MVRV Ratio [Alpha Extract]The MVRV Ratio Indicator provides valuable insights into Bitcoin market cycles by tracking the relationship between market value and realized value. This powerful on-chain metric helps traders identify potential market tops and bottoms, offering clear buy and sell signals based on historical patterns of Bitcoin valuation.
🔶 CALCULATION The indicator processes MVRV ratio data through several analytical methods:
Raw MVRV Data: Collects MVRV data directly from INTOTHEBLOCK for Bitcoin
Optional Smoothing: Applies simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise
Status Classification: Categorizes market conditions into four distinct states
Signal Generation: Produces trading signals based on MVRV thresholds
Price Estimation: Calculates estimated realized price (Current price / MVRV ratio)
Historical Context: Compares current values to historical extremes
Formula:
MVRV Ratio = Market Value / Realized Value
Smoothed MVRV = SMA(MVRV Ratio, Smoothing Length)
Estimated Realized Price = Current Price / MVRV Ratio
Distance to Top = ((3.5 / MVRV Ratio) - 1) * 100
Distance to Bottom = ((MVRV Ratio / 0.8) - 1) * 100
🔶 DETAILS Visual Features:
MVRV Plot: Color-coded line showing current MVRV value (red for overvalued, orange for moderately overvalued, blue for fair value, teal for undervalued)
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines indicating key MVRV thresholds (3.5, 2.5, 1.0, 0.8)
Zone Highlighting: Background color changes to highlight extreme market conditions (red for potentially overvalued, blue for potentially undervalued)
Information Table: Comprehensive dashboard showing current MVRV value, market status, trading signal, price information, and historical context
Interpretation:
MVRV ≥ 3.5: Potential market top, strong sell signal
MVRV ≥ 2.5: Overvalued market, consider selling
MVRV 1.5-2.5: Neutral market conditions
MVRV 1.0-1.5: Fair value, consider buying
MVRV < 1.0: Potential market bottom, strong buy signal
🔶 EXAMPLES
Market Top Identification: When MVRV ratio exceeds 3.5, the indicator signals potential market tops, highlighting periods where Bitcoin may be significantly overvalued.
Example: During bull market peaks, MVRV exceeding 3.5 has historically preceded major corrections, helping traders time their exits.
Bottom Detection: MVRV values below 1.0, especially approaching 0.8, have historically marked excellent buying opportunities.
Example: During bear market bottoms, MVRV falling below 1.0 has identified the most profitable entry points for long-term Bitcoin accumulation.
Tracking Market Cycles: The indicator provides a clear visualization of Bitcoin's market cycles from undervalued to overvalued states.
Example: Following the progression of MVRV from below 1.0 through fair value and eventually to overvalued territory helps traders position themselves appropriately throughout Bitcoin's market cycle.
Realized Price Support: The estimated realized price often acts as a significant
support/resistance level during market transitions.
Example: During corrections, price often finds support near the realized price level calculated by the indicator, providing potential entry points.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
Smoothing: Toggle smoothing option and adjust smoothing length (1-50)
Table Display: Show/hide the information table
Table Position: Choose between top right, top left, bottom right, or bottom left positions
Visual Elements: All plots, lines, and background highlights can be customized for color and style
The MVRV Ratio Indicator provides traders with a powerful on-chain metric to identify potential market tops and bottoms in Bitcoin. By tracking the relationship between market value and realized value, this indicator helps identify periods of overvaluation and undervaluation, offering clear buy and sell signals based on historical patterns. The comprehensive information table delivers valuable context about current market conditions, helping traders make more informed decisions about market positioning throughout Bitcoin's cyclical patterns.
Statistics
Arnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator | Lyro RSArnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator
Introduction
Arnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator is a custom-built trend analysis tool that blends classic market oscillators with advanced normalization, advanced math functions and Arnaud Legoux smoothing. Unlike conventional indicators, 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 aggregates market momentum, volatility and trend strength.
Signal Insight
The 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 line visually reflects the aggregated directional bias. A rise above the middle line threshold signals bullish strength, while a drop below the middle line indicates bearish momentum.
Another way to interpret the 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 is through overbought and oversold conditions. When the 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 rises above the +0.7 threshold, it suggests an overbought market and signals a strong uptrend. Conversely, a drop below the -0.7 level indicates an oversold condition and a strong downtrend.
When the oscillator hovers near the zero line, especially within the neutral ±0.3 band, it suggests that no single directional force is dominating—common during consolidation phases or pre-breakout compression.
Real-World Example
Usually 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 is used by following the bar color for simple signals; however, like most indicators there are unique ways to use an indicator. Let’s dive deep into such ways.
The market begins with a green bar color, raising awareness for a potential long setup—but not a direct entry. In this methodology, bar coloring serves as an alert mechanism rather than a strict entry trigger.
The first long position was initiated when the 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 signal line crossed above the +0.3 threshold, suggesting a shift in directional acceleration. This entry coincided with a rising price movement, validating the trade.
As price advanced, the position was exited into cash—not reversed into a short—because the short criteria for this use case are distinct. The exit was prompted by 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 crossing back below the +0.3 level, signaling the potential weakening of the long trend.
Later, as 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 crossed below 0, attention shifted toward short opportunities. A short entry was confirmed when 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 dipped below -0.3, indicating growing downside momentum. The position was eventually closed when 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 crossed back above the -0.3 boundary—signaling a possible deceleration of the bearish move.
This logic was consistently applied in subsequent setups, emphasizing the role of 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐’s thresholds in guiding both entries and exits.
Framework
The Arnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator (ALTA) combines multiple technical indicators into a single smoothed signal. It uses RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Momentum Index, and ATR.
Each indicator's output is normalized to a common scale to eliminate bias and ensure consistency. These normalized values are then transformed using a hyperbolic tangent function (Tanh).
The final score is refined with a custom Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) function, which offers responsive smoothing that adapts quickly to price changes. This results in a clear signal that reacts efficiently to shifting market conditions.
⚠️ WARNING ⚠️: THIS INDICATOR, OR ANY OTHER WE (LYRO RS) PUBLISH, IS NOT FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVICE. EVERY INDICATOR SHOULD BE COMBINED WITH PRICE ACTION, FUNDAMENTALS, OTHER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TOOLS & PROPER RISK. MANAGEMENT.
Support and Resistance Logistic Regression | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Logistic Regression Support / Resistance indicator! This tool leverages advanced statistical modeling "Logistic Regressions" to identify and project key price levels where the market is likely to find support or resistance. For more information about the process, please check the "HOW DOES IT WORK ?" section.
Logistic Regression Support / Resistance Features :
Intelligent S/R Identification : The indicator uses a logistic regression model to intelligently identify and plot significant support and resistance levels.
Predictive Probability : Each identified level comes with a calculated probability, indicating how likely it is to act as a true support or resistance based on historical data.
Retest & Break Labels : The indicator clearly marks on your chart when a detected support or resistance level is retested (price touches and respects the level) or broken (price decisively crosses through the level).
Alerts : Real-time alerts for support retests, resistance retests, support breaks, and resistance breaks.
Customizable : You can change support & resistance line style, width and colors.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
What makes this indicator truly unique is its application of logistic regression to the concept of support and resistance. Instead of merely identifying historical highs and lows, our indicator uses a statistical model to predict the future efficacy of these levels. It analyzes underlying market conditions (like RSI and body size at pivot formation) to assign a probability to each potential S/R zone. This predictive insight, combined with dynamic, real-time labeling of retests and breaks, provides a more robust and adaptive understanding of market structure than traditional, purely historical methods.
📌HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The Logistic Regression Support / Resistance indicator operates in several key steps:
First, it identifies significant pivot highs and lows on the chart based on a user-defined "Pivot Length." These pivots are potential areas of support or resistance.
For each detected pivot, the indicator extracts relevant market data at that specific point, including the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and the Body Size (the absolute difference between the open and close price of the candle). These serve as input features for the model.
The core of the indicator lies in its logistic regression model. This model is continuously trained on past pivot data and their subsequent behavior (i.e., whether they were "respected" as support/resistance multiple times). It learns the relationship between the extracted features (RSI, Body Size) and the likelihood of a pivot becoming a significant S/R level.
