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PCE Inflation Monitor (Change YoY & MoM)📊 PCE Inflation Monitor - The Fed's Most Important Metric Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure and THE metric they target for their 2% inflation goal. If you want to predict Fed policy, you need to watch PCE. 🎯 KEY FEATURES: - Dual Perspective Analysis: - Year-over-Year (YoY): Histogram bars showing annual PCE inflation - Month-over-Month (MoM): Line overlay showing monthly consumption price changes - Visual Reference System: - Dashed line at 2% (Fed's official PCE inflation target) - Dotted line at 0.17% (equivalent monthly target) - Color-coded bars: Red above Fed target, Green below target - Real-Time Data Table: - Current PCE Index value - YoY inflation rate vs. Fed's 2% target - MoM inflation rate with color coding - Exact deviation from Fed target (critical for policy predictions) - Automated Alerts: - PCE crosses Fed's 2% target (major policy signal!) - MoM crosses monthly target - Stay informed of Fed-relevant inflation changes 📈 WHY PCE IS DIFFERENT (AND MORE IMPORTANT): PCE vs. CPI differences: - Flexible basket: PCE adjusts for substitution (beef → chicken if prices rise) - Broader coverage: Includes healthcare paid by insurance/government - Lower readings: Typically 0.2-0.4% below CPI - Fed's choice: Explicitly stated as their target metric Most importantly: When Powell speaks about "our 2% target," he means PCE, not CPI! 🔍 TRADING IMPLICATIONS: PCE Above 2% (Red Zone): → Fed under pressure to maintain/raise rates → Hawkish policy stance likely → Negative for growth stocks, crypto → Positive for USD, bearish for gold PCE Below 2% (Green Zone): → Fed has flexibility to cut rates → Dovish policy stance possible → Positive for risk assets, growth stocks → Negative for USD, bullish for commodities PCE Approaching 2% from Above: → Fed "mission accomplished" narrative → Rate cut cycle becomes possible → Major bullish signal for equities/crypto 💡 ADVANCED STRATEGIES: 1. Fed Meeting Preparation: Check PCE before FOMC meetings for policy clues 2. Dot Plot Predictions: PCE trend determines Fed's rate forecast updates 3. Pivot Timing: When PCE MoM turns negative, Fed pivot becomes realistic 4. Press Conference Analysis: Compare Powell's comments to PCE deviation 🎯 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: - 2.0% YoY: Fed's official target - crossing this level is major news - 2.5% YoY: "Uncomfortably high" - Fed forced to stay restrictive - 3.0% YoY: "Crisis mode" - Fed turns very hawkish - 1.5% YoY: "Below target" - Rate cuts become likely 🔄 COMBINE WITH: - CPI: Public perception vs. Fed's metric (often diverge) - Core PCE: Even more important (excludes food/energy volatility) - Fed Funds Rate: Is Fed responding appropriately to PCE? 📊 DATA SOURCE: Official PCE data from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), updated monthly typically in the last week of each month (after CPI/PPI releases). 🎨 CUSTOMIZATION: Fully customizable: - Toggle YoY/MoM displays - Adjust Fed target if needed - Customize colors - Show/hide absolute PCE values Perfect for: Fed watchers, macro traders, policy analysts, and serious investors who want to predict monetary policy changes before they happen. ⚠️ CRITICAL INSIGHT: While media focuses on CPI, the Fed focuses on PCE. Trade what the Fed trades, not what the headlines say. 🎓 Pro Tip: Fed members often mention "Core PCE" (excluding food/energy). Consider adding that indicator alongside this one for complete Fed policy analysis.
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Phillipklh tarafından
CPI Inflation Monitor (Change YoY & MoM)📊 CPI Inflation Monitor - Complete Macro Analysis Tool This indicator provides a comprehensive view of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation trends, essential for understanding monetary policy, market conditions, and making informed trading decisions. 🎯 KEY FEATURES: - Dual Perspective Analysis: - Year-over-Year (YoY): Histogram bars showing annual inflation rate - Month-over-Month (MoM): Line overlay showing monthly price changes - Visual Reference System: - Dashed line at 2% (Fed's official inflation target for YoY) - Dotted line at 0.17% (equivalent monthly target for MoM) - Color-coded bars: Red above target, Green below target - Real-Time Data Table: - Current CPI Index value - YoY inflation rate with color coding - MoM inflation rate with color coding - Deviation from Fed target - Automated Alerts: - YoY crosses above/below 2% target - MoM crosses above/below 0.17% target - Perfect for staying informed without constant monitoring 📈 WHY THIS MATTERS FOR TRADERS: CPI is the most widely reported inflation metric and directly influences: - Federal Reserve interest rate decisions - Bond yields and currency valuations - Stock market sentiment (especially growth vs. value rotation) - Cryptocurrency and risk asset performance Rising inflation (red bars) typically leads to: → Higher interest rates → Negative for growth stocks, crypto → Stronger USD → Pressure on commodities Falling inflation (green bars) typically leads to: → Rate cut expectations → Positive for growth stocks, crypto → Weaker USD → Support for commodities 🔍 HOW TO USE: 1. Strategic Positioning: Use YoY trend (thick bars) for long-term asset allocation 2. Tactical Timing: Use MoM trend (thin line) to identify turning points early 3. Divergence Trading: When MoM falls but YoY remains high, anticipate trend reversal 4. Fed Policy Prediction: Distance from 2% target indicates Fed's likely hawkishness 💡 PRO TIPS: - Multiple months of MoM above 0.3% = Accelerating inflation → Fed turns hawkish - MoM turning negative while YoY still elevated = Peak inflation → Position for pivot - Compare with PPI and PCE indicators for complete inflation picture - Use alerts to catch important threshold crossings automatically 📊 DATA SOURCE: Official CPI data from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), updated monthly mid-month when new data releases occur. 🎨 CUSTOMIZATION: Fully customizable through settings: - Toggle YoY/MoM displays - Adjust target levels - Customize colors for visual preference - Show/hide absolute CPI values Perfect for: Macro traders, swing traders, long-term investors, and anyone wanting to understand the inflation environment affecting their portfolio. Note: This indicator works on any chart timeframe as it loads external monthly economic data.
