Risk Distribution HistogramStatistical risk visualization and analysis tool for any ticker 📊
The Risk Distribution Histogram visualizes the statistical distribution of different risk metrics for any financial instrument. It converts risk data into histograms with quartile-based color coding, so that traders can understand their risk, tail-risks, exposure patterns and make data-driven decisions based on empirical evidence rather than assumptions.
The indicator supports multiple risk calculation methods, each designed for different aspects of market analysis, from general volatility assessment to tail risk analysis.
Risk Measurement Methods
Standard Deviation
Captures raw daily price volatility by measuring the dispersion of price movements. Ideal for understanding overall market conditions and timing volatility-based strategies.
Use case: Options trading and volatility analysis.
Average True Range (ATR)
Measures true range as a percentage of price, accounting for gaps and limit moves. Valuable for position sizing across different price levels.
Use case: Position sizing and stop-loss placement.
The chart above illustrates how ATR statistical distribution can be used by looking at the ATR % of price distribution. For example, 90% of the movements are below 5%.
Downside Deviation
Only considers negative price movements, making it ideal for checking downside risk and capital protection rather than capturing upside volatility.
Use case: Downside protection strategies and stop losses.
Drawdown Analysis
Tracks peak-to-trough declines, providing insight into maximum loss potential during different market conditions.
Use case: Risk management and capital preservation.
The chart above illustrates tale risk for the asset (TQQQ), showing that it is possible to have drawdowns higher than 20%.
Entropy-Based Risk (EVaR)
Uses information theory to quantify market uncertainty. Higher entropy values indicate more unpredictable price action, valuable for detecting regime changes.
Use case: Advanced risk modeling and tail-risk.
VIX Histogram
Incorporates the market's fear index directly into analysis, showing how current volatility expectations compare to historical patterns. The CAPITALCOM:VIX histogram is independent from the ticker on the chart.
Use case: Volatility trading and market timing.
Visual Features
The histogram uses quartile-based color coding that immediately shows where current risk levels stand relative to historical patterns:
Green (Q1): Low Risk (0-25th percentile)
Yellow (Q2): Medium-Low Risk (25-50th percentile)
Orange (Q3): Medium-High Risk (50-75th percentile)
Red (Q4): High Risk (75-100th percentile)
The data table provides detailed statistics, including:
Count Distribution: Historical observations in each bin
PMF: Percentage probability for each risk level
CDF: Cumulative probability up to each level
Current Risk Marker: Shows your current position in the distribution
Trading Applications
When current risk falls into upper quartiles (Q3 or Q4), it signals conditions are riskier than 50-75% of historical observations. This guides position sizing and portfolio adjustments.
Key applications:
Position sizing based on empirical risk distributions
Monitoring risk regime changes over time
Comparing risk patterns across timeframes
Risk distribution analysis improves trade timing by identifying when market conditions favor specific strategies.
Enter positions during low-risk periods (Q1)
Reduce exposure in high-risk periods (Q4)
Use percentile rankings for dynamic stop-loss placement
Time volatility strategies using distribution patterns
Detect regime shifts through distribution changes
Compare current conditions to historical benchmarks
Identify outlier events in tail regions
Validate quantitative models with empirical data
Configuration Options
Data Collection
Lookback Period: Control amount of historical data analyzed
Date Range Filtering: Focus on specific market periods
Sample Size Validation: Automatic reliability warnings
Histogram Customization
Bin Count: 10-50 bins for different detail levels
Auto/Manual Bin Width: Optimize for your data range
Visual Preferences: Custom colors and font sizes
Implementation Guide
Start with Standard Deviation on daily charts for the most intuitive introduction to distribution-based risk analysis.
Method Selection: Begin with Standard Deviation
Setup: Use daily charts with 20-30 bins
Interpretation: Focus on quartile transitions as signals
Monitoring: Track distribution changes for regime detection
The tool provides comprehensive statistics including mean, standard deviation, quartiles, and current position metrics like Z-score and percentile ranking.
Enjoy, and please let me know your feedback! 😊🥂
VIX CBOE Volatility Index
VIX-Price Covariance MonitorThe VIX-Price Covariance Monitor is a statistical tool that measures the evolving relationship between a security's price and volatility indices such as the VIX (or VVIX).
It can give indication of potential market reversal, as typically, volatility and the VIX increase before markets turn red,
This indicator calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient using the formula:
ρ(X,Y) = cov(X,Y) / (σₓ × σᵧ)
Where:
ρ is the correlation coefficient
cov(X,Y) is the covariance between price and the volatility index
σₓ and σᵧ are the standard deviations of price and the volatility index
Enjoy!
Features
Dual Correlation Periods: Analyze both short-term and long-term correlation trends simultaneously
Adaptive Color Coding: Correlation strength is visually represented through color intensity
Market Condition Assessment: Automatic interpretation of correlation values into actionable market insights
Leading/Lagging Analysis: Optional time-shift analysis to detect predictive relationships
Detailed Information Panel: Real-time statistics including current correlation values, historical averages, and trading implications
Interpretation
Positive Correlation (Red): Typically bearish for price, as rising VIX correlates with falling markets. This is what traders should be looking for.
Negative Correlation (Green): Typically bullish for price, as falling VIX correlates with rising markets
How to use it
Apply the indicator to any chart to see its correlation with the default VIX index
Adjust the correlation length to match your trading timeframe (shorter for day trading, longer for swing trading)
Enable the secondary correlation period to compare different timeframes simultaneously
For advanced analysis, enable the Leading/Lagging feature to detect if VIX changes precede or follow price movements
Use the information panel to quickly assess the current market condition and potential trading implications
TrendBoxThis indicator is called "TrendBox," designed to help traders analyze daily price ranges using several technical indicators. Below is a breakdown of its functionality, purpose, and key components:
Purpose
The script overlays indicators on a chart to assess whether the price is above or below key levels and moving in a trend.
VIX-based expected range (index fund targeted)
- This helps calculate the expected dealers range based on VIX implications. You can expect to see ranges be bought on and sold on. Moving outside this range creates heightened volatility and most of the time a gamma squeeze follows.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
- This allows you to understand the mid point or average pricing of the daily session. If you're paying a premium or getting a discount on the daily session.
