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cd_VW_Cx IMPROVED - Quant VWAP System: Regime, Magnets & Z-ScoQuant VWAP System: Regime, Magnets & Z-Score Matrix This indicator is a comprehensive Quantitative Trading System designed to move beyond simple support and resistance. Instead of static lines, it uses Statistical Probability (Z-Score) and Standard Deviation to define the current market regime, identify institutional value zones, and project high-probability liquidity targets. It is engineered for Day Traders and Scalpers (Crypto & Futures) who need to know if the market is Trending, Ranging, or preparing for a Breakout. 1. The "Regime" System (Standard Deviation Bands) The core engine anchors a VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) to your chosen timeframe (Daily, Weekly, or Monthly) and projects volatility bands based on market variance. The Trend Zone (Inner Band / 1.0 SD): This is the "Fair Value" zone. In a healthy trend, price will pull back into this zone and hold. A hold here signals a high-probability continuation (Trend Following). The Reversion Zone (Outer Band / 2.0 SD): This represents a statistical extreme. Price rarely sustains movement beyond 2 Standard Deviations without a reversion. A touch of this band signals "Overbought" or "Oversold" conditions. 2. Liquidity Magnets (Virgin VWAPs) The script automatically tracks "Unvisited VWAPs" from previous sessions. These are price levels where significant volume occurred but have not yet been re-tested. The Logic: Algorithms often target these "open loops." The script visualizes them as Blue Dashed Lines with price tags. Smart Scaling (Anti-Scrunch): Includes a custom "Ghost Engine" that automatically hides or "ghosts" magnets that are too far away. This prevents your chart from being squashed (scrunched) on lower timeframes, keeping your candles perfectly readable while still tracking targets in the background. 3. The Quant Matrix (Dashboard) A real-time Heads-Up Display (HUD) that interprets the data for you: Regime: Detects Volatility Squeezes. If the bands compress, it signals "⚠ SQUEEZE", warning you to stop mean-reversion trading and prepare for an explosive breakout. Bias: Color-coded Trend Direction (Bullish/Bearish) based on VWAP slope. Signal: actionable text prompts such as "BUY DIP" (Trend Following), "FADE EXT" (Mean Reversion), or "PREP BREAK" (Squeeze). 4. Visual Intelligence Bold Day Separators: Clear, vertical dotted dividers with Date Stamps to instantly separate trading sessions. Dynamic Labels: Floating labels on the right axis identify exactly which deviation level is which, preventing chart confusion. How to Use Strategy A: The Trend Pullback (continuation) Check Matrix: Ensure Bias is BULLISH (Green). Wait: Allow price to pull back into the Inner Band (Dark Green Zone). Trigger: If price holds the Center VWAP or the -1.0 SD line, enter Long. Target: The next Liquidity Magnet above or the +2.0 SD band. Strategy B: The Reversion Fade (Counter-Trend) Check Matrix: Ensure price is labeled "EXTREME" or Signal says "FADE EXT". Trigger: Price touches or pierces the Outer Band (2.0 SD). Action: Enter counter-trend (Short) with a target back to the Center VWAP (Mean Reversion). Strategy C: The Magnet Target Identify a "MAGNET" line (Blue Dashed) near current price. These act as high-probability Take Profit levels. Price will often rush to these levels to "close the loop" before reversing. Settings Anchor: Daily (default), Weekly, or Monthly. Magnet Focus Range: Adjusts how aggressively the script hides distant magnets to fix chart scaling (Default: 2%). Visuals: Fully customizable colors, label sizes, and dashboard position.