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Phillipklh tarafından
Intrinsic Value AnalyzerThe Intrinsic Value Analyzer is an all-in-one valuation tool that automatically calculates the fair value of a stock using industry-standard valuation techniques. It estimates intrinsic value through Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Enterprise Value to Revenue (EV/REV), Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), and Price to Earnings (P/EPS). The model features adjustable parameters and a built-in alert system that notifies investors in real time when valuation multiples reach predefined thresholds. It also includes a comprehensive, color-coded table that compares the company’s historical average growth rates, valuation multiples, and financial ratios with the most recent values, helping investors quickly assess how current values align with historical averages. The model calculates the historical Compounded Annual Growth Rates (CAGR) and average valuation multiples over the selected Lookback Period. It then projects Revenue, Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA), Earnings per Share (EPS), and Free Cash Flow (FCF) for the selected Forecast Period and discounts their future values back to the present using the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) or the Cost of Equity. By default, the model automatically applies the historical averages displayed in the table as the growth forecasts and target multiples. These assumptions can be modified in the menu by entering custom REV-G, EBITDA-G, EPS-G, and FCF-G growth forecasts, as well as EV/REV, EV/EBITDA, and P/EPS target multiples. When new input values are entered, the model recalculates the fair value in real time, allowing users to see how changes in these assumptions affect the company’s fair value. DCF = (Sum of (FCF × (1 + FCF-G) ^ t ÷ (1 + WACC) ^ t) for each year t until Forecast Period + ((FCF × (1 + FCF-G) ^ Forecast Period × (1 + LT Growth)) ÷ ((WACC - LT Growth) × (1 + WACC) ^ Forecast Period)) + Cash - Debt - Preferred Equity - Minority Interest) ÷ Shares Outstanding EV/REV = ((Revenue × (1 + REV-G) ^ Forecast Period × EV/REV Target) ÷ (1 + WACC) ^ Forecast Period + Cash - Debt - Preferred Equity - Minority Interest) ÷ Shares Outstanding EV/EBITDA = ((EBITDA × (1 + EBITDA-G) ^ Forecast Period × EV/EBITDA Target) ÷ (1 + WACC) ^ Forecast Period + Cash - Debt - Preferred Equity - Minority Interest) ÷ Shares Outstanding P/EPS = (EPS × (1 + EPS-G) ^ Forecast Period × P/EPS Target) ÷ (1 + Cost of Equity) ^ Forecast Period The discounted one-year average analyst price target (1Y PT) is also displayed alongside the valuation labels to provide an overview of consensus estimates. For the DCF model, the terminal long-term FCF growth rate (LT Growth) is based on the selected country to reflect expected long-term nominal GDP growth and can be modified in the menu. For metrics involving FCF, users can choose between reported FCF, calculated as Cash From Operations (CFO) - Capital Expenditures (CAPEX), or standardized FCF, calculated as Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) × (1 - Average Tax Rate) + Depreciation and Amortization - Change in Net Working Capital - CAPEX. Historical average values displayed in the left column of the table are based on Fiscal Year (FY) data, while the latest values in the right column use the most recent Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Fiscal Quarter (FQ) data. The indicator displays color-coded price labels for each fair value estimate, showing the percentage upside or downside from the current price. Green indicates undervaluation, while red indicates overvaluation. The table follows a separate color logic: REV-G, EBITDA-G, EPS-G, FCF-G = Green indicates positive annual growth when the CAGR is positive. Red indicates negative annual growth when the CAGR is negative. EV/REV = Green indicates undervaluation when EV/REV ÷ REV-G is below 1. Red indicates overvaluation when EV/REV ÷ REV-G is above 2. Gray indicates fair value. EV/EBITDA = Green indicates undervaluation when EV/EBITDA ÷ EBITDA-G is below 1. Red indicates overvaluation when EV/EBITDA ÷ EBITDA-G is above 2. Gray indicates fair value. P/EPS = Green indicates undervaluation when P/EPS ÷ EPS-G is below 1. Red indicates overvaluation when P/EPS ÷ EPS-G is above 2. Gray indicates fair value. EBITDA% = Green indicates profitable operations when the EBITDA margin is positive. Red indicates unprofitable operations when the EBITDA margin is negative. FCF% = Green indicates strong cash conversion when FCF/EBITDA > 50%. Red indicates unsustainable FCF when FCF/EBITDA is negative. Gray indicates normal cash conversion. ROIC = Green indicates value creation when ROIC > WACC. Red indicates value destruction when ROIC is negative. Gray indicates positive but insufficient returns. ND/EBITDA = Green indicates low leverage when ND/EBITDA is below 1. Red indicates high leverage when ND/EBITDA is above 3. Gray indicates moderate leverage. YIELD = Green indicates positive shareholder return when Shareholder Yield > 1%. Red indicates negative shareholder return when Shareholder Yield < -1%. The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is calculated as EBIT × (1 - Average Tax Rate) ÷ (Average Debt + Average Equity - Average Cash). Shareholder Yield (YIELD) is calculated as the CAGR of Dividend Yield - Change in Shares Outstanding. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is displayed at the top left of the table and is derived from the current Market Cap (MC), Debt, Cost of Equity, and Cost of Debt. The Cost of Equity is calculated using the Equity Beta, Index Return, and Risk-Free Rate, which are based on the selected country. The Equity Beta (β) is calculated as the 5-year Blume-adjusted beta between the weekly logarithmic returns of the underlying stock and the selected country’s stock market index. For accurate calculations, it is recommended to use the stock ticker listed on the primary exchange corresponding to the company’s main index. Cost of Debt = (Interest Expense on Debt ÷ Average Debt) × (1 - Average Tax Rate) Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Equity Beta (β) × (Index Return - Risk-Free Rate) WACC = (MC ÷ (MC + Debt)) × Cost of Equity + (Debt ÷ (MC + Debt)) × Cost of Debt This indicator works best for operationally stable and profitable companies that are primarily valued based on fundamentals rather than speculative growth, such as those in the industrial, consumer, technology, and healthcare sectors. It is less suitable for early-stage, unprofitable, or highly cyclical companies, including energy, real estate, and financial institutions, as these often have irregular cash flows or distorted balance sheets. It is also worth noting that TradingView’s financial data provider, FactSet, standardizes financial data from official company filings to align with a consistent accounting framework. While this improves comparability across companies, industries, and countries, it may also result in differences from officially reported figures. In summary, the Intrinsic Value Analyzer is a comprehensive valuation tool designed to help long-term investors estimate a company’s fair value while comparing historical averages with the latest values. Fair value estimates are driven by growth forecasts, target multiples, and discount rates, and should always be interpreted within the context of the underlying assumptions. By default, the model applies historical averages and current discount rates, which may not accurately reflect future conditions. Investors are therefore encouraged to adjust inputs in the menu to better understand how changes in these key assumptions influence the company’s fair value.
Pine Script® göstergesi
QuantitativeAlpha tarafından
1
ICT Killzones & MacrosICT Killzones & Macros (v1.1.5) — configurable ICT session windows + refined “macro” windows with live High/Low levels, optional extensions, next-window previews, and lightweight opening-price lines. Built to be clock-robust, timezone-aware, and performant on intraday charts. Tip: All times are interpreted in your chosen IANA timezone (default: America/New_York) and auto-handle DST. You can rename, recolor, enable/disable, and retime every window. What it plots - Killzones (5) : Asia (19:00–02:00), London (02:00–05:00), NY AM (07:00–09:30), London Close (10:00–12:00), NY PM (13:30–16:00) — full-height boxes with optional header. - Macros (8) (defaults tailored for common ICT “refined” windows): Asia-1 (18:00–21:00), Asia-2 (21:00–00:00), London-1 (01:00–04:00), AM-1 (09:45–10:15), AM-2 (10:45–11:15), Lunch (12:00–13:00), PM-1 (13:30–14:30), Power Hour (15:10–16:00). - Live High/Low lines for the current Macro/Killzone window. - Optional HL extension to the right until price crosses or the trading day rolls (style selectable). - “Next” previews : earliest upcoming Macro and Killzone header; optional next-window background band. - Opening Prices (3 lightweight time lines) : defaults 00:00, 08:30, 09:30 with right-edge labels, scoped to a session you choose (auto-cleans at session end). - Key inputs & styling - General : Timezone (IANA), “Sessions to show” (per window) to keep only the last N completed windows. - Header : height (ticks), gap (ticks), fill opacity, border width/style, text size/color, toggle “Next Macro/Killzone” headers. - Boxes : global fill opacity, global border width/style (used by both Macros & Killzones). - High/Low : show HL, HL line style, extend on/off + extension style, optional extension labels. - Opening Prices : enable Time 1/2/3, set HH:MM for each, session window, per-line colors, style (dotted/dashed/solid), width. - Per-window controls : each Macro/Killzone has Enable, Session (HHMM-HHMM), Label, Fill color. How to use (quick start) - Set Timezone to your preference (default America/New_York). - Toggle on the Macros and Killzones you trade. Adjust session times if needed. - (Optional) Turn on