When a new pivot is identified, the model uses its learned insights to calculate a prediction value—a probability (from 0 to 1) that this specific pivot will act as a strong support or resistance.
If the calculated probability exceeds a user-defined "Probability Threshold," the pivot is designated a "Regression Pivot" and drawn on the chart as a support or resistance line. The indicator then actively tracks how price interacts with these levels, displaying "R" labels for retests when the price bounces off the level and "B" labels for breaks when the price closes beyond it.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Pivot Length: This setting defines the number of bars used to determine a significant high or low for pivot detection.
Target Respects: This input specifies how many times a level must be "respected" by price action for it to be considered a strong support or resistance level by the underlying model.
Probability Threshold: This is the minimum probability output from the logistic regression model for a detected pivot to be considered a valid support or resistance level and be plotted on the chart.
2. Style
Show Prediction Labels: Enable or disable labels that display the calculated probability of a newly identified regression S/R level.
Show Retests: Toggle the visibility of "R" labels on the chart, which mark instances where price has retested a support or resistance level.
Show Breaks: Toggle the visibility of "B" labels on the chart, which mark instances where price has broken through a support or resistance level.
Pearson vs Approx. Spearman CorrelationThis indicator displays the rolling Pearson and approximate Spearman correlation between the chart's asset and a second user-defined asset, based on log returns over a customizable window.
Features:
- Pearson correlation of log returns (standard linear dependency measure)
- Approximate Spearman correlation, using percentile ranks to better capture nonlinear and monotonic relationships
/ Horizontal lines showing:
Maximum and minimum correlation values over a statistical window
1st quartile (25%) and 3rd quartile (75%) — helpful for identifying statistically high or low regimes
This script is useful for identifying dynamic co-movements, regime changes, or correlation breakdowns between assets — applicable in risk management, portfolio construction, and pairs trading strategies.
AltcoinEvreni Entry/TP RR ToolMulti-Entry / Take-Profit Risk-Reward Tool
This indicator is designed to help traders visually plan and manage their trade entries, take-profit targets, stop-loss levels, and risk/reward calculations directly on the chart.
Key Features:
--- Up to 3 customizable entry levels with separate position sizing for each.
--- Up to 5 take-profit (TP) levels, each with individual allocation percentages.
--- Automatic calculation of weighted average entry price.
--- Dynamic risk and potential profit calculation based on your inputs.
--- Visual colored zones for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit areas on the chart.
--- Adjustable leverage and margin for position sizing.
--- Informative floating table displaying position type, entries, stop-loss, risk in $, potential
--- profit in $, and overall RR ratio.
--- Fully customizable appearance (colors, box width, table font size, etc.).
How to Use:
1- Set your trade direction (Long or Short).
2- Enter your planned entry prices, allocation percentages, and stop-loss.
3- Configure your take-profit levels and their respective allocation percentages.
4- Adjust margin, leverage, and visual preferences as desired.
5- The tool will display all relevant zones and statistics, helping you make better risk-managed trading decisions.
Notes:
--- All calculations and drawings update dynamically as you change your parameters.
--- Works on any symbol and timeframe.
--- For educational and planning purposes – always use your own judgment and risk management.
Candle/Keltner Channels BUY SELLWhy Use Candlesticks?
They help traders visualize price action
Used in technical analysis and price pattern recognition (e.g., Doji, Engulfing, Hammer)
Assist in determining entry and exit points
Why Traders Use Keltner Channels?
Keltner Channels are widely used by traders for identifying trends, detecting volatility, and spotting trade opportunities.
1. Trend Identification
The middle line (EMA) shows the general trend.
If price consistently stays above the middle line, it indicates a strong uptrend.
If price stays below, it signals a downtrend.
Use: Traders follow the trend direction to enter trades in line with momentum.
2. Volatility Measurement
The width of the channel expands and contracts based on Average True Range (ATR).
Wider channels = high volatility, tighter channels = low volatility.
Use: Helps traders decide when to expect breakouts or calm periods.
3. Breakout Signals
A break above the upper band can signal a bullish breakout.
A break below the lower band can signal a bearish breakout.
Use: Traders use this for momentum trading and breakout entries.
4. Overbought/Oversold Conditions
Price touching or crossing the upper band may suggest it's overbought.
Price touching or crossing the lower band may suggest it's oversold.
Use: Traders combine this with RSI or MACD to confirm reversal setups.
5. Trade Entry and Exit
When price pulls back to the middle EMA during a trend, it may present a buy/sell opportunity.
Exits can also be planned if price returns inside the bands after a breakout.
Use: Helps with precise entry and exit timing.
6. Combines Well With Other Indicators
Commonly used with:
RSI (for confirmation)
MACD (for momentum)
Candlestick patterns (for price action signals)
Combining Candlestick Patterns with Keltner Channels gives traders a powerful method to confirm entries, spot reversals, and improve accuracy. Here’s why this combination works so well:
1. Context for Candlestick Signals
Candlestick patterns (like doji, engulfing, or pin bars) show potential price reversals, but they need context to be reliable. Keltner Channels provide that context:
A bullish candlestick near the lower band suggests a stronger buy signal.
A bearish candlestick near the upper band strengthens a sell signal.
2. Filtering False Signals
Candlestick patterns occur frequently, and not all are meaningful.
The location within the Keltner Channel helps filter out weak or false patterns.
Example: A bullish engulfing candle outside the lower band = high-probability reversal.
3. Improved Entry Timing
Traders wait for a candlestick pattern confirmation when price touches or crosses a Keltner band.
This avoids premature entries and allows tighter stop-losses.
4. Better Risk-Reward Setup
Candlestick entry near channel extremes (upper/lower band) lets traders place stop-losses just beyond recent highs/lows.
The target can be the opposite side of the channel or the middle EMA.
5. Visual Simplicity
Keltner Channels + Candles are visually intuitive.
Even beginner traders can easily recognize:
Overextended candles near channel edges.
Confirmed breakouts or reversals.
This Timeframe 5 min : XAUUSD
Correlation Coefficient📊 Correlation Coefficient (CC)
This indicator measures the statistical correlation between two selected securities over a defined period, scaled from -100 to +100.
It helps you quickly assess whether assets are moving:
Together (positive correlation)
Opposite (negative correlation)
Independently (zero correlation)
🔧 Features:
Select any two symbols (default: NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)
Adjustable length parameter for short-term or long-term correlation analysis
Clean, color-coded plot with horizontal levels to easily identify key correlation zones
📈 Useful For:
Pair trading setups
Hedging strategies
Detecting market regime shifts or intermarket divergences
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not trading or investment advice.
This indicator is intended for informational purposes only and is not recommended for making
direct trading decisions.
Ergodic Market Divergence (EMD)Ergodic Market Divergence (EMD)
Bridging Statistical Physics and Market Dynamics Through Ensemble Analysis
The Revolutionary Concept: When Physics Meets Trading
After months of research into ergodic theory—a fundamental principle in statistical mechanics—I've developed a trading system that identifies when markets transition between predictable and unpredictable states. This indicator doesn't just follow price; it analyzes whether current market behavior will persist or revert, giving traders a scientific edge in timing entries and exits.
The Core Innovation: Ergodic Theory Applied to Markets
What Makes Markets Ergodic or Non-Ergodic?
