MACD Crossover Backtest MACD – Moving Average Convergence Divergence. The MACD is calculated
by subtracting a 26-day moving average of a security's price from a
12-day moving average of its price. The result is an indicator that
oscillates above and below zero. When the MACD is above zero, it means
the 12-day moving average is higher than the 26-day moving average.
This is bullish as it shows that current expectations (i.e., the 12-day
moving average) are more bullish than previous expectations (i.e., the
26-day average). This implies a bullish, or upward, shift in the supply/demand
lines. When the MACD falls below zero, it means that the 12-day moving average
is less than the 26-day moving average, implying a bearish shift in the
supply/demand lines.
A 9-day moving average of the MACD (not of the security's price) is usually
plotted on top of the MACD indicator. This line is referred to as the "signal"
line. The signal line anticipates the convergence of the two moving averages
(i.e., the movement of the MACD toward the zero line).
Let's consider the rational behind this technique. The MACD is the difference
between two moving averages of price. When the shorter-term moving average rises
above the longer-term moving average (i.e., the MACD rises above zero), it means
that investor expectations are becoming more bullish (i.e., there has been an
upward shift in the supply/demand lines). By plotting a 9-day moving average of
the MACD, we can see the changing of expectations (i.e., the shifting of the
supply/demand lines) as they occur.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Backtest
Kaufman Moving Average Adaptive (KAMA) Backtest Everyone wants a short-term, fast trading trend that works without large
losses. That combination does not exist. But it is possible to have fast
trading trends in which one must get in or out of the market quickly, but
these have the distinct disadvantage of being whipsawed by market noise
when the market is volatile in a sideways trending market. During these
periods, the trader is jumping in and out of positions with no profit-making
trend in sight. In an attempt to overcome the problem of noise and still be
able to get closer to the actual change of the trend, Kaufman developed an
indicator that adapts to market movement. This indicator, an adaptive moving
average (AMA), moves very slowly when markets are moving sideways but moves
swiftly when the markets also move swiftly, change directions or break out of
a trading range.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
Please, use it only for learning or paper trading. Do not for real trading.
Backtest History Setup 1.0Script of strategy component to setup the backtext lookback. You setup the maximum days back in the history, which will be used for backtest.
15 Minute Gold Trend-Following StrategyThis is the main strategy that I will be forward testing on demo for a month or two, then making it an EA in MetaTrader4
You can see the code for yourself this time, all the strategy is, is a crossover of various moving averages.
Commission included, $10,000 account.
Results over the past 3 months, beginning in January 2017.
Upgraded XAUUSD 30m only Strategy V2.0So i've been fiddling around with this once more
The result is increased net profit, same time frame as previous strategy, more drawdown, but that comes with the net profit.
1 pip = 1$
Pyramiding of 3 orders.
Commission included.
More trades
Profitability rate is about the same.
Bactest Period MarkerSimple script that will mark backtest periods (if you have to run backtests in multiple parts, like on CryptoTrader )
1-2-3 Reversal Backtest StrategyThis is backtesting script.
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
MACD, backtest 2015+ only, cut in half and doubledThis is only a slight modification to the existing "MACD Strategy" strategy plugin!
found the default MACD strategy to be lacking, although impressive for its simplicity. I added "year>2014" to the IF buy/sell conditions so it will only backtest from 2015 and beyond ** .
I also had a problem with the standard MACD trading late, per se. To that end I modified the inputs for fast/slow/signal to double. Example: my defaults are 10, 21, 10 so I put 20, 42, 20 in. This has the effect of making a 30min interval the same as 1 hour at 10,21,10. So if you want to backtest at 4hr, you would set your time interval to 2hr on the main chart. This is a handy way to make shorter time periods more useful even regardless of strategy/testing, since you can view 15min with alot less noise but a better response.
Used on BTCCNY OKcoin, with the chart set at 45 min (so really 90min in the strategy) this gave me a percent profitable of 42% and a profit factor of 1.998 on 189 trades.
Personally, I like to set the length/signals to 30,63,30. Meaning you need to triple the time, it allows for much better use of shorter time periods and the backtests are remarkably profitable. (i.e. 15min chart view = 45min on script, 30min= 1.5hr on script)
** If you want more specific time periods you need to try plugging in different bar values: replace "year" with "n" and "2014" with "5500". The bars are based on unix time I believe so you will need to play around with the number for n, with n being the numbers of bars.
4H CCI Strategy 1.5Included adaptive lot size based on ATR, and also ATR based stop and take profit levels.
Risk/reward increased to 1:2 and should work in all ranging FX pairs as long as they are not trending.
Once the market starts trending it'll eat this bot alive.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
4H CCI Strategy 1.4Here's the last version...quick hack job.
I'm sure it can be improved, but this is a rough sketch, code wise.
The strategy works in range bound enviroments, so cointegrated pairs like AUDCAD will shine with it.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
BACKTEST SCRIPT 0.999 ALPHATRADINGVIEW BACKTEST SCRIPT by Lionshare (c) 2015
THS IS A REAL ALTERNATIVE FOR LONG AWAITED TV NATIVE BACKTEST ENGINE.
READY FOR USE JUST RIGHT NOW.
For user provided trading strategy, executes the trades on pricedata history and continues to make it over live datafeed.
Calculates and (plots on premise) the next performance statistics:
profit - i.e. gross profit/loss.
profit_max - maximum value of gross profit/loss.
profit_per_trade - each trade's profit/loss.
profit_per_stop_trade - profit/loss per "stop order" trade.
profit_stop - gross profit/loss caused by stop orders.
profit_stop_p - percentage of "stop orders" profit/loss in gross profit/loss.
security_if_bought_back - size of security portfolio if bought back.
trades_count_conseq_profit - consecutive gain from profitable series.
trades_count_conseq_profit_max - maxmimum gain from consecutive profitable series achieved.
trades_count_conseq_loss - same as for profit, but for loss.
trades_count_conseq_loss_max - same as for profit, but for loss.
trades_count_conseq_won - number of trades, that were won consecutively.
trades_count_conseq_won_max - maximum number of trades, won consecutively.
trades_count_conseq_lost - same as for won trades, but for lost.
trades_count_conseq_lost_max - same as for won trades, but for lost.
drawdown - difference between local equity highs and lows.
profit_factor - profit-t-loss ratio.
profit_factor_r - profit(without biggest winning trade)-to-loss ratio.
recovery_factor - equity-to-drawdown ratio.
expected_value - median gain value of all wins and loss.
zscore - shows how much your seriality of consecutive wins/loss diverges from the one of normal distributed process. valued in sigmas. zscore of +3 or -3 sigmas means nonrandom realitonship of wins series-to-loss series.
confidence_limit - the limit of confidence in zscore result. values under 0.95 are considered inconclusive.
sharpe - sharpe ratio - shows the level of strategy stability. basically it is how the profit/loss is deviated around the expected value.
sortino - the same as sharpe, but is calculated over the negative gains.
k - Kelly criterion value, means the percentage of your portfolio, you can trade the scripted strategy for optimal risk management.
k_margin - Kelly criterion recalculated to be meant as optimal margin value.
DISCLAIMER :
The SCRIPT is in ALPHA stage. So there could be some hidden bugs.
Though the basic functionality seems to work fine.
Initial documentation is not detailed. There could be english grammar mistakes also.
NOW Working hard on optimizing the script. Seems, some heavier strategies (especially those using the multiple SECURITY functions) call TV processing power limitation errors.
Docs are here:
docs.google.com