Durdens Global M2 Liquidity Tracker

5 gün önce

🧠 Durdens Global M2 Liquidity Tracker | Bitcoin vs Liquidity, Visualized

If you’re not watching global liquidity, you’re not really trading macro.

This indicator tracks FX-adjusted M2 money supply across 20+ countries, aggregated into a single global liquidity signal. It can then be used to overlay against Bitcoin for timing macro shifts with precision.

🔍 Core Features:

• 🌐 USD-adjusted M2 from the US, China, Eurozone, UK, Japan, and more
  
• 📊 Normalization modes: None (raw), Index (Based to 100), Z-Score
  
• ⏳ Offset input to shift liquidity data forward — aligns with Bitcoin's delayed reaction (84–107 days common)
  
• 🧠 BTC correlation matrix: 30D, 90D, 365D correlation values
  
• 🧪 Top 3 M2 delta signals: Tracks 90-day % change for US, China, EU
  
• 🧮 Fibonacci SMAs: 13 / 34 / 89 for structural macro context
  
• 🟢🔴 Liquidity regime engine: EMA 89 defines "Risk-On" vs "Risk-Off" states
  

🧩 How It Works:

Each country’s M2 is multiplied by its FX rate (to USD) and summed into a single global M2 line. This ensures comparability across nations. The user can choose to:

• Normalize the output (raw, indexed, or z-scored)
  
• Shift the global M2 forward in time (offset), simulating the lag effect liquidity has on Bitcoin
  
• Visualize macro risk conditions using EMA 89 as a liquidity regime filter
  
• Analyze BTC correlation across 3 windows and track key regions’ M2 delta
  

❓ FAQ:

Why does this matter?
M2 is the monetary fuel behind asset bubbles. When liquidity rises, Bitcoin follows; with a delay. This tracker helps you front-run macro flows before they hit the chart.

Why use Index or Z-Score modes?
Raw values skew long-term visual analysis. Index mode rebases data for comparative trend tracking. Z-Score shows when liquidity is overheated or suppressed (mean reversion).

What does the offset input do?
Liquidity doesn’t hit Bitcoin instantly. Many traders use an 84–107 day forward shift to align M2 changes with BTC price action. The offset helps you visualize this.

Why track top 3 M2 regions?
US, China, and Eurozone are the heavyweights in global liquidity. Tracking their offset-day % change gives immediate insight into capital expansion or contraction.

Can I use this to trade?
Absolutely; but it’s best used as a macro filter. Combine with price structure, funding, or on-chain data to optimize timing and conviction.

⚡ Use Cases:

• Spot early pivots in liquidity regimes (Risk-Off to Risk-On)
  
• Quantify macro backdrop for Bitcoin or altcoin cycles
  
• Understand when the Fed or PBOC are tightening or easing
  
• Ditch the hopium. Trade with context.
  

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Built by: DurdensBitcoinLedger
Follow for updates — future upgrades include:
• Regional toggles
• Custom M2 baskets
• Alert conditions
• Continued revisions & updates

Stay liquid, not wrecked.

14 saat önce

Sürüm Notları

🔔 New Feature: Liquidity Regime Shift Alerts

You can now setup alerts for this indicator whenever the Global M2 Liquidity Regime flips between:

🟢 Risk-On (M2 expanding above EMA-89)
🔴 Risk-Off (M2 contracting below EMA-89)

Alerts should trigger on confirmed candle close, helping you stay ahead of macro liquidity pivots in real-time.

Side Note: If you ever receive "resolution errors" when loading this indicator, please ensure that you are loading it on a Daily timeframe or higher. Due to how M2 is calcaulated the Daily is the minimum timeframe applicable.