XLMUSD: Closing over the 1W MA200 can lead to 0.3200

XLMUSD is on the third straight green 1W candle after the massive one that broke over the 1W MA200 for the first time in more than a year. However it closed the 1W candle under it, and so did last week's. Naturally, the uptrend needs a 1W candle to close over the 1W MA200 in order to confirm more upside.

The 1D timeframe is on healthy 1D technicals but 1W is overbought (RSI = 73.412, MACD = 0.010, ADX = 20.860) so failure to close above it, can deliver a pullback towards the 1D MA50 for one final buy entry.

Based on the price as well as the RSI pattern, the current trading sequence is comparable to the July-August 2020 1W MA200 tests. That gave the pullback but after it crossed over, the first target was the 0.618 Fibonacci level. That's now at 0.3200.

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