Hull Moving Averages 10, 20, 50, 100, 200This script generates multiple Hull Moving Averages (HMAs) on a trading chart, allowing for comprehensive trend analysis across different timeframes. Five HMAs with lengths of 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods are plotted on the chart, providing insights into short, medium, and long-term market trends.
Each HMA can be customized with individual colors to easily distinguish between the different timeframes, helping traders visually track momentum changes and trend strength across these intervals. The Hull Moving Average is known for reducing lag compared to other moving averages, which makes it particularly useful for identifying turning points more accurately.
With this script:
You can adjust the colors of each HMA line individually, ensuring optimal visual differentiation.
You can analyze short-term trends with HMA 10 and HMA 20, medium-term trends with HMA 50, and long-term trends with HMA 100 and HMA 200.
The chart provides an at-a-glance view of multi-timeframe trends, making it useful for trading strategies that rely on crossovers or divergence patterns.
This tool is ideal for traders who want to identify trend direction, strength, and possible reversal points with minimal lag.
Göstergeler ve stratejiler
DRKMetricsLibrary "DRKMetrics"
TODO: add library description here
curve(disp_ind)
Call function to get a certain curve of your strategy.
Parameters:
disp_ind (string)
Returns: Returns type of curve plot.
cleaner(disp_ind, plot)
Call function to filter out your Strategy plots
Parameters:
disp_ind (string)
plot (float)
cobraTable(option, position)
Assign this function to a random variable to get the "Performance Table"
Parameters:
option (simple string)
position (simple string)
VOLUME DIRECTION INDICATORDesigned for the 1-hour chart, this indicator shows:
Green Line: Volume when price rises, suggesting buying.
Red Line: Volume when price falls, indicating selling.
How to Use:
Watch for Crossover: When the Green Line moves above the Red, it might signal a budding uptrend.
Check Retracement: If the Green Line pulls back but stays above the Red, the uptrend could be strengthening.
Price Check: Look for a small price drop but not a reversal.
Trade Entry:
Enter at the high of the retracement candle.
Or wait for the Green Line to rise again.
For Precision: Draw a line at the retracement peak and switch to a shorter timeframe to find entry patterns above this line.
Remember: Use this with other tools for better trading decisions.
The Volume Direction Indicator provides a visual representation of market activity by assuming volume can be attributed to buying or selling based on price action within each bar. When the price closes higher than it opened, the volume for that period is considered as 'Bought Shares', plotted in green. Conversely, if the price closes lower, the volume is treated as 'Sold Shares', shown in red. This indicator resets daily to give a fresh perspective on trading activity each day.
Key Features:
Buying Pressure: Green line represents the cumulative volume during periods where the price increased.
Selling Pressure: Red line indicates the cumulative volume during price decreases.
Daily Reset: Accumulated values reset at the start of each new trading day, focusing on daily market sentiment.
Note: This indicator simplifies market dynamics by linking volume directly to price changes. It does not account for complex trading scenarios like short selling or market manipulations. Use this indicator as a tool to gauge general market direction and activity, not for precise transaction data.
Gold scalper 1 min or 30 secThis Pine Script code for TradingView is designed to create a trading indicator titled "Gold scalper 1 min or 30 sec." The indicator is primarily used for scalping gold and is focused on short-term timeframes (1 minute or 30 seconds).
### Key Components of the Code:
1. **Inputs:**
- **Resolution:** Users can set the timeframe for analysis (default is 240 minutes).
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** Users can specify the period for the SMA used in the calculations.
2. **Daily Highs and Lows:**
- The script calculates the previous day’s high (`yesterdayHigh`) and low (`yesterdayLow`) prices using the `request.security` function.
3. **SMA Calculation:**
- An SMA is computed based on the closing prices of the selected timeframe.
4. **Breakout Conditions:**
- The script detects breakouts using the SMA in relation to yesterday's high and low:
- A breakout upwards occurs when the SMA crosses above the previous day's high.
- A breakout downwards occurs when the SMA crosses below the previous day's low.
5. **RSI (Relative Strength Index) Calculations:**
- Two RSI values are calculated to assess market momentum:
- **Banker RSI:** Used for buy conditions.
- **Hot Money RSI:** Used for sell conditions.
- These include adjustable sensitivity factors and periods to customize the indicator’s sensitivity.
6. **Trade Direction Selection:**
- Users can select whether to trade long, short, or both directions.
7. **Buy and Sell Signals:**
- Buy conditions are set when the Retail Moving Average crosses the Banker Moving Average under certain conditions.
- Sell conditions are marked when the Banker Moving Average crosses under the specified sell threshold.
- These signals are visually represented on the chart with specific shapes (up arrows for buys and down arrows for sells).
8. **Alerts:**
- Alerts are generated for buy and sell signals to notify users when certain conditions are met.
9. **Trend Visualization:**
- The script visually indicates uptrends and downtrends on the chart by plotting colors based on the relationship between the current price, yesterday's high, and low.
### General Purpose:
This indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying potential buying and selling opportunities in the gold market based on short-term price movements and momentum indicators, helping them capitalize on quick price fluctuations that are characteristic of scalping strategies.
Bar count with New day Markerbased on bar count, highlight the first Bar with special colour on every day.
30D Vs 90D Historical VolatilityVolatility equals risk for an underlying asset's price meaning bullish volatility is bearish for prices while bearish volatility is bullish. This compares 30-Day Historical Volatility to 90-Day Historical Volatility.
When the 30-Day crosses under the 90-day, this is typically when asset prices enter a bullish trend.
Conversely, When the 30-Day crosses above the 90-Day, this is when asset prices enter a bearish trend.
Peaks in volatility are bullish divergences while troughs are bearish divergences.
Cumulative Volume Distribution Spread Intrabar with BandsUpdated Description:
This script, "Cumulative Volume Spread by Levels with Histogram", analyzes cumulative buying and selling pressure at various price levels of each bar, based on intra-bar data from a lower timeframe (like 1-second bars). It visualizes the results using lines, histograms, and color-filled areas.
Key Concepts:
Price Levels: The script splits each bar into four distinct levels:
High to max(open, close): The range from the highest price of the bar to the higher of the open or close prices.
Max(open, close) to midline: The range from the higher of the open or close to the midpoint of the bar.
Midline to min(open, close): The range from the midpoint to the lower of the open or close.
Min(open, close) to low: The range from the lower of the open or close to the lowest price of the bar.
Volume Pressures:
The script fetches volume data from a lower timeframe (default is 1-second bars) to capture intra-bar buying and selling pressure.