In statistical physics, ergodicity determines whether a system's future resembles its past. Applied to trading:
Ergodic Markets (Mean-Reverting)
- Time averages equal ensemble averages
- Historical patterns repeat reliably
- Price oscillates around equilibrium
- Traditional indicators work well
Non-Ergodic Markets (Trending)
- Path dependency dominates
- History doesn't predict future
- Price creates new equilibrium levels
- Momentum strategies excel
The Mathematical Framework
The Ergodic Score combines three critical divergences:
Ergodic Score = (Price Divergence × Market Stress + Return Divergence × 1000 + Volatility Divergence × 50) / 3
Where:
Price Divergence: How far current price deviates from market consensus
Return Divergence: Momentum differential between instrument and market
Volatility Divergence: Volatility regime misalignment
Market Stress: Adaptive multiplier based on current conditions
The Ensemble Analysis Revolution
Beyond Single-Instrument Analysis
Traditional indicators analyze one chart in isolation. EMD monitors multiple correlated markets simultaneously (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA) to detect systemic regime changes. This ensemble approach:
Reveals Hidden Divergences: Individual stocks may diverge from market consensus before major moves
Filters False Signals: Requires broader market confirmation
Identifies Regime Shifts: Detects when entire market structure changes
Provides Context: Shows if moves are isolated or systemic
Dynamic Threshold Adaptation
Unlike fixed-threshold systems, EMD's boundaries evolve with market conditions:
Base Threshold = SMA(Ergodic Score, Lookback × 3)
Adaptive Component = StDev(Ergodic Score, Lookback × 2) × Sensitivity
Final Threshold = Smoothed(Base + Adaptive)
This creates context-aware signals that remain effective across different market environments.
The Confidence Engine: Know Your Signal Quality
Multi-Factor Confidence Scoring
Every signal receives a confidence score based on:
Signal Clarity (0-35%): How decisively the ergodic threshold is crossed
Momentum Strength (0-25%): Rate of ergodic change
Volatility Alignment (0-20%): Whether volatility supports the signal
Market Quality (0-20%): Price convergence and path dependency factors
Real-Time Confidence Updates
The Live Confidence metric continuously updates, showing:
- Current opportunity quality
- Market state clarity
- Historical performance influence
- Signal recency boost
- Visual Intelligence System
Adaptive Ergodic Field Bands
Dynamic bands that expand and contract based on market state:
Primary Color: Ergodic state (mean-reverting)
Danger Color: Non-ergodic state (trending)
Band Width: Expected price movement range
Squeeze Indicators: Volatility compression warnings
Quantum Wave Ribbons
Triple EMA system (8, 21, 55) revealing market flow:
Compressed Ribbons: Consolidation imminent
Expanding Ribbons: Directional move developing
Color Coding: Matches current ergodic state
Phase Transition Signals
Clear entry/exit markers at regime changes:
Bull Signals: Ergodic restoration (mean reversion opportunity)
Bear Signals: Ergodic break (trend following opportunity)
Confidence Labels: Percentage showing signal quality
Visual Intensity: Stronger signals = deeper colors
Professional Dashboard Suite
Main Analytics Panel (Top Right)
Market State Monitor
- Current regime (Ergodic/Non-Ergodic)
- Ergodic score with threshold
- Path dependency strength
- Quantum coherence percentage
Divergence Metrics
- Price divergence with severity
- Volatility regime classification
- Strategy mode recommendation
- Signal strength indicator
Live Intelligence
- Real-time confidence score
- Color-coded risk levels
- Dynamic strategy suggestions
Performance Tracking (Left Panel)
Signal Analytics
- Total historical signals
- Win rate with W/L breakdown
- Current streak tracking
- Closed trade counter
Regime Analysis
- Current market behavior
- Bars since last signal
- Recommended actions
- Average confidence trends
Strategy Command Center (Bottom Right)
Adaptive Recommendations
- Active strategy mode
- Primary approach (mean reversion/momentum)
- Suggested indicators ("weapons")
- Entry/exit methodology
- Risk management guidance
- Comprehensive Input Guide
Core Algorithm Parameters
Analysis Period (10-100 bars)
Scalping (10-15): Ultra-responsive, more signals, higher noise
Day Trading (20-30): Balanced sensitivity and stability
Swing Trading (40-100): Smooth signals, major moves only Default: 20 - optimal for most timeframes
Divergence Threshold (0.5-5.0)
Hair Trigger (0.5-1.0): Catches every wiggle, many false signals
Balanced (1.5-2.5): Good signal-to-noise ratio
Conservative (3.0-5.0): Only extreme divergences Default: 1.5 - best risk/reward balance
Path Memory (20-200 bars)
Short Memory (20-50): Recent behavior focus, quick adaptation
Medium Memory (50-100): Balanced historical context
Long Memory (100-200): Emphasizes established patterns Default: 50 - captures sufficient history without lag
Signal Spacing (5-50 bars)
Aggressive (5-10): Allows rapid-fire signals
Normal (15-25): Prevents clustering, maintains flow
Conservative (30-50): Major setups only Default: 15 - optimal trade frequency
Ensemble Configuration
Select markets for consensus analysis:
SPY: Broad market sentiment
QQQ: Technology leadership
IWM: Small-cap risk appetite
DIA: Blue-chip stability
More instruments = stronger consensus but potentially diluted signals
Visual Customization
Color Themes (6 professional options):
Quantum: Cyan/Pink - Modern trading aesthetic
Matrix: Green/Red - Classic terminal look
Heat: Blue/Red - Temperature metaphor
Neon: Cyan/Magenta - High contrast
Ocean: Turquoise/Coral - Calming palette
Sunset: Red-orange/Teal - Warm gradients
Display Controls:
- Toggle each visual component
- Adjust transparency levels
- Scale dashboard text
- Show/hide confidence scores
- Trading Strategies by Market State
- Ergodic State Strategy (Primary Color Bands)
Market Characteristics
- Price oscillates predictably
- Support/resistance hold
- Volume patterns repeat
- Mean reversion dominates
Optimal Approach
Entry: Fade moves at band extremes
Target: Middle band (equilibrium)
Stop: Just beyond outer bands
Size: Full confidence-based position
Recommended Tools
- RSI for oversold/overbought
- Bollinger Bands for extremes
- Volume profile for levels
- Non-Ergodic State Strategy (Danger Color Bands)
Market Characteristics
- Price trends persistently
- Levels break decisively
- Volume confirms direction
- Momentum accelerates
Optimal Approach
Entry: Breakout from bands
Target: Trail with expanding bands
Stop: Inside opposite band
Size: Scale in with trend
Recommended Tools
- Moving average alignment
- ADX for trend strength
- MACD for momentum
- Advanced Features Explained
Quantum Coherence Metric
Measures phase alignment between individual and ensemble behavior:
80-100%: Perfect sync - strong mean reversion setup
50-80%: Moderate alignment - mixed signals
0-50%: Decoherence - trending behavior likely
Path Dependency Analysis
Quantifies how much history influences current price:
Low (<30%): Technical patterns reliable
Medium (30-50%): Mixed influences
High (>50%): Fundamental shift occurring
Volatility Regime Classification
Contextualizes current volatility:
Normal: Standard strategies apply
Elevated: Widen stops, reduce size
Extreme: Defensive mode required
Signal Strength Indicator
Real-time opportunity quality:
- Distance from threshold
- Momentum acceleration
- Cross-validation factors
Risk Management Framework
Position Sizing by Confidence
90%+ confidence = 100% position size
70-90% confidence = 75% position size
50-70% confidence = 50% position size
<50% confidence = 25% or skip
Dynamic Stop Placement
Ergodic State: ATR × 1.0 from entry
Non-Ergodic State: ATR × 2.0 from entry
Volatility Adjustment: Multiply by current regime
Multi-Timeframe Alignment
- Check higher timeframe regime
- Confirm ensemble consensus
- Verify volume participation
- Align with major levels
What Makes EMD Unique
Original Contributions
First Ergodic Theory Trading Application: Transforms abstract physics into practical signals
Ensemble Market Analysis: Revolutionary multi-market divergence system
Adaptive Confidence Engine: Institutional-grade signal quality metrics
Quantum Coherence: Novel market alignment measurement
Smart Signal Management: Prevents clustering while maintaining responsiveness
Technical Innovations
Dynamic Threshold Adaptation: Self-adjusting sensitivity
Path Memory Integration: Historical dependency weighting
Stress-Adjusted Scoring: Market condition normalization
Real-Time Performance Tracking: Built-in strategy analytics
Optimization Guidelines
By Timeframe
Scalping (1-5 min)
Period: 10-15
Threshold: 0.5-1.0
Memory: 20-30
Spacing: 5-10
Day Trading (5-60 min)
Period: 20-30
Threshold: 1.5-2.5
Memory: 40-60
Spacing: 15-20
Swing Trading (1H-1D)
Period: 40-60
Threshold: 2.0-3.0
Memory: 80-120
Spacing: 25-35
Position Trading (1D-1W)
Period: 60-100
Threshold: 3.0-5.0
Memory: 100-200
Spacing: 40-50
By Market Condition
Trending Markets
- Increase threshold
- Extend memory
- Focus on breaks
Ranging Markets
- Decrease threshold
- Shorten memory
- Focus on restores
Volatile Markets
- Increase spacing
- Raise confidence requirement
- Reduce position size
- Integration with Other Analysis
- Complementary Indicators
For Ergodic States
- RSI divergences
- Bollinger Band squeezes
- Volume profile nodes
- Support/resistance levels
For Non-Ergodic States
- Moving average ribbons
- Trend strength indicators
- Momentum oscillators
- Breakout patterns
- Fundamental Alignment
- Check economic calendar
- Monitor sector rotation
- Consider market themes
- Evaluate risk sentiment
Troubleshooting Guide
Too Many Signals:
- Increase threshold
- Extend signal spacing
- Raise confidence minimum
Missing Opportunities
- Decrease threshold
- Reduce signal spacing
- Check ensemble settings
Poor Win Rate
- Verify timeframe alignment
- Confirm volume participation
- Review risk management
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The ergodic framework provides unique market insights but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
This tool should complement, not replace, comprehensive trading strategies and sound judgment. Markets remain inherently unpredictable despite advanced analysis techniques.
