short on s&p 500

it's an update on my previous analysis of s&p 500.
because of the retest of the price high 2842 , I saw an arrangement to do here.
if the market break the 2652 there gooing to be a very high probability to test 2614 because of the void between these two prices using different fibonacci retracements.
if the market break's the 2614 the target i see with high probability is 2432 , second target going to be 2265 .