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CustomQuantLabs tarafından
1
deKoder | Business Cycle vs BitcoinThis indicator overlays Bitcoin's detrended momentum with the US ISM Manufacturing PMI (a key business cycle proxy) to visually dissect the relationship between crypto cycles and broader economic health. Inspired by ongoing debates in crypto macro analysis (e.g., "Is there a 4-year halving cycle, or is it just the business cycle?" ), it highlights potential lead-lag dynamics - challenging the popular view that PMI strictly leads Bitcoin rallies and tops. Key Features • BTC Momentum Wave (Yellow/Orange Line): Detrended deviation from Bitcoin's long-term "fair value" (24-month SMA). Formula: ((close / sma(close, 24)) * 100 - 100) * 0.15 - Positive (yellow): BTC overvalued relative to trend | bullish momentum - Negative (orange): Undervalued relative to trend | bearish momentum • PMI Wave (Teal/Red Line): ISM Manufacturing PMI centered at zero (raw PMI - 50, scaled ×3 for alignment). - Positive (teal): Expansion (>50 raw) — economic tailwinds. - Negative (red): Contraction (<50 raw) — headwinds, often linked to risk-off in assets. • S&P 500 Momentum (White Line, Optional): Similar deviation for SPX, showing how equities bridge BTC's volatility and PMI's smoothness. • Divergence Highlights (Bar & Background Colors): - Teal/Green Zones : BTC momentum positive while PMI negative → BTC signaling early recovery (potential lead by 1-3+ months at bottoms). - Maroon/Red Zones : BTC momentum negative while PMI positive → BTC warning of rollovers (early bear signals). - Neutral: No color — aligned cycles. • Overlaid SMA on Price Chart : 24-month SMA for BTC (teal when price above, red when below) — quick fair value reference. How to Interpret: Does BTC Lead the Business Cycle? The chart flips the common meme ( "No 4-year cycle, it's just the business cycle" ) by visually emphasising BTC's potential as a forward-looking signal . Historical cycles (2013–2025) show: • BTC Leads at Bottoms : E.g., 2018–2019 and 2022 troughs — BTC momentum crosses positive 2–4 months before PMI, as speculative traders price in liquidity easing/recoveries ahead of manufacturing data. • Coincident or BTC-Led at Tops : Peaks align closely (e.g., 2017, 2021), with PMI rollovers often coinciding or slightly leading the initial BTC euphoria fade. BTC then rolls over before PMI confirms later. • Why? Markets are anticipatory (6–12 months forward), while PMI is a lagged survey snapshot. BTC, as a high-beta risk asset, amplifies early sentiment shifts before they hit factory orders/employment. Inputs & Customization • BTC Source (Default: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD) • Fair Value MA Length (Default: 24 months) • Show S&P (Default: False) • PMI Multiplier (Default: 3.0) • BTC Momentum Multiplier (Default: 0.15) • Cap BTC Momentum at ±100 (Default: True) • Toggle Early Cross Arrows, Bar/Background Deviation Colors, Difference Histogram
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FR33FA11 tarafından
NeuralFlow Forecast Levels - User InputsThis is a companion indicator that plots AI-adaptive market equilibrium and expansion mapping levels directly on the SPY chart. NeuralFlow Forecast Levels are generated through a Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify: Where price is statistically inclined to re-balance Where expansion zones historically exhaust rather than extend This is structure mapping, not prediction. ...................................................................................... What the Bands Represent? AI Equilibrium (white core) Primary weekly balance zone where price is most likely to mean-revert. Predictive Rails (aqua / purple) High-confidence corridor of institutional flow containment. Outer Zones (green / red) Expansion limits where continuation historically begins to decay. Extreme Zones (top / bottom) Rare deviation envelope where auction completion is statistically favored. .The engine updates only when underlying structure changes — not when candles fluctuate intraday. ................................................................................................................. Usage Context These levels are contextual reference zones, not entry signals. They are designed to answer: Where does price matter? Where does continuation weaken? Where does balance statistically reassert itself? Risk Disclaimer Educational and analytical use only. Not financial advice.
