US Sentiment Index [CryptoSea]The US Sentiment Index is an advanced analytical tool designed for traders seeking to uncover patterns, correlations, and potential leading signals across key market tickers. This indicator surpasses traditional sentiment measures, providing a data-driven approach that offers deeper insights compared to conventional indices like the Fear and Greed Index.
Key Features
Multi-Ticker Analysis: Integrates data from a diverse set of market indicators, including gold, S&P 500, U.S. Dollar Index, Volatility Index, and more, to create a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
Customisable Sensitivity Settings: Allows users to adjust the moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of sentiment calculations, adapting the tool to various market conditions and trading strategies.
Detailed Sentiment Scaling: Utilises a 0-100 scale to quantify sentiment strength, with colour gradients that visually represent bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions, aiding in quick decision-making.
Below is an example where the sentiment index can give leading signals. We see a first sign of wekaness in the index as it drops below its moving average. Shortly after we see it dip below our median 50 level, another sign of weakeness. We see the SPX price action to take a hit following the sentiment index decrease.
Tickers Used and Their Impact on Sentiment
The impact of each ticker on sentiment can be bullish or bearish, depending on their behaviour:
Gold (USGD): Typically seen as a safe-haven asset, rising gold prices often indicate increased market fear or bearish sentiment. Conversely, falling gold prices can signal reduced fear and a shift towards bullish sentiment in riskier assets.
S&P 500 (SPX): A rising S&P 500 is usually a sign of bullish sentiment, reflecting confidence in economic growth and market stability. A decline, however, suggests bearish sentiment and a potential move towards risk aversion.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A strengthening U.S. Dollar can be a sign of fear as investors seek safety in the dollar, which is bearish for risk assets. A weakening dollar, on the other hand, can signal bullish sentiment as capital flows into riskier assets.
Volatility Index (VIX): Known as the "fear gauge," a rising VIX indicates increased market fear and bearish sentiment. A falling VIX suggests a calm, bullish market environment.
Junk Bonds (JNK): Rising junk bond prices often reflect bullish sentiment as investors take on more risk for higher returns. Conversely, falling junk bond prices signal increased fear and bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT): Higher prices for long-term treasuries usually indicate a flight to safety, reflecting bearish sentiment. Lower prices suggest a shift towards riskier assets, indicating bullish sentiment.
Financial Sector ETF (XLF): Strength in the financial sector is typically bullish, indicating confidence in economic conditions. Weakness in this sector can reflect bearish sentiment and concerns about financial stability.
Unemployment Rate (USUR): A rising unemployment rate is a bearish signal, indicating economic weakness. A declining unemployment rate is bullish, reflecting economic strength and job growth.
U.S. Interest Rates (USINTR, USIRYY): Higher interest rates can be bearish, as they increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Lower rates are generally bullish, promoting economic growth and risk-taking.
How it Works
Sentiment Calculation: The US Sentiment Index combines data from multiple tickers, calculating sentiment by scaling the distance from their respective moving averages. Each asset's behaviour is interpreted within the context of market fear or greed, providing a refined sentiment reading that adjusts dynamically.
Market Strength Analysis: When the index is above 50 and also above its moving average, it indicates particularly strong or bullish market conditions, driven by greed. Conversely, when the index is below 50 and under its moving average, it signals bearish or weak market conditions, associated with fear.
Correlation and Pattern Detection: The indicator analyses correlations among the included assets to detect patterns that might signal potential market movements, giving traders a leading edge over simpler sentiment measures.
Adaptive Background Colouring: Utilises a colour gradient that dynamically adjusts based on sentiment values, highlighting extreme fear, neutral, and extreme greed levels directly on the chart.
Flexible Display Options: Offers settings to toggle the moving average plot and adjust its period, giving users the ability to tailor the indicator's sensitivity and display to their specific needs.
In this example below, we can see the Sentiment rise above the Moving Average (MA). Price action goes on to follow this, although there is an instance where it dips below the MA, it quickly rises back above again as a sign of strength.
Another way you can use this index is by simply using the MA, if its trending up, we know the macro sentiment is bullish.
Application
Data-Driven Insights: Offers traders a detailed, data-driven approach to sentiment analysis, incorporating a broad spectrum of market indicators to deliver actionable insights.
Pattern Recognition: Helps identify patterns and correlations that may lead to market reversals or continuations, providing a nuanced view that goes beyond simple sentiment gauges.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Equips traders with a robust tool to validate trading strategies and make informed decisions based on comprehensive sentiment analysis.
The US Sentiment Index by is an essential addition to the toolkit of any trader looking to navigate market complexities with precision and confidence. Its advanced features and data-driven approach offer unparalleled insights into market sentiment, setting it apart from conventional sentiment indicators.
Komut dosyalarını "spx" için ara
VIX Composite MeterThe VIX Composite Meter is a custom trading indicator designed to help identify potential buy and sell signals based on market volatility, specifically through VIX options. The VIX, also known as the "fear gauge," measures market expectations of future volatility. This meter combines several factors — the VIX-to-SPX ratio, moving average deviation, Z-score, and momentum oscillators — to create a single, easy-to-read score that guides trading decisions.
How It Works
Composite Score: The meter calculates a composite score that ranges from 0 to 1 by weighing four metrics:
VIX/SPX Ratio: Indicates relative volatility compared to the S&P 500.
Moving Average Deviation: Shows how far the VIX is from its typical range.
Z-Score: Measures how extreme the current VIX value is relative to its historical average.
Momentum Oscillator (RSI): Helps identify overbought or oversold conditions in the VIX.
Color-Coded Signals:
Green Background: If the score drops below 0.3, the meter suggests buying VIX calls, indicating a low-volatility environment with potential for increase.
Red Background: If the score rises above 0.7, the meter suggests buying VIX puts, indicating a high-volatility environment likely to decrease.
Use Cases
Buy VIX Calls: When the meter turns green, signaling potential future volatility spikes.
Buy VIX Puts: When the meter turns red, suggesting current high volatility is expected to revert lower.
By using the VIX Composite Meter, traders can better time their entries and exits in VIX options, aligning with market conditions for potential profits in periods of changing volatility.
