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Grover Llorens Activator Strategy AnalysisThe Grover Llorens Activator is a trailing stop indicator deeply inspired by the parabolic SAR indicator, and aim to provide early exit points and reversal detection. The indicator was posted not so long ago, you can find it here : Today a strategy using the indicator is proposed, and its profitability is analyzed on 3 different markets with the main time frame being 1 hour, remember that lower time frames involve lower absolute price changes, therefore we are way more affected by the spread, and we can require a larger position sizing depending on our investment target, trading higher time-frames is always a good practice and this is why 1 hour is selected. Based on the result we might make various conclusions regarding the indicator accuracy and might have ideas on future improvements of the indicator. I'am not great when it comes to strategy design, i still hope to share correct and useful information in this post, let me know your thoughts on the post format and if i should make more of these. Setup And Rules The analysis is solely based on the indicator signals, money management isn't taken into account, this allow us to have an idea on the indicator robustness and resilience, particularly on extremely volatile markets and ones exhibiting a chaotic structure, altho it is normally good practice to close any position before a market closure in order to avoid any potential major gaps. The settings used are 480 for length and 14 for mult, this create relatively mid term signals that are suited for a trend indicator such as the Grover Llorens Activator, unfortunately we can't infer the indicator optimal settings, thats how it is with any technical indicator anyway. Here are the rules of our strategy : long : closing price cross over the indicator short : closing price cross under the indicator We use constant position sizing, once a signal is triggered all the previous positions are closed. Description Of The Statistics Used Various statistics are presented in this post, here is a brief description of the main ones : Percent Profitability (higher = better): Percentage of winning trades, that is : winning trades/total number of trades × 100 Maximum Drawdown (lower = better) : The highest difference between a peak and a valley in the balance, that is : peak - valley , in percentage : (peak - valley)/peak × 100 Profit Factor (higher = better) : Gross profit divided by gross loss, values under 1 represent gross losses superior to the gross profits Remember that more volatility = more risk, since higher absolute price changes can logically cause larger losses. EURUSD The first market analyzed is the Forex market with the EURUSD major pair with a position sizing of 1000 units (1 micro lot). Since October EURUSD is not showing any particular strong trend but posses a discrete rising motion, fortunately cycles can be observed. The equity was rising until two trades appeared causing a decline in the equity. Before October a bearish market could be observed. We can see that the equity is rising, the trend still posses various retracements that affect our indicator, however we can see that the indicator totally nail the end of the trend, thats the power of converging toward the price. In short : $ 86.63 net profit 340 closed trades 37.65 % profitable (thats a lot of loosing trades) 1.19 profit factor $ 76.67 max drawdown Applying a spread would create negative results (in general the average spread is used), not a great start... BTCUSD The cryptocurrency market is relatively more volatile than others, which also mean potentially higher returns, we test the indicator using certainly the most traded cryptocurrency, BTCUSD. We will use a position sizing of 1 unit. In the case of BTCUSD the strategy balance is relatively stationary around the initial capital, with of course high dispersion. from september to december the market is bearish with various ranging periods, no apparent cycles can be observed, except maybe in the ranging period of october, this ranging period is followed by a non linear trend (relatively parabolic) that the indicator failed to capture in its integrity (this is a recurrent problem and it is starting to piss me off xD). In short : $ 2010.64 net profit (aka how i bet the crypto market) 395 closed trades 38.23 % profitable 1.036 profit factor $ 5738.01 max drawdown (aka how i lost to the crypto market) AMD AMD stand for Advanced Micro Devices and is a company focused on the development of computer technology, i love the microprocessor market and i really like AMD who start this year in a pretty great way with a net bullish trend. The performance of the indicator on AMD is decent (at last !) with the equity producing many new higher highs. The indicator performance still drop in the middle end of 2019 with a large equity drawdown of 17$ caused by the gap of august 8. Unfortunately AMD, like lot of well behaving stocks can only tells us that the indicator has good performances on heavily trending markets with no excess of noise or chaotic structures. In short : $ 17.86 net profit (Enough for a consistent lunch) 295 closed trades 36.27 % profitable 1.414 profit factor $ 10.37 max drawdown. Conclusion A strategy using the recently proposed Grover Llorens activator has been presented. We can easily conclude that the indicator can't possibly generate long term returns under chaotic and volatile markets, and could even produce unnecessary trades in trending markets without much parasitic fluctuations such as noise and retracements (think about a simple linear trend) since the indicator converge toward the price and would therefore automatically cross over/under the trend, thus guaranteeing a false signal. However we have seen its ability to provide accurate early reversal detection shine from time to time, thus over performing lagging indicators in this aspect, however the duration of price fluctuations isn't fixed at a certain period, the rate of convergence should be way faster during volatile fluctuations, of moderate speed during more cyclic fluctuations, and really slow with apparent long term trends, this could be achieved by making the indicator adaptive, but it won't really make it necessarily perform better. That said i still believe that converging trend indicators are really interesting and aim to capture the non lasting behavior of price fluctuations, they shouldn't receive so much hate (think about the poor p-sar). Thanks for reading !
