Stop Loss vs Take Profit Probability and EVThis stop loss and take profit calculator uses a Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the probability of hitting your Stop Loss or Take Profit levels across different time horizons (expressed in bars).
It provides data-driven insights to optimize your risk management and position sizing by showing Expected Value for each scenario.
As a quant, I love using statistical data to help my decisions and get better EV from my trades.
🔬 How It's Calculated
Monte Carlo Simulation: Runs 1,000-10,000 price simulations using a random walk model
Volatility Analysis: Combines ATR-based and Historical Volatility for accurate price movement modeling
Expected Value: Calculates profit/loss expectation using formula: (TP_Probability × Reward) - (SL_Probability × Risk)
Time Horizons: Tests multiple timeframes (1, 5, 10, 20, 50 bars) to find optimal holding periods
Risk/Reward Ratios: Automatically calculates and displays R:R ratios for quick assessment
💡 Use Cases
Position Sizing - Determine optimal risk per trade based on Expected Value
Time Horizon Optimization - Find the best holding period for your strategy
Stop Loss Placement - Validate SL levels using probability analysis
Take Profit Optimization - Set TP levels with statistical backing
Strategy Backtesting - Compare different R:R setups before entering trades
Risk Management - Avoid trades with negative Expected Value
Swing vs Day Trading - Choose timeframes with highest success probability
🎯 How to Use
Setup Trade: Enter your entry price, stop loss, and take profit levels
You can add or remove time horizons denominated in bars. Say you are looking at 1h candles, adding a 24-bar time horizon means you are looking into 24 hours
Choose Direction: Select Long or Short position
Review Table
Analyze Expected Value: Focus on positive EV scenarios (green background)
Optimize Timing: Select time horizons with best risk/reward profile
Adjust Parameters: Modify volatility calculation method and simulation count if needed
Examples
Here's how you can read the tables.
Example 1:
In this chart, we are analyzing the TP and SL probabilities as well as the EV (expected value) for a stock. I want to check what the likelihood is that my SL and TP get triggered over the next 5 days. The stock market is open for 6.5 hours per day, which is 13 bars in this 30-minute bar chart. 26 bars is 2 days, 39 bars is 3 days and so on.
Although this trade is more likely to trigger my SL than my TP, in some of the time horizons we have a positive expected value because of the risk/reward of our trade (i.e. distance of the SL and TP from the price) and the probability of hitting SL and TP.
Example 2:
In this example, we have applied the indicator to gold. Because the TP is much closer to the price, the probability of hitting the TP is much higher.
We can also observe that the expected Value in the shorter time frames is better than in the longer ones. This can give us some clues to set up our trade. If we know that the EV is positive, we can allocate more to that specific trade.
Enjoy, and please let me know your feedback! 😊🥂
"take profit" için komut dosyalarını ara
Dynamic Stop Loss & Take ProfitDynamic Stop Loss & Take Profit is a versatile risk management indicator that calculates dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on the Average True Range (ATR). This indicator helps traders set adaptive exit points by using a configurable ATR multiplier and defining whether they are in a Long (Buy) or Short (Sell) trade.
How It Works
ATR Calculation – The indicator calculates the ATR value over a user-defined period (default: 14).
Stop Loss and Take Profit Multipliers – The ATR value is multiplied by a configurable factor (ranging from 1.5 to 4) to determine volatility-adjusted stop loss and take profit levels.
Trade Type Selection – The user can specify whether they are in a Long (Buy) or Short (Sell) trade.
Long (Buy) Trade:
Stop Loss = Entry Price - (ATR × Stop Loss Multiplier)
Take Profit = Entry Price + (ATR × Take Profit Multiplier)
Short (Sell) Trade:
Stop Loss = Entry Price + (ATR × Stop Loss Multiplier)
Take Profit = Entry Price - (ATR × Take Profit Multiplier)
Features
Configurable ATR length and multipliers
Supports both long and short trades
Clearly plotted Stop Loss (red) and Take Profit (green) levels on the chart
Helps traders manage risk dynamically based on market volatility
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to set adaptive stop loss and take profit levels without relying on fixed price targets.