QQQ and SPY Price Levels [MW]Introduction:
Don’t let SPY and QQQ resistance levels hurt your futures trading anymore. The QQQ and SPY Price Levels indicator automagically provides easily accessible QQQ price levels for NASDAQ-related charts such as QQQ, /NQ and /MNQ futures, and leveraged ETFs such as TQQQ and SQQQ as well as for SPY price levels for S&P 500-related charts such as SPY, /ES and /MES futures, SPX, and leveraged ETFs such as UPRO and SPXU. If you’ve ever traded futures, or anything QQQ- or SPY-related and wanted to know at what price would the corresponding asset reach a key whole number level of QQQ or SPY, like 400, 440, 445, or even 447.50, this tool is for you. Key 10x, 5x, and even 2.5x multiples of QQQ and SPY can act as support or resistance for other related-assets. Until now, there hasn’t been an indicator that can serve as an easy visual cue to know exactly when that is about to happen across assets.
This indicator is a fork of the original SPY Price Levels indicator, which only considered SPY-related assets.
Settings:
QQQ/SPY 2.5x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 2.5 on QQQ
QQQ/SPY 5x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 5 on QQQ
QQQ/SPY 10x: Show closest levels above and below that are multiples of 10 on QQQ
Show QQQ/SPY Price Label: Show the current QQQ/SPY price
Extend lines to the left: Extend label lines for each price level to the beginning of the chart
Calculations:
This indicator defines the ratio between the price of QQQ/SPY and another NASDAQ/S&P-related asset and uses that multiplier once the user-defined price increments are defined. For example, if /MNQ is at 19000 and QQQ is at 465, then the ratio would be 40.8.
The incremental QQQ levels that are above and below the QQQ price are calculated using the following equations:
qqqLevelUp = _multiplier * math.ceil(_qqqClose / _multiplier)
qqqLevelDown = _multiplier * math.floor(_qqqClose / _multiplier)
The conversion ratio is then multiplied by that amount to get the final estimated corresponding price using the calculation:
levelUp := _conversion * qqqLevelUp
levelDown := _conversion * qqqLevelDown
For leveraged assets, the conversion must be used on the difference between the current QQQ price and the incremental upper and lower levels.
For example, the calculation for the next level up looks like the following:
levelUpDelta := math.abs(_qqqClose - qqqLevelUp)
levelUp := close + _conversion * (levelUpDelta * _leverage)
This logic is identical for SPY-related assets.
How to Use:
The QQQ and SPY Price Levels indicator aims to be as unobtrusive as possible. The default view shows 3 labels and 2 lines that are all aligned to the right of the main chart, so that it interferes as little as possible with any other indicators. It can be added to any /NQ or /MNQ futures chart, SQQQ, TQQQ, and, of course, QQQ as well as any /ES /MES futures chart, SPXU, UPRO, SPX, and of course SPY. The most immediate price levels for each multiplier appears above and below the current price along with the price of QQQ/SPY.
For example, MNQU2024 is currently at 19594. By looking at the indicator the next QQQ increment below is at 475, or 19556 on the MNQU2024 chart. This potential support is marked with a green label that shows both prices. The next increment above is at QQQ 477.50, or 19659 on the MESU2024 chart. And the QQQ price itself, is also shown (and can be removed) at 475.92.
QQQ and SPY price increments of 2.5, 5, and 10 tend to consistently act at the very least as emotional support and resistance levels. Weak, or weakening volume and/or momentum when these levels are hit can trigger a strong rejection, and can sometimes precipitate lengthy consolidation periods at those levels. Watching an NASDAQ- and S&P 500-related asset come to a halt, fall off a cliff, or react in some other unintuitive way could very well be the result of a QQQ/SPY level being reached. Even though many of us know that this relationship exists, it’s easy to forget. So, this indicator helps to ensure that its users keep that relationship front and center.
By extending the lines into the past on QQQ/SPY and their related assets, you can see what reactions happened at these key levels.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations:
The calculations used only provide an estimated relationship or a close approximation, and are not exact.
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
US Market Real Value Adjusted for CPI and Dollar IndexUS Market Real Value Adjusted for CPI and Dollar Index
Provides quick access to this formula: (SP:SPX+NASDAQ_DLY:IXIC+TVC:DJI+CAPITALCOM:RTY)/4/(ECONOMICS:USCPI*TVC:DXY*100)
Overview:
This indicator provides a dynamic view of the US stock market's real value, adjusted for inflation and currency strength. It combines major stock indices including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000, and adjusts the composite index using the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Dollar Index (DXY). This adjustment helps to reveal the true market performance, stripped of inflationary effects and currency valuation changes.
Key Features:
Composite Index Calculation: Averages the prices of SPX, IXIC, DJI, and RTY to create a broad market overview.
Inflation Adjustment: Uses the CPI to adjust for the effects of inflation, ensuring that the real value changes in the stock market are highlighted.
Currency Strength Adjustment: Applies the DXY to account for fluctuations in the strength of the US dollar, providing insights into how currency variations impact market valuation.
Dynamic Base Calculation: Utilizes a rolling window to dynamically update base values, allowing for continuous reassessment of the market’s adjusted value as new data becomes available.
This indicator provides:
Real Value Insights: By adjusting for both inflation and currency strength, this indicator offers a more accurate measure of the underlying market conditions.
Dynamic Updates: With a rolling window approach, the indicator continually adapts, providing up-to-date information.
Strategic Decisions: Helps in identifying true market growth or decline periods, aiding in strategic investment planning.
Usage:
To use this indicator, simply add it to your chart, and it will automatically display the adjusted composite index. This index can be particularly useful for investors looking to understand underlying market trends beyond nominal price movements, helping in making more informed investment decisions when comparing certain tickers to an average of the major US stock market indexes, adjusted for inflation and the strength of the US dollar.
Example Use Case:
A typical use case might involve comparing periods of high inflation to see how the overall US stock market performed in real terms, not just nominal terms. This can indicate whether the market growth was genuine or merely a reflection of inflation. By comparing this result to an average of these major indexes without adjusting for inflation or currency strength changes, you can see how significantly these forces can impact real gains or losses.