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NeuralMarkets tarafından
EMA 1 & SALMA Intersection StrategyTrading Strategy: EMA 1 & SALMA Crossover System This strategy is a Trend-Following system that focuses on the direct interaction between the price (represented by EMA 1) and a smoothed trendline (SALMA). Instead of relying on the color changes of the indicator, it uses mechanical crossover signals to enter and exit trades. 1. Indicators Used EMA 1 (Exponential Moving Average): Since the period is 1, it effectively represents the Current Price. It reacts instantly to every market move. SALMA v3.0 (Smoothed Adaptive Lattice Moving Average): A double-smoothed moving average that acts as the "Base Line" or "Trend Support/Resistance." RSI (Relative Strength Index): Used as a Momentum Filter to ensure we don't trade against the market's strength. 2. Buy (Long) Entry Rules You enter a Long position when the following conditions are met: The Crossover: The EMA 1 (Price) crosses ABOVE the SALMA line. This indicates that the short-term momentum is shifting higher than the average trend. The Filter (RSI): The RSI must be above 50. This confirms that the buyers are in control and the upward move has enough strength. 3. Sell (Short) Entry Rules You enter a Short position when the following conditions are met: The Crossunder: The EMA 1 (Price) crosses BELOW the SALMA line. This indicates a breakdown in price action. The Filter (RSI): The RSI must be below 50. This confirms that the sellers are dominating and the downward momentum is real. 4. Key Advantages of This System Objectivity: You don't guess based on the color of the line; you wait for a clear physical break (cross) of the line. Precision: By using EMA 1, you get the earliest possible entry signal compared to slower moving averages. False Signal Protection: The RSI 50 filter prevents you from entering "weak" trades where the price crosses the line but lacks the volume or momentum to continue.
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Oguzbey07 tarafından
Continuous Round Number LevelsWhat the Indicator Does: This indicator draws red horizontal lines on the chart at every round price level – that is, prices ending with 00, 000, or other round numbers according to the roundStep setting. How It Works: The indicator checks the visible price range on the chart, based on the number of bars defined (lookbackBars). It calculates the nearest round price levels within this range – both the lowest and highest visible prices. For each round level within the range, it creates a red horizontal line that extends both forward and backward across the chart (extend.both). The lines update automatically when you scroll the chart or when the market price changes, so you always see the relevant round levels. Benefits: Provides a clear visual of round number levels, which often act as natural support or resistance zones in trading. Lines are visible across the entire chart, making it easy to see where price may pause or reverse. Adjustable for different assets by changing the roundStep. Real-time updating ensures the lines always match the visible price range. In short, this indicator makes it easy to identify natural support and resistance levels visually, with continuous lines across the chart, helping you make more precise trading decisions. If you like, Your Majesty, I can also create an advanced version with Decision Zones around each round level, so you have safe entry zones for trades rather than just a single line. Do you want me to do that?
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nirree11 tarafından
NeuralFlow Forecast Levels | SPY WeeklyThis is a companion script that plots AI-adaptive market equilibrium & expansion mapping levels for SPY on chart. NeuralFlow Forecast levels are generated though a Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify where price is statistically inclined to re-balance and where expansion zones historically exhaust rather than extend. What the Bands Represent Band Layer Meaning AI Equilibrium (white core) Primary weekly balance zone where price is most likely to mean-revert Predictive Rails (aqua / purple) High-confidence corridor of institutional flow containment Outer Zones (green / red) Expansion limits where continuation historically decays Extreme Zones (top/bottom) Rare deviation envelope where auction completion is statistically favored NeuralFlow operates Artificial Intelligence models trained specifically to map statistical re-balancing behavior, not trader predictions or sentiment. No discretionary drawing. No correlations. No lagging overlays. This engine updates only when underlying structure changes — not when candles fluctuate intraday. Risk: Educational & analytical use only. Not financial advice
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NeuralMarkets tarafından
Pre-Market + Daily + Weekly REGULAR HOURS 📦 Pre-Market + Daily + Weekly RTH Range Boxes This indicator automatically plots Pre-Market, Daily, and Weekly range boxes based strictly on US Regular Trading Hours (RTH). What it does: Pre-Market Box (04:00–09:30) Captures the full pre-market high and low, then projects the range forward from the RTH open. Daily RTH Box (09:30–16:00) Tracks the previous day’s regular session high and low and plots the range starting at 04:00 AM the next day. Weekly RTH Box (Mon–Fri, 09:30–16:00) Accumulates the full weekly RTH range and plots it at 04:00 AM on Monday.