Buying Pressure: Calculated when the close is greater than the open.
Selling Pressure: Calculated when the close is less than the open.
Cumulative Pressures:
The script accumulates buy and sell volumes within each of the four price levels described above.
At the beginning of a new day, these cumulative values are reset.
Spread Calculation:
For each level, the script calculates the spread between cumulative buying and selling volumes (i.e., buy pressure minus sell pressure). A positive spread indicates more buying pressure, and a negative spread indicates more selling pressure.
The script calculates an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the spread changes for each section:
EMA Spread High to Max Open/Close
EMA Spread Max Open/Close to Midline
EMA Spread Midline to Min Open/Close
EMA Spread Min Open/Close to Low
Fill Between Levels:
The areas between the key price levels are filled based on whether the EMA of the spread is positive (green) or negative (red). This helps to visually indicate where buying or selling pressure is stronger.
Background Color:
The script determines an overall background color based on the relative strength of cumulative buying vs. selling pressure. If cumulative buying pressure is stronger across the levels, the background turns green; if selling pressure dominates, it turns red.
CMF and Scaled EFI OverlayCMF and Scaled EFI Overlay Indicator
Overview
The CMF and Scaled EFI Overlay indicator combines the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and a scaled version of the Elder Force Index (EFI) into a single chart. This allows traders to analyze both indicators simultaneously, facilitating better insights into market momentum and volume dynamics , specifically focusing on buying/selling pressure and momentum , without compromising the integrity of either indicator.
Purpose
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): Measures buying and selling pressure by evaluating price and volume over a specified period. It indicates accumulation (buying pressure) when values are positive and distribution (selling pressure) when values are negative.
Elder Force Index (EFI): Combines price changes and volume to assess the momentum behind market moves. Positive values indicate upward momentum (prices rising with strong volume), while negative values indicate downward momentum (prices falling with strong volume).
By scaling the EFI to match the amplitude of the CMF, this indicator enables a direct comparison between pressure and momentum , preserving their shapes and zero crossings. Traders can observe the relationship between price movements, volume, and momentum more effectively, aiding in decision-making.
Understanding Pressure vs. Momentum
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
- Indicates the level of demand (buying pressure) or supply (selling pressure) in the market based on volume and price movements.
- Accumulation: When institutional or large investors are buying significant amounts of an asset, leading to an increase in buying pressure.
- Distribution: When these investors are selling off their holdings, increasing selling pressure.
Elder Force Index (EFI):
- Measures the strength and speed of price movements, indicating how forceful the current trend is.
- Positive Momentum: Prices are rising quickly, indicating a strong uptrend.
- Negative Momentum: Prices are falling rapidly, indicating a strong downtrend.
Understanding the difference between pressure and momentum is crucial. For example, a market may exhibit strong buying pressure (positive CMF) but weak momentum (low EFI), suggesting accumulation without significant price movement yet.
Features
Overlay of CMF and Scaled EFI: Both indicators are plotted on the same chart for easy comparison of pressure and momentum dynamics.
Customizable Parameters: Adjust lengths for CMF and EFI calculations and fine-tune the scaling factor for optimal alignment.
Preserved Indicator Integrity: The scaling method preserves the shape and zero crossings of the EFI, ensuring accurate analysis.
How It Works
CMF Calculation:
- Calculates the Money Flow Multiplier (MFM) and Money Flow Volume (MFV) to assess buying and selling pressure.
- CMF is computed by summing the MFV over the specified length and dividing by the sum of volume over the same period:
CMF = (Sum of MFV over n periods) / (Sum of Volume over n periods)
EFI Calculation:
- Calculates the EFI using the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the price change multiplied by volume:
EFI = EMA(n, Change in Close * Volume)
Scaling the EFI:
- The EFI is scaled by multiplying it with a user-defined scaling factor to match the CMF's amplitude.
Plotting:
- Both the CMF and the scaled EFI are plotted on the same chart.
- A zero line is included for reference, aiding in identifying crossovers and divergences.
Indicator Settings
Inputs
CMF Length (`cmf_length`):
- Default: 20
- Description: The number of periods over which the CMF is calculated. A higher value smooths the indicator but may delay signals.
EFI Length (`efi_length`):
- Default: 13
- Description: The EMA length for the EFI calculation. Adjusting this value affects the sensitivity of the EFI to price changes.
EFI Scaling Factor (`efi_scaling_factor`):
- Default: 0.000001
- Description: A constant used to scale the EFI to match the CMF's amplitude. Fine-tuning this value ensures the indicators align visually.
How to Adjust the EFI Scaling Factor
Start with the Default Value:
- Begin with the default scaling factor of `0.000001`.
Visual Inspection:
- Observe the plotted indicators. If the EFI appears too large or small compared to the CMF, proceed to adjust the scaling factor.
Fine-Tune the Scaling Factor:
- Increase or decrease the scaling factor incrementally (e.g., `0.000005`, `0.00001`, `0.00005`) until the amplitudes of the CMF and EFI visually align.
- The optimal scaling factor may vary depending on the asset and timeframe.
Verify Alignment:
- Ensure that the scaled EFI preserves the shape and zero crossings of the original EFI.
- Overlay the original EFI (if desired) to confirm alignment.
How to Use the Indicator
Analyze Buying/Selling Pressure and Momentum:
- Positive CMF (>0): Indicates accumulation (buying pressure).
- Negative CMF (<0): Indicates distribution (selling pressure).
- Positive EFI: Indicates positive momentum (prices rising with strong volume).
- Negative EFI: Indicates negative momentum (prices falling with strong volume).
Look for Indicator Alignment:
- Both CMF and EFI Positive:
- Suggests strong bullish conditions with both buying pressure and upward momentum.
- Both CMF and EFI Negative:
- Indicates strong bearish conditions with selling pressure and downward momentum.
Identify Divergences:
- CMF Positive, EFI Negative:
- Buying pressure exists, but momentum is negative; potential for a bullish reversal if momentum shifts.
- CMF Negative, EFI Positive:
- Selling pressure exists despite rising prices; caution advised as it may indicate a potential bearish reversal.
Confirm Signals with Other Analysis:
- Use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools (e.g., trend lines, support/resistance levels) to confirm trading decisions.
Example Usage
Scenario 1: Bullish Alignment
- CMF Positive: Indicates accumulation (buying pressure).
- EFI Positive and Increasing: Shows strengthening upward momentum.
- Interpretation:
- Strong bullish signal suggesting that buyers are active, and the price is likely to continue rising.
