Inverted Yield Curve Indicator
Overview:
The Inverted Yield Curve Indicator is a powerful tool designed to monitor and analyze the yield spread between the 10-year and 2-year US Treasury rates. This indicator helps traders and investors identify periods of yield curve inversion, which historically have been reliable predictors of economic recessions.
Key Features:
Yield Spread Calculation: Accurately calculates the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields.
Visual Representation: Plots the yield spread on the chart, with clear visualization of positive and negative spreads.
Inversion Highlighting: Background shading highlights periods where the yield curve is inverted (negative spread), making it easy to spot critical economic signals.
Alerts: Customizable alerts notify users when the yield curve inverts, allowing timely decision-making.
Customizable Yield Plots: Users can choose to display the individual 2-year and 10-year yields for detailed analysis.
How It Works:
Data Sources: Utilizes the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) for fetching the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield rates.
Spread Calculation: The script calculates the difference between the 10-year and 2-year yields.
Visualization: The spread is plotted as a blue line, with a grey zero line for reference. When the spread turns negative, the background turns red to indicate an inversion.
Customizable Plots: Users can enable or disable the display of individual 2-year and 10-year yields through simple input options.
Usage:
Economic Analysis: Use this indicator to anticipate potential economic downturns by monitoring yield curve inversions.
Market Timing: Identify periods of economic uncertainty and adjust your investment strategies accordingly.
Alert System: Set alerts to receive notifications whenever the yield curve inverts, ensuring you never miss crucial economic signals.
Important Notes:
Data Accuracy: Ensure that the FRED data symbols (FRED
and FRED
) are correctly referenced and available in your TradingView environment.
Customizations: The script is designed to be flexible, allowing users to customize plot colors and alert settings to fit their preferences.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.