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Concretum BandsDefinition The Concretum Bands indicator recreates the Upper and Lower Bound of the Noise Area described in the paper "Beat the Market: An Effective Intraday Momentum Strategy for S&P500 ETF (SPY)" published by Concretum founder Zarattini, along with Barbon and Aziz, in May 2024. Below we provide all the information required to understand how the indicator is calculated, the rationale behind it and how people can use it. Idea Behind The indicator aims to outline an intraday price region where the stock is expected to move without indicating any demand/supply imbalance. When the price crosses the boundaries of the Noise Area, it suggests a significant imbalance that may trigger an intraday trend. How the Indicator is Calculated The bands at time HH:MM are computed by taking the open price of day t and then adding/subtracting the average absolute move over the last n days from market open to minute HH:MM . The bands are also adjusted to account for overnight gaps. A volatility multiplier can be used to increase/decrease the width of the bands, similar to other well-known technical bands. The bands described in the paper were computed using a lookback period (length) of 14 days and a Volatility Multiplier of 1. Users can easily adjust these settings. How to use the indicator A trader may use this indicator to identify intraday moves that exceed the average move over the most recent period. A break outside the bands could be used as a signal of significant demand/supply imbalance.
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ConcretumR tarafından
6
Volatility Estimator - YZ & RSThe Yang-Zheng Volatility Estimator (YZVE) integrates both intra-candle and inter-candle dynamics, such as overnight and weekend price changes, offering a more detailed analysis compared to traditional methods. The YZVE is proposed to improve over the standard deviation by accounting for the open, high, low, and close prices of trading periods, instead of only the close prices, and attempts to supplant the Parkinson's Volatility Estimator (PVE) by a also capturing inter-candle dynamics. The YZVE is calculated by this formula: YZ Volatility Squared σ_YZ² = k * σ_o² + σ_rs² + (1 - k) * σ_c² where k is a weighting factor that adjusts the emphasis between the overnight and close-to-close components, popularly estimated as: k = 0.34 / (1.34 + (N+1) / (N-1)) where N is the lookback period. Optionally, users may opt to override this calculation with a specified constant (off by default). Next, the Overnight Volatility Squared σ_o² = (log(O_t / C_(t-1)))² measures the volatility associated with overnight price changes, from the previous candle's closing price C_(t-1) to the current candle's opening price O_t. It captures the market's reaction to news and events that occur outside of regular trading hours to reflect risk associated with holding positions over non-trading hours and gaps. Next, the The Rogers-Satchell Volatility Estimator (RSVE) serves as an intermediary step in the computation of YZVE. It aggregates the logarithmic ratios between high, low, open, and close prices within each trading period, focusing on intra-candle volatility without assuming zero inter-candle drift as commonly implicitly assumed in other volatility models: Rogers-Satchell Volatility Squared σ_rs² = (log(H_t / C_t) * log(H_t / O_t)) + (log(L_t / C_t) * log(L_t / O_t)) Finally, Close-to-Close Volatility Squared σ_c² = (log(C_t / C_(t-1)))² measures the volatility from the close of one candle to the close of the next. It reflects the typical candle volatility, similar to naive standard deviation. This script also includes an option for users to apply the simpler RS Volatility exclusively, focusing on intraday price movements. Additionally, it offers a choice for normalization between 0 and 1, turning the estimator into an oscillator for comparing current volatility to recent levels. Horizontal lines at user-defined levels are also available for clearer visualization. Both are off by default. References: Yang, D., & Zhang, Q. (2000). Drift-independent volatility estimation based on high, low, open, and close prices. The Journal of Business, 73(3), 477-491. Rogers, L.C.G., & Satchell, S.E. (1991). Estimating variance from high, low and closing prices. Annals of Applied Probability, 1(4), 504-512.
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Firedrops tarafından
Volume Delta Trailing Stop [LuxAlgo]The ' Volume Delta Trailing Stop ' indicator uses Lower Time Frame (LTF) volume delta data which can provide potential entries together with a Volume-Delta based Trailing Stop-line . 🔶 USAGE Our 'Volume Delta Trailing Stop' script can show potential entries/Stop Loss lines A trigger line needs to be broken before a position is taken, after which a Volume Delta-controlled Trailing Stop-line is created: 🔶 DETAILS 🔹 Volume rises when bought or sold 🔹 When the opening price appears on the chart, a buy/sell order has been executed. If that order is less than the available supply of that particular price, volume will rise, without moving the price. 🔹 When the opening price is the same as the closing price, the volume of that bar can be seen as "neutral volume" (nV); nor "up", nor "down" volume. Example A buy order doesn't fill the first available supply in the order book. This price will be the opening price with a certain volume. When at closing time, price still hasn't moved (the first available supply in the order book isn't filled, or no movement downwards), the closing price will be equal to the opening price, but with volume. This can be seen as "neutral volume (nV)". 🔹 Delta Volume (ΔV): this is "up volume" minus "down volume" 🔹 Standard volume is colored red when closing price is lower than opening price ( = "down volume"). 🔹 Standard volume is colored green when closing price is higher OR equal (nV) than opening price ( = "up volume"). 🔹 Neutral Volume The "Neutral-Volume" is considered "Up-Volume" - setting will dictate whether nV is considered as green 'buy' volume or not. 🔶 EXAMPLE 29 July 10:00 -> 10:05, chart timeframe 5 minutes, open 29311.28, close 29313.89 close > open, so the volume (39.55) is colored green ("up volume"). (The Volume script used in the following examples is the open-source publication Volume Columns w. Alerts (V) from LucF ) Let's zoom to the 1-minute TF: The same period is now divided into more bars, volume direction (color) is dependable on the difference between open and close. Counting up and down volume gives a more detailed result, it remains in an upward direction though): (ΔV = +15.51) Let's further zoom in to the 1-second TF: The same period is now divided into even more bars (more possibility for changing direction on each bar) Here we see several bars that haven't moved in price, but they have volume ("neutral" volume). (neutral volume is coloured light green here, while up volume is coloured darker green) When we count all green and red volume bars, the result is quite different: (ΔV = -0.35) In total more volume is found when price went downwards, yet price went up in these 5 minutes. -> This is the heart of our publication, when this divergence occurs, you can see a barcolor changement:     • orange: when price went up, but LTF Volume was mainly in a downward direction.     • blue: when price went down, but LTF Volume was mainly in an upwards direction. When we split the green "up volume" into "up" and "neutral", the difference is even higher (here "neutral volume" is colored grey): (ΔV = -12.76; "up" - "down") 🔶 CONCEPTS bullishBear = current bar is  red  but LTF volume is in  upward direction ->   blue bar bearishBull = current bar is green but LTF volume is in downward direction -> orange bar 🔹 Potential positioning - forming of Trigger-line When not in position, the script will wait for a divergence between price and volume direction. When found, a Trigger-line will appear: • at high when a blue bar appears ( bullishBear ). • at   low when an orange bar appears ( bearishBull ). Next step is when the Trigger-line is broken by close or high/low (settings: Trigger ) Here, the closing price went under the grey Trigger-line -> bearish position: 🔹 Trailing Stop-line When the Trigger-line is broken, the Trailing Stop-line (TS-line) will start: • low  when bullish position • high when bearish position You can choose (settings -> Trigger -> Close or H/L ) whether close price or high/low should break the Trigger-line When alerts are enabled ("Any alert() function call"), you'll get the following message: • ' signal up '  when bullish position • ' signal down' when bearish position After that, the TS-line will be adjusted when: • a    blue    bullishBear  bar appears when in bullish position  ->  lowest   of {low , previous blue bar's high or orange bar's low} • an orange bearishBull bar appears when in bearish position -> highest of {high, previous blue bar's high or orange bar's low} When alerts are enabled ("Any alert() function call"), and the TS-line is broken, you'll get the following message: • ' TS-line broken down '  when out bullish  position • ' TS-line broken up '       when out bearish position 🔹 Reference Point Default the direction of price will be evaluated by comparing closing price with opening price. When open and close are the same, you'll get "neutral volume". You can use "previous close" instead (as in built-in volume indicator) to include gaps. If close equals open , but close is lower than previous close , it will be regarded as " down volume ", similar, when close is higher than previous close , it will be regarded as " up volume " Note, the setting applies for the current timeframe AND Lower timeframe: Based on: " open " (close - open) Based on: " previous close " (close - previous close) 🔹 Adjustment When the TS-line changes, this can be adjusted with a percentage of price , or a multiple of " True Range " Default (Δ line -> Adjustment - 0) Δ line -> Adjustment 0.03% (of price) Δ line -> Mult of TR (10) 🔶 SETTINGS 🔹 LTF: choose your Lower TimeFrame: 1S (seconds), 5S, 10S, 15S, 30S, 1 minute) 🔹 Trigger: Choose the trigger for breaking the Trigger-line ; close or H/L (high when bullish position, low when bearish position) 🔹 Δ line ( Trailing Stop-line ): add/subtract an adjustment when the TS-line changes ( default: Adjustment ): • Adjustment ( default: 0 ): add/subtract an extra % of price • Mult of TR                     : add/subtract a multiple of True Range 🔹 Based on: compare closing price against: • open • previous close 🔹 "Neutral-Volume" is considered "Up-Volume" : this setting will dictate whether nV is considered as green 'buy' volume or not. 🔶 CONSIDERATIONS 🔹 The lowest LTF (1S) will give you more detail and will get data close to tick data. However, a maximum of 100,000 intrabars can be used in calculations . This means on the daily chart you won't see anything since 1 day ~ 86400 seconds. (just over 1 bar) -> choose a lower chart timeframe, or choose a higher LTF (5S, 10S, ... 1 minute) 🔹 Always choose a LTF lower than the current chart timeframe. 🔹 Pine Script™ code using this request.security_lower_tf() may calculate differently on historical and real-time bars, leading to repainting .
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LuxAlgo tarafından
16
RVol LabelThis Code is update version of Code Provided by @ssbukam, Here is Link to his original Code and review the Description Below is Original Description 1. When chart resolution is Daily or Intraday (D, 4H, 1H, 5min, etc), Relative Volume shows value based on DAILY. RVol is measured on daily basis to compare past N number of days. 2. When resolution is changed to Weekly or Monthly, then Relative Volume shows corresponding value. i.e. Weekly shows weekly relative volume of this week compared to past 'N' weeks. Likewise for Monthly. You would see change in label name. Like, Weekly chart shows W_RVol (Weekly Relative Volume). Likewise, Daily & Intraday shows D_RVol. Monthly shows M_RVol (Monthly Relative Volume). 3. Added a plot (by default hidden) for this specific reason: When you move the cursor to focus specific candle, then Indicator Value displays relative volume of that specific candle. This applies to Intraday as well. So if you're in 1HR chart and move the cursor to a specific candle, Indicator Value shows relative volume for that specific candlestick bar. 4. Updating the script so that text size and location can be customized. Changes to Updated Label by me 1. Added Today's Volume to the Label 2. Added Total Average Volume to the Label 3. Comparison vs Both in Single Line and showing how much volume has traded vs the average volume for that time of the day 4. Aesthetic Look of the Label How to Use Relative Volume for Trading Using Relative Volume (RVol) in trading can be a valuable tool to help you identify potential trading opportunities and gain insight into market behavior. Here are some ways to use RVol in your trading strategy: Identifying High-Volume Breakouts: RVol can help you spot potential breakouts when the volume surges significantly above its average. High RVol during a breakout suggests strong market interest, increasing the probability of a sustained move in the direction of the breakout. Confirming Trends and Reversals: RVol can act as a confirmation tool for trends and reversals. A trend accompanied by rising RVol indicates a strong and sustainable move. Conversely, a trend with declining RVol might suggest a weakening trend or potential reversal. Spotting Volume Divergence: When the price is moving in one direction, but RVol is declining or not confirming the move, it may indicate a divergence. This discrepancy could suggest a potential reversal or trend change. Support and Resistance Confirmation: High RVol near key support or resistance levels can indicate potential price reactions at those levels. This confirmation can be valuable in determining whether a level is likely to hold or break. Filtering Trade Signals: Incorporate RVol into your existing trading strategy as a filter. For example, you might consider taking trades only if RVol is above a certain threshold, ensuring that you focus on high-impact trading opportunities. Avoiding Low-Volume Traps: Low RVol can indicate a lack of interest or participation in the market. In such situations, price movements may be erratic and less reliable, so it's often wise to avoid trading during low RVol periods. Monitoring News Events: Around significant news events or earnings releases, RVol can help you gauge the market's reaction to the information. High RVol during such events can present trading opportunities but be cautious of increased volatility and potential gaps. Adjusting Trade Size: During periods of extremely high RVol, it might be prudent to adjust your position size to account for higher risk. Using Relative Volume in Morning Session If the Volume traded in first 15 minute to 30 Minutes is already at 50% or 100% depending upon the ticker, it means that it is going to have very high Volume vs average by end of the day. This gives me conviction for Long or Short Trades Remember that RVol is not a standalone indicator; it works best when used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools. Additionally, RVol's effectiveness may vary across different markets and trading strategies. Therefore, backtesting and validating the use of RVol in your trading approach is essential. Lastly, risk management is crucial in trading. While RVol can provide valuable insights, it cannot guarantee profitable trades. Always use appropriate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss levels, and avoid overexposing yourself to the market based solely on RVol readings.