- Action:
- Consider entering a long position or adding to existing ones.
Scenario 2: Bearish Divergence
- CMF Negative: Indicates distribution (selling pressure).
- EFI Positive but Decreasing: Momentum is positive but weakening.
- Interpretation:
- Potential bearish reversal; price may be rising but underlying selling pressure suggests caution.
- Action:
- Be cautious with long positions; consider tightening stop-losses or preparing for a possible trend reversal.
Tips
Adjust for Different Assets:
- The optimal scaling factor may differ across assets due to varying price and volume characteristics.
- Always adjust the scaling factor when analyzing a new asset.
Monitor Indicator Crossovers:
- Crossings above or below the zero line can signal potential trend changes.
Watch for Divergences:
- Divergences between the CMF and EFI can provide early warning signs of trend reversals.
Combine with Other Indicators:
- Enhance your analysis by combining this overlay with other indicators like moving averages, RSI, or Ichimoku Cloud.
Limitations
Scaling Factor Sensitivity:
- An incorrect scaling factor may misalign the indicators, leading to inaccurate interpretations.
- Regular adjustments may be necessary when switching between different assets or timeframes.
Not a Standalone Indicator:
- Should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy.
- Always consider other market factors and indicators before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer
No Guarantee of Performance:
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
- Trading involves risk, and losses can exceed deposits.
Use at Your Own Risk:
- This indicator is provided for educational purposes.
- The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred while using this indicator.
Code Summary
//@version=5
indicator(title="CMF and Scaled EFI Overlay", shorttitle="CMF & Scaled EFI", overlay=false)
cmf_length = input.int(20, minval=1, title="CMF Length")
efi_length = input.int(13, minval=1, title="EFI Length")
efi_scaling_factor = input.float(0.000001, title="EFI Scaling Factor", minval=0.0, step=0.000001)
// --- CMF Calculation ---
ad = high != low ? ((2 * close - low - high) / (high - low)) * volume : 0
mf = math.sum(ad, cmf_length) / math.sum(volume, cmf_length)
// --- EFI Calculation ---
efi_raw = ta.ema(ta.change(close) * volume, efi_length)
// --- Scale EFI ---
efi_scaled = efi_raw * efi_scaling_factor
// --- Plotting ---
plot(mf, color=color.green, title="CMF", linewidth=2)
plot(efi_scaled, color=color.red, title="EFI (Scaled)", linewidth=2)
hline(0, color=color.gray, title="Zero Line", linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
- Lines 4-6: Define input parameters for CMF length, EFI length, and EFI scaling factor.
- Lines 9-11: Calculate the CMF.
- Lines 14-16: Calculate the EFI.
- Line 19: Scale the EFI by the scaling factor.
- Lines 22-24: Plot the CMF, scaled EFI, and zero line.
Feedback and Support
Suggestions: If you have ideas for improvements or additional features, please share your feedback.
Support: For assistance or questions regarding this indicator, feel free to contact the author through TradingView.
---
By combining the CMF and scaled EFI into a single overlay, this indicator provides a powerful tool for traders to analyze market dynamics more comprehensively. Adjust the parameters to suit your trading style, and always practice sound risk management.
4AM-5AM BRT HighlighterThe 4AM-5AM BRT Highlighter is a simple yet effective tool designed to visually mark your preferred trading time on the chart. It highlights the period between 4:00 AM and 5:00 AM Brazilian Time (BRT/UTC-3) by default, helping you stay focused and aware of your prime trading window.
Key Features:
Clear Visual Highlight: Colors the background of your chart during the chosen timeframe, making it easy to see when your trading session starts and ends.
Customizable Colors: Easily adjust the highlight color and transparency to suit your visual preferences.
Accurate Time Conversion: Automatically accounts for Brazilian Time (BRT), ensuring the highlight appears correctly no matter your chart’s default timezone.
Whether you're trading currencies, metals, indexes, or cryptocurrencies, this indicator helps you maintain focus during your dedicated trading hour by clearly marking your active period on the chart.
Price in Time MarkerThis is intended to get the price of a market at a specific time of day, the intent being to mark the price of 'bankers fixes' such as the 'London 4pm fix' or the 'Tokyo fix', though can be used to mark any time of interest.
It shows the price up until the next days selected time. You can select the time you want to see, in a designated time zone, and it should find the correct time in your brokers zone and mark a line.
The sample chart also shows the price at this brokers day / close for reference in purple.
There are still some glitches where at least some AU, NZ and JP times don't show, but I hope to address this later.
Dynamic 4-Hour Candle (Accurate Highs and Lows)This gives a dynamic 4 hour history of the current price, so that you can assess the current trend. I found lots of indicators that looked at the previous 4 hr candle, but they then immediately switched to the new 4 hr candle when it started to be formed. this indicator looks back at the rolling previous 4 hours.
70% rule strength/trend/reversalThis indicator tells you which candle closed strong for the day by identifying if the price closed above 70% of the candle's total height. this can help you identify reversals/new trends/ renewed strength in the current trend.
The indicator colors such candle green and if the candle closes with increase in price by 5% or higher then marks an asterisk under the candle.
HOPE THIS HELPS
Harmony Signal Flow By ArunThis Pine Script strategy, titled "Harmony Signal Flow By Arun," uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator to generate buy and sell signals based on custom thresholds. The script incorporates stop-loss and target management and restricts new trades until the previous position closes. Here's a detailed description:
Custom RSI Metric:
The strategy calculates a 5-period RSI based on the closing price, aiming for a more responsive measure of price momentum.
RSI thresholds are defined:
Lower threshold (30): Indicates oversold conditions, triggering a potential buy.
Upper threshold (70): Indicates overbought conditions, prompting a possible sell.
Entry Conditions:
Buy Signal: The strategy initiates a buy order when the RSI crosses above the lower threshold (30), indicating a shift from oversold conditions.
Sell Signal: A sell order is triggered when the RSI crosses below the upper threshold (70), suggesting an overbought reversal.
Only one order (buy or sell) can be active at a time, ensuring that a new trade begins only when there’s no existing position.
Stop-Loss and Target Management:
For each trade, stop-loss and target conditions are applied to manage risk and secure profits.
For Buy Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points below the entry price.
Target is set 150 points above the entry price.
For Sell Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points above the entry price.
Target is 150 points below the entry price.
The strategy closes the trade when either the stop-loss or target is met, marking the trade as "closed" and allowing a new trade entry.
Trade Sequencing:
A new trade (buy or sell) is only permitted after the previous position hits either its stop-loss or target, preventing overlapping trades and ensuring clear trade sequences.