CVD with Moving Average (Trend Colors) [SYNC & TRADE]Yesterday I wrote a simple and easy code for the indicator "Cumulative Delta Volume with a moving average" using AI.
Introduction:
Delta is the difference between buys and sells. If there are more purchases, the delta is positive, if there are more sales, the delta is negative. We look at each candle separately on a particular time frame, which does not give us an overall picture over time.
Cumulative volume delta is in many ways an extension of volume delta, but it covers longer periods of time and provides different trading signals. Like the volume delta indicator, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator measures the relationship between buying and selling pressure, but does not focus on one specific candle (or other chart element), but rather gives a picture over time.
What did you want to get?
I have often seen that they tried to attach RSI and the Ichimoku cloud to the cumulative delta of volume, but I have never seen a cumulative delta of volume with a moving average. A moving average that takes data from the cumulative volume delta will be different from the moving average of the underlying asset. It has been noted that often at the intersection of the cumulative volume delta and the moving average, this is a more accurate signal to buy or sell than the same intersections for the underlying asset.
Initially, 5 moving averages were made with values of 21, 55, 89, 144 and 233, but I realized that this overloads the chart. It is easier to change the length of the moving average depending on the time frame you are using than to overload the chart. The final version with one moving SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, HMA.
The logic for applying a moving average to a cumulative volume delta:
You choose a moving average, just like you would on your underlying asset. Use the moving average you like and the period you are used to working with. Each TF has its own settings.
What we see on the graph:
This is not an oscillator, but an adapted version for a candlestick chart (line only). Using it, you can clearly see where the market is moving based on the cumulative volume delta. The cool thing is that you can include your moving average applied to the cumulative volume delta. Thanks to this, you can see a trend movement, a return to the moving average to continue the trend.
Opportunities not lost:
The most interesting thing is that it remains possible to observe the divergence of the asset and the cumulative delta of the volume. This gives a great advantage. Those who have not worked with divergence do not rush into it right away. There may be 3 peaks in divergence (as with oversold/overbought), but it works many times more clearly than RSI and MACD.
Here's a good example on the daily chart. The moment we were all waiting for 75,000. The cumulative Delta Volume fell with each peak, while the price chart (tops) were approximately level.
Usually they throw (allow to buy) without volume for sales (delta down, price up) in order to merge at a more interesting price. And they also drain without the volume of purchases for a squeeze (price down / delta up) and again I buy back at a more interesting price. There are more complex estimation options; you can read about the divergence of the cumulative delta of the CVD volume. I just recommend doing a backtest.
Recommendations:
One more moment. Use the indicator on the stock exchange, where there is the most money, by turnover and by asset. Choose Binance, not Bybit. Those. choose the BTC asset, for example, but on the Binance exchange. Not futures, but spot.
The greater the turnover on the exchange for an asset, and the fewer opportunities to enter with leverage, the less volatile the price and the more beautiful and accurate the chart.
Works on all assets. There is a subscription limit (the number of calculated bars) that has little effect on anything. Can be applied to any asset where there is volume (not SPX, but ES1, not MOEX, but MX1!).
Перевод на русский.
Вчера написал с помощью AI простой и легкий код индикатора "Кумулятивная Дельта Объема со скользящей средней".
Введение:
Дельта (Delta) — это разница между покупками и продажами. Если покупок больше — дельта положительная, если больше продаж — дельта отрицательная. Мы смотрим на каждую свечу отдельно на том или ином таймфрейме, что не дает нам общей картины во времени.
Кумулятивная дельта объема — во многом продолжение дельты объёмов, но она включает более длительные периоды времени и дает другие торговые сигналы. Как и индикатор дельты объёма, индикатор кумулятивной дельты объема (Cumulative Volume Delta, CVD) измеряет связь между давлением покупателей и продавцов, но при этом не фокусируется на одной конкретной свече (или другом элементе графика), а дает картину во времени.
Что хотел получить?
Часто видел, что к кумулятивной детьте объема пытались прикрепить RSI и облако ишимоку, но никогда не видел кумулятивную дельту объема со скользящей средней. Скользящая средняя которая берет данные от кумулятивной дельты объема будет отличатся от скользящей средней основного актива. Было замечено, что часто в местах пересечения кумулятивной дельты объема и скользящей средней - это более точный сигнал к покупке или продаже, чем такие же пересечения по основному активу.
Изначально было сделанно 5 скользящих со значениями 21, 55, 89, 144 и 233, но я понял, что это перегружает график. Проще менять длину скользящей средней от используемого таймфрейма, чем перегружать график. Финальный вариант с одной скользящей SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, HMA.
Логика применения скользящей средней к кумулятивной дельте объема:
Вы выбираете скользящую среднюю, так же как и на основном активе. Применяйте ту скользящую среднюю, которая вам нравится и период, с которым привыкли работать. На каждом TF свои настройки.
Что мы видим на графике:
Это не осциллятор, а адаптированная версия к свечному графику (только линия). С помощью него вы можете наглядно посмотреть куда движется рынок по кумулятивной дельте объема. Самое интересное, что вы можете включить свою скользящую среднюю, применимую к кумулятивной дельте объема. Благодаря этому вы можете видеть трендовое движение, возврат к средней скользящей для продолжения тренда.
Не потерянные возможности:
Самое интересное, что осталась возможность наблюдать за дивергенцией актива и кумулятивной дельтой объема. Это дает большое преимущество. Те кто не работал с дивергенцией не бросайтесь на нее сразу. Может быть и 3 пика в дивергенции (как с перепроданностью / перекупленностью), но работает в разы четче чем RSI и MACD.
Вот хороший пример на дневном графике. Момент когда мы все ждали 75000. Кумулятивная Дельта Объема падала с каждым пиком, в то время как ценовой график (вершины) были примерно на уровне.
Обычно закидывают (разрешают покупать) без объема на продажи (дельта вниз цена вверх), чтобы слить по более интересной цене. И также сливают без объема покупок для сквиза (цена вниз / дельта вверх) и опять откупаю по более интересной цене. Существуют более сложные варианты оценки, можете почитать про дивергенцию кумулятивной дельты объема CVD. Только рекомендую сделать бэктест.
