Will we have to way for the market reaction to Bitcoin havling?

Bitcoin halving is a big deal for it's economy.
The hype around the BTC halving is getting bigger and bigger as time past.
I see people using it as a biggest argument to buy now some BTC.
But the real question is: "when the market will react to the halving?".
Looking at the past 2 halvings, BTC needed aprox an year to get a proper bullish reaction.
Now I've drew few simple lines which meet almost exactly 1 year after the halving.