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alexgrover tarafından
20
Adaptive Price Zone Strategy The adaptive price zone (APZ) is a volatility-based technical indicator that helps investors identify possible market turning points, which can be especially useful in a sideways-moving market. It was created by technical analyst Lee Leibfarth in the article “Identify the Turning Point: Trading With An Adaptive Price Zone,” which appeared in the September 2006 issue of the journal Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. This indicator attempts to signal significant price movements by using a set of bands based on short-term, double-smoothed exponential moving averages that lag only slightly behind price changes. It can help short-term investors and day traders profit in volatile markets by signaling price reversal points, which can indicate potentially lucrative times to buy or sell. The APZ can be implemented as part of an automated trading system and can be applied to the charts of all tradeable assets. Green color is long. Red color is short. WARNING: - For purpose educate only - This script to change bars colors.
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HPotter tarafından
13
Volatility Traders Minds Strategy (VTM Strategy)Volatility Traders Minds Strategy (VTM Strategy) I found this startegy on internet, with a video explaingin how it works. Conditions for entry: 1 - Candles must to be above or bellow the 48 MA (Yellow line) 2 - Candles must to break the middle of bollinger bands 3 - Macd must to be above or bellow zero level; 4 - ADX must to be above 25 level Credits to who developed this startegy (google it). Thanks to all pinescripters mentined in the code for their snippets. It could be improved with stop loss based on ATR etc. I have also a study with alerts. Please use comment section for any feedback or contact me if you need support.
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03.freeman tarafından
9
BEST Trend Direction Helper (Strategy Edition)Hello traders A follower asked me to convert my Trend Direction Helper into a strategy So blessed this indicator reached the 1400+ likes milestone - I can't believe how many people are trading with it I based the setup as follow: - Entries on those green/red labels - exit whenever a Simple Moving Averages cross in the opposite direction happen - possibility to filter only Longs/Shorts or both Also... The strategy includes the Zig Zag/Pivots high/low and other options from the indicator version. I only added a quick strategy component with a hard exit concept based on SMA cross All the best fam and... HAPPY NEW YEAR !!!!!!!!!!! Dave
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Daveatt tarafından
41
Combo Strategy 123 Detrended Price Oscillator This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. First strategy This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies. The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50. The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50. Second strategy The Detrend Price Osc indicator is similar to a moving average, in that it filters out trends in prices to more easily identify cycles. The indicator is an attempt to define cycles in a trend by drawing a moving average as a horizontal straight line and placing prices along the line according to their relation to a moving average. It provides a means of identifying underlying cycles not apparent when the moving average is viewed within a price chart. Cycles of a longer duration than the Length (number of bars used to calculate the Detrend Price Osc) are effectively filtered or removed by the oscillator. WARNING: - For purpose educate only - This script to change bars colors.
