GER-Quality-Trades

BITCOIN IN PERSEPECTIVE

Satış
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
+++++++zoom out to get the whole picture++++++++++

Hello and welcome to a quick idea which I was thinking about.

-This logarithmic Bitstamp BTC chart provides information about a long term trend.
-We are observing a weekly timeframe.
-4 BTC-halvening´s are displayed by the vertcal lines.
-100Moving Average and 200MA are important indicators.
-Important key levels are represented by the dotted lines.
-One brown line implies a downtrend chanel with two local top´s at 20K as well as 14K.
-RSI which currently demonstrates overall weakness in the market.

In this chart I would like to demonstrate how vulnerable BTC can be and how lower lows are still possible- even below 1K.
We have bounced of the 3100$ Level on December 10th 2018, after which the bullmarket of 2019 began (3-14K in 6 month).
I extended the blue line 200MA which could a possible bounceing point during this retracement.
BTC already broke the 100MA (red line) on November 12th 2018 to the lower side.
Volume is decreasing, which could be a sign of a cooldown, finding a bottom soon...
The top of 14.000$ was touched once- we did not confirm higher highs- which lead us to think about a continuation of the current retracement/downtrend.
A possible bounce could happen on the 200MA, which I drew as an extension when Bitcoin hits 5000-6000K it in early 2020. We could see another spike up at that point, which could respect the brown diagonal and create a third top by June 2020 (20K, 14K, 10K).

What do you guys think about this idea? Let me know! This is it already for today,
your quality-trader

May the force be with you
Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.