[ADOL_]SIGNAL BASIC
Title: SIGNAL BASIC (ADOL Signal Basic)
★ indicator description)
MW: Large Wave upper line
SW: Large Wave bottom line
fast long: same as abs, fast long signal
slow long: same as signal v1.0, stability-based delayed long signal
slow short: same as signal v1.0, delayed short signal based on stability
slow branch point: same as signal v1.0, long short transition point
Signal line, top line, bottom line: change the optimal value
Whipsaw Indicator: Reference 128 (adjusted to 5 minutes = 32, 15 minutes = 128, 1 hour bar = 32)
Oversold, Overbought: Background display of oversold and overbought in the current section
Support line: Support line based on inflection
Large Wave: Used as support / resistance
※ Signal Plus additional function:
fast short, super long, super short, resistance wire, small wave, internal adjustment function
However, the basic logic of the core long shot is the same.
★ Basic Signal Rule Guide)
time)
-"Signal recommendation time frame: 5-15 minute bar = single hit, 1 hour bar (or more) = swing"
-"After confirming the signal closing price, it is possible to enter, before closing, but in an aggressive position"
wave)
-"General rule (slow signal standard): Long-minute-short-minute-long-minute-short // Long, branch point (minute), short appear regularly
-"Special rule: Cross appearance of long shots without divergence = swept or strong trend."
enter)
-"Long/Short'Basic Use': Enter after checking basic signal.
In the overbought/oversold section, the entry of the opposite position signal is approached as a rebalancing strategy.
Stop loss)
-Sonjeolga moves against the flow of the candle and catches it at the starting end of the wave."
clearing)
-"Branch point'basic use': Use as a liquidation (recommended) spot when a branch point appears after entering long/short positions.
Application 1)
A fork indicates the possibility that the direction of the trend can change.
Therefore, the location of the fork can be near the (short-term) high/low."
Application 2)
★ Part of the trading method) Trend line synthesis strategy
-Necessary basic skills: Practice drawing a trend line, the trend and wave of reading the trend
1. Draw up and down trend lines.
2. Signals that occur before/after the trend line act strongly.
example)
Request for permission: Write Google form
타이틀 : SIGNAL BASIC (아돌 시그널 베이직)
★ 지표 설명)
MW : 큰형 상단선
SW : 큰형 하단선
fast 롱 : abs와 동일, 빠른 롱시그널
slow롱 : 시그널v1.0과 동일, 안정성 기반의 지연된 롱시그널
slow숏 : 시그널v1.0과 동일, 안정성 기반의 지연된 숏시그널
slow분기점 : 시그널v1.0과 동일, 롱숏의 전환 분기점
시그널선, 상단선, 하단선 : 최적값 변경
휩쏘인디케이터 : 기본값128 (5분봉 = 384, 15분봉 = 128, 1시간봉 = 32로 조절)
과매도, 과매수 : 현구간 과매도, 과매수 배경표기
지지선 : 캔들변곡 기반의 지지선
큰형 웨이브 : 지지/저항으로 활용
※ 시그널 플러스 대비 제한된 기능 :
fast숏, 슈퍼롱, 슈퍼숏, 저항선, 작은형 웨이브, 세팅조절 기능
그러나 핵심적인 롱숏의 기본로직은 동일
★ 기본 시그널 규칙 가이드)
시간)
- "시그널 추천 타임프레임 : 5-15분봉 = 단타, 1시간봉(이상) = 스윙"
- "시그널 종가확인후 진입, 종가전 진입 가능하지만 공격적 포지션"
파동)
- "일반규칙(slow시그널 기준) : 롱-분-숏-분-롱-분-숏 // 롱,분기점(분),숏이 규칙적으로 등장
- "특수규칙 : 분기점없이 롱숏의 교차출현 = 휩쏘나 강한추세를 뜻합니다."
진입)
- "롱/숏 '기본활용' : 기본적인 시그널 확인후 진입합니다.
과매수/과매도 구간에서 반대포지션 시그널의 진입은 리벨런싱 전략으로 접근합니다.
손절)
- 손절가는 캔들의 흐름을 거슬러 눌림목, 파동의 시작끝점에 잡습니다."
청산)
- "분기점 '기본활용' : 롱/숏 포지션 진입 후 분기점 출현시 청산(추천)자리로 활용.
응용1)
분기점은 추세방향이 바뀔 수 있는 가능성을 의미합니다.
따라서, 분기점 위치는 (단기)고점/저점 부근이 될 수 있습니다."
응용2)
★ 매매법 일부) 추세선 합성 전략
- 필요한 기본기 : 추세선 긋기 작도 연습, 추세읽기의 추세와 파동
1. 상승,하락 추세선을 그리십시오.
2. 추세선 전/후에 발생하는 시그널은 강력하게 작용합니다.
예시)
예시2)
예시3)
권한요청 : 구글폼 작성
Komut dosyalarını "wave" için ara
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Even Better SinwaveLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introduced Even Better sinwave Indicator in his "Cycle Analytics for Traders" chapter 12 on 2013.
Function
The original Sinewave Indicator was created by seeking the dominant cycle phase angle that had the best correlation between the price data and a theoretical dominant cycle sine wave. The Even Better Sinewave Indicator skips all the cycle measurements completely and relies on a strong normalization of the waveform at the output of a modified roofing filter. The modified roofing filter uses a single-pole high-pass filter to deliberately retain the longer-period trend components. The single-pole high-pass filter basically levels the amplitude of all the cycle components that would otherwise be larger with longer wavelengths due to Spectral Dilation. Therefore, when the waveform is normalized to the power in the waveform over a short period of time, the longer wavelength contributions tend to be an indication to stay in a trade when the market is in a trend.
The Even Better Sinewave Indicator works extraordinarily well when the market is in a trend mode. This means that the spectacular failures of most swing wave indicators are mitigated when the expected price turning point does not occur.
Although Dr. Ehlers admitted he had not studied it extensively, it appears that the Even Better Sinewave Indicator works well on futures intraday data. It takes a position in the correct direction and tends to stay with the good trades without excessive whipsawing.
Key Signal
Wave --> Even Better sinwave Indicator fast line
Trigger --> Even Better sinwave Indicator slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation of original work, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book. If you had read his works, then you will be quite familiar with my code style.
Remarks
The 55th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
ApexBull Momentum OscillatorOfficial ApexBull Momentum Oscillator
Description:
An oscillator that gauges long term momentum to keep you in the trades. It utilizes moving averages and other momentum gauging indicators and price action to ensure that you stay in your trades.
Elliott Wavers found this to be extremely useful to identify waves. This oscillator will not only help you identify waves better as it will highly accurately predict when it begins and ends but will simply keep you in trades so you dont take profits too soon. Can be used to gauge waves on any time frame and works best in combination with our ApexBull Trend Trading Indicator (Conservative and Aggressive versions).
If you would like to try out my indicator please send me a direct message here.
MPI - Medic's Pulse Indicator v6MPI - Medic's Pulse Indicator has been formed over years and thousands of trades. Its completely customized for me, MedicWill. I have analyzed my best trading as well as the worst trades and compiled a system to keep my head clear and not get distracted by market swings. This started as v1 with my good friend OhHeyMatty working on his Bart indicator. I then customized the base and wrote the accompanying scripts which all work in conjunction. I believe the patterns and safety built in can help any traders psychologically to not get caught in market manipulation. But as anything else, I fear misuse will just reinforce bad ideas. Be careful.
As a 20 year paramedic I feel I have found the pulse of the market so I built the MPI around keeping me clear headed and in touch with the markets. Everything is termed in medical terminology because that's the world I come from. When I look at a trade-able chart and a patients EKG, I see many similarities and patterns. I believe the system will work on anything that is trad-able, but I have only personally tested on BTC/USD pairs and optimized for 2 hr setting. Do not confused being optimized for 2 hour as the only use-able time frame. All time frames under and over 2hr are important, but the 2hr is the official signaler if other time frames agree. Seeing the patterns and using them together is the key.
I did not know how to code, I did not know script. I know how to find the best of people (and indicators) and put them together to create something very powerful. I tweaked it for my needs and make it optimized for myself. Ive been doing that my whole life.
This lead me to trying to find coders who could write what Im doing, Ive yet to find a coder that can do it, especially on Pine which I guess is shit ;).
There is no hesitation releasing the indicator as I know without the Medic Pulse Strategy, you will be creating your own way. The tools are here, and they are free. Figure it out, I did. If not, come talk to me. Show me how you figured out the MPI pulse and please come share your success with me. Its what I'm here for and would make me very happy to see the success spread.
I have no interest in selling indicators. I'm here to help the community. I've dedicated my life to helping others and this is just another extension of my commitment. As a paramedic, my scope of help is restricted to the people that get in my ambulance. Here I have the ability to spread help on much bigger scale.
My hesitation is in releasing a powerful tool without explaining how to use it. This is the secret sauce. So although my scripts will be free, its based on the years of trading and using the MPI showed me if used correctly can be very amazing, but just as anything else in life, if not used properly the results will not be as expected.
I have never back tested it besides just manually because Ive yet to find a coder that can put into code what I am doing and looking at.
So I just did it myself. Its my very first indicator and I am so excited to see what the future brings. What I have noticed is there is a difference between traders and coders. Trading is more of an art form than a science. I've been painting this art my whole life and never realized it. Hanging out with OhHeyMatty helped me understand the mechanic behind what I was seeing.
My assumption will be the first mistake traders will make is not referencing multiple times frames and getting stuck in a view they they WANT to see. I urge caution about letting your bias influence your views.
The MPI works best when you are not in a trade, and dont care which way the market goes. As professionals we do not care which way the market moves, we just know exactly what we will do no matter what it does.
This is KEY. The MPI does not target exits because the MPI reads the market, it does not dictate the market. You can use the same common targets, MA's etc, that everyone uses. If unsure, use those as everyone targets them. Over time your trust in the MPI will grow.
The beauty of the MPI is it will not take you out of a winning trade and NEVER caps gains. You position sizing and management will be key to your success. This is a big key. We ride the waves for as long as they let us, but we know when to jump off and catch the next wave.
We are wavenostic.
I like the idea of releasing the script for people and letting them create their own vision with it. I have no doubt there is someone out there that will see things differently and even might find a better way to use the MPI than I have found. This is very exciting.
If you find any benefits from the MPI and create your trading using it, please contact me and let me know!
Im so curious, and I know with all the powerful minds in this space, there is plenty of room for growth.
I dont need to talk about my gains or percentages. Working amazing for me does NOT mean it will or you.
But remember, that does NOT mean you CANT do way better than me. Its up to you. Do it.
Indicators designed to work together:
Medic's Pulse Indicator - Indicator v6 (MPI-v6)
Medic's Pulse Indicator - Pulse v6 (MPI-v6)
Medic's Pulse Indicator - RS (MPI-RS)
Medic's Pulse Indicator - WaveTrend (MPI-WaveTrend)
A very special and heart felt thanks goes out to my good friend and part of the fam, OhHeyMatty.
Matty shares my love for others and desire to spread as much good as possible. We know one of the ways we are strongest is helping people interpret markets. So please enjoy and best wishes!
And a heartfelt thanks goes to rapper and inspiration, Nipsey Hustle.
if you think that is just rap, I encourage you to listen to the words. Nipsey will always be someone special that inspires me on the deepest level. Same with 2Pac, Biggie and all the true OG's. Listen to the words before you tell me its just rap. You might be surprised, to the level of being overwhelmed with inspiration. Or you might just think its some thugs singing about money. The choice is yours.
Everything is what you make it. You decide. The world is what you make it. Make is amazing. Cheers!
TASC 2025.06 Cybernetic Oscillator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Cybernetic Oscillator introduced by John F. Ehlers in his article "The Cybernetic Oscillator For More Flexibility, Making A Better Oscillator" from the June 2025 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips . It cascades two-pole highpass and lowpass filters, then scales the result by its root mean square (RMS) to create a flexible normalized oscillator that responds to a customizable frequency range for different trading styles.
█ CONCEPTS
Oscillators are indicators widely used by technical traders. These indicators swing above and below a center value, emphasizing cyclic movements within a frequency range. In his article, Ehlers explains that all oscillators share a common characteristic: their calculations involve computing differences . The reliance on differences is what causes these indicators to oscillate about a central point.
The difference between two data points in a series acts as a highpass filter — it allows high frequencies (short wavelengths) to pass through while significantly attenuating low frequencies (long wavelengths). Ehlers demonstrates that a simple difference calculation attenuates lower-frequency cycles at a rate of 6 dB per octave. However, the difference also significantly amplifies cycles near the shortest observable wavelength, making the result appear noisier than the original series. To mitigate the effects of noise in a differenced series, oscillators typically smooth the series with a lowpass filter, such as a moving average.
Ehlers highlights an underlying issue with smoothing differenced data to create oscillators. He postulates that market data statistically follows a pink spectrum , where the amplitudes of cyclic components in the data are approximately directly proportional to the underlying periods. Specifically, he suggests that cyclic amplitude increases by 6 dB per octave of wavelength.
Because some conventional oscillators, such as RSI, use differencing calculations that attenuate cycles by only 6 dB per octave, and market cycles increase in amplitude by 6 dB per octave, such calculations do not have a tangible net effect on larger wavelengths in the analyzed data. The influence of larger wavelengths can be especially problematic when using these oscillators for mean reversion or swing signals. For instance, an expected reversion to the mean might be erroneous because oscillator's mean might significantly deviate from its center over time.
To address the issues with conventional oscillator responses, Ehlers created a new indicator dubbed the Cybernetic Oscillator. It uses a simple combination of highpass and lowpass filters to emphasize a specific range of frequencies in the market data, then normalizes the result based on RMS. The process is as follows:
Apply a two-pole highpass filter to the data. This filter's critical period defines the longest wavelength in the oscillator's passband.
Apply a two-pole SuperSmoother (lowpass filter) to the highpass-filtered data. This filter's critical period defines the shortest wavelength in the passband.
Scale the resulting waveform by its RMS. If the filtered waveform follows a normal distribution, the scaled result represents amplitude in standard deviations.
The oscillator's two-pole filters attenuate cycles outside the desired frequency range by 12 dB per octave. This rate outweighs the apparent rate of amplitude increase for successively longer market cycles (6 dB per octave). Therefore, the Cybernetic Oscillator provides a more robust isolation of cyclic content than conventional oscillators. Best of all, traders can set the periods of the highpass and lowpass filters separately, enabling fine-tuning of the frequency range for different trading styles.
█ USAGE
The "Highpass period" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab specifies the longest wavelength in the oscillator's passband, and the "Lowpass period" input defines the shortest wavelength. The oscillator becomes more responsive to rapid movements with a smaller lowpass period. Conversely, it becomes more sensitive to trends with a larger highpass period. Ehlers recommends setting the smallest period to a value above 8 to avoid aliasing. The highpass period must not be smaller than the lowpass period. Otherwise, it causes a runtime error.
