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Macro

Velocity To Inverse Correlation to VIX/Bonds Strategy (2020)This strategy measures and creates a signal when an asset is moving out of a correlation with high yield bonds or the CBOE VIX into an inverse correlation, as well as when an asset is losing correlation with a top corporate bonds ETF. When this signal is triggered, the simulation has the portfolio asset go long. Additionally, exits are based on a 2% stop loss and a 2% take profit for simplicity sake to indicate whether the direct next move in the asset is up or down. This was originally tested as a descent indicator for Ethereum's 2020 moves as institutional investors moved into the market.
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givingdesk tarafından
1
Fear/Greed IndexMy goal was to create something akin to the Fear & Greed Index ( money.cnn.com ) that CNN and others do. A Fear/Greed Index can be used by any trader or investor but I believe it's best viewed with a contrarian's eye-- When the market appears to be signalling Extreme Fear, that is a good place to start buying from emotional players who want to sell no matter the price When signalling Extreme Greed, that may be a good place to start taking profits off or getting hedged, as there may be too much exuberance in the air Important to note and remember, however, is that there can often times be fear in the air for good reasons! I like to see this as if we dip into extreme fear and return shortly after, the fear may warrant constraint from buying, or returning back to extreme greed may be a very strong market extension The script draws from several other tickers which I have read and personally observed to be decent macro correlations for the stock market (specifically the SP500). For the state of each of these metrics I gave a rating, good or bad, then added them together and put it into your standard Stochastic. These macro correlations include-- The % of stocks in the SP500 above multiple Simple Moving Average lengths VIX and its term-structure (contango, backwardation) Treasury Bonds Gold Junk/High Yield Bonds The Put/Call Ratio The SP500 Options Skew Advancing and Declining Issues On some of these I opted to use a function for the Relative Momentum Index instead of RSI, as the RMI oscillates better (in my opinion). I also used a Band-Pass Filter/Double EMA for smoothing the results of the stochastic. A LOT of these numbers were made to my own observation and discretion and can get out-dated over time. With that said, PLEASE feel free to revise, fine tune, modify this as you wish to optimize yours. And please let me know if I have made any mistakes here or something should be added.
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chrism665 tarafından
11
Mercury Retrograde Cycles V2 [Moon]Plots Mercury Retrograde cycles from start to end. What is Mercury Retrograde? Mercury Retrograde is when the planet Mercury appears to be traveling in reverse or backwards across the night sky with respect to the stars, the zodiac, and other bodies in the celestial canopy. It happens when Mercury goes in between the Earth and the Sun. Basically, Mercury is lapping or passing Earth during this period. An illusion created by the way that Earth and Mercury orbit around the sun. In reality, this is both planets perpetually orbiting in the same uniform direction. In ancient Roman mythology Mercury is supposed to rule all types of communication including - buying, selling, speaking, reading or contractual agreements. Does this work or mean anything I don't hold the answers to the universe you'll have to go looking for yourself. Works best right now on the Daily (D) timeframe. Send me a DM if interested.
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MoonOverlord tarafından
36
Macroeconomic Artificial Neural Networks This script was created by training 20 selected macroeconomic data to construct artificial neural networks on the S&P 500 index. No technical analysis data were used. The average error rate is 0.01. In this respect, there is a strong relationship between the index and macroeconomic data. Although it affects the whole world,I personally recommend using it under the following conditions: S&P 500 and related ETFs in 1W time-frame (TF = 1W SPX500USD, SP1!, SPY, SPX etc. ) Macroeconomic Parameters Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS) Initial Claims (ICSA) Civilian Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 10 Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (DGS10) Gross Domestic Product , 1 Decimal (GDP) Trade Weighted US Dollar Index : Major Currencies (DTWEXM) Consumer Price Index For All Urban Consumers (CPIAUCSL) M1 Money Stock (M1) M2 Money Stock (M2) 2 - Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (DGS2) 30 Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (DGS30) Industrial Production Index (INDPRO) 5-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (FRED : DGS5) Light Weight Vehicle Sales: Autos and Light Trucks (ALTSALES) Civilian Employment Population Ratio (EMRATIO) Capacity Utilization (TOTAL INDUSTRY) (TCU) Average (Mean) Duration Of Unemployment (UEMPMEAN) Manufacturing Employment Index (MAN_EMPL) Manufacturers' New Orders (NEWORDER) ISM Manufacturing Index (MAN : PMI) Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Training Details : Learning cycles: 16231 AutoSave cycles: 100 Grid Input columns: 19 Output columns: 1 Excluded columns: 0 Training example rows: 998 Validating example rows: 0 Querying example rows: 0 Excluded example rows: 0 Duplicated example rows: 0 Network Input nodes connected: 19 Hidden layer 1 nodes: 2 Hidden layer 2 nodes: 0 Hidden layer 3 nodes: 0 Output nodes: 1 Controls Learning rate: 0.1000 Momentum: 0.8000 (Optimized) Target error: 0.0100 Training error: 0.010000 NOTE : Alerts added . The red histogram represents the bear market and the green histogram represents the bull market. Bars subject to region changes are shown as background colors. (Teal = Bull , Maroon = Bear Market ) I hope it will be useful in your studies and analysis, regards.
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Noldo tarafından
40