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ripster47 tarafından
8
Simple RangeThe daily price range is a good proxy to judge an instrument’s volatility. I have combined multiple concepts in this indicator to display information regarding the daily price range & its volatility. A trading period's range is simply the difference between its high and the low. This script shows the daily high-to-low range of the price as a column chart. It has 3 main components: 1. Narrow-range days (NR7) & Wide-range Days (WR20) - as plot columns Original concept from Thomas Bulkowski Modified from "NR4 & NR7 Indicator" script by theapextrader7 Modified from "WR - BC Identifier" script by wrpteam2020 Narrow range days mark price contractions that often precede price expansions. This script uses NR7 (narrow range 7) as a narrow-range day. This value can be changed by the user if, instead of an NR7, he or she wishes to use NR4 or NR21, or any other interval of his or her choice. NR7 is an indecisive trading day in which the range is narrower than any of the previous six days (a total of 7 days). This is a popular concept given by Thomas Bulkowski. A breakout is said to occur when price closes above the top or below the bottom of the NR7. Upside breakout of an NR 7 candle with high volumes indicates bullishness. Similarly, highs & lows of wide-range bars (on big volumes) are also significant reference levels for price. Wide-range candle are identified by size of the body candle (open - close). The script compares the size of previous 20 candles to identify WR20 candles. This value can also be changed by the user. The script shows NR7 & WR20 as orange & blue bars, respectively. The user can also turn on the option to identify a big high-to-low range candle greater than a pre-defined threshold (default is 5%). These show up as green or red bars. 2. TTM Squeeze - as background Original concept from John Carter's book "Mastering the Trade" Based on "Squeeze Momentum Indicator" script by LazyBear John Carter’s TTM Squeeze indicator looks at the relationship between Bollinger Bands and Keltner's Channels to help identify period of volatility contractions. Bollinger Bands being completely enclosed within the Keltner Channels is indicative of a very low volatility. This is a state of volatility contraction known as squeeze. Using different ATR lengths (1.0, 1.5 and 2.0) for Keltner Channels, we can differentiate between levels of squeeze (High, Mid & Low compression, respectively). Greater the compression, higher the potential for explosive moves. In the script, the High, Mid & Low compression squeezes are depicted via the background color being red, orange, or yellow, respectively. 3. Average Daily Range - as table Original idea by alpine_trader Modified from "ADR% - Average Daily Range % by MikeC" script by TheScrutiniser Average Day Range (ADR) tells how much the price moves between the high and low on a given day. This is the day Range, which is then averaged to create ADR. The script uses an average of the last 20 days to calculate the ADR. Unlike ATR (Average True Range), this excludes Gaps. The script displays the ADR as a % value in a table. If you want to find stocks that move a lot on an average on most days, then look for stocks that have ADR% of 5% or more. If you prefer lower volatility stocks, focus on stocks with lower ADR% values, such as 2% or less. How it comes together For a bullish "momentum burst", or a velocity trade: Select stocks with Average Day Range % (ADR) greater than 5 Identify significant reference price levels via highs & lows of WR20 bars (on big volumes) Wait for a decent mid-to-high compression squeeze Look for clusters of NR7 candles in the consolidation Any breakout from this consolidation should be accompanied by more than average (preferably pocket pivot) volumes
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finallynitin tarafından
3
MA Cross ScreenerThis script lets you pick 20 symbols to check for ma crosses. The way it works is it scans all 20 of your symbols for moving average crosses and then it sends an both a regular alert and a visual alert inside of the indicator. I found that ma cross strategies are very popular right now so I thought it would be nice to have one indicator instead of 20 discord servers. The features include: 20 custom symbols, alerts, custom colors, ma select, and custom time frames. If you want to use the custom time frame option, use the lowest time frame possible. That way you wont have gaps. If you have any comments please voice them, that includes suggestions! I hope you all find this useful!
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The_Peaceful_Lizard tarafından
1
Correlation with Matrix TableCorrelation coefficient is a measure of the strength of the relationship between two values. It can be useful for market analysis, cryptocurrencies, forex and much more. Since it "describes the degree to which two series tend to deviate from their moving average values" (1), first of all you have to set the length of these moving averages. You can also retrieve the values from another timeframe, and choose whether or not to ignore the gaps. After selecting the reference ticker, which is not dependent from the chart you are on, you can choose up to eight other tickers to relate to it. The provided matrix table will then give you a deeper insight through all of the correlations between the chosen symbols. Correlation values are scored on a scale from 1 to -1 A value of 1 means the correlation between the values is perfect. A value of 0 means that there is no correlation at all. A value of -1 indicates that the correlation is perfectly opposite. For a better view at a glance, eight level colors are available and it is possible to modify them at will. You can even change level ranges by setting their threshold values. The background color of the matrix's cells will change accordingly to all of these choices. The default threshold values, commonly used in statistics, are as follows: None to weak correlation: 0 - 0.3 Weak to moderate correlation: 0.3 - 0.5 Moderate to high correlation: 0.5 - 0.7 High to perfect correlation: 0.7 - 1 Remember to be careful about spurious correlations, which are strong correlations without a real causal relationship. (1) www.tradingview.com
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valpatrad tarafından
ICT Fair Value Gap [LM]Hello traders, I would like to present you ICT Fair Value Gap script. The idea is the same as in my other script to look form imbalances. I have improved the previous script from teaching of ICT and created this script to train the eye to see those gaps. Shrinking option also shows if the gap has been already filled and also in case gap is filled you can get alert in case you will set it up . The script has two settings: general settings - definition of volatility condition for middle candle box settings - setting for boxes, box colors, shrinking I hope you enjoy it, Lukas
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lmatl tarafından
27
Volatility GuppyBased on my previous script "Turtle N Normalized," this script plots the CM SuperGuppy on the value of N to identify changing trends in the volatility of any instrument. Turtle rules taken from an online PDF: "The Turtles used a concept that Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt called N to represent the underlying volatility of a particular market. N is simply the 20-day exponential moving average of the True Range, which is now more commonly known as the ATR. Conceptually, N represents the average range in price movement that a particular market makes in a single day, accounting for opening gaps. N was measured in the same points as the underlying contract. The Turtles built positions in pieces which we called Units. Units were sized so that 1 N represented 1% of the account equity. Thus, a unit for a given market or commodity can be calculated using the following formula: Unit = 1% of Account/(N x Dollars per Point)" To normalize the Unit formula, this script instead takes the value of (close/N). Dollars per point = 1 for stocks and crypto, but will change depending on the contract specifications for individual futures . "Since the Turtles used the Unit as the base measure for position size, and since those units were volatility risk adjusted, the Unit was a measure of both the risk of a position, and of the entire portfolio of positions." When the EMA's are green, volatility is decreasing. When the EMA's are red, volatility is increasing. When the EMA's are grey, the trend is changing.
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MartinShkreIi tarafından
2
Turtle N NormalizedSimple script that calculates the normalized value of N. Rules taken from an online PDF containing the original Turtle system: "The Turtles used a volatility-based constant percentage risk position sizing algorithm. The Turtles used a concept that Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt called N to represent the underlying volatility of a particular market. N is simply the 20-day exponential moving average of the True Range, which is now more commonly known as the ATR. Conceptually, N represents the average range in price movement that a particular market makes in a single day, accounting for opening gaps. N was measured in the same points as the underlying contract. The Turtles built positions in pieces which we called Units. Units were sized so that 1 N represented 1% of the account equity. Thus, a unit for a given market or commodity can be calculated using the following formula: Unit = 1% of Account/(N x Dollars per Point)" To normalize the Unit formula, this script instead takes the value of (close/N). Dollars per point = 1 for stocks and crypto, but will change depending on the contract specifications for individual futures. "Since the Turtles used the Unit as the base measure for position size, and since those units were volatility risk adjusted, the Unit was a measure of both the risk of a position, and of the entire portfolio of positions." When the value of N is high, volatility is low and you should be more risk-on. When the value of N is low, volatility is high and you should be more risk-off.