The "RMS length" input determines the number of bars in the RMS calculation that the indicator uses to normalize the filtered result.
This indicator also features two distinct display styles, which users can toggle with the "Display style" input. With the "Trend" style enabled, the indicator plots the oscillator with one of two colors based on whether its value is above or below zero. With the "Threshold" style enabled, it plots the oscillator as a gray line and highlights overbought and oversold areas based on the user-specified threshold.
Below, we show two instances of the script with different settings on an equities chart. The first uses the "Threshold" style with default settings to pass cycles between 20 and 30 bars for mean reversion signals. The second uses a larger highpass period of 250 bars and the "Trend" style to visualize trends based on cycles spanning less than one year:
Green*DiamondGreen*Diamond (GD1)
Unleash Dynamic Trading Signals with Volatility and Momentum
Overview
GreenDiamond is a versatile overlay indicator designed for traders seeking actionable buy and sell signals across various markets and timeframes. Combining Volatility Bands (VB) bands, Consolidation Detection, MACD, RSI, and a unique Ribbon Wave, it highlights high-probability setups while filtering out noise. With customizable signals like Green-Yellow Buy, Pullback Sell, and Inverse Pullback Buy, plus vibrant candle and volume visuals, GreenDiamond adapts to your trading style—whether you’re scalping, day trading, or swing trading.
Key Features
Volatility Bands (VB): Plots dynamic upper and lower bands to identify breakouts or reversals, with toggleable buy/sell signals outside consolidation zones.
Consolidation Detection: Marks low-range periods to avoid choppy markets, ensuring signals fire during trending conditions.
MACD Signals: Offers flexible buy/sell conditions (e.g., cross above signal, above zero, histogram up) with RSI divergence integration for precision.
RSI Filter: Enhances signals with customizable levels (midline, oversold/overbought) and bullish divergence detection.
Ribbon Wave: Visualizes trend strength using three EMAs, colored by MACD and RSI for intuitive momentum cues.
Custom Signals: Includes Green-Yellow Buy, Pullback Sell, and Inverse Pullback Buy, with limits on consecutive signals to prevent overtrading.
Candle & Volume Styling: Blends MACD/RSI colors on candles and scales volume bars to highlight momentum spikes.
Alerts: Set up alerts for VB signals, MACD crosses, Green*Diamond signals, and custom conditions to stay on top of opportunities.
How It Works
Green*Diamond integrates multiple indicators to generate signals:
Volatility Bands: Calculates bands using a pivot SMA and standard deviation. Buy signals trigger on crossovers above the lower band, sell signals on crossunders below the upper band (if enabled).
Consolidation Filter: Suppresses signals when candle ranges are below a threshold, keeping you out of flat markets.
MACD & RSI: Combines MACD conditions (e.g., cross above signal) with RSI filters (e.g., above midline) and optional volume spikes for robust signals.
Custom Logic: Green-Yellow Buy uses MACD bullishness, Pullback Sell targets retracements, and Inverse Pullback Buy catches reversals after downmoves—all filtered to avoid consolidation.
Visuals: Ribbon Wave shows trend direction, candles blend momentum colors, and volume bars scale dynamically to confirm signals.
Settings
Volatility Bands Settings:
VB Lookback Period (20): Adjust to 10–15 for faster markets (e.g., 1-minute scalping) or 25–30 for daily charts.
Upper/Lower Band Multiplier (1.0): Increase to 1.5–2.0 for wider bands in volatile stocks like AEHL; decrease to 0.5 for calmer markets.
Show Volatility Bands: Toggle off to reduce chart clutter.
Use VB Signals: Enable for breakout-focused trades; disable to focus on Green*Diamond signals.
Consolidation Settings:
Consolidation Lookback (14): Set to 5–10 for small caps (e.g., AEHL) to catch quick consolidations; 20 for higher timeframes.
Range Threshold (0.5): Lower to 0.3 for stricter filtering in choppy markets; raise to 0.7 for looser signals.
MACD Settings:
Fast/Slow Length (12/26): Shorten to 8/21 for scalping; extend to 15/34 for swing trading.
Signal Smoothing (9): Reduce to 5 for faster signals; increase to 12 for smoother trends.
Buy/Sell Signal Options: Choose “Cross Above Signal” for classic MACD; “Histogram Up” for momentum plays.
Use RSI Div + MACD Cross: Enable for high-probability reversal signals.
RSI Settings:
RSI Period (14): Drop to 10 for 1-minute charts; raise to 20 for daily.
Filter Level (50): Set to 55 for stricter buys; 45 for sells.
Overbought/Oversold (70/30): Tighten to 65/35 for small caps; widen to 75/25 for indices.
RSI Buy/Sell Options: Select “Bullish Divergence” for reversals; “Cross Above Oversold” for momentum.
Color Settings:
Adjust bullish/bearish colors for visibility (e.g., brighter green/red for dark themes).
Border Thickness (1): Increase to 2–3 for clearer candle outlines.
Volume Settings:
Volume Average Length (20): Shorten to 10 for scalping; extend to 30 for swing trades.
Volume Multiplier (2.0): Raise to 3.0 for AEHL’s volume surges; lower to 1.5 for steady stocks.
Bar Height (10%): Increase to 15% for prominent bars; decrease to 5% to reduce clutter.
Ribbon Settings:
EMA Periods (10/20/30): Tighten to 5/10/15 for scalping; widen to 20/40/60 for trends.
Color by MACD/RSI: Disable for simpler visuals; enable for dynamic momentum cues.
Gradient Fill: Toggle on for trend clarity; off for minimalism.
Custom Signals:
Enable Green-Yellow Buy: Use for momentum confirmation; limit to 1–2 signals to avoid spam.
Pullback/Inverse Pullback % (50): Set to 30–40% for small caps; 60–70% for indices.
Max Buy Signals (1): Increase to 2–3 for active markets; keep at 1 for discipline.
Tips and Tricks
Scalping Small Caps (e.g., AEHL):
Use 1-minute charts with VB Lookback = 10, Consolidation Lookback = 5, and Volume Multiplier = 3.0 to catch $0.10–$0.20 moves.
Enable Green-Yellow Buy and Inverse Pullback Buy for quick entries; disable VB Signals to focus on Green*Diamond logic.
Pair with SMC+ green boxes (if you use them) for reversal confirmation.
Day Trading:
Try 5-minute charts with MACD Fast/Slow = 8/21 and RSI Period = 10.
Enable RSI Divergence + MACD Cross for high-probability setups; set Max Buy Signals = 2.
Watch for volume bars turning yellow to confirm entries.
Swing Trading:
Use daily charts with VB Lookback = 30, Ribbon EMAs = 20/40/60.
Enable Pullback Sell (60%) to exit after rallies; disable RSI Color for cleaner candles.
Check Ribbon Wave gradient for trend strength—bright green signals strong bulls.
Avoiding Noise:
Increase Consolidation Threshold to 0.7 on volatile days to skip false breakouts.
Disable Ribbon Wave or Volume Bars if the chart feels crowded.
Limit Max Buy Signals to 1 for disciplined trading.
Alert Setup:
In TradingView’s Alerts panel, select:
“GD Buy Signal” for standard entries.
“RSI Div + MACD Cross Buy” for reversals.
“VB Buy Signal” for breakout plays.
Set to “Once Per Bar Close” for confirmed signals; “Once Per Bar” for scalping.
Backtesting:
Replay on small caps ( Float < 5M, Price $0.50–$5) to test signals.
Focus on “GD Buy Signal” with yellow volume bars and green Ribbon Wave.
Avoid signals during gray consolidation squares unless paired with RSI Divergence.
Usage Notes
Markets: Works on stocks, forex, crypto, and indices. Best for volatile assets (e.g., small-cap stocks, BTCUSD).
Timeframes: Scalping (1–5 minutes), day trading (15–60 minutes), or swing trading (daily). Adjust settings per timeframe.
Risk Management: Combine with stop-losses (e.g., 1% risk, $0.05 below AEHL entry) and take-profits (3–5%).
Customization: Tweak inputs to match your strategy—experiment in replay to find your sweet spot.
Disclaimer
Green*Diamond is a technical tool to assist with trade identification, not a guarantee of profits. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Always conduct your own analysis, manage risk, and test settings before live trading.
Feedback
Love Green*Diamond? Found a killer setup?
SCE GANN PredictionsThis is a script designed to give an insight on price direction from being above or below a GANN Value.
What Are GANN Waves?
The SCE GANN Predictions indicator is inspired by the work of W.D. Gann, a renowned trader who believed that price movements follow geometric and mathematical patterns. GANN waves use past price behavior—specifically momentum or "velocity"—to forecast where prices might head next.
How Does the Indicator Work?
Calculating Velocity
The script starts by measuring the "velocity" of price movement over a user-defined lookback period (denoted as n). This velocity is the average difference between the close and open prices over n bars. Think of it as the market’s speed in a given direction.
Predicting the Future Price
Using this velocity, the indicator estimates a future price after a specific time horizon—calculated as n + n*2 bars into the future (e.g., if n = 15, it predicts 45 bars ahead). It scales the velocity by a ratio (Gr) to determine the "end price." This is the raw GANN prediction.
Optimizing the Ratio (Gr)
The key to a good prediction is finding the right Gr. The script tests a range of Gr values (from Gr_min to Gr_max, stepping by Gr_step) and evaluates each one by calculating the sum of squared errors (SSE) between the predicted prices and the actual historical close prices. The Gr with the lowest SSE is deemed "optimal" and used for the final prediction.
Smoothing with an SMA
The raw GANN prediction is then smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) over the lookback period (n). This SMA is plotted on your chart, serving as a dynamic trend line. The plot’s color changes based on the current price: teal if the close is above the SMA (bullish), and red if below (bearish).
Visuals
This example shows how the value explains price strength and changes color. When the price is above the line, and it’s green, we’re showing an up trend. The opposite is when the price is below the line, and it’s red, showing a down trend.
We can see that there may be moments where price drops under the value for just that one bar.
In scenarios with sideways price action, even though the price crosses, there is no follow through. This is a shortcoming of the overall concept.
Customizable Inputs
Timeframe: Choose the timeframe for analysis (default is 2 minutes).
Show GANN Wave: Toggle the GANN SMA plot on or off (default is true).
Lookback Period (Gn): Set the number of bars for velocity and SMA calculations (default is 15).
Min Ratio (Gr_min): The lower bound for the Gr optimization (default is 0.05).
Max Ratio (Gr_max): The upper bound for Gr (default is 0.2).
Step for Gr (Gr_step): The increment for testing Gr values (default is 0.01).
How to Use SCE GANN Predictions
Trend Direction
The colored SMA provides a quick visual cue. Teal suggests an uptrend, while red hints at a downtrend. Use this to align your trades with the broader momentum.
Crossover Signals
Watch for the close price crossing the GANN SMA. A move above could signal a buy opportunity, while a drop below might indicate a sell. Combine this with other indicators for confirmation.
Fine-Tuning
Experiment with the lookback period (Gn) and Gr range to optimize for your market. Shorter lookbacks might suit fast-moving assets, while longer ones could work for slower trends.
Like any technical tool, SCE GANN Predictions isn’t a crystal ball. It’s based on historical data and mathematical assumptions, so it won’t always be spot-on.
Quick scan for cycles🙏🏻
The followup for
As I told before, ML based algorading is all about detecting any kind of non-randomness & exploiting it (cuz allegedly u cant trade randomness), and cycles are legit patterns that can be leveraged
But bro would u really apply Fourier / Wavelets / 'whatever else heavy' on every update of thousands of datasets, esp in real time on HFT / nearly HFT data? That's why this metric. It works much faster & eats hell of a less electicity, will do initial rough filtering of time series that might contain any kind of cyclic behaviour. And then, only on these filtered datasets u gonna put Periodograms / Autocorrelograms and see what's going there for real. Better to do it 10x times less a day on 10x less datasets, right?
I ended up with 2 methods / formulas, I called em 'type 0' and 'type 1':
- type 0: takes sum of abs deviations from drift line, scales it by max abs deviation from the same drift line;
- type 1: takes sum of abs deviations from drift line, scales it by range of non-abs deviations from the same drift line.
Finnaly I've chosen type 0 , both logically (sum of abs dev divided by max abs dev makes more sense) and experimentally. About that actually, here are both formulas put on sine waves with uniform noise:
^^ generated sine wave with uniform noise
^^ both formulas on that wave
^^ both formulas on real data
As you can see type 0 is less affected by noise and shows higher values on synthetic data, but I decided to put type 1 inside as well, in case my analysis was not complete and on real data type 1 can actually be better since it has a lil higher info gain / info content (still not sure). But I can assure u that out of all other ways I've designed & tested for quite a time I tell you, these 2 are really the only ones who got there.
Now about dem thresholds and how to use it.
Both type 0 and type 1 can be modelled with Beta distribution, and based on it and on some obvious & tho non mainstream statistical modelling techniques, I got these thresholds, so these are not optimized overfitted values, but natural ones. Each type has 3 thresholds (from lowest to highest):
- typical value (turned off by default). aka basis ;
- typical deviation from typical value, aka deviation ;
- maximum modelled deviation from typical value (idk whow to call it properly for now, this is my own R&D), aka extension .
So when the metric is above one of these thresholds (which one is up to you, you'll read about it in a sec), it means that there might be a strong enough periodic signal inside the data, and the data got to be put through proper spectral analysis tools to confirm / deny it.
If you look at the pictures above again, you'll see gray signal, that's uniform noise. Take a look at it and see where does it sit comparing to the thresholds. Now you just undertand that picking up a threshold is all about the amount of false positives you care to withstand.
If you take basis as threshold, you'll get tons of false positives (that's why it's even turned off by default), but you'll almost never miss a true positive. If you take deviation as threshold, it's gonna be kinda balanced approach. If you take extension as threshold, you gonna miss some cycles, and gonna get only the strongest ones.
More true positives -> more false positives, less false positives -> less true positives, can't go around that mane
Just to be clear again, I am not completely sure yet, but I def lean towards type 0 as metric, and deviation as threshold.
Live Long and Prosper
P.S.: That was actually the main R&D of the last month, that script I've released earlier came out as derivative.
P.S.: These 2 are the first R&Ds made completely in " art-space", St. Petersburg. Come and see me, say wassup🤘🏻
All Harmonic Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws and sends alerts for all of the harmonic patterns in my public library as they occur. The patterns included are as follows:
• Bearish 5-0
• Bullish 5-0
• Bearish ABCD
• Bullish ABCD
• Bearish Alternate Bat
• Bullish Alternate Bat
• Bearish Bat
• Bullish Bat
• Bearish Butterfly
• Bullish Butterfly
• Bearish Cassiopeia A
• Bullish Cassiopeia A
• Bearish Cassiopeia B
• Bullish Cassiopeia B
• Bearish Cassiopeia C
• Bullish Cassiopeia C
• Bearish Crab
• Bullish Crab
• Bearish Deep Crab
• Bullish Deep Crab
• Bearish Cypher
• Bullish Cypher
• Bearish Gartley
• Bullish Gartley
• Bearish Shark
• Bullish Shark
• Bearish Three-Drive
• Bullish Three-Drive
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Measurement Tolerances
Tolerance refers to the allowable variation or deviation from a specific value or dimension. It is the range within which a particular measurement is considered to be acceptable or accurate. I have applied this concept in my pattern detection logic and have set default tolerances where applicable, as perfect patterns are, needless to say, very rare.