Extend High/Low to project levels until crossed/day-roll. - (Optional) Enable Next… headers to see the next upcoming window at a glance. - (Optional) Configure Opening Prices (00:00 / 08:30 / 09:30 by default) and the session over which they appear. Behavior & notes - Time windows are computed by clock, not by guessing bar timestamps, making them robust across brokers and timeframes. - With HL extension on, the current window’s levels extend until crossed or the end of the trading day (in your timezone). With it off, completed windows keep static HL markers (limited by “Sessions to show”). - “Sessions to show” applies per Macro/Killzone to automatically prune older windows and keep charts snappy. - Opening-price lines exist only within the chosen “Opening Prices Session” and are removed when it ends (keeps charts clean). Defaults (color cues) Killzones: Asia (blue), London (purple), NY AM (green), London Close (yellow), NY PM (orange). Macros: neutral greys with Lunch and PM accents out of the box (all customizable). Performance tips - Reduce “Sessions to show” if you scroll far back in history. - Disable “Next…” previews and/or extension labels on very slow machines. - Narrow the “Opening Prices Session” window to exactly when you need those lines. Changelog highlights - v1.1.5 : Internal refinements and stability. - v1.1.3 : Live High/Low lines for current windows + optional extension. - v1.1.2 : Added “next Killzone” preview (to match “next Macro”). - v1.1.0 : Defaults updated (5 KZ, 8 Macros). Removed “snap-to-killzone” behavior. - v1.0.0 : Independent Macro vs. Killzone rendering; cleaner header logic. - Known limitations If your chart warns about drawings, trim “Sessions to show”. If your broker session times differ from NY hours, adjust the sessions or change the indicator timezone. Credits & intent Inspired by ICT timing concepts; provided for education/mark-up, not financial advice. Built to be flexible so you can mirror your personal playbook and journaling workflow.
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RuntimeRascal tarafından
1
Optimum EMAs x3Function Review Optimum EMAs x3 scores EMA-price reactions via bullish/bearish percentages. Plots test (purple), bull/bear fast/medium/slow EMAs with toggles/individual colors, three adjustable gradient fills, and reaction table for multi-band analysis. Usage Write-Up Set fast (5-15), medium (10-20), slow (15-30) ranges per strategy. Test values via Test EMA for peak scores. Input optima to bull/bear fast/medium/slow for reactive three-band envelope (bullish supports, bearish resistances), refining signals in varied trends.
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scottdog_ tarafından
Optimum EMAs x2Function Review Optimum EMAs assesses EMA-price interactions by scoring reaction percentages for bullish/bearish touches. Creates EMA bands (top: most reactive bearish EMA as resistance; bottom: most reactive bullish EMA as support) with customizable test/bull/bear fast/slow EMAs, toggles, adjustable colors/gradients, and reaction table. Usage Write-Up Define fast (e.g., 5-15) and slow (e.g., 15-30) EMA ranges based on strategy. Scan with Test EMA for high reaction scores. Set optima in Bull/Bear Fast/Slow inputs to form reactive EMA bands (bullish top support, bearish bottom resistance), enhancing trend signals in bull/bear markets.
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scottdog_ tarafından
Advanced RSI with Divergence RCT This indicator provides a comprehensive RSI analysis tool by combining the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a smoothing Simple Moving Average (SMA), clearly defined overbought/oversold zones, and an advanced divergence detection engine. --- Key Features --- 1. RSI with SMA: Plots the standard RSI along with a user-defined SMA of the RSI. This helps to smooth out price action and confirm the underlying trend, identifying potential buy/sell signals on crossovers. 2. Overbought/Oversold Levels: Highlights the extreme zones with dotted horizontal lines at 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold), providing clear visual cues for potential market reversals. 3. Advanced Divergence Detection: Automatically identifies and plots both regular and hidden divergences (bullish and bearish) directly on the chart. This helps traders spot potential reversals that are not obvious from price action alone. --- How to Use --- - Trend Confirmation: When the RSI crosses above its SMA, it can signal a strengthening bullish trend. A cross below can signal a strengthening bearish trend. - Reversal Zones: When the RSI enters the overbought zone (>80) or oversold zone (<20), traders may watch for a reversal in price. - Divergence Signals: - A Bullish Divergence (green label 'R') occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the RSI makes a higher low, suggesting downward momentum is fading. - A Bearish Divergence (red label 'R') occurs when the price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high, suggesting upward momentum is fading. - Hidden Divergences ('H' labels) can indicate the continuation of an existing trend. --- Disclaimer --- This script is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