Transform market chaos into trading clarity with Ergodic Market Divergence.
Created with passion for the TradingView community
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Profit Guard ProProfitGuard Pro
ProfitGuard Pro is a risk management and profit calculation tool that helps traders optimize their trades by handling position sizing, risk management, leverage, and take profit calculations. With support for both cumulative and non-cumulative take profit strategies, this versatile indicator provides the insights you need to maximize your trading strategy.
How to Use ProfitGuard Pro:
Load the Indicator: Add ProfitGuard Pro to your chart in TradingView.
Set Your Entry Position: Input your desired entry price.
Define Your Stop Loss: Enter the price at which your trade will exit to minimize losses.
Add Take Profit Levels: Input your TP1, TP2, TP3, and TP4 levels, as needed.
If you want fewer take profit levels, adjust the number of TPs in the settings menu. You can choose between 1 to 4 take profit levels based on your strategy.
Adjust Risk Settings: Specify your account size and risk percentage to calculate position size and leverage.
Choose Cumulative or Non-Cumulative Mode: Toggle cumulative profit mode to either recalculate position sizes as each take profit is hit or keep position sizes static for each TP.
Once set up, ProfitGuard Pro will automatically calculate your position size, leverage, and potential profits for each take profit level, providing a clear visual on your chart to guide your trading decisions.
Key Features:
Risk Management:
Calculate your risk percentage based on account size and stop loss.
Visualize risk in dollar terms and percentage of your account.
Position Size & Leverage:
Automatically calculate the ideal position size and leverage for your trade based on your entry, stop loss, and risk settings.
Ensure you are trading with the appropriate leverage for your account size.
Cumulative vs Non-Cumulative Profit Mode:
Cumulative Mode: Adjusts position size after each take profit is reached, recalculating for remaining contracts.
Non-Cumulative Mode: Treats each take profit as a separate calculation using the full position size.
Take Profit Levels:
Set up to 4 customizable take profit levels.
Adjust percentage values for each TP target, and visualize them on your chart with easy-to-read lines.
Profit Calculation:
Displays potential profits for each take profit level based on whether cumulative or non-cumulative mode is selected.
Calculate your risk-reward ratio dynamically at each TP.
Customizable Visuals:
Easily customize the table's size, position, and color scheme to fit your chart.
Visualize key trade details like leverage, contracts, margin, and profits directly on your chart.
Short and Long Position Support:
Automatically adjusts calculations based on whether you're trading long or short.
Value at Risk (VaR/CVaR) - Stop Loss ToolThis script calculates Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) over a configurable T-bar forward horizon, based on historical T-bar log returns. It plots projected price thresholds that reflect the worst X% of historical return outcomes, helping set statistically grounded stop-loss levels.
A 95% 5-day VaR of −3% means: “In the worst 5% of all historical 5-day periods, losses were 3% or more.” If you're bullish, and your thesis is correct, price should not behave like one of those worst-case scenarios. So if the market starts trading below that 5-day VaR level, it may indicate that your long bias is invalidated, and a stop-loss near that level can help protect against further downside consistent with tail-risk behavior.
How it's different:
Unlike ATR or standard deviation-based methods, which measure recent volatility magnitude, VaR/CVaR incorporate both the magnitude and **likelihood** (5% chance for example) of adverse moves. This makes it better suited for risk-aware position sizing and exits grounded in actual historical return distributions.
How to use for stop placement:
- Set your holding horizon (T) and confidence level (e.g., 95%) in the inputs.
- The script plots a price level below which only the worst 5% (or chosen %) of T-bar returns have historically occurred (VaR).
- If price approaches or breaches the VaR line, your bullish/bearish thesis may be invalidated.
- CVaR gives a deeper threshold: the average loss **if** things go worse than VaR — useful for a secondary or emergency stop.
FURTHER NOTES FROM SOURCE CODE:
//======================================================================//
// If you're bullish (expecting the price to go up), then under normal circumstances, prices should not behave like they do on the worst-case days.
// If they are — you're probably wrong, or something unexpected is happening. Basically, returns shouldn't be exhibiting downside tail-like behavior if you're bullish.
// VaR(95%, T) gives the threshold below which the price falls only 5% of the time historically, over T days/bars and considering N historical samples.
// CVaR tells you the expected/average price level if that adverse move continues
// Caveats:
// For a variety of reasons, VaR underestimates volatility, despite using historical returns directly rather than making normality assumptions
// as is the case with the standard historicalvol/bollinger band/stdev/ATR approaches)
// Volatility begets volatility (volatility clustering), and VaR is not a conditional probability on recent volatility so it likely underestimates the true volatility of an adverse event
// Regieme shifts occur (bullish phase after prolonged bearish behavior), so upside/short VaR would underestimate the best-case days in the beginning of that move, depending on lookahead horizon/sampling period
// News/events happen, and maybe your sampling period doesn't contain enough event-driven returns to form reliable stats
// In general of course, this tool assumes past return distributions are reflective of forward risk (not the case in non-stationary time series)
// Thus, this tool is not predictive — it shows historical tail risk, not guaranteed outcomes.
// Also, when forming log-returns, overlapping windows of returns are used (to get more samples), but this introduces autocorrelation (if it wasn't there already). This means again, the true VaR is underestimated.
// Description:
// This script calculates and plots both Value at Risk (VaR) and
// Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) for a given confidence level, using
// historical log returns. It computes both long-side (left tail) and
// short-side (right tail) risk, and converts them into price thresholds (red and green lines respectively).
//
// Key Concepts:
// - VaR: "There is a 95% chance the loss will be less than this value over T days. Represents the 95th-percentile worst empirical returns observed in the sampling period, over T bars.
// - CVaR: "Given that the loss exceeds the VaR, the average of those worst 5% losses is this value. (blue line)" Expected tail loss. If the worst case breached, how bad can it get on average
// - For shorts, the script computes the mirror (right-tail) equivalents.
// - Use T-day log returns if estimating risk over multiple days forward.
// - You can see instances where the VaR for time T, was surpassed historically with the "backtest" boolean
//
// Usage for Stop-Loss:
// - LONG POSITIONS:
// • 95th percentile means, 5% of the time (1 in 20 times) you'd expect to get a VaR level loss (touch the red line), over the next T bars.
// • VaR threshold = minimum price expected with (1 – confidence)% chance.
// • CVaR threshold = expected price if that worst-case zone is breached.
// → Use as potential stop-loss (VaR) or disaster stop (CVaR). If you're bullish (and you're right), price should not be exhibiting returns consistent with the worst 5% of days/T_bars historically.
//======================================================================//
1A Monthly P&L Table - Using Library1A Monthly P&L Table: Track Your Performance Month-by-Month
Overview:
The 1A Monthly P&L Table is a straightforward yet powerful indicator designed to give you an immediate overview of your asset's (or strategy's) percentage performance on a monthly basis. Displayed conveniently in the bottom-right corner of your chart, this tool helps you quickly assess historical gains and losses, making it easier to analyze trends in performance over time.
