NZDUSD bounce caught perfectly, remain bullish
Buy above 0.6818. Stop loss at 0.6789. Take profit at 0.6874.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price reached our buying level and has started to bounce up perfectly. We now remain bullish above 0.6818 support (Fibonacci extension, Elliott wave theory) and look for a bounce towards 0.6874 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is bouncing up nicely from our 9% support level.
RSI (34) has made a bearish exit signalling that the overall momentum we’re expecting of NZDUSD is bearish.
Correlation analysis: NZDUSD and AUDUSD are positively correlated meaning they usually move together in the same direction. We are expecting a rise on AUDUSD and a rise on NZDUSD which goes well with the positive correlation expected.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. Advance Retail Sales which is a monthly measure of sales of goods to consumers at retail outlets. The figure is a significant market mover, valuable both for its timeliness and insight into consumer demand and consumer confidence. We’re expecting a positive value here meaning more consumer spending and confidence, leading to strength in the USD. This would go against our bullish NZDUSD view today hence is it best to exercise caution on this trade.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price reached our buying level and has started to bounce up perfectly. We now remain bullish above 0.6818 support (Fibonacci extension, Elliott wave theory) and look for a bounce towards 0.6874 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is bouncing up nicely from our 9% support level.
RSI (34) has made a bearish exit signalling that the overall momentum we’re expecting of NZDUSD is bearish.
Correlation analysis: NZDUSD and AUDUSD are positively correlated meaning they usually move together in the same direction. We are expecting a rise on AUDUSD and a rise on NZDUSD which goes well with the positive correlation expected.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. Advance Retail Sales which is a monthly measure of sales of goods to consumers at retail outlets. The figure is a significant market mover, valuable both for its timeliness and insight into consumer demand and consumer confidence. We’re expecting a positive value here meaning more consumer spending and confidence, leading to strength in the USD. This would go against our bullish NZDUSD view today hence is it best to exercise caution on this trade.