1. The probability is that spx will go above 43 and btc will not sag below 22700. If it happens, they have sequential targets in the spot like 29-35. 2. The probability is that if btc closes below 22700, 4 hours will be shaped accordingly. In other words, btc and spx movements will determine the fakeout tolerance that will occur at the 2412 level. The best costing range is the 19-24 range.