OCM Short-Term Risk Score

The Short-Term Risk Score is a composite indicator built to assess the short- to medium-term risk environment in the Bitcoin market. It synthesises 9 normalised components into a single dynamic score: Sharpe Ratio, Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), MVRV Monthly Delta, Microstructural Price Risk, SOPR-Z, Short-Term Holder MVRV, Velocity RSI, Mayer Multiple, and the 30/60 Ratio Vector. These elements are drawn from both on-chain and market-derived data, offering a multi-angle lens into sentiment, valuation, spending behaviour, volatility structure, and capital rotation.

Each component is individually scaled and strategically weighted within a composite formula, then smoothed to reduce signal noise. The result is a responsive risk gauge that adapts to trending and cyclical regimes, highlighting zones of opportunity and caution. This tool is especially effective for data-driven traders aiming to enhance timing precision and probabilistic decision-making, without relying on price action alone.

How To Use:
You can utilise this indicator to better place your DCA buys, or to swing trade in and out of positions. Whether you choose to use the 50 midline as your cutoff point, or to wait for the background colours to flash to give you the ultimate confirmation, is a personal decision.

⏰ Timeframes to be used on:
Daily