Daily Market Open
- Identifying the market open price is a key level on a daily session and allows you to identify some level of intraday trend.
Daily 4-period VWMA
- This is a crucial role of our indicator and showing short term time frame bias. Seeing price move over the top of our daily 4 level establishes a short term trend and can be used as a distribution guide, closing positions when we see longer time frame candles close under it. Vice versa for shorting.
It also displays a status box (optional) summarizing whether the price is above or below these levels, helping traders quickly evaluate market conditions.
Williams VIX For Bottoms [DCD]Williams VIX Original - Authentic Volatility Fear Gauge
What This Indicator Does
The Williams VIX Fix measures market fear by calculating how far current lows deviate from recent highs, identifying potential market bottoms during high volatility periods. This implementation provides Larry Williams' original formula in its purest form.
How It Works
Core Formula:
VIX Fix = ((Highest High over 22 periods - Current Low) / Highest High over 22 periods) × 100
The calculation process:
Measures Relative Distance: Compares current low to highest high over lookback period
Converts to Percentage: Normalizes values for cross-market comparison
Applies Statistical Analysis: Uses Bollinger Bands (2 std dev) around VIX Fix values
Filters with Percentiles: 85th percentile threshold removes noise
Signal Generation
Green Flash Signals trigger when either condition is met:
VIX Fix exceeds upper Bollinger Band (2 standard deviations above 20-period MA)
VIX Fix exceeds Range High (85th percentile of recent values)
This dual-condition approach reduces false signals while capturing genuine volatility spikes.
What Makes This Original
Pure Formula Implementation: Uses Williams' exact original calculation without modifications
Dual Confirmation System: Combines Bollinger Bands with percentile analysis
Professional Visualization: Histogram display, background highlighting, and live value table
Comprehensive Alerts: Signal start/end notifications plus Green Flash alerts
How to Use
Primary Purpose: Spot high-probability reversal zones during market fear climaxes
Signal Interpretation:
Green triangle + background highlight = High volatility reversal zone
Higher VIX Fix values = Stronger fear/better reversal potential
Use with price action confirmation for best results
Optimal Settings:
Timeframes: 4H, Daily, Weekly
Markets: All (stocks, crypto, forex, commodities)
Combine with support levels and candlestick patterns
Key Parameters:
VIX Fix Length (22): Lookback period for highest high
Std Dev Multiplier (2.0): Bollinger Band sensitivity
Percentile High (0.85): Only top 15% of readings trigger signals
The VIX Fix excels at identifying market fear climaxes that coincide with significant price bottoms, making it valuable for swing traders seeking high-probability entries during market stress.
Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer [TradeDots]The Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer is a specialized tool designed to help traders assess market conditions through a detailed examination of historical volatility, market benchmarks, and percentile-based thresholds. By integrating multiple volatility metrics (including VIX and VIX9D) with color-coded regime detection, the script provides users with clear, actionable insights for selecting appropriate options strategies.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Historical Volatility & Percentile Calculations
Annualized Historical Volatility (HV): The script automatically computes the asset’s historical volatility using log returns over a user-defined period. It then annualizes these values based on the chart’s timeframe, helping you understand the asset’s typical volatility profile.
Dynamic Percentile Ranks: To gauge where the current volatility level stands relative to past behavior, historical volatility values are compared against short, medium, and long lookback periods. Tracking these percentile ranks allows you to quickly see if volatility is high or low compared to historical norms.
2. Multi-Market Benchmark Comparison
VIX and VIX9D Integration: The script tracks market volatility through the VIX and VIX9D indices, comparing them to the asset’s historical volatility. This reveals whether the asset’s volatility is outpacing, lagging, or remaining in sync with broader market volatility conditions.
Market Context Analysis: A built-in term-structure check can detect market stress or relative calm by measuring how VIX compares to shorter-dated volatility (VIX9D). This helps you decide if the present environment is risk-prone or relatively stable.
3. Volatility Regime Detection
Color-Coded Background: The analyzer assigns a volatility regime (e.g., “High Asset Vol,” “Low Asset Vol,” “Outpacing Market,” etc.) based on current historical volatility percentile levels and asset vs. market ratios. A color-coded background highlights the regime, enabling traders to quickly interpret the market’s mood.
Alerts on Regime Changes & Spikes: Automated alerts warn you about any significant expansions or contractions in volatility, allowing you to react swiftly in changing conditions.
4. Strategy Forecast Table
Real-Time Strategy Suggestions: At the close of each bar, an on-chart table generates suggested options strategies (e.g., selling premium in high volatility or buying premium in low volatility). These suggestions provide a quick summary of potential tactics suited to the current regime.
Contextual Market Data: The table also displays key statistics, such as VIX levels, asset historical volatility percentile, or ratio comparisons, helping you confirm whether volatility conditions warrant more conservative or more aggressive strategies.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: The script supports multiple timeframes. For short-term trading, intraday charts often reveal faster shifts in volatility. For swing or position trading, daily or weekly charts may be more stable and produce fewer false signals.
2. Check the Volatility Regime: Observe the background color and on-chart labels to identify the current regime (e.g., “HIGH ASSET VOL,” “LOW VOL + LAGGING,” etc.).
3. Review the Forecast Table: The table suggests strategy ideas (e.g., iron condors, long straddles, ratio spreads) depending on whether volatility is elevated, subdued, or spiking. Use these as a starting point for designing trades that match your risk tolerance.
4. Combine with Additional Analysis: For optimal results, confirm signals with your broader trading plan, technical tools (moving averages, price action), and fundamental research. This script is most effective when viewed as one component in a comprehensive decision-making process.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Directional Neutrality: This indicator analyzes volatility environments but does not predict price direction (up/down). Traders must combine with directional analysis for complete strategy selection.
Late or Missed Signals: Since all calculations require a bar to close, sharp intrabar volatility moves may not appear in real-time.
False Positives in Choppy Markets: Rapid changes in percentile ranks or VIX movements can generate conflicting or premature regime shifts.
Data Sensitivity: Accuracy depends on the availability and stability of volatility data. Significant gaps or unusual market conditions may skew results.