Chart Patterns
Generally speaking price charts are nothing more than a series of swing highs and swing lows. When demand outweighs supply over a period of time prices swing higher and when supply outweighs demand over a period of time prices swing lower. These swing highs and swing lows can form patterns that offer insight into the prevailing supply and demand dynamics at play at the relevant moment in time.
‘Let us assume… that you the reader, are not a member of that mysterious inner circle known to the boardrooms as “the insiders”… But it is fairly certain that there are not nearly so many “insiders” as amateur trader supposes and… It is even more certain that insiders can be wrong… Any success they have, however, can be accomplished only by buying and selling… hey can do neither without altering the delicate poise of supply and demand that governs prices. Whatever they do is sooner or later reflected on the charts where you… can detect it. Or detect, at least, the way in which the supply-demand equation is being affected… So, you do not need to be an insider to ride with them frequently… prices move in trends. Some of those trends are straight, some are curved; some are brief and some are long and continued… produced in a series of action and reaction waves of great uniformity. Sooner or later, these trends change direction; they may reverse (as from up to down), or they may be interrupted by some sort of sideways movement and then, after a time, proceed again in their former direction… when a price trend is in the process of reversal… a characteristic area or pattern takes shape on the chart, which becomes recognisable as a reversal formation… Needless to say, the first and most important task of the technical chart analyst is to learn to know the important reversal formations and to judge what they may signify in terms of trading opportunities’ (Edwards & Magee, 1948).
This is as true today as it was when Edwards and Magee were writing in the first half of the last Century, study your patterns and make judgements for yourself about what their implications truly are on the markets and timeframes you are interested in trading.
Over the years, traders have come to discover a multitude of chart and candlestick patterns that are supposed to pertain information on future price movements. However, it is never so clear cut in practice and patterns that where once considered to be reversal patterns are now considered to be continuation patterns and vice versa. Bullish patterns can have bearish implications and bearish patterns can have bullish implications. As such, I would highly encourage you to do your own backtesting.
There is no denying that chart patterns exist, but their implications will vary from market to market and timeframe to timeframe. So it is down to you as an individual to study them and make decisions about how they may be used in a strategic sense.
Harmonic Patterns
The concept of harmonic patterns in trading was first introduced by H.M. Gartley in his book "Profits in the Stock Market", published in 1935. Gartley observed that markets have a tendency to move in repetitive patterns, and he identified several specific patterns that he believed could be used to predict future price movements. The bullish and bearish Gartley patterns are the oldest recognized harmonic patterns in trading and all the other harmonic patterns are modifications of the original Gartley patterns. Gartley patterns are fundamentally composed of 5 points, or 4 waves.
Since then, many other traders and analysts have built upon Gartley's work and developed their own variations of harmonic patterns. One such contributor is Larry Pesavento, who developed his own methods for measuring harmonic patterns using Fibonacci ratios. Pesavento has written several books on the subject of harmonic patterns and Fibonacci ratios in trading. Another notable contributor to harmonic patterns is Scott Carney, who developed his own approach to harmonic trading in the late 1990s and also popularised the use of Fibonacci ratios to measure harmonic patterns. Carney expanded on Gartley's work and also introduced several new harmonic patterns, such as the Shark pattern and the 5-0 pattern.
█ INPUTS
• Change pattern and label colours
• Show or hide patterns individually
• Adjust pattern tolerances
• Set or remove alerts for individual patterns
█ NOTES
You can test the patterns with your own strategies manually by applying the indicator to your chart while in bar replay mode and playing through the history. You could also automate this process with PineScript by using the conditions from my swing and pattern libraries as entry conditions in the strategy tester or your own custom made strategy screener.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
█ SOURCES
Edwards, R., & Magee, J. (1948) Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (10th edn). Reprint, Boca Raton, Florida: Taylor and Francis Group, CRC Press: 2013.
Empirical Kaspa Power Law Full Model v3.1🔶 First we need to understand what Power Laws are.
Power laws are mathematical relationships where one quantity varies as a power of another. They are prevalent in both natural and social systems, describing phenomena such as earthquake magnitudes, word frequencies, and wealth distributions. In a power-law relationship, a change in one quantity results in a proportional change in another, typically following a consistent and predictable mathematical pattern.
🔶 Why Do Power Laws work for Bitcoin and Kaspa?
Power laws work for Bitcoin and Kaspa due to the underlying principles of network dynamics and growth patterns that these cryptocurrencies exhibit. Here's how:
1. Network Growth and User Adoption:
Both Bitcoin and Kaspa grow as more users join their networks. The value of these networks often increases in a manner consistent with Metcalfe’s Law, which states that the value of a network is proportional to the square of its number of users. This relationship is a form of a power law, where network effects lead to exponential growth as more users participate.
2. Mining and Hash Rate:
The mining difficulty and hash rate in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Kaspa adjust based on network activity. As more miners join, the difficulty increases to maintain a stable rate of block production. This self-adjusting mechanism creates feedback loops that can be described by power laws, ensuring the stability and security of the network over time.
3. Price Behavior:
Astrophysicist Giovanni Santostasi discovered that Bitcoin’s price follows a power-law distribution over time. This means that despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s long-term price behavior is predictable and adheres to specific mathematical patterns. Santostasi's model provides a framework for understanding Bitcoin’s price movements and forecasting future trends. He also discovered that Kaspa might be following a power-law aswell but it might be to early to tell because Kaspa hasn't been around for too long(2years).
4. Resource Allocation and System Stability:
As the price of Bitcoin or Kaspa increases, more resources are allocated to mining, leading to more sophisticated mining operations. This iterative process of investment and technological advancement follows a power-law pattern, driving the growth and stability of the network.
In summary, the application of power laws to Bitcoin and Kaspa offers a structured framework for understanding their price movements, network growth, and overall stability. These principles provide valuable predictive tools for long-term forecasting, helping to explain the dynamic behavior of these cryptocurrencies.
🔶 What does it look like on a chart?
Here is the Kaspa power law plotted on the KaspaUSD chart. Notice that the y-axis is in logarithmic scale. Unfortunately, TradingView does not allow the x-axis to be in logarithmic scale, which would otherwise make the power law appear as a straight line.
🔶 All the features of the Empirical Kaspa Power Law Full Model
This indicator includes a variety of scripts and tools, meticulously designed and developed to navigate the Kaspa market effectively.
🔹 Power Law & Deviation bands
The decision to use the lower two bands, marking an area between -40% to -50% below the power law, is based on historical analysis. Historically, this range has proven to be a great buying opportunity. In the case of Bitcoin, the bottom typically lies around -60% from the power law. However, for Kaspa, the bottom appears to be less distant from the power law. This discrepancy can be attributed to the differing supply dynamics of the two. Bitcoin undergoes a halving event approximately every four years, significantly reducing the rate at which new coins are introduced into circulation. This cyclical halving can lead to larger price fluctuations and a greater deviation from the power law. In contrast, Kaspa employs a more gradual reduction in its emission rate, with a 5% decrease each month. This consistent and incremental reduction helps Kaspa's price follow the power law more closely, resulting in less pronounced deviations. Consequently, the bottom for Kaspa tends to be closer to the power law, typically around -40% to -50%, rather than the -60% observed with Bitcoin.
The top two deviation bands are fitted to a few bubble data points, which are honestly not very reliable compared to the bottom bands that are based on a larger number of data points. When examining Bitcoin, we see that the bottoms are quite predictable due to the availability of thousands of data points, making it easier to identify patterns and trends.
However, predicting the tops is significantly more challenging because we lack a substantial amount of data for the peaks. This limited data makes it difficult to draw reliable conclusions about the upper deviation bands. As a result, while the bottom bands offer a robust framework for analysis, the top bands should be approached with caution due to their lesser reliability.
🔹 Alternating Sine wave
In observing the price behavior of Kaspa, an intriguing pattern emerges: it tends to follow a roughly four-month cycle. This cycle appears to alternate between smaller and larger waves. To capture this pattern, the sine wave in our indicator is designed to follow the power law, with both the top and bottom of the wave adjusting according to it.
Here's a simple explanation of how this works:
1. Four-Month Cycle: Empirically, Kaspa’s price seems to oscillate over approximately 120 days. This cycle includes periods of growth and decline, repeating every four months. Within these cycles, we observe alternating phases one smaller and one larger in amplitude.
2. Power Law Influence: The sine wave component of our indicator is not arbitrary; it follows a power law that predicts the general price trend of Kaspa. The power law essentially provides a baseline that reflects the longer-term price trajectory.
3. Diminishing Returns and Smoothing: To model diminishing returns, we adjust the amplitude of the sine wave over time, making it smaller as the cycle progresses. This helps to capture the natural tendency for price movements to become less volatile over longer periods. Additionally, the bottom of the sine wave adheres to the power law, ensuring it remains consistent with the overall trend.
🔹 Sine wave Cycle Start & End
Color transitions play a crucial role in visualizing different phases of the four-month cycle.
Based on empirical data, Kaspa experiences approximately 60 days of downward price action following each cycle peak, a period we refer to as the bear phase. This phase is followed by the bull phase, which also lasts around 60 days. To indicate the cycle peak, we have added a colored warning on the sine wave.
Cycle Start (Purple): The sine wave starts with a purple color, marking the beginning of a new cycle. This bull phase often represents a potential bottom or accumulation zone where prices are lower and stable, offering a strategic point for entering the market.
Cycle Top (Red): As the cycle progresses, the sine wave transitions through colors until it reaches red. This red phase indicates the top of the cycle, where the price is likely peaking. It's a critical area for investors to consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) out of Kaspa, as it signifies a period of potential overvaluation and heightened risk.
These color transitions provide a visual guide to the market's cyclical nature, helping investors identify optimal entry and exit points. By following the sine wave's color changes, you can better time your investments, entering at the start of the cycle and considering exits as the cycle tops out.
🔹 Colored Deviation from the Power Law Bubbles
In trading, having a clear visual signal can significantly enhance decision-making, especially when dealing with complex models like power laws. This inspired the creation of the "deviation bubbles" in my indicator, which provides an intuitive, color-coded visual queue to help me, and other traders, better grasp market deviations and make timely trading decisions.
Here's a breakdown of how the deviation bubbles work:
1. Power Law Reference: The core of the indicator calculates a theoretical price level (the power law price) for Kaspa.
2. Deviation Calculation: For each day, the indicator computes the percentage deviation of the actual closing price from this power law price. This tells how much the market price diverges from the theoretically expected level.
3. Color-Coding Based on Deviation:
The deviation is categorized into various ranges (e.g., ≥ 100%, 90-100%, 80-90%, etc.).
Each range is assigned a distinct color, from red for extreme positive deviations to blue for extreme negative deviations.
This gradient helps in quickly identifying significant market deviations.
By integrating these bubbles into the chart, the indicator offers a simple yet powerful visual tool, aiding in recognizing critical market conditions without the need to delve into complex calculations manually. This approach not only enhances the ease of trading but also helps in overcoming the hesitation often faced when pulling the trigger on trades.
🔹 Projected Power Law Bands
Extends the current power law bands into the future using the same formula that defines the current power law.
Visual Representation: Dotted lines on the chart indicate the projected power law price and deviation bands.
Limitations: TradingView restricts how far these projections can extend, typically up to a reasonable future period.
These projected bands help anticipate future price movements, aiding in more informed trading decisions.
🔹 Projected Sine Wave
This projection continues to calculate the phase and amplitude, adjusting for diminishing returns and cycle transitions. It also estimates the future power law price, ensuring the projection reflects potential market dynamics.
Visual Representation: The projected sine wave is shown with dotted blue lines, providing a clear visual of the expected trend, aiding traders in their decision-making process.
Limitations: Again, TradingView restricts how far these projections can extend, typically up to a reasonable future period.
🔶 Why are all these different scripts made into one indicator?
As a trader and crypto analyst, I needed specific tools and customizations that no other indicator offered. Being a visual person, I rely heavily on visual triggers such as colors and patterns to make trading decisions. Initially, I developed this indicator for my personal use to enhance my market analysis with these visual cues. However, after sharing my insights, other traders expressed interest in using it. In response, I expanded the functionality and added various options to cater to a broader range of users.
This comprehensive indicator integrates multiple features into one tool, providing a powerful and flexible solution for analyzing market trends and making informed trading decisions. The use of colors and visual elements helps in quickly identifying key signals and market phases. The customizable options allow you to fine-tune the indicator to suit your specific needs, making it a versatile tool for both novice and experienced traders.
🔶 Usage & Settings:
This indicator is best used on the Daily chart for KASUSD - crypto because it uses a power law formula based on days.
🔹 Using the Indicator for 4-Month Cycles:
For traders interested in playing the 4-month cycles, this indicator provides a straightforward strategy. When the bubbles turn purple or the sine wave shows the purple start color, it signals a good time to dollar-cost average (DCA) into the market. Conversely, when the bubbles turn red or the cycle top is near, indicated by a red color, it’s time to DCA out of the Kaspa market. This visual approach helps traders make timely decisions based on color-coded signals, simplifying the trading process.
Historically, it was nearly impossible to accurately time all the 4-month cycle tops because they alternate each time. Without the combination of multiple scripts in this indicator, identifying these cyclical patterns and their respective peaks was extremely challenging. This integrated tool now provides a clear and reliable method for detecting these critical points, enhancing trading effectiveness.
🔹 Combining the visual queues for market extremes
The chart above illustrates the alignment of visual cues indicating market extremes. Notably, these visual cues—marked by red and purple boxes—historically pinpoint areas of extreme value or opportunities. When red aligns with red and purple aligns with purple, these zones have consistently indicated significant market extremes.
Understanding and recognizing these patterns provides a strategic advantage. By identifying these visual triggers, traders can plan and execute informed trades with greater confidence whenever similar scenarios unfold in the future.
Kaspa is perhaps one of the most cyclical and predictable cryptocurrencies in the market. Given its consistent behavior, traders might wonder why they would trade anything else. As long as there are no signs indicating a change in Kaspa's cyclical nature, there is no reason to make significant alterations to our predictions. This makes Kaspa an attractive option for traders seeking reliable and repeatable trading opportunities.
🔹 Settings & customization:
As a visually-oriented trader, it is essential to customize the appearance of indicators to effectively navigate the Kaspa market. The Indicator offers extensive customization options, allowing users to modify the colors of various elements to suit their preferences. For example, users can adjust the colors of the deviation bubbles, deviation bands, sine wave, and power law to enhance visual clarity and focus on specific data points. This level of personalization not only enhances the overall user experience but also ensures that the visual representation aligns with unique trading strategies, making it easier to interpret complex market data.
