Grid System With Fake MartingaleThe proposed strategy is based on a grid system with a money management that tries to replicate the effect of a martingale without having to double your position size after each loss, hence the name "fake martingale". Note that a balance using this strategy is still subject to exponential decay, the risk is not minimized, as such, it would be dangerous to use this strategy.
For more information on the martingale and grid systems see:
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the security you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, generating fewer trades as a result.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after each win.
How It Works
Let's illustrate how we replicate a martingale without doubling our exposure with a simple casino example. Imagine you are playing roulette, and that you are betting on colors (black/red), your payout is 1 to 1, in the case you win, you will have your initial stake back plus a profit equal to your initial stake.
If your strategy is to recover any previous losses, you can double your stake each time you lose, once you win you will get back the previous losses plus a profit equal to your original stake, this is the martingale system. So how can we win back previous losses without having to double our stake? We could do that by doubling the payout ratio after a loss, so after a loss, we must use a payout ratio of 2:1, if we lose once again we must use a payout of 4:1...etc, our payout ratio would be subject to exponential growth instead of our stake.
Of course, the payout ratio is fixed with casino games, but in trading, we can manipulate the position of our take profit in order to replicate such effect, this is what this strategy is doing. So after a loss, we place our take profit such that a win recover our losses back plus generate a profit.
Advantages
The advantage of this approach is that unlike the martingale we don't double our position size, which instead can remain constant, this is a huge advantage as a martingale will require a significant capital in order to tank a series of losses.
Disadvantages
The main disadvantage of this method is that the price might never reach our take profit after a long losing streak, our balance would remain in the red and we couldn't do anything about it except reset the strategy.
Frictional costs are still a disadvantage, as such, we would need to place our take profits in order to account for them, while this is still better than purchasing additional shares, it minimizes the chances of the price reaching the take profit.
Conclusions
An alternative money management system replicating the effect of a martingale as been presented, we can see that such a system is far from being perfect, and it would be foolish to use it, however, it stills offer a convenient alternative to less aggressive progressive position sizing systems.
I have been receiving some messages from users criticizing me for exposing the martingale money management system, and I understand why but I can't agree, talking about it allow me to warn users against it, the grid-martingale methodology is will create more harm than anything else, the reward is only one side of the story and should always be compared against the risk, so always take a look at all the statics in a backtest.
Thanks for reading!
Shout-Out
This post was made possible thanks to my patrons:
@Happymono, @AmariMars, @kkhaial, @Nugehe, @LucF, @Nosmok, @iflostio, @DankBeans, @ecletv, @Neverstorm, @alex.crown.jr, @uk503, @xkingshotss, @vsov, @jbelka, @yatrader2, @hughza, @ganh
Trend Analizi
BV's ICHIMOKU CLOUD - All Signalshello traders,
With this script you will be able to test the different signals offered by the ichimoku cloud system.
Crossover Tenkan Kijun
Crossover Tenkan Kijun above Kumo
Crossover Price Kijun
Crossover Price Kijun above Kumo
Crossover Price Tenkan
Crossover Prince Tenkan aboce Kumo
Crossover price Kumo
Kumo Color Change
Remember to check the JPYPAIR checkbox if you test a JPY/xxx pair, this will adjust the stop loss and take profit calculation.
You can also adjust the TP and SL values in the parameters to change their ratio. I had good results in 1.5:1 with the :
SL = 2.25 x ATR(14)
TP = 1.5 x ATR(14)
At your tests, don't hesitate to share your results.
Buy Any Bar By ChenycoBuys amount of shares by bars with specified amount of money (100$ for a month bar for example).
Including commissions.
QuantNomad - Heikin-Ashi PSAR StrategyContinue experimenting with different combinations of strategies.
Here is the PSAR Strategy calculated based on HA candles. HA is already calculated inside the script, do not apply it to HA candles.
Strategy is calculated based on 25% equity invested with 0.1% commission.
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Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Trend trader StrategyFirst I would like to thank to @JustUncleL since this strategy started from one of his scalper strategies
This strategy can be adapted to all time charts .
First it has the session where we want to trade, for this example I choosed the EURUSD so I only take in consideration london/neywork session.
Its made from 3 EMA :
normal
slow
ultra slow
It has has the capacity to use HA candles into consideration if its needed.
At the same time we have a price channel made from faster MAs, that act like a bollinger band .
