KondrackiKarl

Silver to $27 beginning of 2021?

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KondrackiKarl Güncellendi   
TVC:SILVER   Gümüş KFS'leri (US$/OZ)
Silver has gained about 1000% in about 8 years from $4 in 2003 to about just under $50 in 2011.
From there Silver retraced 78.6% to about $13.80.
The current recovery has seen a near 40% gain.
Current estimate is that Silver will reach close to $23 by tax time 2020 and then reach further to about $27 in the beginning of 2021.
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Current short term estimate using Elliott Wave analysis

I have tried to label each wave for clarity.
Counting the low from the second touch just under $14 as the start of wave 1.

Placed a channel from the starts of wave 1 and 3 and pulling to the end of wave 1.
Wave 3 broke through the top and wave 4 retraced to sit on the top of the channel
Wave 4 retraced to the terminus of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Wave 4 (ABC) retraced 50% of wave 3
I do not see silver dropping below $17.

Using Fibonacci extensions for potential Wave 5 targets:
Pulling from wave 1 start to end and third point at the start of wave 4
targets $22.75 at the 1.618% extension

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Last update has a an error:

Using Fibonacci extensions for potential Wave 5 targets:
Pulling from wave 1 start to end and third point at the END (not start) of wave 4
targets $22.75 at the 1.618% extension
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Original estimate for wave 5 to end was March 30th
which is 2.382% extension of wave 1 (start to end) and pulled to start of wave 5

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Alternate Wave 2 labeling as a WXY (?Flat, Any Three Zig Zag?)
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The C on the Zig Zag on last image was ment to be where the Y is labeled but didnt replace it during adjusting
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Current estimate/hopes for Silver

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Thinking we found the end of a wave 4 correction.
Wave 5 target around $20.40
Invalidation level is $16.10

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Updated estimate
Silver might see one more small move down to about $16.40
I feel that it is currently a time to buy up until the end of the year
which will begin by breaking descending supply/trend line

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YAY Silver breakout

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Silver rejected from the channel median.
Estimating a retracement to either $17.70 or $17.40
Leaning more towards $17.40 as its at the 61.8%
I feel we are in wave 2 of 5 and as a wave 2 I usually look for 61.8% or more.

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Forgot to mention the possibility that the 20 ema on the daily chart gives support
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Current thoughts
Trying Gann Fan on Log Scale

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Daily 20 ema seems to have held
Would be suprised if we make a flat
I'll post a chart this weekend
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Long work days so haven't been posting much.
We retraced to the 61.8% at around $17.37
Will be watching to see if this level holds
Or if silver falls furthur to the 78.6% level at $17
Expecting some sideways days
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Many incorrect idea's
If we fall below $16.18 I am selling all my silver
Current thoughts.
Maybe we are still in the correction
Possible Zig-Zag / x / Flat or Triangle? Unsure until we time progresses

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An estimate
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Current plan for Silver


Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.