This sequential approach enhances risk management by ensuring only one active position at any time.
End-of-Day Closure:
All open positions are closed automatically at 3:25 PM (Indian market time) to avoid overnight exposure, ensuring the strategy remains strictly intraday.
The flag for trade entry is reset at the end of each day, enabling fresh trades the next day.
Chart Indicators:
The script plots buy and sell signals directly on the chart with visible labels.
It also displays the custom RSI metric with horizontal lines for the lower and upper thresholds, providing visual cues for entry and exit points.
Summary
This strategy is a momentum-based intraday trading approach that uses the RSI for identifying potential reversals and manages trades through predefined stop-loss and target levels. By enforcing trade sequencing and closing positions at the end of the trading day, it prioritizes risk management and seeks to capitalize on short-term trends while avoiding overnight market risks.
Smart Money Concepts IndicatorBEST ICT AND SMC INDICATOR
The **Smart Money Concepts Indicator** is designed to enhance trading decisions by incorporating key principles from Smart Money Concepts (SMC), focusing on the detection of market structure changes, liquidity zones, order flow, and order blocks. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to understand market dynamics and make informed trading decisions based on advanced market analysis.
#### Key Features:
1. **Break of Structure (BOS)**:
- Identifies upward and downward breaks in market structure, indicating potential trend reversals.
- Visual markers on the chart help traders spot these critical levels.
2. **Change of Character (CHOCH)**:
- Detects significant changes in market direction, highlighting potential shifts in momentum.
- Clearly labeled signals indicate when the market may be changing its character.
3. **Order Blocks**:
- Highlights order blocks, which are key areas where significant buying or selling has occurred.
- Provides visual cues for potential support and resistance zones.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- Marks liquidity zones, indicating areas where buy-side or sell-side liquidity may be targeted.
- Helps traders understand where the market might draw liquidity.
5. **Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels**:
- Calculates and plots take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels based on the Average True Range (ATR) for adaptive risk management.
- Customizable multipliers allow traders to adjust levels based on their risk tolerance.
6. **Order Flow Analysis**:
- Displays bullish and bearish order flow signals based on candle close relative to open.
- Provides insights into market sentiment and potential future price action.
#### How to Use:
- **Identifying Entry and Exit Points**: Use BOS and CHOCH signals to find potential entry points, while leveraging TP and SL levels for risk management.
- **Market Analysis**: Analyze order blocks and liquidity zones to make informed decisions on market behavior.
- **Visual Confirmation**: The clear visual cues provided by the indicator make it easier to interpret market movements and align trades with institutional behavior.
#### Conclusion:
The Smart Money Concepts Indicator is an invaluable tool for traders looking to enhance their understanding of market structure and make more informed trading decisions. By integrating advanced concepts like BOS, CHOCH, and liquidity analysis, this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with greater confidence.
Indicator SELL UBScript Name: UB Sell Indicator based on 10Y Volume and Trend
Description: This indicator uses the 10-year interest rate (10Y1!) volume and price data to generate sell signals on the UB contract. When the 10Y1! volume exceeds a fixed threshold and the 10Y1! price is rising, a sell signal is issued to help traders anticipate bearish moves on the UB.
Features:
10Y1! Volume: Identifies periods of high volume.
10Y1! Price: Detects bullish trends in the 10Y1!.
Sell Signals: Displays red arrows to indicate selling opportunities on UB when conditions are met.
Visual Indicators: Colors and arrows for easy signal interpretation.
Parameters:
Fixed Volume Threshold: 114 (modifiable as needed).
Moving Average Period: 10 (to calculate the 10Y1! price trend).
Usage:
Watch for red arrows to identify selling opportunities on UB.
Combine with other analyses and indicators for a complete trading strategy.
Author: Jm Smeers
Publication Date: 26/10/2024
Delta Candle ColorsThe Delta Divergences indicator provides a visual representation of volume delta, which measures the difference between buying pressure and selling pressure within a candle. This is achieved by using intrabar (lower timeframe) volume and price fluctuations to estimate the delta between buying and selling pressure within each bar.
By color-coding candles based on this volume delta, traders can gain insight into the strength behind price movements and spot potential divergences. When a candle closes positively (higher than the previous close) but the volume delta is negative (more selling than buying), or when a candle closes negatively with a positive delta (more buying than selling), it indicates a divergence. These divergences can signal potential trend exhaustion or possible reversals.
The indicator includes custom alerts that notify the trader when these divergences occur:
Positive close with negative delta: Signals that the price is rising, but selling pressure is higher.
Negative close with positive delta: Signals that the price is falling, but buying pressure is higher.
In addition to color-coding candles based on delta, the indicator provides an option to display delta labels directly on the chart for each candle.
Finally, the option to only show divergences can be turned on. When enabled, non-divergent candles are colored normally, while only candles with delta divergences are highlighted, allowing traders to focus on the most relevant market information.
Dynamic Buy/Sell VisualizationDynamic Trend Visualization Indicator
Description:
This simple and easy to use indicator has helped me stay in trades longer.
This indicator is designed to visually represent potential buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two Simple Moving Averages (SMA). It's crafted to assist traders in identifying trend directions in a straightforward manner, making it an excellent tool for both beginners and experienced traders.
Features:
Customizable Moving Averages: Users can adjust the period length for both short-term (default: 10) and long-term (default: 50) SMAs to suit their trading strategy.
Visual Signals: Dynamic lines appear at the points of SMA crossover, with labels to indicate 'BUY' or 'SELL' opportunities.
Color and Style Customization: Customize the appearance of the buy and sell lines for better chart readability.
Alert Functionality: Alerts are set up to notify users when a crossover indicating a buy or sell condition occurs.
How It Works:
A 'BUY' signal is generated when the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, suggesting an upward trend.
A 'SELL' signal is indicated when the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, pointing to a potential downward trend.
Use Cases:
Trend Following: Ideal for markets with clear trends. For example, if trading EUR/USD on a daily chart, setting the short SMA to 10 days and the long SMA to 50 days might help in capturing longer-term trends.
Scalping: In a volatile market, setting shorter periods (e.g., 5 for short SMA and 20 for long SMA) might catch quicker trend changes, suitable for scalping.
Examples of how to use
* Short-term for Quick Trades:
SMA 5 and SMA 21:
Purpose: This combination is tailored for day traders or those looking to engage in scalping. The 5 SMA will react rapidly to price changes, providing early signals for buy or sell opportunities. The 21 SMA, being a Fibonacci number, offers a slightly longer-term view to confirm the short-term trend, helping to filter out minor fluctuations that might lead to false signals.