Additionally, users can change the power law inputs and other parameters as shown in the image. For instance, the Power Law Intercept and Power Law Slope can be manually adjusted, allowing traders to update these values. This flexibility is crucial as the future power law for Kaspa may evolve/change.
🔶 Limitations
Like any technical analysis tool, the Empirical Kaspa Power Law Full Model indicator has limitations. It's based on historical data, which may not always accurately predict future market movements.
🔶 Credits
I want to thank Dr. Giovanni Santostasi · Professor of physics and Mathematics.
He was one of the first who applied the concept of the power law to Bitcoin's price movements, which has been instrumental in providing insights into the long-term growth and potential future value of Bitcoin. Giovanni also offers coding classes on his Discord, which I attended. He personally taught me how to code specific things in Pine Editor and Python, sparking my interest in developing my own indicator.
Additionally, I would like to extend my gratitude to the following individuals for their invaluable contributions in terms of ideas, theories, formulas, testing, and guidance:
Forgowork, PlanC, Miko Genno, Chancellor, SavingFace, Kaspapero, JJ Venema.
Luxmi AI Filtered Option Scalping Signals (INDEX)Introduction:
Luxmi AI Filtered Option Scalping Signals (INDEX) is an enhanced iteration of the Luxmi AI Directional Option Buying (Long Only) indicator. It's designed for use on index charts alongside the Luxmi AI Smart Sentimeter (INDEX) indicator to enhance performance. This indicator aims to provide refined signals for option scalping strategies, optimizing trading decisions within index markets.
Understanding directional bias is crucial when trading index and index options because it helps traders align their strategies with the expected movement of the underlying index.
The Luxmi AI Filtered Option Scalping Signals (INDEX) indicator aims to simplify and expedite decision-making through comprehensive technical analysis of various data points on a chart. By leveraging advanced analysis of data points, this indicator scrutinizes multiple factors simultaneously to offer traders clear and rapid insights into market dynamics.
The indicator is specifically designed for option scalping, a trading strategy that aims to profit from short-term price fluctuations. It prioritizes signals that are conducive to quick execution and capitalizes on rapid market movements typical of scalping strategies.
Major Features:
Trend Cloud:
Working Principle:
The script utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess market momentum, identifying bullish and bearish phases based on RSI readings. It calculates two boolean variables, bullmove and bearmove, which signal shifts in momentum direction by considering changes in the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the closing price. When RSI indicates bullish momentum and the closing price's EMA exhibits positive changes, bullmove is triggered, signifying the start of a bullish phase. Conversely, when RSI suggests bearish momentum and the closing price's EMA shows negative changes, bearmove is activated, marking the beginning of a bearish phase. This systematic approach helps in understanding the current trend of the price. The script visually emphasizes these phases on the chart using plot shape markers, providing traders with clear indications of trend shifts.
Benefits of Using Trend Cloud:
Comprehensive Momentum Assessment: The script offers a holistic view of market momentum by incorporating RSI readings and changes in the closing price's EMA, enabling traders to identify both bullish and bearish phases effectively.
Structured Trend Recognition: With the calculation of boolean variables, the script provides a structured approach to recognizing shifts in momentum direction, enhancing traders' ability to interpret market dynamics.
Visual Clarity: Plotshape markers visually highlight the start and end of bullish and bearish phases on the chart, facilitating easy identification of trend shifts and helping traders to stay informed.
Prompt Response: Traders can promptly react to changing market conditions as the script triggers alerts when bullish or bearish phases begin, allowing them to seize potential trading opportunities swiftly.
Informed Decision-Making: By integrating various indicators and visual cues, the script enables traders to make well-informed decisions and adapt their strategies according to prevailing market sentiment, ultimately enhancing their trading performance.
How to use this feature:
The most effective way to maximize the benefits of this feature is to use it in conjunction with other key indicators and visual cues. By combining the color-coded clouds, which indicate bullish and bearish sentiment, with other features such as IS candles, microtrend candles, volume candles, and sentimeter candles, traders can gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. For instance, aligning the color of the clouds with the trend direction indicated by IS candles, microtrend candles, and sentimeter candles can provide confirmation of trend strength or potential reversals.
Furthermore, traders can leverage the trend cloud as a trailing stop-loss tool for long entries, enhancing risk management strategies. By adjusting the stop-loss level based on the color of the cloud, traders can trail their positions to capture potential profits while minimizing losses. For long entries, maintaining the position as long as the cloud remains green can help traders stay aligned with the prevailing bullish sentiment. Conversely, a shift in color from green to red serves as a signal to exit the position, indicating a potential reversal in market sentiment and minimizing potential losses. This integration of the trend cloud as a trailing stop-loss mechanism adds an additional layer of risk management to trading strategies, increasing the likelihood of successful trades while reducing exposure to adverse market movements.
Moreover, the red cloud serves as an indicator of decay in option premiums and potential theta effect, particularly relevant for options traders. When the cloud turns red, it suggests a decline in option prices and an increase in theta decay, highlighting the importance of managing options positions accordingly. Traders may consider adjusting their options strategies, such as rolling positions or closing out contracts, to mitigate the impact of theta decay and preserve capital. By incorporating this insight into options pricing dynamics, traders can make more informed decisions about their options trades.
Scalping Cloud:
The scalping cloud serves as a specialized component within the trend cloud feature, specifically designed to pinpoint potential long and short entry points within the overarching trend cloud. Here's how it works:
Trend Identification: The trend cloud feature typically highlights the prevailing trend direction based on various technical indicators, price action, or other criteria. It visually represents the momentum and direction of the market over a given period.
Refined Entry Signals: Within this broader trend context, the scalping cloud narrows its focus to identify shorter-term trading opportunities. It does this by analyzing more granular price movements and shorter timeframes, seeking out potential entry points that align with the larger trend.
Long and Short Entries: The scalping cloud distinguishes between potential long (buy) and short (sell) entry opportunities within the trend cloud. For instance, within an uptrend indicated by the trend cloud, the scalping cloud might identify brief retracements or pullbacks as potential long entry points. Conversely, in a downtrend, it may signal short entry opportunities during temporary upward corrections.
Risk Management: By identifying potential entry points within the context of the trend, the scalping cloud also aids in risk management. Traders can use these signals to place stop-loss orders and manage their positions effectively, reducing the risk of adverse price movements.
The scalping cloud operates by analyzing the crossover and crossunder events between two key indicators: the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) and a Weighted Average. Here's how it works:
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA): DEMA is a type of moving average that seeks to reduce lag by applying a double smoothing technique to price data. It responds more quickly to price changes compared to traditional moving averages, making it suitable for identifying short-term trends and potential trading opportunities.
Weighted Average: The weighted average calculates the average price of an asset over a specified period. However, it incorporates a weighting scheme that assigns more significance to recent price data, resulting in a more responsive indicator that closely tracks current market trends.
CE and NO CE Signals:
CE signals typically represent a Long Scalping Opportunity, suggesting that conditions are favorable for entering a long position. These signals indicate a strong upward momentum in the market, which traders can exploit for short-term gains through scalping strategies.
On the other hand, when there are no CE signals present, it doesn't necessarily mean that the trend has reversed or turned bearish. Instead, it indicates that the trend is still bullish, but the market is experiencing an active pullback. During a pullback, prices may temporarily retreat from recent highs as traders take profits or reevaluate their positions. While the overall trend remains upward, the pullback introduces a degree of uncertainty, making it less favorable for entering new long positions.
In such a scenario, traders may opt to exercise caution and refrain from entering new long positions until the pullback phase has concluded. Instead, they might consider waiting for confirmation signals, such as the resumption of CE signals or other bullish indications, before reengaging in long positions.
PE and NO PE Signals:
PE signals typically indicate a Short Entry opportunity, signaling that market conditions are conducive to entering a short position.
Conversely, when there are no PE signals present, it signifies that while the trend remains bearish, the market is currently in an active phase of consolidation or pullback. During such periods, prices may temporarily rise from recent lows, reflecting a pause in the downward momentum. While the overall trend remains downward, the absence of PE signals suggests that it may not be an optimal time to enter new short positions.
In this context, traders may exercise caution and wait for clearer signals before initiating new short positions. They might monitor the market closely for signs of a resumption in bearish momentum, such as the emergence of PE signals or other bearish indications. Alternatively, traders may choose to wait on the sidelines until market conditions stabilize or provide clearer directional signals.
Working Principle Of CE and PE Signals:
The feature calculates candlestick values based on the open, high, low, and close prices of each bar. By comparing these derived candlestick values, it determines whether the current candlestick is bullish or bearish. Additionally, it signals when there is a change in the color (bullish or bearish) of the derived candlesticks compared to the previous bar, enabling traders to identify potential shifts in market sentiment.
Micro Trend Candles:
Working Principle:
This feature begins by initializing variables to determine trend channel width and track price movements. Average True Range (ATR) is then calculated to measure market volatility, influencing the channel's size. Highs and lows are identified within a specified range, and trends are assessed based on price breaches, with potential changes signaled accordingly. The price channel is continually updated to adapt to market shifts, and arrows are placed to indicate potential entry points. Colors are assigned to represent bullish and bearish trends, dynamically adjusting based on current market conditions. Finally, candles on the chart are colored to visually depict the identified micro trend, offering traders an intuitive way to interpret market sentiment and potential entry opportunities.
Benefits of using Micro Trend Candles:
Traders can use these identified micro trends to spot potential short-term trading opportunities. For example:
Trend Following: Traders may decide to enter trades aligned with the prevailing micro trend. If the candles are consistently colored in a certain direction, traders may consider entering positions in that direction.
Reversals: Conversely, if the script signals a potential reversal by changing the candle colors, traders may anticipate trend reversals and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. For instance, they might close existing positions or enter new positions in anticipation of a trend reversal.
It's important to note that these micro trends are short-term in nature and may not always align with broader market trends. Therefore, traders utilizing this script should consider their trading timeframes and adjust their strategies accordingly.
How to use this feature:
This feature assigns colors to candles to represent bullish and bearish trends, with adjustments made based on current market conditions. Green candles accompanied by a green trend cloud signal a potential long entry, while red candles suggest caution, indicating a bearish trend. This visual representation allows traders to interpret market sentiment intuitively, identifying optimal entry points and exercising caution during potential downtrends.
Scalping Candles (Inspired by Elliott Wave and Open Interest Concepts):
Working Principle:
This feature draws inspiration from the Elliot Wave method, utilizing technical analysis techniques to discern potential market trends and sentiment shifts. It begins by calculating the variance between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of closing prices, mimicking Elliot Wave's focus on wave and trend analysis. The shorter-term EMA captures immediate price momentum, while the longer-term EMA reflects broader market trends. A smoother Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line, derived from the difference between these EMAs, aids in identifying short-term trend shifts or momentum reversals.
Benefits of using Scalping Candles Inspired by Elliott Wave:
The Elliott Wave principle is a form of technical analysis that attempts to predict future price movements by identifying patterns in market charts. It suggests that markets move in repetitive waves or cycles, and traders can potentially profit by recognizing these patterns.
While this script does not explicitly analyze Elliot Wave patterns, it is inspired by the principle's emphasis on trend analysis and market sentiment. By calculating and visualizing the difference between EMAs and assigning colors to candles based on this analysis, the script aims to provide traders with insights into potential market sentiment shifts, which can align with the broader philosophy of Elliott Wave analysis.
How to use this feature:
Candlestick colors are assigned based on the relationship between the EMA line and the variance. When the variance is below or equal to the EMA line, candles are colored red, suggesting a bearish sentiment. Conversely, when the variance is above the EMA line, candles are tinted green, indicating a bullish outlook. Though not explicitly analyzing Elliot Wave patterns, the script aligns with its principles of trend analysis and market sentiment interpretation. By offering visual cues on sentiment shifts, it provides traders with insights into potential trading opportunities, echoing Elliot Wave's emphasis on pattern recognition and trend analysis.
Chart Timeframe Support and Resistance:
Working Principle:
This feature serves to identify and visualize support and resistance levels on the chart, primarily based on the chosen Chart Timeframe (CTF). It allows users to specify parameters such as the number of bars considered on the left and right sides of each pivot point, as well as line width and label color. Moreover, users have the option to enable or disable the display of these levels. By utilizing functions to calculate pivot highs and lows within the specified timeframe, the script determines the highest high and lowest low surrounding each pivot point.
Additionally, it defines functions to create lines and labels for each detected support and resistance level. Notably, this feature incorporates a trading method that emphasizes the concept of resistance turning into support after breakouts, thereby providing valuable insights for traders employing such strategies. These lines are drawn on the chart, with colors indicating whether the level is above or below the current close price, aiding traders in visualizing key levels and making informed trading decisions.
Benefits of Chart Timeframe Support and Resistance:
Identification of Price Levels: Support and resistance levels help traders identify significant price levels where buying (support) and selling (resistance) pressure may intensify. These levels are often formed based on historical price movements and are regarded as areas of interest for traders.
Decision Making: Support and resistance levels assist traders in making informed trading decisions. By observing price reactions near these levels, traders can gauge market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly. For example, traders may choose to enter or exit positions, set stop-loss orders, or take profit targets based on price behavior around these levels.
Risk Management: Support and resistance levels aid in risk management by providing reference points for setting stop-loss orders. Traders often place stop-loss orders below support levels for long positions and above resistance levels for short positions to limit potential losses if the market moves against them.
How to use this feature:
Planning Long Positions: When considering long positions, it's advantageous to strategize when the price is in proximity to a support level identified by the script. This suggests a potential area of buying interest where traders may expect a bounce or reversal in price. Additionally, confirm the bullish bias by ensuring that the trend cloud is green, indicating favorable market conditions for long trades.
Waiting for Breakout: If long signals are generated near resistance levels detected by the script, exercise patience and wait for a breakout above the resistance. A breakout above resistance signifies potential strength in the upward momentum and may present a more opportune moment to enter long positions. This approach aligns with trading methodologies that emphasize confirmation of bullish momentum before initiating trades.
StopLoss and Target Lines:
In addition to generating entry signals, this indicator also incorporates predefined stop-loss ray lines and configurable risk-reward (R:R) target lines to enhance risk management and profit-taking strategies. Here's how these features work:
Predefined Stop-loss Ray Lines: The indicator automatically plots stop-loss ray lines on the chart, serving as visual guidelines for setting stop-loss levels. These stop-loss lines are predetermined based on specific criteria, such as volatility levels, support and resistance zones, or predefined risk parameters. Traders can use these lines as reference points to place their stop-loss orders, aiming to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position.
Configurable Risk-Reward (R:R) Target Lines: In addition to stop-loss lines, the indicator allows traders to set configurable risk-reward (R:R) target lines on the chart. These target lines represent predefined price levels where traders intend to take profits based on their desired risk-reward ratio. By adjusting the placement of these lines, traders can customize their risk-reward ratios according to their trading preferences and risk tolerance.
