Volatility - Nothing New Under The Sun

Güncellendi
Idea for Volatility:
- Wyckoff Cycle Mapped.
- Wave Frequencies synced.
- Cause and Effect determined.

- Greater Cycle:
anlık görüntü

- Bonds Volatility looks ready:
anlık görüntü

- China Credit Impulse turns negative, consequently the global credit impulse turns negative.
- Liquidity Flow: Credit > Bonds/Currencies > Commodities > Stocks.

Fighting the Fed:
- Reading the Curve:
Macro - Reading The Curve


- Data Suppression:
anlık görüntü

- Volatility Suppression:
anlık görüntü

- DXY is in a rising Trend:
anlık görüntü

- Decision point for the Dollar:
anlık görüntü

- Dollar is goosed, but Yen seems to be telling, as the Yen is seen as a haven currency and AUD is correlated to inflation:
anlık görüntü

- Yuan is very telling for the global economy:
anlık görüntü

- Bond yields (CN & US) are telling:
anlık görüntü

- Forecast suggests a Volatility spike this summer.
- It is likely that a greater explosion in Volatility will follow... speculating the date to be September Quad Witching 2022 (September 16, 2022).

It's Black Swan season... Look out for them, but they are never the cause. It is all about the Credit Cycle.

GLHF
- DPT
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Speculating sizable volatility spike this summer, Fed enacts YCC/MMT/CBDCs for the bull trap, and the real volatility between Q4 2021-2022, looking at the relationship between SPX YoY returns trailing the Global Credit Impulse by about 12 months.
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Wave 3 speculated for Nov. 30, 2021, Wave 5 speculated for Dec. 17, 2022.
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COVID Evolutionary Curve confirms move:
Black Swan - Delta Variant
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VIX Contango suggests a big move building up: anlık görüntü
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Oversold, similar conditions to 2008 > 2010: anlık görüntü
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Wave 1 speculate by mid-July:
Volatility - VIX Wyckoff Accumulation
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We are going to see a lot of bad events globally to 2023, not as catalysts for the market, but the other way around. Buckle up.
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