EMA Adaptive Trailing StopThe EMA Adaptive Trailing Stop Strategy is a versatile and comprehensive Pine Script designed for TradingView. This script provides an adaptive trailing stop mechanism that leverages the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to adjust trailing stops based on market conditions. The strategy dynamically switches between trending and ranging markets by utilizing both Average True Range (ATR) and Average Directional Index (ADX) to detect market conditions.
Key Features:
EMA-Based Trailing Stop:
The script uses the EMA value to set trailing stops precisely. The EMA offers a more responsive calculation to price changes, ensuring closer and more accurate trailing stops that follow market movements effectively.
Market Condition Detection:
The script employs ATR and ADX to distinguish between trending and ranging markets. ATR measures market volatility, while ADX gauges trend strength. The combination of these two indicators provides a more accurate market condition detection.
Customizable Settings:
The script offers various flexible parameters to adjust EMA length, multipliers, and ATR length. Users can customize these settings according to their preferences and trading strategy.
Two Modes:
The script adapts to market conditions by providing two modes: trending mode and ranging mode. In trending mode, the trailing stop is tighter to follow price movements closely, whereas in ranging mode, the trailing stop is looser to accommodate lower volatility.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
The script detects market conditions to set buy and sell signals. These conditions include the calculations of EMA, ATR, and ADX to ensure the signals generated are valid and profitable.
Alerts:
The script provides buy and sell signals through alert conditions for efficient trade management. Users can enable these alerts to get real-time notifications when valid buy or sell signals are detected.
Suitable for Scalping and Swing Trading:
The script is well-suited for both scalping and swing trading strategies. Scalpers can benefit from the responsive and tighter trailing stops during trending conditions, while swing traders can take advantage of the adaptive and looser trailing stops during ranging conditions, allowing them to capture larger price movements.
Explanation of Mode 1 and Mode 2:
Mode 1: Trending Market:
In this mode, the market is identified as trending based on the ADX and ATR values.
LONG 1: This label indicates a buy signal in the trending market mode. It signifies that the trailing stop has been activated and a long position (buy) should be taken when the market is trending.
SHORT 1: This label indicates a sell signal in the trending market mode. It signifies that the trailing stop has been activated and a short position (sell) should be taken when the market is trending.
Mode 2: Ranging Market:
In this mode, the market is identified as ranging based on the ADX and ATR values.
LONG 2: This label indicates a buy signal in the ranging market mode. It signifies that the trailing stop has been activated and a long position (buy) should be taken with a looser trailing stop when the market is ranging.
SHORT 2: This label indicates a sell signal in the ranging market mode. It signifies that the trailing stop has been activated and a short position (sell) should be taken with a looser trailing stop when the market is ranging.
Technical Usage:
Variable Initialization:
The script initializes variables to store values such as trailing stop, long position status, and short position status.
Market Condition Detection:
The script calculates ATR and ADX values to detect whether the market is trending or ranging. This includes the use of f_adx function to calculate ADX values and determine market conditions.
EMA-Based Trailing Stop Calculation:
The script adjusts the trailing stop based on EMA values and ATR. The calculation involves customizable multipliers and parameters that influence the trailing stop's precision.
Plot Trailing Stop:
The script displays the trailing stop on the chart for clear visualization. This includes plotting the trailing stop line with appropriate colors to indicate long and short positions.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
The script determines the entry (buy) and exit (sell) conditions based on market condition detection and trailing stop settings. These conditions are crucial for generating valid buy or sell signals.
Plotshape and Alert:
The script provides plotshapes for buy and sell signals and sets up alert conditions for real-time notifications when a valid buy or sell signal is detected.
Komut dosyalarını "profitable" için ara
SMA Crossover with RSI ConfirmationThis is a sniper entry indicator that provides Buy and Sell signals using other Indicators to give the best possible Entries
Moving Average Crossovers:
The indicator uses two moving averages: a short-term SMA (Simple Moving Average) and a long-term SMA.
When the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it generates a buy signal (indicating potential upward momentum).
When the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, it generates a sell signal (indicating potential downward momentum).
RSI Confirmation:
The indicator incorporates RSI (Relative Strength Index) to confirm the buy and sell signals generated by the moving average crossovers.
RSI is used to gauge the overbought and oversold conditions of the market.
A buy signal is confirmed if RSI is below a specified overbought level, indicating potential buying opportunity.
A sell signal is confirmed if RSI is above a specified oversold level, indicating potential selling opportunity.
Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss:
The indicator calculates dynamic take profit and stop loss levels based on the Average True Range (ATR).
ATR is used to gauge market volatility, and the take profit and stop loss levels are adjusted accordingly.
This feature helps traders to manage their risk effectively by setting appropriate profit targets and stop loss levels.
Combining the information provided by these, the indicator will provide an entry point with a provided take profit and stop loss. The indicator can be applied to different asset classes. Risk management must be applied when using this indicator as it is not 100% guaranteed to be profitable.
Cash And Carry Arbitrage BTC Compare Month 6 by SeoNo1Detailed Explanation of the BTC Cash and Carry Arbitrage Script
Script Title: BTC Cash And Carry Arbitrage Month 6 by SeoNo1
Short Title: BTC C&C ABT Month 6
Version: Pine Script v5
Overlay: True (The indicators are plotted directly on the price chart)
Purpose of the Script
This script is designed to help traders analyze and track arbitrage opportunities between the spot market and futures market for Bitcoin (BTC). Specifically, it calculates the spread and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) from a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy until a specific expiry date (in this case, June 27, 2025).
The strategy helps identify profitable opportunities when the futures price of BTC is higher than the spot price. Traders can then buy BTC in the spot market and short BTC futures contracts to lock in a risk-free profit.
1. Input Settings
Spot Symbol: The real-time BTC spot price from Binance (BTCUSDT).
Futures Symbol: The BTC futures contract that expires in June 2025 (BTCUSDM2025).
Expiry Date: The expiration date of the futures contract, set to June 27, 2025.
These inputs allow users to adjust the symbols or expiry date according to their trading needs.
2. Price Data Retrieval
Spot Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC from the spot market.
Futures Price: Fetches the latest closing price of BTC futures.
Spread: The difference between the futures price and the spot price (futures_price - spot_price).
The spread indicates how much higher (or lower) the futures price is compared to the spot market.
3. Time to Maturity (TTM) and Annual Percentage Yield (APY) Calculation
Current Date: Gets the current timestamp.
Time to Maturity (TTM): The number of days left until the futures contract expires.
APY Calculation:
Formula:
APY = ( Spread / Spot Price ) x ( 365 / TTM Days ) x 100
This represents the annualized return from holding a cash-and-carry arbitrage position if the trader buys BTC at the spot price and sells BTC futures.
4. Display Information Table on the Chart
A table is created on the chart's top-right corner showing the following data:
Metric: Labels such as Spread and APY
Value: Displays the calculated spread and APY
The table automatically updates at the latest bar to display the most recent data.
5. Alert Condition
This sets an alert condition that triggers every time the script runs.
In practice, users can modify this alert to trigger based on specific conditions (e.g., APY exceeds a threshold).
6. Plotting the APY and Spread
APY Plot: Displays the annualized yield as a blue line on the chart.
Spread Plot: Visualizes the futures-spot spread as a red line.
This helps traders quickly identify arbitrage opportunities when the spread or APY reaches desirable levels.
How to Use the Script
Monitor Arbitrage Opportunities:
A positive spread indicates a potential cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunity.
The larger the APY, the more profitable the arbitrage opportunity could be.
Timing Trades:
Execute a buy on the BTC spot market and simultaneously sell BTC futures when the APY is attractive.
Close both positions upon futures contract expiry to realize profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you have sufficient margin to hold both positions until expiry.
Monitor funding rates and volatility, which could affect returns.
Conclusion
This script is an essential tool for traders looking to exploit price discrepancies between the BTC spot market and futures market through a cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy. It provides real-time data on spreads, annualized returns (APY), and visual alerts, helping traders make informed decisions and maximize their profit potential.
Emergent Rays - NovaTheMachineEmergent Rays
An emergent ray is a refracted ray of light that exits a medium or channel. Emergent rays can be created when light passes through a prism, glass slab, or mirror
This visual indicator has been designed to aid in developing psychological understanding of price action. Many traders often struggle with developing strategy that they can act on, repeatedly. The difference between gambling and trading successfully comes down to following a plan, that you have tested and determined to be profitable over the long term.
Some traders experience anxiety when trading trends, trying to time a reversal, or entering a trade based on emotions and are unsure where they should place a stop - if they bother to place one at all.
I developed this indicator to help traders practice responsible trading practices and develop discipline. When applied to a chart an array of light rays will be plotted, similarly to those that are emitted from light passing through a medium such as a prism. These rays are a series of EMAs high & low values, filled with an assigned color.
The indicator does not suggest an entry or exit, it allows for freedom of user interpretation, however - when in a trending market you may notice that the rays are tested multiple times when the market is trending in the same direction. When trading trends it makes sense to enter at the discounted value (pullbacks) and exit on extensions. There are two main reasons for this; first is manage risk, second is to profit from a successful trade.
To practice discipline and remove emotions from trading, one must be willing to accept the outcome of a trade - regardless of whether it was profitable or not, based on their strategy.
The visual gradient of the rays signifies the pullback to stoploss risk. As price expands it is clear to see that the distance from red to blue rays increases, which means entering a trade on a touch of the red ray requires a larger stoploss than entering a pullback to the green or blue rays. When price closes on the opposite side of a ray from where it was trending - we accept the trend may have ended and must wait for the next trend cycle. If the price action is range bound we will notice the rays melting together to create a grey ray that signifies this is not the best place to be trading any type of trend following strategy.
Using this indicator in an uptrend (price expansion upwards), we look to enter long positions of retests (pullbacks) into the rays - with a stoploss set below the lowest rays; as we do not believe the uptrend is over until the trend has been broken.
Using this indicator in a downtrend (price expansion downwards), we look to enter short positions of retests (pullbacks) into the rays - with a stoploss set below the lowest rays; as we do not believe the uptrend is over until the trend has been broken.
When price is range bound or consolidating, we do not enter trades; wait for clear trend to be established.
By practicing discipline, we are able to overcome the emotions involved with trading, remove hesitation, and trade our plans more confidently through appropriate risk management and radical acceptance.
Bollinger Bands Reversal Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is a versatile trading tool designed to help traders identify potential reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands. It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of reversal-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
Bollinger Bands Calculation
The indicator calculates the standard Bollinger Bands, consisting of:
A middle band (basis) as the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing price.
An upper band as the basis plus a multiple of the standard deviation.
A lower band as the basis minus a multiple of the standard deviation.
Users can customize the length of the Bollinger Bands and the multiplier for the standard deviation.
Reversal Signals
The indicator identifies potential reversal signals based on the interaction between the price and the Bollinger Bands.
Two entry strategies are available:
Revert Cross: Waits for the price to close back above the lower band (for longs) or below the upper band (for shorts) after crossing it.
Cross Threshold: Triggers a signal as soon as the price crosses the lower band (for longs) or the upper band (for shorts).
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on bullish reversal signals.
Short: Focuses on bearish reversal signals.
Performance Metrics
The indicator calculates and displays the performance of trades over a user-defined lookback period ( barLookback ).
Metrics include:
Win Rate: The percentage of trades that were profitable.
Mean Return: The average return across all trades.
Median Return: The median return across all trades.
These metrics are calculated for each bar in the lookback period, providing insights into the strategy's performance over time.
Visual Signals
The indicator plots buy and sell signals on the chart:
Buy Signals: Displayed as green triangles below the price bars.
Sell Signals: Displayed as red triangles above the price bars.
Performance Table
A customizable table is displayed on the chart, showing the performance metrics for each bar in the lookback period.
The table includes:
Win Rate: Highlighted with gradient colors (green for high win rates, red for low win rates).
Mean Return: Colored based on profitability (green for positive returns, red for negative returns).
Median Return: Colored similarly to the mean return.
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
The table's font size can be adjusted to suit the user's preference, with options for "Auto," "Small," "Normal," and "Large."
█ PURPOSE
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is designed to:
Help traders identify high-probability reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands.
Provide actionable insights into the performance of reversal-based strategies.
Enable users to backtest and optimize their trading strategies by analyzing historical performance metrics.
█ IDEAL USERS
Swing Traders: Looking for reversal opportunities within a trend.
Mean Reversion Traders: Interested in trading price reversals to the mean.
Strategy Developers: Seeking to backtest and refine Bollinger Bands-based strategies.
Performance Analysts: Wanting to evaluate the effectiveness of reversal signals over time.
