Volume Weighted Regression ChannelThis indicator constructs a volume-weighted linear regression channel over a custom time range.
It’s conceptually similar to a Volume Profile, but instead of projecting horizontal value zones, it builds a tilted trend channel that reflects both price direction and volume concentration.
🧠 Core Features:
Volume-weighted points: Each candle contributes to the regression line proportionally to its volume — heavier candles shift the channel toward high-activity price zones.
Linear regression line: Shows the trend direction within the selected time interval.
±σ boundaries: Outer bands represent the standard deviation of price (also volume-weighted), highlighting statistical dispersion.
Fully customizable: Adjustable line styles, widths, and channel width (sigma multiplier).
Time window control: Select any start and end time to define the regression interval.
📊 Why use this instead of Volume Profile?
While Volume Profile shows horizontal distributions of traded volume, this indicator is ideal when:
You want to understand how volume clusters affect trend direction, not just price levels.
You're analyzing time-dependent flow rather than static price zones.
You're looking for a dynamic volume-adjusted channel that moves with the market's structure.
It’s especially useful in identifying volume-supported trends, hidden pullback zones, and statistical extremes.
⚙️ Notes:
Works on any timeframe and instrument.
Does not repaint.
Does not require volume profile data feeds — uses standard volume and hl2.
Göstergeler ve stratejiler
Simple Pips GridOverview
This is a clean, simple, and highly practical indicator that draws horizontal grid lines at user-defined pip intervals.
Unlike other complex grid indicators, this script is designed to be lightweight and error-free. It eliminates automatic symbol detection and instead gives you full manual control, ensuring it works perfectly with any symbol you trade—FX, CFDs, Crypto, Stocks, Indices, and more.
Key Features
Universal Compatibility: Works with any trading pair by letting you manually define the pip value.
Fully Customizable: Easily set the pip interval for your grid (e.g., 10 pips, 50 pips, 100 pips).
Lightweight & Fast: Simple code ensures smooth performance without lagging your chart.
Visual Customization: Change the color, width, and style (solid, dashed, dotted) of the grid lines.
How to Use
It's incredibly simple to set up. You only need to configure two main settings:
Step 1: Set the "Pip Value"
This is the most important setting. You need to tell the indicator what "1 pip" means for the symbol you are currently viewing.
Go to the indicator settings and find the "Pip Value" input. Here are some common examples:
Symbol Pip Value (Input this number)
USD/JPY 0.01
EUR/USD 0.0001
GBP/USD 0.0001
XAU/USD (Gold) 0.1
JP225 (Nikkei 225) 10
US500 (S&P 500) 1
BTC/USD 0.1 or 1.0 (depending on your preference)
Step 2: Set the "Pip Interval"
Next, in the "Pip Interval" input, simply type how many pips you want between each line.
For a 10-pip grid, enter 10.
For a 50-pip grid, enter 50.
That's it! The grid will now be perfectly aligned to your specifications.
Additional Settings
Line Color, Width, Style: Customize the appearance of the lines to match your chart theme.
Number of Lines: Adjust how many lines are drawn above and below the current price to optimize performance and visibility.
This script was created with the assistance of Gemini (Google's AI) to be a simple and reliable tool for all traders. Feel free to use and modify it. Happy trading!
Candle Opens by HAZEDCandle Opens by HAZED
🎯 Overview
A clean, optimized indicator that displays key timeframe opening prices with enhanced performance and modern styling. Perfect for identifying critical support/resistance levels across multiple timeframes without chart clutter.
📈 Key Features
- 5 Major Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly opens
- Current Opens Only: No historical lookback - shows only the most recent/relevant levels
- Smart Positioning: Toggle between staggered lines (prevents overlap) or uniform length
- Dual Label Styles: Choose plain text (minimal) or enhanced labels with prices
- Performance Optimized: Streamlined code for faster loading and smoother operation
- Alert System: Get notified when any timeframe opens change
- Extended Hours Support: Works with pre/post market sessions
🎨 Customization Options
- Individual color selection for each timeframe
- Adjustable line width (1-4px)
- Right extension length control
- Optional left tail extensions
- Show/hide labels with style options
- Same length lines toggle for clean alignment
⚙️ Advanced Settings
- Discover Prices: Use chart data instead of HTF requests (for data feed discrepancies)
- Extended Hours: Display opens during pre/post market sessions
- Alert Controls: Enable/disable notifications for timeframe changes
📊 Default Configuration
- Enabled: Daily (Green), Weekly (Orange), Monthly (Red), Yearly (Blue)
- Disabled: Quarterly (Purple) - easily enabled if needed
- Labels: Enhanced style with prices shown by default
- Lines: 2px width, staggered positioning for optimal spacing
🚀 Performance Improvements
- Removed unnecessary historical data tracking
- Optimized drawing functions for better responsiveness
- Cleaner variable management and memory usage
- Enhanced yearly open detection algorithm
💡 Best Use Cases
- Swing trading: Identify key weekly/monthly levels
- Day trading: Respect daily opens as support/resistance
- Long-term investing: Monitor yearly opens for major trends
- Multi-timeframe analysis: See all key levels at once
🔧 Technical Notes
- Uses proper request.security() calls for accurate data
- Smart change detection prevents unnecessary redraws
- Handles different chart timeframes automatically
- Compatible with all asset classes and exchanges
Original concept enhanced and optimized by HAZED for modern trading needs.
RSI Games 1.2he "RSI Games 1.2" indicator enhances the standard RSI by adding several layers of analysis:
Standard RSI Calculation: It calculates the RSI based on a configurable length (default 14 periods) and a user-selected source (default close price).
RSI Bands: It plots horizontal lines at 70 (red, overbought), 50 (yellow, neutral), and 30 (green, oversold) to easily identify extreme RSI levels.
RSI Smoothing with Moving Averages (MAs) and Bollinger Bands (BBs):
You can apply various types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) to smooth the RSI line.
If you choose "SMA + Bollinger Bands," the indicator will also plot Bollinger Bands around the smoothed RSI, providing dynamic overbought/oversold levels based on volatility.
The RSI line itself changes color based on whether it's above (green) or below (red) its smoothing MA.
It also fills the area between the RSI and its smoothing MA, coloring it green when RSI is above and red when below.
Bollinger Band Signals: When Bollinger Bands are enabled, the indicator marks "Buy" signals (green arrow up) when the RSI crosses above the lower Bollinger Band and "Sell" signals (red arrow down) when it crosses below the upper Bollinger Band.
Background Coloring: The background of the indicator pane changes to light green when RSI is below 30 (oversold) and light red when RSI is above 70 (overbought), visually highlighting extreme conditions.
Divergence Detection: This is a key feature. The indicator automatically identifies and labels:
Regular Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low. This often signals a potential reversal to the upside.
Regular Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but RSI makes a lower high. This often signals a potential reversal to the downside.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price makes a higher low, but RSI makes a lower low. This can indicate a continuation of an uptrend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price makes a lower high, but RSI makes a higher high. This can indicate a continuation of a downtrend.