Рекомендации:
Еще момент. Используйте индикатор, на бирже, там где больше всего денег, по обороту и по активу. Выбирайте не Bybit, а Binance. Т.е. выбираете актив BTC, к примеру, но на бирже Binance. Не фьючерс, а спот.
Чем более большие обороты на бирже, по активу, и меньше возможностей заходить с плечами, тем менее волатильная цена и более красивый и точный график.
Работает на всех активах. Есть ограничение по подписке (количество рассчитываемых баров) мало влияет на что. Можно применить к любому активу где есть объем (не SPX, а ES1, не MOEX, а MX1!).
Overbought / Oversold Screener## Introduction
**The Versatile RSI and Stochastic Multi-Symbol Screener**
**Unlock a wealth of trading opportunities with this customizable screener, designed to pinpoint potential overbought and oversold conditions across 17 symbols, with alert support!**
## Description
This screener is suitable for tracking multiple instruments continuously.
With the screener, you can see the instant RSI or Stochastic values of the instruments you are tracking, and easily catch the moments when they are overbought / oversold according to your settings.
The purpose of the screener is to facilitate the continuous tracking of multiple instruments. The user can track up to 17 different instruments in different time intervals. If they wish, they can set an alarm and learn overbought oversold according to the values they set for the time interval of the instruments they are tracking.**
Key Features:
Comprehensive Analysis:
Monitors RSI and Stochastic values for 17 symbols simultaneously.
Automatically includes the current chart's symbol for seamless integration.
Supports multiple timeframes to uncover trends across different time horizons.
Personalized Insights:
Adjust overbought and oversold thresholds to align with your trading strategy.
Sort results by symbol, RSI, or Stochastic values to prioritize your analysis.
Choose between Automatic, Dark, or Light mode for optimal viewing comfort.
Dynamic Visual Cues:
Instantly highlights oversold and overbought symbols based on threshold levels.
Timely Alerts:
Stay informed of potential trading opportunities with alerts for multiple oversold or overbought symbols.
## Settings
### Display
**Timeframe**
The screener displays the values according to the selected timeframe. The default timeframe is "Chart". For example, if the timeframe is set to "15m" here, the screener will show the RSI and stochastic values for the 15-minute chart.
** Theme **
This setting is for changing the theme of the screener. You can set the theme to "Automatic", "Dark", or "Light", with "Automatic" being the default value. When the "Automatic" theme is selected, the screener appearance will also be automatically updated when you enable or disable dark mode from the TradingView settings.
** Position **
This option is for setting the position of the table on the chart. The default setting is "middle right". The available options are (top, middle, bottom)-(left, center, right).
** Sort By **
This option is for changing the sorting order of the table. The default setting is "RSI Descending". The available options are (Symbol, RSI, Stoch)-(Ascending, Descending).
It is important to note that the overbought and oversold coloring of the symbols may also change when the sorting order is changed. If RSI is selected as the sorting order, the symbols will be colored according to the overbought and oversold threshold values specified for RSI. Similarly, if Stoch is selected as the sorting order, the symbols will be colored according to the overbought and oversold threshold values specified for Stoch.
From this perspective, you can also think of the sorting order as a change in the main indicator.
### RSI / Stochastic
This area is for selecting the parameters of the RSI and stochastic indicators. You can adjust the values for "length", "overbought", and "oversold" for both indicators according to your needs. The screener will perform all RSI and stochastic calculations according to these settings. All coloring in the table will also be according to the overbought and oversold values in these settings.
### Symbols
The symbols to be tracked in the table are selected from here. Up to 16 symbols can be selected from here. Since the symbol in the chart is automatically added to the table, there will always be at least 1 symbol in the table. Note that the symbol in the chart is shown in the table with "(C)". For example, if SPX is open in the chart, it is shown as SPX(C) in the table.
## Alerts
The screener is capable of notifying you with an alarm if multiple symbols are overbought or oversold according to the values you specify along with the desired timeframe. This way, you can instantly learn if multiple symbols are overbought or oversold with one alarm, saving you time.
Index Top Holdings Advance DeclineThis indicator measures advance vs decline for the top 10 holdings of either SPX or NDX, or both together.
There's overlap within the top holdings for the two major indexes so by default SPX is only shown.
Adjustments to top holdings can be done at any time should they be updated before I adjust the script, also the threshold of when advancement or decline should be considered strong is defaulted to six holdings but adjust to preference.
The idea came out of a discord conversation and the results are compelling, and it's usage should be similar to the market internal ADD, which measures amount of stocks in broad market over or under previous session range.
If this indicator receives enough traction I'll look into creating a volume (VOLD), price (TICK) and perhaps some other versions - perhaps even one that combines it all together like my MIT indicator for market internals.
Quadratic & Linear Time Series Regression [SS]Hey everyone,
Releasing the Quadratic/Linear Time Series regression indicator.
About the indicator:
Most of you will be familiar with the conventional linear regression trend boxes (see below):
This is an awesome feature in Tradingview and there are quite a few indicators that follow this same principle.
However, because of the exponential and cyclical nature of stocks, linear regression tends to not be the best fit for stock time series data. From my experience, stocks tend to fit better with quadratic (or curvlinear) regression, which there really isn't a lot of resources for.
To put it into perspective, let's take SPX on the 1 month timeframe and plot a linear regression trend from 1930 till now:
You can see that its not really a great fit because of the exponential growth that SPX has endured since the 1930s. However, if we take a quadratic approach to the time series data, this is what we get:
This is a quadratic time series version, extended by up to 3 standard deviations. You can see that it is a bit more fitting.
Quadratic regression can also be helpful for looking at cycle patterns. For example, if we wanted to plot out how the S&P has performed from its COVID crash till now, this is how it would look using a linear regression approach:
But this is how it would look using the quadratic approach:
So which is better?
Both linear regression and quadratic regression are pivotal and important tools for traders. Sometimes, linear regression is more appropriate and others quadratic regression is more appropriate.
In general, if you are long dating your analysis and you want to see the trajectory of a ticker further back (over the course of say, 10 or 15 years), quadratic regression is likely going to be better for most stocks.