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MASTER4U tarafından
NeuralFlow Forecast Levels| NIFTY WeeklyThis is a companion script that plots AI-adaptive market equilibrium & expansion mapping levels on chart. NeuralFlow Forecast levels are generated though a Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify where price is statistically inclined to re-balance and where expansion zones historically exhaust rather than extend. What the Bands Represent Band Layer Meaning AI Equilibrium (white core) Primary weekly balance zone where price is most likely to mean-revert Predictive Rails (aqua / purple) High-confidence corridor of institutional flow containment Outer Zones (green / red) Expansion limits where continuation historically decays Extreme Zones (top/bottom) Rare deviation envelope where auction completion is statistically favored NeuralFlow operates Artificial Intelligence models trained specifically to map statistical re-balancing behavior, not trader predictions or sentiment. No discretionary drawing. No correlations. No lagging overlays. This engine updates only when underlying structure changes — not when candles fluctuate intraday. Risk: Educational & analytical use only. Not financial advice
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NeuralMarkets tarafından
sullaojo 3mHere is the English translation for the alert setup instructions: **How to Set Up Alerts (After Adding the Code)** 1. Click the **Add to chart** button to apply the indicator to your graph. 2. Click the **Alarm Clock icon (Alerts)** on the top right toolbar of TradingView, or press `Alt + A`. 3. In the **Condition** field: * Select the indicator named **"MA Crossover Buy Alert..."** * Select **"แจ้งเตือนซื้อ (Buy Alert)"** to receive only buy signals. 4. In the **Trigger** (or Options) section: Select **Once per bar close**. *(This is recommended per the textbook to confirm that the closing price actually crossed the line, avoiding false signals during intraday volatility.)* 5. Check **Notify on App** (for mobile) or **Show pop-up** as desired, then click **Create**. Now, when the moving averages cross according to the textbook's conditions, the system will send you an alert immediately!
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sullaojo tarafından
BTC - Metcalfes Law (Deviation)Title: BTC – Metcalfe's Law (Deviation) | RM Overview & Philosophy The BTC – Metcalfe's Law (Deviation) is a fundamental valuation oscillator that answers one of the most important questions in network economics: "Is the current price justified by the number of active users?" Metcalfe's Law states that the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of its connected users (Value = Users squared). In the context of Bitcoin, this means that as the number of active addresses grows linearly, the network's fair value should grow exponentially.This script identifies periods where Bitcoin’s market capitalization has become "overextended" or "undervalued" relative to its actual network activity. Methodology The indicator performs a rolling log-log regression (Ordinary Least Squares) between Bitcoin's Market Cap and its Active Address count over a 730-day (2-year) window. 1. The Regression: The script calculates the statistical relationship: ln(Market Cap) = alpha + beta * ln(Active Addresses) 2. Pure Metcalfe vs. Generalized Metcalfe: • Pure Metcalfe (Beta=2): By default, the script enforces a slope of 2.0, adhering to the classic mathematical law. • Dynamic Fit: Users can disable the "Enforce Metcalfe" setting to let the model find the best historical fit (often resulting in a Beta between 1.5 and 1.8). 3. The Deviation (The Signal): The resulting line represents the Log-Deviation from Fair Value. • A value of 0.0 means Bitcoin is priced exactly according to its network utility. • Positive values indicate a "valuation premium". • Negative values indicate a "valuation discount". How to Read the Chart 🔴 The Red Zone (Overvaluation > 1.0) Meaning: The Market Cap has outpaced the growth of active users. Historically, these peaks represent speculative bubbles or cycle tops where price is driven by hype rather than utility. 