Risk Management: The predefined stop-loss ray lines help traders manage risk by providing clear exit points if the trade goes against their expectations. By adhering to these predetermined stop-loss levels, traders can minimize potential losses and protect their trading capital, thereby enhancing overall risk management.
Profit-taking Strategy: On the other hand, the configurable R:R target lines assist traders in establishing profit-taking strategies. By setting target levels based on their desired risk-reward ratio, traders can aim to capture profits at predefined price levels that offer favorable risk-reward profiles. This allows traders to systematically take profits while ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses over the long term.
The stop-loss and target lines incorporated in this indicator are dynamic in nature, providing traders with the flexibility to utilize them as trailing stop-loss and extended take-profit targets. Here's how these dynamic features work:
Trailing Stop-loss: Traders can employ the stop-loss lines as trailing stop-loss levels, allowing them to adjust their stop-loss orders as the market moves in their favor. As the price continues to move in the desired direction, indicator can dynamically adjust the stop-loss line to lock in profits while still allowing room for potential further gains. This trailing stop-loss mechanism helps traders secure profits while allowing their winning trades to continue running as long as the market remains favorable.
Extended Take Profit Targets: Similarly, traders can utilize the target lines as extended take-profit targets, enabling them to capture additional profits beyond their initial profit targets. By adjusting the placement of these target lines based on evolving market conditions or technical signals, traders can extend their profit-taking strategy to capitalize on potential price extensions or trend continuations. This flexibility allows traders to maximize their profit potential by capturing larger price movements while managing their risk effectively.
Rangebound Bars:
When the Rangebound Bars feature is enabled, the indicator represents candles in a distinct purple color to visually denote periods of sideways or range-bound price action. This visual cue helps traders easily identify when the market is consolidating and lacking clear directional momentum. Here's how it works:
Purple Candle Color: When the Rangebound Bars feature is active, the indicator displays candlesticks in a purple color to highlight periods of sideways price movement. This color differentiation stands out against the usual colors used for bullish (e.g., green or white) and bearish (e.g., red or black) candles, making it easier for traders to recognize range-bound conditions at a glance.
Signaling Sideways Price Action: The purple coloration of candles indicates that price movements are confined within a relatively narrow range and lack a clear upward or downward trend. This may occur when the market is consolidating, experiencing indecision, or undergoing a period of accumulation or distribution.
Working Principle:
The Rangebound Bars feature of this indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying and navigating consolidating market conditions, where price movements are confined within a relatively narrow range. This feature utilizes Pivot levels and the Average True Range (ATR) concept to determine when the market is range-bound and provides signals to stay out of such price action. Here's how it works:
Pivot Levels: Pivot levels are key price levels derived from the previous period's high, low, and closing prices. They serve as potential support and resistance levels and are widely used by traders to identify significant price levels where price action may stall or reverse. The Rangebound Bars feature incorporates Pivot levels into its analysis to identify ranges where price tends to consolidate.
Average True Range (ATR): The Average True Range is a measure of market volatility that calculates the average range between the high and low prices over a specified period. It provides traders with insights into the level of price volatility and helps set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels. In the context of the Rangebound Bars feature, ATR is used to gauge the extent of price fluctuations within the identified range.
Luxmi AI Directional Option Buying (Long Only)Introduction:
"Option premium charts typically exhibit a predisposition towards bearish sentiment in higher timeframes"
In the dynamic world of options trading, navigating through the complexities of market trends and price movements is essential for making informed decisions. Among the arsenal of tools available to traders, option premium charts stand out as a pivotal source of insight, particularly in higher timeframes. However, their inherent bearish inclination in such timeframes necessitates a keen eye for identifying bullish pullbacks, especially in lower timeframes, to optimize buying strategies effectively.
Understanding the interplay between different data points becomes paramount in this endeavor. Traders embark on a journey of analysis, delving into metrics such as Implementation Shortfall, the performance of underlying index constituents, and bullish trends observed in lower timeframes like the 1-minute and 3-minute charts. These data points serve as guiding beacons, illuminating potential opportunities amidst the market's ever-shifting landscape.
Using this indicator, we will dissect the significance of option premium charts and their nuanced portrayal of market sentiment. Furthermore, we will unveil the art of discerning bullish pullbacks in lower timeframes, leveraging a multifaceted approach that amalgamates quantitative analysis with qualitative insights. Through this holistic perspective, traders can refine their decision-making processes, striving towards efficiency and efficacy in their options trading endeavors.
Major Features:
Implementation Shortfall (IS) Candles:
Working Principle:
TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) are both commonly used in calculating Implementation Shortfall, a metric that measures the difference between the actual execution price of a trade and the benchmark price.
TWAP calculates the average price of a security over a specified time period, giving equal weight to each interval. On the other hand, EMA places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to current market conditions.
To calculate Implementation Shortfall using TWAP, the difference between the average execution price and the benchmark price is determined over the trading period. Similarly, with EMA, the difference is calculated using the exponential moving average price instead of a simple average.
By employing TWAP and EMA, traders can gauge the effectiveness of their trading strategies and identify areas for improvement in executing trades relative to a benchmark.
Benefits of using Implementation Shortfall:
By visualizing the implementation shortfall and its comparison with the EMA on the chart, traders can quickly assess whether current trading activity is deviating from recent trends.
Green bars suggest potential buying opportunities or bullish sentiment, while red bars suggest potential selling opportunities or bearish sentiment.
Traders can use this visualization to make more informed decisions about their trading strategies, such as adjusting position sizes, entering or exiting trades, or managing risk based on the observed deviations from the moving average.
How to use this feature:
This feature calculates Implementation Shortfall (IS) and visually represents it by coloring the candles in either bullish (green) or bearish (red) hues. This color-coding system provides traders with a quick and intuitive way to assess market sentiment and potential entry points. Specifically, a long entry is signaled when both the candle color and the trend cloud color align as green, indicating a bullish market outlook. This integrated approach enables traders to make informed decisions, leveraging IS insights alongside visual cues for more effective trading strategies.
Micro Trend Candles:
Working Principle:
This feature begins by initializing variables to determine trend channel width and track price movements. Average True Range (ATR) is then calculated to measure market volatility, influencing the channel's size. Highs and lows are identified within a specified range, and trends are assessed based on price breaches, with potential changes signaled accordingly. The price channel is continually updated to adapt to market shifts, and arrows are placed to indicate potential entry points. Colors are assigned to represent bullish and bearish trends, dynamically adjusting based on current market conditions. Finally, candles on the chart are colored to visually depict the identified micro trend, offering traders an intuitive way to interpret market sentiment and potential entry opportunities.
Benefits of using Micro Trend Candles:
Traders can use these identified micro trends to spot potential short-term trading opportunities. For example:
Trend Following: Traders may decide to enter trades aligned with the prevailing micro trend. If the candles are consistently colored in a certain direction, traders may consider entering positions in that direction.
Reversals: Conversely, if the script signals a potential reversal by changing the candle colors, traders may anticipate trend reversals and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. For instance, they might close existing positions or enter new positions in anticipation of a trend reversal.
It's important to note that these micro trends are short-term in nature and may not always align with broader market trends. Therefore, traders utilizing this script should consider their trading timeframes and adjust their strategies accordingly.
How to use this feature:
This feature assigns colors to candles to represent bullish and bearish trends, with adjustments made based on current market conditions. Green candles accompanied by a green trend cloud signal a potential long entry, while red candles suggest caution, indicating a bearish trend. This visual representation allows traders to interpret market sentiment intuitively, identifying optimal entry points and exercising caution during potential downtrends.
Scalping Candles (Inspired by Elliott Wave):
Working Principle:
This feature draws inspiration from the Elliot Wave method, utilizing technical analysis techniques to discern potential market trends and sentiment shifts. It begins by calculating the variance between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of closing prices, mimicking Elliot Wave's focus on wave and trend analysis. The shorter-term EMA captures immediate price momentum, while the longer-term EMA reflects broader market trends. A smoother Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line, derived from the difference between these EMAs, aids in identifying short-term trend shifts or momentum reversals.
Benefits of using Scalping Candles Inspired by Elliott Wave:
The Elliott Wave principle is a form of technical analysis that attempts to predict future price movements by identifying patterns in market charts. It suggests that markets move in repetitive waves or cycles, and traders can potentially profit by recognizing these patterns.
While this script does not explicitly analyze Elliot Wave patterns, it is inspired by the principle's emphasis on trend analysis and market sentiment. By calculating and visualizing the difference between EMAs and assigning colors to candles based on this analysis, the script aims to provide traders with insights into potential market sentiment shifts, which can align with the broader philosophy of Elliott Wave analysis.
How to use this feature:
Candlestick colors are assigned based on the relationship between the EMA line and the variance. When the variance is below or equal to the EMA line, candles are colored red, suggesting a bearish sentiment. Conversely, when the variance is above the EMA line, candles are tinted green, indicating a bullish outlook. Though not explicitly analyzing Elliot Wave patterns, the script aligns with its principles of trend analysis and market sentiment interpretation. By offering visual cues on sentiment shifts, it provides traders with insights into potential trading opportunities, echoing Elliot Wave's emphasis on pattern recognition and trend analysis.
Volume Candles:
Working Principle:
This feature introduces a custom volume calculation method tailored for bullish and bearish bars, enabling a granular analysis of volume dynamics specific to different price movements. By summing volumes over specified periods for bullish and bearish bars, traders gain insights into the intensity of buying and selling pressures during these periods, facilitating a deeper understanding of market sentiment. Subsequently, the script computes the net volume, revealing the overall balance between buying and selling pressures. Positive net volume signifies prevailing bullish sentiment, while negative net volume indicates bearish sentiment.
Benefits of Using Volume candles:
Enhanced Volume Analysis: Traders gain a deeper understanding of volume dynamics specific to bullish and bearish price movements, allowing them to assess the intensity of buying and selling pressures with greater precision.
Insight into Market Sentiment: By computing net volume and analyzing its relationship with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), traders obtain valuable insights into prevailing market sentiment. This helps in identifying potential shifts in sentiment and anticipating market movements.
Visual Representation of Sentiment: The color-coded candle bodies based on volume dynamics provide traders with a visual representation of market sentiment. This intuitive visualization helps in quickly interpreting sentiment shifts and making timely trading decisions.
How to use this feature:
This visual representation allows traders to quickly interpret market sentiment based on volume dynamics. Green candles indicate potential bullish sentiment, while red candles suggest bearish sentiment. The color-coded candle bodies help traders identify shifts in market sentiment and make informed trading decisions.
Smart Sentimeter Candles:
Working Principle:
The "Smart Sentimeter Candles" feature is a tool designed for market sentiment analysis using technical indicators. It begins by defining stock symbols from various sectors, allowing traders to select specific indices for sentiment analysis. The script then calculates the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of the High-Low midpoint, capturing short-term momentum changes in the market. It computes the difference between current and previous values to capture momentum shifts over time.
Additionally, it calculates the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of this difference to provide a smoothed representation of the prevailing trend in market momentum. Another EMA of this difference is calculated to offer an alternative perspective on longer-term momentum trends. Bar colors are determined based on the difference between current and previous values, with bullish and bearish sentiment represented by custom colors. Finally, sentiment candles are visualized on the chart, providing traders with a clear representation of market sentiment changes.
Benefits of Using Sentimeter Candles:
By analyzing index constituents, traders gain insights into the individual stocks that collectively influence the index's performance. This understanding is crucial for trading options as it helps traders tailor their strategies to specific sectors or stocks within the index.
Sector-Specific Analysis: Traders can focus on specific sectors by selecting relevant indices for sentiment analysis.
Momentum Identification: The script identifies short-term momentum changes in the market, aiding traders in spotting potential trend reversals or continuations.
Clear Visualization: Sentiment candles visually represent market sentiment changes, making it easier for traders to interpret and act upon sentiment trends.
How to use this feature:
Select Indices: Toggle the inputs to choose which indices (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY) to analyze.
Interpret Sentiment Candles: Monitor the color of sentiment candles on the chart. Green candles indicate bullish sentiment, while red candles suggest bearish sentiment.
Observe Momentum Changes: Pay attention to momentum changes identified by the difference between EMAs and their respective EMAs. Increasing bullish momentum may present buying opportunities, while increasing bearish momentum could signal potential sell-offs.
Trend Cloud:
Working Principle:
The script utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess market momentum, identifying bullish and bearish phases based on RSI readings. It calculates two boolean variables, bullmove and bearmove, which signal shifts in momentum direction by considering changes in the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the closing price. When RSI indicates bullish momentum and the closing price's EMA exhibits positive changes, bullmove is triggered, signifying the start of a bullish phase. Conversely, when RSI suggests bearish momentum and the closing price's EMA shows negative changes, bearmove is activated, marking the beginning of a bearish phase. This systematic approach helps in understanding the current trend of the price. The script visually emphasizes these phases on the chart using plot shape markers, providing traders with clear indications of trend shifts.
Benefits of Using Trend Cloud:
Comprehensive Momentum Assessment: The script offers a holistic view of market momentum by incorporating RSI readings and changes in the closing price's EMA, enabling traders to identify both bullish and bearish phases effectively.
Structured Trend Recognition: With the calculation of boolean variables, the script provides a structured approach to recognizing shifts in momentum direction, enhancing traders' ability to interpret market dynamics.
Visual Clarity: Plotshape markers visually highlight the start and end of bullish and bearish phases on the chart, facilitating easy identification of trend shifts and helping traders to stay informed.
Prompt Response: Traders can promptly react to changing market conditions as the script triggers alerts when bullish or bearish phases begin, allowing them to seize potential trading opportunities swiftly.
Informed Decision-Making: By integrating various indicators and visual cues, the script enables traders to make well-informed decisions and adapt their strategies according to prevailing market sentiment, ultimately enhancing their trading performance.
How to use this feature:
The most effective way to maximize the benefits of this feature is to use it in conjunction with other key indicators and visual cues. By combining the color-coded clouds, which indicate bullish and bearish sentiment, with other features such as IS candles, microtrend candles, volume candles, and sentimeter candles, traders can gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. For instance, aligning the color of the clouds with the trend direction indicated by IS candles, microtrend candles, and sentimeter candles can provide confirmation of trend strength or potential reversals.
Furthermore, traders can leverage the trend cloud as a trailing stop-loss tool for long entries, enhancing risk management strategies. By adjusting the stop-loss level based on the color of the cloud, traders can trail their positions to capture potential profits while minimizing losses. For long entries, maintaining the position as long as the cloud remains green can help traders stay aligned with the prevailing bullish sentiment. Conversely, a shift in color from green to red serves as a signal to exit the position, indicating a potential reversal in market sentiment and minimizing potential losses. This integration of the trend cloud as a trailing stop-loss mechanism adds an additional layer of risk management to trading strategies, increasing the likelihood of successful trades while reducing exposure to adverse market movements.