Market Correlation Assumptions: The system assumes assets generally correlate with S&P 500 volatility patterns. May be less effective for:
Small-cap stocks with unique volatility drivers
International stocks with different market dynamics
Sector-specific events disconnected from broad market
Cryptocurrency-related assets with independent volatility patterns
RISK DISCLAIMER
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Options strategies can result in significant losses, including the total loss of premium paid. The complexity of options strategies requires thorough understanding of the risks involved.
This indicator provides volatility analysis for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and volatility regimes may shift without warning.
No trading system can guarantee profits, and all trading involves the risk of loss. The indicator's regime classifications and strategy suggestions should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes proper risk management, directional analysis, and consideration of broader market conditions.
BBS – Bond Breadth Signal"When bonds scream, breadth collapses, and fear spikes — BBS listens."
🧠 BBS – Bond Breadth Signal
A reversal timing tool built on macro conviction, not price noise.
The Bond Breadth Signal (BBS) was developed to identify major market inflection points by combining four key market stress indicators:
1) 10-Year Yield ROC – Measures sharp moves in the bond market
2) Z-Score of the 10Y – Captures statistical extremes
3) NSHF (Net Highs–Lows) – Signals internal market strength or weakness
4) TLT ROC + VIX – Confirmations of flight to safety and volatility-driven fear
When all conditions align, BBS marks either a For-Sure Buy or For-Sure Sell — these are rare, high-confidence signals designed to cut through noise and focus on true market dislocations.
🔧 Features:
-Background color and signal arrows on confirmation days
-Signals remain visually active for 3 days for added clarity
-Fully adjustable thresholds and alert toggles
-Plot panel for yield, TLT, NSHF, VIX, and Z-score visuals
This tool isn’t designed to fire every day. It’s meant to wait for those moments when the market truly bends — not just wiggles.
Best used on major indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM) to assess macro turning points.
Jesus Vix Spike ComboThis script will:
Show you vix spikes with your 4 different settings.
Draw a white line at the start of each vix.
Draw a dotted green line for 3 spikes in 6 minutes.
Draw a dotted pink line for 3 spikes in 16 minutes.
Draw a green line extending right if it takes out a past low in the last 200 bars plus a spike.
It will also:
Place a white dot on the 5th candle if the price rises past the vix starting point,
a white omega sign on the 6th candle if price rises past the vix starting point,
and a large white dot on the 7th candle past the vix starting point if the price is higher.
It will also:
Show higher time frame EMAs and other emas.
Has some alerts added also.
I have only been using this on the 1 minute chart with $OANDA:SPX500USD.
Ill write about the strategy I use for this soon. But basically you wait for a drop and for some prominent lows to be taken out, then a vix, then your white dot, omega then the large white dot to enter, expect a 100% expansion from the vix low. More aggressive entry's would be the first white dot or 3 green candles in a row. Backtest to see.
Thanks for checking it out. Let me know if it can be better.
The original script is from Xxattaxx and Christ Moody I believe, thank you for sharing all your hard work.
ATR Volatility giua64ATR Volatility giua64 – Smart Signal + VIX Filter
📘 Script Explanation (in English)
Title: ATR Volatility giua64 – Smart Signal + VIX Filter
This script analyzes market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) and compares it to its moving average to determine whether volatility is HIGH, MEDIUM, or LOW.
It includes:
✅ Custom or preset configurations for different asset classes (Forex, Indices, Gold, etc.).
✅ An optional external volatility index input (like the VIX) to refine directional bias.
✅ A directional signal (LONG, SHORT, FLAT) based on ATR strength, direction, and external volatility conditions.
✅ A clean visual table showing key values such as ATR, ATR average, ATR %, VIX level, current range, extended range, and final signal.
This tool is ideal for traders looking to:
Monitor the intensity of price movements
Filter trading strategies based on volatility conditions
Identify momentum acceleration or exhaustion
⚙️ Settings Guide
Here’s a breakdown of the user inputs:
🔹 ATR Settings
Setting Description
ATR Length Number of periods for ATR calculation (default: 14)
ATR Smoothing Type of moving average used (RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA)
ATR Average Length Period for the ATR moving average baseline
🔹 Asset Class Preset
Choose between:
Manual – Define your own point multiplier and thresholds
Forex (Pips) – Auto-set for FX markets (high precision)
Indices (0.1 Points) – For index instruments like DAX or S&P
Gold (USD) – Preset suitable for XAU/USD
If Manual is selected, configure:
Setting Description
Points Multiplier Multiplies raw price ranges into useful units (e.g., 10 for Gold)
Low Volatility Threshold Threshold to define "LOW" volatility
High Volatility Threshold Threshold to define "HIGH" volatility
🔹 Extended Range and VIX
Setting Description
Timeframe for Extended High/Low Used to compare larger price ranges (e.g., Daily or Weekly)
External Volatility Index (VIX) Symbol for a volatility index like "VIX" or "EUVI"
Low VIX Threshold Below this level, VIX is considered "low" (default: 20)
High VIX Threshold Above this level, VIX is considered "high" (default: 30)
🔹 Table Display
Setting Description
Table Position Where the visual table appears on the chart (e.g., bottom_center, top_left)
Show ATR Line on Chart Whether to display the ATR line directly on the chart
✅ Signal Logic Summary
The script determines the final signal based on:
ATR being above or below its average
ATR rising or falling
ATR percentage being significant (>2%)
VIX being high or low
Conditions Signal
ATR rising + high volatility + low VIX LONG
ATR falling + high volatility + high VIX SHORT
ATR flat or low volatility or low %ATR FLAT
Triad Macro Gauge__________________________________________________________________________________
Introduction
__________________________________________________________________________________
The Triad Macro Gauge (TMG) is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment impacting financial markets. By synthesizing three critical market signals— VIX (volatility) , Credit Spreads (credit risk) , and the Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT) —this indicator offers a probabilistic assessment of market sentiment, helping traders identify bullish or bearish macro conditions.
Holistic Macro Analysis: Combines three distinct macroeconomic indicators for multi-dimensional insights.
Customization & Flexibility: Adjust weights, thresholds, lookback periods, and visualization styles.
Visual Clarity: Dynamic table, color-coded plots, and anomaly markers for quick interpretation.
Fully Consistent Scores: Identical values across all timeframes (4H, daily, weekly).