* Middle-term for Swing Trading:
SMA 10 and SMA 50:
Purpose: Suited for swing traders who aim to capitalize on medium-term trends. The 10 SMA picks up on immediate market movements, while the 50 SMA gives insight into the medium-term direction. This setup helps in identifying when a short-term trend aligns with a longer-term trend, providing a good balance for trades that might last several days to a couple of weeks.
* Long-term Trading:
SMA 50 and SMA 200:
Purpose: Investors focusing on long-term trends would benefit from this pair. The crossover of the 50 SMA over the 200 SMA can indicate the beginning or end of major market trends, ideal for making decisions about long-term holdings that might span months or years.
Example Strategy if not using the Buy / Sell Label Alerts:
Entry Signal: Enter a long position when the shorter SMA crosses above the longer SMA. For example:
SMA 10 crosses above SMA 50 for a medium-term bullish signal.
Exit Signal: Consider exiting or initiating a short position when:
SMA 10 crosses below SMA 50, suggesting a bearish turn in the medium-term trend.
Confirmation: Use these crossovers in conjunction with other indicators like volume or momentum indicators for better confirmation. For instance, if you're using the 5/21 combination, look for volume spikes on crossovers to confirm the move's strength.
When Not to Use:
Sideways or Range-Bound Markets: The indicator might generate many false signals in a non-trending market, leading to potential losses.
High Volatility Without Clear Trends: Rapid price movements without a consistent direction can result in misleading crossovers.
As a Standalone Tool: It should not be used in isolation. Combining with other indicators like RSI or MACD for confirmation can enhance trading decisions.
Practical Example:
Buy Signal: If you're watching Apple Inc. (AAPL) on a weekly chart, a crossover where the 10-week SMA moves above the 50-week SMA could suggest a buying opportunity, especially if confirmed by volume increase or other technical indicators.
Sell Signal: Conversely, if the 10-week SMA dips below the 50-week SMA, it might be time to consider selling, particularly if other bearish signals are present.
Conclusion:
The "Dynamic Trend Visualization" indicator provides a visual aid for trend-following strategies, offering customization and alert features to streamline the trading process. However, it's crucial to use this in conjunction with other analysis methods to mitigate the risks of false signals or market anomalies.
Legal Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational purposes only. It does not guarantee profits or provide investment advice. Trading involves risk; please conduct thorough or consult with a financial advisor. The creator is not responsible for any losses incurred. By using this indicator, you agree to these terms.
MT Enhanced Trend Reversal Strategy 2This strategy, called **"Enhanced Trend Reversal Strategy with Take Profit,"** is designed to identify trend reversal points based on several indicators: **Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), MACD**, and **RSI**. The strategy also includes **take-profit levels** to provide traders with suggested profit-taking points.
Key Components of the Strategy
1. **Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**:
- The strategy uses **20 and 50-period EMAs** to determine trend direction. The shorter period (EMA 20) reacts more quickly to price changes, while the longer period (EMA 50) smooths out fluctuations.
- An **uptrend** (bullish market) is indicated when the EMA 20 is above the EMA 50. In this case, the main trend line is colored green.
- A **downtrend** (bearish market) is indicated when the EMA 20 is below the EMA 50, in which case the trend line is colored red.
- This visual indication simplifies analysis and allows traders to quickly assess the market condition.
2. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**:
- MACD is an oscillator that shows the difference between two EMAs (with periods 6 and 13) and a **signal line** with a period of 5.
- A **buy signal** is generated when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating a potential bullish trend.
- A **sell signal** is generated when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, indicating a possible bearish trend.
- Shorter MACD periods make the strategy more sensitive to price changes, allowing for more frequent trading signals.
3. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**:
- RSI measures the speed and magnitude of directional price movements to determine if an asset is overbought or oversold.
- The strategy uses a standard RSI period of 14, but with relaxed levels for more signals.
- **For buy entries**, RSI should be above 40, signaling the start of a bullish impulse without indicating overbought conditions.
- **For sell entries**, RSI should be below 60, signaling potential bearish movement without being oversold.
Entry Conditions
- **Buy Signal**:
- The MACD line crosses above the signal line.
- EMA 20 is above EMA 50 (uptrend).
- RSI is above 40, indicating a potential rise without overbought conditions.
- When these conditions are met, the strategy enters a **long position**.
- **Sell Signal**:
- The MACD line crosses below the signal line.
- EMA 20 is below EMA 50 (downtrend).
- RSI is below 60, indicating a possible decline without being oversold.
- When these conditions are met, the strategy enters a **short position**.
Take-Profit Levels
- **Take Profit** is calculated at 1.5% of the entry price:
- **For long positions**, take profit is set at a level 1.5% above the entry price.
- **For short positions**, take profit is set at a level 1.5% below the entry price.
- This take-profit level is displayed as a blue line on the chart, giving traders a clear idea of the target profit point for each trade.
Visualization and Colors
- The main trend line (EMA 20) changes to green in an uptrend and red in a downtrend. This provides a clear visual indicator of the current trend direction.
- Take-profit levels are displayed as blue lines, helping traders follow targets and lock in profits at recommended levels.
Usage Recommendations
- **Timeframe**: The strategy is optimized for a 30-minute timeframe. At this interval, signals are frequent enough without being overly sensitive to noise.
- **Applicability**: The strategy works well for assets with moderate to high volatility, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, and currency pairs.
- **Risk Management**: In addition to take profit, a stop loss at around 1-2% is recommended to minimize losses in case of sudden trend reversals.
Conclusion
This strategy is designed for more frequent signals by using faster indicators and relaxed RSI conditions. It is suitable for traders seeking quick trade opportunities and clearly defined take-profit levels.
[Defaust] Fractals Fractals Indicator
Overview
The Fractals Indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify potential reversal points in the market by detecting fractal patterns. This indicator is a fork of the original fractals indicator, with adjustments made to the plotting for enhanced visual clarity and usability.
What Are Fractals?
In trading, a fractal is a pattern consisting of five consecutive bars (candlesticks) that meet specific conditions:
Up Fractal (Potential Sell Signal): Occurs when a high point is surrounded by two lower highs on each side.
Down Fractal (Potential Buy Signal): Occurs when a low point is surrounded by two higher lows on each side.
Fractals help traders identify potential tops and bottoms in the market, signaling possible entry or exit points.
Features of the Indicator
Customizable Periods (n): Allows you to define the number of periods to consider when detecting fractals, offering flexibility to adapt to different trading strategies and timeframes.