Divergences are visually marked with labels and can trigger alerts.
juan_dibujosLibrary "juan_dibujos"
extend_line(lineId, labelId)
: Extend specific line with its label
Parameters:
lineId (line)
labelId (label)
update_line_coordinates(lineId, labelId, x1, y1, x2, y2)
: Update specific line coordinates with its label
Parameters:
lineId (line)
labelId (label)
x1 (int)
y1 (float)
x2 (int)
y2 (float)
update_label_coordinates(labelId, value)
: Update coordinates of a label
Parameters:
labelId (label)
value (float)
delete_line(lineId, labelId)
: Delete specific line with its label
Parameters:
lineId (line)
labelId (label)
update_box_coordinates(boxId, labelId, left, top, right, bottom)
: Update specific box coordinates with its label
Parameters:
boxId (box)
labelId (label)
left (int)
top (float)
right (int)
bottom (float)
delete_box(boxId, labelId)
: Delete specific box with its label
Parameters:
boxId (box)
labelId (label)
Previous Daily OHLCPrevious Daily OHLC Indicator
Overview:
This professional TradingView indicator displays the previous day's key price levels (Open, High, Low, Close, and 50% midpoint) as horizontal lines on your chart. These levels are essential for traders who use previous day data as support and resistance zones in their technical analysis.
What It Does
Displays Previous Day Levels: Automatically shows horizontal lines for yesterday's OHLC data
Real-Time Updates: Lines update dynamically each new trading day
Fully Customizable: Complete control over which levels to display and how they appear
Smart Line Management: Choose between showing lines for recent bars or across the entire chart
Professional Labels: Clear labels with optional price values for each level
Color Coded System: Distinct colors for each level type for instant recognition
Key Features
Five Important Price Levels
Previous Day Open: Yesterday's opening price - often acts as psychological level
Previous Day High: Yesterday's highest price - key resistance level for breakout trading
Previous Day Low: Yesterday's lowest price - important support level for breakdowns
Previous Day Close: Yesterday's closing price - significant reference point
50% Midpoint: Calculated midpoint between previous day's high and low - bias indicator
Metatron Lines (Highs & Lows Geometry)Metatron Lines
Hey TradingView community! 👋
I wanted to share something I've been working on that might help you see market structure from a different angle. This indicator connects pivot highs and lows using geometric patterns, creating what I call "Metatron Lines."
What it does (simply put):
- Finds significant highs and lows on your chart
- Draws lines connecting these points to reveal hidden geometric relationships
- Shows you the underlying structure that price tends to respect
Why I built this:
I noticed that markets often move in patterns that aren't immediately obvious. Sometimes the most important levels aren't the obvious support and resistance lines, but the intersections and angles created by connecting multiple pivot points. This tool helps visualize those relationships.
How it might help you:
- Pattern Recognition : Spot geometric formations that traditional analysis might miss
- Support/Resistance : See where multiple geometric lines converge to create strong levels
- Market Structure : Better understand how price flows and where it might find obstacles
- Confluence Areas : Identify zones where multiple geometric elements align
A few honest thoughts:
This isn't a magic bullet or a guaranteed profit maker (nothing is!). It's simply another lens through which to view price action. Some traders find geometric analysis helpful, others prefer different approaches - and that's perfectly fine.
I've tried to make it customizable so you can adjust it to fit your trading style and timeframe. The default settings work well for most instruments, but feel free to experiment.
Settings you can adjust:
- Pivot detection sensitivity
- Number of connection points
- Line colors and styles
- Which connections to show (highs, lows, or both)
I hope some of you find this useful! I'm always learning from this community, so if you have suggestions for improvements or different ways to use it, I'd love to hear them.
Trade safe and trust your process! 📈
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This indicator is provided as-is for educational and analysis purposes. Please practice proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Inside Bar Detector - 15min
🔍 What is an Inside Bar?
An **Inside Bar** is a candle that forms **entirely within the high and low of the previous candle**. It represents **consolidation**, **indecision**, or **potential reversal**, and is a key signal in The Strat trading method.
🔧 What the Script Does:
1. **Timeframe Restriction**:
* The script activates **only on the 15-minute timeframe**, avoiding clutter on other timeframes.
2. **Inside Bar Logic**:
* It checks whether the **current bar’s high is lower than the previous bar’s high**, **AND** the **current bar’s low is higher than the previous bar’s low**.
* If both conditions are true, it confirms an Inside Bar.
3. **Visual Display**:
* When an Inside Bar is detected, the script **plots a yellow label ("1") above the bar**.
* The label represents the Strat 1-bar and helps you easily spot potential setups.
🎯 Use Case:
* Ideal for **Strat traders**, **price action analysts**, or **any trader** looking for breakout or reversal opportunities.
* Common setups include **1-2**, **1-3**, or **double inside bar** breakouts.
Trade Insight Entry Check List📌 Trade Insight™ Entry Checklist Indicator
This indicator is designed for Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Price Action traders who prioritize precision, patience, and psychological discipline.
It helps you validate your trade setup across four essential categories before execution:
🔍 Technical Criteria
✅ Higher Time Frame (HTF) Key Level respected
✅ 4H Candle Closure Confirmation
✅ Trendline 3rd Touch Validation
✅ Liquidity Sweep or Shift (price fails to break HH/LL)
✅ Lower Time Frame (LTF) Order Flow Shift Confirmed
💰 Risk Management
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio ≥ 1:2
✅ Risk Amount Fully Affordable (Capital Preservation mindset)
🧠 Psychological Readiness
✅ No F.O.M.O (Fear of Missing Out)
✅ No FEAR-based decisions
✅ No GREED influence
✅ No REVENGE trading
TradePlanner ProPlan smarter. Trade with precision.
TradePlanner Pro is a professional-grade overlay tool designed to streamline your trading decisions by visually organizing your trade plans directly on the chart. Built for traders who value preparation and clarity, this script enables precise entry planning, risk management, and target visualization—all tailored per symbol.
Core Purpose
TradePlanner Pro helps you map out potential trades using pre-defined symbol-based presets. It dynamically calculates position sizes based on your account size or fixed risk, then visualizes key trade levels (Entry, Take Profits, Stop Loss) with profit/loss metrics in both dollar and percentage terms. It's the perfect companion for traders who prepare their setups in advance and want their plans clearly represented on the chart.
Key Features
🔹 Per-Symbol Presets: Define entries, up to 3 take-profit levels, and stop-losses for each ticker.
🔹 Dynamic Risk Sizing: Choose between percentage-based risk or fixed dollar risk per trade.
🔹 Visual Trade Mapping: Automatically plots Entry, TP1–TP3, and SL lines on your chart.
🔹 Real-Time P&L Labels: Displays profit/loss amounts and percentages, with optional R/R ratios.
🔹 Custom Investment Display: Shows how much capital is allocated per trade.
🔹 Clean, Configurable UI: Adjust label positions, font sizes, opacity, and label visibility to match your style.
Whether you're swing trading or day trading, TradePlanner Pro helps you stay disciplined, organized, and confident in your execution.
How to Use TradePlanner Pro – Step-by-Step Guide
TradePlanner Pro is designed to be easy to set up while giving you full control over how your trades are visualized and calculated. Here’s how to get started:
1. Start with Default Settings
By default, the script assumes:
Account Size: $10,000
Max Money per Trade (%): 1.0%
Max Risk (USD): 0 (disabled; only percentage risk is used)
This means the script will size each trade to risk 1% of your account balance per trade unless you override it with a fixed USD risk amount.
2. Set Up Your Symbol Presets
The "Symbol Presets" input is a flexible text area where you define trade setups for each ticker.
Format (one per line):
SYMBOL:Entry,TP1 ,SL
Example:
AAPL:250,260,270,240
MSFT:100,110,90
TSLA:180,200,170
You can include 1 to 3 take-profit levels.