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HPotter tarafından
1
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud - no offset - no repaint - strategyIchimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud - no offset - no repaint - RSI filter - strategy The indicator contains both the standard Ichimoku Cloud , as well as the one without the visual offset. The Strategy Tester indicates good backtest results when the Ichimoku Cloud is paired with the RSI . However, it seems it likes to work more as a standalone system. The indicator can be easily converted to the study() mode by commenting/uncommenting a few lines, then the alarms can be configured. There are entry and exit signals ready to be used by the alert system. The coloring of the cloud without offset contains all 3 conditions: Uptrend , Downtrend , Transition .
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KryptoNight tarafından
25
Strategy Death To The Bear Simple strategy for the indicator "Death To The Bear". Simple rules: - Entry according to the selected weapons. - Take profit 1 (TP1) in% of daily ATR (can be set, default 20%) - Active Stop in Breakeven when I take profit in TP1. - Take profit 2 (TP1) in% of daily ATR (can be set, default 30%) * Pyramidization can be changed from the configuration (maximum number of tickets to average your price) * Many do not like to pyramid, but I can assure you that with good management, and good choice of the instrument and time frame, you will get good money. Note: at the request of some people who cannot see the EMOJI in the configuration you can choose TEXT. Thumbs up
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Dreadblitz tarafından
15
BEST Trailing Stop StrategyHello traders Here we go again.... with the second strategy snippet. Reminder: the first snipper was a Trailing Profit strategy script What's on the menu? A trailing stop is designed to protect gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor. The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by a specified percentage or dollar amount. Trigger me I'm famous I developed many trading strategies in my career and often I've been asked to trigger a trailing-stop once a certain % move has been made. On the screenshot below, the SL trigger is plotted in maroon. Once the price goes past that level for the first time, I'll start trailing the trailing stop level. In other words, when we see a price makes an interesting move in percentage value - we decide to trail the stop for at least not losing any more All the BEST Dave
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Daveatt tarafından
14
T3+SMA This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at mozilla.org © 03.freeman This strategy is based only on T3 moving average, but uses sma 200 as filter for enter long or short. The default settings considers a daily timeframe. The strategy is very simple: long if T3 increase, short if T3 decrease. Note that if you set volume factor to 0 you will have an exponential moving average, while if you set to 1 you'll get a DEMA.
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03.freeman tarafından
2
BEST Trailing Take Profit StrategyHello traders Hope you enjoyed your weekend on my behalf. Was staying home working ... ^^ This is my first strategy educational post I'm doing ever While I'm generally against posting strategies because it's very easy to fake performance numbers... I cannot prevent myself from sharing a few cool strategy snippets anyway. So from now on, I'll be sharing a few strategies also - generally not to showcase performance but only to show what pinescript can do. As once again strategy performance can be faked is so many ways... :) What's on the menu? We all know what a trailing-stop is. right? right? Ok... sharing the definition here :) A trailing stop is designed to protect gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor. The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by a specified percentage or dollar amount. But...do you know what a trailing profit is? Short definition : Well the same but with your profit limit order. Long definition : A trailing profit is designed to increase your gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor. The order closes the trade if the price hits the trailing profit level specified percentage or dollar amount. Some trading strategies used both a trailing stop AND trailing profit. Not making any recommendation here - only sharing what's possible in the realm of trading and pinescripting Trigger me I'm famous I developed many trading strategies in my career and often I've been asked to trigger a trailing-stop or trailing-profit once a certain % move has been made. I integrated here a Take Profit trigger - once hit, it will activate the trailing profit On the screenshot below, the TP trigger is plotted in orange. Once the price goes past that level for the first time, I'll start trailing the profit level. In other words, when we see a price makes an interesting move in percentage value - we decide to offset the profit as we concluded that once it reached such distance - then it leads often to more profit Of course, using only a trailing profit without stop/trailing-stop/invalidation isn't smart and the surest way to kiss goodbye a trading capital and trading and your good mood See you tomorrow for another strategy snippet All the BEST Dave