Enhanced Plotting Adjustments: This fork introduces adjustments to the plotting of fractal signals for better visual representation on the chart.
Visual Signals: Plots up and down triangles on the chart to signify down fractals (potential bullish signals) and up fractals (potential bearish signals), respectively.
Overlay on Chart: The fractal signals are overlaid directly on the price chart for immediate visualization.
Adjustable Precision: You can set the precision of the plotted values according to your needs.
Pine Script Code Explanation
Below is the Pine Script code for the Fractals Indicator:
//@version=5 indicator(" Fractals", shorttitle=" Fractals", format=format.price, precision=0, overlay=true)
// User input for the number of periods to consider for fractal detection n = input.int(title="Periods", defval=2, minval=2)
// Initialize flags for up fractal detection bool upflagDownFrontier = true bool upflagUpFrontier0 = true bool upflagUpFrontier1 = true bool upflagUpFrontier2 = true bool upflagUpFrontier3 = true bool upflagUpFrontier4 = true
// Loop through previous and future bars to check conditions for up fractals for i = 1 to n // Check if the highs of previous bars are less than the current bar's high upflagDownFrontier := upflagDownFrontier and (high < high ) // Check various conditions for future bars upflagUpFrontier0 := upflagUpFrontier0 and (high < high ) upflagUpFrontier1 := upflagUpFrontier1 and (high <= high and high < high ) upflagUpFrontier2 := upflagUpFrontier2 and (high <= high and high <= high and high < high ) upflagUpFrontier3 := upflagUpFrontier3 and (high <= high and high <= high and high <= high and high < high ) upflagUpFrontier4 := upflagUpFrontier4 and (high <= high and high <= high and high <= high and high <= high and high < high )
// Combine the flags to determine if an up fractal exists flagUpFrontier = upflagUpFrontier0 or upflagUpFrontier1 or upflagUpFrontier2 or upflagUpFrontier3 or upflagUpFrontier4 upFractal = (upflagDownFrontier and flagUpFrontier)
// Initialize flags for down fractal detection bool downflagDownFrontier = true bool downflagUpFrontier0 = true bool downflagUpFrontier1 = true bool downflagUpFrontier2 = true bool downflagUpFrontier3 = true bool downflagUpFrontier4 = true
// Loop through previous and future bars to check conditions for down fractals for i = 1 to n // Check if the lows of previous bars are greater than the current bar's low downflagDownFrontier := downflagDownFrontier and (low > low ) // Check various conditions for future bars downflagUpFrontier0 := downflagUpFrontier0 and (low > low ) downflagUpFrontier1 := downflagUpFrontier1 and (low >= low and low > low ) downflagUpFrontier2 := downflagUpFrontier2 and (low >= low and low >= low and low > low ) downflagUpFrontier3 := downflagUpFrontier3 and (low >= low and low >= low and low >= low and low > low ) downflagUpFrontier4 := downflagUpFrontier4 and (low >= low and low >= low and low >= low and low >= low and low > low )
// Combine the flags to determine if a down fractal exists flagDownFrontier = downflagUpFrontier0 or downflagUpFrontier1 or downflagUpFrontier2 or downflagUpFrontier3 or downflagUpFrontier4 downFractal = (downflagDownFrontier and flagDownFrontier)
// Plot the fractal symbols on the chart with adjusted plotting plotshape(downFractal, style=shape.triangleup, location=location.belowbar, offset=-n, color=color.gray, size=size.auto) plotshape(upFractal, style=shape.triangledown, location=location.abovebar, offset=-n, color=color.gray, size=size.auto)
Explanation:
Input Parameter (n): Sets the number of periods for fractal detection. The default value is 2, and it must be at least 2 to ensure valid fractal patterns.
Flag Initialization: Boolean variables are used to store intermediate conditions during fractal detection.
Loops: Iterate through the specified number of periods to evaluate the conditions for fractal formation.
Conditions:
Up Fractals: Checks if the current high is greater than previous highs and if future highs are lower or equal to the current high.
Down Fractals: Checks if the current low is lower than previous lows and if future lows are higher or equal to the current low.
Flag Combination: Logical and and or operations are used to combine the flags and determine if a fractal exists.
Adjusted Plotting:
The plotting of fractal symbols has been adjusted for better alignment and visual clarity.
The offset parameter is set to -n to align the plotted symbols with the correct bars.
The color and size have been fine-tuned for better visibility.
How to Use the Indicator
Adding the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView:
Go to TradingView.
Access the Chart:
Click on "Chart" to open the main charting interface.
Add the Indicator:
Click on the "Indicators" button at the top.
Search for " Fractals".
Select the indicator from the list to add it to your chart.
Configuring the Indicator
Periods (n):
Default value is 2.
Adjust this parameter based on your preferred timeframe and sensitivity.
A higher value of n considers more bars for fractal detection, potentially reducing the number of signals but increasing their significance.
Interpreting the Signals
– Up Fractal (Downward Triangle): Indicates a potential price reversal to the downside. May be used as a signal to consider exiting long positions or tightening stop-loss orders.
– Down Fractal (Upward Triangle): Indicates a potential price reversal to the upside. May be used as a signal to consider entering long positions or setting stop-loss orders for short positions.
Trading Strategy Suggestions
Up Fractal Detection:
The high of the current bar (n) is higher than the highs of the previous two bars (n - 1, n - 2).
The highs of the next bars meet certain conditions to confirm the fractal pattern.
An up fractal symbol (downward triangle) is plotted above the bar at position n - n (due to the offset).
Down Fractal Detection:
The low of the current bar (n) is lower than the lows of the previous two bars (n - 1, n - 2).
The lows of the next bars meet certain conditions to confirm the fractal pattern.
A down fractal symbol (upward triangle) is plotted below the bar at position n - n.
Benefits of Using the Fractals Indicator
Early Signals: Helps in identifying potential reversal points in price movements.
Customizable Sensitivity: Adjusting the n parameter allows you to fine-tune the indicator based on different market conditions.
Enhanced Visuals: Adjustments to plotting improve the clarity and readability of fractal signals on the chart.
Limitations and Considerations
Lagging Indicator: Fractals require future bars to confirm the pattern, which may introduce a delay in the signals.
False Signals: In volatile or ranging markets, fractals may produce false signals. It's advisable to use them in conjunction with other analysis tools.
Not a Standalone Tool: Fractals should be part of a broader trading strategy that includes other indicators and fundamental analysis.
Best Practices for Using This Indicator
Combine with Other Indicators: Use in combination with trend indicators, oscillators, or volume analysis to confirm signals.