The script will only activate for the current chart’s symbol, matching what's listed.
3. Customize Risk Parameters
You can use:
Account % Risk – Based on account size and % risk.
Fixed USD Risk – When a dollar amount is entered (>0), it takes priority and calculates share size based on the risk per share.
There's also an option to round share quantities down to whole units, which is useful for stock or crypto trading platforms that only allow whole-number units.
4. Choose What to Display
Toggle on/off these elements as needed:
Show Entry/TP/SL Lines
Show P&L Labels – Profit/loss amounts at each target and SL.
Show Amount Invested – Includes total dollar value in the quantity label.
Show Percentages – Adds % gain/loss to each label.
Show Risk/Reward Ratios – Optionally displayed beside or below TP labels.
You can further adjust:
Font size and label opacity
Label position offset – In percent of price range, so they don’t overlap the actual levels.
5. Read the Visual Outputs
Once the preset matches the current chart symbol:
Lines will appear for Entry, TP1-TP3, and Stop Loss.
Labels will display your:
Trade quantity (and invested amount)
Dollar and % profit at each target
Total loss at stop loss
Optional R/R ratios
Everything updates dynamically and adjusts to your current chart scale and bar availabilit
DP_MoneyFlow_Osc_V4**DP_Moneyflow_Osc_V4** is a custom, volume‐weighted momentum oscillator built around the classic Money Flow Index (MFI), with a few twists to help you spot more reliable reversal points:
***Best way to use it is to take the signals as alert points, to understand when money is starting to flow in or starting to flow out. It is not intended to be a Buy or Sell signal at the point of entry where the label is printed.***
1. **Core Calculation**
* Computes the standard MFI on your chart’s native timeframe:
* Money Flow = typical price (H+L+C)/3 × volume
* Segregates positive vs. negative flow based on whether price rose or fell on each bar
* Smooths each with an N-bar SMA, forms the ratio, and maps it into a 0–100 scale
2. **Inversion & Smoothing**
* You can **invert** the oscillator around 50 (so peaks become troughs and vice versa) with the **Reverse MFI** toggle.
* Applies two layers of smoothing (one for raw noise reduction, another for longer-term trend stability).
3. **Dynamic Coloring**
* Above Overbought (OB) threshold → solid red; below Oversold (OS) → solid green.
* In between, it linearly fades from red/green toward black as it approaches the 50 midpoint.
* **Invert Colors** flips the hue logic (red ↔ green) if you prefer.
4. **Overbought/Oversold Zones**
* Plots horizontal lines at your chosen OB/OS levels.
* Optionally fills the zone between them for quick visual reference.
5. **Peak/Trough Signal Labels**
* Detects **true extremes** by finding when the oscillator reverses direction right at or beyond your OB/OS levels.
* Prints a tiny “OB” or “OS” label **exactly at that pivot bar**, so you see the high or low of the swing.
6. **Alternation Toggle**
* Prevents two consecutive “OS” or “OB” labels by enforcing strict Buy/Sell alternation—turn this on or off via **Enable Signal Alternation**.
---
**Use-Case**: This oscillator excels at pinpointing the *tops* and *bottoms* of strong volume‐backed moves, giving you clear pivot markers rather than every threshold crossover. Tweak the smoothing and threshold inputs to calibrate sensitivity to your market and timeframe.
Contrarian 100 MAPairs nicely with Enhanced-Stock-Ticker-with-50MA-vs-200MA located here:
Description
The Contrarian 100 MA is a sophisticated Pine Script v6 indicator designed for traders seeking to identify key market structure shifts and trend reversals using a combination of a 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) envelope and Inner Circle Trader (ICT) Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) logic. By overlaying a semi-transparent SMA-based shadow on the price chart and plotting bullish and bearish structure signals, this indicator helps traders visualize critical price levels and potential trend changes. It leverages higher timeframe (HTF) pivot points and dynamic logic to adapt to various chart timeframes, making it ideal for swing and contrarian trading strategies. Customizable colors, timeframes, and alert conditions enhance its versatility for manual and automated trading setups.
Key Features
SMA Envelope: Plots a 100-period SMA for high and low prices, creating a semi-transparent (50% opacity) purple shadow to highlight the price range and provide context for price movements.
ICT BoS/MSS Logic: Identifies Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) signals for both bullish and bearish conditions, based on HTF pivot points.
Dynamic Timeframe Support: Adjusts pivot detection based on user-selected HTF (default: 1D) and chart timeframe (1M, 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 1D), ensuring adaptability across markets.
Visual Signals: Draws dotted lines for BoS (bullish/bearish) and MSS (bullish/bearish) signals at pivot levels, with customizable colors for easy identification.
Contrarian Approach: Signals potential reversals by combining SMA context with ICT structure breaks, ideal for traders looking to capitalize on trend shifts.
Alert Conditions: Supports alerts for bullish/bearish BoS and MSS signals, enabling integration with TradingView’s alert system for automated trading.
Performance Optimization: Uses efficient pivot detection and line management to minimize resource usage while maintaining accuracy.
Technical Details
SMA Calculation:
Computes 100-period SMAs for high (smaHigh) and low (smaLow) prices.
Plots invisible SMAs (fully transparent) and fills the area between them with 50% transparent purple for visual context.
Pivot Detection:
Uses ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow to identify HTF swing points, with dynamic lookback periods (rlBars: 5 for daily, 2 for intraday).
Tracks pivot highs (pH, nPh) and lows (pL, nPl) using a custom piv type for price and time.
BoS/MSS Logic:
Bullish BoS: Triggered when price breaks above a pivot high in a bullish trend, drawing a line at the pivot level.
Bearish BoS: Triggered when price breaks below a pivot low in a bearish trend.
Bullish MSS: Occurs when price breaks a pivot high in a bearish trend, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Bearish MSS: Occurs when price breaks a pivot low in a bullish trend.
Lines are drawn using line.new with xloc.bar_time for precise alignment, styled as dotted with customizable colors.
HTF Integration: Fetches HTF close prices and pivot data using request.security with lookahead_on for accurate signal timing.
Line Management: Maintains an array of lines (lin), removing outdated lines when new MSS signals occur to keep the chart clean.
Pivot Reset: Clears broken pivots (e.g., when price exceeds a pivot high or falls below a pivot low) to ensure fresh signal generation.
How to Use
Add to Chart:
Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor and apply it to your chart.
Configure Settings:
SMA Length: Adjust the SMA period (default: 100 bars) to suit your trading style.
Structure Timeframe: Set the HTF for pivot detection (default: 1D).
Chart Timeframe: Select the chart timeframe (1M, 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 1D) to adjust pivot sensitivity.
Colors: Customize bullish/bearish BoS and MSS line colors via input settings.
Interpret Signals:
Bullish BoS: White dotted line (default) at a broken pivot high in a bullish trend, indicating trend continuation.
Bearish BoS: White dotted line at a broken pivot low in a bearish trend.
Bullish MSS: White dotted line at a broken pivot high in a bearish trend, suggesting a reversal to bullish.
Bearish MSS: White dotted line at a broken pivot low in a bullish trend, suggesting a reversal to bearish.
Use the SMA shadow to gauge price position within the recent range.
Set Alerts:
Create alerts for bullish/bearish BoS and MSS signals using TradingView’s alert system.
Customize Visuals:
Adjust line colors or SMA fill transparency via TradingView’s settings for better visibility.
Example Use Cases
Swing Trading: Use MSS signals to enter trades at potential trend reversals, with the SMA envelope confirming price extremes.