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Daveatt tarafından
17
Jurik Moving Average Crossover Strategy [ChuckBanger]The classic moving average crossover strategy does not work well in markets that, instead of trending, tend to frequently reverse within a trading range. The lag between the actual time the market has reversed direction and when the moving average is signalling a trade, the trend is already over and the market is about to go against your position. In this environment, a more appropriate trading strategy is suggested here using an JMA Keltner Channel. The idea is to create a channel based of support and resistance. When the market breaks out of the channel, and fails to maintain momentum. It is likely the price will fall back toward the center of the channel. This tendency can be exploited in the following manner. In the chart above, The aqua and maroon (center line) and the blue lines are part of a channel. The middle line is a slow running JMA of the closing prices, with Length = 30 and phase = 0. The upper blue band is constructed by adding 1.5 times of 30-bar ATR (average true range) to the center JMA line and the lower blue band by deducting the same amount. There is a grey line running through the data- That is a fast running JMA with length = 5 and phase = 100 representing the price. The red dots indicate that the the price is going back in the channel and the market is retracting from a failed upward breakout, and the green dots mark when price is retracting from a failed downward breakout. These are places where one might want to enter the trade. The orange dots indicate where price crosses the center line, a reasonable place to take profit from or even exit the trade. The center line also shows the up or down movements if the setting is ticked. This feature is useful to use when exit a trade. For example, you enter a long position on a green dot signal and the color is maroon. You can wait for 3-5 candles (depending of markets). And if the color doesn’t change it can be an indication that the price is going lower. Here it is possible to switch to a short possible or the opposite apply if you enter on a red dot. The parameter use in this study is for demonstrating purposes only. This is to show how you can use JMA. Do not trade with real money without thoroughly test the strategy. And always use stop-losses.
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ChuckBanger tarafından
11
Expert studio strategy 1 - GBPUSDThis is part of a series of strategies developed automatically by a online software. I cannot share the site url, which is not related to me in any way, because it is against the TV reules. This strategy was optimized for GBPUSD, timeframe 1D, fixed lots 0.1, initial balance 1000€. LOGIC: - LONG ENTRY when previous candle is bear - LONG EXIT: RVI > signal line - SHORT ENTRY when previous candle is bull - SHORT EXIT: RVI < signal line NOTE: I considered the open of actual candle instead of close otherwise there will be a back shift of 1 candle in pine script Take profit = no Stop loss = no I have also a study with alarms. Please use comment section for any feedback.
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03.freeman tarafından
CCI strategy on OIL1HThis indicator is based on Commodity Channel Index. It buys when CCI on period 200 is under -130 and it´s rising last 12 bars. It closes the position by hitting Take Profit, Stop Loss or opening short position. It sells when CCI on period 200 is over 130 and it´s falling last 12 bars. It closes the position by hitting Take Profit, Stop Loss or opening short position. This strategy seems to working just on USOIL on 1 hour chart. This can predict that it´s just luck and not proper strategy or indicator I would use for trading. This script is just for educational purposes and that´s why the script is open. I will be happy if you will leave comment and try to come up with some ideas how to improve this strategy, so it can be used also on other commodities/forex pairs.
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InvestorJakub tarafından
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & D_Three Ten Osc This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. First strategy This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies. The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50. The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50. Second strategy TradeStation does not allow the user to make a Multi Data Chart with a Tick Bar Chart and any other type a chart. This indicator allows the user to plot a daily 3-10 Oscillator on a Tick Bar Chart or any intraday interval. Walter Bressert's 3-10 Oscillator is a detrending oscillator derived from subtracting a 10 day moving average from a 3 day moving average. The second plot is an 16 day simple moving average of the 3-10 Oscillator. The 16 period moving average is the slow line and the 3/10 oscillator is the fast line. For more information on the 3-10 Oscillator see Walter Bressert's book "The Power of Oscillator/Cycle Combinations" WARNING: - For purpose educate only - This script to change bars colors.
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HPotter tarafından
1