Together with all of them, we establish which trend we have if its uptrend or downtrend
Then we check the candles if they are below or above the MA , and based on the condition if they crossed recently we can suggest if its a buy or a long condition
At the same time we have 2 options of stop conditions:
Through a trailing stop made from ATR or % based
And second, a SL/TP made from pip points or % based.
For this example I used % based.
Let me know what you think about it, and if you found some nice settings for it. So far I only adapted to EURUSD 1 min time.
Setup Trend Following Bollinger Bands - ValenteBuy when the candle closes above upper BB
Sell when the candle closes bellow lower BB
Stop always on base line
Donchian Channel Strategy [for free bot]
I present to you a script for testing the Donchian channel breakout strategy for the Binance_exchange.
This strategy is trending, and is especially effective for trading cryptocurrency futures.
This strategy is very flexible, and you can configure virtually all possible parameters, moreover, separately for longs and separately for shorts.
In the script, you can configure the parameters of the channel for entry and exit, the exit method, enable or disable purchases / sales, specify take profit and stop loss, and more.
On the example of optimization, only 20% of the deposit is used. This is done for diversification, since there are 37 contracts on binance_futures (at the time of writing the script description). That is, by optimizing the parameters for different currencies, you can very well reduce risks.
Представляю Вам скрипт для тестирования стратегии пробоя канала Дончиана для биржи Бинанс.
Данная стратегия относится к трендовым, и особенно эффективная на торговли криптовалютных фьючерсов.
Данная стратегия очень гибкая, и можно настроить фактически все возможные параметры, при чем, отдельно для покупок и отдельно для продаж.
В скрипте можно настроить параметры канала на вход и на выход, метод выхода, разрешить или запретить покупки/проаджи, указать тейк-профит и стоп-лосс и другое.
На примере оптимизации используется всего 20% от депозита. Это сделано для диверсификации, так как на фьючерсах бинансе присутсвует 37 контрактов (на момент написания описания скрипта). Т.е., оптимизировав параметры под разные валюты, можно очень хорошо снизить риски.
Grab Trading SystemHello All,
This is "Grab Trading System" script defined in the book "Trend Following" by Michael W. Covel. also named as "Two-box system". I made small changes and I guess that it can be improved more.
The definition: Far box defines major trend; system trades only in same direction as major trend, meanwhile fading the signals of near box. Last trade in each trend exits at break of far box - at the same time as the trend reverses. All trades, except the last in the trend, use a limit order, as they are fading the near box. The last trade exits on a stop, as the trend changes.
As you can see there is Longterm Period and Shortterm Period in the indicator options. Longterm period is used for major trend and shortterm period is used to take position according to major trend. in my test I got better performance in small time frames. you need to set longterm/shortterm periods by your trading strategies.
Enjoy!
Renko Level Strategy 2Renko Level Strategy
Main change of my previous strategy, that it look to one level of RENKO and use ATR value from each previous candle.
I think it is more correct than use levels that appears in first candle of new RENKO level, cause it base on current volatility, but not on volatility that was many candles ago.
SOJA PIVOTStrategy using SOJA HUNTER indicator for buy and Pivot points for sell :
-1st TP at R1 with 25% shares
-2nd TP at R2 with 25% shares
SL using trailing stop.
Low Scanner strategy cryptoThis is the last script of the Low scanner series
I have shown in script 1 the best strategy for stocks on 1 hour
script for forex 1 hour (if you look on comments you will find settings which are perfect for low TF (1 min system )
This strategy is the perfect weapen for crypto
no repaint as I shown the scanner do not use security
this system will buy and sell about every 1000 min in the end you will getyour profit which is progressive
set to 1,2,3, and 5 % where each time you take 25% of equaty out
as I shown before the power of the progresive take and my scanner make it best
the scnner serach for low point using my special RSI system with no repaint MTF
every time we get our profit out
the scanner will find us new low to start cycle again
so invite me for coffe if you like this system
thanks to TV that allow donation:)
so this is example of smart strategy that beat the odds
try on major crypto assets (it nice system )
without the script of adolgov
this system was not possible so I would like to thank him very much that he share with us his great script
Low Scanner Forex strategyThis strategy is non repainting as the scanner do not use security for its entry and the Hull MTF is non repainted one.
it design for forex only
why it working as such ?
simple once we have good detection of Low using Low scanner and Low scaner strategy
which is a killer for stoks as I shown in that script
here i show winning non repainting strategy for Forex
why it working perfect?
if the Low entry is good. the market go up or down but eventualy by using step wise profit take out
as shown by adolgov
then you will win most of time .