Key Features:
Monthly Performance at a Glance: Clearly see the percentage change for each past month.
Cumulative P&L: A running total of the displayed monthly P&L is provided, giving you a quick sum of performance over the selected period.
Customizable Display:
Months to Display: Choose how many past months you want to see in the table (from 1 to 60 months).
Text Size: Adjust the text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge) to fit your viewing preferences.
Text Color: Customize the color of the text for better visibility against your chart background.
Intraday & Daily Compatibility: The table is optimized to display on daily and intraday timeframes, ensuring it's relevant for various trading styles. (Note: For very long-term analysis on weekly/monthly charts, you might consider other tools, as this focuses on granular monthly P&L.)
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the percentage change from the close of the previous month to the close of the current month. For the very first month displayed, it calculates the P&L from the opening price of the chart's first bar to the close of that month. This data is then neatly organized into a table, updated on the last bar of the day or session.
Ideal For:
Traders and investors who want a quick, visual summary of monthly performance.
Analyzing seasonal trends or consistent periods of profitability/drawdown.
Supplementing backtesting results with a clear month-by-month breakdown.
Settings:
Text Color: Changes the color of all text within the table.
Text Size: Controls the font size of the table content.
Months to Display: Determines the number of recent months included in the table.
Lorentzian Classification - Advanced Trading DashboardLorentzian Classification - Relativistic Market Analysis
A Journey from Theory to Trading Reality
What began as fascination with Einstein's relativity and Lorentzian geometry has evolved into a practical trading tool that bridges theoretical physics and market dynamics. This indicator represents months of wrestling with complex mathematical concepts, debugging intricate algorithms, and transforming abstract theory into actionable trading signals.
The Theoretical Foundation
Lorentzian Distance in Market Space
Traditional Euclidean distance treats all feature differences equally, but markets don't behave uniformly. Lorentzian distance, borrowed from spacetime geometry, provides a more nuanced similarity measure:
d(x,y) = Σ ln(1 + |xi - yi|)
This logarithmic formulation naturally handles:
Scale invariance: Large price moves don't overwhelm small but significant patterns
Outlier robustness: Extreme values are dampened rather than dominating
Non-linear relationships: Captures market behavior better than linear metrics
K-Nearest Neighbors with Relativistic Weighting
The algorithm searches historical market states for patterns similar to current conditions. Each neighbor receives weight inversely proportional to its Lorentzian distance:
w = 1 / (1 + distance)
This creates a "gravitational" effect where closer patterns have stronger influence on predictions.
The Implementation Challenge
Creating meaningful market features required extensive experimentation:
Price Features: Multi-timeframe momentum (1, 2, 3, 5, 8 bar lookbacks) Volume Features: Relative volume analysis against 20-period average
Volatility Features: ATR and Bollinger Band width normalization Momentum Features: RSI deviation from neutral and MACD/price ratio
Each feature undergoes min-max normalization to ensure equal weighting in distance calculations.
The Prediction Mechanism
For each current market state:
Feature Vector Construction: 12-dimensional representation of market conditions
Historical Search: Scan lookback period for similar patterns using Lorentzian distance
Neighbor Selection: Identify K nearest historical matches
Outcome Analysis: Examine what happened N bars after each match
Weighted Prediction: Combine outcomes using distance-based weights
Confidence Calculation: Measure agreement between neighbors
Technical Hurdles Overcome
Array Management: Complex indexing to prevent look-ahead bias
Distance Calculations: Optimizing nested loops for performance
Memory Constraints: Balancing lookback depth with computational limits
Signal Filtering: Preventing clustering of identical signals
Advanced Dashboard System
Main Control Panel
The primary dashboard provides real-time market intelligence:
Signal Status: Current prediction with confidence percentage
Neighbor Analysis: How many historical patterns match current conditions
Market Regime: Trend strength, volatility, and volume analysis
Temporal Context: Real-time updates with timestamp
Performance Analytics
Comprehensive tracking system monitors:
Win Rate: Percentage of successful predictions
Signal Count: Total predictions generated
Streak Analysis: Current winning/losing sequence
Drawdown Monitoring: Maximum equity decline
Sharpe Approximation: Risk-adjusted performance estimate
Risk Assessment Panel
Multi-dimensional risk analysis:
RSI Positioning: Overbought/oversold conditions
ATR Percentage: Current volatility relative to price
Bollinger Position: Price location within volatility bands
MACD Alignment: Momentum confirmation
Confidence Heatmap
Visual representation of prediction reliability:
Historical Confidence: Last 10 periods of prediction certainty
Strength Analysis: Magnitude of prediction values over time
Pattern Recognition: Color-coded confidence levels for quick assessment
Input Parameters Deep Dive
Core Algorithm Settings
K Nearest Neighbors (1-20): More neighbors create smoother but less responsive signals. Optimal range 5-8 for most markets.
Historical Lookback (50-500): Deeper history improves pattern recognition but reduces adaptability. 100-200 bars optimal for most timeframes.
Feature Window (5-30): Longer windows capture more context but reduce sensitivity. Match to your trading timeframe.
Feature Selection
Price Changes: Essential for momentum and reversal detection Volume Profile: Critical for institutional activity recognition Volatility Measures: Key for regime change detection Momentum Indicators: Vital for trend confirmation
Signal Generation
Prediction Horizon (1-20): How far ahead to predict. Shorter horizons for scalping, longer for swing trading.
Signal Threshold (0.5-0.9): Confidence required for signal generation. Higher values reduce false signals but may miss opportunities.
Smoothing (1-10): EMA applied to raw predictions. More smoothing reduces noise but increases lag.
Visual Design Philosophy
Color Themes
Professional: Corporate blue/red for institutional environments Neon: Cyberpunk cyan/magenta for modern aesthetics
Matrix: Green/red hacker-inspired palette Classic: Traditional trading colors
Information Hierarchy
The dashboard system prioritizes information by importance:
Primary Signals: Largest, most prominent display
Confidence Metrics: Secondary but clearly visible
Supporting Data: Detailed but unobtrusive
Historical Context: Available but not distracting
Trading Applications
Signal Interpretation
Long Signals: Prediction > threshold with high confidence
Look for volume confirmation
- Check trend alignment
- Verify support levels
Short Signals: Prediction < -threshold with high confidence
Confirm with resistance levels
- Check for distribution patterns
- Verify momentum divergence
- Market Regime Adaptation
Trending Markets: Higher confidence in directional signals
Ranging Markets: Focus on reversal signals at extremes
Volatile Markets: Require higher confidence thresholds
Low Volume: Reduce position sizes, increase caution
Risk Management Integration
Confidence-Based Sizing: Larger positions for higher confidence signals
Regime-Aware Stops: Wider stops in volatile regimes
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Align signals across timeframes
Volume Confirmation: Require volume support for major signals
Originality and Innovation
This indicator represents genuine innovation in several areas:
Mathematical Approach
First application of Lorentzian geometry to market pattern recognition. Unlike Euclidean-based systems, this naturally handles market non-linearities.
Feature Engineering
Sophisticated multi-dimensional feature space combining price, volume, volatility, and momentum in normalized form.
Visualization System
Professional-grade dashboard system providing comprehensive market intelligence in intuitive format.
Performance Tracking
Real-time performance analytics typically found only in institutional trading systems.
Development Journey
Creating this indicator involved overcoming numerous technical challenges:
Mathematical Complexity: Translating theoretical concepts into practical code
Performance Optimization: Balancing accuracy with computational efficiency
User Interface Design: Making complex data accessible and actionable
Signal Quality: Filtering noise while maintaining responsiveness
The result is a tool that brings institutional-grade analytics to individual traders while maintaining the theoretical rigor of its mathematical foundation.
