S&P500 Is a -3% pull-back probable here?

The S&P500 index (SPX) is having another bullish week with the current green 1W candle being the strongest since the first week of the year. Nonetheless with the 1W RSI overbought at 75.00 and the price very close to the Higher Highs trend-line that started on the late November 2022 High, a short-term pull-back seems probable at the moment.

The long-term price action since 2016 shows that every time this 1W RSI overbought pattern emerges, and the index is trading near (or at) the Higher Highs trend-line, it makes a correction between -3.10% and -4.50%. From the current levels, the minimum of -3.10% pull-back would deliver prices around 4950 while a -4.50% one, prices around 4865. Long-term traders can look to continue buying such dips as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is supporting.


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