This is example how I use my script with adolgov script to create this strategy
it not pyramiding as in pyramiding we buy and buy and buy. here the entry is fix but exit is progressive,0.5% -1% 1.5% ,2% at 25% equaty each.
the market go up or down we just take ourt profit out.
so if you use leverage in forex the win % will be crazy. but you must to apply this only to asstes where this strategy is working like EURO/USD
the dat here is from 2017 t0 2018 ,if you want the last data which show the same put in test year 2019 as start
This script is for forex lovers as teaching how to create winning non repainting strategy
if you want to invite to coffe be free to do so
let me know what you think
Low Scanner strategyThis is the strategy I made using low scanner
there is no repaint as there is no security at all
the exit is by using multiple exit point by equity shown in the script of adolgov
so you can set the low low scanner to any position you want by no security MTF (look on the study for detail about it)
the exit you set acording to % and the equity as suggested by adolgov
this scripyt is free you can make the exit diiferent
it just example how to create better non repainting strategies with MTF
look on the same setting on stocks just 1 hour candle look very nice there:)
Channel Break [for free bot]I present to you a script for testing the channel breakout strategy for the Bitmex exchange.
Cryptocurrency itself is a trending tool, which is why breakout strategies generate the largest profits, and the channel breakout strategy is one of the most effective trend strategies.
The optimization result shows the result of trading on a volume of 20% of the deposit. But since Bitmex trades in futures contracts, you can use 50%, 100% and even much more, depending on your attitude to risk.
At the time of publication on the Bitmex exchange there are 12 different contracts, i.e. You can diversify your trading well (by pre-optimizing the settings for each contract).
In the script, you can set up many trading options - timeframe, periods for buying and selling, method of exiting a trade, stop loss, take profit, risk management, etc.
Thus, you create a strategy "for yourself".
Представляю Вам скрипт для тестирования стратегии пробоя канала для биржи Битмекс.
Криптовалюта, сама по себе является трендовым инструментом, именно поэтому, пробойные стратегии генерируют самую большую прибыль, а стратегия пробоя канала – является одной из самых эффективных трендовых стратегий.
На результате оптимизации показан результат торговли на объеме в 20% от депозита. Но так как на Битмекс торговля идет фьючерсными контрактами, Вы можете использовать 50%, 100% и даже намного больше, в зависимости от Вашего отношения к риску.
На момент публикации на бирже Битмекс есть 12 разных контрактов, т.е. Вы можете хороши диверсифицировать свою торговлю (предварительно оптимизируя настройки по каждый контракт).
В скрипте Вы можете настроить множество вариантов торговли - таймфрейм, периоды для покупки и продажи, метод выхода из сделки, стоп-лосс, тейк-профит, рискменеджмент и т.п.
Таким образом Вы создаете стратегию "под себя".
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Extracting The Trend This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Extracting The Trend
The related article is copyrighted material from Stocks & Commodities Mar 2010
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Power X Strategy Back-testThis script back-test the Power X Strategy developed by Markus Heitkoetter and Rockwell Trading. For more detail about the strategy, please refer to "The PowerX Strategy: How to Trade Stocks and Options in Only 15 Minutes a Day" written by Markus Heitkoetter. Note that this script is not publish, develop or maintain by Rockwell Trading, and may have different results. Rockwell Trading has a powerful software called Power X Optimizer, which scan, back-test and optimize the best stock for the strategy.
The Power X Strategy uses RSI , Slow Stochastic and MACD indicators under the hood. When RSI and slow Stochastic are both greater than 50 and MACD crosses up the signal line, it marks as up-trend. If RSI and slow stochastic are both less than 50 and MACD crosses down the signal line, it marks as down-trend. Other are mark as no trend.
This back-test makes a long entry with an up-trend momentum and short entry with down-trend momentum. Trade is exited when profit target or stop lose is reach. Profit target and stop lose is calculated based on 7 days Average Daily Range (ADR).