Actionable Signals: Clear bull/bear thresholds and volatility spike detection.
Optimized for timeframes ranging from 4 hour to 1 week , the TMG equips swing traders and long-term investors with a robust tool to navigate macroeconomic trends.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Indicators
__________________________________________________________________________________
VIX (CBOE:VIX): Measures market volatility (negatively weighted for bearish signals).
Credit Spreads (FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2EY): Tracks high-yield bond spreads (negatively weighted).
Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT): Evaluates equity sentiment relative to treasuries (positively weighted).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Originality and Purpose
__________________________________________________________________________________
The TMG stands out by combining VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT into a single, cohesive indicator. Its unique strength lies in its fully consistent scores across all timeframes, a critical feature for multi-timeframe analysis.
Purpose: To empower traders with a clear, actionable tool to:
Assess macro conditions
Spot market extremes
Anticipate reversals
__________________________________________________________________________________
How It Works
__________________________________________________________________________________
VIX Z-Score: Measures volatility deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
Credit Z-Score: Tracks credit spread deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
Ratio Z-Score: Assesses SPY/TLT strength (positively weighted for bullish signals).
TMG Score: Weighted composite of z-scores (bullish > +0.30, bearish < -0.30).
Anomaly Detection: Identifies extreme volatility spikes (z-score > 3.0).
All calculations are performed using daily data, ensuring that scores remain consistent across all chart timeframes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Visualization & Interpretation
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script visualizes data through:
A dynamic table displaying TMG Score , VIX Z, Credit Z, Ratio Z, and Anomaly status, with color gradients (green for positive, red for negative, gray for neutral/N/A).
A plotted TMG Score in Area, Histogram, or Line mode , with adaptive opacity for clarity.
Bull/Bear thresholds as horizontal lines (+0.30/-0.30) to signal market conditions.
Anomaly markers (orange circles) for volatility spikes.
Crossover signals (triangles) for bull/bear threshold crossings.
The table provides an immediate snapshot of macro conditions, while the plot offers a visual trend analysis. All values are consistent across timeframes, simplifying multi-timeframe analysis.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Script Parameters
__________________________________________________________________________________
Extensive customization options:
Symbol Selection: Customize VIX, Credit Spreads, SPY, TLT symbols
Core Parameters: Adjust lookback periods, weights, smoothing
Anomaly Detection: Enable/disable with custom thresholds
Visual Style: Choose display modes and colors
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
The Triad Macro Gauge by Ox_kali is a cutting-edge tool for analyzing macroeconomic trends. By integrating VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT, TMG provides traders with a clear, consistent, and actionable gauge of market sentiment.
Recommended for: Swing traders and long-term investors seeking to navigate macro-driven markets.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Credit & Inspiration
__________________________________________________________________________________
Special thanks to Caleb Franzen for his pioneering work on macroeconomic indicator blends – his research directly inspired the core framework of this tool.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Notes & Disclaimer
__________________________________________________________________________________
This is the initial public release (v2.5.9). Future updates may include additional features based on user feedback.
Please note that the Triad Macro Gauge is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
VIX bottom/top with color scale [Ox_kali]📊 Introduction
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
The “VIX Bottom/Top with Color Scale” script is designed to provide an intuitive, color-coded visualization of the VIX (Volatility Index), helping traders interpret market sentiment and volatility extremes in real time.
It segments the VIX into clear threshold zones, each associated with a specific market condition—ranging from fear to calm—using a dynamic color-coded system.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
Intuitive Risk Interpretation: Color-coded zones make it easy to interpret market sentiment at a glance.
Dynamic Trend Detection: A 200-period SMA of the VIX is plotted and dynamically colored based on trend direction.
Customization and Flexibility: All colors are editable in the parameters panel, grouped under “## Color parameters ##”.
Visual Clarity: Key thresholds are marked with horizontal lines for quick reference.
Practical Trading Tool: Helps identify high-risk and low-risk environments based on volatility levels.
🔍 Key Indicators
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) : Measures market volatility and investor fear.
SMA 200 : Long-term trendline of the VIX, with color-coded direction (green = uptrend, red = downtrend).
Color-coded VIX Levels:
🔴 33+ → Something bad just happened
🟠 23–33 → Something bad is happening
🟡 17–23 → Something bad might happen
🟢 14–17 → Nothing bad is happening
✅ 12–14 → Nothing bad will ever happen
🔵 <12 → Something bad is going to happen
🧠 Originality and Purpose
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Unlike traditional VIX indicators that only plot a line, this script enhances interpretation through visual segmentation and dynamic trend tracking.
It serves as a risk-awareness tool that transforms the VIX into a simple, emotional market map.
This is the first version of the script, and future updates may include alerts, background fills, and more advanced features.
⚙️ How It Works
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
The script maps the current VIX value to a range and applies the corresponding color.
It calculates a SMA 200 and colors it green or red depending on its slope.
It displays horizontal dotted lines at key thresholds (12, 14, 17, 23, 33).
All colors are configurable via input parameters under the group: "## Color parameters ##".
🧭 Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
The VIX line changes color based on market condition zones.
The SMA line shows long-term direction with dynamic color.
Horizontal threshold lines visually mark the transitions between volatility zones.
Ideal for quickly identifying periods of fear, caution, or stability.
🛠️ Script Parameters
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Grouped under “## Color parameters ##”, the following elements are customizable:
🎨 VIX Zone Colors:
33+ → Red
23–33 → Orange
17–23 → Yellow
14–17 → Light Green
12–14 → Dark Green
<12 → Blue
📈 SMA Colors:
Uptrend → Green
Downtrend → Red
These settings allow users to match the script’s visuals to their preferred chart style or theme.
✅ Conclusion
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
The “VIX Bottom/Top with Color Scale” is a clean, powerful script designed to simplify how traders view volatility.
By combining long-term trend data with real-time color-coded sentiment analysis, this script becomes a go-to reference for managing risk, timing trades, or simply staying in tune with market mood.
🧪 Notes
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
This is version 1 of the script. More features such as alert conditions, background fill, and dashboard elements may be added soon. Feedback is welcome!