Contrarian Trading: Capitalize on BoS and MSS signals to trade against prevailing trends, using the SMA shadow for context.
Automated Trading: Integrate BoS/MSS alerts with trading bots for systematic entries and exits.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Combine HTF signals (e.g., 1D) with lower timeframe charts (e.g., 1H) for precise entries.
Notes
Testing: Backtest the indicator on your chosen market and timeframe to validate performance.
Compatibility: Built for Pine Script v6 and tested on TradingView as of June 19, 2025.
Limitations: Signals rely on HTF pivot accuracy, which may lag in fast-moving markets. Adjust rlBars or timeframe for sensitivity.
Optional Enhancements: Consider uncommenting or adding a histogram for SMA divergence (e.g., smaHigh - smaLow) for additional insights.
Acknowledgments
This indicator combines ICT’s market structure concepts with a dynamic SMA envelope to provide a unique contrarian trading tool. Share your feedback or suggestions in the TradingView comments, and happy trading!
Modified Fractal Open/CloseModified Fractal (Open/Close Based) - Indicator
The Modified Fractal (Open/Close Based) indicator offers a new way to detect fractal patterns on your chart by analyzing the open and close prices instead of the traditional high and low values.
🧮 How it works:
The indicator evaluates a group of 5 consecutive candles.
The central candle (2 bars ago) is analyzed.
For a Bullish Fractal:
The open or close of the central candle must be lower than the open and close of the other 4 surrounding candles.
For a Bearish Fractal:
The open or close of the central candle must be higher than the open and close of the other 4 surrounding candles.
Once a valid pattern is detected, a visual symbol (triangle) is plotted directly on the chart and an alert can be triggered.
✅ Key Features:
Non-repainting signals (evaluated after candle close)
Fully mechanical detection logic
Easy-to-use visual signals
Alert conditions ready to be integrated into TradingView’s alert system
Suitable for multiple timeframes (can be used from M1 to Daily and beyond)
🎯 Use case:
This modified fractal approach can help traders:
Spot potential swing points
Identify possible reversals
Confirm price exhaustion zones
Support breakout or mean reversion strategies
⚠ Note:
This indicator does not provide trade signals by itself. It is recommended to be combined with additional tools, price action analysis, or risk management rules.
CandelaCharts - 1st Presented FVG 📝 Overview
The ICT 1st Presented Fair Value Gap refers to the first FVG that forms after the market opens at 9:30 AM New York local time. In a sideways market, it often acts as a catalyst for price movement in either direction, while in trending conditions, it tends to support and reinforce the prevailing trend.
This indicator automatically identifies the first Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms after the New York session opens at 9:30 AM local time. Based on concepts taught by Inner Circle Trader (ICT), the 1st Presented FVG is a key institutional price imbalance that often sets the tone for the trading day.
📦 Features
Customize FVG session time (e.g. 09:30 – 10:00)
Show/hide session dividers
FVG visibility filter (e.g. Bullish / Bearish)
Advanced styling
Hide overlapping FVGs
Extend FVGs
Opening prices
⚙️ Settings
Show: Controls whether all, bullish only, or bearish only FVGs are displayed on the chart.
Session: Sets a specific time window (e.g. 09:30–10:00) to filter which FVGs are displayed.
Dividers: Toggles vertical session divider on the chart for visual separation.
Midline: Displays a midpoint (CE) line through the FVG; customizable color and thickness.
Border: Adds a border around each FVG zone.
Labels: Toggles label display for FVGs.
Hide Overlap: Hides overlapping FVGs to reduce visual clutter.
Extend: Extends each FVG forward in time.
Alerts: Enables alerts when price interacts with an FVG zone.
Opening Prices: Allows defining custom time-based levels (e.g. 00:00–00:01 and 18:00–18:01) with color and style options.
⚡️ Showcase
Simple
Labels
Bordered
Consequent Encroachment
Extended
Dividers
📒 Usage
How to Use the ICT 1st Presented Fair Value Gap in Trading
To apply the ICT 1st Presented Fair Value Gap (FVG), identify the first fair value gap of the day and extend it across the chart until 3:45 PM New York time.
You’ll often notice that some of the best trade setups form around this level. It tends to act as a key reference point for price action during the day—especially on trending days, where price frequently returns to this gap before continuing in its direction.
This level can also serve as an inverse fair value gap, offering opportunities in the opposite direction under the right conditions.
How to Disqualify the 1st Presented Fair Value Gap?
When the first fair value gap forms after 9:30 AM New York time, check the candles that came just before it.
If the candlestick that creates the FVG doesn’t break above or below the range of those previous candles, then it’s not a true inefficiency. In that case, it’s considered a disqualified 1st Presented Fair Value Gap—meaning it shouldn’t be used as a key reference level.
Refer to the example below to see what this looks like on the chart.
🚨 Alerts
This script provides alert options for all signals.
Bearish Signal
A bearish signal is triggered when the bearish 1st P.FVG is formed in interval 09:30 - 10:00.
Bullish Signal
A bullish signal is triggered when the bullish 1st P.FVG is formed in interval 09:30 - 10:00.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and many participants may incur losses. The content on this site is not intended as financial advice and should not be interpreted as such. Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade securities, commodities, or other financial instruments carry inherent risks and are best made with guidance from qualified financial professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Mark specific candle (e.g. bar 20)This Pine Script indicator, "Mark specific candle (e.g. bar 20)" (short title "Mark candle"), is a simple yet powerful tool to visually highlight a particular candle on your chart.
What it does:
It marks a specific candle (e.g., the 20th, 10th, or any number you choose) counting backwards from the most recent candle on your chart. The marked candle will be colored in a subtle light grey and also feature a tiny, matching grey arrow pointing down from above it.
Why it's useful:
This indicator helps you quickly identify and track a consistent reference point in recent price action. It's great for strategies that depend on fixed look-back periods or for simply keeping an eye on a specific historical candle's position as new data comes in.
Key Features:
Adjustable Candle Number: Easily change which candle is marked (e.g., 20th, 10th, 5th) directly from the indicator settings using the "Candle Number to Mark (from end)" input.
Clear Visuals: Both the candle color and a small arrow provide a subtle, yet effective, visual cue.
How to use:
Simply add this script to your TradingView chart. Then, open the indicator's settings to set your desired candle number.
Heatmap Trailing Stop with Breakouts (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Heatmap Trailing Stop with Breakouts (Zeiierman) is a trend and breakout detection tool that combines dynamic trailing stop logic, Fibonacci-based levels, and a real-time market heatmap into a single, intuitive system.
This indicator is designed to help traders visualize pressure zones, manage stop placement, and identify breakout opportunities supported by contextual price–derived heat. Whether you're trailing trends, detecting reversals, or entering on explosive breakouts — this tool keeps you anchored in structure and sentiment.
It projects adaptive trailing stop levels and calculates Fibonacci extensions from swing-based extremes. These levels are then colored by a market heatmap engine that tracks price interaction intensity — showing where the market is "hot" and likely to respond.
On top of that, it includes breakout signals powered by HTF momentum conditions, trend direction, and heatmap validation — giving you signals only when the context is strong.
█ How It Works
⚪ Trailing Stop Engine
At its core, the script uses an ATR-based trailing stop with trend detection:
ATR Length – Defines volatility smoothing using EMA MA of true range.
Multiplier – Expands/retracts the trailing offset depending on market aggression.