If you are looking for short term trades and short term trend assessments, linear regression is going to be the most appropriate.
The indicator will do both and it will fit the linear regression model to the data, which is different from other linreg indicators. Most will only find the start of the strongest trend and draw from there, this will fit the model to whatever period of time you wish, it just may not be that significant.
But, to keep it easy, the indicator will actually tell you which model will work better for the data you are selecting. You can see it in the example in the main chart, and here:
Here we see that the indicator indicates a better fit on the quadratic model.
And SPY during its recent uptrend:
For that, let's take a look at the Quadratic Vs the Linear, to see how they compare:
Quadratic:
Linear:
Functions:
You will see that you have 2 optional tables. The statistics table which shows you:
The R Squared to assess for Variance.
The Correlation to assess for the strength of the trend.
The Confidence interval which is set at a default of 1.96 but can be toggled to adjust for the confidence reading in the settings menu. (The confidence interval gives us a range of values that is likely to contain the true value of the coefficient with a certain level of confidence).
The strongest relationship (quadratic or linear).
Then there is the range table, which shows you the anticipated price ranges based on the distance in standard deviations from the mean.
The range table will also display to you how often a ticker has spent in each corresponding range, whether that be within the anticipated range, within 1 SD, 2 SD or 3 SD.
You can select up to 3 additional standard deviations to plot on the chart and you can manually select the 3 standard deviations you want to plot. Whether that be 1, 2, 3, or 1.5, 2.5 or 3.5, or any combination, you just enter the standard deviations in the settings menu and the indicator will adjust the price targets and plotted bands according to your preferences. It will also count the amount of time the ticker spent in that range based on your own selected standard deviation inputs.
Tips on Use:
This works best on the larger timeframes (1 hour and up), with RTH enabled.
The max lookback is 5,000 candles.
If you want to ascertain a longer term trend (over years to months), its best to adjust your chart timeframe to the weekly and/or monthly perspective.
And that's the indicator! Hopefully you all find it helpful.
Let me know your questions and suggestions below!
Safe trades to all!
[TTI] Reversion Alert on Nasdaq📜 ––––HISTORY & CREDITS 🏦
This script, titled " Reversion Alert", was developed by TinTinTrading with the intention of creating an easy visual tool based on the relationship between the price and different Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). It is something TinTinTrading has learned over the years from studying the Investor's Business Daily courses and materials, especially seminars held by William O'Neil.
🎯 ––––WHAT IT DOES 💡
The " Reversion Alert" script monitors the distance between the closing price and the 9-period EMA as well as the distance between the 9-period and 20-period EMAs. It generates an alert when the closing price is far enough away from the 9-period EMA relative to the distance between the two EMAs. The sensitivity of this alert can be adjusted by the user. The script also plots the 9-period and 20-period EMAs on the chart for visual reference. When the distance between the closing price and the 9-period EMA is more than the distance between the 9 and 20 period EMAs (and meets several other coded conditions), the price is likely extended and we can anticipate a pullback within next 1-3 days on the chart.
IMPORTANT - I only use this indicator on the NASDAQ Composite ( NASDAQ:IXIC ) and S&P500 ( SP:SPX ) and Dow Jones Composite ( TVC:DJI ). If you decide to use it for individual assets (equities, crypto or forex) make sure you toggle the sensitivity input so that it makes sense for the asset you are trading.
🛠️ ––––HOW TO USE IT 🔧
After adding the script to your chart, you will see two lines representing the 9-period and 20-period EMAs. You can adjust the sensitivity of the alert using the 'Sensitivity (%)' input in the settings panel. The default sensitivity is set at 18.5%. When an alert condition is met, a downward pointing red triangle with an exclamation mark will appear above the bar. This indicates a potential reversion scenario based on the relative positioning of the closing price and the two EMAs.
If the indicator shows an exclamation mark above the chart we can anticipate a pullback. Some techniques that yuo could apply could be:
👉 Tighten stops
👉 Reduce position size
👉 Harvest profits (or scale down)
👉 Be cautious to add new positions
Remember that this tool is meant to aid in your analysis and not to dictate trades. Always use in conjunction with other tools and your own analysis.
Leveraged Share VolumeHello everyone,
Did this quick reference indicator and figured I would share it as nothing like it exists that I could find.
What this does is it pulls leveraged share data and displays the bull share and bear share volume.
There are 5 pre-programmed shares. These include:
SPY
Pulls bull share data from: SPXL and UPRO
Pulls bear share data from: SPXU and SPXS
IWM
Pulls bull share data from: TNA
Pulls bear share data from: TZA
DIA
Pulls bull share data from: UDOW
Pulls bear share data from: SDOW
QQQ
Pulls bull share data from: TQQQ
Pulls bear share data from: SQQQ
XLE
Pulls bull share data from: ERX
Pulls bear share data from: ERY
As there continues to be more leveraged shares available (for example, AAPU, APPD, MSFT, TSLA, etc.) there is also the option to use these manual tickers as these shares become available. The image below shows the data input screen:
The indicator will default to show the data as a ratio. The ratio is calculated by the total bear shares over the total bull shares (sell to buy ratio). If you unselect the Ratio option (displayed in the image above), it will show the raw volume.
When data is displayed as a ratio, you will see the white SMA line. This will show you the average ratio over a 14 period lookback. This is customizeable under the SMA Length input (shown in the image above).
Indicator's purpose:
The aim of the indicator is to provide context as to where the current sentiment is. Its similar in concept to a put to call ratio. The idea is, the more bearish people are, the more inverse shares are being bought, the higher the ratio or raw volume for bear shares and vice versa for bullish situations.
If you would like some more contextual information about the powers of tracking this type of data for trading purposes, you can check out this idea I published about the relationship between leveraged shares and market sentiment/behaviour:
Otherwise, the indicator is pretty straight forward!
Its not meant to be anything but a reference indicator to help give you context of the current market positioning.
If you have any questions or suggestions, please feel free to leave them below.
Thank you for reading and checking out the indicator!
Safe trades everyone!
Biddles OIWAP-Price SpreadThis indicator is the companion to my OIWAP (Open Interested-Weighted Average price) open source indicator.