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MartinShkreIi tarafından
True Accumulation/DistributionAccumulation/Distribution is developed by Marc Chaikin to provide insight into strength of a trend by measuring flow of buy and sell volume. The fact that A/D only factors current period's range for calculating the volume multiplier causes problem with price gaps. They are ignored or even misinterpreted. True Accumulation/Distribution solves the problem by using True Range instead of only relying on current period's high and low. In this example you can see when a gap has occurred in Amazon Inc.'s daily chart True A/D has handled it better than Accumulation/Distribution which a bearish close in period's range has caused it to misinterpret the strong buy pressure as sell volume.
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RezzaHmt tarafından
1
OVL_Kikoocycle Beta_Pine3This script use : - A custom Chande Kroll Stop for generate the channel - Some custom Parabolic S.A.R for generate cycles This script can be separated into 3 categories: - Channel Kroll generator : one layer for the actual interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe .(with ratio) - "Range" generator : one layer for actual Interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe.(with automique ratio) -Targets generator : one layer for actual interval with different trend. "Channel Kroll" : - I "hijack" the Chande Kroll Stop formula with custom parameters for generate this channel. Overall, it works like other types of channels like BB, etc... A midline and two borders. The thickness of the borders are relatively important here. A thick border shows some resistance of the area. And so the probability of seeing the market return to its first contact is stronger. While a very thin and vertical border would rather play the role of a breach, a bit like the idea of gaps. Often the market seems to want to go after several cycles. You can activate its Large TimeFrame version, its midline is strong and fine borders helps to judge the risk. SARget + "SAR Limited" : - (S.A.R + targets) The philosophy of this function is simple... When a small cycle is broken, it creates a mark on a higher cycle. So on until the SAR called "SAR Limited". For simplicity, imagine a fractal image but inverted ... Break the small figure, it will mark the larger figure at this time but to get there you still have to make the way to the small figure. Targets are : cross ("+") for fast targets(hidden by default because, theire work only on lower interval), squares (for medium trend), Xcross(for large trend) and red cross(they try to find a large contexte). When a target proc, it is for later (market need some cycles for going to, but it is relative to your interval). This gives you speculative goals. Why 2 targets for a same type and a triangle with a 90deg angle : This give a potential area for management.The triangle help to visualize the SAR and to juge the market reaction. You need to adapte your trade with that... Targets may be slightly too far because I am a bad coder... Currently the targets appear at the moment of rupture but it would be necessary to wait for the end of the breaking movement. Which can bring a positional error if the break is violent. RnG and LTF RnG : - Attempt to generate a Fibo range for each cycle and see interressing areas to enter or exit. This is played with the same philosophy as the Fibo extensions and retracement. When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. As long as the market is out of the middle zone (the 3 lines) keep in mind the past RnG. When the market is out of range, you can use the FibRetracement tool for have extensions. One point at each end, as on the presentation graph. (Values 1.14, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, 1.786, 2, 2.4 and 4 work well.) If too extrem you can active the LTF version. Never fomo a break, market like to pull a level... Observe and be patient. It's easier to use than to explain xD NB : Do not use the LTF as context. For this, it is better to look at a higher interval. I invite you to look in the style tab of the script and deselect the plots named UNCHECKEME, this will ease your browser.
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Twigho tarafından
2
Anchor ZonesL.A. Little, who wrote two books on trend trading, explained a key timing concept called anchor zones which was used, within his trading system, to enter and exit the market at appropriate times. Anchor zones are formed from anchor bars. An anchor bar is a bar that has one or more of these components: wide range, high volume or gaps. For this script we're going to require two or more of the components. When an anchor bar forms, we'll note the high and low of the bar and draw a zone across time as prices develops. For this script, we'll also note the open and close of the candle to hint at other levels of support or resistance. The boundaries of these zones can act as support or resistance, but they also mark out the areas where price can often get trapped. A breakout from these zones on high volume can suggest the beginning of a new trend. In general, anchor zones are a good compliment to price action strategies. For more information on how to use these, refer to L.A. Little's books. References onlinelibrary.wiley.com www.tradingsetupsreview.com Want to Learn? If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources. Suggestions or Questions? Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
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chrysopoetics tarafından
9
Box Theory StrategyHere is an explanation of the Box Theory trading strategy. The Core Philosophy This strategy is based on the idea that the market is a battle between buyers and sellers, and that these groups often defend the same price levels they used previously. Instead of trying to predict every move, this method focuses on trading only at the "extremes" where the probabilities are highest, while avoiding the middle of the chart where price action is random. 1. The Setup: Drawing the Box To use this strategy, you must define the "playing field" for the day before you take any trades. Top of the Box: Draw a line at the Previous Day’s High. Bottom of the Box: Draw a line at the Previous Day’s Low. Center Line: Draw a line roughly in the middle of these two points. This box represents the established range where the market recently found value. 2. The Three Zones & Rules Once the box is drawn, the chart is divided into three zones. Each zone dictates a specific action. Zone 1: The Top (Resistance / Sell Zone) What it represents: This is where sellers previously stepped in and pushed the price down. It is a known area of supply. The Rule: NO BUYING. If the price rallies to this level, you should look for Short/Sell opportunities. Why? Buying here means purchasing at a price that was previously rejected. The probability of a reversal (price going down) is high. Zone 2: The Bottom (Support / Buy Zone) What it represents: This is where buyers previously stepped in and pushed the price up. It is a known area of demand. The Rule: NO SELLING. If the price drops to this level, you should look for Long/Buy opportunities. Why? Selling here means shorting into support. The probability of a bounce (price going up) is high. Zone 3: The Middle (Indecision Zone) What it represents: This is the area of noise and confusion. Neither buyers nor sellers have clear control here. The Rule: DO NOT TRADE. Why? In the middle of the range, the odds of the price going up or down are roughly 50/50. Trading here is considered gambling because you do not have a statistical edge. 3. Execution: How to Trade The Entry Short Setup: Wait for the price to touch or slightly pierce the Top of the Box. Enter a short position when you see the price failing to break out (e.g., leaving a wick and closing back inside the box). Long Setup: Wait for the price to touch or slightly pierce the Bottom of the Box. Enter a long position when you see the price failing to break down (e.g., bouncing off the level). Stop Loss (Risk Management) This strategy offers a very clear invalidation point. For Shorts: Place your Stop Loss just above the box. For Longs: Place your Stop Loss just below the box. Logic: If the price clearly breaks out of the box, the range is broken, and you want to exit the trade immediately with a small loss. Take Profit (Targets) First Target: The Center Line. This is a safe place to take some profit or move your stop loss to breakeven. Main Target: The opposite side of the box (e.g., if you sold at the top, target the bottom). 4. Handling Gaps (The "Cheater Box") If the market opens significantly higher or lower than the previous day's range (a large gap), the original box may be too far away to be useful. Adjustment: In this scenario, you can draw a new box using the highest and lowest price points of the current trading session so far. Once this new range is established, apply the same rules: Sell the high, Buy the low, and avoid the middle.