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CARLOSVIZCARRA17 tarafından
MNQ TopStep 50K | Ultra Quality v3.0MNQ TopStep 50K | Ultra Quality v3.0 - Publish Summary 📊 Overview A professional-grade trading indicator designed specifically for MNQ futures traders using TopStep funded accounts. Combines 7 technical confirmations with 5 advanced safety filters to deliver high-quality trade signals while managing drawdown risk. 🎯 Key Features Core Signal System 7-Point Confirmation: VWAP, EMA crossovers, 15-min HTF trend, MACD, RSI, ADX, and Volume Signal Grading: Each signal is rated A+ through D based on 7 quality factors Quality Threshold: Adjustable minimum grade requirement (A+, A, B, C, D) Advanced Safety Filters (Customizable) Mean Reversion Filter - Prevents chasing extended moves beyond VWAP bands ATR Spike Filter - Avoids trading during extreme volatility events EMA Spacing Filter - Ensures proper trend separation (optional) Momentum Filter - Requires consecutive directional bars (optional) Multi-Timeframe Confirmation - Aligns with 15-min trend (optional) TopStep Risk Management Real-time drawdown tracking Position sizing calculator based on remaining cushion Daily loss limit monitoring Consecutive loss protection Max trades per day limiter Visual Components VWAP with 1σ, 2σ, 3σ bands EMA 9/21 with cloud fill 15-min EMA 50 for HTF trend Comprehensive metrics dashboard Risk management panel Filter status panel Detailed trade labels with entry, stops, and targets ⚙️ Default Settings (Balanced for Regular Signals) Technical Indicators Fast EMA: 9 | Slow EMA: 21 | HTF EMA: 50 (15-min) MACD: 10/22/9 RSI: 14 period | Thresholds: 52 (buy) / 48 (sell) ADX: 14 period | Minimum: 20 ATR: 14 period | Stop: 2x | TP1: 2x | TP2: 3x Volume: 1.2x average required Session Settings Default: 9:30 AM - 11:30 AM ET (adjustable) Avoids first 15 minutes after market open Customizable trading hours Safety Filters (Default Configuration) ✅ Mean Reversion: Enabled (2.5σ max from VWAP) ✅ ATR Spike: Enabled (2.0x threshold) ❌ EMA Spacing: Disabled (can enable for quality) ❌ Momentum: Disabled (can enable for quality) ❌ MTF Confirmation: Disabled (can enable for quality) Risk Controls Minimum Signal Quality: C (adjustable to A+ for fewer/better signals) Min Bars Between Signals: 10 Max Trades Per Day: 5 Stop After Consecutive Losses: 2 📈 Expected Performance With Default Settings: Signals per week: 10-15 trades Estimated win rate: 55-60% Risk-Reward: 1:2 (TP1) and 1:3 (TP2) With Aggressive Settings (Min Quality = D, All Filters Off): Signals per week: 20-25 trades Estimated win rate: 50-55% With Conservative Settings (Min Quality = A, All Filters On): Signals per week: 3-5 trades Estimated win rate: 65-70% 🚀 How to Use Basic Setup: Add indicator to MNQ 5-minute chart Adjust TopStep account settings in inputs Set your risk per trade percentage (default: 0.5%) Configure trading session hours Set minimum signal quality (Start with C for balanced results) Signal Interpretation: Green Triangle (BUY): Long signal - all confirmations aligned Red Triangle (SELL): Short signal - all confirmations aligned Label Details: Shows entry, stop loss, take profit levels, position size, and signal grade Signal Grade: A+ = Elite (6-7 points) | A = Strong (5) | B = Good (4) | C = Fair (3) Dashboard Monitoring: Top Right: Technical metrics and market conditions Top Left: Filter status (which filters are passing/blocking) Bottom Right: TopStep risk metrics and position sizing ⚡ Customization Tips For More Signals: Lower "Minimum Signal Quality" to D Decrease ADX threshold to 18-20 Lower RSI thresholds to 50/50 Reduce Volume multiplier to 1.1x Disable additional filters For Higher Quality (Fewer Signals): Raise "Minimum Signal Quality" to A or A+ Increase ADX threshold to 25-30 Enable all 5 advanced filters Tighten VWAP distance to 2.0σ Increase momentum requirement to 3-4 bars For TopStep Compliance: Adjust "Max Total Drawdown" and "Daily Loss Limit" to match your account Update "Already Used Drawdown" daily Monitor the Risk Panel for cushion remaining Use recommended contract sizing 🛡️ Risk Disclaimer IMPORTANT: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results All trading involves substantial risk of loss Use proper risk management and position sizing Test thoroughly in paper trading before live use The indicator does not guarantee profitable trades Adjust settings based on your risk tolerance and trading style Always comply with your broker's and TopStep's rules
Pine Script® göstergesi
elivgorelick tarafından
3