Bitcoin Reversal PredictorOverview
This indicator displays two lines that, when they cross, signal a potential reversal in Bitcoin's price trend. Historically, the high or low of a bull market cycle often occurs near the moment these lines intersect. The lines consist of an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a logarithmic regression line fitted to all of Bitcoin's historical data.
Inspiration
The inspiration for this indicator came from the PI Cycle Top indicator, which has accurately predicted past bull market peaks. However, I believe the PI Cycle Top indicator may not be as effective in the future. In that indicator, two lines cross to mark the top, but the extent of the cross has been diminishing over time. This was especially noticeable in the 2021 cycle, where the lines barely crossed. Because of this, I created a new indicator that I think will continue to provide reliable reversal signals in the future.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression line is fitted to the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). This results in a steadily decreasing line. The EMA oscillates above and below this regression line. Each time the two lines cross, a vertical colored bar appears, indicating that Bitcoin's price momentum is likely to reverse.
Use Cases
- Price Bottoming:
Bitcoin often bottoms out when the EMA crosses below the logarithmic regression line.
- Price Topping:
In contrast, Bitcoin often peaks when the EMA crosses above the logarithmic regression line.
- Profitable Strategy:
Trading at the crossovers of these lines can be a profitable strategy, as these moments often signal significant price reversals.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression BandsOverview
This indicator displays logarithmic regression bands for Bitcoin. Logarithmic regression is a statistical method used to model data where growth slows down over time. I initially created these bands in 2019 using a spreadsheet, and later coded them in TradingView in 2021. Over time, the bands proved effective at capturing Bitcoin's bull market peaks and bear market lows. In 2024, I decided to share this indicator because I believe these logarithmic regression bands offer the best fit for the Bitcoin chart.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression lines are fitted to the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). The two lines in the upper and lower bands share the same 'a' factor, but I adjust the 'b' factor by 0.2 to more accurately capture the bull market peaks and bear market lows. The formula for logaritmic regression is 10^((a * ln) - b).
How to Use the Logarithmic Regression Bands
1. Lower Band (Support Band):
The two lines in the lower band create a potential support area for Bitcoin’s price. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has always found its lows within this band during past market cycles. When the price is within the lower band, it suggests that Bitcoin is undervalued and could be set for a rebound.
2. Upper Band (Resistance Band):
The two lines in the upper band create a potential resistance area for Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin has consistently reached its highs in this band during previous market cycles. If the price is within the upper band, it indicates that Bitcoin is overvalued, and a potential price correction may be imminent.
Use Cases
- Price Bottoming:
Bitcoin tends to bottom out at the lower band before entering a prolonged bull market or a period of sideways movement.
- Price Topping:
In reverse, Bitcoin tends to top out at the upper band before entering a bear market phase.
- Profitable Strategy:
Buying at the lower band and selling at the upper band can be a profitable trading strategy, as these bands often indicate key price levels for Bitcoin’s market cycles.
AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker [CHE]AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker
Efficiently Identify Top Performers and Underperformers Among 40 Crypto Assets at a Glance
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency trading, staying ahead requires the ability to quickly assess the performance of multiple assets simultaneously. AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker is an advanced Pine Script™ indicator designed for TradingView that empowers traders to effortlessly monitor and evaluate 40 different crypto assets in real-time.
This tool is my Christmas gift to all traders. I wish you all a Merry Christmas and successful trades in the coming year!
Why It’s Important to Identify Winners and Losers Among 40 Assets at a Glance:
1. Time Efficiency: Managing a diverse portfolio can be overwhelming. With AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker, traders can swiftly identify which assets are performing exceptionally well (winners) and which are underperforming (losers) without the need to analyze each asset individually.
2. Informed Decision-Making: By having a clear overview of top gainers and losers, traders can make strategic decisions such as reallocating investments, taking profits, or cutting losses, thereby optimizing their trading strategies.
3. Risk Management: Quickly spotting underperforming assets helps in mitigating potential losses and adjusting positions to maintain a balanced and profitable portfolio.
4. Opportunity Identification: Recognizing top-performing assets allows traders to capitalize on emerging trends and maximize their returns by focusing on the most promising opportunities.
Key Features of AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker :
- Comprehensive Asset Tracking: Monitors 40 crypto assets simultaneously, providing a broad view of the market landscape.
- Max Gain and Adjusted Max Loss Calculations: Utilizes a 14-bar (configurable) period to calculate the highest gains and the adjusted maximum losses for each asset, offering insights into potential profitability and risk.
- Dynamic Ranking: Automatically sorts and ranks assets based on their performance, highlighting the top 10 gainers and top 10 losers for easy comparison.
- Customizable Display:
- Table Settings: Adjust the size, position, and colors of the performance table to fit your chart layout.
- Interactive Tooltips: Hover over asset names to view detailed tooltips, enhancing usability and information accessibility.
- Visual Alerts: Changes in asset performance are visually indicated through background color updates, allowing for immediate recognition of significant shifts.
- User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive table layout with clear headers and organized data presentation, making it easy for traders of all levels to interpret the information.
How It Works:
1. Data Calculation: For each of the 40 tracked assets, AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker calculates the maximum gain and adjusted maximum loss over the defined trading period.
2. Sorting and Ranking: The assets are sorted based on their maximum gains and adjusted maximum losses, automatically updating to reflect the latest market movements.
3. Real-Time Display: The top 10 gainers and losers are displayed in a neatly organized table directly on your TradingView chart, providing immediate visual insights.
4. Customization: Users can tailor the tracking period, select specific assets to monitor, and adjust the table’s appearance to match their trading style and preferences.
Conclusion:
AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker is an essential tool for cryptocurrency traders seeking to enhance their market analysis and decision-making processes. By providing a comprehensive and customizable overview of multiple assets, it enables traders to efficiently identify profitable opportunities and manage risks effectively. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker equips you with the insights needed to navigate the dynamic crypto market with confidence.
Get Started Today:
Integrate AlphaEdge Crypto Tracker into your TradingView setup and take control of your crypto trading strategy with unparalleled clarity and precision.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
License Information:
This Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0. You can view the full license (mozilla.org).
© chervolino
Stochastic Oscillator-Time & Frequency StatsThe Stochastic Oscillator Time & Frequency Statistics indicator is a tool designed to enhance your trading decisions by combining the traditional Stochastic Oscillator with additional metrics and visual aids. Although the Stochastic Oscillator is typically used to indicate trend direction and overbought/oversold conditions, the %K and %D lines can cross over and under multiple times while in the critical zones. The statistics added to this indicator allow traders to assess the probability of multiple crossover signals occurring on an asset or within various time frames. Signal levels and definitions of critical zones can be adjusted while the statistics are automatically updated to the relevant ticker, time frame and thresholds. Visual preferences such as colors and signal shapes can also be customized.
The Stochastic Oscillator is a commonly used momentum indicator developed by George Lane. It measures the position of the current closing price relative to the asset's recent high-low range over a set period. This advanced version calculates various probability and frequency statistics to better understand the oscillator’s behaviour and guide our strategies and risk management. Some key questions that this indicator intends to address are:
How long does the average momentum last in a trend?; How long does the oscillator remain in the critical zones?; How many times could one expect crossovers/unders' to occur in critical zones before momentum changes?; And, at what price does the candle need to close for the k & d lines to cross and signal a momentum shift?
Statistics & Probabilities:
The indicator calculates important time and frequency-based metrics that provide deeper insight into the behavior of the Stochastic Oscillator. These are displayed in a text box on the indicator panel, including:
Avg Long: The average number of bars between the last long signal before exiting the critical oversold zone and the next short signal in the overbought critical zone, including the standard deviation and the sample size within the relevant time frame.
Avg Short: The average number of bars between the last short signal in the overbought critical zone and the next long signal in the oversold critical zone, including the standard deviation and the sample size within the relevant time frame.
Time in Oversold: The average time (in bars/candle sticks) that the Stochastic Oscillator's %K & %D lines both spend in the oversold region (below the buy signal level) after entering and before departing the oversold region, along with the standard deviation.
Time in Overbought: The average time (in bars/candle sticks) that the Stochastic Oscillator's %K & %D lines both spend in the overbought region (above the sell signal level), after entering and before departing the overbought region, along with the standard deviation.
Signal Frequency: It calculates the percentage of long or short signals that occur consecutively within the critical zone before the opposing signal occurs (e.g., 1Long: 40.54%, 2 Long: 28.55%, 3Long: 17.4%, >3 Long: 13.51%, 1Short: 36.15%, 2Short: 30.41%, 3Short: 17.57%, >3Short: 15.88%). This is calculated for 1 through 6 consecutive occurrences and summarised for more than 6 consecutive signals
Key Features:
Oversold: Typically When the Stochastic Oscillator is below 20, it indicates that the asset may be oversold, potentially signalling a buying opportunity. The threshold for "overbought" and "oversold" extreme regions can be adjusted
Overbought: When the Stochastic Oscillator is above 80, it suggests the asset may be overbought, and a downturn might be near.
Stochastic Slope: The slope of the Stochastic Oscillator indicates the prominent trend direction within the selected time period.
Customizable Buy/Sell Signal Levels: The indicator allows customizable levels for detecting oversold (typically below 20-25) and overbought (typically above 75-80) conditions, helping one spot potential reversal zones for initiating long or short trades.
Crossover Alerts: The indicator tracks crossovers between the %K and %D lines, generating:
Long signals: When a crossover occurs below the buy signal level (indicating oversold conditions).
Short signals: when a crossunder occurs above the sell signal level (indicating overbought conditions).
The signals are visualized as labels on the chart:
- **L** for potential long (buy) signals: Marked below the bars when the %K line crosses above the %D line.
- **S** for potential short (sell) signals: Marked above the bars when the %K line crosses below the %D line.
Disclaimers:
No Guarantees: The indicator is provided "as-is" without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for a particular purpose. The outcomes or performance of trades executed using this indicator are not guaranteed to be successful or profitable.
User Responsibility: You are solely responsible for any trading decisions you make based on the use of this indicator. All trading and investment activities involve risk, and it is essential to conduct your own research, analysis, and due diligence before making any financial decisions.
No Liability: The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses, direct or indirect, incurred as a result of using this indicator. This includes, but is not limited to, loss of profits, loss of capital, or any other negative financial outcomes.
Market Risks: Markets are volatile, and prices may fluctuate significantly. Trading and investing carry inherent risks, and there is always the potential for loss. You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose.
Independent Advice: This indicator and the content generated by its creator does not constitute financial advice and is for entertainment purposes only. It is strongly recommended that you seek independent financial advice from a qualified and licensed professional before making any trading or investment decisions based on the use of this indicator.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you fully understand and accept the risks involved, and you agree to indemnify and hold harmless the creator of this indicator from any claims, damages, or liabilities arising from its use.
The author of this script has made every effort to ensure that the code is an original interpretation and application of the open-source **Stochastic Oscillator**, as developed by George Lane. The script reflects a unique adaptation aimed at enhancing trading strategies through advanced statistical analysis and trade management features. The author does not claim any proprietary rights over the foundational concepts of the **Stochastic Oscillator** and does not intend to infringe upon any existing copyrights. Should any copyright infringement be identified, the author commits to removing the indicator immediately and forfeits any rights to further or intended financial gain from its use.
Supply and Demand Plus [tambangEA]The Supply and Demand Plus is an advanced version of the highly-regarded Supply and Demand indicator
Designed to offer additional functionality for professional traders. Building on the core features of the original script, the "Plus" version incorporates enhanced zone selection capabilities and multi-timeframe Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). This makes it a versatile tool for those who seek to refine their trading strategies using supply and demand principles while integrating trend-following techniques.
🔹 New Capabilities in Supply and Demand Plus
1. Customizable Zone Selection:
Users can now choose which specific zones to display on the chart:
Continuation Trader
-Rally-Base-Rally (RBR): Bullish continuation zones.
-Drop-Base-Drop (DBD): Bearish continuation zones.
Contrarian Trader
-Drop-Base-Rally (DBR): Bullish reversal zones.
-Rally-Base-Drop (RBD): Bearish reversal zones.
This feature allows traders to filter the zones relevant to their strategy, reducing chart clutter and enhancing focus.
2. Multi-Timeframe EMAs:
🔹 The Meeting Zone: "Base"
-The meeting zone is where supply meets demand, often referred to as the equilibrium price range. In this range:
-Sellers are willing to sell at prices buyers are willing to pay.
-Trading volume is usually higher as transactions occur more frequently.
-On the candle chart, this area may appear as sideways movement (consolidation) or regions with balanced candle sizes and wicks, signaling relative agreement between buyers and sellers.