💡 Color code concept inspired by the original VIX interpretation chart by @nsquaredvalue on Twitter. Big thanks for the visual clarity! 💡
⚠️ Disclaimer
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
This script is a visual tool designed to assist in market analysis. It does not guarantee future performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
VIX Implied MovesKey Features:
Three Timeframe Bands:
Daily: Blue bands showing ±1σ expected move
Weekly: Green bands showing ±1σ expected move
30-Day: Red bands showing ±1σ expected move
Calculation Methodology:
Uses VIX's annualized volatility converted to specific timeframes using square root of time rule
Trading day convention (252 days/year)
Band width = Price × (VIX/100) ÷ √(number of periods)
Visual Features:
Colored semi-transparent backgrounds between bands
Progressive line thickness (thinner for shorter timeframes)
Real-time updates as VIX and ES prices change
Example Calculation (VIX=20, ES=5000):
Daily move = 5000 × (20/100)/√252 ≈ ±63 points
Weekly move = 5000 × (20/100)/√50 ≈ ±141 points
Monthly move = 5000 × (20/100)/√21 ≈ ±218 points
This indicator helps visualize expected price ranges based on current volatility conditions, with wider bands indicating higher market uncertainty. The probabilistic ranges represent 68% confidence levels (1 standard deviation) derived from options pricing.
Dual SuperTrend w VIX Filter - Strategy [presentTrading]Hey everyone! Haven't been here for a long time. Been so busy again in the past 2 months. I recently started working on analyzing the combination of trend strategy and VIX, but didn't get outstanding results after a few tries. Sharing this tool with all of you in case you have better insights.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Dual SuperTrend with VIX Filter Strategy combines traditional trend following with market volatility analysis. Unlike conventional SuperTrend strategies that focus solely on price action, this experimental system incorporates VIX (Volatility Index) as an adaptive filter to create a more context-aware trading approach. By analyzing where current volatility stands relative to historical norms, the strategy adjusts to different market environments rather than applying uniform logic across all conditions.
BTCUSD 6hr Long Short Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Dual SuperTrend Core
The strategy uses two SuperTrend indicators with different sensitivity settings:
- SuperTrend 1: Length = 13, Multiplier = 3.5
- SuperTrend 2: Length = 8, Multiplier = 5.0
The SuperTrend calculation follows this process:
1. ATR = Average of max(High-Low, |High-PreviousClose|, |Low-PreviousClose|) over 'length' periods
2. UpperBand = (High+Low)/2 - (Multiplier * ATR)
3. LowerBand = (High+Low)/2 + (Multiplier * ATR)
Trend direction is determined by:
- If Close > previous LowerBand, Trend = Bullish (1)
- If Close < previous UpperBand, Trend = Bearish (-1)
- Otherwise, Trend = previous Trend
🔶 VIX Analysis Framework
The core innovation lies in the VIX analysis system:
1. Statistical Analysis:
- VIX Mean = SMA(VIX, 252)
- VIX Standard Deviation = StdDev(VIX, 252)
- VIX Z-Score = (Current VIX - VIX Mean) / VIX StdDev
2. **Volatility Bands:
- Upper Band 1 = VIX Mean + (2 * VIX StdDev)
- Upper Band 2 = VIX Mean + (3 * VIX StdDev)
- Lower Band 1 = VIX Mean - (2 * VIX StdDev)
- Lower Band 2 = VIX Mean - (3 * VIX StdDev)
3. Volatility Regimes:
- "Very Low Volatility": VIX < Lower Band 1
- "Low Volatility": Lower Band 1 ≤ VIX < Mean
- "Normal Volatility": Mean ≤ VIX < Upper Band 1
- "High Volatility": Upper Band 1 ≤ VIX < Upper Band 2
- "Extreme Volatility": VIX ≥ Upper Band 2
4. VIX Trend Detection:
- VIX EMA = EMA(VIX, 10)
- VIX Rising = VIX > VIX EMA
- VIX Falling = VIX < VIX EMA
Local performance:
🔶 Entry Logic Integration
The strategy combines trend signals with volatility filtering:
Long Entry Condition:
- Both SuperTrend 1 AND SuperTrend 2 must be bullish (trend = 1)
- AND selected VIX filter condition must be satisfied
Short Entry Condition:
- Both SuperTrend 1 AND SuperTrend 2 must be bearish (trend = -1)
- AND selected VIX filter condition must be satisfied
Available VIX filter rules include:
- "Below Mean + SD": VIX < Lower Band 1
- "Below Mean": VIX < VIX Mean
- "Above Mean": VIX > VIX Mean
- "Above Mean + SD": VIX > Upper Band 1
- "Falling VIX": VIX < VIX EMA
- "Rising VIX": VIX > VIX EMA
- "Any": No VIX filtering
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows testing in three modes:
1. **Long Only:** Test volatility effects on uptrends only
2. **Short Only:** Examine volatility's impact on downtrends only
3. **Both (Default):** Compare how volatility affects both trend directions
This enables comparative analysis of how volatility regimes impact bullish versus bearish markets differently.
█ Usage
Use this strategy as an experimental framework:
1. Form a hypothesis about how volatility affects trend reliability
2. Configure VIX filters to test your specific hypothesis
3. Analyze performance across different volatility regimes
4. Compare results between uptrends and downtrends
5. Refine your volatility filtering approach based on results
6. Share your findings with the trading community
This framework allows you to investigate questions like:
- Are uptrends more reliable during rising or falling volatility?
- Do downtrends perform better when volatility is above or below its historical average?
- Should different volatility filters be applied to long vs. short positions?
█ Default Settings
The default settings serve as a starting point for exploration:
SuperTrend Parameters:
- SuperTrend 1 (Length=13, Multiplier=3.5): More responsive to trend changes
- SuperTrend 2 (Length=8, Multiplier=5.0): More selective filter requiring stronger trends
VIX Analysis Settings:
- Lookback Period = 252: Establishes a full market cycle for volatility context
- Standard Deviation Bands = 2 and 3 SD: Creates statistically significant regime boundaries
- VIX Trend Period = 10: Balances responsiveness with noise reduction
Default VIX Filter Selection:
- Long Entry: "Above Mean" - Tests if uptrends perform better during above-average volatility
- Short Entry: "Rising VIX" - Tests if downtrends accelerate when volatility is increasing
Feel Free to share your insight below!!!