Real-Time Extremum Tracking – Uses local highs/lows to define Fibonacci anchors.
⚪ Fibonacci Projection + Heatmap
With each trend shift, Fibonacci levels are projected from the new swing to the current trailing stop. These include:
Fib 61.8, 78.6, 88.6, and 100% (trailing stop) lines
Heatmap Coloring – Each level'slevel's color is determined by how frequently price has interacted with that level in the recent range (defined by ATR).
Strength Score (1–10) – The number of touches per level is normalized and averaged to create a heatmap ""score"" displayed as a colored bar on the chart.
⚪ Breakout Signal System
This engine detects high-confidence breakout signals using a higher timeframe candle structure:
Bullish Breakout – Strong bullish candle + momentum + trend confirmation + heatmap score threshold.
Bearish Breakout – Strong bearish candle + momentum + trend confirmation + heatmap score threshold.
Cooldown Logic – Prevents signals from clustering too frequently during volatile periods.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Following & Trail Stops
Use the Trailing Stop line to manage positions or time entries in line with trend direction. Trailing stop flips are highlighted with dot markers.
⚪ Fibonacci Heat Zones
The projected Fibonacci levels serve as price magnets or support/resistance zones. Watch how price reacts at Fib 61.8/78.6/88.6 levels — especially when they're glowing with high heatmap scores (more glow = more historical touches = stronger significance).
⚪ Breakout Signals
Enable breakout signals when you want to trade breakouts only under strong context. Use the "Heatmap Strength Threshold" to require a minimum score (1–10).
█ Settings
Stop Distance ATR Length – ATR period for volatility smoothing
Stop Distance Multiplier – Adjusts the trailing stop'sstop's distance from price
Heatmap Range ATR Length – Defines how far back the heatmap scans for touches
Number of Heat Levels – Total levels used in the heatmap (more = finer resolution)
Minimum Touches per Level – Defines what counts as a ""hot"" level
Heatmap Strength Threshold – Minimum average heat score (1–10) required for breakouts
Timeframe – HTF source used to evaluate breakout momentum structure
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Money NoodleMoney Noodle Indicator - How It Works
The Money Noodle indicator is a trend-following and support/resistance tool that combines multiple exponential moving averages (EMAs) with dynamic volatility-based bands to create a comprehensive trading system.
Core Components
1. Triple EMA System ("The Noodles")
Fast EMA (12): Most responsive to price changes, shows short-term momentum
Medium EMA (21): Intermediate trend direction
Slow EMA (35): Main trend line that acts as the central reference point
The "noodle" effect comes from how these three EMAs weave around each other and the price action, creating curved, flowing lines that resemble noodles.
2. Dynamic Volatility Bands
Upper Band: Main EMA + (ATR × Band Multiplier)
Lower Band: Main EMA - (ATR × Band Multiplier)
Uses a 20-period ATR (Average True Range) to measure market volatility
Band width automatically adjusts - wider during volatile periods, tighter during consolidation
How It Functions
Trend Identification:
When all three EMAs are aligned (fast > medium > slow), it indicates a strong uptrend
When EMAs are inverted (fast < medium < slow), it signals a downtrend
EMA crossovers provide early trend change signals
Support & Resistance:
The bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels
Price tends to bounce off the bands during trending markets
Band breaks often signal strong momentum moves or trend changes
Volatility Assessment:
Band width indicates market volatility - wider bands = higher volatility
ATR-based calculation makes the bands adaptive to current market conditions
The 0.0125 multiplier provides optimal sensitivity for most timeframes
Trading Applications
Entry Signals:
Buy when price bounces off the lower band with EMA alignment
Sell when price bounces off the upper band against the trend
Breakout trades when price decisively breaks through bands
Trend Following:
Use the main EMA (35) as your trend filter
Trade in the direction of EMA alignment
The "noodles" help identify trend strength - tighter = stronger trend
Risk Management:
Bands provide natural stop-loss levels
Band width helps size positions (wider bands = smaller size due to higher volatility)
The indicator works best on daily timeframes and provides a visual, intuitive way to read market structure, trend direction, and volatility all in one tool.
MSTR vs BTCUSD % Movement ComparisonThe indicator, in its current form, is a custom Pine Script (version 6) tool named "MSTR vs BTCUSD % Movement Comparison" that visually compares the percentage price movements of MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) over a user-defined lookback period. It plots the difference in their percentage changes (diff_pct = mstr_pct - btcusd_pct) as a line, with a zero line for reference, and uses green/red coloring to indicate whether MSTR is outperforming (green, above zero) or underperforming (red, below zero) BTCUSD. The area between the difference line and zero line is filled with semi-transparent green or red for clarity. Additionally, an adjustable-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the percentage difference smooths the trend, helping identify momentum shifts. The indicator is fixed to compare MSTR and BTCUSD, ensuring consistent output regardless of the chart’s active symbol (e.g., MSTR, MTPLF, or others).
Key Features:
Percentage Difference: Shows MSTR’s percentage change minus BTCUSD’s, highlighting relative performance.
Zero Line: A gray solid line at 0 for reference.
Color Coding: Green line/fill when MSTR outperforms, red when it underperforms.
Adjustable EMA: User-defined EMA period (default: 26) smooths the percentage difference.
Fixed Comparison: Always compares MSTR vs. BTCUSD, unaffected by the chart’s symbol.
User Inputs: Lookback period (default: 50 bars) and EMA period (default: 26) are customizable.
Example: On a 1-hour chart, if MSTR rises 4% and BTCUSD rises 1% over 50 bars, the difference line plots at +3 (green) with green fill, and the 26-period EMA might be at +2.2, indicating MSTR’s outperformance trend.
Bias Bar Coloring + Multi-Timeframe Bias Table + AlertsMulti-Timeframe Bias Bar Coloring with Alerts & Table
This indicator provides a powerful, visual way to assess price action bias across multiple timeframes—Monthly, Weekly, and Daily—while also coloring each bar based on the current chart’s bias.
Features:
Persistent Bar Coloring: Bars are colored green for bullish bias (close above previous high), red for bearish bias (close below previous low), and persist the last color if neither condition is met. This makes trend shifts and momentum easy to spot at a glance.
Bias Change Alerts: Get notified instantly when the bias flips from bullish to bearish or vice versa, helping you stay on top of potential trade setups or risk management decisions.
Multi-Timeframe Bias Table: A table anchored in the top right corner displays the current bias for the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, color-coded for quick reference. This gives you a clear view of higher timeframe context while trading any chart.
Consistent Logic: The same objective bias logic is used for all timeframes, ensuring clarity and reliability in your analysis.
How to Use:
Use the bar colors for instant visual feedback on trend and momentum shifts.
Watch the top-right table to align your trades with higher timeframe bias, improving your edge and filtering out lower-probability setups.
Set alerts to be notified of bias changes, so you never miss a potential opportunity.
This tool is ideal for traders who value multi-timeframe analysis, want clear visual cues for trend direction, and appreciate having actionable alerts and context at their fingertips.
Mark4ex vWapMark4ex VWAP is a precision session-anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) indicator crafted for intraday traders who want clean, reliable VWAP levels that reset daily to match a specific market session.
Unlike the built-in continuous VWAP, this version anchors each day to your chosen session start and end time, most commonly aligned with the New York Stock Exchange Open (9:30 AM EST) through the market close (4:00 PM EST). This ensures your VWAP reflects only intraday price action within your active trading window — filtering out irrelevant overnight moves and providing clearer mean-reversion signals.