Moreover, the red cloud serves as an indicator of decay in option premiums and potential theta effect, particularly relevant for options traders. When the cloud turns red, it suggests a decline in option prices and an increase in theta decay, highlighting the importance of managing options positions accordingly. Traders may consider adjusting their options strategies, such as rolling positions or closing out contracts, to mitigate the impact of theta decay and preserve capital. By incorporating this insight into options pricing dynamics, traders can make more informed decisions about their options trades.
Scalping Opportunities (UpArrow and DownArrow):
Working Principle:
The feature calculates candlestick values based on the open, high, low, and close prices of each bar. By comparing these derived candlestick values, it determines whether the current candlestick is bullish or bearish. Additionally, it signals when there is a change in the color (bullish or bearish) of the derived candlesticks compared to the previous bar, enabling traders to identify potential shifts in market sentiment. This is a long only strategy, hence the signals are plotted only when the Trend Cloud is Green (Bullish).
Benefits of using UpArrow and DownArrow:
Clear Visualization: By employing color-coded candlesticks, the script offers traders a visually intuitive representation of market sentiment, enabling quick interpretation of prevailing conditions.
Signal Identification: Its capability to detect shifts in market sentiment serves as a valuable tool for identifying potential trading opportunities, facilitating timely decision-making and execution.
Long-Only Strategy: The script selectively plots signals only when the trend cloud is green, aligning with a bullish bias and enabling traders to focus on long positions during favorable market conditions.
Up arrows indicate potential long entry points, complementing the bullish bias of the trend cloud. Conversely, down arrows signify an active pullback in progress, signaling caution and prompting traders to refrain from entering long positions during such periods.
How to use this feature:
Confirmation: Confirm bullish market conditions with the Trend Cloud indicator. Ensure alignment between trend cloud signals, candlestick colors, and arrow indicators for confident trading decisions.
Entry Signals: Look for buy signals within a green trend cloud, indicated by bullish candlestick color changes and up arrows, suggesting potential long entry points aligned with the prevailing bullish sentiment.
Wait Signals: Exercise caution when encountering down arrows, which signify wait signals or active pullbacks in progress. Avoid entering long positions during these periods to avoid potential losses.
Exit Strategy: Use trend cloud color changes as signals to exit long positions. When the trend cloud shifts color, consider closing out long positions to lock in profits or minimize losses.
Profit Management: It's important to book or lock in some profits early on in option buying. Consider taking partial profits when the trade is in your favor and trail the remaining position to maximize gains on favorable trades.
Risk Management: Implement stop-loss orders or trailing stops to manage risk effectively. Exit positions promptly if sentiment shifts or if price movements deviate from the established trend, safeguarding capital.
Up and Down Signals:
Working Principle:
This feature calculates Trailing Stoploss (TSL) using the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically adjust the stop level based on price movements. It generates buy signals when the price crosses above the trailing stop and sell signals when it crosses below. These signals are plotted on the chart and trigger alerts, signaling potential trading opportunities. Additionally, the script selectively plots Up and Down signals only when the Implementation Shortfall Calculation identifies scalp opportunities, independent of the prevailing price trend.
Benefits of using Up and Down Signals:
Trailing Stoploss: The script employs an ATR-based trailing stop, allowing traders to adjust stop levels dynamically in response to changing market conditions, thereby maximizing profit potential and minimizing losses.
Clear Signal Generation: Buy and sell signals are generated based on price interactions with the trailing stop, providing clear indications of entry and exit points for traders to act upon.
Alert Notifications: The script triggers alerts when buy or sell signals are generated, ensuring traders remain informed of potential trading opportunities even when not actively monitoring the charts.
Scalping Opportunities: By incorporating Implementation Shortfall Calculation, the script identifies scalp opportunities, enabling traders to capitalize on short-term price movements irrespective of the prevailing trend.
How to use this feature:
Signal Interpretation: Interpret Up signals as opportunities to enter long positions when the price crosses above the trailing stop, and Down signals as cues to exit.
Alert Monitoring: Pay attention to alert notifications triggered by the script, indicating potential trading opportunities based on signal generation.
Scalping Strategy: When Up and Down signals are plotted alongside scalp opportunities identified by the Implementation Shortfall Calculation, consider scalping trades aligned with these signals for short-term profit-taking, regardless of the overall market trend.
Consideration of Trend Cloud: Remember that this feature does not account for the underlying trend provided by the Trend Cloud feature. Consequently, the take profit levels generated by the trailing stop may be smaller than those derived from trend-following strategies. It's advisable to supplement this feature with additional trend analysis to optimize profit-taking levels and enhance overall trading performance.
Chart Timeframe Support and Resistance:
Working Principle:
This feature serves to identify and visualize support and resistance levels on the chart, primarily based on the chosen Chart Timeframe (CTF). It allows users to specify parameters such as the number of bars considered on the left and right sides of each pivot point, as well as line width and label color. Moreover, users have the option to enable or disable the display of these levels. By utilizing functions to calculate pivot highs and lows within the specified timeframe, the script determines the highest high and lowest low surrounding each pivot point.
Additionally, it defines functions to create lines and labels for each detected support and resistance level. Notably, this feature incorporates a trading method that emphasizes the concept of resistance turning into support after breakouts, thereby providing valuable insights for traders employing such strategies. These lines are drawn on the chart, with colors indicating whether the level is above or below the current close price, aiding traders in visualizing key levels and making informed trading decisions.
Benefits of Chart Timeframe Support and Resistance:
Identification of Price Levels: Support and resistance levels help traders identify significant price levels where buying (support) and selling (resistance) pressure may intensify. These levels are often formed based on historical price movements and are regarded as areas of interest for traders.
Decision Making: Support and resistance levels assist traders in making informed trading decisions. By observing price reactions near these levels, traders can gauge market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly. For example, traders may choose to enter or exit positions, set stop-loss orders, or take profit targets based on price behavior around these levels.
Risk Management: Support and resistance levels aid in risk management by providing reference points for setting stop-loss orders. Traders often place stop-loss orders below support levels for long positions and above resistance levels for short positions to limit potential losses if the market moves against them.
How to use this feature:
Planning Long Positions: When considering long positions, it's advantageous to strategize when the price is in proximity to a support level identified by the script. This suggests a potential area of buying interest where traders may expect a bounce or reversal in price. Additionally, confirm the bullish bias by ensuring that the trend cloud is green, indicating favorable market conditions for long trades.
Waiting for Breakout: If long signals are generated near resistance levels detected by the script, exercise patience and wait for a breakout above the resistance. A breakout above resistance signifies potential strength in the upward momentum and may present a more opportune moment to enter long positions. This approach aligns with trading methodologies that emphasize confirmation of bullish momentum before initiating trades.
Settings:
The Index Constituent Analysis setting empowers users to input the constituents of a specific index, facilitating the analysis of market sentiments based on the performance of these individual components. An index serves as a statistical measure of changes in a portfolio of securities representing a particular market or sector, with constituents representing the individual assets or securities comprising the index.
By providing the constituent list, users gain insights into market sentiments by observing how each constituent performs within the broader index. This analysis aids traders and investors in understanding the underlying dynamics driving the index's movements, identifying trends or anomalies, and making informed decisions regarding their investment strategies.
This setting empowers users to customize their analysis based on specific indexes relevant to their trading or investment objectives, whether tracking a benchmark index, sector-specific index, or custom index. Analyzing constituent performance offers a valuable tool for market assessment and decision-making.
Example: BankNifty Index and Its Constituents
Illustratively, the BankNifty index represents the performance of the banking sector in India and includes major banks and financial institutions listed on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). Prominent constituents of the BankNifty index include:
State Bank of India (SBIN)
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Kotak Mahindra Bank
Axis Bank
IndusInd Bank
Punjab National Bank (PNB)
Yes Bank
Federal Bank
IDFC First Bank
By utilizing the Index Constituent Analysis setting and inputting these constituent stocks of the BankNifty index, traders and investors can assess the individual performance of these banking stocks within the broader banking sector index. This analysis enables them to gauge market sentiments, identify trends, and make well-informed decisions regarding their trading or investment strategies in the banking sector.
Example: NAS100 Index and Its Constituents
Similarly, the NAS100 index, known as the NASDAQ-100, tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Prominent constituents of the NAS100 index include technology and consumer discretionary stocks such as:
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
Facebook Inc. (FB)
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL)
Netflix Inc. (NFLX)
Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
By inputting these constituent stocks of the NAS100 index into the Index Constituent Analysis setting, traders and investors can analyze the individual performance of these technology and consumer discretionary stocks within the broader NASDAQ-100 index. This analysis facilitates the evaluation of market sentiments, identification of trends, and informed decision-making regarding trading or investment strategies in the technology and consumer sectors.
Example: FTSE 100 Index and Its Constituents
The FTSE 100 index represents the performance of the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) by market capitalization. Some notable constituents of the FTSE 100 index include:
HSBC Holdings plc
BP plc
GlaxoSmithKline plc
Unilever plc
Royal Dutch Shell plc
AstraZeneca plc
Diageo plc
Rio Tinto plc
British American Tobacco plc
Reckitt Benckiser Group plc
By inputting these constituent stocks of the FTSE 100 index into the Index Constituent Analysis setting, traders and investors can analyze the individual performance of these diverse companies within the broader UK market index. This analysis facilitates the evaluation of market sentiments, identification of trends, and informed decision-making regarding trading or investment strategies in the UK market.
This comprehensive approach enables users to dissect index performance effectively, providing valuable insights for investors and traders across different markets and sectors.
Index Selection - Index Selection allows traders to specify the index for Sentimeter calculations, enabling customization for Call and Put Option charts corresponding to the chosen index.
Support and Resistance Levels - Set the left and right bars to consider pivot high and low to draw Support and resistance lines. Linewidth setting to help increase the width of the Support and Resistance lines. Label Color to change the color of the labels.
Style Section Colors to allow users to customize the color scheme to their liking.
[Excalibur] Ehlers AutoCorrelation Periodogram ModifiedKeep your coins folks, I don't need them, don't want them. If you wish be generous, I do hope that charitable peoples worldwide with surplus food stocks may consider stocking local food banks before stuffing monetary bank vaults, for the crusade of remedying the needs of less than fortunate children, parents, elderly, homeless veterans, and everyone else who deserves nutritional sustenance for the soul.
DEDICATION:
This script is dedicated to the memory of Nikolai Dmitriyevich Kondratiev (Никола́й Дми́триевич Кондра́тьев) as tribute for being a pioneering economist and statistician, paving the way for modern econometrics by advocation of rigorous and empirical methodologies. One of his most substantial contributions to the study of business cycle theory include a revolutionary hypothesis recognizing the existence of dynamic cycle-like phenomenon inherent to economies that are characterized by distinct phases of expansion, stagnation, recession and recovery, what we now know as "Kondratiev Waves" (K-waves). Kondratiev was one of the first economists to recognize the vital significance of applying quantitative analysis on empirical data to evaluate economic dynamics by means of statistical methods. His understanding was that conceptual models alone were insufficient to adequately interpret real-world economic conditions, and that sophisticated analysis was necessary to better comprehend the nature of trending/cycling economic behaviors. Additionally, he recognized prosperous economic cycles were predominantly driven by a combination of technological innovations and infrastructure investments that resulted in profound implications for economic growth and development.
I will mention this... nation's economies MUST be supported and defended to continuously evolve incrementally in order to flourish in perpetuity OR suffer through eras with lasting ramifications of societal stagnation and implosion.
Analogous to the realm of economics, aperiodic cycles/frequencies, both enduring and ephemeral, do exist in all facets of life, every second of every day. To name a few that any blind man can naturally see are: heartbeat (cardiac cycles), respiration rates, circadian rhythms of sleep, powerful magnetic solar cycles, seasonal cycles, lunar cycles, weather patterns, vegetative growth cycles, and ocean waves. Do not pretend for one second that these basic aforementioned examples do not affect business cycle fluctuations in minuscule and monumental ways hour to hour, day to day, season to season, year to year, and decade to decade in every nation on the planet. Kondratiev's original seminal theories in macroeconomics from nearly a century ago have proven remarkably prescient with many of his antiquated elementary observations/notions/hypotheses in macroeconomics being scholastically studied and topically researched further. Therefore, I am compelled to honor and recognize his statistical insight and foresight.
If only.. Kondratiev could hold a pocket sized computer in the cup of both hands bearing the TradingView logo and platform services, I truly believe he would be amazed in marvelous delight with a GARGANTUAN smile on his face.
INTRODUCTION:
Firstly, this is NOT technically speaking an indicator like most others. I would describe it as an advanced cycle period detector to obtain market data spectral estimates with low latency and moderate frequency resolution. Developers can take advantage of this detector by creating scripts that utilize a "Dominant Cycle Source" input to adaptively govern algorithms. Be forewarned, I would only recommend this for advanced developers, not novice code dabbling. Although, there is some Pine wizardry introduced here for novice Pine enthusiasts to witness and learn from. AI did describe the code into one super-crunched sentence as, "a rare feat of exceptionally formatted code masterfully balancing visual clarity, precision, and complexity to provide immense educational value for both programming newcomers and expert Pine coders alike."
Understand all of the above aforementioned? Buckle up and proceed for a lengthy read of verbose complexity...
This is my enhanced and heavily modified version of autocorrelation periodogram (ACP) for Pine Script v5.0. It was originally devised by the mathemagician John Ehlers for detecting dominant cycles (frequencies) in an asset's price action. I have been sitting on code similar to this for a long time, but I decided to unleash the advanced code with my fashion. Originally Ehlers released this with multiple versions, one in a 2016 TASC article and the other in his last published 2013 book "Cycle Analytics for Traders", chapter 8. He wasn't joking about "concepts of advanced technical trading" and ACP is nowhere near to his most intimidating and ingenious calculations in code. I will say the book goes into many finer details about the original periodogram, so if you wish to delve into even more elaborate info regarding Ehlers' original ACP form AND how you may adapt algorithms, you'll have to obtain one. Note to reader, comparing Ehlers' original code to my chimeric code embracing the "Power of Pine", you will notice they have little resemblance.
What you see is a new species of autocorrelation periodogram combining Ehlers' innovation with my fascinations of what ACP could be in a Pine package. One other intention of this script's code is to pay homage to Ehlers' lifelong works. Like Kondratiev, Ehlers is also a hardcore cycle enthusiast. I intend to carry on the fire Ehlers envisioned and I believe that is literally displayed here as a pleasant "fiery" example endowed with Pine. With that said, I tried to make the code as computationally efficient as possible, without going into dozens of more crazy lines of code to speed things up even more. There's also a few creative modifications I made by making alterations to the originating formulas that I felt were improvements, one of them being lag reduction. By recently questioning every single thing I thought I knew about ACP, combined with the accumulation of my current knowledge base, this is the innovative revision I came up with. I could have improved it more but decided not to mind thrash too many TV members, maybe later...