Pine Script® göstergesi
Prospecttrades tarafından
Market Regime# MARKET REGIME IDENTIFICATION & TRADING SYSTEM ## Complete User Guide --- ## 📋 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. (#overview) 2. (#regimes) 3. (#indicator-usage) 4. (#entry-signals) 5. (#exit-signals) 6. (#regime-strategies) 7. (#confluence) 8. (#backtesting) 9. (#optimization) 10. (#examples) --- ## OVERVIEW ### What This System Does This is a **complete market regime identification and trading system** that: 1. **Identifies 6 distinct market regimes** automatically 2. **Adapts trading tactics** to each regime 3. **Provides high-probability entry signals** with confluence scoring 4. **Shows optimal exit points** for each trade 5. **Can be backtested** to validate performance ### Two Components Provided 1. **Indicator** (`market_regime_indicator.pine`) - Visual regime identification - Entry/exit signals on chart - Dynamic support/resistance - Info tables with live data - Use for manual trading 2. **Strategy** (`market_regime_strategy.pine`) - Fully automated backtestable version - Same logic as indicator - Position sizing and risk management - Performance metrics - Use for backtesting and automation --- ## THE 6 MARKET REGIMES ### 1. 🟢 BULL TRENDING **Characteristics:** - Strong uptrend - Price above SMA50 and SMA200 - ADX > 25 (strong trend) - Higher highs and higher lows - DI+ > DI- (bullish momentum) **What It Means:** - Market has clear upward direction - Buyers in control - Pullbacks are buying opportunities - Strongest regime for long positions **How to Trade:** - ✅ **BUY dips to EMA20 or SMA20** - ✅ Enter when RSI < 60 on pullback - ✅ Hold through minor corrections - ❌ Don't short against the trend - ❌ Don't sell too early **Expected Behavior:** - Pullbacks are shallow (5-10%) - Bounces are strong - Support at moving averages holds - Volume increases on rallies --- ### 2. 🔴 BEAR TRENDING **Characteristics:** - Strong downtrend - Price below SMA50 and SMA200 - ADX > 25 (strong trend) - Lower highs and lower lows - DI- > DI+ (bearish momentum) **What It Means:** - Market has clear downward direction - Sellers in control - Rallies are selling opportunities - Strongest regime for short positions **How to Trade:** - ✅ **SELL rallies to EMA20 or SMA20** - ✅ Enter when RSI > 40 on bounce - ✅ Hold through minor bounces - ❌ Don't buy against the trend - ❌ Don't cover shorts too early **Expected Behavior:** - Rallies are weak (5-10%) - Selloffs are strong - Resistance at moving averages holds - Volume increases on declines --- ### 3. 🔵 BULL RANGING **Characteristics:** - Bullish bias but consolidating - Price near or above SMA50 - ADX < 20 (weak trend) - Trading in range - Choppy price action **What It Means:** - Uptrend is pausing - Accumulation phase - Support and resistance zones clear - Lower volatility **How to Trade:** - ✅ **BUY at support zone** - ✅ Enter when RSI < 40 - ✅ Take profits at resistance - ⚠️ Smaller position sizes - ⚠️ Tighter stops **Expected Behavior:** - Range-bound oscillations - Support bounces repeatedly - Resistance rejections common - Eventually breaks higher (usually) --- ### 4. 🟠 BEAR RANGING **Characteristics:** - Bearish bias but consolidating - Price near or below SMA50 - ADX < 20 (weak trend) - Trading in range - Choppy price action **What It Means:** - Downtrend is pausing - Distribution phase - Support and resistance zones clear - Lower volatility **How to Trade:** - ✅ **SELL at resistance zone** - ✅ Enter when RSI > 60 - ✅ Take profits at support - ⚠️ Smaller position sizes - ⚠️ Tighter stops **Expected Behavior:** - Range-bound oscillations - Resistance holds repeatedly - Support bounces are weak - Eventually breaks lower (usually) --- ### 5. ⚪ CONSOLIDATION **Characteristics:** - No clear direction - Range compression - Very low ADX (< 15 often) - Price inside tight range - Neutral sentiment **What It Means:** - Market is coiling - Building energy for next move - Indecision between buyers/sellers - Calm before the storm **How to Trade:** - ✅ **WAIT for breakout direction** - ✅ Enter on high-volume breakout - ✅ Direction becomes clear - ❌ Don't trade inside the range - ❌ Avoid choppy scalping **Expected Behavior:** - Narrow range - Low volume - False breakouts possible - Explosive move when it breaks --- ### 6. 🟣 CHAOS (High Volatility) **Characteristics:** - Extreme volatility - No clear direction - Erratic price swings - ATR > 2x average - Unpredictable **What It Means:** - Market panic or euphoria - News-driven moves - Emotion dominates logic - Highest risk environment **How to Trade:** - ❌ **STAY OUT!** - ❌ No positions - ❌ Wait for stability - ✅ Protect existing positions - ✅ Reduce risk **Expected Behavior:** - Large intraday swings - Gaps up/down - Stop hunts - Whipsaws - Eventually calms down --- ## INDICATOR USAGE ### Visual Elements #### 1. Background Colors - **Light Green** = Bull Trending (go long) - **Light Red** = Bear Trending (go short) - **Light Teal** = Bull Ranging (buy dips) - **Light Orange** = Bear Ranging (sell rallies) - **Light Gray** = Consolidation (wait) - **Purple** = Chaos (stay out!) #### 2. Regime Labels - Appear when regime changes - Show new regime name - Positioned at highs (bullish) or lows (bearish) #### 3. Entry Signals - **Green "LONG"** labels = Buy here - **Red "SHORT"** labels = Sell here - Number shows confluence score (X/5 signals) - Hover for details (stop, target, RSI, etc.) #### 4. Exit Signals - **Orange "EXIT LONG"** = Close long position - **Orange "EXIT SHORT"** = Close short position - Shows exit reason in tooltip #### 5. Support/Resistance Lines - **Green line** = Dynamic support (buy zone) - **Red line** = Dynamic resistance (sell zone) - Adapts to regime automatically #### 6. Moving Averages - **Blue** = SMA 20 (short-term trend) - **Orange** = SMA 50 (medium-term trend) - **Purple** = SMA 200 (long-term trend) ### Information Tables #### Top Right Table (Main Info) Shows real-time market conditions: - **Current Regime** - What regime we're in - **Bias** - Long, Short, Breakout, or Stay Out - **ADX** - Trend strength (>25 = strong) - **Trend** - Strong, Moderate, or Weak - **Volatility** - High or Normal - **Vol Ratio** - Current vs average volatility - **RSI** - Momentum (>70 overbought, <30 oversold) - **vs SMA50/200** - Price position relative to MAs - **Support/Resistance** - Exact price levels - **Long/Short Signals** - Confluence scores (X/5) #### Bottom Right Table (Regime Guide) Quick reference for each regime: - What action to take - What strategy to use - Color-coded for quick identification --- ## ENTRY SIGNALS EXPLAINED ### Confluence Scoring System (5 Factors) Each entry signal is scored 0-5 based on how many factors align: #### For LONG Entries: 1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bull Trending or Bull Ranging 2. ✅ **RSI Pullback** - RSI between 35-50 (not overbought) 3. ✅ **Near Support** - Price within 2% of dynamic support 4. ✅ **MACD Turning Up** - Momentum shifting bullish 5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume #### For SHORT Entries: 1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bear