Best Practices
- Parameter Optimization
- Start with default settings and adjust based on:
Market Characteristics: Volatile vs. stable
Trading Timeframe: Scalping vs. swing trading
Risk Tolerance: Conservative vs. aggressive
Signal Confirmation
Never trade on Lorentzian signals alone:
Price Action: Confirm with support/resistance
Volume: Verify with volume analysis
Multiple Timeframes: Check higher timeframe alignment
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Scale with confidence levels
Stop Losses: Adapt to market volatility
Profit Targets: Based on historical performance
Maximum Risk: Never exceed 2-3% per trade
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee profitable trading results. The Lorentzian classification system reveals market patterns but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Market dynamics are inherently uncertain, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This tool should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, not as a standalone solution.
Bringing the elegance of relativistic geometry to market analysis through sophisticated pattern recognition and intuitive visualization.
Thank you for sharing the idea. You're more than a follower, you're a leader!
@vasanthgautham1221
Trade with precision. Trade with insight.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Eigenvector Centrality Drift (ECD) - Market State Network What is Eigenvector Centrality Drift (ECD)?
Eigenvector Centrality Drift (ECD) is a groundbreaking indicator that applies concepts from network science to financial markets. Instead of viewing price as a simple series, ECD models the market as a dynamic network of “micro-states”—distinct combinations of price, volatility, and volume. By tracking how the influence of these states changes over time, ECD helps you spot regime shifts and transitions in market character before they become obvious in price.
This is not another moving average or momentum oscillator. ECD is inspired by eigenvector centrality—a measure of influence in network theory—and adapts it to the world of price action, volatility, and volume. It’s about understanding which market states are “in control” and when that control is about to change.
Theoretical Foundation
Network Science: In complex systems, nodes (states) and edges (transitions) form a network. Eigenvector centrality measures how influential a node is, not just by its direct connections, but by the influence of the nodes it connects to.
Market Micro-States: Each bar is classified into a “state” based on price change, volatility, and volume. The market transitions between these states, forming a network of possible regimes.
Centrality Drift: By tracking the centrality (influence) of the current state, and how it changes (drifts) over time, ECD highlights when the market’s “center of gravity” is shifting—often a precursor to major moves or regime changes.
How ECD Works
State Classification: Each bar is assigned to one of N market micro-states, based on a weighted combination of normalized price change, volatility, and volume.
Transition Matrix: Over a rolling window, ECD tracks how often the market transitions from each state to every other state, forming a transition probability matrix.
Centrality Calculation: Using a simplified eigenvector approach, ECD calculates the “influence” score for each state, reflecting how central it is to the network of recent market behavior.
Centrality Drift: The indicator tracks the Z-score of the change in centrality for the current state. Rapid increases or decreases, or a shift in the dominant state, signal a potential regime shift.
Dominant State: ECD also highlights which state currently has the highest influence, providing insight into the prevailing market character.
Inputs:
🌐 Market State Configuration
Number of Market States (n_states, default 6): Number of distinct micro-states to track.
3–4: Simple (Up/Down/Sideways)
5–6: Balanced (recommended)
7–9: Complex, more nuanced
Price Change Weight (price_weight, default 0.4):
How much price movement defines a state. Higher = more directional.
Volatility Weight (vol_weight, default 0.3):
How much volatility defines a state. Higher = more regime focus.
Volume Weight (volume_weight, default 0.3):
How much volume defines a state. Higher = more participation focus.
🔗 Network Analysis
Transition Matrix Window (transition_window, default 50): Lookback for building the state transition matrix.
Shorter: Adapts quickly
Longer: More stable
Influence Decay Factor (influence_decay, default 0.85): How much influence propagates through the network.
Higher: Distant transitions matter more
Lower: Only immediate transitions matter
Drift Detection Sensitivity (drift_sensitivity, default 1.5): Z-score threshold for significant centrality drift.
Lower: More signals
Higher: Only major shifts
🎨 Visualization
Show Network Visualization (show_network, default true): Background color and effects based on network structure.
Show Centrality Score (show_centrality, default true): Plots the current state’s centrality measure.
Show Drift Indicator (show_drift, default true): Plots the centrality drift Z-score.
Show State Map (show_state_map, default true): Dashboard showing all state centralities and which is dominant.
Color Scheme (color_scheme, default "Quantum"):
“Quantum”: Cyan/Magenta
“Neural”: Green/Blue
“Plasma”: Yellow/Pink
“Matrix”: Green/Black
Color Schemes
Dynamic gradients reflect the current state’s centrality and drift, using your chosen color palette.
Background network effect: The more central the current state, the more intense the background.
Centrality and drift lines: Color-coded for clarity and regime shift detection.
Visual Logic
Centrality Score Line: Plots the influence of the current state, with glow for emphasis.
Drift Indicator: Histogram of centrality drift Z-score, green for positive, red for negative.
Threshold Lines: Dotted lines mark the drift sensitivity threshold for regime shift alerts.
State Map Dashboard: Top-right panel shows all state centralities, highlights the current and dominant state, and visualizes influence with bars.
Information Panel: Bottom-left panel summarizes current state, centrality, dominant state, drift Z-score, and regime shift status.
How to Use ECD
Centrality Score: High = current state is highly influential; low = state is peripheral.
Drift Z-Score:
Large positive/negative = rapid change in influence, regime shift likely.
Near zero = stable network, no major shift.
Dominant State: The state with the highest centrality is “in control” of the market’s transitions.
State Map: Use to see which states are rising or falling in influence.
Tips:
Use fewer states for simple markets, more for nuanced analysis.
Watch for drift Z-score crossing the threshold—these are your regime shift signals.
Combine with your own system for confirmation.
Alerts:
ECD Regime Shift: Significant centrality drift detected—potential regime change.
ECD State Change: Market state transition occurred.
ECD Dominance Shift: Dominant market state has changed.
Originality & Usefulness
ECD is not a mashup or rehash of standard indicators. It is a novel application of network science and eigenvector centrality to market microstructure, providing a new lens for understanding regime shifts and market transitions. The state network, centrality drift, and dashboard are unique to this script. ECD is designed for anticipation, not confirmation—helping you see the market’s “center of gravity” shift before price action makes it obvious.
Chart Info
Script Name: Eigenvector Centrality Drift (ECD) – Market State Network
Recommended Use: Any asset, any timeframe. Tune parameters to your style.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or direct buy/sell signals. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
See the market as a network. Anticipate the shift in influence.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
H4 Swing Grade Checklist English V.1✅ H4 Swing Grade Checklist – Auto Grading for Smart Money Setups
This script helps manual traders assess the quality of a Smart Money swing trade setup by checking 7 key criteria. The system assigns a grade (A+, A, A−, or B) based on how many and which checklist items are met.
📋 Checklist Items (7 total):
✅ Sweep occurs within 4 candles
✅ MSS (strong break candle)
✅ Entry is placed outside the wick of the sweep
✅ FVG is fresh (not previously used)
✅ FVG overlaps Fibonacci 0.705 level
✅ FVG lies within Premium or Discount zone
✅ Entry is placed at 0.705 Fibonacci retracement
🏅 Grading Criteria:
A+ → All 7 checklist items are satisfied
A → Only missing #5 (FVG Overlap with 0.705)
A− → Only missing #4 (FVG Fresh)
B → Only missing #2 (MSS – clear break of structure)
– → Any other combinations / fewer than 6 conditions met
⚙️ Features:
Toggle visibility with one click
Fixed display in top-right or bottom-right of the chart
Color-coded grading logic (Green, Yellow, Orange, Blue)
Clear checklist feedback for trade journaling or evaluation
🚀 Ideal For:
ICT / Smart Money traders
Prop firm evaluations
Swing trade quality control
Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG) What is the Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG)?
The Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG) is a unique market regime and imbalance detector that quantifies the subtle, directional “information flow” in price and volume. Inspired by information theory and market microstructure, IAG is designed to help traders spot the early buildup of conviction or surprise—the kind of hidden imbalance that often precedes major price moves.
Unlike traditional volume or momentum indicators, IAG focuses on the efficiency and directionality of information transfer: how much “informational energy” is being revealed by up-moves versus down-moves, normalized by price movement. It’s not just about net flow, but about the quality and asymmetry of that flow.
Theoretical Foundation
Information Asymmetry: Markets move when new information is revealed. If one side (buyers or sellers) is consistently more “informationally efficient” per unit of price change, an imbalance is building—even if price hasn’t moved much yet.