🟢 The Green Zone (Undervaluation < -0.25) Meaning: The network is being utilized, but the price has crashed below its fundamental support. Historically, these "Utility Floors" have marked the most profitable accumulation zones in Bitcoin’s history. 🟠 The Orange Line (Fair Value Transition) Meaning: The market is in a healthy growth phase, moving in lockstep with user adoption. Strategy & Interpretation This tool is a Macro Compass . It is designed to help investors stay objective during periods of extreme market emotion. • In a Bull Market: Watch for the deviation to hit the Red Zone. This is your signal that the "Network Utility" can no longer support the price, and a major correction is likely imminent. • In a Bear Market: Look for the "Green Floor." When the price stays below the -0.25 level despite stable user activity, it suggests a massive mismatch between value and price—a classic buy signal. Settings • Regression Window (Default: 730 Days): Chosen to capture mid-to-long term cycle trends. Adjust to shorter timeframes for more dynamic behavior or longer timeframes (like 1460 Days) to catch longer cycles. • Enforce Metcalfe: Toggle between the classic law (Beta=2) and a dynamic fit. • Smoothing: A 30-day SMA is applied to active addresses to filter out daily "jitter." Credits • Robert Metcalfe: For the original law of network utility. • Willy Woo & Greg Wheatley: For their pioneering work in applying Metcalfe's Law specifically to Bitcoin's valuation. Important Data Requirement To function, this indicator requires a data feed for Active Addresses . By default, it is set to GLASSNODE:BTC_ACTIVEADDRESSES . Please Note: On-chain data usually requires a premium vendor subscription on TradingView (e.g., Glassnode, IntoTheBlock, or CryptoQuant). If you do not have a subscription, the indicator will display a "Missing Data" warning. ⚠️ Note: This indicator is optimized for the Daily (1D) Timeframe. Please switch your chart to 1D for accurate signal reading. Disclaimer This script is for research and educational purposes only. It relies on third-party on-chain data. Fundamental valuation is only one piece of the puzzle; market dynamics can remain irrational longer than metrics can predict. Tags bitcoin, btc, on-chain, metcalfe, adoption, fundamental, valuation, active addresses, cycle, Rob Maths
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Rob_Maths tarafından
Market Phase Dashboard MTFGetting into a trade is the easy part. if anyone out there could use a little assistance in knowing when to exit a trade this ones for you.. This is a Market Phase Dashboard MTF (Multi-Timeframe) that classifies market conditions into 4 distinct phases based on trend + momentum alignment. Here's what it does: The 4 Market Phases: CONTINUATION 🟢 - Uptrend (EMA rising) + Strong momentum (RSI > 55) Translation: "Trend is strong, keep riding it" SLOWING 🟠 - Two scenarios: Uptrend but momentum fading (RSI ≤ 55), OR Downtrend but momentum not fully committed (RSI ≥ 45) Translation: "Trend losing steam, be cautious" EXHAUSTION 🔴 - Downtrend (EMA falling) + Weak momentum (RSI < 45) Translation: "Trend is dying, possible reversal coming" NEUTRAL ⚪ - Anything that doesn't fit above (shouldn't happen much with these thresholds) Multi-Timeframe View: Shows phases for: Chart TF - Whatever timeframe you're viewing (only updates on confirmed bar close) 5m - Always shows 5-minute phase 15m - Always shows 15-minute phase Visual Cues: Background color changes based on the live chart timeframe phase (updates in real-time, not waiting for bar close) Table shows confirmed phases for all timeframes Practical Use: Helps you understand if different timeframes are aligned. For example: All 3 showing CONTINUATION = strong aligned trend, high confidence trades 15m EXHAUSTION but 5m CONTINUATION = possible short-term bounce in downtrend Mixed signals = choppy/transitional market, stay cautious It's basically a trend health checker across multiple timeframes at a glance! I am also in the works of adding every higher time frame so that it will consist of 5 min all the way to the 12 mo time frame i will keep you guys updated as i update this indicator.