Trending or Bear Ranging 2. ✅ **RSI Rejection** - RSI between 50-65 (not oversold) 3. ✅ **Near Resistance** - Price within 2% of dynamic resistance 4. ✅ **MACD Turning Down** - Momentum shifting bearish 5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume ### Confluence Requirements **Minimum Confluence** (default = 2): - 2/5 = Entry signal triggered - 3/5 = Good signal - 4/5 = Strong signal - 5/5 = Excellent signal (rare) **Higher confluence = Higher probability = Better trades** ### Specific Entry Patterns #### 1. Bull Trending Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bull Trending - Price pulls back to EMA20 - Close above EMA20 (bounce) - Up candle (close > open) - RSI < 60 - Confluence ≥ 2 ``` #### 2. Bear Trending Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bear Trending - Price rallies to EMA20 - Close below EMA20 (rejection) - Down candle (close < open) - RSI > 40 - Confluence ≥ 2 ``` #### 3. Bull Ranging Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bull Ranging - RSI < 40 (oversold) - Price at or below support - Up candle (reversal) - Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient) ``` #### 4. Bear Ranging Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bear Ranging - RSI > 60 (overbought) - Price at or above resistance - Down candle (rejection) - Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient) ``` #### 5. Consolidation Breakout ``` Requirements: - Regime = Consolidation - Price breaks above/below range - Volume > 1.5x average (explosive) - Strong directional candle ``` --- ## EXIT SIGNALS EXPLAINED ### Three Types of Exits #### 1. Regime Change Exits (Automatic) - **Long Exit**: Regime changes to Bear Trending or Chaos - **Short Exit**: Regime changes to Bull Trending or Chaos - **Reason**: Market character changed, strategy no longer valid #### 2. Support/Resistance Break Exits - **Long Exit**: Price breaks below support by 2% - **Short Exit**: Price breaks above resistance by 2% - **Reason**: Key level violated, trend may be reversing #### 3. Momentum Exits - **Long Exit**: RSI > 70 (overbought) AND down candle - **Short Exit**: RSI < 30 (oversold) AND up candle - **Reason**: Overextension, take profits ### Stop Loss & Take Profit **Stop Loss** (Automatic in strategy): - Placed at Entry - (ATR × 2) - Adapts to volatility - Protected from whipsaws - Typically 2-4% for stocks, 5-10% for crypto **Take Profit** (Automatic in strategy): - Placed at Entry + (Stop Distance × R:R Ratio) - Default 2.5:1 reward:risk - Example: $2 risk = $5 reward target - Allows winners to run --- ## TRADING EACH REGIME ### BULL TRENDING - Most Profitable Long Environment **Strategy: Buy Every Dip** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for pullback to EMA20 or SMA20 2. Look for RSI < 60 3. Enter when candle closes above MA 4. Confluence should be 2+ **Stop Loss:** - Below the recent swing low - Or 2 × ATR below entry **Take Profit:** - At previous high - Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum **Position Size:** - Can use full size (2% risk) - High win rate regime **Example Trade:** ``` Price: $100, pulls back to $98 (EMA20) Entry: $98.50 (close above EMA) Stop: $96.50 (2 ATR) Target: $103.50 (2.5:1) Risk: $2, Reward: $5 ``` --- ### BEAR TRENDING - Most Profitable Short Environment **Strategy: Sell Every Rally** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for bounce to EMA20 or SMA20 2. Look for RSI > 40 3. Enter when candle closes below MA 4. Confluence should be 2+ **Stop Loss:** - Above the recent swing high - Or 2 × ATR above entry **Take Profit:** - At previous low - Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum **Position Size:** - Can use full size (2% risk) - High win rate regime **Example Trade:** ``` Price: $100, rallies to $102 (EMA20) Entry: $101.50 (close below EMA) Stop: $103.50 (2 ATR) Target: $96.50 (2.5:1) Risk: $2, Reward: $5 ``` --- ### BULL RANGING - Buy Low, Sell High **Strategy: Range Trading (Long Bias)** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for price at support zone 2. Look for RSI < 40 3. Enter on reversal candle 4. Confluence should be 1-2+ **Stop Loss:** - Below support zone - Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR) **Take Profit:** - At resistance zone - Don't hold through resistance **Position Size:** - Reduce to 1-1.5% risk - Lower win rate than trending **Example Trade:** ``` Range: $95-$105 Entry: $96 (at support, RSI 35) Stop: $94 (below support) Target: $104 (at resistance) Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1) ``` --- ### BEAR RANGING - Sell High, Buy Low **Strategy: Range Trading (Short Bias)** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for price at resistance zone 2. Look for RSI > 60 3. Enter on rejection candle 4. Confluence should be 1-2+ **Stop Loss:** - Above resistance zone - Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR) **Take Profit:** - At support zone - Don't hold through support **Position Size:** - Reduce to 1-1.5% risk - Lower win rate than trending **Example Trade:** ``` Range: $95-$105 Entry: $104 (at resistance, RSI 65) Stop: $106 (above resistance) Target: $96 (at support) Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1) ``` --- ### CONSOLIDATION - Wait for Breakout **Strategy: Breakout Trading** **Entry Rules:** 1. Identify consolidation range 2. Wait for VOLUME SURGE (1.5x+ avg) 3. Enter on close outside range 4. Direction must be clear **Stop Loss:** - Opposite side of range - Or 2 ATR **Take Profit:** - Measure range height, project it - Example: $10 range = $10 move expected **Position Size:** - Reduce to 1% risk - 50% false breakout rate **Example Trade:** ``` Consolidation: $98-$102 (4-point range) Breakout: $102.50 (high volume) Entry: $103 Stop: $100 (back in range) Target: $107 (4-point range projected) Risk: $3, Reward: $4 ``` --- ### CHAOS - STAY OUT! **Strategy: Preservation** **What to Do:** - ❌ NO new positions - ✅ Close existing positions if near entry - ✅ Tighten stops on profitable trades - ✅ Reduce position sizes dramatically - ✅ Wait for regime to stabilize **Why It's Dangerous:** - Stop hunts are common - Whipsaws everywhere - News-driven volatility - No technical reliability - Even "perfect" setups fail **When Does It End:** - Volatility ratio drops < 1.5 - ADX starts rising (direction appears) - Price respects support/resistance again - Usually 1-5 days --- ## CONFLUENCE SYSTEM ### How It Works The system scores each potential entry on 5 factors. More factors aligning = higher probability. ### Confluence Requirements by Regime **Trending Regimes** (strictest): - Minimum 2/5 required - 3/5 = Good - 4-5/5 = Excellent **Ranging Regimes** (moderate): - Minimum 1-2/5 required - 2/5 = Good - 3+/5 = Excellent **Consolidation** (breakout only): - Volume is most critical - Direction confirmation - Less confluence needed ### Adjusting Minimum Confluence **If too few signals:** - Lower from 2 to 1 - More trades, lower quality **If too many false signals:** - Raise from 2 to 3 - Fewer trades, higher quality **Recommendation:** - Start at 2 - Adjust based