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BTCUSD - history repeating itself?

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BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Historically, when trading Bitcoin, I have noticed two things:

-A large dropoff in price is met with huge rallies
-Large pumps typically that end up dropping off tend to trade after the first "hurdle" (think of point 2 in the 5 wave Elliot cycle)

Right now, we are in a pivotal moment for Bitcoin where one of two things will happen:
-We hit our support at ~$7,000 and bounce back, forming an inverse head & shoulders pattern
-We drop down to the point I mentioned before, at around ~$5,800, at which point we will see a (further off) huge pump in price

The last few times Bitcoin has seen 30 or less RSI has been met with huge rallies - we're at this point now. If we don't see much major improvement in its price we will likely be at the $7,000 mark. Past that we'll rally or we'll drop to $5,800 mark.

Is it scary? Yes. Is it hard to look at? Yes. Will we recover, however? Yes. A lot of people talk about "start of the year cycles" with Bitcoin, and I've highlighted a few instances of where this has happened and how it's likely we'll recover (albeit they're not always at the start of the year) - if you scroll around in this chart long enough you'll see some of them.

If we see a boost from $7,000, we'll see true resistance at the 0.618 fib level (~$15,000)

In short: yes, we dipped a lot. Yes, there's a lot of FUD. However, I believe this soon will be over and we'll be looking at much better yields. I'm holding all my haul through this mess despite buying at up to $15,000 and believe we'll hit these targets.

Buy targets: ~$7,000 - if we drop below $6,500 or so it might be a good idea to look at entering more below $6,000 too.

Remember to buy in chunks and trade safe.

Feragatname

Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.