Key Features:
Fully configurable session start & end times — adapt it for NY session or any other market.
Anchored VWAP resets daily for true session-based levels.
Built for the New York Open Range Breakout strategy: see how price interacts with VWAP during the volatile first 30–60 minutes of the US market.
Plots a clean, dynamic line that updates tick-by-tick during the session and disappears outside trading hours.
Designed to help you spot real-time support/resistance, intraday fair value zones, and liquidity magnets used by institutional traders.
How to Use — NY Open Range Breakout:
During the first hour of the New York session, institutional traders often define an “Opening Range” — the high and low formed shortly after the bell. The VWAP in this zone acts as a dynamic pivot point:
When price is above the session VWAP, bulls are in control — the level acts as a support floor for pullbacks.
When price is below the session VWAP, bears dominate — the level acts as resistance against bounces.
Breakouts from the opening range often test the VWAP for confirmation or rejection.
Traders use this to time entries for breakouts, retests, or mean-reversion scalps with greater confidence.
⚙️ Recommended Settings:
Default: 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM New York time — standard US equities session.
Adjust hours/minutes to match your target market’s open and close.
👤 Who is it for?
Scalpers, day traders, prop traders, and anyone trading the NY Open, indices like the S&P 500, or highly liquid stocks during US cash hours.
🚀 Why use Mark4ex VWAP?
Because a properly anchored VWAP is a trader’s real-time institutional fair value, giving you better context than static moving averages. It adapts live to volume shifts and helps you follow smart money footprints.
This indicator will reconfigure every day, anchored to the New York Open, it will also leave historical NY Open VWAP for study purpose.
M2 Growth Rate vs Borrowing RateHave you ever wondered how fast M2 is actually growing? Have you ever wanted to compare its percentage growth rate to the actual cost of borrowing? Are you also, like me, a giant nerd with too much time on your hands?
M2 Growth Rate vs Borrowing Rate
This Pine Script indicator analyzes the annualized growth rate of M2 money supply and compares it to key borrowing rates, providing insights into the relationship between money supply expansion and borrowing costs. Users can select between US M2 or a combined M2 (aggregating US, EU, China, Japan, and UK money supplies, adjusted for currency exchange rates). The M2 growth period is customizable, offering options from 1 month to 5 years for flexible analysis over different time horizons. The indicator fetches monthly data for US M2, EU M2, China M2, Japan M2, UK M2, and exchange rates (EURUSD, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, GBPUSD) to compute the combined M2 in USD terms.
It plots the annualized M2 growth rate alongside borrowing rates, including US 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields, corporate bond effective yield, high-yield bond effective yield, and 30-year US mortgage rates. Borrowing rates are color-coded for clarity: red if the rate exceeds the selected M2 growth rate, and green if below, highlighting relative dynamics. Displayed on a separate pane with a zero line for reference, the indicator includes labeled plots for easy identification.
This tool is designed for informational purposes, offering a visual framework to explore economic trends without providing trading signals or financial advice.
Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM)The Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) represents a novel quantitative framework for predicting Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions through multi-factor fundamental analysis. This model synthesizes established monetary policy rules with real-time economic indicators to generate probabilistic forecasts of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions. Building upon seminal work by Taylor (1993) and incorporating recent advances in data-dependent monetary policy analysis, the AFDFM provides institutional-grade decision support for monetary policy analysis.
## 1. Introduction
Central bank communication and policy predictability have become increasingly important in modern monetary economics (Blinder et al., 2008). The Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, coupled with evolving economic conditions, creates complex decision-making environments that traditional models struggle to capture comprehensively (Yellen, 2017).
The AFDFM addresses this challenge by implementing a multi-dimensional approach that combines:
- Classical monetary policy rules (Taylor Rule framework)
- Real-time macroeconomic indicators from FRED database
- Financial market conditions and term structure analysis
- Labor market dynamics and inflation expectations
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
This methodology builds upon extensive academic literature while incorporating practical insights from Federal Reserve communications and FOMC meeting minutes.
## 2. Literature Review and Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Taylor Rule Framework
The foundational work of Taylor (1993) established the empirical relationship between federal funds rate decisions and economic fundamentals:
rt = r + πt + α(πt - π) + β(yt - y)
Where:
- rt = nominal federal funds rate
- r = equilibrium real interest rate
- πt = inflation rate
- π = inflation target
- yt - y = output gap
- α, β = policy response coefficients
Extensive empirical validation has demonstrated the Taylor Rule's explanatory power across different monetary policy regimes (Clarida et al., 1999; Orphanides, 2003). Recent research by Bernanke (2015) emphasizes the rule's continued relevance while acknowledging the need for dynamic adjustments based on financial conditions.
### 2.2 Data-Dependent Monetary Policy
The evolution toward data-dependent monetary policy, as articulated by Fed Chair Powell (2024), requires sophisticated frameworks that can process multiple economic indicators simultaneously. Clarida (2019) demonstrates that modern monetary policy transcends simple rules, incorporating forward-looking assessments of economic conditions.
### 2.3 Financial Conditions and Monetary Transmission
The Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) research demonstrates the critical role of financial conditions in monetary policy transmission (Brave & Butters, 2011). Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index studies similarly show how credit markets, term structure, and volatility measures influence Fed decision-making (Hatzius et al., 2010).
### 2.4 Labor Market Indicators
The dual mandate framework requires sophisticated analysis of labor market conditions beyond simple unemployment rates. Daly et al. (2012) demonstrate the importance of job openings data (JOLTS) and wage growth indicators in Fed communications. Recent research by Aaronson et al. (2019) shows how the Beveridge curve relationship influences FOMC assessments.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Model Architecture
The AFDFM employs a six-component scoring system that aggregates fundamental indicators into a composite Fed decision index:
#### Component 1: Taylor Rule Analysis (Weight: 25%)
Implements real-time Taylor Rule calculation using FRED data:
- Core PCE inflation (Fed's preferred measure)
- Unemployment gap proxy for output gap
- Dynamic neutral rate estimation
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
#### Component 2: Employment Conditions (Weight: 20%)
Multi-dimensional labor market assessment:
- Unemployment gap relative to NAIRU estimates
- JOLTS job openings momentum
- Average hourly earnings growth
- Beveridge curve position analysis
#### Component 3: Financial Conditions (Weight: 18%)
Comprehensive financial market evaluation:
- Chicago Fed NFCI real-time data
- Yield curve shape and term structure
- Credit growth and lending conditions
- Market volatility and risk premia
#### Component 4: Inflation Expectations (Weight: 15%)
Forward-looking inflation analysis:
- TIPS breakeven inflation rates (5Y, 10Y)
- Market-based inflation expectations
- Inflation momentum and persistence measures
- Phillips curve relationship dynamics
#### Component 5: Growth Momentum (Weight: 12%)
Real economic activity assessment:
- Real GDP growth trends
- Economic momentum indicators
- Business cycle position analysis
- Sectoral growth distribution
#### Component 6: Liquidity Conditions (Weight: 10%)
Monetary aggregates and credit analysis:
- M2 money supply growth
- Commercial and industrial lending
- Bank lending standards surveys
- Quantitative easing effects assessment
### 3.2 Normalization and Scaling
Each component undergoes robust statistical normalization using rolling z-score methodology:
Zi,t = (Xi,t - μi,t-n) / σi,t-n
Where:
- Xi,t = raw indicator value
- μi,t-n = rolling mean over n periods
- σi,t-n = rolling standard deviation over n periods
- Z-scores bounded at ±3 to prevent outlier distortion
### 3.3 Regime Detection and Adaptation
The model incorporates dynamic regime detection based on:
- Policy volatility measures
- Market stress indicators (VIX-based)
- Fed communication tone analysis
- Crisis sensitivity parameters
Regime classifications:
1. Crisis: Emergency policy measures likely
2. Tightening: Restrictive monetary policy cycle
3. Easing: Accommodative monetary policy cycle
4. Neutral: Stable policy maintenance
### 3.4 Composite Index Construction
The final AFDFM index combines weighted components:
AFDFMt = Σ wi × Zi,t × Rt
Where:
- wi = component weights (research-calibrated)
- Zi,t = normalized component scores
- Rt = regime multiplier (1.0-1.5)
Index scaled to range for intuitive interpretation.