🔹 Key Observations in Candle Charts
-Breakouts: When prices break out of a meeting zone, they indicate that one side (buyers or sellers) has gained significant control. This can lead to new supply or demand zones.
-Retests: Often, prices return to test these zones (called pullbacks) before continuing in the dominant direction. Retests confirm the strength of a supply or demand zone.
-Volume Spikes: High trading volumes near these zones signify active participation and can validate the importance of the zone.
The indicator includes five Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) that can be plotted across different timeframes simultaneously. This enables traders to:
Track trend strength and direction across multiple timeframes.
Identify dynamic support and resistance levels.
Combine EMA signals with supply and demand zones for confluence-based trading decisions.
EMA Settings:
Fully customizable periods (e.g., EMA 20, 50, 100, etc.).
Adjustable colors and thickness for each EMA.
Multi-timeframe capability to analyze higher or lower timeframes without changing the chart.
🔹 How It Works :
The script works through a series of processes:
1.Zone Identification:
-Uses historical price patterns and pivot levels to map out supply and demand zones.
-Zones dynamically adjust to reflect market conditions, staying relevant to current price action.
-The color of the Zone can be set individually
2.Volume and Market Context:
-Integrates volume analysis to filter out weaker zones.
-Highlights zones with confluence between high volume and price rejections, signaling areas of strong institutional interest.
3.Trend Integration:
-Employs proprietary logic to assess market trends, ensuring that traders only act on zones aligned with broader momentum.
-This feature minimizes counter-trend trades, which are inherently riskier.
4.User Customization:
-Fully customizable zone sensitivity, timeframe settings, and visual preferences allow traders to adapt the tool to their strategy.
Four EMAs in sequence from Chart EMAs to Daily EMA are indicators of a strong trend
The "Base" zone of RBR and DBD supported by Daily EMAs within the zone,
is a strong meeting of buyers and sellers in the past.
Zone can be calibrated how many percent comparison of open close candle to high low candle
the number of candles in Base can be set to the maximum number of candles
🔹 Utility for Traders
The indicator provides a clear roadmap for traders by:
-Identifying high-probability trade zones.
-Confirming entries with volume and trend data.
-Offering actionable insights in both trending and ranging markets.
🔹 Why It Stands Out
Unlike generic supply and demand indicators or trend-following tools, Supply and Demand Plus incorporates an original approach by:
-Seamlessly combining zone identification, volume analysis, and trend confirmation into a single cohesive tool.
-Adapting dynamically to changing market conditions.
-Supporting advanced traders with MTFA, while remaining accessible to beginners with its intuitive design.
Example : Continuation Trader + Retests
The idea is when the "Base" zone occurs, then there is a meeting between buyers and sellers with a large enough volume and will leave a trace in the past.
In accordance with one of the principles in Dow Theory, namely History Repeats Itself, the price will return to the "Base" zone, before continuing the trend
Before
After
🔹 Update and Versioning
This script is an evolution of previous Supply and Demand tools, incorporating valuable user feedback and innovative features. All future updates, including improvements and new functionalities, will be integrated within this script under the Update feature, ensuring continuity and ease of access for users.
🔹 Conclusion
We believe that success lies in the association of the user with the indicator, opposed to many traders who have the perspective that the indicator itself can make them become profitable. The reality is much more complicated than that.
The aim is to provide an indicator comprehensive, customizable, and intuitive enough that any trader can be led to understand this truth and develop an actionable perspective of technical indicators as support tools for decision making.
🔹 DISCLAIMER/RISK WARNING
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.
All content, tools, scripts, articles, & education provided by are purely for informational & educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Flashtrader´s Statistical BandwidthsThe vast majority of traders exclusively concern
themselves with trend-following in all its facets. Scoring
points with trends on a regular basis is a difficult task
since prices do not constantly move in one direction
or another. In the case of the DAX future, for example,
only about 30 per cent of all trading days in a year are
trend days. And of these, there are x percent long ones
and x per cent short ones. Catching the very days when
prices rise or fall from the opening to the close is a major
challenge for a trader who also needs to have previously
recognised the corresponding direction.
However, there are also other ways of profit-taking
every day – for example, by using the mean reversion
strategy. The idea behind this is the fact that prices reach
a high and a low every day – but very rarely close at the
high or the low. This means that prices always move
away from these extreme points and the closing price is
somewhere in between. A profitable trading strategy can
be developed out of this.
But how can you know where the high and the low
will be tomorrow? Is it possible for you to know this in
advance? No – because no one can predict the future. Or
can they? At least it can be statistically determined how
high or low prices could go tomorrow. There is a high
degree of probability that one of the two possibilities
will materialise. It will then be necessary to act.
Calculation
Classic pivot points for the following day are calculated
from the high, low and closing price. But does it really
make sense to use such a mix? I don’t think so and
use a different calculation for this strategy. In a first step,
only the differences between the start and the high or low
are calculated on a daily basis. To avoid being dependent
on individual days and outliers, it is advisable to calculate,
in a second step, the average of these differences over
the past five days. Finally, this average will then be added
at the opening price of the current trading day for the
upper statistical bandwidth and subtracted for the lower
bandwidth.
upper bandwidth = oSTB (violet dashed line in the chart)
lower bandwidth = uSTB (violet dashedline in the chart)
The second interesting question is, if the previous day's high has been exceeded, how much further can the price rise from a mathematical/statistical point of view?
These calculated previous day highs expansions are shown as red dashed lines
Previous day's high expansion = VTHA
Previous day's low expansion = VTTA
For further orientation, the previous day's high (VTH) and the previous day's low (VTT) are shown in light blue dashed lines
And as a supplement, the previous day's close in the DAX Future at 10:00 p.m. VTSA in violet solid lines and the previous day's close in the cash register at 5:30 p.m. VTSN in yellow solid lines
Reaching the calculated extreme values does not mean that the trend has to change immediately, but there is at least temporary exhaustion potential with which you can earn a few points every day in the area of scalping.
Example for cheap entry long:
Example for cheap entry short:
Deutsch:
Die Masse der Trader beschäftigt sich ausschließlich mit Trendfolge in all ihren Facetten. Mit Trends regelmäßig zu punkten ist ein schwieriges Unterfangen, da die Kurse nicht ständig in die eine oder andere Richtung laufen. Beim DAX-Future zum Beispiel sind von allen Börsentagen im Jahr lediglich zirka 30 Prozent Trendtage. Davon sind dann auch noch x Prozent Long und x Prozent Short. Hier genau die Tage abzupassen, an denen die Kurse von Börsenbeginn bis zum Schluss steigen beziehungsweise fallen, ist eine große Herausforderung – wobei der Trader zuvor noch die entsprechende Richtung erkannt haben muss. Es gibt jedoch auch noch andere Methoden täglich Gewinne mitzunehmen, zum Beispiel mit der Mean-Reversion-Strategie (Mittelwertumkehr).
Hintergrund ist die Tatsache, dass die Kurse jeden Tag ein Hoch und ein Tief erreichen – aber sehr selten am Hoch oder am Tief schließen. Das bedeutet, dass die Preise sich immer wie der von diesen Extrempunkten wegbewegen und der Schlusskurs irgendwo dazwischen liegt. Hieraus lässt sich eine profitable Handelsstrategie entwickeln. Aber woher kannst Du wissen, wo morgen das Hoch und das Tief sein wird? Kannst Du das vorher schon wissen? Nein – denn niemand kann die Zukunft vorhersagen. Oder doch? Statistisch lässt sich zumindest bestimmen, wie hoch und wie tief die Kurse morgen steigen oder fallen könnten. Eine Seite wird mit sehr hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit ein treffen. Dann gilt es zu handeln.
Berechnung Klassischer Pivot-Punkte für den folgenden Tag werden aus Hoch, Tief und Schlusskurs berechnet. Aber ist es wirklich sinnvoll, einen solchen Mix zu verwenden? Ich finde das nicht und verwenden für diese Strategie eine andere Berechnung. Im ersten Schritt werden täglich die Differenzen nur vom Start bis zum Hoch beziehungsweise Tief errechnet. Um nicht von einzelnen Tagen und Ausreißern abhängig zu sein, empfiehlt es sich, in einem zweiten Schritt den Durchschnitt dieser Differenzen über die letzten fünf Tage zu errechnen. Zuletzt wird dann dieser Durchschnitt zum Eröffnungskurs des aktuellen Handelstages für die obere statistische Bandbreite addiert und für die untere Bandbreite subtrahiert.
Obere statistische Bandbreite = oSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Untere statistische Bandbreite = uSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Die zweite interessante Frage ist, wenn das Vortageshoch überschritten wurde, wie weit kann der Kurs dann noch steigen aus mathematisch/statistischer Sicht?
Diese berechneten Vortagesextremausdehnungen sind als rote gestrichelte Linien dargestellt
Vortageshochausdehnung = VTHA
Vortagestiefausdehnung = VTTA
Für die weitere Orientierung sind die Vortageshochs (VTH) und die Vortagestiefs (VTT) als hellblaue gestrichelte Linien abgebildet.
Als Ergänzung wird noch der Vortages Schluss im Dax Future um 22:00 Uhr VTSA mit einer violetten durchgezogenen Linie und der Kassamarktschluss um 17:30 Uhr mit einer gelben durchgezogenen Linie gezeigt.
Das Erreichen der berechneten Extremwerte bedeutet nicht, das der Trend sofort drehen muss, aber es sind zumindest temporäre Erschöpfungspotentiale mit denen sich im Bereich scalping täglich einige Punkte verdienen lassen.
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Long:
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Short:
FibLevel Size CalculatorThis skript calculates position sizes and new take profits for sizing into an long or short position with 3 entrys defined at custom fibonacci retracement levels.
TP: -0,272
Entry1: 0.382
Entry2: 0.618
Entry3: 0.83
SL: 1.05
Expected RR per trade is 0.2 with a High Win rate definitly profitable.
Search for an established trend on the higher timeframe, drop to the smaller ones and look for correction waves. Once they break to the trenddirection of the higher timeframe take the fib from lowest to highes point. Draw a fib level on the chart and use the Indicator to define these Levels above. The calculator gives you the Margin to use in each position, and will check that you will not get liquidated an that you have enough margin. It tells you the new TP for Limit2 and Limit3 if they get hit so you can get out of the trade full TP with a small bounce.
Inputs:
Account Balance, Risk Percentage, and Leverage: These inputs are used to calculate the position size and risk.
Entry 1, Entry 2, Entry 3, Take Profit (TP), and Stop Loss (SL): These prices are used for calculating position sizes, risk, and profit for up to three entry points.
Calculations:
Risk Amount: Calculated based on the account balance and risk percentage.
Position Sizes (Qty): For each entry point, the position size is determined. The second and third entries have a multiplier (3x for Entry 2, 5x for Entry 3) compared to the first.
Stop Loss and Profit Calculation: The script calculates the potential profit and adjusts the TP levels based on the average entries for Limit 2 and Limit 3.
Margin Calculation: Margin requirements for each position are calculated based on leverage.
Output:
Table Display: A table shows key values like entry prices, position sizes, TP levels, potential profit, and margin requirements for each limit.
Warnings: It includes a liquidation warning and a check for whether the account is at risk of liquidation based on leverage.
Position Type: It automatically detects if the trade is a long or short based on the relationship between TP and SL.
Visualization:
Lines: It draws horizontal lines on the chart to visually represent the entry, TP, and SL levels.
Overall, this script is designed to help traders manage risk and calculate position sizes for multi-level entries using leverage.
Pls drop feedback in the comments.
Stoch RSI Time StatisticsThe “Stochastic RSI Time Statistics” is a comprehensive tool designed to enhance your trading decisions by combining the traditional Stochastic RSI with additional metrics and visual aids. This indicator can be used to detect overbought and oversold conditions, issue long and short alerts based on crossovers, and help you analyse market movements by providing detailed statistical insights.
The Stochastic RSI is an open source script that was developed by Tushar Chande and Stanley Kroll and introduced in their book "The New Technical Trader" in 1994. It combines two popular indicators: the “Relative Strength Index (RSI)” and the “Stochastic Oscillator”.
The “Stochastic RSI Time Statistics” uses the stochastic RSI calculations and additionally calculates various probability and frequency statistics to better understand the momentum oscillator’s behaviour and guide our strategies and risk management.
Statistics & Probabilities:
The indicator calculates important time and frequency-based metrics that provide deeper insight into the behaviour of the Stochastic RSI. These are displayed in a text box on the indicator panel, including:
Avg Long: The average number of bars between the last long signal before exiting the critical zone and the next short signal in the overbought critical zone, including the standard deviation and the sample size within the relevant time frame.