I am now confident Pine should have adequate overhead left over to attach various indicators to the dominant cycle via input.source(). TV, I apologize in advance if in the future a server cluster combusts into a raging inferno... Coders, be fully prepared to build entire algorithms from pure raw code, because not all of the built-in Pine functions fully support dynamic periods (e.g. length=ANYTHING). Many of them do, as this was requested and granted a while ago, but some functions are just inherently finicky due to implementation combinations and MUST be emulated via raw code. I would imagine some comprehensive library or numerous authored scripts have portions of raw code for Pine built-ins some where on TV if you look diligently enough.
Notice: Unfortunately, I will not provide any integration support into member's projects at all. I have my own projects that require way too much of my day already. While I was refactoring my life (forgoing many other "important" endeavors) in the early half of 2023, I primarily focused on this code over and over in my surplus time. During that same time I was working on other innovations that are far above and beyond what this code is. I hope you understand.
The best way programmatically may be to incorporate this code into your private Pine project directly, after brutal testing of course, but that may be too challenging for many in early development. Being able to see the periodogram is also beneficial, so input sourcing may be the "better" avenue to tether portions of the dominant cycle to algorithms. Unique indication being able to utilize the dominantCycle may be advantageous when tethering this script to those algorithms. The easiest way is to manually set your indicators to what ACP recognizes as the dominant cycle, but that's actually not considered dynamic real time adaption of an indicator. Different indicators may need a proportion of the dominantCycle, say half it's value, while others may need the full value of it. That's up to you to figure that out in practice. Sourcing one or more custom indicators dynamically to one detector's dominantCycle may require code like this: `int sourceDC = int(math.max(6, math.min(49, input.source(close, "Dominant Cycle Source"))))`. Keep in mind, some algos can use a float, while algos with a for loop require an integer.
I have witnessed a few attempts by talented TV members for a Pine based autocorrelation periodogram, but not in this caliber. Trust me, coding ACP is no ordinary task to accomplish in Pine and modifying it blessed with applicable improvements is even more challenging. For over 4 years, I have been slowly improving this code here and there randomly. It is beautiful just like a real flame, but... this one can still burn you! My mind was fried to charcoal black a few times wrestling with it in the distant past. My very first attempt at translating ACP was a month long endeavor because PSv3 simply didn't have arrays back then. Anyways, this is ACP with a newer engine, I hope you enjoy it. Any TV subscriber can utilize this code as they please. If you are capable of sufficiently using it properly, please use it wisely with intended good will. That is all I beg of you.
Lastly, you now see how I have rasterized my Pine with Ehlers' swami-like tech. Yep, this whole time I have been using hline() since PSv3, not plot(). Evidently, plot() still has a deficiency limited to only 32 plots when it comes to creating intense eye candy indicators, the last I checked. The use of hline() is the optimal choice for rasterizing Ehlers styled heatmaps. This does only contain two color schemes of the many I have formerly created, but that's all that is essentially needed for this gizmo. Anything else is generally for a spectacle or seeing how brutal Pine can be color treated. The real hurdle is being able to manipulate colors dynamically with Merlin like capabilities from multiple algo results. That's the true challenging part of these heatmap contraptions to obtain multi-colored "predator vision" level indication. You now have basic hline() food for thought empowerment to wield as you can imaginatively dream in Pine projects.
PERIODOGRAM UTILITY IN REAL WORLD SCENARIOS:
This code is a testament to the abilities that have yet to be fully realized with indication advancements. Periodograms, spectrograms, and heatmaps are a powerful tool with real-world applications in various fields such as financial markets, electrical engineering, astronomy, seismology, and neuro/medical applications. For instance, among these diverse fields, it may help traders and investors identify market cycles/periodicities in financial markets, support engineers in optimizing electrical or acoustic systems, aid astronomers in understanding celestial object attributes, assist seismologists with predicting earthquake risks, help medical researchers with neurological disorder identification, and detection of asymptomatic cardiovascular clotting in the vaxxed via full body thermography. In either field of study, technologies in likeness to periodograms may very well provide us with a better sliver of analysis beyond what was ever formerly invented. Periodograms can identify dominant cycles and frequency components in data, which may provide valuable insights and possibly provide better-informed decisions. By utilizing periodograms within aspects of market analytics, individuals and organizations can potentially refrain from making blinded decisions and leverage data-driven insights instead.
PERIODOGRAM INTERPRETATION:
The periodogram renders the power spectrum of a signal, with the y-axis representing the periodicity (frequencies/wavelengths) and the x-axis representing time. The y-axis is divided into periods, with each elevation representing a period. In this periodogram, the y-axis ranges from 6 at the very bottom to 49 at the top, with intermediate values in between, all indicating the power of the corresponding frequency component by color. The higher the position occurs on the y-axis, the longer the period or lower the frequency. The x-axis of the periodogram represents time and is divided into equal intervals, with each vertical column on the axis corresponding to the time interval when the signal was measured. The most recent values/colors are on the right side.
The intensity of the colors on the periodogram indicate the power level of the corresponding frequency or period. The fire color scheme is distinctly like the heat intensity from any casual flame witnessed in a small fire from a lighter, match, or camp fire. The most intense power would be indicated by the brightest of yellow, while the lowest power would be indicated by the darkest shade of red or just black. By analyzing the pattern of colors across different periods, one may gain insights into the dominant frequency components of the signal and visually identify recurring cycles/patterns of periodicity.
SETTINGS CONFIGURATIONS BRIEFLY EXPLAINED:
Source Options: These settings allow you to choose the data source for the analysis. Using the `Source` selection, you may tether to additional data streams (e.g. close, hlcc4, hl2), which also may include samples from any other indicator. For example, this could be my "Chirped Sine Wave Generator" script found in my member profile. By using the `SineWave` selection, you may analyze a theoretical sinusoidal wave with a user-defined period, something already incorporated into the code. The `SineWave` will be displayed over top of the periodogram.
Roofing Filter Options: These inputs control the range of the passband for ACP to analyze. Ehlers had two versions of his highpass filters for his releases, so I included an option for you to see the obvious difference when performing a comparison of both. You may choose between 1st and 2nd order high-pass filters.
Spectral Controls: These settings control the core functionality of the spectral analysis results. You can adjust the autocorrelation lag, adjust the level of smoothing for Fourier coefficients, and control the contrast/behavior of the heatmap displaying the power spectra. I provided two color schemes by checking or unchecking a checkbox.
Dominant Cycle Options: These settings allow you to customize the various types of dominant cycle values. You can choose between floating-point and integer values, and select the rounding method used to derive the final dominantCycle values. Also, you may control the level of smoothing applied to the dominant cycle values.
DOMINANT CYCLE VALUE SELECTIONS:
External to the acs() function, the code takes a dominant cycle value returned from acs() and changes its numeric form based on a specified type and form chosen within the indicator settings. The dominant cycle value can be represented as an integer or a decimal number, depending on the attached algorithm's requirements. For example, FIR filters will require an integer while many IIR filters can use a float. The float forms can be either rounded, smoothed, or floored. If the resulting value is desired to be an integer, it can be rounded up/down or just be in an integer form, depending on how your algorithm may utilize it.
AUTOCORRELATION SPECTRUM FUNCTION BASICALLY EXPLAINED:
In the beginning of the acs() code, the population of caches for precalculated angular frequency factors and smoothing coefficients occur. By precalculating these factors/coefs only once and then storing them in an array, the indicator can save time and computational resources when performing subsequent calculations that require them later.
In the following code block, the "Calculate AutoCorrelations" is calculated for each period within the passband width. The calculation involves numerous summations of values extracted from the roofing filter. Finally, a correlation values array is populated with the resulting values, which are normalized correlation coefficients.
Moving on to the next block of code, labeled "Decompose Fourier Components", Fourier decomposition is performed on the autocorrelation coefficients. It iterates this time through the applicable period range of 6 to 49, calculating the real and imaginary parts of the Fourier components. Frequencies 6 to 49 are the primary focus of interest for this periodogram. Using the precalculated angular frequency factors, the resulting real and imaginary parts are then utilized to calculate the spectral Fourier components, which are stored in an array for later use.
The next section of code smooths the noise ridden Fourier components between the periods of 6 and 49 with a selected filter. This species also employs numerous SuperSmoothers to condition noisy Fourier components. One of the big differences is Ehlers' versions used basic EMAs in this section of code. I decided to add SuperSmoothers.
The final sections of the acs() code determines the peak power component for normalization and then computes the dominant cycle period from the smoothed Fourier components. It first identifies a single spectral component with the highest power value and then assigns it as the peak power. Next, it normalizes the spectral components using the peak power value as a denominator. It then calculates the average dominant cycle period from the normalized spectral components using Ehlers' "Center of Gravity" calculation. Finally, the function returns the dominant cycle period along with the normalized spectral components for later external use to plot the periodogram.
POST SCRIPT:
Concluding, I have to acknowledge a newly found analyst for assistance that I couldn't receive from anywhere else. For one, Claude doesn't know much about Pine, is unfortunately color blind, and can't even see the Pine reference, but it was able to intuitively shred my code with laser precise realizations. Not only that, formulating and reformulating my description needed crucial finesse applied to it, and I couldn't have provided what you have read here without that artificial insight. Finding the right order of words to convey the complexity of ACP and the elaborate accompanying content was a daunting task. No code in my life has ever absorbed so much time and hard fricking work, than what you witness here, an ACP gem cut pristinely. I'm unveiling my version of ACP for an empowering cause, in the hopes a future global army of code wielders will tether it to highly functional computational contraptions they might possess. Here is ACP fully blessed poetically with the "Power of Pine" in sublime code. ENJOY!
Bitcoin Indicator CBitcoin Indicator C is the missing part of the whole picture. It must be used together with Bitcoin Indicator B for the best results possible!
Indicator B is to find the entry on the market sharp, while the new Indicator C will help you to find the zone where it's time to look for the entry. The dots do NOT represent the start nor the end of the trend, they only show the cross of the waves. Indicator C was created to see the bigger picture of the market. You will see 3 waves on the indicator. The white wave is the main indication of the trend, however all of them should be considered together. Think about it as a painting so just step back and watch the whole picture. If you see the waves topping and start to form a downtrend it's time to find your entry on Indicator B. Also when you see waves bottoming it's time to look for the entry of the Long trade.
When all of 3 waves moving together parallel from the top to the bottom that's a strong downtrend. Opposite occurs when there is a strong uptrend on the market.
These waves were created to show unique repeating patterns, too. For example: White wave bottoming while others keep painting on the upside of the zero line. Other example if repeating waves getting lower and lower... Learn more about unique patterns on our website!
MME NimblrTA Setup v1.0Hi All,
This is a Candlestick template script to be used for identifying momentum and waves.
There are only 2 types of candles - Momentum Candles ( MC - Body height >= 50%) and Indecision Candles ( IC ).
ICs are further separated as Tiny Beast based on NimblrTAs, Candle height ratio compared to certain % Open price of the day. The % varies based on TF of the chart.
Green and Red are MCs .
IC is colored white
Tiny Beast based on Candle height is colored blue.
Tiny Beast based on Candle height + Body Height is marked $.
This setup is used to identify Waves (ascending waves, descending waves, binets, reverse binets etc) - Per Line chart, Zig Zag .
Intraday EMA setup - 5, 13, 34 is used for EMA alignment
Investment EMA setup - 5, 21, 55 is used for EMA alignment.
PSAR 0.01 setting is normally used for trailing / to check ascending or descending wave at high level.
PSAR 0.005 is additionally added to check for follow-up of move. So when PSAR 0.01 is broken, expect PSAR 0.005 to be broken. That can be a scalping target or confirmation of capturing the right trend.
This setup is used for Intraday as well as Investments. The settings have been defaulted for Intraday setup.
Honey CypherHoney Cypher Aims to do 4 things
Momentum
Trend Strength
Overbought and oversold zones
Being the most beautiful indicator you ever see
Momentum
The big yellow honey waves primary use is to see the momentum of the market, they can be used in a similar way you would use a MACD or Chaikin Money Flow
On this image you see the honey waves being plotted to the 30 minute timeframe while on the 5 minute chart to have an understanding of longer time momentum in the chart.
Trend Strength
Most tools of the indicator can be used for that but the yellow and purple slope strength lines are made specificaly for this. When you see them curl down you know trend is strengthening towards the downside.
The candle color is based on the amount of Honey waves sloping in one direction. This might be the best tool in the indicator to find Trend Strength. Bright yellow candles mean strong bears while the bright blue candles mean strong bulls.
Overbought and oversold zones
By analysing the waves on a chart you start to learn how big waves can get before a reversal or consolidation period arrives.
You can become profitable with the indicator. But to be honest, my primary focus in making this indicator was find ways to visualise alot of data in a clear and beautiful way.
You should use the indicator with some out of the box ideas instead of just trusting the signals.
examples:
Find a head and shoulders pattern on the top of a huge honey wave.
Find a bottom small wave while the others honey waves are in the opposite direction for entering a pullback.
Use the honey for direction but the yellow and purple slope line crosses for entrys.
Comment your own strategys, I made this open source to be able to get community feedback.
The Honey Cypher waves are calculated in a similar way as the MACD histogram. I've combined MACD formula with some of the lazybear formula. It looks for the distance between 2 moving averages to find trend strength. After that the end results get's smoothed out. It is very satisfying to change that as you can see the honey waves create a melting like motion on each change of smoothing.
Below a preview of the honey cypher moving average lines, all lines have a length that is based on the fibonacci number sequence. Honey cypher measures the distance between for example length 5-8 averages.
I hope this inspires coders to create very beautiful scripts.
MTF VWAPA simple wavetrend oscillator based off WaveTrend Oscillator by @LazyBear to visualise 4 different timeframe vwap under 1 chart.
Timeframe can be changed in indicator settings in minutes. Unnecessary waves can be removed by unchecking said TF wave in Style settings.
MktCurves‴ | Market Curves‴What does it do?
Imagin being able to watch the money flow between markets and figure out when it's time to make your own move. This is what this my proposal and this is what the Market Curves (MktCurves) indicator is all about!
You are able to see the money flowing into Core Commodities, T-Bonds (2, 5, 10, 20 and 30 years), High Yield Corporate Bonds, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and Dollar.
Don't let the big guys get you off guard, know their moves and move with them.
How does it work?
By analysing the current curve data it is possible to notice that one or more of the curves start an up trend while others move sideway or a down trend, this is how you can have a guess where the smart money is moving from and to.
Curves available:
. Core Commodities
. T-Bond 2 Years
. T-Bond 5 Years
. T-Bond 10 Years
. T-Bond 20 Years
. T-Bond 30 years
. High Yield Corporate Bonds
. Gold
. Silver
. Bitcoin
. Dollar
What's my filling?
I'm still testing this indicator for only a week and so far still trying to understand its signs. I'm using it in conjunction with Volume Wave (VolWave) and Price Spread Wave (PSWave).
What does it do?
This indicator allows you to identify possible asset top and bottom reversals by having a prior Volatility acting among the price movement with a sequential positive (top reversal) or negative (bottom reversal) waves.
How does it work?