VIX:VIX3M RatioThe VIX/VIX3M Ratio indicator compares the short-term (1-month) volatility index (VIX) to the medium-term (3-month) volatility index (VIX3M). This ratio provides insights into the market's volatility expectations across different time horizons.
Key Interpretations:
Ratio > 1: Short-term volatility expectations are higher than 3-month expectations
Ratio = 1: Short-term and medium-term volatility expectations are aligned
Ratio < 1: Medium-term volatility expectations are higher than short-term expectations
Potential Trading Insights:
A rising ratio may indicate increasing near-term market uncertainty
Significant deviations from 1.0 can signal potential market stress or changing risk perceptions
Traders use this to gauge the term structure of market volatility
VIX Bars [CrossTrade]In simple terms, this indicator colors your chart bars based on the VIX levels. We know that high volatility is unstainable and will naturally regress to a calmer market, therefore highlighting the bars where VIX is at extreme highs can sometimes indicate a market turning point. Consider pairing this indicator with my VIX Heatmap indicator for a complete picture of volatility.
Customizable VIX Levels: You can set your own thresholds for when the bars turn green or red. Green bars pop up when the VIX is above your set upper level (default is 30) - kind of like a heads-up that things might get bumpy. Red bars show up when the VIX dips below your lower threshold (default is 15), signaling calmer waters.
Optional Donchian Channel Filter: The Donchian Channel filter looks at the highest highs and lowest lows over your chosen period (default's 52 days) and only colors the bars if they match the filter's criteria. This adds an extra layer of confirmation that the colored bars at at a major high or low.
Visual Simplicity: The indicator keeps things visually straightforward. No cluttered screen, just colored bars telling you a story about market vibes. Alert come standard to signal those potential bottom or top bars based on the VIX being at your preferred extreme levels.
In essence, "VIX Bars" is like having a volatility radar on your chart. It doesn't make predictions, but it sure gives you a neat, color-coded heads-up on market sentiment. Great for adding an extra dimension to your analysis without getting all tangled up in complex indicators!
VIX-Heatmap [CrossTrade]The "VIX-Heatmap" is a sophisticated and informative indicator designed for traders who want to integrate volatility analysis into their trading strategy, especially focusing on the market's fear gauge, the VIX (Volatility Index). This tool is not just about plotting numbers; it's about visualizing market sentiment in a more intuitive and impactful way.
Key Features and Customization Options:
1. Primary Functionality:
At its core, the VIX-Heatmap tracks the daily closing price of the VIX. It provides a clear, line-based visualization, with the line color set to black for stark contrast and easy visibility.
2. Segmented Volatility Levels:
The indicator allows users to set multiple VIX levels: Danger Zone (super low VIX level), and Levels 1 through 5. These levels are represented as horizontal lines on the chart, offering a structured view of different volatility thresholds.
3. Customizable Thresholds:
Traders can input their preferred values for each level, tailoring the indicator to fit their perception of market risk and volatility. This customization makes the tool versatile for different trading styles and market conditions.
4. Heatmap Visualization:
The chart's background color changes based on the VIX level, creating a "heatmap" effect. This visual representation allows traders to quickly gauge the current market sentiment. The color intensity varies from white (for extremely low VIX values) through various shades of red, increasing in intensity with higher VIX levels. This gradient provides an immediate visual cue of rising or falling market anxiety.
5. Interactive Display:
The indicator includes an interactive table display at the bottom center of the chart that shows the current VIX level in large, bold text, ensuring that it catches the trader's eye.
6. Optional Background Coloring:
Users have the option to enable or disable the heatmap feature. When enabled, the chart's background reflects the VIX level with the corresponding color, enhancing the visual impact of the data.
Applications and Benefits:
The VIX-Heatmap is ideal for traders who base their decisions not only on price movements but also on market sentiment and volatility. Its color-coded heatmap approach simplifies the interpretation of the VIX data, making it accessible even to those who may not be deeply familiar with volatility indices. By offering a quick visual summary of current market fear levels, it aids in making informed decisions, especially in times of market uncertainty.
In summary, the VIX-Heatmap transforms the traditional VIX data into an interactive, visually engaging, and easy-to-interpret format.
MTF Williams Vix Market Bottoms [CryptoSea]MTF Williams Vix Fix Indicator is a dynamic tool tailored for traders looking to capture market extremes with high precision. This multi-timeframe indicator leverages the concept of the Williams Vix Fix to spot potential reversals before they occur.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Provides simultaneous visibility across multiple timeframes, enabling traders to assess market conditions comprehensively from a single chart.
Advanced Volatility Detection: Utilizes a modified Vix Fix formula to highlight extreme price deviations, which often precede significant market reversals.
Customizable Settings: Offers extensive input options to tweak the lookback periods, percentile thresholds, and visibility settings, aligning with various trading strategies.
Visual Band Indicators: Features upper bands and range highs that signal potential overbought and oversold conditions, enhancing trading decision-making.
Below, you can see how the indicator performs across different timeframes, providing valuable insights into market behavior.
How it Works
Vix Fix Calculation: Determines the worst-case 'panic' sell-offs in price as a percentage of the high, capturing the emotional extremes of the market.
Statistical Bands: Employs Bollinger bands over the Vix Fix values to define normal and extreme volatility conditions.
Color-Coded Indicators: Uses color differentiation to instantly highlight when readings surpass critical upper band or range high thresholds, signaling key trading opportunities.
For instance, in the analysis provided below, notice how the indicator flags significant market moves, allowing traders to anticipate potential entry or exit points.
Application
Risk Management: Aids in identifying extreme market conditions where prices may revert, helping in effective position sizing and risk management.
Strategic Planning: Enhances strategic trading plans by identifying not only when but also where market extremes may occur, considering multiple timeframes.
Customization: Adapts seamlessly to different market environments with adjustable settings for volatility thresholds and visual display preferences.
The MTF Williams Vix Fix Indicator by is an essential tool for traders aiming to leverage market volatility for optimal entry and exit, ensuring they are well-equipped to handle market extremes with confidence.