If the either of the momentum is lost, trade is exited the next day. It also skips the entire month of March 2020, since the market crash and is not in a normal market condition for the strategy.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Ergodic TSI This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
r - Length of first EMA smoothing of 1 day momentum 4
s - Length of second EMA smoothing of 1 day smoothing 8
u- Length of third EMA smoothing of 1 day momentum 6
Length of EMA signal line 3
Source of Ergotic TSI Close
This is one of the techniques described by William Blau in his book "Momentum,
Direction and Divergence" (1995). If you like to learn more, we advise you to
read this book. His book focuses on three key aspects of trading: momentum,
direction and divergence. Blau, who was an electrical engineer before becoming
a trader, thoroughly examines the relationship between price and momentum in
step-by-step examples. From this grounding, he then looks at the deficiencies
in other oscillators and introduces some innovative techniques, including a
fresh twist on Stochastics. On directional issues, he analyzes the intricacies
of ADX and offers a unique approach to help define trending and non-trending periods.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Ergodic MDI This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This is one of the techniques described by William Blau in his book "Momentum,
Direction and Divergence" (1995). If you like to learn more, we advise you to
read this book. His book focuses on three key aspects of trading: momentum,
direction and divergence. Blau, who was an electrical engineer before becoming
a trader, thoroughly examines the relationship between price and momentum in
step-by-step examples. From this grounding, he then looks at the deficiencies
in other oscillators and introduces some innovative techniques, including a
fresh twist on Stochastics. On directional issues, he analyzes the intricacies
of ADX and offers a unique approach to help define trending and non-trending periods.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Super trend V Strategy versionThis is the strategy of Super trend V indicator
it not calculating the TP points which can make it much more proftible in theory
just the buy and sell of the super trend
youy can choose long only
short only
or both directions
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Ergodic MACD This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This is one of the techniques described by William Blau in his book
"Momentum, Direction and Divergence" (1995). If you like to learn more,
we advise you to read this book. His book focuses on three key aspects
of trading: momentum, direction and divergence. Blau, who was an electrical
engineer before becoming a trader, thoroughly examines the relationship
between price and momentum in step-by-step examples. From this grounding,
he then looks at the deficiencies in other oscillators and introduces some
innovative techniques, including a fresh twist on Stochastics. On directional
issues, he analyzes the intricacies of ADX and offers a unique approach to help
define trending and non-trending periods.
Blau`s indicator is like usual MACD, but it plots opposite of meaningof
stndard MACD indicator.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Best strategy for TradingView (fake)Hello everyone! I want to show you this strategy so you don't fall for the tricks of scammers. On TradingView, you can write an algorithm (probably more than one) that will show any profit you want: from 1% to 100,000% in one year (maybe more)! This can be done, for example, using the built-in linebreak () function and several conditions for opening long and short.
I am sure that sometimes scammers show up on TradingView showing their incredible strategies. Will a smart person sell a profitable quick strategy? When a lot of people start using the quick strategy, it stops working. Therefore, no smart person would sell you a quick strategy. It is acceptable to sell slow strategies: several transactions per month - this does not greatly affect the market.
So, don't fall for the tricks of scammers, write quick strategies yourself.
About this strategy, I can say that the linebreak () function does not work correctly in it. Accordingly, the lines are not drawn correctly on the chart. They are drawn in such a way as to show the maximum profit. I watched this algorithm on a 1m timeframe - no lines are drawn in real time. This is a fake!
Grid Like StrategyIt is possible to use progressive position sizing in order to recover from past losses, a well-known position sizing system being the "martingale", which consists of doubling your position size after a loss, this allows you to recover any previous losses in a losing streak + winning an extra. This system has seen a lot of attention from the trading community (mostly from beginners), and many strategies have been designed around the martingale, one of them being "grid trading strategies".
While such strategies often shows promising results on paper, they are often subjects to many frictions during live trading that makes them totally unusable and dangerous to the trader. The motivations behind posting such a strategy isn't to glorify such systems, but rather to present the problems behind them, many users come to me with their ideas and glorious ways to make money, sometimes they present strategies using the martingale, and it is important to present the flaws of this methodology rather than blindly saying "you shouldn't use it".
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the symbol you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, as such higher values will generate fewer trades.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after any wins.
The Grid
Grid strategies are commons and do not present huge problems until we use certain position sizing methods such as the martingale. A martingale is extremely sensitive to any kind of friction (frictional costs, slippage...etc), the grid strategy aims to provide a stable and simple environment where a martingale might possibly behave well.