Gradient: By tracking the rate of change (gradient) between fast and slow information flows, IAG highlights when a subtle imbalance is accelerating.
Volatility of Asymmetry: Sudden spikes in the volatility of information asymmetry often signal regime uncertainty or the approach of a “surprise” move.
How IAG Works
Directional Information Content: For each bar, IAG estimates the “information per unit of price change” for both up-moves and down-moves, using volume and price action.
Asymmetry Calculation: Computes the difference (or ratio) between up and down information content, revealing directional bias.
Gradient Detection: Calculates both a fast and slow EMA of the asymmetry, then measures their difference (the “gradient”), normalized as a Z-score.
Volatility of Asymmetry: Tracks the standard deviation of asymmetry over a rolling window, with Z-score normalization to spot “information shocks.”
Flow Strength: Quantifies the conviction of the current information flow on a 0–100 scale.
Regime Detection: Flags “extreme” asymmetry, “building” flow, and “high volatility” states.
Inputs:
🌌 Core Asymmetry Parameters
Fast Information Period (short_len, default 8): EMA period for detecting immediate information flow changes.
5–8: Scalping (1–5min)
8–12: Day trading (15min–1hr)
12–20: Swing trading (4hr+)
Slow Information Period (long_len, default 34): EMA period for baseline information context. Should be 3–5x fast period.
Default (34): Fibonacci number, stable for most assets.
Gradient Smoothing (gradient_smooth, default 3): Smooths the gradient calculation.
1–2: Raw, responsive
3–5: Balanced
6–10: Very smooth
📊 Asymmetry Method
Calculation Mode (calc_mode, default "Weighted"):
“Simple”: Basic volume split by direction
“Weighted”: Volume × price movement (default, most robust)
“Logarithmic”: Log-scaled for large moves
Use Ratio (show_ratio, default false):
“Difference”: UpInfo – DownInfo (additive)
“Ratio”: UpInfo / DownInfo (multiplicative, better for comparing volatility regimes)
🌊 Volatility Analysis
Volatility Window (stdev_len, default 21): Lookback for measuring asymmetry volatility.
Volatility Alert Level (vol_threshold, default 1.5): Z-score threshold for volatility alerts.
🎨 Visual Settings
Color Theme (color_theme, default "Starry Night"):
Van Gogh-inspired palettes:
“Starry Night”: Deep blues and yellows
“Sunflowers”: Warm yellows and browns
“Café Terrace”: Night blues and warm lights
“Wheat Field”: Golden and sky blue
Show Swirl Effects (show_swirls, default true): Adds swirling background to visualize information turbulence.
Show Signal Stars (show_stars, default true): Star markers at significant asymmetry points.
Show Info Dashboard (show_dashboard, default true): Top-right panel with current metrics and market state.
Show Flow Visualization (show_flow, default true): Main gradient line with artistic effects.
Color Schemes
Dynamic color gradients adapt to both the direction and intensity of the information gradient, using Van Gogh-inspired palettes for visual clarity and artistic flair.
Glow and aura effects: The main line is layered with glows for depth and to highlight strong signals.
Swirl background: Visualizes the “turbulence” of information flow, darker and more intense as flow strength and volatility rise.
Visual Logic
Main Gradient Line: Plots the normalized information gradient (Z-score), color-coded by direction and intensity.
Glow/Aura: Multiple layers for visual depth and to highlight strong signals.
Threshold Zones: Dotted lines and filled areas mark “Building” and “Extreme” asymmetry zones.
Volatility Ribbon: Area plot of volatility Z-score, highlighting information shocks.
Signal Stars: Circular markers at each “Extreme” event, color-coded for bullish/bearish; cross markers for volatility spikes.
Dashboard: Top-right panel shows current status (Extreme, Building, High Volatility, Balanced), gradient value, flow strength, information balance, and volatility status.
Trading Guide: Bottom-left panel explains all states and how to interpret them.
How to Use IAG
🌟 EXTREME: Major information imbalance—potential for explosive move or reversal.
🌙 BUILDING: Asymmetry is forming—watch for a breakout or trend acceleration.
🌪️ HIGH VOLATILITY: Information flow is unstable—expect regime uncertainty or “surprise” moves.
☁️ BALANCED: No clear bias—market is in equilibrium.
Positive Gradient: Bullish information flow (buyers have the edge).
Negative Gradient: Bearish information flow (sellers have the edge).
Flow >66%: Strong conviction—crowd is acting in unison.
Volatility Spike: Regime uncertainty—be alert for sudden moves.
Tips:
- Use lower periods for scalping, higher for swing trading.
- “Weighted” mode is most robust for most assets.
- Combine with price action or your own system for confirmation.
- Works on all assets and timeframes—tune to your style.
Alerts
IAG Extreme Asymmetry: Extreme information asymmetry detected.
IAG Building Flow: Information flow building.
IAG High Volatility: Information volatility spike.
IAG Bullish/Bearish Extreme: Directional extreme detected.
Originality & Usefulness
IAG is not a mashup of existing indicators. It is a novel approach to quantifying the “surprise” or “conviction” element in market moves, focusing on the efficiency and directionality of information transfer per unit of price change. The multi-layered color logic, artistic visual effects, and regime dashboard are unique to this script. IAG is designed for anticipation, not confirmation—helping you see subtle imbalances before they become obvious in price.
Chart Info
Script Name: Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG) – Starry Night
Recommended Use: Any asset, any timeframe. Tune parameters to your style.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or direct buy/sell signals. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
multi-tf standard devs [keypoems]Multi-Timeframe Standard Deviations Levels
A visual map of “how far is too far” across any three higher time-frames.
1. What it does
This script plots dynamic price “rails” built from standard deviation (StDev)—the same math that underpins the bell curve—on up to three higher-time-frames (HTFs) at once.
• It measures the volatility of intraday open-to-close increments, reaching back as far as 5000 bars (≈ 20 years on daily data).
• Each HTF can be extended to the next session or truncated at session close for tidy dashboards.
• Lines can be mirrored so you see symmetric positive/negative bands, and optional background fills shade the “probability cone.”
Because ≈ 68 % of moves live inside ±1 StDev, ≈ 95 % inside ±2, and ≈ 99.7 % inside ±3, the plot instantly shows when price is statistically stretched or compressed.
3. Key settings
Higher Time-Frame #1-3 Turn each HTF on/off, pick the interval (anything from 1 min to 1 year), and decide whether lines should extend into the next period.
Show levels for last X days Keep your chart clean by limiting how many historical sessions are displayed (1-50).
Based on last X periods Length of the StDev sample. Long look-backs (e.g. 5 000) iron-out day-to-day noise; short look-backs make the bands flex with recent volatility.
Fib Settings Toggle each multiple, line thickness/style/colour, label size, whether to print the numeric level, the live price, the HTF label, and whether to tint the background (choose your own opacity).
4. Under-the-hood notes
StDev is calculated on (close – open) / open rather than absolute prices, making the band width scale-agnostic.
Watch for tests of ±1:
Momentum traders ride the breakout with a target at the next band.
Mean-reversion traders wait for the first stall candle and trade back to zero line or VWAP.
Bottom line: Multi-Timeframe Standard-Deviations turns raw volatility math into an intuitive “price terrain map,” helping you instantly judge whether a move is ordinary, stretched, or extreme—across the time-frames that matter to you.
Original code by fadizeidan and stats by NQStats's ProbableChris.
Bullish Volume AnomalyAnomaly is designed to spot hidden bullish accumulation before price actually breaks out, by blending a trend-aware volume measure with a volatility-adjusted price channel. Here’s how it works:
First, it runs a simple ATR-based zigzag to identify the current swing direction. Volume is then signed (+ for up-trends, – for down-trends) and cumulatively summed. By converting that cumulative signed volume into a z-score over the past 480 bars, we get a sense of when buying or selling pressure is unusually strong relative to its own history.
At the same time, price itself is normalized into a z-score over the same 480-bar window, and its change over that period is also tracked. These two measures—volume z-score (s) and price z-score (p)—are compared, and the indicator looks for moments when s outpaces p by at least two standard deviations (s – p > 2), while price momentum change remains low (c < 1) and the net volume is positive (s > 0). That combination flags instances where heavy buying is taking place but price hasn’t yet reacted.
