Sentival | QuantEdgeB

Introducing Sentival by QuantEdgeB.
An Adaptive Multi-Factor Indicator for Market Valuation & Trend Strength

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Overview
The Sentival Valuation System is a medium-term, multi-factor valuation tool designed to assess market conditions using a combination of momentum, mean reversion, and risk-adjusted metrics. It provides traders and investors with a dynamic score reflecting market valuation, ranging from strongly oversold to strongly overbought conditions.

This system leverages a diverse range of technical indicators, including momentum oscillators, volatility measures, risk ratios, and mean-reversion metrics, providing a holistic view of market conditions.

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1. Key Features

🛠 Multi-Factor Valuation Model
Sentival aggregates nine different indicators, normalizing and rescaling them into a standardized z-score-based valuation system. The final output represents an average of the selected indicators, allowing for flexible customization based on the user’s preference.

📊 Customizable Indicator Selection
Users can enable or disable any of the nine valuation factors, ensuring the system adapts to different market environments, trading styles, and assets.

🔄 Multi-Timeframe Adaptability
Sentival can be used across different time horizons, making it suitable for short-term mean reversion, medium-term traders, or long-term valuation analysis by simply adjusting the timeframe and indicator settings. This flexibility allows traders to adapt Sentival to various market conditions and trading objectives.

🎨 Intuitive Dashboard & Color Coding
- Dynamic Heatmap & Dashboard: Displays valuation strength across multiple factors.
- Gradient-Based Overbought/Oversold Signals: Clear color-coded signals for easy interpretation.
- Background Highlighting: Optional oversold/overbought background zones.

🏆 Statistical & Risk-Based Insights
- Standardized Rescaling & Z-Score Analysis to prevent bias from individual indicators.
- Risk-Adjusted Metrics such as Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega Ratios help assess the overall market risk appetite.
- Trend Following Mode (TF Display): Users can enable the "Trend Following" option to display the trend direction, helping to align valuation signals with the broader market trend.

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2. How It Works

Sentival is a multi-factor trend and momentum analysis system, designed to track market cycle shifts using a combination of volatility, momentum, risk assessment, and valuation mechanisms. Instead of focusing on one dimension of the market, Sentival integrates multiple methodologies to cross-validate signals and reduce noise. Each indicator in Sentival plays a specific role, ensuring confirmation across different market conditions.

How Each Component Works Together

1️⃣ Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)
• A momentum-based measure that determines whether price action is dominated by upward or downward forces.
• Works well in combination with volatility measures to confirm whether a move is sustainable.
2️⃣ Disparity Index
• Measures the distance between price and its moving average, acting as an overextension filter.
• Ensures that trend-following signals are not driven by short-term spikes but sustained trends.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands % (BB%)
• A volatility measure that indicates how far price is from the statistical mean.
• Helps identify trend exhaustion points where price moves become unstable.
4️⃣ Relative Strength Index (RSI)
• A trend confirmation layer, ensuring that momentum strength aligns with price movement.
• Adds an additional check to prevent false breakouts.
5️⃣ Rate of Change (RoC)
• Captures the speed of price movement, ensuring that the market has enough momentum for trend continuation.
• Works well with risk indicators to filter weaker moves.
6️⃣ Price Z-Score
• A statistical tool to measure how far price is from its long-term equilibrium.
• Helps prevent entering overstretched trends too late.
7️⃣ Risk Ratios (Sharpe, Sortino, Omega)
• This is the risk-adjusted performance component, ensuring that trends have a healthy risk-reward balance.
• Helps determine when a trend has structurally strong backing rather than speculative movement.
8️⃣ Hurst Cycle Analysis
• Measures the persistence of trends by analyzing price fractals.
• Ensures that the market regime is either trending or mean-reverting, improving trade confidence.
9️⃣ Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
• Helps identify strong trend conditions, adding another layer of momentum confirmation.
• Works well with other oscillators to prevent misreading counter-trends.

🔗 Why These Components Work Well Together

• Momentum + Volatility + Risk → Instead of relying on a single category, Sentival merges multiple dimensions of market behavior into a cohesive signal.
• Filters Out False Signals → Combining momentum oscillators, volatility measures, and risk-adjusted metrics ensures high-confidence entries.
• Adaptability Across Market Regimes → Whether the market is trending, consolidating, or volatile, the system adjusts dynamically.
• Cross-Validation for Trend Strength → If multiple components align, it increases certainty that a trend is real and sustainable.