on win rate - Aim for 55-65% win rate --- ## STRATEGY BACKTESTING ### Loading the Strategy 1. Copy `market_regime_strategy.pine` 2. Open Pine Editor in TradingView 3. Paste and "Add to Chart" 4. Strategy Tester tab opens at bottom ### Initial Settings ``` Risk Per Trade: 2% ATR Stop Multiplier: 2.0 Reward:Risk Ratio: 2.5 Trade Longs: ✓ Trade Shorts: ✓ Trade Trending Only: ✗ (test both) Avoid Chaos: ✓ Minimum Confluence: 2 ``` ### What to Look For **Good Results:** - Win Rate: 50-60% - Profit Factor: 1.8-2.5 - Net Profit: Positive - Max Drawdown: <20% - Consistent equity curve **Warning Signs:** - Win Rate: <45% (too many losses) - Profit Factor: <1.5 (barely profitable) - Max Drawdown: >30% (too risky) - Erratic equity curve (unstable) ### Testing Different Regimes **Test 1: Trending Only** ``` Trade Trending Only: ✓ Result: Higher win rate, fewer trades ``` **Test 2: All Regimes** ``` Trade Trending Only: ✗ Result: More trades, potentially lower win rate ``` **Test 3: Long Only** ``` Trade Longs: ✓ Trade Shorts: ✗ Result: Works in bull markets ``` **Test 4: Short Only** ``` Trade Longs: ✗ Trade Shorts: ✓ Result: Works in bear markets ``` --- ## SETTINGS OPTIMIZATION ### Key Parameters to Adjust #### 1. Risk Per Trade (Most Important) - **0.5%** = Very conservative - **1.0%** = Conservative (recommended for beginners) - **2.0%** = Moderate (recommended) - **3.0%** = Aggressive - **5.0%** = Very aggressive (not recommended) **Impact:** Higher risk = higher returns BUT bigger drawdowns #### 2. Reward:Risk Ratio - **2:1** = More wins needed, hit target faster - **2.5:1** = Balanced (recommended) - **3:1** = Fewer wins needed, hold longer - **4:1** = Very patient, best in trending **Impact:** Higher R:R = can have lower win rate #### 3. Minimum Confluence - **1** = More signals, lower quality - **2** = Balanced (recommended) - **3** = Fewer signals, higher quality - **4** = Very selective - **5** = Almost never triggers **Impact:** Higher = fewer but better trades #### 4. ADX Thresholds - **Trending: 20-30** (default 25) - Lower = detect trends earlier - Higher = only strong trends - **Ranging: 15-25** (default 20) - Lower = identify ranging earlier - Higher = only weak trends #### 5. Trend Period (SMA) - **20-50** = Short-term trends - **50** = Medium-term (default, recommended) - **100-200** = Long-term trends **Impact:** Longer period = slower regime changes, more stable ### Optimization Workflow **Step 1: Baseline** - Use all default settings - Test on 3+ years - Record: Win Rate, PF, Drawdown **Step 2: Risk Optimization** - Test 1%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.5% - Find best risk-adjusted return - Balance profit vs drawdown **Step 3: R:R Optimization** - Test 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1 - Check which maximizes profit factor - Consider holding time **Step 4: Confluence Optimization** - Test 1, 2, 3 - Find sweet spot for win rate - Aim for 55-65% win rate **Step 5: Regime Filter** - Test with/without trend filter - Test with/without chaos filter - Find what works for your asset --- ## REAL TRADING EXAMPLES ### Example 1: Bull Trending - SPY **Setup:** - Regime: BULL TRENDING - Price pulls back from $450 to $445 - EMA20 at $444 - RSI drops to 45 - Confluence: 4/5 **Entry:** - Price closes at $445.50 (above EMA20) - LONG signal appears - Enter at $445.50 **Risk Management:** - Stop: $443 (2 ATR = $2.50) - Target: $451.75 (2.5:1 = $6.25) - Risk: $2.50 per share - Position: 80 shares (2% of $10k = $200 risk) **Outcome:** - Price rallies to $452 in 3 days - Target hit - Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520 - Return: 2.6 × risk (excellent) --- ### Example 2: Bear Ranging - AAPL **Setup:** - Regime: BEAR RANGING - Range: $165-$175 - Price rallies to $174 - Resistance at $175 - RSI at 68 - Confluence: 3/5 **Entry:** - Rejection candle at $174 - SHORT signal appears - Enter at $173.50 **Risk Management:** - Stop: $176 (above resistance) - Target: $166 (support) - Risk: $2.50 - Position: 80 shares **Outcome:** - Price drops to $167 in 2 days - Target hit - Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520 - Return: 2.6 × risk --- ### Example 3: Consolidation Breakout - BTC **Setup:** - Regime: CONSOLIDATION - Range: $28,000 - $30,000 - Compressed for 2 weeks - Volume declining **Breakout:** - Price breaks $30,000 - Volume surges 200% - Close at $30,500 - LONG signal **Entry:** - Enter at $30,500 **Risk Management:** - Stop: $29,500 (back in range) - Target: $32,000 (range height = $2k) - Risk: $1,000 - Position: 0.2 BTC ($200 risk on $10k) **Outcome:** - Price runs to $33,000 - Target exceeded - Profit: $2,500 × 0.2 = $500 - Return: 2.5 × risk --- ### Example 4: Avoiding Chaos - Tesla **Setup:** - Regime: BULL TRENDING - LONG position from $240 - Elon tweets something crazy - Regime changes to CHAOS **Action:** - EXIT signal appears - Close position immediately - Current price: $242 (small profit) **Outcome:** - Next 3 days: wild swings - High $255, Low $230 - By staying out, avoided: - Potential stop out - Whipsaw losses - Stress **Result:** - Small profit preserved - Capital protected - Re-enter when regime stabilizes --- ## ALERTS SETUP ### Available Alerts 1. **Bull Trending Regime** - Market goes bullish 2. **Bear Trending Regime** - Market goes bearish 3. **Chaos Regime** - High volatility, stay out 4. **Long Entry Signal** - Buy opportunity 5. **Short Entry Signal** - Sell opportunity 6. **Long Exit Signal** - Close long 7. **Short Exit Signal** - Close short ### How to Set Up 1. Click **⏰ (Alert)** icon in TradingView 2. Select **Condition**: Choose indicator + alert type 3. **Options**: Popup, Email, Webhook, etc. 4. **Message**: Customize notification 5. Click **Create** ### Recommended Alert Strategy **For Active Traders:** - Long Entry Signal - Short Entry Signal - Long Exit Signal - Short Exit Signal **For Position Traders:** - Bull Trending Regime (enter longs) - Bear Trending Regime (enter shorts) - Chaos Regime (exit all) **For Conservative:** - Only regime change alerts - Manually review entries - More selective --- ## TIPS FOR SUCCESS ### 1. Start Small - Paper trade first - Then 0.5% risk - Build to 1-2% over time ### 2. Follow the Regime - Don't fight it - Adapt your style - Different tactics for each ### 3. Trust the Confluence - 4-5/5 = Best trades - 2-3/5 = Good trades - 1/5 = Skip unless desperate ### 4. Respect Exits - Don't hope and hold - Cut losses quickly - Take profits at targets ### 5. Avoid Chaos - Seriously, just stay out - Protect your capital - Wait for clarity ### 6. Keep a Journal - Record every trade - Note regime and confluence - Review weekly - Learn patterns ### 7. Backtest Thoroughly - 3+ years minimum - Multiple market conditions - Different assets - Walk-forward test ### 8. Be Patient - Best setups are rare - 1-3 trades per week is normal - Quality over quantity - Compound over time --- ## COMMON QUESTIONS **Q: How many trades per month should I expect?** A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily chart: 5-15 trades/month. 4H chart: 15-30 trades/month. **Q: What's a good win rate?