Index Reversal Range with Volatility Index or VIXWhat is the Indicator?
• The indicator is a visualization of maximum price in which the respective index can go up to in comparison with it's Volatility Index or VIX.
Who to use?
• Intraday
• Swing
• Position
• Long term Investors
• Futures
• Options
• Portfolio Managers
• Mutual Fund Managers
• Index Traders
• Volatility based Traders
• Long term Investors and Options Traders gets the maximum benefit
What timeframe to use?
• 1 Year: Position & Investors
• 6 Months: Position & Investors
• 3 Months: Swing & Position
• 1 Month: Swing & Position
• 1 Week: Swing
• 1 Day: Swing
• 1 Hour: Intraday & Swing
What are Upper and Lower lines?
• Upper Line: If the index price reach closer to the Upper line there is a high chance of reversal to Bearish trend.
• Lower Line: If the index price reach closer to the Lower line there is a high chance of reversal to Bullish trend.
• This need to be confirmed with multiple levels like Daily, Weekly, Monthly etc.
How to use?
• If the price reach closer to that level there is a high chance of reversal from the current trend.
• To identify the reversal zone of the index.
• To identify the trend.
• Option Traders can Sell a Call or Put Option from that level.
• Long term Investors, Position or Swing traders can plan for a Long entry.
• Intraday traders can use lower timeframes to do the same.
Indicator Menu
• Input VIX: Identify the VIX Symbol of your Index and type it in the box.
• For example for NIFTY Index chart type INDIAVIX in the box.
• Choose multiple timeframes according to your convenience.
How to turn on indicator Name and Value labels?
• Right side of the screen >
• Right click on the Price scale >
• Labels > Indicators and financial name labels, Indicators and financial value labels
Further Reading:
• Various videos and reading materials are available about this method.
Volatilty
Ultimate Volatility Indicator [CC]The Ultimate Volatility Indicator was created by Richard Poster (Stocks and Commodities July 2021 pg 21) and this is a very simple but effective indicator. The idea behind volatility indicators is that when the indicator rises above a certain threshold then volatility is high enough and you can make a good amount of money riding the trend in the current direction and then exit when volatility drops below the threshold or until the underlying trend changes.
I have included a threshold that you can change from the default but I would recommend trying out different values to see what works best for you. This indicator will let you know as soon as volatility increases and reacts very quickly. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so darker colors are strong buy and sell signals and lighter colors are normal signals. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Please let me know if you would like to see me publish any other indicators!
Implied volatility indicator - Bouhmidi-Bands Volatility trading with the Bouhmidi-Bands
Most known indicators such as Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channel focus only on historical volatility. Bouhmidi bands follow a different approach, namely an indicator based on implied volatility.
Style tags: Implied Volatility, Volatility Trading, Trend Analysis
Asset class: Equities, Futures, Commodities
Dataset: Minutes / Hours
Description
The most famous volatility indicators such as Bollinger Bands , Keltner Channel , Donchian Channels , etc. all use the historical volatility of the underlying asset. However, volatility is determined not only by historical volatility but also by implied volatility. The additional analysis of implied volatility sharpens the view and improves trading.
The Bouhmidi Bands ® were developed by myself and are based on implied volatility. They calculate an expected daily bandwidth under the assumption of normally distributed returns. The bandwidth is based on 1σ or 2σ. This means that an underlying closes with a probability of 68% or 95% within the expected Bouhmidi bandwidth at the end of the day. Check the historical development. The track record over the past 20 years shows a strong robustness of the indicator.
Benefits using Bouhmidi bands
- The Bouhmidi bands can be used to identify and filter "invisible" resistance and support that cannot be detected with simple chart analysis.
- The Bouhmidi bands can be used for different trading approaches. For example, they are suitable for mean reversion and volatility breakouts.
- If you combine the Bouhmidi bands with e.g. Keltner channel or Bollinger bands, you have the historical and implied volatility in one view in your tradingview chart.
Which underlyings can I trade with the Bouhmidi bands?
To determine the Bouhmidi bands, we need the underlying and the corresponding implied volatility index:
- S&P 500 - VIX
- DAX - VDAX-NEW
- Dow Jones - VXD
- Nasdaq 100 - VXN
- Gold - GVZ
- WTI - OVX
- Apple - VXAPL
- Amazon - VXAZN
- Google - VXGOG
- IBM - VXIBM
NandyVolShiftHow a difference between standard deviation and ATR suggests a change in the volatility regime. Trends and congestions can be picked up
Cracking Cryptocurrency - Quadrigo Position SizingCracking Cryptocurrency - Quadrigo Position Sizing
This indicator is designed to work in conjunction with our position sizing calculations pursuant to the Quadrigo Indicator.
This indicator will allow a trader to input their Account Balance and desired Risk % that they have decided, through their statistical analysis, provides them the greatest Return on Equity balanced against minimal draw down.
Once inputted, the Data Window will display the recommended USD Position Size. It will also pull the current price of Bitcoin, so that a recommended BTC Position Size will be calculated as well, making orders very easy to enter on exchanges that deal in BTC values for order value.
This indicator is optimized for the aesthetics of traders using TradingView's mobile app. With a simple glance you can determine your proper position size for any trade. This is helpful because the larger Quadrigo indicator can take up a lot of screen real estate when on mobile version.