Avg Short: The average number of bars between the last short signal before exiting the critical zone and the next long signal in the oversold critical zone, including the standard deviation and the sample size within the relevant time frame.
Avg Consecutive Longs: The average number of consecutive long signals before the first proceeding short signal occurs, with standard deviation.
Avg Consecutive Shorts: The average number of consecutive short signals before the first proceeding long signal occurs, with standard deviation.
Time in Oversold: The average time (in bars/candle sticks) that the Stochastic RSI lines (K & D Lines both in critical zone) spends in the oversold region (below the buy signal level) after entering the oversold region and until both K & D lines depart from the oversold region, along with the standard deviation.
Time in Overbought: The average time (in bars/candle sticks) that the Stochastic RSI lines (K & D Lines both in critical zone) spends in the overbought region (above the sell signal level), after entering the overbought region and until both K & D lines depart from the overbought region, along with the standard deviation.
Signal Frequency: It calculates the percentage of a single, double, triple, and more than triple long or short signals that occur consecutively within the critical zone before the opposing signal occurs (e.g., 1Long: 40.54%, 2 Long:28.55%, 3Long 17.4%, >3 Long:13.51%, 1Short:36.15%, 2Short:30.41%, 3Short:17.57%, >3Short:15.88%).
Key Features:
Oversold: When the Stochastic RSI is below 20, it indicates that the RSI is in a low range, and the asset may be oversold, potentially signalling a buying opportunity.
Overbought: When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it suggests the RSI is in a high range, meaning the asset may be overbought and a downturn might be near.
The Stochastic RSI Slope indicates the prominent trend direction within a relevant time period.
Customizable Buy Signal Level (typically below 20-25 percentile) to detect oversold conditions. Customizable Sell Signal Level (typically above 75-80 percentile) to detect overbought conditions. These levels help you spot potential reversal zones where long or short trades might be initiated.
Crossover Alerts:
The indicator tracks crossovers between the K and D lines, generating long signals when a crossover occurs below the buy signal level (indicating oversold conditions) and short signals when a cross under occurs above the sell signal level (indicating overbought conditions). The signals are visualized as labels on the chart:
**L** for potential long (buy) signals: Marked below the bars when the K line crosses above the D line.
**S** for potential short (sell) signals: Marked above the bars when the K line crosses below the D line.
Visual Alerts are generated based on these signals.
Risk Management
Although the Stochastic RSI is typically regarded as presenting trend direction and overbought and oversold conditions when in the extreme zones, the RSI can linger and cross over or under numerous times while in the critical zone. The statistics added to the Stochastic RSI indicator allows one to assess the statistical probability of numerous crossover signals occurring on an asset or at various time frames. Signal levels, or preferred definitions of the critical zones can be adjusted while the statistics are automatically updated to the relevant ticker or time frame. Colours and Signal shapes are adjustable to suite your visual preferences.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge and agree that:
No Guarantees: The indicator is provided "as-is" without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for a particular purpose. The outcomes or performance of trades executed using this indicator are not guaranteed to be successful or profitable.
User Responsibility: You are solely responsible for any trading decisions you make based on the use of this indicator. All trading and investment activities involve risk, and it is essential to conduct your own research, analysis, and due diligence before making any financial decisions.
No Liability: The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses, direct or indirect, incurred as a result of using this indicator. This includes, but is not limited to, loss of profits, loss of capital, or any other negative financial outcomes.
Market Risks: Markets are volatile, and prices may fluctuate significantly. Trading and investing carry inherent risks, and there is always the potential for loss. You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose.
Independent Advice: It is strongly recommended that you seek independent financial advice from a qualified and licensed professional before making any trading or investment decisions based on the use of this indicator.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you fully understand and accept the risks involved, and you agree to indemnify and hold harmless the creator of this indicator from any claims, damages, or liabilities arising from its use.
The author of this script has made every effort to ensure that the code is an original interpretation and application of the open-source Stochastic RSI, as developed by the original authors, Tushar Chande and Stanley Kroll. The script reflects a unique adaptation aimed at enhancing trading strategies through advanced statistical analysis and trade management features. The author does not claim any proprietary rights over the foundational concepts of the Stochastic RSI and does not intend to infringe upon any existing copyrights. Should any copyright infringement be identified, the author commits to removing the indicator immediately and forfeits any rights to further or intended financial gain from its use.
Grid Bot Parabolic [xxattaxx]🟩 The Grid Bot Parabolic, a continuation of the Grid Bot Simulator Series , enhances traditional gridbot theory by employing a dynamic parabolic curve to visualize potential support and resistance levels. This adaptability is particularly useful in volatile or trending markets, enabling traders to explore grid-based strategies and gain deeper market insights. The grids are divided into customizable trade zones that trigger signals as prices move into new zones, empowering traders to gain deeper insights into market dynamics and potential turning points.
While traditional grid bots excel in ranging markets, the Grid Bot Parabolic’s introduction of acceleration and curvature adds new dimensions, enabling its use in trending markets as well. It can function as a traditional grid bot with horizontal lines, a tilted grid bot with linear slopes, or a fully parabolic grid with curves. This dynamic nature allows the indicator to adapt to various market conditions, providing traders with a versatile tool for visualizing dynamic support and resistance levels.
🔑 KEY FEATURES 🔑
Adaptable Grid Structures (Horizontal, Linear, Curved)
Buy and Sell Signals with Multiple Trigger/Confirmation Conditions
Secondary Buy and Secondary Sell Signals
Projected Grid Lines
Customizable Grid Spacing and Zones
Acceleration and Curvature Control
Sensitivity Adjustments
📐 GRID STRUCTURES 📐
Beyond its core parabolic functionality, the Parabolic Grid Bot offers a range of grid configurations to suit different market conditions and trading preferences. By adjusting the "Acceleration" and "Curvature" parameters, you can transform the grid's structure:
Parabolic Grids
Setting both acceleration and curvature to non-zero values results in a parabolic grid.This configuration can be particularly useful for visualizing potential turning points and trend reversals. Example: Accel = 10, Curve = -10)
Linear Grids
With a non-zero acceleration and zero curvature, the grid tilts to represent a linear trend, aiding in identifying potential support and resistance levels during trending phases. Example: Accel =1.75, Curve = 0
Horizontal Grids
When both acceleration and curvature are set to zero, the indicator reverts to a traditional grid bot with horizontal lines, suitable for ranging markets. Example: Accel=0, Curve=0
⚙️ INITIAL SETUP ⚙️
1.Adding the Indicator to Your Chart
Locate a Starting Point: To begin, visually identify a price point on your chart where you want the grid to start.This point will anchor your grid.
2. Setting Up the Grid
Add the Grid Bot Parabolic Indicator to your chart. A “Start Time/Price” dialog will appear
CLICK on the chart at your chosen start point. This will anchor the start point and open a "Confirm Inputs" dialog box.
3. Configure Settings. In the dialog box, you can set the following:
Acceleration: Adjust how quickly the grid reacts to price changes.
Curve: Define the shape of the parabola.
Intervals: Determine the distance between grid levels.
If you choose to keep the default settings, with acceleration set to 0 and curve set to 0, the grid will display as traditional horizontal lines. The grid will align with your selected price point, and you can adjust the settings at any time through the indicator’s settings panel.
⚙️ CONFIGURATION AND SETTINGS ⚙️
Grid Settings
Accel (Acceleration): Controls how quickly the price reacts to changes over time.
Curve (Curvature): Defines the overall shape of the parabola.
Intervals (Grid Spacing): Determines the vertical spacing between the grid lines.
Sensitivity: Fine tunes the magnitude of Acceleration and Curve.
Buy Zones & Sell Zones: Define the number of grid levels used for potential buy and sell signals.
* Each zone is represented on the chart with different colors:
* Green: Buy Zones
* Red: Sell Zones
* Yellow: Overlap (Buy and Sell Zones intersect)
* Gray: Neutral areas
Trigger: Chooses which part of the candlestick is used to trigger a signal.
* `Wick`: Uses the high or low of the candlestick
* `Close`: Uses the closing price of the candlestick
* `Midpoint`: Uses the middle point between the high and low of the candlestick
* `SWMA`: Uses the Symmetrical Weighted Moving Average
Confirm: Specifies how a signal is confirmed.
* `Reverse`: The signal is confirmed if the price moves in the opposite direction of the initial trigger
* `Touch`: The signal is confirmed when the price touches the specified level or zone
Sentiment: Determines the market sentiment, which can influence signal generation.
* `Slope`: Sentiment is based on the direction of the curve, reflecting the current trend
* `Long`: Sentiment is bullish, favoring buy signals
* `Short`: Sentiment is bearish, favoring sell signals
* `Neutral`: Sentiment is neutral. No secondary signals will be generated
Show Signals: Toggles the display of buy and sell signals on the chart
Chart Settings
Grid Colors: These colors define the visual appearance of the grid lines
Projected: These colors define the visual appearance of the projected lines
Parabola/SWMA: Adjust colors as needed. These are disabled by default.
Time/Price
Start Time & Start Price: These set the starting point for the parabolic curve.
* These fields are automatically populated when you add the indicator to the chart and click on an initial location
* These can be adjusted manually in the settings panel, but he easiest way to change these is by directly interacting with the start point on the chart
Please note: Time and Price must be adjusted for each chart when switching assets. For example, a Start Price on BTCUSD of $60,000 will not work on an ETHUSD chart.
🤖 ALGORITHM AND CALCULATION 🤖
The Parabolic Function
At the core of the Parabolic Grid Bot lies the parabolic function, which calculates a dynamic curve that adapts to price action over time. This curve serves as the foundation for visualizing potential support and resistance levels.
The shape and behavior of the parabola are influenced by three key user-defined parameters:
Acceleration: This parameter controls the rate of change of the curve's slope, influencing its tilt or steepness. A higher acceleration value results in a more pronounced tilt, while a lower value leads to a gentler slope. This applies to both curved and linear grid configurations.
Curvature: This parameter introduces and controls the curvature or bend of the grid. A higher curvature value results in a more pronounced parabolic shape, while a lower value leads to a flatter curve or even a straight line (when set to zero).
Sensitivity: This setting fine-tunes the overall responsiveness of the grid, influencing how strongly the Acceleration and Curvature parameters affect its shape. Increasing sensitivity amplifies the impact of these parameters, making the grid more adaptable to price changes but potentially leading to more frequent adjustments. Decreasing sensitivity reduces their impact, resulting in a more stable grid structure with fewer adjustments. It may be necessary to adjust Sensitivity when switching between different assets or timeframes to ensure optimal scaling and responsiveness.
The parabolic function combines these parameters to generate a curve that visually represents the potential path of price movement. By understanding how these inputs influence the parabola's shape and behavior, traders can gain valuable insights into potential support and resistance areas, aiding in their decision-making process.
Sentiment
The Parabolic Grid Bot incorporates sentiment to enhance signal generation. The "Sentiment" input allows you to either:
Manually specify the market sentiment: Choose between 'Long' (bullish), 'Short' (bearish), or 'Neutral'.
Let the script determine sentiment based on the slope of the parabolic curve: If 'Slope' is selected, the sentiment will be considered 'Long' when the curve is sloping upwards, 'Short' when it's sloping downwards, and 'Neutral' when it's flat.
Buy and Sell Signals
The Parabolic Grid Bot generates buy and sell signals based on the interaction between the price and the grid levels.
Trigger: The "Trigger" input determines which part of the candlestick is used to trigger a signal (wick, close, midpoint, or SWMA).
Confirmation: The "Confirm" input specifies how a signal is confirmed ('Reverse' or 'Touch').
Zones: The number of "Buy Zones" and "Sell Zones" determines the areas on the grid where buy and sell signals can be generated.
When the trigger condition is met within a buy zone and the confirmation criteria are satisfied, a buy signal is generated. Similarly, a sell signal is generated when the trigger and confirmation occur within a sell zone.
Secondary Signals
Secondary signals are generated when a regular buy or sell signal contradicts the prevailing sentiment. For example:
A buy signal in a bearish market (Sentiment = 'Short') would be considered a "secondary buy" signal.
A sell signal in a bullish market (Sentiment = 'Long') would be considered a "secondary sell" signal.
These secondary signals are visually represented on the chart using hollow triangles, differentiating them from regular signals (filled triangles).