### 3.5 Decision Probability Calculation
Fed decision probabilities derived through empirical mapping:
P(Cut) = max(0, (Tdovish - AFDFMt) / |Tdovish| × 100)
P(Hike) = max(0, (AFDFMt - Thawkish) / Thawkish × 100)
P(Hold) = 100 - |AFDFMt| × 15
Where Thawkish = +2.0 and Tdovish = -2.0 (empirically calibrated thresholds).
## 4. Data Sources and Real-Time Implementation
### 4.1 FRED Database Integration
- Core PCE Price Index (CPILFESL): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Unemployment Rate (UNRATE): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Real GDP (GDPC1): Quarterly, seasonally adjusted annual rate
- Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS): Monthly average
- Treasury Yields (GS2, GS10): Daily constant maturity
- TIPS Breakeven Rates (T5YIE, T10YIE): Daily market data
### 4.2 High-Frequency Financial Data
- Chicago Fed NFCI: Weekly financial conditions
- JOLTS Job Openings (JTSJOL): Monthly labor market data
- Average Hourly Earnings (AHETPI): Monthly wage data
- M2 Money Supply (M2SL): Monthly monetary aggregates
- Commercial Loans (BUSLOANS): Weekly credit data
### 4.3 Market-Based Indicators
- VIX Index: Real-time volatility measure
- S&P; 500: Market sentiment proxy
- DXY Index: Dollar strength indicator
## 5. Model Validation and Performance
### 5.1 Historical Backtesting (2017-2024)
Comprehensive backtesting across multiple Fed policy cycles demonstrates:
- Signal Accuracy: 78% correct directional predictions
- Timing Precision: 2.3 meetings average lead time
- Crisis Detection: 100% accuracy in identifying emergency measures
- False Signal Rate: 12% (within acceptable research parameters)
### 5.2 Regime-Specific Performance
Tightening Cycles (2017-2018, 2022-2023):
- Hawkish signal accuracy: 82%
- Average prediction lead: 1.8 meetings
- False positive rate: 8%
Easing Cycles (2019, 2020, 2024):
- Dovish signal accuracy: 85%
- Average prediction lead: 2.1 meetings
- Crisis mode detection: 100%
Neutral Periods:
- Hold prediction accuracy: 73%
- Regime stability detection: 89%
### 5.3 Comparative Analysis
AFDFM performance compared to alternative methods:
- Fed Funds Futures: Similar accuracy, lower lead time
- Economic Surveys: Higher accuracy, comparable timing
- Simple Taylor Rule: Lower accuracy, insufficient complexity
- Market-Based Models: Similar performance, higher volatility
## 6. Practical Applications and Use Cases
### 6.1 Institutional Investment Management
- Fixed Income Portfolio Positioning: Duration and curve strategies
- Currency Trading: Dollar-based carry trade optimization
- Risk Management: Interest rate exposure hedging
- Asset Allocation: Regime-based tactical allocation
### 6.2 Corporate Treasury Management
- Debt Issuance Timing: Optimal financing windows
- Interest Rate Hedging: Derivative strategy implementation
- Cash Management: Short-term investment decisions
- Capital Structure Planning: Long-term financing optimization
### 6.3 Academic Research Applications
- Monetary Policy Analysis: Fed behavior studies
- Market Efficiency Research: Information incorporation speed
- Economic Forecasting: Multi-factor model validation
- Policy Impact Assessment: Transmission mechanism analysis
## 7. Model Limitations and Risk Factors
### 7.1 Data Dependency
- Revision Risk: Economic data subject to subsequent revisions
- Availability Lag: Some indicators released with delays
- Quality Variations: Market disruptions affect data reliability
- Structural Breaks: Economic relationship changes over time
### 7.2 Model Assumptions
- Linear Relationships: Complex non-linear dynamics simplified
- Parameter Stability: Component weights may require recalibration
- Regime Classification: Subjective threshold determinations
- Market Efficiency: Assumes rational information processing
### 7.3 Implementation Risks
- Technology Dependence: Real-time data feed requirements
- Complexity Management: Multi-component coordination challenges
- User Interpretation: Requires sophisticated economic understanding
- Regulatory Changes: Fed framework evolution may require updates
## 8. Future Research Directions
### 8.1 Machine Learning Integration
- Neural Network Enhancement: Deep learning pattern recognition
- Natural Language Processing: Fed communication sentiment analysis
- Ensemble Methods: Multiple model combination strategies
- Adaptive Learning: Dynamic parameter optimization
### 8.2 International Expansion
- Multi-Central Bank Models: ECB, BOJ, BOE integration
- Cross-Border Spillovers: International policy coordination
- Currency Impact Analysis: Global monetary policy effects
- Emerging Market Extensions: Developing economy applications
### 8.3 Alternative Data Sources
- Satellite Economic Data: Real-time activity measurement
- Social Media Sentiment: Public opinion incorporation
- Corporate Earnings Calls: Forward-looking indicator extraction
- High-Frequency Transaction Data: Market microstructure analysis
## References
Aaronson, S., Daly, M. C., Wascher, W. L., & Wilcox, D. W. (2019). Okun revisited: Who benefits most from a strong economy? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2019(1), 333-404.
Bernanke, B. S. (2015). The Taylor rule: A benchmark for monetary policy? Brookings Institution Blog. Retrieved from www.brookings.edu
Blinder, A. S., Ehrmann, M., Fratzscher, M., De Haan, J., & Jansen, D. J. (2008). Central bank communication and monetary policy: A survey of theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature, 46(4), 910-945.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(4), 1661-1707.
Clarida, R. H. (2019). The Federal Reserve's monetary policy response to COVID-19. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2020(2), 1-52.
Clarida, R. H. (2025). Modern monetary policy rules and Fed decision-making. American Economic Review, 115(2), 445-478.
Daly, M. C., Hobijn, B., Şahin, A., & Valletta, R. G. (2012). A search and matching approach to labor markets: Did the natural rate of unemployment rise? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 3-26.
Federal Reserve. (2024). Monetary Policy Report. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, No. 16150.
Orphanides, A. (2003). Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule. Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(5), 983-1022.
Powell, J. H. (2024). Data-dependent monetary policy in practice. Federal Reserve Board Speech. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
Yellen, J. L. (2017). The goals of monetary policy and how we pursue them. Federal Reserve Board Speech. University of California, Berkeley.
---
Disclaimer: This model is designed for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The academic research cited provides theoretical foundation but does not constitute investment advice. Federal Reserve policy decisions involve complex considerations beyond the scope of any quantitative model.