Moving Average Adaptive FilterThe Moving Avg Adaptive Filter (MAAF) was authored by Perry Kaufman in the Stocks and Commodities Magazine 03/1998
This is a volatility based indicator so when this indicator goes up, sell in the direction of how that stock is going. In other words go short when it is rising and the stock price is below the ema or go long when it is rising and the stock price is above the ema. Lower volatility means it is trading sideways or the current price action is about to reverse.
Send me a message and let me know what other indicators you would like to see!
XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2
Long-Term Trailing-Stop strategy detecting S&P500 Stock Market Crashes/Corrections and showing Volatility as warning signal for upcoming crashes
Detecting or avoiding stock market crashes seems to be the 'Holy Grail' of strategies.
Since none of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy, the purpose was to detect a stock market crash on the S&P500 and step out in time to minimize losses and beat the Buy&Hold strategy. So beat the Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades. 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
With the default parameters the strategy generates 10262% profit (starting at 01/01/1962 until release date), with 10 closed trades, 100% profitable, while the Buy&Hold strategy only generates 3633% profit, so this strategy beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 2.82 times !
Also the strategy detects all major S&P500 stock market crashes and corrections since 1962 depending on the Trailing Stop Smoothness parameter, and steps out in time to cut losses and steps in again after the bottom has been reached. The 5 major crashes/corrections of 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008 and 2010 were successfully detected with the default parameters.
The script was first released on November 03 2019 and detected the Corona Crash on March 04 2020 with a Volatility crash-alert and a Sell crash-alert.
I have also created an Alerter Study Script based on the engine of this script, which generates Buy, Sell and Volatility signals.
If you are interested in this Alerter version script, please drop me a mail.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
the Close value is shown in light-green. When the Close value is temporarily lower than the Buy value, the Close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the current trade.
the Trailing Stop value is shown in dark-green. When the Sell value is lower than the Buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both Buy and Sell signals are shown as colored graphs
the Buy signals are labeled in blue and the Sell signals are labeled in purple
the Volatility is shown below in green and red. The Alert Threshold (red) is default set to 2 (see Volatility Threshold parameter below)
How to use this Strategy?
Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and add this script to the graph.
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters), then keep using these parameters for future Buy/Sell signals on the S&P500.
More trades don't necessarily generate more overall profit. It is important to detect only the major crashes and avoid closing trades on the smaller corrections. Bearing the smaller corrections generates a higher profit.
Watch out for the Volatility Alerts generated at the bottom (red). The Threshold can by changed by the Volatility Threshold parameter (default=2% ATR). In almost all crashes/corrections there is an alert ahead of the crash.
Although the signal doesn't predict the exact timing of the crash/correction, it is a clear warning signal that bearish times are ahead!
The correction in December 2018 was not a major crash but there was already a red Volatility warning alert. If the Volatility Alert repeats the next weeks/months, chances are higher that a bigger crash or correction is near. As can be seen in the graphic, the deeper the crash is, the higher and wider the red Volatility signal goes. So keep an eye on the red flag!
Here are the parameters:
Fast MA Buy: buy trigger when Fast MA Buy crosses over the Slow MA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow MA Buy: buy trigger when Fast MA Buy crosses over the Slow MA Buy value (use values between 21-50)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast MA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 10-100)
Fast MA Sell: sell trigger when Fast MA Sell crosses under the Slow MA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow MA Sell: sell trigger when Fast MA Sell crosses under the Slow MA Sell value (use values between 21-50)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast MA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 10-100)
Trailing Stop ATR: trailing stop % distance from the smoothed Close value (use values between 2-20)
Trailing Stop Smoothness: MA value for smoothing out the Trailing Stop close value
Buy On Start Date: force Buy on start date even without Buy signal (default: true)
Sell On End Date: force Sell on end date even without Sell signal (default: true)
Volatility EMA Period: MA value of the Volatility value (default 15)
Volatility Threshold: Threshold value to change volatility graph to red (default 2)
Volatility Graph Scaler: Scaling of the volatility graph (default 5)
Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Improved Multi-Timeframe (MTF) TRL - plots same as live dataThese multi-timeframe True Range Levels use an improved calculation to accurately calculate the indicator's value with every new bar on the time frame your chart is set to. Previously the indicator only recalculated with every new update on the timeframe used in its security function. This means that this improved script plots the real, current value of your indicator across your chosen timeframes on your chart's resolution and no longer only plots only the indicator's monthly/weekly/daily/4 hour/ect closing value on the your chart.
This indicator was previously published as "True Range Bands" and uses a similar calculation the "SuperTrend" and "Volatility Stop" indicators.
Input values are fixed to their default (close,14,3) configuration to make this indicator's improved calculation possible.
When using "Plot Higher Timeframe?" the script will set the indicator to only plot its value in closest larger timeframe. This option overrides the two following options. For example, when using the daily resolution , only the weekly value will plot, or when using the one hour (60m) resolution, only the 4 hour (240m) value will plot.
The "Omit Higher Timeframes?" option will set the indicator to only plot starting from the 1/2/3/4/5/6/7th closest larger timeframe. For example, when using the daily resolution and this option set to 0, all values from the weekly resolution and up will plot, but if set to 1, all values from the monthly resolution and up will plot instead.
The "Plot Yearly/Quarterly/Monthly/Weekly/Daily/4 Hour/1 Hour/15 Minute/5 Minute?" options allow enabling/disabling a specific timeframe. All are enabled by default. For example, if you do not want the yearly value of the indicator to ever plot, you can disable the "Plot Yearly?" option.