Everytime the wave starts showing a curved top movement (ascending price movment) or a curved bottom movement (descending price movment), it might be signing that a price reversal is on its way. It is possible to adjust the wave shape by increasing/decreasing its gradient value analysis, but it's so easy to use that most of the times no reconfiguration is needed, just add it and let it guide you.
Important to mention that the positive wave band, histogram bars and moving average line are calculate totally separete from the the negative wave.
What's my filling?
It definitely gives me a great insight into the smart money moves, which gives me the confidence to make my own moves.
To have access to this indicator,
Please DM me.
Don't contact me in the comment area.
Pragmatic risk managementINTRO
The indicator is calculating multiple moving averages on the value of price change %. It then combines the normalized (via arctan function) values into a single normalized value (via simple average).
The total error from the center of gravity and the angle in which the error is accumulating represented by 4 waves:
BLUE = Good for chance for price to go up
GREEN = Good chance for price to continue going up
ORANGE = Good chance for price to go down
RED = Good chance for price to continue going down
A full cycle of ORANGE\RED\BLUE\GREEN colors will ideally lead to the exact same cycle, if not, try to understand why.
NOTICE-
This indicator is calculating large time-windows so It can be heavy on your device. Tested on PC browser only.
My visual setup:
1. Add two indicators on-top of each other and merge their scales (It will help out later).
2. Zoom out price chart to see the maximum possible data.
3. Set different colors for both indicators for simple visual seperation.
4. Choose 2 different values, one as high as possible and one as low as possible.
(Possible - the indicator remains effective at distinguishing the cycle).
Manual calibration:
0. Select a fixed chart resolution (2H resolution minimum recommended).
1. Change the "mul2" parameter in ranges between 4-15 .
2. Observe the "Turning points" of price movement. (Typically when RED\GREEN are about to switch.)
2. Perform a segmentation of time slices and find cycles. No need to be exact!
3. Draw a square on price movement at place and color as the dominant wave currently inside the indicator.
This procedure should lead to a full price segmentation with easier anchoring.
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Relative Vigor IndexLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introuced Relative Vigor Index in his "Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures" chapter 6 on 2004.
Function
Relative Vigor Index (RVI) uses concepts dating back over three decades and also uses modern filter and digital signal processing theory to realize those concepts as a practical and useful indicator. The RVI merges the old concepts with the new technologies. The basic idea of the RVI is that prices tend to close higher than
they open in up markets and tend to close lower than they open in down markets. The vigor of the move is thus established by where the prices reside at the end of the day. To normalize the index to the daily trading range, the change in price is divided by the maximum range of prices for the day.
The RVI is an oscillator, and we are therefore only concerned with the cycle modes of the market in its use. The sharpest rate of change for a cycle is at its midpoint. Therefore, in the ascending part of the cycle we would expect the difference between the close and open to be at a maximum. This is like a derivative in calculus, where the derivative of a sinewave produces a negative cosine wave. The derivative is therefore a waveform that leads the original sinewave by a quarter cycle. Also, from calculus, integration of a sinewave over a half-cycle period results in another sinewave delayed by a quarter cycle. Summing over a half cycle is basically the same as mathematically integrating, with the result that the waveshape of the sum is delayed by a quarter wavelength relative to the input. The net result of taking the differences and summing produces an oscillator output in phase with the cyclic component of the price. It is also possible to generate a leading function if the summation window is less than a half wavelength of the Dominant Cycle. If a cycle measurement is not available, you can sum the RVI components over a fixed default period. A nominal value of 8 is suggested because this is approximately half the period of most cycles of interest.
Key Signal
RVI ---> Relative Vigor Index fast line
Trigger ---> Relative Vigor Index slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation of original work, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book. If you had read his works, then you will be quite familiar with my code style.
Remarks
The 27th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
Momentum ArrowsThis simple indicators paints the Momentum based on Stochastic, RSI or WaveTrend onto the Price Chart by showing Green or Red arrows.
In the settings it can be selected which indicator is used, Stochastic is selected by default.
Length of the arrows is determined by the strength of the momentum:
Stochastic: Difference between D and K
RSI: Difference from RSI-50
WaveTrend: Difference between the Waves
(Thanks to @LazyBear for the WaveTrend inspiration)
PS:
If anyone has an idea how to conditionally change the color of the arrows, then please let me know - that would be the icing on the cake. Then it would be possible to indicate Overbought/Oversold levels with different colors.
Unfortunately it currently seems not to be possible to dynamically change the arrow colour.
WWV_LB pivotfix histogram jayy
This is a modification of LazyBear's WWV_LB which plots cumulative volume of waves. The reversal points are defined through relative closing prices. I made adjustments to the script to show waves turning on actual/true low or high pivots as opposed to the bar/candle identified in the LazyBear script. What I mean by that is that the actual/true low or high pivots are in fact the true WWV_LB pivots. The original WWV_LB script calculates cumulative volume from reversal confirmation bar to reversal confirmation bar as opposed to the true WWV_LB pivot bar to pivot bar. As such the waves can have slightly different start and end points. As such the cumulative volume can also be different from te WWV_LB script. This is because confirmation of a wave reversal can lag a few bars after the true reversal pivot bar. In the script notes, you will see the original key WWV_LB script lines that identify the true high or low pivots and confirm the wave direction has reversed. I have taken these lines from LazyBear's original script. I have included the LazyBear script within the script notes so that the original can be compared to what I have added/changed. Instead of "trendDetectionLength" I have inserted "Trend Detection Length". You can of course change the descriptor to what you wish by editing script line 33 to the original term or whatever you wish. You might also wish to set the default to the value "2" as per the original script. I have set the default to "3". This script should be used in conjunction with "WWV-LB zigzag pivot fix jayy" script which is shown on this screen for comparison.
Here is a link to the original LazyBear histogram script which can be used for comparison. The differences are subtle, however, the histograms will regularly be different by a bar or two:
The lowest panel has the original LazyBear WWV_LB script for comparison. All three scripts have been set to a Trend Detection Length of 3.jayy
GA - Value at RiskGA Value at Risk is a multifunctional tool. Its main purpose is to plot on the chart the Value at Risk . But it shows also integrated features related to the Volatility.
Value at Risk is a measure of the risk of loss for investments, given normal market conditions, in a period.
It measures and quantifies the level of financial risk. In this case, the risk is within position over a specific time frame.
Defining p as VaR, the probability of a loss greater than VaR is p, at most. Instead, the probability of loss that is less than VaR is 1-p, at least.
The VaR Breach occurs when a loss exceeds the VaR threshold .
For this case, VaR calculation uses the volatility estimation in a time interval. It defines the Probability Confidence according to the Normal Distribution. VaR is a percentile of the Normal Distribution. This is a multiplier of the Standard Deviation that define a Volatility Range.
The Normal Distribution Area around +- the Standard Deviation gives 68% of Confidence. 2 times the Standard Deviation returns a 95% of probability area. 3 time the Standard Deviation the Area returns 99.7% of Confidence.
Knowing VaR modeling, it is possible to determine the amount of a potential loss . Then, it is possible to know if there is enough capital to cover losses. In the same way, higher-than-acceptable risks forces reducing exposure in a financial instrument.
One of its practical use is to estimate the risk of an investment that is already at portfolio. Indeed, this is the purpose of the Value at Risk calculated in this script.
At the VaR Breach that investment has reached its worst scenario. Then, it can be the case to manage that investment into the balanced portfolio.
The Value at Risk does not tell when to enter the market.
Moving Averages
GA Value at Risk bases its calculations on a set of Moving Averages. Every feature of the script uses one of these Moving Averages for its algorithm.
Moving Averages from MA0 to MA8, are the core of each feature of the script.
By default, from MA0 to MA8, Moving Averages use the Fibonacci Series to define their lengths. This happens because of the power of the Golden Ratio in the market behavior.
Instead, the first moving average is an extra resource. Its purpose is to plot a Signal Line on the chart.
The script does not consider plotting every Moving Average on the chart. But it lets you enable the plotting of 7 Moving Averages (from MA0 to MA5 + Signal Line).
It is possible to select the Moving Average Formula to use in the script. This is a setting that affects every Moving Average. Then, it changes also the result of every feature of the script.
The selection is between:
Exponential Moving Average.
Simple Moving Average.
Weighted moving Average.
Simple Moving Averages and Pointers - Full Visibility
Moving Averages and Partial Visibility
The plotting of each Moving Average can be total or partial.
By default, the plotting of Moving Averages and Signal Line is partial.
When the price approaches a Moving Average a little part of the curve becomes visible. This highlights supports or resistances.
Besides, this tracking remains on the chart. Then it shows supports and resistances that the price reached during its progression.
The Partial Visibility Algorithm is a great advantage, ruling how to plot curves. It uses a parameter to set how much of the curves is to plot.
Exponential Moving Averages and Pointers - Partial Visibility
Exponential Moving Averages and Pointers - Full Visibility
Moving Averages and Pointers
As it is clear, it is not necessary to plot entire curves of Moving Averages on the chart. But it becomes relevant to plot Pointers to Moving Averages.
Indeed, the script plots horizontal segments that point to the latest Average Prices.
Every segment has a Label that shows Average Price, Length, and its related Moving Average (from MA0 to MA8). Besides, it is possible to extend the segment to right.
These pointers are a very useful automatization. They point to the Moving Averages. In this way, they show Dynamic Supports and Resistances as horizontal segments.
They are adaptive. Used together with the Volume Profile their progression approaches Edges of High Nodes.
This adaptive behavior makes easy to see when the price reaches Volume High Nodes and slows down.
Moving Average Pointers use the Partial Visibility Algorithm. In this case, the algorithm shows pointers with higher frequency than curves.
Moving Averages Pointers have:
Horizontal Segment as a Pointer with Arrow.
Label with details.
Circle to the current Average Price.
Weighted Moving Averages and Pointers - Full Visibility
Volatility Channels
Having Moving Averages, from MA0 to MA8, it is possible to plot 9 Volatility Channels.
Each Volatility Channel uses one of the Moving Averages, from MA0 to MA8.
Indeed, each Volatility Channel has the same designation of the Moving Average used.
The Standard Deviation defines the Volatility Range. It uses the length of the Moving Average related to the Volatility Channel.
The Volatility Range is unique for each Volatility Channel. In the same way, each Volatility Channel is unique because of its relation to only one Moving Average.
By default, each volatility channel has the 2 value as Standard Deviation Multiplier. This gives 95% of Confidence that the price will stay into the Volatility Range.
Using the Simple Moving Average, each Volatility Channel becomes a Bollinger Bands envelop.
Volatility Channels work very well even using Exponential or Weighted Moving Averages.
MA0 - Volatility Channel
Volatility Channels - From MA0 to MA8
Value at Risk (VaR)
GA Value at Risk plots VaR according to the volatility. The VaR plotting follows the Trend Momentum or Buying-Selling Waves.
By default, VaR follows the Trend Momentum by 2 times the Standard Deviation of MA0. Where MA0 is the first Moving Average and Volatility Channel of the set.
Besides, by default, the calculation of the Value at Risk is adaptive. It does not follow the Volatility Channel Bands. But it changes according to the fast reaction of the price into the Volatility Range.
By default, VaR follows the main momentum even if the price is moving in opposition to it. This occurs as long as the Trend Momentum persists.
In the settings box, It is possible to select the following of the latest Buying Wave or Selling Wave.
In this case, VaR changes according to the change of Buying Wave or Selling Wave. This means that, on these conditions, VaR follows main swings. Then it follows the weakening and the strengthening of the trend momentum as long as it persists.
The plotting of the Value at Risk can show these features:
Red cycle to show the Value at Risk at the current price.
Look Back Red Line that shows the progression of the Value at Risk.
Label with details.
MA0 - Value at Risk - Not Adaptive
MA0 - Value at Risk - Adaptive
It is possible to use a different Moving Average and Volatility Channel from the set. This affects the calculation and the plotting of the Value at Risk. In this way, the algorithm return the Value at Risk for the short, middle, or long-term.
Then, you can get the Value at Risk for that Financial Instrument, calculated for ~1 year or more so as for 1 month.
The Value at Risk does not tell you when to enter the market. Besides, it does not show you that the trend is changing.
MA3 - Value at Risk - Adaptive
Value at Profit (VaP)
The Value at Profit has a descriptive purpose. It points the Volatility Band that is opposite to the Value at Risk.
I chose Value at Profit as a designation for this feature. It does not tell you where to exit the market.
But is shows what the price progression is pointing on. This happens following the switching between Volatility Ranges.
The VaP follows the Volatility Band where the price tends to converge.
An outperforming or underperforming price is running faster than the average trend. Then when the price runs enough to converge to the Volatility Band, it is over extended or under extended.
At these conditions, the increased buying or selling pressure affects the price behavior. This slows down the price progression.
The Algorithm behind the Value at Profit is adaptive. Then the pointer jumps up and down the Volatility Bands of the 9 Volatility Channels. This occurs according to the price progression, following the switching between Volatility Ranges.
So, the VaP points a Volatility Band as long as the price can have chances to converges on it. Instead, when the price has chances to exceed the Volatility Band, the VaP points to the next one.
The plotting of the Value at Profit occurs enabling its Label with details.
Value at Profit - MA0 Volatility Channel Upper Band
Value at Profit - MA6 Volatility Channel Upper Band
Price Extension
When the price runs far away from the average trend price, GA Value at Risk can plot the price extension.
It shows the distance in percentage of the price from a Moving Average of the set. This tends to highlight conditions where the price is over or under extended.
An overbought or oversold condition precedes the shortening of the Trust. It is a cause of the hesitation of the price to continue its progression. This includes also Climactic Points and Signs of Dominance.
The Price Extension plotting uses a variation of the Partial Visibility Algorithm. It plots the Price Extension Arrow only when there are specific volatility conditions.
When the Partial Visibility is set to 0, the Price Extension Arrow is always visible on the chart.
The plotting of the Price Extension includes a Label with details.
Over Extension - The Price is Outperforming MA0
Under Extension - The Price is Underperforming MA0
Price Extension Coloring for Bars and Line Chart
GA Value at Risk lets you enable the coloring of vertical charts. Green and Red colors mark the over and under extended price on bars, candle sticks, and also on the Line Chart.
The Price Extension Algorithm colors Bars and Line Chart by a momentum function.
Indeed, the coloring happens following Relative Strength Index or Bollinger Bands %B.
These 2 Momentum functions are different. Indeed, they color the chart according to the purpose of their curves.
Coloring the Line Chart, it is necessary to put on front the script visibility.
Overbought and Oversold Conditions on Line Chart by Bollinger Bands %B
Overbought and Oversold Conditions on Candlesticks Chart by Relative Strength Index
Note: I restrict access to the tool. Use the links in my signature field to gain access to the script. Feel free to send me a PM for any question.
Thank you
Girolamo Aloe
Founder of Profiting Me Finance Analytics
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Disclaimer
Nobody in Girolamo Aloe websites and trading view profile is a Financial Advisor. Nothing therein is intended to be constructed as Financial Advice. The content on his websites is for information and educational purposes only.
Trading carries high risk. You should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not an indication of future results.
