpe Ratio. I left my computer on for about 28 hours to fully backtest 5000 EPOCHS and get the results. I was able to create a great strategy that might be one of TradingView's best strategies out on the website today. I will continue to apply machine learning to all my strategies from here on forward. Please Let me know if you have any questions or certain strategies you would like me to hyper optimize for you. I'm always willing to create profitable strategies!
P.S. You can always pyramid this strategy for more gains! I just don't add pyramiding when creating my strategies because I want to show you the true win/loss ratio based buying one time and one selling one time. I feel like when creating a strategy that includes pyramiding right off the bat falsifies the win rate. This is my way of being transparent with you all. Have fun trading!
Multi Moving Average Crossing (by Coinrule)Moving Averages are among the most common trading indicators. They are straightforward to interpret and effective to use.
One of the limitations of using moving averages is they can provide buy and sell signals with a relatively high lag , making it very difficult to spot the lows and tops of the trend.
Moving averages calculated with a low number of periods like the MA9 (the average of the previous nine price periods) react very fast to price moves providing prompt signals. On the other side, more signals may end up with more false-signals and more trades in a loss.
On the contrary, moving averages calculated with a higher number of periods like the MA100 (which considers the previous one hundred price periods) give more reliable signals, but with a delay.
A system catching the crossing of the MA50 over the MA100 is a good compromise for successful long-term strategies. It provides, on average, reliable buy signals.
The Multi Moving Average Crossing Strategy tries to optimize the exit without waiting for the same opposite crossing (MA50 below MA100). It uses the MA9 crossing below the MA50, instead, to spot a better time for selling.
The setup is as follows.
BUY when the Moving Average 50 crosses above the Moving Average 100
SELL when the Moving Average 9 crosses below the Moving Average 50
The higher is the time frame to calculate the Moving Averages, the better is the overall performance of the strategy. The 4-hour (or 6-hour) time frame seems to be the best, even if it results in fewer trades. If you want to trade more still with good results, the 1-hour time is a good compromise.
Advantages of the strategy
This strategy seeks to catch those that are more likely relevant uptrends and close the trade relatively quickly. More trades mean more opportunities. This is especially effective if you run the strategy on all the available coins on the market, as you could do with Coinrule.
Generally, a Multi Moving Averages approach beats the classic crossing strategy involving only two Moving Averages. We backtested a sample of twenty trading pairs to assess the benefits empirically.
The results show that the Multi Moving Average Strategy
outperforms 13 out of 20 times
has 95% higher average return
has 67% higher median return
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital and opens a trade at a time. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account.
Scalping using RSI 2 indicator with TSLThis strategy implements a simply scalping using the RSI (calculated on two periods), the slopes of two MAs ( EMA or SMA ) having different lengths (by default, I use 50 and 200).
A trailing stop loss (%) is used.
Entry conditions:
.) Fast MA > Slow MA and Price > Slow MA and RSI < Oversold Threshold ------> go Long
.) Fast MA < Slow MA and Price < Slow MA and RSI > Overbought Threshold ------> go Short
Exit conditions:
.) Long entry condition is true and (close >= TP or close <= TSL ) ----> close short position
.) Short entry condition is true and (close <= TP or close >= TSL ) ----> close long position
The strategy performed best on Bitcoin and the most liquid and capitalized Altcoins but works excellent on volatile assets, mainly if they often go trending.
Works best on 3h - 4h time frame.
There's also an optional Volatility filter, which opens the position only if the difference between the two slopes is more than a specific value, which can be set in the study inputs. The purpose is not opening positions if the price goes sideways and the noise is way > than the signal.
Note:
.) the RSI length is 2;
.) the oversold Threshold is 90%;
.) the overbought Threshold is 10%;
.) by default, the trailing stop loss per cent is 1%;
.) by default, the fast MA length is 50;
.) by default, the slow MA length is 200;
.) by default, the MA used is EMA.
Cheers.
RSI Classic Strategy (by Coinrule)One of the questions hobbyist traders more often ask is: what is the perfect trading indicator?
Every indicator is just a tool, so its efficiency is proportional to your ability to read its signals and translate them into an actionable trading strategy. The RSI is likely the most flexible and easy to use among the technical indicators.
This trading strategy tries to catch short-term swings on the coins of your choice with a simple yet profitable setup.
Buy when the RSI is lower than 30 (you can adjust it to 35 in times of steep uptrend).
Sell when the RSI is greater than 65 (the target may range between 60 and 75 depending on the volatility of the coin).
Note that the buy signal comes when the indicator crosses below 30 and not when it crosses above 30 as it happens on the built-in RSI strategy on Tradingview.
The present script overperforms the built-in strategy, even adding trading fees and using a lower amount of capital for each trade (30%). That means that the system can deliver higher net-profits with lower risk levels.
A typical example of market conditions where this strategy works perfectly is as follows.
The first initial breakout indicates that a new leg up in the trend may start. Bitcoin starts to trade within a range which you can identify when it reaches the point 3. That is the perfect time to start the rule because
- trading within a channel anticipates possible swings up and down
- the trend is on the upside, providing low downside risk in buying the dips.
This strategy works well with selected coins of your choice, and it's a great fit on leverage exchanges like Binance Futures.