SVMKR_VIX_Based_LevelsThe "SVMKR_VIX_Based_Levels" script is a Pine Script indicator designed to assist intraday traders in identifying dynamic support and resistance levels based on the Volatility Index (VIX). Here's a breakdown of the script and its uses for intraday traders:
### Script Description:
1. **Data Retrieval**:
- The script fetches daily closing prices of the India VIX (volatility index) and a specified security using `request.security()`.
2. **Input Parameters**:
- Intraday traders can customize the indicator using input parameters such as the number of levels above and below the Pivot Day Close (PDC), line offset lengths, line extension options, and color and width settings for plotted lines.
3. **Plotting**:
- The script plots the PDC and VIX as hidden lines (`display=display.none`).
- Support and resistance levels are calculated based on the VIX and PDC, and plotted above and below the PDC with customizable colors and widths.
- Each level can be labeled with its corresponding price.
4. **Customization**:
- Intraday traders can choose to display or hide prices on the plotted lines.
- Colors and widths of plotted lines are customizable.
- Options to show minor and mild support levels provide additional flexibility.
5. **Labels**:
- Labels are added to indicate the PDC and the plotted levels, displaying corresponding prices if enabled.
### Uses for Intraday Traders:
1. **Dynamic Support and Resistance**: Intraday traders can benefit from dynamically adjusted support and resistance levels that respond to changes in market volatility, providing more accurate levels for trade planning.
2. **Market Sentiment Analysis**: By incorporating the VIX, a measure of market volatility and sentiment, the indicator provides insights into market sentiment, helping intraday traders gauge market mood and potential direction.
3. **Confirmation of Price Action**: The plotted support and resistance levels can serve as confirmation signals for intraday traders, helping validate trading decisions and enhance trading confidence.
4. **Adaptability to Changing Market Conditions**: Intraday traders often face rapidly changing market conditions. The indicator's ability to adapt to changes in volatility ensures that plotted levels remain relevant and responsive, aiding traders in adjusting their strategies accordingly.
5. **Trade Planning and Execution**: Intraday traders can use the plotted support and resistance levels to identify potential entry and exit points, set profit targets and stop-loss levels, and plan their trades more effectively.
Overall, the "SVMKR_VIX_Based_Levels" indicator provides intraday traders with a valuable tool for dynamic support and resistance identification, market sentiment analysis, confirmation of price action, and trade planning and execution, ultimately assisting them in making more informed and profitable trading decisions in the intraday timeframe.
VIX Statistical Sentiment Index [Nasan]** THIS IS ONLY FOR US STOCK MARKET**
The indicator analyzes market sentiment by computing the Rate of Change (ROC) for the VIX and S&P 500, visualizing the data as histograms with conditional coloring. It measures the correlation between the VIX, the specific stock, and the S&P 500, displaying the results on the chart. The reliability measure combines these correlations, offering an overall assessment of data robustness. One can use this information to gauge the inverse relationship between VIX and S&P 500, the alignment of the specific stock with the market, and the overall reliability of the correlations for informed decision-making based on the inverse relationship of VIX and price movement.
**WHEN THE VIX ROC IS ABOVE ZERO (RED COLOR) AND RASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE DOWNWARDS, WHEN THE VIX ROC IS BELOW ZERO (GREEN)AND DECREASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE UPWARDS"
Understanding the VIX Concept:
The VIX, or Volatility Index, is a widely used indicator in finance that measures the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Here are key points about the VIX:
Fear Gauge:
Often referred to as the "fear gauge," the VIX tends to rise during periods of market uncertainty or fear and fall during calmer market conditions.
Inverse Relationship with Market:
The VIX typically has an inverse relationship with the stock market. When the stock market experiences a sell-off, the VIX tends to rise, indicating increased expected volatility.
Implied Volatility:
The VIX is derived from the prices of options on the S&P 500. It represents the market's expectations for future volatility and is often referred to as "implied volatility."
Contrarian Indicator:
Extremely high VIX levels may indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential market rebound. Conversely, very low VIX levels may signal complacency and a potential reversal.
VIX vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the VIX (Volatility Index) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
A negative correlation indicates an inverse relationship. When the VIX goes up, the SPX tends to go down, and vice versa.
The correlation value closer to -1 suggests a stronger inverse relationship between VIX and SPX.
Stock vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the closing price of the stock (retrieved using src1) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
This correlation helps assess how closely the stock's price movements align with the broader market represented by the S&P 500.
A positive correlation suggests that the stock tends to move in the same direction as the S&P 500, while a negative correlation indicates an opposite movement.
Reliability Measure:
Combines the squared values of the VIX vs. SPX and Stock vs. SPX correlations and takes the square root to create a reliability measure.
This measure provides an overall assessment of how reliable the correlation information is in guiding decision-making.
Interpretation:
A higher reliability measure implies that the correlations between VIX and SPX, as well as between the stock and SPX, are more robust and consistent.
One can use this reliability measure to gauge the confidence they can place in the correlations when making decisions about the specific stock based on VIX data and its correlation with the broader market.
VIX based LevelsSupport and resistance levels for the day based on the volatility index.
Major - The Major support line where the day low, high or close can occur at that level
Minor - The second level of the Support/Resistance line , where we can expect some rejections or breakouts/breakdowns
Mild - The mid level between the Major and minor levels. The market may consolidate around that area.
The script will automatically get the previous day close value of the current scrip and the India vix.
India vix is calculated based on the annual percentage and hence the previous day close value of the scrip is divided by 19.1 ( square root of 365 )
The PDC values can be manually overridden for backtesting purposes.
Please note, there will be some slippages involved on the trend lines.
Williams Vix Fix [CC]The Vix Fix indicator was created by Larry Williams and is one of my giant backlog of unpublished scripts which I'm going to start publishing more of. This indicator is a great synthetic version of the classic Volatility Index and can be useful in combination with other indicators to determine when to enter or exit a trade due to the current volatility. The indicator creates this synthetic version of the Volatility Index by a fairly simple formula that subtracts the current low from the highest close over the last 22 days and then divides that result by the same highest close and multiplies by 100 to turn it into a percentage. The 22-day length is used by default since there is a max of 22 trading days in a month but this formula works well for any other timeframe. By itself, this indicator doesn't generate buy or sell signals but generally speaking, you will want to enter or exit a trade when the Vix fix indicator amount spikes and you get an entry or exit signal from another indicator of your choice. Keep in mind that the colors I'm using for this indicator are only a general idea of when volatility is high enough to enter or exit a trade so green colors mean higher volatility and red colors mean low volatility. This is one of the few indicators I have written that don't recommend to buy or sell when the colors change.