In observing the OIWAP, what seemed most interesting was the distance between price and OIWAP.
This indicator plots that spread in a histogram.
It seems when price is too high above all OIWAPs, it's locally overbought (sentiment is overly bullish), and vice versa when it's too far below all OIWAPs (sentiment is overly bearish).
But I think there are more unique observations to be made beyond that - I am still in discovery phase myself.
For example: Looking at the SPX while using the ticker override to display BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P OI-Price spread data.
It works on any asset that Tradingview has OI data for. But it's also interesting to view correlated assets by using ticker override in the indicator settings (open the correlated asset w/o OI data in your chart, then set ticker override to a symbol with OI data, like the SPX example above).
>> If you find any interesting observations using it, have suggestions for improving the script, etc., hit me up on Twitter!
>>> @thalamu_
See inside Candles: Directionality %; Constituent Bars & GapsSee inside candles based on user-input LTF setting: get data on 'Directionality' of your candle; Gaps (total and Sum; UP and DOWN); Number of Bull or Bear constituent candles
//Features:
-DIRECTIONALITY: compare length of the 'zig-zag' random walk of lower time frame constituent candles, to the full height of the current candle. Resulting % I refer to as 'directionality'.
-GAPs: what i refer to as 'gaps' are also known as Volume imbalances: the gap between previous candles close and current candle's open (if there is one).
--Gaps total (up vs down gaps). Number of Up gaps printed above bar in green, down gaps printed below bar in red.
--Gaps Sum (total summed UP gap, total summed down gaps. Sum of Up gaps printed above bar in green, Sum of down gaps printed below bar in red.
-Candles Total: Numer of LTF up vs down candles within current timeframe candle. Number of up candles printed above bar in green, Number of down candles printed below bar in red.
//USAGE:
-Primary purpose in this was the Directionality aspect. Wanted to get a measure of how choppy vs how directional the internals of a candle were. Idea being that a candle with high % directionality (approaching 100) would imply trending conditions; while a candle which was large range and full bodies but had a low % directionality would imply the internals were back-and-forth and => rebalanced, potentially indicating price may not need to retrace back into it and rebalance further. All rather experimental, please treat it as such: have a play around with it.
-Number of gaps, Sums of up and down gaps, ratio of up and down constituent candles also intended to serve a similar purpose as the above.
-Set the input lower timeframe; this must obviously be lower then your current timeframe. You will significant differences in results depending on the ratio your timeframes (chart timeframe vs user-input timeframe).
//User Inputs:
-Lower timeframe input (setting child candle size within current chart parent candle).
-Choose function from the four listed above.
-typical formating options: Bull color/bear color txt for gaps functions.
-display % unit or not.
-display vertical or horizontal text.
-Set min / max directionality thresholds; and color code results.
-Toggle on/off 'hide results outside of threshold' to declutter the chart.
-choose label style.
//NOTES:
-Directionality thresholds can be set manually; Max and Min thresholds can be set to filter out 'non-extreme' readings.
-Note that directionality % can sometimes exceed 100%, in cases where price trends very strongly and gaps up continuously such that sum of constituent candles is less than total range of parent candle.
-Personally i like the idea of seeking bold, large-range, full bodied candles, with a lower than typical directionality %; indicating that a price move is both significant and it's already done it's rebalancing; I would see this as potentially favourable for continuation (obviously depending on context).
---- Showcase of the other functions beyond Directionality percentage ----
Candles Total (bull vs Bear). ES1! Hourly; ltf = 5min: Candles total: LTF up candles and LTF down candles making up the current HTF candle (constituent number of UP candles printed above in green, Down candles printed below in red):
Gaps SUM. SPX hourly, ltf = 5min. Sum of 'UP' gaps within candle printed above in green, sum of 'DOWN' gaps printed below in red:
Gaps TOTAL: SPX hourly, ltf = 1min. Simply the total of 'up' gaps vs 'down' gaps withing our candle; based on the user input constituent candles within:
MACD (KST Based) V2This is the next version of the original indicator:
To anyone unfamiliar with KST, it is a cousin of RSI. Basically, this indicator is analyzed like we would analyze charts using Stochastic RSI. It is basically an "energy oscillator".
This indicator considers price with the theory of relativity.
Relativity works this way: A downward moving MACD means that price velocity is slowing down. An upward moving one means that price is accelerating .
KST-Based MACD is all about relative performance. Exponential charts behave identically to horizontal ones.
Compare SPX and SPX/CURRCIR and see for yourself.
Just like the classic MACD, bear/bull signals appear on the histogram.
A band is drawn around the MACD, which is useful to pinpoint overbought/oversold conditions / squeezes.
It is also very useful for pinpointing / confirming divergences.
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
P.S. This is version 2 of the original one. Custom formulae are used all around this indicator. Basically, every formula has been reimagined for it to work in super-long-term timeframes. This indicator, compared to the previous one, doesn't ignore any chart data. It takes every single candle into consideration.
P.S.2. Pro tip: Use two separate windows, one with KST-MACD and one with KST-Histogram, just like in the cover.
Murder Algo Stats: last portion of Indices closing hour (S&P)Stats regarding the 'murder algo' (last 10mins of the closing hour). Works on all sub-1hr timeframes. Best used on 5min, 10min 15min timeframe. Ideal use on 10min timeframe.
Can be applied to other user input sessions also
What i'm calling the 'Murder Algo' is the tendency of dynamic lower time frame price action in the final 10minutes of the S&P closing hour (or any of the three major US indices: S&P, Nasdaq, Dow).
If there are un-met liquidity targets (i.e. clean highs or lows) as we come into the last portion of the closing hour, price has a tendency to stretch up or down to reach these targets, swiftly.
These statisitics are somewhat experimental/research; trying to quantify this tendency. Please comment below if you think of some additions / modifications that may prove useful.
//Purpose:
-To get statistics of the tendency to 'reach' of the final bar (10minute bar in the above) of the closing hour in Indices (3pm - 4pm NY time).
-Specifically to see how often price reaches for HH or LL in the final bar of the closing hour (most of the time); and to see how far it reaches one way when it does (Mean, median, mode).