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3. Sentival Scanner - table breakdown

The dashboard-style table generated is designed to give traders a holistic market view at a glance. It processes a variety of technical signals and distills them into readable labels, visual strength bars, and actionable trend states. Here's a breakdown of what each section means:

1. Direction
This section analyzes whether the average Z-score (a composite of several indicators) is increasing, decreasing, or neutral over time. It does this using a smoothed trend of the Z-score, comparing recent values to older ones.

2. Momentum
Momentum is derived from the rate of change (RoC) of the average Z-score. It evaluates how strong the current move is. If momentum is above a certain positive threshold, it’s considered positive, if below a negative threshold, it’s negative, otherwise it’s neutral.

3. Impulse
Impulse reflects the velocity of momentum — in other words, is the market speeding up or slowing down? High positive values suggest strong acceleration (strong impulse), while negative values show deceleration or stalling.

4. Drive
This metric combines momentum and velocity to create a descriptive phrase that captures the market’s behavior. For example:
• “Strong Upside” means strong momentum with acceleration.
• “Fading Downside” means bearish momentum losing steam.
• “Neutral” appears when momentum is indecisive.

5. Deviation Distance
This represents how far the market price is from fair value in terms of standard deviation units (σ). It’s calculated using Z-scores and classified as:
• +1σ, +2σ, etc., for overvalued regions.
• −1σ, −2σ, etc., for undervalued areas.
• “At Fair Value” if close to the mean.

6. Bull and Bear Strength Bars
The system computes both bullish and bearish strength, using distance from fair value, the rate of change, and the velocity. These strengths are displayed as progress bars, giving a quick visual cue of conviction. The table labels them as:
• “Bull Conviction” if there's a long bias.
• “Bull Potential” if bullish but undecided.
• “Bear Conviction” or “Bear Potential” for short-side equivalents.

7. Trend Signal
This is a simple label that tells you if the scanner recommends a Long, Short, or Cash (neutral) stance based on threshold logic. It is based on whether the average Z-score crosses above a long threshold or below a short one.

8. Stage
The “Stage” label summarizes the valuation environment based on the composite Z-score:
• Strong Undervalued
• Moderately Undervalued
• Fair Value
• Overvalued, etc.
This stage helps traders know whether they are operating in cheap or expensive territory statistically.

Summary
Overall, this table merges advanced technical signals like momentum, volatility, valuation, and risk into a digestible format that updates dynamically with each bar. The goal is to provide traders with a 360° perspective on market conditions, tailored for both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.

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4. Sentival Valuation Score & Interpretation

🔹 Sentival Score Ranges
- 📉 Strongly Oversold (-2 and below) → Market is extremely undervalued; potential reversal.
- 📉 Moderately Oversold (-1.5 to -2) → Discounted market conditions, buying interest may emerge.
- 📉 Slightly Oversold (-0.5 to -1.5) → Possible accumulation phase.
- ⚖ Fair Value (-0.5 to +0.5) → Market trading at equilibrium.
- 📈 Slightly Overbought (+0.5 to +1.5) → Initial signs of market strength.
- 📈 Moderately Overbought (+1.5 to +2) → Market heating up, caution warranted, selling interest may emerge.
- 📈 Strongly Overbought (+2 and above) → Extreme valuation, increased risk of correction.

This classification helps traders gauge overall market sentiment and make better allocation decisions.

Note: Past valuations and buy/sell signals generated by Sentival do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change, and proper risk management should always be applied.

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5. Use Cases & Applications

🔹 📊 Market Rotation & Asset Allocation
- Used as a valuation model to determine if a market or asset is undervalued or overvalued.
- Rotational strategies can benefit from the valuation score by switching exposure between assets.

🔹 📈 Medium-Term Trend Identification
- Detects overbought and oversold conditions while filtering out short-term noise.
- Can be combined with other trend-following indicators for confluence-based strategies.

🔹 🔄 Mean Reversion & Momentum Trading
- Provides statistical validation for momentum breakouts or mean reversion signals.
- Useful for long-short trading strategies, determining optimal entry & exit points.

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Conclusion
Sentival is a powerful universal valuation system for traders and investors seeking a data-driven, multi-factor approach to market valuation. With its combination of momentum, trend, risk-adjusted, and mean-reversion indicators, it provides a robust, adaptable, and statistically sound framework for making informed market decisions.

🔹 Who Should Use Sentival?
✅ Swing Traders & Medium-Term Investors looking for structured valuation metrics.
✅ Quantitative & Systematic Traders incorporating multi-factor models.
✅ Portfolio Managers optimizing exposure to different market regimes.

🔹 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy can guarantee success in financial markets.
🔹 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.