While they can be interpreted as potential contrarian trade opportunities, secondary signals can also serve other purposes within a grid trading strategy:
Exit Signals: A secondary signal can suggest a potential shift in market sentiment or a weakening trend. This could be a cue to consider exiting an existing position, even if it's currently profitable, to lock in gains before a potential reversal
Risk Management: In a strong trend, secondary signals might offer opportunities for cautious counter-trend trades with controlled risk. These trades could utilize smaller position sizes or tighter stop-losses to manage potential downside if the main trend continues
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): During a prolonged trend, the parabolic curve might generate multiple secondary signals in the opposite direction. These signals could be used to implement a DCA strategy, gradually accumulating a position at potentially favorable prices as the market retraces or consolidates within the larger trend
Secondary signals should be interpreted with caution and considered in conjunction with other technical indicators and market context. They provide additional insights into potential market reversals or consolidation phases within a broader trend, aiding in adapting your grid trading strategy to the evolving market dynamics.
Examples
Trigger=Wick, Confirm=Touch. Signals are generated when the wick touches the next gridline.
Trigger=Close, Confirm=Touch. Signals require the close to touch the next gridline.
Trigger=SWMA, Confirm=Reverse. Signals are triggered when the Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average reverse crosses the next gridline.
🧠THEORY AND RATIONALE 🧠
The innovative approach of the Parabolic Grid Bot can be better understood by first examining the limitations of traditional grid trading strategies and exploring how this indicator addresses them by incorporating principles of market cycles and dynamic price behavior
Traditional Grid Bots: One-Dimensional and Static
Traditional grid bots operate on a simple premise: they divide the price chart into a series of equally spaced horizontal lines, creating a grid of trading zones. These bots excel in ranging markets where prices oscillate within a defined range. Buy and sell orders are placed at these grid levels, aiming to profit from mean reversion as prices bounce between the support and resistance zones.
However, traditional grid bots face challenges in trending markets. As the market moves in one direction, the bot continues to place orders in that direction, leading to a stacking of positions. If the market eventually reverses, these stacked trades can be profitable, amplifying gains. But the risk lies in the potential for the market to continue trending, leaving the trader with a series of losing trades on the wrong side of the market
The Parabolic Grid Bot: Adding Dimensions
The Parabolic Grid Bot addresses the limitations of traditional grid bots by introducing two additional dimensions:
Acceleration (Second Dimension): This parameter introduces a second dimension to the grid, allowing it to tilt upwards or downwards to align with the prevailing market trend. A positive acceleration creates an upward-sloping grid, suitable for uptrends, while a negative acceleration results in a downward-sloping grid, ideal for downtrends. The magnitude of acceleration controls the steepness of the tilt, enabling you to fine-tune the grid's responsiveness to the trend's strength
Curvature (Third Dimension): This parameter adds a third dimension to the grid by introducing a parabolic curve. The curve's shape, ranging from gentle bends to sharp turns, is controlled by the curvature value. This flexibility allows the grid to closely mirror the market's evolving structure, potentially identifying turning points and trend reversals.
Mean Reversion in Trending Markets
Even in trending markets, the Parabolic Grid Bot can help identify opportunities for mean reversion strategies. While the grid may be tilted to reflect the trend, the buy and sell zones can capture short-term price oscillations or consolidations within the broader trend. This allows traders to potentially pinpoint entry and exit points based on temporary pullbacks or reversals.
Visualize and Adapt
The Parabolic Grid Bot acts as a visual aid, enhancing your understanding of market dynamics. It allows you to "see the curve" by adapting the grid to the market's patterns. If the market shows a parabolic shape, like an upward curve followed by a peak and a downward turn (similar to a head and shoulders pattern), adjust the Accel and Curve to match. This highlights potential areas of interest for further analysis.
Beyond Straight Lines: Visualizing Market Cycle
Traditional technical analysis often employs straight lines, such as trend lines and support/resistance levels, to interpret market movements. However, many analysts, including Brian Millard, contend that these lines can be misleading. They propose that what might appear as a straight line could represent just a small part of a larger curve or cycle that's not fully visible on the chart.
Markets are inherently cyclical, marked by phases of expansion, contraction, and reversal. The Parabolic Grid Bot acknowledges this cyclical behavior by offering a dynamic, curved grid that adapts to these shifts. This approach helps traders move beyond the limitations of straight lines and visualize potential support and resistance levels in a way that better reflects the market's true nature
By capturing these cyclical patterns, whether subtle or pronounced, the Parabolic Grid Bot offers a nuanced understanding of market dynamics, potentially leading to more accurate interpretations of price action and informed trading decisions.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER⚠️
This indicator utilizes a parabolic curve fitting approach to visualize potential support and resistance levels. The mathematical formulas employed have been designed with adaptability and scalability in mind, aiming to accommodate various assets and price ranges. While the resulting curves may visually resemble parabolas, it's important to note that they might not strictly adhere to the precise mathematical definition of a parabola.
The indicator's calculations have been tested and generally produce reliable results. However, no guarantees are made regarding their absolute mathematical accuracy. Traders are encouraged to use this tool as part of their broader analysis and decision-making process, combining it with other technical indicators and market context.
Please remember that trading involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is always advisable to conduct your own research and exercise prudent risk management before making any trading decisions.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
The Parabolic Grid Bot, like the other grid bots in this series, is designed with education and community collaboration in mind. Its open-source nature encourages exploration, experimentation, and the development of new grid trading strategies. We hope this indicator serves as a framework and a starting point for future innovations in the field of grid trading.
Your comments, suggestions, and discussions are invaluable in shaping the future of this project. We welcome your feedback and look forward to seeing how you utilize and enhance the Parabolic Grid Bot.
Uptrick: Volume-Weighted EMA Signal### **Uptrick: Volume-Weighted EMA Signal (UVES) Indicator - Comprehensive Description**
#### **Overview**
The **Uptrick: Volume-Weighted EMA Signal (UVES)** is an advanced, multifaceted trading indicator meticulously designed to provide traders with a holistic view of market trends by integrating Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) with volume analysis. This indicator not only identifies the direction of market trends through dynamic EMAs but also evaluates the underlying strength of these trends using real-time volume data. UVES is a versatile tool suitable for various trading styles and markets, offering a high degree of customization to meet the specific needs of individual traders.
#### **Purpose**
The UVES indicator aims to enhance traditional trend-following strategies by incorporating a critical yet often overlooked component: volume. Volume is a powerful indicator of market strength, providing insights into the conviction behind price movements. By merging EMA-based trend signals with detailed volume analysis, UVES offers a more nuanced and reliable approach to identifying trading opportunities. This dual-layer analysis allows traders to differentiate between strong trends supported by significant volume and weaker trends that may be prone to reversals.
#### **Key Features and Functions**
1. **Dynamic Exponential Moving Average (EMA):**
- The core of the UVES indicator is its dynamic EMA, calculated over a customizable period. The EMA is a widely used technical indicator that smooths price data to identify the underlying trend. In UVES, the EMA is dynamically colored—green when the current EMA value is above the previous value, indicating an uptrend, and red when below, signaling a downtrend. This visual cue helps traders quickly assess the trend direction without manually calculating or interpreting raw data.
2. **Comprehensive Moving Average Customization:**
- While the EMA is the default moving average in UVES, traders can select from various other moving average types, including Simple Moving Average (SMA), Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), and Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA). Each type offers unique characteristics:
- **SMA:** Provides a simple average of prices over a specified period, suitable for identifying long-term trends.
- **EMA:** Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to recent market movements.
- **SMMA (RMA):** A slower-moving average that reduces noise, ideal for capturing smoother trends.
- **WMA:** Weighs prices based on their order in the dataset, making recent prices more influential.
- **VWMA:** Integrates volume data, emphasizing price movements that occur with higher volume, making it particularly useful in volume-sensitive markets.
3. **Signal Line for Trend Confirmation:**
- UVES includes an optional signal line, which applies a secondary moving average to the primary EMA. This signal line can be used to smooth out the EMA and confirm trend changes. The signal line’s color changes based on its slope—green for an upward slope and red for a downward slope—providing a clear visual confirmation of trend direction. Traders can adjust the length and type of this signal line, allowing them to tailor the indicator’s responsiveness to their trading strategy.
4. **Buy and Sell Signal Generation:**
- UVES generates explicit buy and sell signals based on the interaction between the EMA and the signal line. A **buy signal** is triggered when the EMA transitions from a red (downtrend) to a green (uptrend), indicating a potential entry point. Conversely, a **sell signal** is triggered when the EMA shifts from green to red, suggesting an exit or shorting opportunity. These signals are displayed directly on the chart as upward or downward arrows, making them easily identifiable even during fast market conditions.
5. **Volume Analysis with Real-Time Buy/Sell Volume Table:**
- One of the standout features of UVES is its integration of volume analysis, which calculates and displays the volume attributed to buying and selling activities. This analysis includes:
- **Buy Volume:** The portion of the total volume associated with price increases (close higher than open).
- **Sell Volume:** The portion of the total volume associated with price decreases (close lower than open).
- **Buy/Sell Ratio:** A ratio of buy volume to sell volume, providing a quick snapshot of market sentiment.
- These metrics are presented in a real-time table positioned in the top-right corner of the chart, with customizable colors and formatting. The table updates with each new bar, offering continuous feedback on the strength and direction of the market trend based on volume data.
6. **Customizable Settings and User Control:**
- **EMA Length and Source:** Traders can specify the lookback period for the EMA, adjusting its sensitivity to price changes. The source for EMA calculations can also be customized, with options such as close, open, high, low, or other custom price series.
- **Signal Line Customization:** The signal line’s length, type, and width can be adjusted to suit different trading strategies, allowing traders to optimize the balance between trend detection and noise reduction.
- **Offset Adjustment:** The offset feature allows users to shift the EMA and signal line forward or backward on the chart. This can help align the indicator with specific price action or adjust for latency in decision-making processes.
- **Volume Table Positioning and Formatting:** The position, size, and color scheme of the volume table are fully customizable, enabling traders to integrate the table seamlessly into their chart setup without cluttering the visual workspace.
7. **Versatility Across Markets and Trading Styles:**
- UVES is designed to be effective across a wide range of financial markets, including Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and indices. Its adaptability to different markets is supported by its comprehensive customization options and the inclusion of volume analysis, which is particularly valuable in markets where volume plays a crucial role in price movement.
#### **How Different Traders Can Benefit from UVES**
1. **Trend Followers:**
- Trend-following traders will find UVES particularly beneficial for identifying and riding trends. The dynamic EMA and signal line provide clear visual cues for trend direction, while the volume analysis helps confirm the strength of these trends. This combination allows trend followers to stay in profitable trades longer and exit when the trend shows signs of weakening.
2. **Volume-Based Traders:**
- Traders who focus on volume as a key indicator of market strength can leverage the UVES volume table to gain insights into the buying and selling pressure behind price movements. By monitoring the buy/sell ratio, these traders can identify periods of strong conviction (high buy volume) or potential reversals (high sell volume) with greater accuracy.
3. **Scalpers and Day Traders:**
- For traders operating on shorter time frames, UVES provides quick and reliable signals that are essential for making rapid trading decisions. The ability to customize the EMA length and type allows scalpers to fine-tune the indicator for responsiveness, while the volume analysis offers an additional layer of confirmation to avoid false signals.
4. **Swing Traders:**
- Swing traders, who typically hold positions for several days to weeks, can use UVES to identify medium-term trends and potential entry and exit points. The indicator’s ability to filter out market noise through the signal line and volume analysis makes it ideal for capturing significant price movements without being misled by short-term volatility.
5. **Position Traders and Long-Term Investors:**
- Even long-term investors can benefit from UVES by using it to identify major trend reversals or confirm the strength of long-term trends. The flexibility to adjust the EMA and signal line to longer periods ensures that the indicator remains relevant for detecting shifts in market sentiment over extended time frames.
#### **Optimal Settings for Different Markets**
- **Forex Markets:**
- **EMA Length:** 9 to 14 periods.
- **Signal Line:** Use VWMA or WMA for the signal line to incorporate volume data, which is crucial in the highly liquid Forex markets.
- **Best Use:** Short-term trend following, with an emphasis on identifying rapid changes in market sentiment.
- **Stock Markets:**
- **EMA Length:** 20 to 50 periods.
- **Signal Line:** SMA or EMA with a slightly longer length (e.g., 50 periods) to capture broader market trends.
- **Best Use:** Medium to long-term trend identification, with volume analysis confirming the strength of institutional buying or selling.
- **Cryptocurrency Markets:**
- **EMA Length:** 9 to 12 periods, due to the high volatility in crypto markets.
- **Signal Line:** SMMA or EMA for smoothing out extreme price fluctuations.
- **Best Use:** Identifying entry and exit points in volatile markets, with the volume table providing insights into market manipulation or sudden shifts in trader sentiment.