MA Crossover with Demand/Supply Zones + Stop Loss/Take ProfitStop Loss and Take Profit Inputs:
Added stopLossPerc and takeProfitPerc as inputs to allow the user to define the stop loss and take profit levels as a percentage of the entry price.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Calculation:
For long positions, the stop loss is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stopLossPerc), and the take profit is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + takeProfitPerc).
For short positions, the stop loss is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stopLossPerc), and the take profit is calculated as strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - takeProfitPerc).
Exit Strategy:
Added strategy.exit to define the stop loss and take profit levels for each trade. The from_entry parameter ensures that the exit is tied to the specific entry order.
Flexibility:
The stop loss and take profit levels are dynamic and adjust based on the entry price of the trade.
How It Works:
When a buy signal is generated (MA crossover near a demand zone), the strategy enters a long position and sets a stop loss and take profit level based on the input percentages.
When a sell signal is generated (MA crossunder near a supply zone), the strategy enters a short position and sets a stop loss and take profit level based on the input percentages.
The trade will exit automatically if either the stop loss or take profit level is hit.
Example:
If the entry price for a long position is $100, and the stop loss is set to 1% while the take profit is set to 2%:
Stop loss level =
100
∗
(
1
−
0.01
)
=
100∗(1−0.01)=99
Take profit level =
100
∗
(
1
+
0.02
)
=
100∗(1+0.02)=102
Notes:
You can adjust the stopLossPerc and takeProfitPerc inputs to suit your risk management preferences.
Always backtest the strategy to ensure the stop loss and take profit levels are appropriate for your trading instrument and timeframe.
Mastering ATR for Smart Stop Loss and Take Profit PlacementUsing the ATR indicator to set Stop Loss and Take Profit levels provides a dynamic and flexible way to manage risk based on the volatility of the market. This method ensures that your SL and TP are always in tune with current market conditions, preventing unnecessary stop-outs while maximizing the potential for profit. The table in the script makes it easy to view your calculated levels directly on the chart, improving your trading efficiency.
If you're looking for a more automated way to manage your trades, integrating ATR-based SL and TP can be a powerful tool in your strategy.
Happy Trading!
ATR Band, Stop loss , Take Profit Lines, and Pip Distance# ATR Band, Take Profit Lines, and Pip Distance Indicator
This indicator helps traders identify potential stop loss and take profit levels using Average True Range (ATR) bands and custom multipliers. It provides a visual representation of these levels and calculates the pip distance to stop loss, aiding in risk management and trade planning.
## Key Features:
- ATR-based upper and lower bands for potential stop loss levels
- Two take profit levels above and below the ATR bands
- Customizable ATR period and multipliers for bands and take profit levels
- Pip distance calculation to stop loss levels
- Adjustable colors for all elements
## How to Use:
1. The ATR bands (blue and red lines) suggest potential stop loss levels.
2. Take profit levels are shown as green lines above and below the ATR bands.
3. Labels display the pip distance from the current or last close to the stop loss levels.
## Customization:
- Adjust the ATR period and multipliers to fit your trading style
- Customize colors for better visibility on your chart
- Choose between current candle or last close for pip distance calculation
Remember, this indicator is for informational purposes only. Always manage your risk carefully and consider using it in conjunction with other analysis tools and your trading strategy.
Good luck with your trading!
[S1B] Leverage Take-Profit-LinesShort Description:
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator assists traders in setting take-profit and stop-loss levels based on leverage, entry price, and risk percentage. It draws horizontal lines representing various take-profit levels and the stop-loss level on the chart, aiding traders in visually identifying potential exit points and managing risk.
Detailed Description:
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual representation of take-profit and stop-loss levels tailored to their leverage, entry price, and risk preferences.