Citation: EdgeTools Research Team. (2025). Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) - Scientific Documentation. EdgeTools Quantitative Research Series
Volume Weighted Average Price Dynamic Slope [sgbpulse]VWAP Dynamic Slope: A Comprehensive Indicator for Trend Identification and Smart Trading
Introducing VWAP Dynamic Slope, an innovative TradingView indicator that harnesses the power of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and enhances it with immediate visual feedback. The indicator colors the VWAP line based on its slope, allowing you to quickly and easily identify the direction and strength of the current trend for the asset, providing advanced tools for in-depth analysis.
What is VWAP and Why is it so Important?
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is an indicator that represents the average price at which an asset has traded, weighted by the volume traded at each price level. Unlike a simple moving average, VWAP gives greater weight to trades executed with high volume, making it a reliable measure of the asset's "true" or "fair" price within a given period. Many institutional traders use VWAP as a central reference point for evaluating the effectiveness of entries and exits. An asset trading above its VWAP is considered to have bullish momentum, and below it – bearish momentum.
How it Works: Dynamic VWAP Slope Analysis
VWAP Dynamic Slope analyzes the inclination of the VWAP line and displays it using an intuitive color scheme:
Positive Slope (Uptrend): When the VWAP points upwards, signaling positive momentum, the default color will be green.
Negative Slope (Downtrend): When the VWAP points downwards, signaling negative momentum, the default color will be orange.
Trend Change (CHG): When a change in the VWAP's trend direction occurs, a "CHG" label will be displayed. The label's color will be green if the change is to an uptrend, and orange if the change is to a downtrend.
Identifying Steep Slopes for Increased Momentum:
The indicator's uniqueness lies in its ability to identify "steep" slopes – rapid and particularly strong changes in the VWAP's direction. This indicates exceptionally strong momentum:
Steep Positive Slope: The VWAP color will change to dark green, indicating significant buying pressure.
Steep Negative Slope: The VWAP color will change to dark red, indicating significant selling pressure.
Dynamic Momentum Strength Label: In situations of steep slope (positive or negative), a dynamic label will be displayed with the change value of the VWAP at that point. This label allows you to monitor momentum strength, intensification, or weakening in real-time.
Advanced Analytical Tools for Complete Control
VWAP Dynamic Slope provides you with unprecedented flexibility through a variety of customizable tools:
Multiple VWAP Anchors and Visual Marking:
Common Time Anchors: Choose whether the VWAP resets at the beginning of each Session (daily), Week, Month, Quarter, Year, Decade, or Century.
Advanced Intraday Anchors: Within the Session, you can choose to calculate VWAP specifically for Pre-Market, Regular Hours, and Post-Market hours. This option is particularly crucial for intraday traders.
Important Event Anchors: The indicator allows for VWAP resets at significant milestones such as Earnings, Dividends, and Splits, for analyzing the market's immediate reaction.
Visual Anchor Marking: To enhance clarity and orientation, a Label ⚓ can be displayed at each selected anchor point, helping to immediately identify the start point of the VWAP calculation in the chosen context.
Customizable Bands (Up to Three on Each Side):
Add up to three Bands above and below the VWAP to identify areas of deviation and excursion from the average price. You have two calculation options:
Standard Deviation: Based on volatility and statistical distance from the VWAP.
Percentage: Defines fixed percentage-based bands from the VWAP.
Key Pre-Market Levels (Pre-Market High/Low):
Display the Pre-Market High and Low levels as separate lines on the chart. These lines often serve as important psychological support and resistance zones, allowing you to see how the VWAP behaves near them.
Full Customization and Precise Control:
VWAP Source Selection: Determine which price data type will be used for the VWAP calculation. The default is HLC3 (average of High, Low, and Close), but any other relevant data source available in TradingView can be selected.
Offset: Set an offset for the VWAP line, allowing you to shift it left or right on the time axis by a chosen number of bars.
Customizable Colors: Choose your preferred colors for each slope state, Pre-Market High/Low lines, and Bands.
Setting the "Steepness" Threshold (Per-mille Price Change Per Minute ‱/min with Auto-Adjustment): Determine the sensitivity for identifying a steep slope by setting the required change threshold in VWAP in terms of per-mille price change per minute (‱/min). The indicator performs smart adjustment for any timeframe you select on the chart (e.g., 30 seconds, 1 minute, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, etc.), ensuring that the "steepness" setting maintains consistency and relevance.
Examples for Setting the Steepness Threshold:
Suppose you set the steepness threshold to 0.3‱/min (per-mille price change per minute).
On a 30-second chart: The indicator will check if the VWAP changed by 0.15 ‱/min (half of the per-minute threshold) within a single bar. If so, the slope will be considered steep. Explanation: Since 30 seconds is half a minute, the indicator looks for a change that is half of the threshold set for a full minute.
On a 1-minute chart: The indicator will check if the VWAP changed by 0.3 ‱/min (the full per-minute threshold) within a single bar. If so, the slope will be considered steep. Explanation: Here, the bar represents a full minute, so we check the full threshold.
On a 5-minute chart: The indicator will check if the VWAP changed by 1.5 ‱/min (5 times the per-minute threshold) within a single bar. If so, the slope will be considered steep. Explanation: A 5-minute bar contains 5 minutes, so the cumulative change in VWAP needs to be 5 times greater to be considered "steep" on the same scale.
In summary, this setting allows you to precisely and uniformly control the sensitivity of steep slope detection across all timeframes, providing immense flexibility in analyzing the asset's momentum.
Advantages of Using Per-mille Price Change Per Minute (‱/min)
Using per-mille price change per minute (‱/min) offers several key advantages for your indicator:
Normalized and Objective Measurement: It provides a uniform scale for the VWAP's rate of change, regardless of the asset's price or nominal value. A 0.1 per-mille change per minute always carries the same relative significance.
Comparison Across Different Asset Prices: Using per-mille allows for direct comparison of VWAP movement strength between assets trading at very different prices (e.g., a $100 asset versus a $1 asset), enabling an understanding of true momentum without bias from the nominal price.
Smart Timeframe Agnostic Adjustment: This is a critical capability. The indicator automatically adjusts the per-mille per minute threshold you set to any chart timeframe (30 seconds, 1 minute, 5 minutes, etc.), maintaining consistency in "steepness" detection without manual recalibration.
Precise Momentum Identification: This measurement precisely identifies when the VWAP's rate of change becomes significant, and when momentum strengthens or weakens, contributing to more informed trading decisions.
In short, per-mille change per minute (‱/min) provides accuracy, consistency, and flexibility in identifying VWAP momentum changes, with smart adaptation across all timeframes.
Who is this Indicator For?
VWAP Dynamic Slope is a powerful tool for:
Intraday Traders: For quick identification of intraday trend directions and momentum across any timeframe, with specific consideration for Pre-Market, Regular Hours, or Post-Market VWAP, and incorporating key pre-market levels.
Swing Traders and Long-Term Investors: For analyzing longer-term trends based on periodic and event-driven VWAP anchors.
Beginner Traders: As an excellent visual aid for understanding the relationship between price, volume, and trend direction, and how different anchor points, pre-market levels, and data sources influence price behavior.
Experienced Traders: For integration with existing strategies, gaining additional confirmation for trend strength identification, and highly precise and flexible parameter calibration.
VWAP Dynamic Slope provides a rich, multi-dimensional layer of information about the VWAP, helping you make more informed trading decisions in real-time, within the context of your chosen asset.
