GLD/SPY...on the brink of a breakout...or not yet.

19 Oca 2022

Another relative value chart. Gold has underperformed the SP500 in a clear trend for the last 2 years. We are now testing that trendline (yellow line) and a break could signal a period of gold overperformance in the next few weeks. if we break we could see a move at least to the 55w ema that acted as support a few times last year. keeping and eye on the weekly close as technicals are not supportive of a big run higher if we do break.

4 Mar 2022

Not

textbook break, retest and explosion higher. Caution warranted as it looks overdone.