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Hodrick-Prescott Filter (YavuzAkbay)

The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter Trend indicator offers a condensed version of the traditional HP filter, which is frequently employed in time series analysis related to the economy and finance. To assist traders and analysts in determining the underlying long-term trend of an asset, this indicator smoothes the price series in order to extract a trend component.

How It Operates: A time series is divided into its trend and cycle using the HP filter. By eliminating short-term noise and emphasising the market's direction with a smoother line, this approach concentrates solely on the trend component. The trend's degree of adherence to price data can be adjusted by varying the smoothness parameter (lambda); a smoother line is produced by higher values.

Examples of Use:

  • Trend Identification: By separating the long-term trend and making it simpler to disregard short-term noise, the HP Filter Trend helps identify the dominant market direction.
  • Trading Signal Confirmation: To keep traders in line with the general trend, the HP trend line can be used to validate other trend-following signals.


Important Notes:

  1. The choice of lambda is essential. Recommended lambda levels are 100, 1600 and 14,400.
  2. This indicator will be much more useful if it is used together with another indicator of mine, HP Filter Cycle Component.


Trading is risky, and most traders lose money. The indicators Yavuz Akbay offers are for informational and educational purposes only. All content should be considered hypothetical, selected after the facts to demonstrate my product, and not constructed as financial advice. Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade in securities, commodities, and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This indicator is experimental and will always remain experimental. The indicator will be updated by Yavuz Akbay according to market conditions.
analysisCycleseconomiceconomicshodrickprescotthodrickprescottfilterHPhpfilterMoving AveragesTrend Analysistrendlineanalysis

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