//Notes:
-Two sets of historical stats; one is based on the 'solo reach' of the last bar; the other is based on the reach of the last bar from the average price of the preceding bars of the session (purple line in the above)
-Works on any timeframe below hourly. Ideally used on 10min timeframe, but may be interesting to plot on 15min or 5min timeframe also.
-Should also work on custom user-defined session; though this indicator was explicly designed to investigate the 'murder algo': that final rush and/or whipsaw tendency of price in the last few minutes of Regular trading on Indices.
-For S&P, best used on SPX, which gives the longest history of all the S&P variants due to only showing Regular trading hours bars (500 days of history on 10min timeframe, for premium users)
-For most stats, i've rounded to ES1! mintick (i.e. rounded to nearest quarter dollar) =>> This allows more meaningful values for 'mode' statistical measure.
-I trade S&P; but this 'muder algo' phenomenon also obviously presents in Nasdaq and Dow.
//User Inputs:
-Session time input (defaults to closing hour 3pm - 4pm NY time)
-Average method (for the average of all the input session EXCEPT the final bar)
-Toggle on/off Average line.
-other formatting options: text color, table position, line color/style/size.
Example usage with annotations on SPX 500 chart 15m timeframe; using closing hour (3pm-4pm NY time) as our session:
LNL Simple Hedging ToolLNL Simple Hedging Tool
Simple Hedging Tool was created specifically for swing traders who struggle with hedging. This tool helps to spot the ideal moments to put the hedges on (protection of the portfolio during "high risk" times). Simple Hedging Tool will not help you when day trading. It was designed for the daily charts. It is called simple because it is pretty much self-explanatory indicator. The candles are either blue or yellow. Meaning of the colors depend on the version you are using. This tool consist of two versions:
SPX Version:
This version was designed for indexes & overall market benchmarks. In contrast with the VIX version, the SPX version is little more sophisticated since it is based on key market internals. Blue arrows above the candles? More often than not this is signalizing that the key market internals are now approaching bearish signals which means it is the best time to hedge any bullish positions. On the contrary, the yellow arrows are the good reason to lighten up of the shorts & ease off the gas pedal on any bearish outlooks.
VIX Version:
Apart from the black swan events (big market crashes) Vix usually oscillates between the daily extremes. The VIX version is based on a simple bollinger band technique which is visualized with blue & yellow arrows. Whenever the yellow arrows & candles appear, it is good time to put the hedges on & perhaps lighten up on longs.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The signals from this tool WILL NOT TELL YOU where to buy or sell! But rather when is a good time TO NOT buy or TO NOT sell. Once the signals appear it does not necessarily mean that the move is over & reversion willl happen immidiately. These signals can be flashing for days even weeks. They are not flashing for you to change the bias but rather tighten up your exposure in case your portfolio is mostly one sided.
Hope it helps.
ADD 2This is a modification to the original ADD script by Tom1trader
I added the option to choose the timeframe, moving average type and length.
Note from the original script:
"This is the NYSE Advancers - decliners which the SPX pretty much follows. You can chart it like any index (ADD -NYSE $ADV MINUS $DECL) but I find it more useful in a separate panel with colors for direction.
The level gives an idea of days move (example: plus or minus 500 is not much movement through the session) but I follow the direction as when more stocks advance (green) or decline (red) the index tends to track it pretty closely.
On SPX , SPY and correlates - very useful for intra-day trading (Scalping or 0DTE option trades) but not for higher time frames at all. If you chart the ADD in a chart and compare 5 minute to daily you will see what I mean."
RSI with Keltner Channel (+EMA Ribbon)Note that the EMA Ribbon is not embedded into the custom RSI with KC. In the future I plan to embed it. The EMA Ribbon I use is the following:
This is my very first attempt at modifying an indicator. I basically attempted to add a Keltner Channel around RSI.
This was used as an alternative channel to the standard Bollinger Band. KC goes hand-in-hand with the EMA Ribbon. KC also helps to better pinpoint relative-overbought/oversold conditions.
In my belief, the 20-80 levels don't behave as overbought/oversold levels. An exponential chart would always be overbought. So a Keltner Channel could in theory (and in practice) give us greater understanding on chart analysis.
This custom indicator is a bodge . It has lots of extra calculations that can be removed. I post this rough indicator for the community to give feedback on how I can improve it, or perhaps give an idea to some of you. Please don't judge me, I wouldn't post it but lately some have asked me about it.
In the future I would like to embed an EMA ribbon in this RSI indicator, just like I did in the following idea.
During this period, I don't really have the time to fix this indicator to my standards. So I will leave it as is for the foreseeable future.
If you have the will and knowledge however, feel free to built upon this indicator and share it!
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
PS. In this indicator, I would replace all the moving averages with an EMA Ribbon "average".
Correlation prix [SP500, TESLA, BTCBefore you see this post I want to thank all the TradingView team. Every day that passes I learn better and better to use Pine script and I owe this to all those who publish and to the philosophy of TradingView. Thanks from Amos
This trading indicator compares the prices of the S&P 500 Index (SP500), Tesla (TSLA), and Bitcoin (BTC) to find correlations between them. To make the prices of SP500 and Tesla comparable to the price of Bitcoin, the indicator multiplies the closing price of Tesla by 114 and the closing price of the S&P 500 Index by 5.6.
In this way we can superimpose the prices on the BTC chart and see what happens.
Average BTC price/ tesla price = 114, so if we multiply the tesla price by 114 times we can superimpose it on the BTC price
At average BTC/SPX price = 5.6, also in this case we multiply the price of SPX by 5.6 to overlay the graph and see any correlations.
The indicator then calculates the average price between SP500 and Tesla, using the formula (SP500 + Tesla) / 2. This calculation creates a new line on the chart that represents the average price between these two assets.
The BTC_SP_TE variable is then calculated as the average of the closing price of Bitcoin and the previously calculated average price of SP500 and Tesla, using the formula (Btc + SP_TE) / 2. This calculation creates another line on the chart that represents the average price between Bitcoin and the previously calculated average between SP500 and Tesla.
The idea behind calculating these averages is to find correlations and patterns between the prices of these assets, which can help identify potential trading opportunities. By comparing the average prices of different assets, the trader can look for trends and patterns that might not be apparent when looking at each asset individually.