Backtesting: Before applying the indicator in live trading, backtest it on historical data to understand its performance.
Adjust Periods Accordingly: Experiment with different values of n to find the optimal setting for the specific asset and timeframe you are trading.
Disclaimer
The Fractals Indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk, and you should be aware of the risks involved before proceeding. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Credits
This indicator is a fork of the original fractals indicator, with adjustments made to the plotting for improved visual representation. It is based on standard fractal patterns commonly used in technical analysis and has been developed to provide traders with an effective tool for detecting potential reversal points in the market.
Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trend DetectorThis script is designed to provide a multi-timeframe trend analysis, combining moving averages (MAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to determine market direction across different timeframes. Here's a breakdown of what the script does:
Key Components of the Script
Inputs:
Moving Averages: Short and long moving average lengths (9 and 21 periods).
ATR and RSI Lengths: ATR (Average True Range) and RSI (Relative Strength Index) lengths set to 14 periods.
RSI Levels: Overbought and oversold levels for the RSI set to 70 and 30, respectively.
Trend Determination:
A function called trendDirection evaluates the trend based on the closing prices of the current and previous periods, as well as the RSI value.
It classifies the trend as "Up", "Down", or "Sideways" based on the conditions:
Up: Current close is higher than the previous close and RSI is below the overbought level.
Down: Current close is lower than the previous close and RSI is above the oversold level.
Sideways: If neither condition is met.
Table Creation:
A table is created at the bottom right of the chart to display the trend for different timeframes (5m, 15m, 60m, 240m, and Daily).
The table is initialized with headers and then populated with the trend results for each timeframe.
Calculating Trends for Each Timeframe:
The script fetches the current and previous close prices for each timeframe using request.security().
It calculates the RSI for each timeframe and then calls the trendDirection function to determine the trend.
Displaying Trends:
The results are displayed in a table format, with each timeframe and its corresponding trend.
Summary
Overall, this script provides a concise way to visualize market trends across multiple timeframes, using MAs and RSI to offer a more nuanced view of potential market movements. This can help traders make more informed decisions based on the prevailing trends.
Ultimate Machine Learning MACD (Deep Learning Edition)This script is a "Deep Learning MACD" indicator that combines traditional MACD calculations with advanced machine learning techniques, including recursive feedback, adaptive learning rates, Monte Carlo simulations, and volatility-based adjustments. Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
Inputs
Lookback: The length of historical data (1000 by default) used for learning and volatility measurement.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: Adjusts how much momentum and volatility contribute to the learning process (momentum weight: 1.2, volatility weight: 1.5).
MACD Lengths: Defines the range for MACD fast and slow lengths, starting at minimum of 1 and max of 1000.
Learning Rate: Defines how much the model learns from its predictions (very small learning rate by default).
Adaptive Learning: Enables dynamic learning rates based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: A feedback factor that determines how much weight past performance has in the current model.
Simulations: The number of Monte Carlo simulations used for probabilistic modeling.
Price Change: Calculated as the difference between the current and previous close.
Momentum: Measured using a lookback period (1000 bars by default).
Volatility: Standard deviation of closing prices.
ATR: Average true range over 14 periods for measuring market volatility.
Custom EMA Calculation
Implements an exponential moving average (EMA) formula from scratch using a recursive calculation with a smoothing factor.
Dynamic Learning Rate
Adjusts the learning rate based on market volatility. When volatility is high, the learning rate increases, and when volatility is low, it decreases. This makes the model more responsive during volatile markets and more stable during calm periods.
Error Calculation and Adjustment
Error Calculation: Measures the difference between the predicted value (via Monte Carlo simulations) and the true MACD value.
Adjust MACD Length: Uses the error to adjust the fast and slow MACD lengths dynamically, so the system can learn from market conditions.
Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation
Runs multiple simulations (200 by default) to generate probabilistic predictions. It uses random values weighted by momentum and volatility to simulate various market scenarios, enhancing
prediction accuracy.
MACD Calculation (Learning-Enhanced)
A custom MACD function that calculates:
Fast EMA and Slow EMA for MACD line.
Signal Line: An EMA of the MACD line.
Histogram: The difference between the MACD and signal lines.
Adaptive MACD Calculation
Adjusts the fast and slow MACD lengths based on the error from the Monte Carlo prediction.
Calculates the adaptive MACD, signal, and histogram using dynamically adjusted lengths.
Recursive Memory Feedback
Stores previous MACD values in an array (macdMemory) and averages them to create a feedback loop. This adds a "memory" to the system, allowing it to learn from past behaviors and refine future predictions.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement
Introduces a volatility reinforcement factor that influences the signal based on market conditions. It adds volatility awareness to the feedback system, making the system more reactive during high volatility periods.
Smoothed MACD
After all the adjustments, the MACD line is further smoothed based on the current market volatility, resulting in a final smoothed MACD.
Key Features
Monte Carlo Simulation: Runs multiple simulations to enhance predictions based on randomness and market behavior.
Adaptive Learning: Dynamic adjustments of learning rates and MACD lengths based on market conditions.
Recursive Feedback: Uses past data as feedback to refine the system’s predictions over time.
Volatility Awareness: Integrates market volatility into the system, making the MACD more responsive to market fluctuations.
This combination of traditional MACD with machine learning creates an adaptive indicator capable of learning from past behaviors and adjusting its sensitivity based on changing market conditions.
Trend indicatorThe Trend Indicator script is a custom oscillator-based tool designed for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market. Using a combination of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Relative Moving Average (RMA) calculations, it captures the trend direction and signals market momentum shifts. The indicator visually presents buy and sell signals and color-codes background conditions based on potential trend reversals, offering a clear and structured approach for trend-based trading strategies.
Key Components
1. User Inputs
Smoothing Length (smoothLength): The script allows the trader to input a smoothing length for adjusting the EMA and RMA calculations. This parameter fine-tunes the indicator's sensitivity to price movements, where lower values result in a more responsive oscillator, while higher values make it smoother and less reactive to minor fluctuations.
Source (source): This is the price data input for the script, defaulting to the close price but customizable to other price points (e.g., open, high, or low) based on user preference.
2. Smoothed Price Calculation
Using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the script smooths the selected source price to reduce noise and make trends clearer. The EMA’s calculation length is determined by the smoothLength input, and this moving average forms the baseline from which other components derive.
3. Oscillator Calculation
The oscillator value represents the relative strength or weakness of price momentum. Here, the oscillator is computed using Relative Moving Average (RMA), applied to the difference between the smoothed price and the SMA of the source price. The RMA further filters short-term fluctuations to identify the core trend direction.