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wateriskey6689 tarafından
1
Seasonality Table: % Move by Day x Month (Open vs Prev Close)Short description A compact seasonality heatmap that shows the average daily open vs previous session close move for each calendar day (1–31) across months (Jan–Dec). What it does This indicator builds a Day × Month table where each cell displays the historical average of: (Open/Close-1) -1 x 100 In other words: how the market typically “opened” relative to the prior day’s close, grouped by day of month and month. How to read it Rows = Day of month (1–31) Columns = Months (Jan–Dec) Cell value = average percentage move (signed format like +0.23% or -0.33%) Heatmap = stronger color intensity indicates larger absolute average moves Today highlight = the current calendar day cell is visually highlighted for fast context Key settings Reference timeframe (Daily): uses daily session data as the source of truth Decimals / Signed formatting: control numeric display Theme controls: fully customizable colors for positive/negative/neutral cells, headers, labels, and text Font sizes: independently adjust header/labels/values Heatmap scaling: set “max abs (%)” to match the volatility of the instrument Notes / limitations The indicator depends on the historical data available on TradingView for the selected symbol and timeframe. This is a statistical visualization tool. It does not predict future returns and does not generate trade signals. Disclaimer This script is for educational and informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
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Yesid_Correa_Cano tarafından
Markov: Transition Matrix [Daily Timeframe]Description This indicator computes a 3-state Markov chain from price action and visualizes the transition probabilities between daily states: • Up: daily % change > threshold • Down: daily % change < -threshold • Sideways: |daily % change| ≤ threshold From those states, it builds transition matrices: • Today → Tomorrow (1 day ahead) • Today → In 2 days • Today → In 3 days Each matrix cell shows: P(next state | current state) Rows are the current state (today), columns are the future state (tomorrow / +2 / +3). Each row sums to 100% (when there is sufficient sample size). ________________________________________ How to read it (trader workflow) 1. Identify the current regime (the most recent confirmed daily state). 2. Look at the row matching that regime: • The ★ marks the highest probability outcome for that row (most likely next state). • Heatmap intensity increases as probability increases. • Each row shows its own sample size (n=...) so you can judge statistical support. 3. Use Quick-read: • “Now” = current regime • “Best” = top conditional outcome + probability • “2nd” = second-best outcome + probability 4. Use Universe (N): • Shows the marginal distribution: how often days are Up/Down/Sideways across the whole dataset. ________________________________________ Settings Core logic • Sideways threshold: controls how strict “Sideways” is. Example: 0.001 = ±0.10% daily move is considered Sideways. Display • Toggle 1D / 2D / 3D matrices. • Highlight best probability per row (★). • Show n per row (row transition count). • Focus: current state row only to reduce noise and speed decision-making. • Quick-read row for the current regime. Theme (fully customizable) All colors can be customized: • Up / Down / Sideways base colors • Header background + header text • Values text • Quick-read neutral background This makes it suitable for both light and dark chart themes. ________________________________________ Notes / Limitations • The indicator is designed for daily sessions. It uses daily close-to-close returns to classify states and update the Markov chain once per day. • On very volatile assets, a very small threshold can make Sideways rare. If you want a more frequent Sideways regime, increase the threshold. • This is a statistical visualization tool, not a trading system. ________________________________________ Disclaimer (TradingView-friendly) This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Past probabilities do not guarantee future results. Use at your own discretion and always apply proper risk management.
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Yesid_Correa_Cano tarafından
Moon Phases & Declinations - Chronos Capital [BETA]High-Precision Lunar Cycles: Moon Phases & Declinations (Swiss Ephemeris) Overview This indicator provides institutional-grade astronomical data directly on your chart. Unlike standard scripts that use basic sine-wave approximations, this tool implements the **Swiss Ephemeris algorithm**, the gold standard for high-precision celestial calculations. By tracking the Moon’s phases and its **Maximum/Minimum Declinations**, traders can identify potential "turning points" or "energy shifts" in market volatility often associated with lunar cycles. --- Key Features Ultra-High Precision: Calculations are accurate to within *seconds* of time, ensuring that the visual plot aligns perfectly with astronomical reality. Moon Phase Tracking: Distinct markers for New Moon, Full Moon, and Quarters. Lunar Declination Peaks: Automatically identifies when the moon reaches its *Maximum North* and *Maximum South* points (Lunar Extremes). Customizable Visuals: Toggle between background highlights, vertical lines, or plot signals to suit your trading style. --- Technical Accuracy This script is built using a ported version of the Swiss Ephemeris Positional Accuracy: Within 0.1 arcseconds. Time Accuracy: Within **~1-2 seconds** of official JPL data. Algorithm: Integration of the *ELP2000-85* lunar theory for maximum reliability over decades of historical data. --- ### **How to Use** 1. **Reversal Zones:** Watch for the Moon’s *Max/Min Declination* points, which often coincide with local tops or bottoms in trending markets. 2. **Volatility Shifts:** Use the *New Moon* and *Full Moon* markers to anticipate periods of increased or decreased market liquidity and volume. 3. **Confluence:** Best used in combination with your existing price action or momentum indicators to add a "time-based" filter to your entries. *Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Lunar cycles are a study of time-based correlation, not a guaranteed financial signal.*
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ChronosCapital tarafından