Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF
Alış
Güncellendi

Is it time for a utilities play?

427
Defensives have been outperforming the S&P 500 since March. If you believe the outperformance will continue, then now might be the time to buy, as they are approaching the support line.

anlık görüntü

I'm particularly watching utilities. In addition to being a classic defensive sector, utilities also have "growth" potential. They had a period of strong outperformance a couple years ago during the renewables boom. Presently they look cheap compared to other sectors. The equal-weight utilities to equal-weight S&P 500 ratio has made a large bullish divergence and is currently testing a support level. Might it make a double bottom here?

anlık görüntü

I particularly like NRG Energy, a Texas utility with a diversified basket of power generation capabilities, including fossil fuels and renewables. NRG is looking like it will make a breakout attempt soon:

anlık görüntü

It has a forward P/E of 6, a forward P/S under .5, and a P/FCF under 11. Dividend yield is over 4%. Open interest is bullish, and upside to the average analyst price target is 36%. This bad boy could seriously rip if utilities return to strength.

Utilities move somewhat in sympathy with oil prices, and oil prices are breaking out. That could prove to be a catalyst for this sector.
Not
Oh look, NRG just broke out:

anlık görüntü
Not
Looks to be moving with conviction despite broader market weakness.

anlık görüntü
Not
XLU made a perfect trend line touch today and so far is holding just above the 200-day EMA. Calls at the $64 strike are pretty cheap.

anlık görüntü

Also note that the RYU/RSP ratio rallied, then sharply pulled back, and now is very close to another support level. And looking like it could rally again.

anlık görüntü
Not
Quick update on NRG. It has been holding above the 20-day EMA. There have been several analyst price target hikes in recent days. If we can get a little pullback to touch the 20-day EMA, I think that could trigger another move up.

anlık görüntü
Not
Goldman said in a note today that NRG is 50% undervalued. This caused the stock to spike in a big way. I still have a good number of shares, but I sold the last of my calls and locked in a chunky profit.
Not
RYU/RSP ratio is working on getting across the trend line.

anlık görüntü

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.