To define a dynamic trading zone, it plots a 288-bar EMA of price as the middle band (t2), and builds upper and lower bands around it using the average close-to-open range multiplied by a user-set factor. The lower band (t1) sits beneath the EMA by that volatility-based margin. A signal fires only when the bar’s high stays below t1—meaning price is still “sleeping” under the lower volatility boundary even as bullish volume builds up.
Together, these filters home in on anomalies: strong, trend-aligned volume surges that outstrip price movement, occurring while price sits below its lower volatility band. In practice, that often marks early accumulation before a breakout. You can tweak the ATR length and multiplier for the zigzag, as well as the channel period and range factor, to suit different markets or timeframes.
Normalized DXY+Custom USD Index (DXY+) – Normalized Dollar Strength with Bitcoin, Gold, and Yuan.
This custom USD strength index replicates the structure of the official U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), while expanding it to include modern financial assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), gold (XAU), and the Chinese yuan (CNY).
Weights for the core fiat currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF) follow the official ICE DXY methodology. Additional components are weighted proportionally based on their estimated global economic influence.
The index is normalized from its initial valid data point, meaning it starts at 100 on the first day all asset inputs are available. From that point forward, it tracks the relative strength of the U.S. dollar against this expanded basket.
This provides a more comprehensive and modernized view of the dollar's strength—not only against traditional fiat currencies, but also in the context of rising decentralized assets and non-Western trade power.
HGDA Hany Ghazy Digital Analytics area zone'sIndicator Name: HGDA Hany Ghazy Digital Analytics area zones
Description:
This indicator plots several key price zones based on the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period.
The plotted zones represent dynamic support and resistance levels calculated using specific ratios of the price range (High - Low), as follows:
- Zone 1 (Light Red): Represents an upper resistance zone.
- Zone 2 (Medium Green): Represents a medium support zone.
- Zone 3 (Dark Red): Represents a lower resistance zone.
- Zone 4 (Dark Green): Represents a strong support zone.
Additionally, the indicator plots a yellow "Zero" line representing the midpoint price of the selected period, serving as a balance point for price action.
This indicator is ideal for identifying the overall market trend, as prices typically move from the upper resistance zones (light red) downwards to the end of the wave in the lower zones (dark green). This helps traders better understand wave nature and direction.
Usage:
- The colored zones assist in identifying potential reversal or continuation areas.
- These zones can be used to plan entries, exits, and risk management.
- Default lookback period is 20 bars, adjustable in the settings to suit the timeframe.
Notes:
- This indicator relies on historical price data and does not guarantee market predictions.
- It is recommended to combine it with other indicators and analytical tools for improved trading decisions.
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Developed by Hany Ghazy Digital Analytics (HGDA).
Custom USD IndexThis is a modernized, expanded version of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), designed to provide a more accurate representation of the dollar’s global strength in today’s diversified economy.
Unlike the traditional DXY, which excludes major players like China and entirely omits real-world stores of value, this custom index (DXY+) includes:
Fiat Currencies (78.3% total weight):
EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, AUD, CHF, and CNY — equally weighted to reflect the global currency landscape.
Gold (17.5%):
Gold (XAUUSD) is included as a traditional reserve asset and inflation hedge, acknowledging its continued monetary relevance.
Cryptocurrencies (2.8% total weight):
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) represent the emerging digital monetary layer.
The index rises when the U.S. dollar strengthens relative to this blended basket, and falls when the dollar weakens against it. This is ideal for traders, economists, and macro analysts seeking a more inclusive and up-to-date measure of dollar performance.
Float, Daily % Change & Short %This TradingView Pine Script displays a compact table on your chart showing four key metrics for any stock:
📊 What It Shows:
Float – Number of publicly available shares, formatted in K/M/B.
Daily % Change – Price change from yesterday’s close to the current price.
Intraday % Change – Price change from today’s open to the current price.
Short Volume % – Estimated short volume as a percentage of total daily volume.
⚙️ How to Use:
Add the script to your TradingView chart.
Choose table size and screen position from the settings panel.
The values update in real-time on the latest candle only, so they stay out of the way but always visible.
Ideal for momentum traders, short float hunters, and day traders who need quick access to real-time float, price action, and short volume stats.
SOFR Spread (proxy: FEDFUNDS - US03MY)📊 SOFR Spread (Proxy: FEDFUNDS - US03MY) – Monitoring USD Money Market Liquidity
In 2008, the spread exhibits a sharp vertical spike, signaling a severe liquidity dislocation: investors rushed into short-term U.S. Treasuries, pushing their yields down dramatically, while the FEDFUNDS rate remained relatively high.
This behavior indicates extreme systemic stress in the interbank lending market, preceding massive Federal Reserve interventions such as rate cuts, emergency liquidity operations, and the launch of quantitative easing (QE).
Description:
This indicator plots the spread between the Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS) and the 3-Month US Treasury Bill yield (US03MY), used here as a proxy for the SOFR spread.
It serves as a simple yet powerful tool to detect liquidity dislocations and stress signals in the US short-term funding markets.
Interpretation:
🔴 Spread > 0.20% → Possible liquidity stress: elevated repo rates, cash shortage, interbank distrust.
🟡 Spread ≈ 0% → Normal market conditions, balanced liquidity.
🟢 Spread < 0% → Excess liquidity: strong demand for T-Bills, “flight to safety”, or distortion due to expansionary monetary policy.
Ideal for:
Monitoring Fed policy impact
Anticipating market-wide liquidity squeezes
Correlation with DXY, SPX, VIX, MOVE Index, and risk sentiment
🧠 Note: As SOFR is not directly available on TradingView, FEDFUNDS is used as a reliable proxy, closely tracking the same trends in most macro conditions.
Statistical Pairs Trading IndicatorZ-Score Stat Trading — Statistical Pairs Trading Indicator
📊🔗
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What is it?
Z-Score Stat Trading is a powerful indicator for statistical pairs trading and quantitative analysis of two correlated assets.
It calculates the Z-Score of the log-price spread between any two symbols you choose, providing both long-term and short-term Z-Score signals.
You’ll also see real-time correlation, volatility, spread, and the number of long/short signals in a handy on-chart table!
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How to Use 🛠️
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Select two assets (symbols) to analyze in the settings.
3. Watch the Z-Score plots (blue and orange lines) and threshold levels (+2, -2 by default).
4. Check the info table for:
- Correlation
- Volatility
- Spread
- Number of long (NL) and short (NS) signals in the last 1000 bars
5. Set up alerts for signal generation or threshold crossings if you want to be notified automatically.
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Trading Strategy 💡
- This indicator is designed for statistical arbitrage (mean reversion) strategies.
- Long Signal (🟢):
When both Z-Scores drop below the negative threshold (e.g., -2), a long signal is generated.
→ Buy Symbol A, Sell Symbol B, expecting the spread to revert to the mean.
- Short Signal (🔴):
When both Z-Scores rise above the positive threshold (e.g., +2), a short signal is generated.
→ Sell Symbol A, Buy Symbol B, again expecting mean reversion.
- The info table helps you quickly assess the frequency of signals and the current statistical relationship between your chosen assets.
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Best Practices & Warnings 🚦
- Avoid high leverage! Pairs trading can be risky, especially during periods of divergence. Use conservative position sizing.
- Check for cointegration: Before using this indicator, make sure both assets are cointegrated or have a strong historical relationship. This increases the reliability of mean reversion signals.
- Check correlation: Only use asset pairs with a high correlation (preferably 0.8–0.9 or higher) for best results. The correlation value is shown in the info table.
- Scale in and out gradually: When entering or exiting positions, consider doing so in parts rather than all at once. This helps manage slippage and risk, especially in volatile markets.
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⚠️ Note on Performance:
This indicator may work a bit slowly, especially on large timeframes or long chart histories, because the calculation of NL and NS (number of long/short signals) is computationally intensive.
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Disclaimer ⚠️
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only .
It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
Use at your own risk. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading decisions or losses.
