Is APPL getting setting up for another crash?

28 Mar 2021

Personally I think Apple just like many other tech and speculative stocks are setting up for some major corrections. Personally I see Apple going down to $80 within the next year.

First I want to talk about why historically we about due for one. I have the 50 and 200wma pulled up on the chart. You'll notice Apple has been in a Constant uptrend since April of 2003. Its first Rally was from April 2003 until march 2009. That was the first time it tested the 200wma. Then you have another rally from the bounce off the 200ma all the way till 2013 when it crashes off the 200wma again. That was Close to a 4 year rally. then we go from the bounce off the 200ma in Jun of 2013 until it crashes and touches the 200ma again in may of 2016. So basically a 3 year rally. the next one was the bounce off the 200wma in Jun of 2016 till December of 2018. So this rally lasted about 2.5 years. Now we are in the Current run up from Jan 2019 till today. That's a little over 2 years. As you can see each bull rally since the tech crash has gotten smaller and smaller in time. Personally I see nothing on the charts, economically or anything going on with Apple that would justify this rally lasting longer then the last one at 2.5 years. Its been in a downtrend since the beginning of the year basically which I think is hinting it will touch that 200wma sooner then later.

Also when you look at the tops of each rally over the years they do look a little similar and I don't think the downtrend it is in now looks much different.

Best of luck on your trades!