If World economy was good, ECB wouldn't think about putting into the market a European QE, nor would it plan any ABS or LTRO.
ECB wouldn't lower the interest rate that low, even on the negative side in order to push the banks to give loans which bank do not give. They do prefer to earn money from the market through options, warrants, turbo calls etc.
Unemployment statistics are not good in Europe and nor convincing in the US. No proper growth perspective that would create a certain stimulus for job creation. Despite this, the volatility index is very low, too low as the indicators show clearly, and above all, the indexes are really too high. Therefore, this overconfidence is just virtual with no ground, no reality. Long would be the only appears to be the safe side of the market.
ECB wouldn't lower the interest rate that low, even on the negative side in order to push the banks to give loans which bank do not give. They do prefer to earn money from the market through options, warrants, turbo calls etc.
Unemployment statistics are not good in Europe and nor convincing in the US. No proper growth perspective that would create a certain stimulus for job creation. Despite this, the volatility index is very low, too low as the indicators show clearly, and above all, the indexes are really too high. Therefore, this overconfidence is just virtual with no ground, no reality. Long would be the only appears to be the safe side of the market.