Key Features:
Customizable Parameters: Traders can adjust parameters such as leverage, entry price, risk percentage, and whether to extend lines to suit their trading strategy.
Take-Profit Levels: The indicator calculates and draws horizontal lines representing different take-profit levels based on the specified percentage of leverage-adjusted entry price.
Stop-Loss Level: It calculates and displays the stop-loss level based on the specified risk percentage and leverage, helping traders manage risk effectively.
Visual Representation: The indicator visually highlights take-profit and stop-loss levels on the chart, facilitating quick decision-making for traders.
Usage Guide:
Setting Parameters: Adjust the input parameters including leverage, entry price, risk percentage, and other settings according to your trading strategy.
Interpreting Lines: Horizontal lines are drawn on the chart representing take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4) and the stop-loss level. These lines indicate potential exit points and risk management levels.
As an example the TP1 can be used to sell 10% of position size, TP2 20%, TP3 20% and TP4 20-40%.
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator empowers traders with valuable insights into setting profit targets and managing risk effectively, contributing to more informed trading decisions.
ATR Stop Loss and Take Profit FinderThe purpose of this tool is to help the trader determine a safe stop loss price and take profit which dynamically changes due to ATR (Average True Range)
This tool uses the concept of
ATR (Average True Range)
Risk Reward Ratio (Money Management method)
How is ATR Stop Loss and Take Profit Finder working
Step 1 ) Tool will calculate TR(True Range
Step 2) Then the TR will be used to find the Average value of X time frame, using 5 math models: RMA SMA EMA WMA and LSMA
Step 3) The value from Step 2 will be multiplied by the factor, and the result is ATR
After we got ATR Value, the Tool will find 2 lines: Upper Band and Lower Band which will function as a Stoploss value for both Short and Long trade
ATR Stop Loss and Take Profit Finder will be using Upper Band and Lower Band to calculate Take profit price. A trader can set their Target Risk Reward Ratio by setting
How to use ATR Stop Loss and Take Profit Finder
ATR Stop Loss and Take Profit Finder is not an indicator, it is only a tool to help the trader quickly find their stop loss/take profit price. t
For open long position, We comment trade to switch mode of 'Type of open Position to be long. Same as short which is need to be changed to short
RSI with small Take Profit - Long-onlyThis script open a long position when RSI < 30 and close the position after a small take profit. No stop loss but if you analyse List of Trades then you'll see that several position are closed for unknow reason.
50 Point Stop & Take Profit**50 Point Stop & Take Profit**
This custom TradingView indicator is designed for instruments like US30 or any asset following a point system. It assists traders in setting precise stop-loss and take-profit levels based on different risk-reward ratios. It calculates and plots horizontal lines at various price levels above and below your specified entry price, with a 50-point difference between each ratio.
**How It Benefits Your Strategy:**
- Each risk-reward ratio, whether it's 1:1, 2:1, 3:1, and so on, is separated by precisely 50 points. This deliberate spacing is tailored to provide you with clear and consistent reference points for managing trades in instruments using a point-based system.
- The 50-point increments make it easy to adjust your positions, ensuring that your risk and reward levels align with your trading strategy and objectives.
**Usage:**
1. Set your desired entry price using the "Entry Price" input.
2. The indicator is ideally suited for instruments like US30, where each point represents a distinct price movement. It will automatically calculate and plot multiple lines at the following levels, both for Long (L) and Short (S) positions:
- 1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±50 points)
- 2:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±100 points)
- 3:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±150 points)
- 4:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±200 points)
- 5:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±250 points)
- 6:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±300 points)
- 7:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±350 points)
- 8:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±400 points)
- 9:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±450 points)
- 10:1 Risk-Reward Ratio (±500 points)
**Customization Options:**
- **Alerts:** You can set alerts for each level to receive notifications when the price reaches a specific risk-reward ratio.
- **Color Customization:** Customize the colors of the plotted lines to suit your chart preferences.
- **Toggle Ratios:** Easily toggle on/off different risk-reward ratios to focus on specific levels that align with your trading strategy.