- **Commodity Markets:**
- **EMA Length:** 14 to 21 periods.
- **Signal Line:** WMA or VWMA, considering the impact of trading volume on commodity prices.
- **Best Use:** Capturing medium-term price movements and confirming trend strength with volume data.
#### **Customization for Advanced Users**
- **Advanced Offset Usage:** Traders can experiment with different offset values to see how shifting the EMA and signal line impacts the timing of buy/sell signals. This can be particularly useful in markets with known latency or for strategies that require a delayed confirmation of trend changes.
- **Volume Table Integration:** The position, size, and colors of the volume table can be adjusted to fit seamlessly into any trading setup. For example, a trader might choose to position the table in the bottom-right corner and use a smaller size to keep the focus on price action while still having access to volume data.
- **Signal Filtering:** By combining the signal line with the primary EMA, traders can filter out false signals during periods of low volatility or when the market is range-bound. Adjusting the length of the signal line allows for greater control over the sensitivity of the trend detection.
#### **Conclusion**
The **Uptrick: Volume-Weighted EMA Signal (UVES)** is a powerful and adaptable indicator designed for traders who demand more from their technical analysis tools. By integrating dynamic EMA trend signals with real-time volume analysis, UVES offers a comprehensive view of market conditions, making it an invaluable resource for identifying trends, confirming signals, and understanding market sentiment. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, UVES provides the versatility, precision, and customization needed to make more informed and profitable trading decisions. With its ability to adapt to various markets and trading styles, UVES is not just an indicator but a complete trend analysis solution.
Mxwll OptAlgoIntroducing the Mxwll OptAlgo
Mxwll OptAlgo is a sophisticated algorithmic trading tool designed to identify potential long and short signals. It leverages an optimized combination of the M-Swift average, M-Smooth average, and M-RSI to fine-tune custom lengths and improve signal accuracy. The Mxwll OptAlgo provides long and short signals across various trading assets and timeframes. Additionally, it features optimized Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) settings to help traders manage risk.
Key Features
Step-by-Step Complete Optimization: A systematic approach to optimize trading parameters.
Buy/Sell Signals: Clear indicators for long and short positions.
Easy to Use: User-friendly interface for seamless trading.
Predictive counter trend channels
Integrated trend following system and counter trend trading system
3-optimized strategies working cooperatively
Alerts and auto trading capabilities
How It Works
The Mxwll OptAlgo is comprised of three strategies:
Trend following using the OptAlgo
AI Reversal counter trend trading
Market crash shorting
Mxwll OptAlgo can be used for market analysis and trading similarly to any moving average.
The Mxwll OptAlgo MA is composed of two distinct moving averages to be used for trend following strategies.
M-Swift Average: The M-Swift Average accounts for volume and weights current price movement heavier than older price movement - allowing for improved responsiveness to current price movement. Volume is additionally weighted to the average to determine the significance of the price move and the resulting response of the M-Swift average. The M-Swift average consists of an HVWMA with OBV weighting. The HVWMA is used to create a moving average that adapts to volume, attempting to respond to significant price moves with high volume quicker and significant price moves with low volume slower - which might not be indicative of the start of a strong trend. To further reduce the M-Swift average’s responsiveness to weak volume price moves, the average is weighted with a normalized OBV. With this, the M-Swift moving average uses these two indicators to create a responsive moving average to significant price moves with high volume.
M-Smooth Average: The M-Smooth average consists of a McGinley average.
The McGinley Average is designed to address some of the limitations of traditional moving averages, such as the Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Exponential Moving Average (EMA), by reducing their lag and more accurately reflecting the market's true movements, especially during periods of volatility.
The McGinley Dynamic automatically adjusts its smoothing factor based on market speed. This means it responds more quickly to fast-moving markets and slows down during periods of consolidation, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
Unlike traditional moving averages that have a fixed period and can lag significantly behind fast-moving prices, the McGinley Dynamic adjusts dynamically, which helps to reduce lag and keeps the moving average closer to the price action.
The M-Smooth average uses bar low prices as a series during an uptrend - bar high prices as a series during a downtrend. A cross above the M-Smooth average indicates an uptrend, while a cross below the M-Smooth average indicates a downtrend. When this cross event occurs the M-Smooth average will “flip” from calculating on lows to highs, or highs to lows, contingent on the direction of the trend. The expectation is that a cross event of the M-Smooth average requires a substantial price move and, subsequent to this cross, price will continue to trend in the direction of the cross.
OptAlgo: The OptAlgo is simply the average of the M-Swift average and the M-smooth average.
By combining the M-Swift average and the M-Smooth average, the final output results in an average that slows during ranging markets and quickly adjusts to high volume breakouts and high volume reversals that initiate a trend. Due to the combination, the average will keep up quickly with a trend but remain at an appropriate distance from the current price - requiring a significant counter trend price move to change the direction of the OptAlgo average.
How does the OptAlgo follow trends?
The OptAlgo, comprising the two moving averages above, considers a cross event of the OptAlgo as a change in trend indication. The OptAlgo can be thought of as a moving average that significantly deviates from price. For price to cross the OptAlgo, a substantial price move must occur, and this event is treated as a "strong trend" or "new trend" indication.
M-RSI: The M-RSI is a fundamental component of the trend following strategy. Prior to a trend following “long” or “short” signal, the M-RSI must generate a signal in confluence with an OptAlgo cross event. When price crosses over the opt algo its color will change to green, indicating an uptrend. A buy signal will generate should the M-RSI provide a similar indication. The M-RSI portion of the trend following strategy is explained below. When price crosses under the opt algo its color will change to green, indicating a downtrend, and a sell signal becomes eligible. The foundational logic for using the Opt Algo as a trend following strategy is to treat crossovers/crossunders of the Opt Algo as strong trend indications, and trade them.
Steps to generate a trend following long signal:
1: M-RSI extends into oversold territory
2: Price crosses over the OptAlgo
Steps to generate a trend following short signal:
1: M-RSI extends into overbought territory
2: Price crosses under the OptAlgo
Our trend following strategy considers crossovers/crossunders at key market turning points as buy/sell opportunities. This strategy integrates the Mxwll RSI and Mxwll OptAlgo MA to determine entry points in anticipation of trend continuation.
The Mxwll RSI must move below/above the optimized OB/OS level prior to a cross event for a long/short signal to be considered. Entry points for this strategy are marked as "Long" or "Short".
At its core, the OptAlgo trend following strategy tries to enter a trend as close to the origin point as possible. As with any trend following strategy, price may not continue to move in the expected direction following entry, resulting in a losing trade.
AI Reversal Predictions
Our AI reversals strategy uses AI suggested turning points to capitalize on price reversions back towards the OptAlgo. These levels are considered by the AI on the selected days, and entry points at these levels are marked as "LLO" or "SLO".
How AI reversals work
Our AI reversals strategy attempts to trade price reversions back toward the Opt Algo.
These levels are calculated on specific days of the week, but can be traded any day. The internal algorithm determines which HTF highs/lows are most likely to function as tradable support/resistance levels. For instance, if Friday consists of heavy trading activity and high/low prices are tracked/recorded as causing significant support / resistance when tested in the future, the algorithm will consider support and resistance levels created on Friday as future tradable levels.
Additionally, if support/resistance levels created on Wednesday are recorded as weak or unpredictable when traded at in the future, the algorithm will not consider support/resistance levels generated on Thursday as tradable, and will not generate long or shit signals for these levels.
In the background, the AI reversals strategy is tracking success rates at multiple support and resistance levels. The best performers, if there are any, will be considered tradable. A “best performer” is calculated as the raw price move up to a threshold (i.e. 0.5%) that occurs subsequent to a test of the level.
Crash Short
The "Crash Short" strategy prioritizes short positions during retracements of a sell off. A simple yet effective strategy.
How Crash Short Works
The Crash Short strategy uses a customized momentum indicator (similar to ROC, MOM, etc.) to identify strong downside price moves. When our customized momentum indicator gives strong sell indications, the RSI is then referenced to identify an upside retracement. When the RSI exceeds a user-inputted level, a “Crash Short” signal is generated.
What is the customized momentum indicator?
The customized momentum indicator is the RoCR (Rate of Change Ratio). Instead of classic ROC, which is close - close , the RoCR divides the current close by a previous close. This formula creates a ratio that is more normalized than a simple price difference. This ratio is used to determine upside/downside momentum, with values greater than 1 indicating bullish momentum and values less than 1 indicating bearish momentum. The RoCR looks for deviating values to the downside (less than 1) to identify strong selling. From there, once the RSI crosses over an optimized level (such as 35), the indicator will print a sell signal titled "Crash Short".
Predictive Countertrend Channels
Our Predictive Countertrend Channel applies a two-stage recursive filter to smooth data using exponential decay and periodic adjustments for trend extraction. Our counter trend channels aren't directly used for signal processing; however, these channels provide useful visual cues for extended market moves.
Instructions for Optimization
Step 1: Optimize Mxwll OptAlgo
Begin by optimizing the M-Swift and M-Smooth averages for better signal accuracy.
This step simply finds better performing M-Swift and M-Smooth lookbacks. Again, if the strategy is unprofitable you will be notified and from there decide not to use the strategy.
Step 2: Optimize Mxwll RSI
Refine the Mxwll RSI settings to explore potential adjustments in smoothness and signal output. This step aims to evaluate whether these adjustments could improve the accuracy of the signals generated by Mxwll OptAlgo, while being mindful of any potential impacts.
Step 3: Optimize TP/SL
Consider adjusting the Take Profit and Stop Loss settings to potentially manage risk.
Step 4: Optimize Bars Between Trades
Set the number of bars between trades to regulate the frequency of trade executions. This adjustment may help in reducing the risk of overtrading and support a more disciplined trading strategy.
Step 5: Optimize Trade Flip
Adjust the trade flip parameters to potentially improve the management of transitions between long and short positions. This adjustment is intended to help achieve smoother trade executions, though outcomes may vary.
Step 6: Optimize RSI OB/OB Levels
Consider adjusting the overbought (OB) and oversold (OS) RSI levels to explore potential improvements in signal sensitivity. Careful calibration of these levels may help refine the accuracy of trend reversal signals, although results may depend on market conditions.
Finished!
From this point, consider setting alerts to make the most of the Mxwll Opt Algo's potential accuracy.
The effectiveness of the Opt Algo signal output can be evaluated using the "PF" table, which indicates the profit factor score for the strategy. A profit factor (PF) of less than or equal to 1 suggests that the strategy may not be profitable.
Disclaimer
No strategy works on any timeframe on any asset, so, if the Opt Algo underperforms for the asset/timeframe you're analyzing, the Opt Algo PF table lets you know it hasn't been generating accurate signals, in which case you can decide not to use it!
Optimization Disclaimer
Optimization can be tricky. It's helpful to test numerous strategies in aggregate to see if a strategy has potential. Despite this, optimization can cause overfitting. Overfitting occurs when a strategy is too closely fit to the data it's trading. Overfit backtests are deceptively phenomenal. While the historical performance looks great, the future expectancy of the strategy remains unpredictable - an overfit strategy will profit from periods of random price movement which, being random, are irreproducible and cannot be profited from other than their initial occurrence. When a strategy trades random price movement profitably, any and all profit earned can be reduced to chance. Keep this in mind when using the in-built optimization system. Optimization should be kept to a minimum, a tool to point you in the right direction, whether confirming potential or signifying a useless system.
Sniper Entry using RSI confirmationThis is a sniper entry indicator that provides Buy and Sell signals using other Indicators to give the best possible Entries (note: Entries will not be 100 percent accurate and analysis should be done to support an entry)
Moving Average Crossovers:
The indicator uses two moving averages: a short-term SMA (Simple Moving Average) and a long-term SMA.
When the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it generates a buy signal (indicating potential upward momentum).
When the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, it generates a sell signal (indicating potential downward momentum).
RSI Confirmation:
The indicator incorporates RSI (Relative Strength Index) to confirm the buy and sell signals generated by the moving average crossovers.
RSI is used to gauge the overbought and oversold conditions of the market.
A buy signal is confirmed if RSI is below a specified overbought level, indicating potential buying opportunity.
A sell signal is confirmed if RSI is above a specified oversold level, indicating potential selling opportunity.
Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss:
The indicator calculates dynamic take profit and stop loss levels based on the Average True Range (ATR).
ATR is used to gauge market volatility, and the take profit and stop loss levels are adjusted accordingly.
This feature helps traders to manage their risk effectively by setting appropriate profit targets and stop loss levels.
Combining the information provided by these, the indicator will provide an entry point with a provided take profit and stop loss. The indicator can be applied to different asset classes. Risk management must be applied when using this indicator as it is not 100% guaranteed to be profitable.