The goal of a simple grid strategy is to go long once the price crossover a certain level, a take profit is set at the level above the current one and stop loss is placed at the level below the current one, in a winning scenario the price reach the take profit, the position is closed and a new one is opened with the same setup. In a losing scenario, the price reaches the stop loss level, the position is closed and a short one is opened, the take profit is set at the level below the current one, and a stop loss is set at the level above the current one. Note that all levels are equally spaced.
It follows from this strategy that wins and losses should be constant over time, as such our balance would evolve in a linear fashion. This is a great setup for a martingale, as we are theoretically assured to recover all the looses in a losing streak.
Martingale - Exponential Decays - Risk/Reward
By using a martingale we double our position size (exposure) each time we lose a trade, if we look at our balance when using a martingale we see significant drawdowns, with our balance peaking down significantly. The martingale sequence is subject to exponential growth, as such using a martingale makes our balance exposed to exponential decays, that's really bad, we could basically lose all the initially invested capital in a short amount of time, it follows from this that the theoretical success of a martingale is determined by what is the maximum losing streak you can endure
Now consider how a martingale affects our risk-reward ratio, assuming unity position sizing our martingale sequence can be described by 2^(x-1) , using this formula we would get the amount of shares/contracts we need to purchase at the x trade of a losing streak, we would need to purchase 256 contracts in order to recover from a losing streak of size 9, this is enormous when you take into account that your wins are way smaller, the risk-reward ratio is totally unfair.
Of course, some users might think that a losing streak of size 9 is pretty unlikely, if the probability of winning and losing are both equal to 0.5, then the probability of 9 consecutive losses is equal to 0.5^9 , there are approximately 0.2% of chance of having such large losing streak, note however that under a ranging market such case scenario could happen, but we will see later that the length of a losing streak is not the only problem.
Other Problems
Having a capital large enough to tank 9any number of consecutive losses is not the only thing one should focus on, as we have to take into account market prices and trading dynamics, that's where the ugly part start.
Our first problem is frictional costs, one example being the spread, but this is a common problem for any strategy, however here a martingale is extra sensitive to it, if the strategy does not account for it then we will still double our positions costs but we might not recover all the losses of a losing streak, instead we would be recovering only a proportion of it, under such scenario you would be certain to lose over time.
Another problem are gaps, market price might open under a stop-loss without triggering it, and this is a big no-no.
Equity of the strategy on AMD, in a desired scenario the equity at the second arrow should have been at a higher position than the equity at the first arrow.
In order for the strategy to be more effective, we would need to trade a market that does not close, such as the cryptocurrency market. Finally, we might be affected by slippage, altho only extreme values might drastically affect our balance.
The Anti Martingale
The strategy lets you use an anti-martingale, which double the position size after a win instead of a loss, the goal here is not to recover from a losing strike but instead to profit from a potential winning streak.
Here we are exposing your balance to exponential gross but you might also lose a trade at the end a winning streak, you will generally want to reinitialize your position size after a few wins instead of waiting for the end of a streak.
Alternative
You can use other-kind of progressions for position sizing, such as a linear one, increasing your position size by a constant number each time you lose. More gentle progressions will recover a proportion of your losses in a losing streak.
You can also simulate the effect of a martingale without doubling your position size by doubling your target profit, if for example you have a 10$ profit-target/stop-loss and lose a trade, you can use a 20$ profit target to recover from the lost trade + gain a profit of 10$. While this approach does not introduce exponential decay in your balance, you are betting on the market reaching your take profits, considering the fact that you are doubling their size you are expecting market volatility to increase drastically over time, as such this approach would not be extremely effective for high losing streak.
Conclusion
You will see a lot of auto-trading strategies that are based on a grid approach, they might even use a martingale. While the backtests will look appealing, you should think twice before using such kind of strategy, remember that frictional costs will be a huge challenge for the strategy, and that it assumes that the trader has an important initial capital. We have also seen that the risk/reward ratio is theoretically the worst you can have on a strategy, having a low reward and a high risk. This does not mean that progressive position sizing is bad, but it should not be pushed to the extreme.
It is nice to note that the martingale is originally a betting system designed for casino games, which unlike trading are not subject to frictional costs, but even casino players don't use it, so why would you?
Thx for reading