The indicator plots these prices on a chart and fills the area between them with either green or fuchsia, depending on which one is higher. The strategy suggests buying Bitcoin when the average price of SP500 and Tesla is higher than the current price of Bitcoin, and selling when it is lower.
To add visual cues to the trading strategy, the indicator uses the plotchar function to display a small triangle below the chart when it detects a potential buying opportunity. This is done with the following parameters:
Value: BTC_SP_TE < Btc and Btc > Btc1 and Btc1 > Btc , which is a logical expression that checks whether the average price of SP500 and Tesla is less than the current price of Bitcoin (BTC_SP_TE < Btc), and whether the current price of Bitcoin is higher than the price 10 bars ago (Btc > Btc1 ) and higher than the price on the previous bar (Btc1 > Btc ).
Text: "Moyen BTC_SP_Te", which is the text to display inside the marker.
Symbol: "▲", which is the symbol to use for the marker. In this case, it is a small triangle pointing upwards.
Location: location.belowbar, which specifies that the marker should be placed below the bar.
I hope this is an example of how to create an indicator on TradingView, remember that correlations do not always last, it is possible that when you see the graph this correspondence no longer exists, do your studies and get inspired.
Fair Value Strategy - ekmllThis is a strategy using SPX's Fair Value derived from Net Liquidity.
The main difference between this one and calebsandfort's one is net liquidity values in this one are calculated in TradingView and doesn't need author's daily library updates to function.
Net Liquidity function is simply: Fed Balance Sheet - Treasury General Account - Reverse Repo Balance
Formula for calculating the fair value of and Index using Net Liquidity looks like this: (WALCL - WTREGEN - RRPONTSYD)/1000000000/scalar - subtractor
The Index Fair Value is then subtracted from the Index value which creates an oscillating diff value.
When diff is greater than the overbought threshold, Index is considered overbought and we go short/sell.
When diff is less than the oversold signal, Index is considered oversold and we cover/buy.
Parameters:
Index: SPX, NDX, RUT
Strategy: Short Only, Long Only, Long/Short
Inverse (bool): check if using an inverse ETF to go long instead of short.
Scalar (float)
Subtractor (int)
Overbought Threshold (int)
Oversold Threshold (int)
Start After Date: When the strategy should start trading
Close Date: Day to close open trades. I just like it to get complete results rather than the strategy ending with open trades.
I've optimized the parameters for SPX.
QQQ Fair Value BandsThis is similar to the SPX Fair Value Bands indicator, but for QQQ.
It is based on the Net Liquidity model:
Net Liquidity = FED - RRP - TGA
RSI Multi Symbol/Time Frame DetectorThis code is an implementation of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, which is a popular momentum indicator used in technical analysis. The RSI measures the strength of an asset's price action and provides information on whether the asset is overbought or oversold. The code also calculates a moving average of the RSI and allows the user to choose the type of moving average to be calculated (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, or VWMA).
The user can select from different time frames (5, 15, 60, or 240), symbols (SP:SPX, OANDA:EURUSD, or OANDA:NZDUSD), RSI lengths, and moving average types and lengths.
The code starts by defining a function called "ma" for calculating different types of moving averages. This function takes as input the source data for the moving average calculation (the RSI), the length of the moving average, and the type of moving average. The function uses a switch statement to return the appropriate calculation based on the inputted moving average type.
Next, the code calculates the RSI and its moving average. The RSI is calculated using the well-known formula for the RSI, which involves calculating the average gains and losses over a specified period of time and then dividing the average gains by the average losses. The moving average is calculated using the "ma" function defined earlier.
Finally, the code allows the user to choose the symbol and time frame to be used in the RSI calculation, as well as the length of the RSI and the moving average, and the type of moving average. The user can choose from three symbols (SP:SPX, OANDA:EURUSD, OANDA:NZDUSD) and four time frames (5, 15, 60, and 240 minutes). The code then uses the "request.security" function to retrieve the RSI calculation for the selected symbol and time frame.
Note: This code is example for you to use multi timeframe/symbol in your indicator or Strategy , also prevent Repainting Calculation
Global Net Liquidity - Dow Jones Global Fair ValueThis is similar to Global Net Liquidity - SPX Fair Value except it's for Dow Jones Global (symbol: W1DOW here on TradingView).
This is experimental and may change at any time.
Cash VIX Term StructureLet’s first start with some definitions:
VIX9D: The CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index estimates the expected 9-day volatility of S&P 500® stock returns.
www.cboe.com
VIX: The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX® ) is considered by many to be the world's premier barometer of equity market volatility. The VIX Index is based on real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index (SPX) and is designed to reflect investors' consensus view of future (30-day) expected stock market volatility. The VIX Index is often referred to as the market's "fear gauge".
www.cboe.com
VIX3M: The CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index is designed to be a constant measure of 3-month implied volatility of the S&P 500® (SPX) Index options.
www.cboe.com
VIX6M: The CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 6-month volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
VIX1Y: The CBOE S&P 500 1-Year Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 1-Yeaer volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
This indicator visually displays the relationship between all the above products (short term vol vs long term vol). It also displays the current value and daily percentage change.
The shape of the term structure can tell us a lot about the market:
When the slope of the term structure is upward sloping (longer term VIX are higher than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in contango. This usually means that market is stable.
When the slope of the term structure is downward sloping (longer term VIX are lower than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in backwardation. This usually happens in periods of extreme market volatility.
Sometimes VIX9D will be higher than VIX but the rest of the curve is in contango. This means that there might be some event in the next 9 days that we need to pay attention to.
I also added a few ratios that I personally track like VIX9D/VIX, VIX/VIX3M and VIX/VIX6M.
When trading short term, I tend to focus on the front end of the curve. When trading long term, I tend to look at VIX/VIX6M.
In addition to the ratios, I added some historical parameters (lookback date can be set from the indicator’s settings) like Highest Value, Lowest Value, Percentile Rank, Average, Median and Mode.
Percentile ranks are displayed for both individual products and their ratios (that’s how I like to see them).
I hope you guys like this indicator.
Happy trading!
