TASC 2026.02 Portfolio Diversification█ OVERVIEW
This indicator is a simplified framework for analyzing hypothetical portfolios, based on the concepts in the February 2026 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips , "Foundational Portfolio Design, Not Stock-Picking”. It requests datasets for spread symbols that represent weighted combinations of user-selected or predefined instruments, compares the returns in the data to those of a selected benchmark, and calculates risk-related metrics.
█ CONCEPTS
One of the core concepts of portfolio design is diversification. A diversified portfolio distributes market exposure across multiple, ideally uncorrelated, instruments to reduce potential risks. Investors often diversify their portfolios by allocating capital to instruments from different classes, sectors, or regions rather than investing in only a single instrument or multiple related instruments.
As described in the article, the motivation behind creating diversified portfolios is simple:
"No single position should have the capacity to sink the entire portfolio."
This indicator estimates a portfolio's performance by requesting combined price data for spread symbols from user inputs or predefined options, and then analyzing the data's annual arithmetic returns alongside those of a specified benchmark instrument. It displays the returns of the spread and the benchmark in a table at the bottom left.
The indicator also displays the following metrics described in the article in a table at the bottom right of the pane for additional performance information:
Max drawdown: The maximum drop in the portfolio's value from a local peak.
Standard deviation: The dispersion of portfolio values relative to their mean.
Sharpe ratio: The ratio of excess returns in an investment compared to a hypothetical risk-free rate of return.
Pain index: A measure of risk based on the depth, duration, and frequency of losses. The metric in this script considers only the bars where drawdown is nonzero.
Ulcer index: A measure of downside risk based on the root mean square of drawdowns. The metric in this script considers only the bars where drawdown is nonzero.
Correlation: The Pearson correlation coefficient between the returns of the hypothetical portfolio and those of a selected benchmark.
The first five metrics are direct risk measures. The correlation metric helps assess whether the hypothetical portfolio closely follows the broader market. High correlation with a broad benchmark might indicate an elevated sensitivity to systematic risk.
█ USAGE
Users can select a combination of up to 10 symbols with specific weights to construct a hypothetical portfolio to analyze. Alternatively, users can select a predefined combination of symbols and weights based on the article's examples of optimized portfolios for different levels of risk tolerance.
The script plots the calculated returns from the selected combination and the benchmark instrument for visual comparison. It also generates tables to compare returns and display risk metrics.
Note: This indicator is intended to provide a simplified demonstration of portfolio concepts, and some metric calculations differ slightly from those in the article. The script does not produce any signals, and the calculated metrics are estimates intended for EOD timeframes such as 1D. If the hypothetical portfolio consists of instruments with different sessions, we recommend using 1W or a higher timeframe.
█ INPUTS
Benchmark: The symbol of the instrument to compare against the hypothetical portfolio.
Portfolio Type: Choose between named options for predefined portfolio configurations based on risk profiles outlined in the article. To create a custom portfolio from up to 10 symbols, select "Custom" and adjust the 10 sets of inputs below.
Risk-free rate: The hypothetical annual risk-free rate for the Sharpe ratio.
Periods per year: If not zero, the script uses the value as the number of bars per year for annualization, which affects Sharpe ratio and standard deviation metrics.
Display Toggles: The display for the returns and metrics tables can be toggled on or off.
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