If you prefer to run it across all available coins on the market, instead, you may choose an optimized version.
KAMA Strategy - Kaufman's Adaptive Moving AverageThis strategy combines Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average for entry with optional KAMA, PSAR, and Trailing ATR stops for exits.
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average is, in my opinion, a gem among the plethora of indicators. It is underrated considering it offers a solution that intuitively makes a lot of sense. When I first read about it, it was a real 'aha!' moment. Look at the top, pink line. Notice how during trending times it follows the trend quickly and closely, but during choppy, non-trending periods, the KAMA stays absolutely flat? Interesting! To trade with it, we simply follow the direction the KAMA is pointing. Is it up? Go long. Is it down? Go short. Is it flat? Hold on.
How does it manage to quickly follow real trends like a fast EMA but ignore choppy conditions that would whipsaw a fast EMA back and forth? It analyses whether recent price moves are significant relative to recent noise and then adapts the length of the EMA window accordingly. If price movement is big compared to the recent noise, the EMA window gets smaller. If price movement is relatively small or average compared to the recent noise, the EMA window gets bigger. In practice it means:
The KAMA would be flat if a 20 point upwards move occurred during a period that has had, on average, regular 20 point moves BUT
the KAMA would point up if a 20 point move occurred during a period that has, on average, had moves of only around 5 points.
In other words, it's a slow EMA during choppy flat / quiet flat periods, and a fast EMA as soon as significant volatility occurs. Perfect!
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The Strategy
The strategy is more than just a KAMA indicator. It contains:
KAMA exit (optional)
ATR trailing stop loss exit (optional)
PSAR stop loss exit (optional)
KAMA filter for entry and exits
All features are adjustable in the strategy settings
The Technical Details:
Check out the strategy's 'Inputs' panel. The buy and sell signals are based on the 'KAMA 1' there.
KAMA 1: Length -- 14 is the default. This is the length of the window the KAMA looks back over. In this instance, it c
KAMA 1: Fast KAMA Length -- 2 is the default. This is the tightest the EMA length is allowed to get. It will tend towards this length when volatility is high.
KAMA 1: Slow KAMA Length -- 20 is the default. This is the biggest the EMA length is allowed to get. It will tend towards this length when volatility is low.
KAMA Filter
The strategy buys when the KAMA begins to point up and sells when the KAMA points down. Generally, the KAMA is very good at filtering out the noise itself - it will go flat during noisy/choppy periods. But to add another layer of safety, its author, Perry Kaufman, proposed a KAMA filter. It works by taking the standard deviation of returns over the length of the the 'KAMA 1: Length' I mentioned above and multiplying it by an 'Entry Filter' (1 by default) and 'Exit Filter' (0.5 by default). The entry condition to go long is that the KAMA is pointing up and and it moved up more than 1 x St. Dev. of Returns. The exit condition is when the KAMA is pointing down and it moved down by more than 0.5 x St. Dev. of Returns.
Thanks
Thanks to ChuckBanger, cheatcountry, millerrh, and racer8 for parts of the code. I was able to build upon their good work.
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I hope this strategy is helpful to you.
Do you have any thoughts, ideas, or questions? Let me know in the comments or send me a message! I'd be glad to help you out.
If you need an indicator or strategy to be built or customised for you, let me know! I'll be glad to help and it'll probably be cheaper than you think!
BTC and ETH Long strategy - version 2I wrote my first article in May 2020. See below
BTC and ETH Long strategy - version1
After 6 months, it is now time to check the result of my script for the last 6 months.
XBTUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +78% in 4 trades
ETHXBT (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +21% in 9 trades
ETHUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +90% in 6 trades
Using the signals from this strategy to trade manually has shown that this was a bit frustrating because of the low rate of winning trades.
If you have to enter 100 trades and see 75% of them failing and 25% winning, this is frustrating. For sure the strategy makes good money but it is difficult to hold this mentality.
So, I have reviewed and modified it to get a higher winning rate.
After few days of work, tests and validation, I managed to get a wining rate close to 60%.
The key element was also to decrease the number of trades by using a higher time frame. (4H candles instead of 2H candles).
- Entry in position is based on
MACD, EMA (20), SMA (100), SMA (200) moving up
AND EMA (20) > SMA (100)
AND SMA (100) > SMA (200)
- Exit the position if: Stoploss is reached OR EMA (20) crossUnder SMA (100)
The goal of this new script is to be able to follow the signals manually and only make few trades per years.
I have also validated it against some other altcoins where some are giving very good results.
Here are some results for 2020 (from 01/01/2020 until now (22/11/2020). Those results are the one I get when using 4H candles.
ETH/USD: +144% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +120% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +33% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +123% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +155% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +388% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +180% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +97% in 10 trades.
The best is that above results are without considering compound effect. If you re-invest all gains done in each new trade, this will give you the below results :)
ETH/USD: +189% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +260% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +29% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +112% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +222% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +793% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +319% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +103% in 10 trades.
As you can see, the results are good and the number of trades for 11 months is not big, which allows the trader to place orders manually.
But still, I'm lazy :), so, I have also coded this strategy in HaasScript language which allows you to automate this strategy using the HaasOnline software specialized in automated crypto trading.
I hope that this strategy will give you ideas or will be the starting point for your own strategy.
Let me know if you need more details.