This was a custom request from one of my followers so please let me know if you guys have any other script requests you want to see!
VIX Monitor [Zero54]NSE:BANKNIFTY1!
This is a simple but invaluable tool for both day traders and positional traders. VIX is about market expectations of volatility
The VIX is a very good and sound measure of risk in the markets. It gives these stock traders who are in intraday trading and short term traders an idea of whether the volatility is going up or going down in the market. They can calibrate their strategy accordingly. When the volatility is likely to shoot up sharply, the intraday traders run the risk of stop losses getting triggered quickly. Hence they can either reduce their leverage or they can widen their stop losses accordingly.
Also if you notice VIX is a very good and reliable gauge of index movement. If you plot the VIX and the Nifty movement you will see a clear negative correlation in the charts itself. Markets typically tend to peak out when the VIX is bottoming out and the markets tend to bottom out when the VIX is peaking out. This is a useful input for index trades.
You can use this simple indicator to monitor VIX real time. You can use it for short time frame intraday and also multi-hour, multi-day charts. You can also plot a moving average to gauge the VIX trend.
Also is the ability to monitor, Nifty and BankNifty the same way you are able to monitor the VIX (as explained above). The overall market moves in correlation with these main Indexes. So if you are trading a specific counter, you can also keep an eye on the index to get an idea where the counter may be going next.
The source code is open, please feel to modify or re-use as you feel it’s necessary. Any changes, improvements, bugs, please let me know.
Please like/boost this indicator and also add your comments, if you find it useful.
VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicatorhere what the indictor do !
The "VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicator" combines the Volatility Index (VIX), Average True Range (ATR), and moving averages to provide insights into market volatility.
VIX (Volatility Index):
The VIX measures the expected volatility in the market over the next 30 days. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, while a lower value suggests lower volatility.
ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is a technical indicator that measures the average range between high and low prices over a specified period. It provides a sense of the market's volatility by considering price movements. Higher ATR values indicate greater volatility, while lower values indicate lower volatility.
Moving Averages:
The indicator calculates both an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a specific period (e.g., 50).
Moving averages smooth out price data to identify trends and potential areas of support or resistance.
Volatility Detection:
By comparing the current closing price to the EMA and SMA, the indicator determines if there is high volatility.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, it indicates potential high volatility.
Visualization:
The VIX and ATR are typically plotted on the chart, providing a visual representation of market volatility and price range.
Additionally, markers or labels may be used to highlight periods of high volatility when the current price exceeds the moving averages.
what are the VIX and ATR
Volatility Index (VIX):
Monitor the VIX value from financial platforms or market data providers. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, suggesting potential trading opportunities. Conversely, a lower VIX value indicates lower volatility, which may influence your trading strategy.
Average True Range (ATR):
Calculate the ATR manually or use charting platforms that provide ATR as an indicator.
Plot the ATR on your trading chart to visualize the range of price movements.
Determine suitable entry and exit points based on ATR values. For example, higher ATR values may indicate larger potential price swings, while lower ATR values may suggest a more stable market.
how it work
Fetching VIX Data:
The request.security function is used to fetch the daily VIX data from the "CBOE:VIX" symbol. It retrieves the closing price of the VIX for each day.
Calculating ATR:
The ta.atr function calculates the Average True Range (ATR) with a period of 14. ATR measures the average range between the high and low prices over the specified period, providing an indication of market volatility.
Calculating Moving Averages:
Two types of moving averages are calculated: Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA). Both moving averages are calculated using a period of 50, but you can adjust the period as needed.
The ta.ema function calculates the Exponential Moving Average, which places greater weight on recent prices.
The ta.sma function calculates the Simple Moving Average, which gives equal weight to all prices in the period.
Identifying High Volatility:
The indicator determines if there is high volatility by comparing the current closing price to both the EMA and SMA.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, the isHighVolatility variable is set to true, indicating potential high volatility.
Plotting the Indicators:
The VIX and ATR are plotted using the plot function, assigning colors and line widths for visual differentiation.
The plotshape function is used to plot markers below the bars to indicate highly volatile periods. The isHighVolatility variable determines when the markers appear.
TTP VIX SpyTTP VIX Spy is an indicator that uses data from TVC:VIX to better time entries in the market.
The assumption used is that when the VIX is coming down from the top of its range then the risk on assets can move to the upside and when the VIX is is pushing higher there's a high likelihood or risk on assets going down.
This indicator observes the momentum of VIX using MACD. It offers two different signals both for longs and shorts: signal 1 and 2.
Signal 1 is activate when the begging of a new trend for the VIX is confirmed.
Signal 2 is activated when the VIX pulls back from an extreme value.
You can configure the parameters of the internal super trend and the look back for the slope applied to price and RSIs.
The indicator offers the following filter parameters:
- Price RSI slope: it filters signals that have RSI slope pointing in the opposite direction of the signal.
- Counter trend: it filters signals that are not counter trending super trend.
- Wide BBW: it filters signals that happen when there hasn't been high price volatility
- Price slope: it filters signals when the price is not pointing in the direction of the signal (buy: up, sell: down)
- VIX RSI filter: it filters VIX RSI values overextended. MACD can be in the right range, but sometimes RSI contradicts it. By default is OFF since it can cause false negatives.
- Working days only: it filters signals that occur in the weekend.
The colours below the price action show how the VIX momentum is changing. Transitions from red into pink and then green show how the fear is fading which tends to lead to lead to bullish moves, and the opposite when the transitions are from green to red.
Performance and initial thoughts.
I have tried VIX Spy on both BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P and it seems to offer a decent win ratio. As you can see I had to add many filter to remove bad entries and left toggles available to decide which ones you want to use.
I tried the signal in the 4H, 1H and 15min with mixed results. I tend to incline for the results in the 1H.
VIX signal offers a backtestable stream and alerts both for signals 1 and 2.