This oscillator measures the divergence between the smoothed price and the SMA, providing insight into whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish pressure.
4. Signal Line
The Signal Line is a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the oscillator, using the same smoothLength parameter. The SMA smooths the oscillator’s values, offering a secondary reference that traders can use to identify changes in momentum when it crosses the oscillator line.
5. Buy and Sell Signals
Buy Signal (bullSignal): The script triggers a buy signal when the oscillator crosses above zero. This indicates that momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers, potentially signaling an uptrend.
Sell Signal (bearSignal): The script triggers a sell signal when the oscillator crosses below zero, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside, potentially initiating a downtrend.
Visualization
1. Plotting the Oscillator and Signal Line
The oscillator line is plotted in blue, representing the current momentum of the price. The signal line, plotted in red, serves as a smoother baseline.
When the oscillator crosses the signal line, it hints at a potential trend shift, which can be a signal for cautious traders to pay attention to trend reversals.
2. Buy/Sell Signal Markers
Buy Signal Marker: A green label appears below the bar whenever the oscillator crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Sell Signal Marker: A red label appears above the bar whenever the oscillator crosses below zero, marking a potential selling opportunity.
These visual cues make it easy for traders to spot signals directly on the chart without needing to watch the oscillator values closely.
3. Background Coloring for Trend Direction
To further aid in trend identification, the background color changes to green when a bullish signal is active and red during bearish signals. This coloring helps visually reinforce the current trend direction, allowing traders to spot prolonged uptrends or downtrends easily.
Trading Strategy Suggestions
This indicator can be adapted to various trading strategies. Here are a few practical suggestions:
Trend-Following Strategy:
When the oscillator crosses above zero (green background), it could indicate the start of a potential uptrend. Consider entering a long position on this signal and holding it until the oscillator crosses back below zero.
Conversely, a cross below zero (red background) may signal a downtrend, making it suitable for short positions or exiting long trades.
Cross-Confirmation with Signal Line:
Use the crossover of the oscillator and signal line to confirm trends. For example, when the oscillator is above zero and crosses above the signal line, it could reinforce a strong buy signal. Similarly, a cross below the signal line when the oscillator is below zero could strengthen a sell signal.
Combining with Other Indicators:
For added accuracy, combine this indicator with other trend-confirming tools like Moving Averages or Bollinger Bands to confirm the validity of buy/sell signals.
Risk Management:
Always set stop-losses below recent lows in uptrends or above recent highs in downtrends. This indicator is useful for entry and exit points but should always be paired with solid risk management practices.
The Trend Indicator is a comprehensive tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversal points. By smoothing out price data and using an oscillator to track momentum shifts, it offers traders a structured approach to trading trends. Its built-in buy/sell markers and background coloring make it visually accessible and easy to interpret at a glance. However, as with any indicator, it's most effective when combined with other strategies and a disciplined approach to risk management.
Ultimate Machine Learning RSI (Deep Learning Edition)This script represents an advanced implementation of a Machine Learning-based Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator in Pine Script, incorporating several sophisticated techniques to create a more adaptive, intelligent, and responsive RSI.
Key Components and Features:
Lookback Period: The period over which the indicator "learns" from past data, set to 1000 bars by default.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: These factors control how much the momentum and volatility of the market influence the learning and signal generation.
RSI Length Range: The minimum and maximum values for the RSI length, allowing the algorithm to adjust the RSI length dynamically.
Learning Rate: Controls how quickly the system adapts to new data. An adaptive learning rate can change based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: Influences how much the system "remembers" previous performance when making adjustments.
Monte Carlo Simulations: Used for probabilistic modeling to create a more robust signal.
\
Price Change: Tracks the difference between the current close and the previous close.
Momentum: A measure of the rate of change in the price over the lookback period.
Volatility: Calculated using the standard deviation of the close prices.
ATR (Average True Range): Tracks the volatility of the market over a short period to influence decisions.
Monte Carlo Simulation:
Probabilistic Signal: This uses multiple random simulations (Monte Carlo) to generate potential future signals. These simulations are weighted by the momentum and volatility of the market. A cluster factor further enhances the simulation based on volatility regimes.
Z-Score for Extreme Conditions:
Z-Score: Measures how extreme current price movements are compared to the historical average, providing context for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Dynamic Learning Rate:
The learning rate adjusts based on the volatility of the market, becoming more responsive in high-volatility periods and slower in low-volatility markets. This prevents the system from overreacting to noise but ensures responsiveness to significant shifts.
Recursive Learning and Feedback:
Error Calculation: The system calculates the difference between the true RSI and the predicted RSI, creating an error that is fed back into the system to adjust the RSI length and other parameters dynamically.
RSI Length Adjustment: Based on the error, the RSI length is adjusted, ensuring that the system evolves over time to better reflect market conditions.
Adaptive Smoothing:
In periods of high volatility, the indicator applies a Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) for faster adaptation, while in quieter markets, it uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for smoother adjustments.
Recursive Memory Feedback:
The system maintains a memory of past RSI values, which helps refine the output further. The memory factor influences how much weight is given to past performance versus the current adaptive signal.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement: Higher market volatility increases the impact of this memory feedback, making the model more reactive in volatile conditions.
Multi-Factor Dynamic Thresholds:
Dynamic Overbought/Oversold: Instead of fixed RSI levels (70/30), the thresholds adjust dynamically based on the Z-Score, making the system more sensitive to extreme market conditions.
Combined Multi-Factor Signal:
The final output signal is the result of combining the true RSI, adaptive RSI, and the probabilistic signal generated from the Monte Carlo simulations. This creates a robust, multi-factor signal that incorporates various market conditions and machine learning techniques.
Visual Representation:
The final combined signal is plotted in blue on the chart, along with reference lines at 55 (overbought), 10 (oversold), and 35 (neutral).
Alerts are set up to trigger when the combined signal crosses above the dynamic overbought level or below the dynamic oversold level.
Conclusion:
This "Ultimate Machine Learning RSI" script leverages multiple machine learning techniques—probabilistic modeling, adaptive learning, recursive feedback, and dynamic thresholds—to create an advanced, highly responsive RSI indicator. The result is an RSI that continuously learns from market conditions, adjusts itself in real-time, and provides a more nuanced and robust signal compared to traditional fixed-length RSI. This indicator pushes the boundaries of what's possible with Pine Script and introduces cutting-edge techniques for technical analysis.