**How to Use:**
- Use the plotted lines as reference points for setting stop-loss and take-profit orders at your preferred risk-reward ratios.
- The blue horizontal line represents your specified entry price.
This indicator simplifies your trading strategy by providing clear visual cues for managing risk and reward levels, with each level thoughtfully spaced 50 points apart to cater to your strategy's precision.
*Note: Always use risk management and proper trade sizing in your trading strategy.*
**Version:** Pine Script version 5
EMA + ATR Support and Resistance + Take Profit SignalThe 'EMA+ ATR Support Resistance Take Profit signal' indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, using the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Average True Range (ATR) indicators. This indicator not only tracks the EMA and ATR but also plots these levels as support and resistance lines, providing useful insights into potential buy and sell points.
The indicator allows you to set the lengths for both the EMA and ATR, with default values set to 20 and 14, respectively. Moreover, you can specify the multiplier for the ATR in the Support/Resistance (S/R) length setting, which defaults to 2. The line width for the plotted lines can also be adjusted according to your preference.
The EMA line in center is invisible by default but you can change that by going to the setting of the indicator. The support and resistance lines are plotted in green and red, respectively. When the price hits the support or resistance levels, the indicator provides a visual signal with a cross shape below or above the respective bars, in lime and red, respectively. If you do not need the take profit signals you can disable them in the setting.
How to Use:
1. Define the EMA and ATR lengths according to your trading strategy. Higher lengths will provide smoother lines but may also lag the current price action.
2. Set the S/R length to determine the distance of the support and resistance lines from the EMA line. Higher values will place these lines further away from the EMA.
3. Monitor the chart for instances when the price hits the support or resistance levels. This is indicated by a cross shape below (for support hit) or above (for resistance hit) the price bar. These points may be considered as potential take profit points or entry/exit points, depending on your strategy.
4. Use the indicator in conjunction with other tools and indicators to confirm signals and reduce the risk of false signals. So the assumption is you enter a trade using your other indicators but you can rely on this indicator to remind you to take profit if you are long by a red cross of the resistance line and if you are short reminds you by a green cross on the support line.
Disclaimer: This indicator should not be used as the sole determinant for any investment decision. Always conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before trading.
Channel Take Profit Tool for AlertatronWhat is this for
This tool is designed as a companion to an automated strategy running on Alertatron. Sometimes when a strategy opens a trade, you decide that based on TA you would like to close all or or a portion of your trade at a support or resistance level. The strategy may already be programmed to take profit but this tool allows you to add additional take profit criteria that can trigger an alert to Alertatron if it happens before the strategy closes.
How to use it
When you add the indicator to your chart, it will ask you to select two points on the chart. These two points will be connected by a line and create the parallel channel that will be used for triggering a take profit alert. The offset is how wide you want the channel to be. When the high or low of a candle enters the channel from either direction, the alert will be fired. AFTER you add the indicator to the chart and configure ALL of the settings, you need to create an alert on the indicator for "All Alert Functions" and paste your incoming alert webhook from Alertatron into the webhook input.
Alertatron Setup
You will need to provide the API name that you have configured in Alertatron that matches the account the trade is open in. This tool supports ByBit and FTX.us by may work with other exchanges too (this option just chooses which currency/pair divider is used in the alert message).
Buy Monday, Exit Tuesday with Stop Loss and Take ProfitStrategy to go long at end of Monday before market closes and exit before Tuesday close, or at stop loss or take profit percentages
This runs strategy on entering by weekday name and also by session time.
Implemented are also Take Profit and Stop Loss to exit position using custom inputs.
Added stoploss and take profit plot lines
Parabolic SAR Strategy With take profit and stop lossDo not make it too difficult!
This is my first strategy! I took the Parabolic SAR Strategy and added Stop Loss and Take profit, and I can see some fantastic results in 2h-3h-4h on some of the Crypto coins.
This is for training only, and I do not recommend using it as part of a trading bot, however, I do myself.