Goodluck!
CPR By Ask Dinesh Kumar(ADK)Simple CPR Indicator to increase probability of profitable trades:
The Central Pivot Range (CPR) is a trading tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels in the market. Here's a simplified explanation of how traders can potentially profit using the Central Pivot Range with 10 lines:
1. *Understanding CPR*: CPR consists of three lines: the pivot point (PP), upper resistance level (R1), and lower support level (S1). Additionally, traders often add five more of profitable tradeslines above and below the PP to create a 10-line CPR.
2. *Identify Trend*: Determine the prevailing market trend. If the market is bullish, traders will look for buying opportunities near support levels. If the market is bearish, they'll seek selling opportunities near resistance levels.
3. *Entry Points*: Look for entry points near the support (S1) or resistance (R1) levels within the CPR. These levels can act as potential turning points where price may reverse.
4. *Risk Management*: Set stop-loss orders to manage risk. Stop-loss orders should be placed slightly below support levels for long positions and slightly above resistance levels for short positions.
5. *Profit Targets*: Determine profit targets based on the distance between entry point and the next support or resistance level. Some traders use a risk-reward ratio to ensure potential profits outweigh potential losses.
6. *Confirmation*: Use additional technical indicators or price action patterns to confirm potential entry or exit points within the CPR.
7. *Monitor Price Action*: Continuously monitor price action around the CPR levels. Traders should be prepared to adjust their positions if price breaks through support or resistance levels convincingly.
8. *Trade Management*: Once in a trade, actively manage it by adjusting stop-loss orders, trailing stops, or taking partial profits as price moves in the desired direction.
9. *Market Conditions*: Consider broader market conditions, such as economic indicators, geopolitical events, or news releases, which can impact price movements and the effectiveness of CPR.
10. *Practice and Analysis*: Practice using CPR on historical price charts and analyze past trades to refine strategies and improve decision-making skills.
Remember, trading involves risks, and no strategy guarantees profits. It's essential to thoroughly understand the concepts behind CPR and practice disciplined risk management to increase the likelihood of successful trades.
How does central pivot range work:
Sure here's a concise explanation of how the Central Pivot Range (CPR) works in 10 points:
1. *Calculation*: CPR is calculated using the previous day's high (H), low (L), and close (C) prices.
2. *Pivot Point (PP)*: The central point of CPR is the average of the previous day's high, low, and close prices: PP = (H + L + C) / 3.
3. *Upper Resistance Levels (R1, R2, R3)*: These are potential price levels above the pivot point where resistance may occur. They are calculated by adding a multiple of the range (H - L) to the pivot point: R1 = (2 * PP) - L, R2 = PP + (H - L), R3 = PP + 2 * (H - L).
4. *Lower Support Levels (S1, S2, S3)*: These are potential price levels below the pivot point where support may occur. They are calculated similarly to resistance levels but subtracting multiples of the range from the pivot point: S1 = (2 * PP) - H, S2 = PP - (H - L), S3 = PP - 2 * (H - L).
5. *Trading Signals*: Traders use CPR to identify potential support and resistance levels where price may reverse or stall.
6. *Range Bound Markets*: In range-bound markets, traders may buy near support levels (S1, S2, S3) and sell near resistance levels (R1, R2, R3).
7. *Breakout Trading*: When price breaks through a CPR level convincingly, it may indicate a potential trend continuation or reversal, providing breakout trading opportunities.
8. *Volume and Momentum*: Traders often look for confirmation from volume and momentum indicators when price approaches CPR levels.
9. *Intraday Trading*: CPR can be applied to intraday timeframes as well, providing shorter-term traders with potential trading levels for the day.
10. *Dynamic Indicator*: CPR is dynamic and recalculates daily based on new price data, allowing traders to adapt their strategies to current market conditions.
Understanding how to interpret CPR levels and integrate them into a trading strategy can help traders identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
HilalimSBHilalimSB A Wedding Gift 🌙
HilalimSB - Revealing the Secrets of the Trend
HilalimSB is a powerful indicator designed to help investors analyze market trends and optimize trading strategies. Designed to uncover the secrets at the heart of the trend, HilalimSB stands out with its unique features and impressive algorithm.
Hilalim Algorithm and Fixed ATR Value:
HilalimSB is equipped with a special algorithm called "Hilalim" to detect market trends. This algorithm can delve into the depths of price movements to determine the direction of the trend and provide users with the ability to predict future price movements. Additionally, HilalimSB uses its own fixed Average True Range (ATR) value. ATR is an indicator that measures price movement volatility and is often used to determine the strength of a trend. The fixed ATR value of HilalimSB has been tested over long periods and its reliability has been proven. This allows users to interpret the signals provided by the indicator more reliably.
ATR Calculation Steps
1.True Range Calculation:
+ The True Range (TR) is the greatest of the following three values:
1. Current high minus current low
2. Current high minus previous close (absolute value)
3. Current low minus previous close (absolute value)
2.Average True Range (ATR) Calculation:
-The initial ATR value is calculated as the average of the TR values over a specified period
(typically 14 periods).
-For subsequent periods, the ATR is calculated using the following formula:
ATRt=(ATRt−1×(n−1)+TRt)/n
Where:
+ ATRt is the ATR for the current period,
+ ATRt−1 is the ATR for the previous period,
+ TRt is the True Range for the current period,
+ n is the number of periods.
Pine Script to Calculate ATR with User-Defined Length and Multiplier
Here is the Pine Script code for calculating the ATR with user-defined X length and Y multiplier:
//@version=5
indicator("Custom ATR", overlay=false)
// User-defined inputs
X = input.int(14, minval=1, title="ATR Period (X)")
Y = input.float(1.0, title="ATR Multiplier (Y)")
// True Range calculation
TR1 = high - low
TR2 = math.abs(high - close )
TR3 = math.abs(low - close )
TR = math.max(TR1, math.max(TR2, TR3))
// ATR calculation
ATR = ta.rma(TR, X)
// Apply multiplier
customATR = ATR * Y
// Plot the ATR value
plot(customATR, title="Custom ATR", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
This code can be added as a new Pine Script indicator in TradingView, allowing users to calculate and display the ATR on the chart according to their specified parameters.
HilalimSB's Distinction from Other ATR Indicators
HilalimSB emerges with its unique Average True Range (ATR) value, presenting itself to users. Equipped with a proprietary ATR algorithm, this indicator is released in a non-editable form for users. After meticulous testing across various instruments with predetermined period and multiplier values, it is made available for use.
ATR is acknowledged as a critical calculation tool in the financial sector. The ATR calculation process of HilalimSB is conducted as a result of various research efforts and concrete data-based computations. Therefore, the HilalimSB indicator is published with its proprietary ATR values, unavailable for modification.
The ATR period and multiplier values provided by HilalimSB constitute the fundamental logic of a trading strategy. This unique feature aids investors in making informed decisions.
Visual Aesthetics and Clear Charts:
HilalimSB provides a user-friendly interface with clear and impressive graphics. Trend changes are highlighted with vibrant colors and are visually easy to understand. You can choose colors based on eye comfort, allowing you to personalize your trading screen for a more enjoyable experience. While offering a flexible approach tailored to users' needs, HilalimSB also promises an aesthetic and professional experience.
Strong Signals and Buy/Sell Indicators:
After completing test operations, HilalimSB produces data at various time intervals. However, we would like to emphasize to users that based on our studies, it provides the best signals in 1-hour chart data. HilalimSB produces strong signals to identify trend reversals. Buy or sell points are clearly indicated, allowing users to develop and implement trading strategies based on these signals.
For example, let's imagine you wanted to open a position on BTC on 2023.11.02. You are aware that you need to calculate which of the buying or selling transactions would be more profitable. You need support from various indicators to open a position. Based on the analysis and calculations it has made from the data it contains, HilalimSB would have detected that the graph is more suitable for a selling position, and by producing a sell signal at the most ideal selling point at 08:00 on 2023.11.02 (UTC+3 Istanbul), it would have informed you of the direction the graph would follow, allowing you to benefit positively from a 2.56% decline.
Technology and Innovation:
HilalimSB aims to enhance the trading experience using the latest technology. With its innovative approach, it enables users to discover market opportunities and support their decisions. Thus, investors can make more informed and successful trades. Real-Time Data Analysis: HilalimSB analyzes market data in real-time and identifies updated trends instantly. This allows users to make more informed trading decisions by staying informed of the latest market developments. Continuous Update and Improvement: HilalimSB is constantly updated and improved. New features are added and existing ones are enhanced based on user feedback and market changes. Thus, HilalimSB always aims to provide the latest technology and the best user experience.
Social Order and Intrinsic Motivation:
Negative trends such as widespread illegal gambling and uncontrolled risk-taking can have adverse financial effects on society. The primary goal of HilalimSB is to counteract these negative trends by guiding and encouraging users with data-driven analysis and calculable investment systems. This allows investors to trade more consciously and safely.
Trade Scanner Pro [MarketSignalsPro]
█ OVERVIEW
Trade Scanner Pro is a trade signal generator based on my trend following momentum reversal system. It identifies a pullback and then confirms momentum exhaustion which produces a signal appearing as a set of suggested orders (horizontal lines) on the chart. The goal is to help traders capitalize on price momentum while simplifying decision making and offering a way to gauge expectations. It can be used for any market, any time frame and configured for counter trend signals also.
█ CONCEPT
While markets are highly random, especially on smaller time frames, trends do exist.
Trade Scanner Pro offers a visually structured way to align the user
with price momentum that is relevant to the trend. It accomplishes this by incorporating a unique mix of standard technical formulas to identify a pullback followed by a momentum reversal. The process occurs in 3 steps:
1 — Identifying the trend of the current time frame.
2 — Evaluating the retrace in terms of how far it moves away from the typical price.
3 — Confirming price exhaustion by recognizing a reversal in price momentum.
Once the criteria are met, a signal appears as a blue horizontal line. This is the entry price suggestion (see label). Stop and take profit orders are also calculated simultaneously. These appear as a red line and green line respectively with price labels. The stop and take profit orders are based upon an average of previous price ranges and will be relative to the price action on the chosen time frame. The initial reward/risk ratio is set to 1.5:1, and can be changed in the settings menu.
This system can also be adjusted to cater to the experience level of the trader. For example, more advanced traders can select “counter trend” mode which will only show signals on the opposite side of the trend. A trailing stop can be activated to help stay in a trade after reaching the profit level. There is also a “heads up” mode which colors the candles orange which means a signal is more likely to appear over the next couple of candles. More on these features in the next section.
For best results, time frames of 1 minute and above should be considered. The smaller the time frame, the more signals, but also more noise and stop outs. Knowing your
market and the most active time of day is especially important for smaller time frames.
█ FEATURES
The following features can be found in the settings menu of Trade Scanner Pro.
Show Trend:
The initial setting is “on”. This shows the trend label on the upper right corner of the screen. Trend can be either bullish or bearish. At times there will be a “conflict” label that appears below the trend label. Conflict means the trend MAY be in the process of changing. This occurs when price persists against the prevailing trend for a prolonged amount of time.
Counter Trend:
When selected will ignore signals on the side of the trend and show counter trend signals only. If the “heads up” feature is selected, orange candles will only appear for potential counter trend signals.
Trailing Stop:
When selected, a trailing stop order suggestion (orange line) will appear beginning from the stop loss price (red line) after a few closed candles. The trailing stop line will follow the price upon each new close of the candles until it is touched. This serves as a point of reference to capture larger market movements and skew reward/risk favorably over time.
Heads Up:
When selected will paint orange candles when there is a greater chance a signal will appear. For example, in trend mode it will only evaluate signals on the side of the trend. In counter trend mode it will evaluate counter trend signals only. For advanced users, this “pre signal” can offer potential opportunities to enter a trade before the signal appears.
Reward Ratio:
This is the reward part of the reward/risk formula used to establish the take profit suggestion on the chart. Initially it is set at 1.5 which produces a line on the chart at a 1.5:1 ratio. The user can change this setting to better align with their expectations. For example, if a larger market movement is anticipated, 2 can be entered into the input field and will generate a take profit line 2X farther than the stop loss line (2:1 reward/risk).
█ LIMITATIONS
Markets are HIGHLY random, especially on smaller time frames. No system that is based on public domain formulas can be expected to be HIGHLY accurate. It is reasonable to expect a 50% win rate more often than not. Profitability in such systems depends on the reward/risk rather than win rate.
This is a system based on price momentum which means MOMENTUM must be present for best results especially on very short time frames.