Crypto ETFs AUM📘 Description: BTC ETFs AUM Tracker This indicator tracks the Assets Under Management (AUM) and daily inflows/outflows of the main U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs, allowing you to visualize institutional capital movement into Bitcoin products over time. It helps traders correlate institutional capital movement with Bitcoin price behavior. 🧩 Overview The script adds up the daily AUM changes from selected Bitcoin ETFs to estimate the total net inflow/outflow of capital into spot BTC funds. It also accumulates those flows over time to display the total aggregated AUM balance, giving you a clearer sense of market direction and institutional sentiment. Two display modes are available: Balance view: plots the cumulative sum of net inflows (total ETF AUM). Inflows view: shows daily inflows (green) and outflows (red) as histogram columns, together with a smoothed moving average line. ⚙️ Inputs Explained Base Settings Base Multiplier (base_multi) – Scaling factor applied to all AUM values. Leave at 1 for USD units, or adjust to display values in millions (1e6) or billions (1e9). Smoothing (c_smoothing) – Period length for the simple moving average used to calculate the smoothed mean inflow/outflow line. Show Balance (showBalance) – When enabled, displays the total cumulative AUM balance (sum of all net inflows over time). Show Inflows (showInflows) – When enabled, displays the daily inflows/outflows as colored columns. ETF Selection You can toggle which ETFs are included in the calculation: BIT (BlackRock) GBTC (Grayscale) FBTC (Fidelity) ARKB (ARK/21Shares) BITB (Bitwise) EZBC (Franklin Templeton) BTCW (WisdomTree) BTCO (Invesco Galaxy) BRRR (Valkyrie) HODL (VanEck) Each switch determines whether the ETF’s AUM and daily flow data are included in the total calculation. 📊 Displayed Values Green Columns → Positive daily net inflows (AUM increased). Red Columns → Negative daily net outflows (AUM decreased). Orange Line → Smoothed moving average of net flows, used to identify persistent inflow/outflow trends. Blue Line (if enabled) → Total cumulative AUM balance (sum of all historical flows). 💡 Usage Notes Works best on daily timeframe, since ETF data is typically updated once per trading day. Not all ETFs have identical data history; missing data points are automatically skipped. The indicator doesn’t represent official fund NAV or guarantee data accuracy — it visualizes TradingView’s public financial feed. You can combine this tool with price action or on-chain metrics to analyze institutional Bitcoin flows. Note: Some ETF data may not be available to all users depending on their TradingView data subscription or market access. Missing values are automatically skipped. 🧠 Disclaimer This script is for educational and analytical purposes only. It is not financial advice, and no investment decisions should be based solely on this indicator. Data accuracy depends on TradingView’s financial data sources and exchange reporting frequency.
Pine Script® göstergesi
mks17 tarafından
2
Global Risk Terminal – Multi-Asset Macro Sentiment IndicatorDescription: The Global Risk Terminal is a sophisticated macro sentiment indicator that synthesizes signals from three key cross-asset relationships to produce a single, actionable risk appetite score. It is designed to help traders and investors identify whether global markets are in a risk-on (growth-seeking) or risk-off (defensive) regime. The indicator analyzes the behavior of commodities, equities, bonds, and currencies to generate a comprehensive view of market conditions. Indicator Output: The Global Risk Terminal produces a normalized risk score ranging from -1 to +1: Positive values indicate risk-on conditions (growth assets favored) Negative values indicate risk-off conditions (safe-haven assets favored) Core Components: Growth Pulse (Copper to Gold Ratio, HG/GC) Purpose: Measures investor preference for industrial growth versus safe-haven assets. Interpretation: Rising ratio → Copper outperforming gold → Risk-on environment Falling ratio → Gold outperforming copper → Risk-off environment Flat ratio → Transitional market phase Technical Implementation: Dual moving average slope method (fast MA default 20, slow MA default 40). Positive slope = +1, negative slope = -1, flat slope = 0 Equity Rotation (Russell 2000 to S&P 500 Ratio, RTY/ES) Purpose: Tracks rotation between small-cap and large-cap equities, revealing market risk appetite. Interpretation: Rising ratio → Small-caps outperforming → Strong risk-on Falling ratio → Large-caps outperforming → Defensive positioning Technical Implementation: Dual moving average slope method (same as Growth Pulse) Flow Gauge (10-Year Treasury to US Dollar Index, ZN/DXY) Purpose: Captures liquidity conditions and cross-asset capital flows. Interpretation: Rising ratio → Treasury prices rising or USD weakening → Liquidity expansion, risk-on environment Falling ratio → Treasury prices falling or USD strengthening → Liquidity contraction, risk-off environment Technical Implementation: Dual moving average slope method Composite Risk Score Calculation: Analyze each component for trend using dual moving averages Assign signal values: +1 (risk-on), -1 (risk-off), 0 (neutral) Average the three signals: Risk Score = (Growth Pulse + Equity Rotation + Flow Gauge) / 3 Optional smoothing with exponential moving average (default 3 periods) to reduce noise Interpreting the Risk Score: +0.66 to +1.0: Full risk-on – favor cyclical sectors, small-caps, growth strategies +0.33 to +0.66: Moderate risk-on – mostly bullish environment, watch for fading momentum -0.33 to +0.33: Neutral/transition – markets in flux, signals mixed, exercise caution -0.66 to -0.33: Cautious risk-off – favor defensive sectors, reduce high-beta exposure -1.0 to -0.66: Full risk-off – strong defensive positioning, prioritize safe-haven assets How to Use the Global Risk Terminal to Frame Trades: Aligning Trades with Market Regime Risk-On (+0.33 and above): Look for buying opportunities in cyclical stocks, high-beta equities, commodities, and emerging markets. Use long entries for swing trades or intraday positions, following confirmed price action. Risk-Off (-0.33 and below): Shift focus to defensive sectors, large-cap quality stocks, U.S. Treasuries, and safe-haven currencies. Prefer short entries or reduced exposure in risky assets. Entry and Exit Framing Use the risk score as a macro filter before executing trades: Example: The risk score is +0.7 (strong risk-on). Prefer long positions in equities or commodities that are showing bullish confirmation on your regular chart. Conversely, if the risk score is -0.7 (strong risk-off), avoid aggressive longs and consider short or defensive trades. Watch for threshold crossings (+/-0.33, +/-0.66) as potential inflection points for adjusting position size, stop-loss levels, or sector rotation. Confirming Trade Decisions Combine the Global Risk Terminal with price action, volume, and trend indicators: If equities rally but the risk score is declining, this may indicate a fragile rally driven by few leaders—trade cautiously. If equities fall but the risk score is rising, consider counter-trend entries or buying dips. Risk Management and Position Sizing Strong alignment across components → increase position size and hold with wider stops Mixed or neutral signals → reduce exposure, tighten stops, or avoid new trades Defensive regimes → rotate into stable, low-volatility assets and increase cash buffer Framing Trades Across Timeframes Use the indicator as a strategic guide rather than a precise timing tool. Even without the MTF table: Daily trend alignment → Guide swing trade bias Shorter timeframe price action → Refine entry points and stop placement Example: Daily chart shows +0.6 risk score → identify high-probability long setups using intraday technical patterns (breakouts, trend continuation). Sector and Asset Rotation Risk-On: Focus on cyclical sectors (financials, industrials, materials, energy), small-caps, high-beta instruments Risk-Off: Focus on defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, healthcare), large-caps, safe-haven instruments Alert Integration Set alerts on the risk score to notify you when markets move from neutral to risk-on or risk-off regimes. Use these alerts to plan entries, exits, or portfolio adjustments in advance. Customization Options: Moving Average Length (5–100): Adjust sensitivity of trend detection Score Smoothing (1–10): Reduce noise or see raw risk score Visual Themes: Six preset themes (Cyber, Ocean, Sunset, Monochrome, Matrix, Custom) Display Options: Show or hide component dashboards, main header, risk level lines, gradient fill, and component signals Label Size: Tiny, Small, Normal, Large Alert Conditions: Risk score crosses above +0.66 → Strong risk-on Risk score crosses below -0.66 → Strong risk-off Risk score crosses zero → Neutral line Risk score crosses above +0.33 → Moderate risk-on Risk score crosses below -0.33 → Moderate risk-off Data Sources: HG1! – Copper Futures (COMEX) GC1! – Gold Futures (COMEX) RTY1! – Russell 2000 E-mini Futures (CME) ES1! – S&P 500 E-mini Futures (CME) ZN1! – 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures (CBOT) DXY – U.S. Dollar Index (ICE) Notes and Limitations: Works best during clear macro regimes and aligned trends Use with price action, volume, and other technical tools Not a standalone trading system; serves as a macro context filter Equal weighting assumes all three components are equally important, but market conditions may vary Past performance does not guarantee future results Conclusion: The Global Risk Terminal consolidates complex cross-asset signals into a simple, actionable score that informs market regime, portfolio positioning, sector rotation, and trading decisions. Its user-friendly layout and extensive customization options make it suitable for traders of all experience levels seeking macro-driven insights. By framing trades around risk score thresholds and combining macro context with tactical execution, traders can identify higher-probability opportunities and optimize position sizing, entries, and exits across a wide range of market conditions.