** A: 55-65% is excellent. 50-55% is good. Below 50% needs adjustment. **Q: Should I trade all regimes?** A: Beginners: Only trending. Intermediate: Trending + ranging. Advanced: All except chaos. **Q: Can I use this on any timeframe?** A: Best on Daily and 4H. Works on 1H with more noise. Not recommended <1H. **Q: What if I'm in a trade and regime changes?** A: Exit immediately (if using indicator) or let strategy handle it automatically. **Q: How do I know if I'm over-optimizing?** A: If results are perfect on one period but fail on another. Use walk-forward testing. **Q: Should I always take 5/5 confluence trades?** A: Yes, but they're rare (1-2/month). Don't wait only for these. **Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?** A: Yes, but keep it simple. RSI, MACD already included. Maybe add volume profile. **Q: What assets work best?** A: Liquid stocks, major crypto, futures. Avoid forex spot (use futures), penny stocks. **Q: How long to hold positions?** A: Trending: Days to weeks. Ranging: Hours to days. Breakout: Days. Let the regime guide you. --- ## FINAL THOUGHTS This system gives you: - ✅ Clear market context (regime) - ✅ High-probability entries (confluence) - ✅ Defined exits (automatic signals) - ✅ Adaptable tactics (regime-specific) - ✅ Backtestable results (strategy version) **Success requires:** - 📚 Understanding each regime - 🎯 Following the signals - 💪 Discipline to wait - 🧠 Emotional control - 📊 Proper risk management **Start your journey:** 1. Load the indicator 2. Watch for 1 week (no trading) 3. Identify regime patterns 4. Paper trade for 1 month 5. Go live with small size 6. Scale up as you gain confidence **Remember:** The market will always be here. There's no rush. Master one regime at a time, and you'll be profitable in all conditions! Good luck! 🚀
Pine Script® göstergesi
frankieho_92 tarafından
ICT Candle Reading PROICT Candle Reading – Visual Clean This indicator is designed to provide a clean and precise price reading, based on ICT and Smart Money Concepts, without cluttering the chart. Its purpose is to help traders identify real institutional zones, understand market intention, and improve entry timing, using pure price action. 🔹 What does this indicator show? 🟢 Fair Value Gaps (FVG / Imbalances) Detects market inefficiencies created by impulsive moves. Displayed as clean and minimal boxes extended into the future. Useful as mitigation, reaction, or continuation zones. 🟠 Liquidity Sweeps Highlights liquidity grabs above recent highs or below recent lows. Drawn using dashed horizontal lines. Helps identify market manipulation before the true move. 🔵 Displacement Candles Identifies candles with dominant bodies, showing institutional momentum. Marked with small symbols to keep the chart clean. Useful to confirm impulse starts or shifts in market intent. 🎯 Indicator Philosophy ❌ No lagging indicators ❌ No chart clutter ✅ Real ICT concepts ✅ Clean candle reading ✅ Suitable for scalping, intraday, and swing trading ⚙️ Customization Each concept can be enabled or disabled individually. Zone extension length is adjustable. Optimized for 15M, 1H, and 4H timeframes. 📈 How to use This indicator does not provide automatic buy/sell signals. It is best used with: Higher timeframe bias Market structure Session timing (London / New York) Proper risk management 🧠 Final Notes ICT Candle Reading – Visual Clean helps you see the market from an institutional perspective, focusing only on what truly matters: price, liquidity, and intent.
Pine Script® göstergesi
Alxymarketfx tarafından
Fair Value Gap WindowStupid little toy I made to get my toes back in the water. How does this work? Detects fair value gaps up to the count you specify in the settings Plots them on the chart if they are inside of the 2 lines (top and bottom) If the fair value gap is partially outside of the "window", it will only draw the part of it thats inside the window. Not really useful but if you wanna take a look at the code for practice for yourself, feel free I guess haha
Pine Script® göstergesi
k4sual tarafından
Single Prints and Poor Highs/Lows [Real-Time]This indicator is designed for traders utilizing Auction Market Theory (AMT) who need real-time visibility into market structure inefficiencies. Unlike standard TPO tools that often wait for closed bars or finished sessions, this script builds a developing TPO profile tick-by-tick to identify Single Prints and Poor Highs/Lows the moment they form. Key Features: Real-Time Single Prints: Automatically detects and highlights areas of single-print inefficiencies (buying/selling tails) as they happen. These "ghost" boxes persist on the chart until price repairs (fills) them, acting as immediate targets or support/resistance zones. Poor High/Low Detection: Strictly implements AMT logic to identify "unfinished" auctions. If a session extreme is formed by two or more TPO blocks (indicating a flat top/bottom rather than a rejection tail), it marks the level with a dotted line. Repair Logic: Both Single Prints and Poor High/Low lines are dynamic. If price revisits and repairs the structure, the markers automatically vanish to keep your chart clean. Session Control: Fully customizable RTH (Regular Trading Hours) session input (default 08:30–15:15) to ensure profiles are built on relevant liquidity. Quantization: Adjustable "Ticks per Block" allowing you to tune the sensitivity of the TPO profile to different assets (ES, NQ, CL, etc.). How It Works: TPO Construction: The script breaks the session into 30-minute periods (configurable) and tracks price overlap. Single Prints: When the market expands rapidly, leaving gaps in the profile (single TPO blocks), a box is drawn. If price trades back through this box, it deletes itself. Poor Extremes: It monitors the current session High and Low. If the extreme price level has a TPO count of ≥ 2, it is flagged as "Poor." If the extreme is a single print (count = 1), it is considered a valid tail and left unmarked. Settings: RTH Session: Define your specific trading session time. TPO Period: Default is 30 minutes (standard AMT). Ticks per Block: Controls the vertical resolution of the TPO. (Higher values = coarser profile, Lower values = more precision). Colors: Fully customizable colors for Live Prints, Historical Prints, and Poor High/Low lines. Usage: Use this tool to spot immediate structural targets. A Poor High often acts as a magnet for price to revisit and "repair," while Single Prints often defend as support/resistance on the first retest.
Pine Script® göstergesi
tantankatrading tarafından
ORB + FVG + PDH/PDL ORB + FVG + PDH/PDL is an all-in-one day-trading overlay that plots: Opening Range (ORB) high/low with optional box and extension Fair Value Gaps (FVG) with optional “unmitigated” levels + mitigation lines Previous Day High/Low history (PDH/PDL) drawn as one-day segments (yesterday’s levels plotted across today’s session only) Includes presets (ORB only / FVG only / Both) and optional alerts for ORB touches, ORB break + retest, FVG entry, and PDH/PDL touches.
Pine Script® göstergesi
JDJerde tarafından