While this system helps to reduce the burden of analysis, the user should have some basic familiarity with technical analysis. Basic knowledge can help to better determine a quality signal over noise.
█ RAMBLINGS
The stop loss orders MUST be respected otherwise the user puts their entire account at risk. Signals can appear at price locations where larger magnitude risk is extremely high. Respecting the stop loss suggestions can help to mitigate this risk.
For best results set up notifications to receive a message on your desktop, smart phone or tablet rather than sitting in front of a computer screen waiting for a signal to appear. Keep in mind a 1 minute chart in a single market can produce 5 or 6 signals throughout the entire daily session and NOT all will be profitable. A 1 hour time frame may produce 1 or 2 throughout the day. The larger the time frame the lower frequency of signals.
█ THANKS
Special thanks to Cryptosnagger for
helping me translate my concept into a pine script reality.
Trailing Management (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Trailing Management (Zeiierman) indicator is designed for traders who seek an automated and dynamic approach to managing trailing stops. It helps traders make systematic decisions regarding when to enter and exit trades based on the calculated risk-reward ratio. By providing a clear visual representation of trailing stop levels and risk-reward metrics, the indicator is an essential tool for both novice and experienced traders aiming to enhance their trading discipline.
The Trailing Management (Zeiierman) indicator integrates a Break-Even Curve feature to enhance its utility in trailing stop management and risk-reward optimization. The Break-Even Curve illuminates the precise point at which a trade neither gains nor loses value, offering clarity on the risk-reward landscape. Furthermore, this precise point is calculated based on the required win rate and the risk/reward ratio. This calculation aids traders in understanding the type of strategy they need to employ at any given time to be profitable. In other words, traders can, at any given point, assess the kind of strategy they need to utilize to make money, depending on the price's position within the risk/reward box.
█ How It Works
The indicator operates by computing the highest high and the lowest low over a user-defined period and then applying this information to determine optimal trailing stop levels for both long and short positions.
Directional Bias:
It establishes the direction of the market trend by comparing the index of the highest high and the lowest low within the lookback period.
Bullish
Bearish
Trailing Stop Adjustment:
The trailing stops are adjusted using one of three methods: an automatic calculation based on the median of recent peak differences, pivot points, or a fixed percentage defined by the user.
The Break-Even Curve:
The Break-Even Curve, along with the risk/reward ratio, is determined through the trailing method. This approach utilizes the current closing price as a hypothetical entry point for trades. All calculations, including those for the curve, are based on this current closing price, ensuring real-time accuracy and relevance. As market conditions fluctuate, the curve dynamically adjusts, offering traders a visual benchmark that signifies the break-even point. This real-time adjustment provides traders with an invaluable tool, allowing them to visually track how shifts in the market could impact the point at which their trades neither gain nor lose value.
Example:
Let's say the price is at the midpoint of the risk/reward box; this means that the risk/reward ratio should be 1:1, and the minimum win rate is 50% to break even.
In this example, we can see that the price is near the stop-loss level. If you are about to take a trade in this area and would respect your stop, you only need to have a minimum win rate of 11% to earn money, given the risk/reward ratio, assuming that you hold the trade to the target.
In other words, traders can, at any given point, assess the kind of strategy they need to employ to make money based on the price's position within the risk/reward box.
█ How to Use
Market Bias:
When using the Auto Bias feature, the indicator calculates the underlying market bias and displays it as either bullish or bearish. This helps traders align their trades with the underlying market trend.
Risk Management:
By observing the plotted trailing stops and the risk-reward ratios, traders can make strategic decisions to enter or exit positions, effectively managing the risk.
Strategy selection:
The Break-Even Curve is a powerful tool for managing risk, allowing traders to visualize the relationship between their trailing stops and the market's price movements. By understanding where the break-even point lies, traders can adjust their strategies to either lock in profits or cut losses.
Based on the plotted risk/reward box and the location of the price within this box, traders can easily see the win rate required by their strategy to make money in the long run, given the risk/reward ratio.
Consider this example: The market is bullish, as indicated by the bias, and the indicator suggests looking into long trades. The price is near the top of the risk/reward box, which means entering the market right now carries a huge risk, and the potential reward is very low. To take this trade, traders must have a strategy with a win rate of at least 90%.
█ Settings
Trailing Method:
Auto: The indicator calculates the trailing stop dynamically based on market conditions.
Pivot: The trailing stop is adjusted to the highest high (long positions) or lowest low (short positions) identified within a specified lookback period. This method uses the pivotal points of the market to set the trailing stop.
Percentage: The trailing stop is set at a fixed percentage away from the peak high or low.
Trailing Size (prd):
This setting defines the lookback period for the highest high and lowest low, which affects the sensitivity of the trailing stop to price movements.
Percentage Step (perc):
If the 'Percentage' method is selected, this setting determines the fixed percentage for the trailing stop distance.
Set Bias (bias):
Allows users to set a market bias which can be Bullish, Bearish, or Auto, affecting how the trailing stop is adjusted in relation to the market trend.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Equity CurveAn equity curve is a graphical representation of the change in the value of a trading account over a time period. The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment.
This indicator takes traders daily account values as a comma separated list, and creates an equity curve and simple moving average of the equity curve. This serves as a mirror reflecting the outcome of past actions and decisions, guiding traders in fine-tuning their strategies, managing risk more effectively, and ultimately striving towards a consistently profitable trading journey.
New equity values should be added to the end of the current list. A space or no space after the comma has no effect.
Importance of the Equity Curve
Strategy Evaluation: The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness over time. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment.
Risk Management: Monitoring the equity curve helps traders to see the impact of their risk management practices. Sudden drops in equity could highlight instances of excessive risk-taking or inadequate stop-loss settings.
Performance Benchmarks: Comparing the equity curve against benchmarks or desired performance goals allows traders to assess if they are meeting, exceeding, or falling short of their trading objectives.
Psychology: Trading is as much about psychology as it is about strategy. A visual representation of one's equity curve helps maintain discipline, encouraging adherence to a trading plan during downturns and preventing overconfidence during upswings.
Having this data visually allows traders to see which category of trader they fall into.
Unprofitable
Boom or Bust
Profitable
Statistical Data
The indicator not only plots the equity curve and moving average, but includes the option to display the highest value reached by the equity curve, the percentage difference from the peak, and performance over selected periods (All Time, YTD, QTD, MTD, WTD).
Historical Analysis
The Equity Curve Indicator is not just a tool for real-time monitoring of trading performance; it also serves as a powerful instrument for conducting historical analysis. By analyzing the equity curve in conjunction with historical market conditions, traders can identify patterns or triggers that resulted in significant gains or losses.
For example, the chart below shows the equity curve overlaid on periods of net new highs / lows. The equity curve experienced declines while the market was showing net new lows or choppy periods (represented by a red or white background), while most of the equity gains were made while net new highs were present (green background).
This retrospective analysis helps in understanding how different market conditions impact trading strategies and performance.
Trading the Equity Curve
All trading strategies produce an equity curve that has winning and losing periods. In the example above, the trader could introduce a simple rule to lighten up on long positions or move to cash during periods of net new lows.
Another simple rule could be introduced to stop trading if the equity curve falls below the moving average, until favorable market conditions return again.
This indicator is intended to be used on the daily timeframe.
Wave Pendulum Trend [QuantraSystems]Wave Pendulum Trend
Introduction
The Wave Pendulum Trend (𝓟𝓮𝓷𝓭𝓾𝓵𝓾𝓶 𝓣𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓭) extrapolates market trends using physical principles derived from waves and pendulums. This indicator is a bespoke build, and its performance and behavior cannot be compared to existing indicators.
It is designed for trend following but is also effective for identifying mean reversions, momentum strength, and shows range-bound market periods within the dynamic bands.
In order to ascertain a smooth yet rapid trend direction of the market, the 𝓟𝓮𝓷𝓭𝓾𝓵𝓾𝓶 𝓣𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓭 combines several factors. A bespoke set of functions captures the momentum of price movements and dynamically weighs it over time. The indicator then extrapolates acceleration from the change in delta of price movements.
Legend
With bar coloring enabled, the price section mirrors current trend conditions. Please keep this feature disabled if you intend to use multiple indicators to avoid confusion.
The 𝓟𝓮𝓷𝓭𝓾𝓵𝓾𝓶 𝓣𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓭 presents extensive market insights. The purple and green bands around the oscillator signal the selected standard deviation (default σ = 2), for the trader to calculate how common the trending movements are in relation to the selected asset’s history.
The inner, dynamic thresholds, indicated by the blue “Range-bound market” label in the graphic above, border the area that signals a ranging market if both 𝓐𝓬𝓬𝓮𝓵𝓮𝓻𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓸𝓷 and 𝓜𝓸𝓶𝓮𝓷𝓽𝓾𝓶 signals remain inside. If either line exceeds these thresholds, care is advised as a shift in market behavior is underway.
“Trend strength” in the graphic provides a good estimate for the trending movements strength.
If the signal lines exceed the set standard deviation in non-classic mode, a reversal is very likely.
Case Study
As shown in the above case study we see two profitable swing trades on the 4H chart of Ethereum. Please note the display variant here is set to “Heikin-Ashi”.
We always recommend using a multitude of indicators to attain multiple signals on the likelihood of opening the correct position. However, this standalone scenario serves as an example on how the 𝓟𝓮𝓷𝓭𝓾𝓵𝓾𝓶 𝓣𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓭 added two profitable swing trades.
The first short trade was opened after the 𝓐𝓬𝓬𝓮𝓵𝓮𝓻𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓸𝓷 and 𝓜𝓸𝓶𝓮𝓷𝓽𝓾𝓶 reversed after crossing the threshold of standard deviation. This trade offered a late entry only, these two factors were followed late by the third signal in this case – the trend reversal. Such a trade would require additional indicators to signal at the same time, so the trader can get more confirmations. The trade was closed after 6D with an 8% gain on a 1x short position.
The second trade is a long position that enters in the same manner. The trader takes the reversal beyond the select standard deviation as a likely entry. After 7D a triple confirmation was received, as indicated by the triangle, that a reversal or at least a plateau is extremely likely. The trade was closed after 7D with a 17.23% gain on a 1x long position.
Recommended Settings
Trend Following / Investing (1D chart)
Please use the default settings!
Swing Trading (4H chart)
Wave MA - Type: TEMA
Wave MA – Length: 30
Display Variant: Heikin-Ashi
Bar Coloring: Off
Choose Mode for Coloring: Signal
Notes
Quantra Standard Value Contents:
The Heikin-Ashi (HA) candle visualization smoothes out the signal line to provide more informative insights into momentum and trends. This allows earlier entries and exits by observing the indicator values transformed by the HA.
Various visualization options are available to adjust the indicator to the user’s preference: Aside from HA, a classic line, or a hybrid of both.
A special feature of Quantra’s indicators is that they are probabilistically built - therefore they work well as confluence and can easily be stacked to increase signal accuracy.
To add to Quantra's indicators’ utility we have added the option to change the price bars colors based on different signals:
Settings: TEMA and DEMA length settings should be longer compared to other Moving Averages (MAs). Due to its complex calculations, the indicator requires a larger amount of historical data for accurate computation.
Sensitivity to Divergences: The Wave Pendulum Trend is particularly sensitive to divergences, making it a useful tool in spotting potential trend reversals or continuations.
Trend Following and Reversions: While it is primarily used for trend following, it also excels in identifying market reversions.
Momentum and Acceleration: The interaction between momentum and acceleration is a key feature of this indicator.
Visualization: The indicator offers various visualization options, including bar coloring based on HA Candles and extremes and trends. It also introduces a novel approach to visualizing the oscillator in the "Classic" mode and provides an adjustable Standard Deviation (SD) measure for reversal signals in non-classic modes.
Choose Mode for Coloring
Trend Following (Indicator above mid line counts as uptrend, below is downtrend)
Extremes (Everything beyond the SD bands is highlighted to signal mean reversion)
Candles (Color of HA candles as barcolor)
Reversions (Only for HA) (Reversion Signals via the triangles if HA candles change trend while beyond the SD bands, high probability entries/exits)
Methodology
The methodology behind the Wave Pendulum Trend is inspired by wave and pendulum theories to extrapolate market moves. By calculating the momentum and its acceleration from price data, it provides a nuanced view of the market trend.
Traders should observe the color coding, which reflects the interplay between momentum, acceleration, and set thresholds for acceleration. The Signal Mode is particularly useful for quickly identifying trend, momentum, and acceleration exhaustions.
Additionally, the indicator can help filter out ranges with insufficient momentum acceleration. Traders are encouraged to experiment with this mode and adjust the threshold settings to suit their strategies.