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joeljohnrussell tarafından
“VWAP Precision Suite — EMA Cloud + RTH Anchored Zones”🧠 “VWAP Precision Suite — EMA Cloud + RTH Anchored Zones” (Alternative titles for testing engagement) “VWAP Zone Pro — EMA Cloud + RTH Levels” “VWAP Fusion System — EMA Bias & Daily Anchors” “Session Flow Pro — VWAP + EMA Trend Matrix” 📜 Description 🔹 Overview The VWAP Precision Suite is an all-in-one market structure indicator built for intra-day precision and trend confirmation. It combines institutional-grade tools — VWAP bands, EMA trend zones, and RTH high/low anchors — to help traders identify momentum shifts, session extremes, and volume-weighted fair value zones in real time. Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or futures/day trader, this tool adapts to any trading style with fully customizable inputs. ⚙️ Core Features ✅ Dynamic VWAP Bands — plots ±1/2 ATR deviation zones around the VWAP for intraday fair-value mean reversion and trend extension tracking. ✅ EMA Cloud Zone (9/21 by default) — identifies short-term bias shifts using a color-coded cloud between EMAs. ✅ RTH High/Low Mapping — tracks live session high/low levels plus the previous day’s anchors. ✅ Anchored VWAP (Daily Reset) — plots rolling session VWAP using volume-weighted price action for precision mean tracking. ✅ Trend Color Background — visually highlights bias direction for quick momentum reads. ✅ Customizable Everything — modify EMA lengths, VWAP ATR multipliers, visibility toggles, and background colors to fit your playbook. 🧩 Suggested Starter Settings Use these settings to begin, then fine-tune to your strategy: Setting Recommended Description VWAP Bands ✅ On ±1×ATR for precision zones EMA Zone ✅ On Fast EMA: 9 / Slow EMA: 21 Anchored VWAP ✅ On Daily reset for new session RTH High/Low ✅ On Shows live and prior session levels Trend Background ✅ On Visual bias filter Color Scheme Green = Bullish Bias / Red = Bearish Bias 💡 Tip: Scalpers can tighten ATR multipliers (0.8–1.2). Swing traders can widen ATR multipliers (1.5–2.0). Adjust EMA 9/21 to faster (5/13) or slower (20/50) based on volatility. 📊 Use Case Examples 📈 Fade the VWAP deviation band and ride back to mean. 🔁 Trade reversals using EMA cloud color flips. 🕒 Mark confluence between Anchored VWAP + RTH highs/lows for breakout zones. 💹 Combine with order-flow or volume profile for higher conviction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk and may result in losses. The author is not responsible for any financial decisions made using this tool. Always use sound risk management and back test before trading live. © 2025. All rights reserved. Redistribution or resale of this indicator, in full or in part, is strictly prohibited without the author’s written consent.
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TradeswithB tarafından
Reversal Nexus Pro Suite — Smart Scalper/Swing Trader/Hybrid 📝 Description The Reversal Suite (5–15m) is a dynamic price-action-driven indicator built for scalpers and intraday traders who want to catch high-probability reversals with precision. This system combines SFP (Swing Failure Patterns), Volume Climax filters, EMA bias, and momentum confirmation logic — all customizable to match your personal trading style. The default configuration is tuned for NASDAQ futures (NQ1!) and similar indices on 5–15-minute charts, but it can adapt seamlessly to crypto, forex, and equities. ⚙️ How It Works The indicator looks for exhaustion points in price where: Volume Climax confirms liquidity sweeps, EMA bias determines directional filters (single or dual-EMA), Reclaim and rejection mechanics confirm structure shifts, Momentum thrust ensures strength on reversal confirmation. Each setup requires multi-factor alignment to reduce noise and increase signal precision. 🧩 Default Custom Settings (Recommended Start) Setting Value Description Mode Custom Enables full manual control Signals must align within N bars 6 Forces confluence across recent bars TP1 / TP2 (R-Multiples) 1.5 / 2.5 Default reward zones RSI Divergence Enabled Adds secondary reversal confirmation Volume Climax Enabled Detects high-volume exhaustion Vol SMA Length 21 Volume baseline calculation Climax ≥ k × SMA 7 Strength multiplier for volume spikes EMA Length 200 Trend bias reference Bias Both Allows both long and short setups Dual EMA Bias Enabled Uses fast (21) vs slow (100) bias tracking Min Distance from EMA Bias 2.55% Filter to avoid signals too close to MAs Reclaim Buffer After Sweep 0.22% Ensures valid break-and-reclaim setups Max Bars for Retest 1 Tight retest condition Momentum Thrust Confirm Enabled Ensures volume and price thrust Body ≥ ATR -6 Controls candle thrust sizing TR SMA Length 20 Measures dynamic volatility Body ≥ k × TR-SMA -4.4 Confirms structure-based rejection Opposite-Signal Exit Enabled Auto-clears opposite signals Opposite Signal Window 5 bars Short-term conflict filter Swing Lookback (SFP) 2 Finds recent liquidity highs/lows Cooldown Bars After Signal 8 Prevents over-triggering 🟢 Inputs are fully adjustable, so traders can optimize for: Scalping (lower EMA, smaller swing lookback) Swing trading (higher EMA, larger retest window) Aggressive vs conservative confirmations 🧭 Recommended Use Works best on 5m–15m timeframes Pair with VWAP or EMA cloud overlays for directional context Use Trend Guard to align only with higher-timeframe trend Ideal for indices, forex majors, and large-cap stocks 🚀 Highlights ✅ Smart confluence-based reversal detection ✅ Built-in retest and rejection logic ✅ Dual EMA and volume climax filters ✅ Customizable momentum thrust confirmation ✅ Optimized for scalpers and intraday swing traders 🧱 Suggested Layout Chart type: Candlestick Timeframe: 5m or 15m Overlay: VWAP / EMA Cloud / ORB Zone Optional filters: ATR Bands, Volume Profile (VPVR), Session Boxes ⚠️ Disclaimer The Reversal Nexus Pro indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any financial instrument. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always perform your own analysis and use proper risk management before placing any trades. The author of this script is not responsible for any financial losses or decisions made based on the use of this tool. By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you understand these terms and accept full responsibility for your own trading results. © 2025. All rights reserved. Redistribution or resale of this indicator, in full or in part, is strictly prohibited without the author’s written consent.
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TradeswithB tarafından