[Lixx] MESA(EMA/SMA) and ROC(ROC/MESA) Take Profit TriggersThis script uses the MESA EMA and SMA as well as the ROC/MESA cross to help find the take profit areas when trading divergences using market cipher or wavetrend. It is inspired by jordanfungs MESA indicator, however this one is different because it is not lagging in the signals.
Hope you enjoy it, and make sure to backtest any strategy before you use it.
CRYPTO 3EMA Strategy with Take Profit & Stop Loss based on ATRSimple 3 EMA Strategy with plotted Take Profit and Stop Loss
Entry condition:
- Middle EMA cross above the Slow EMA
- Set take profit and stop loss exit conditions based on ATR Indicator
Exit condition:
- Fast EMA cross below the Middle EMA
Trailing Take Profit Trailing Stop LossThis script demonstrated a dual trailing take profit and stop loss strategy. Where you take 50% (configurable) of the profit when a price level is reached and then you get the rest when a trailing stop loss is hit.
Buying Dip Strategy With Take Profit And Stop Loss [racer8]"Buy low, sell high."
This system buys the dip and takes profit for a high win rate.
It uses an ATR take profit and ATR stop loss.
It buys the dip when the close is below the previous 7 day low.
Daily timeframe is best.
Enjoy ♡
Dynamic Take Profit & Signals (AussieBogan)Dynamic Take Profit & Signals (DTS) help us to dynamically place potential take profit levels. These levels are measured based on standard deviation in conjunction with swing high and low points. Head over to the settings to control your take profit and multiplicative factor setting.
In short, higher values of either setting will return more spread out between tp's. The logic behind using the standard deviation is that a low value of it will return tp closer to where you entered the trade, as such it will have higher chances of the price reaching them.
The Indicator also has alert features for buy and sell so any trader can be aware of every potential signal the indicator produces.
Buy - Take Profit OR Stop Loss % BasedScript looks back for a certain period of time and than enter when price close above that look back period ema. Once enter it does not care for how many times price cross above or below. Once entered, it will either hit percenatage based take profit of stop loss.
Bitlinc MARSI Study AST w/ Take Profit & Stop loss - beta 0.1This script is beta 0.1 - will update as soon as the script is tradable
This script is based on AST on a 10 minute timeframe. You can change the asset and the timeframe for any asset you want to trade, but for it to work correct ALL settings have to be testes in the Strategy section of the TradingView. Each assets and timeframe require a different mixture of settings. This is NOT a one settings fits all trading for all assets on any timeframe. Below are the settings and explanation on how it works.
How it fires a buy / sell:
The script will plot an RSI with upper and lower bands in a separate indicator window. The idea behind this script is to fire a LONG when MA crosses OVER lower band and fire a SHORT when the MA crosses under the lower band. Each order that fires is an OCO (Order Cancels Order) for pyramiding.
Settings:
You have full control of these settings as mentioned above, you must configure every part of this script for each asset and timeframe you trade.
- Length of MA
- Length
- Upper bands of RSI
- Lower bands of RSI
- Take profit percentage
- Stop loss percentage
- Month to start and end the strategy (within 2020)
- Day to start and end the strategy (within 2020)
- Quantity type
- Slippage
- Pyramiding
***Remember that after the signal to enter or exit a trade is fired, the alert will trigger AFTER the close of the candle that caused the tigger to fire
ATR with Take and StopThis simple indicator will plot the take profit and stop loss values based on the ATR indicator.
It's possible to set how many times the ATR value will be applied to the closing price and
what trade type is used, Long or Short.
ATR Take Profit bandsSimple ATR-scaled levels or bands of suggested price to take profit on directional trades.
ATR based Stop and Take-Profit levels in realtime Little tool to quickly identify stops and take-profit levels based on Average True Range. User can change ATR multipiers, as well as the ATR length used. Green and red lines show these levels; plot is visible over last 8 bars only to reduce clutter. Label showing the current ATR, up above the last bar
