PEAD ScreenerPEAD Screener - Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Scanner
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WHY EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
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The days immediately following an earnings announcement are among the noisiest periods for any stock. Within hours, the market must digest new information about a company's profits, revenue, and future outlook. Analysts scramble to update their models. Institutions rebalance positions. Retail traders react to headlines.
This chaos creates a well-documented phenomenon called Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD): stocks that beat expectations tend to keep rising, while those that miss tend to keep falling - often for weeks after the initial announcement. Academic research has confirmed this pattern persists across decades and markets.
But not every earnings surprise is equal. A company that beats estimates by 5 cents might move very differently than one that beats by 5 cents with unusually high volume, or one where both earnings AND revenue exceeded expectations. Raw numbers alone don't tell the full story.
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HOW "STANDARDIZED UNEXPECTED" METRICS CUT THROUGH THE NOISE
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This screener uses a statistical technique to measure how "surprising" a result truly is - not just whether it beat or missed, but how unusual that beat or miss was compared to the company's own history.
The core idea: convert raw surprises into Z-scores.
A Z-score answers the question: "How many standard deviations away from normal is this result?"
- A Z-score of 0 means the result was exactly average
- A Z-score of +2 means the result was unusually high (better than ~95% of historical results)
- A Z-score of -2 means the result was unusually low
By standardizing surprises this way, we can compare apples to apples. A small-cap biotech's $0.02 beat might actually be more significant than a mega-cap's $0.50 beat, once we account for each company's typical variability.
This screener applies this standardization to three dimensions: earnings (SUE), revenue (SURGE), and volume (SUV).
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THE 9 SCREENING CRITERIA
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1. SUE (Standardized Unexpected Earnings)
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WHAT IT IS:
SUE measures how surprising an earnings result was, adjusted for the company's historical forecast accuracy.
Calculation: Take the earnings surprise (actual EPS minus analyst estimate), then divide by the standard deviation of past forecast errors. This uses a rolling window of the last 8 quarters by default.
Formula: SUE = (Actual EPS - Estimated EPS) / Standard Deviation of Past Errors
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SUE > +2.0: Strongly positive surprise - earnings beat expectations by an unusually large margin. These stocks often continue drifting higher.
- SUE between 0 and +2.0: Modest positive surprise - beat expectations, but within normal range.
- SUE between -2.0 and 0: Modest negative surprise - missed expectations, but within normal range.
- SUE < -2.0: Strongly negative surprise - significant miss. These stocks often continue drifting lower.
For long positions, look for SUE values above +2.0, ideally combined with positive SURGE.
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2. SURGE (Standardized Unexpected Revenue)
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WHAT IT IS:
SURGE applies the same standardization technique to revenue surprises. While earnings can be manipulated through accounting choices, revenue is harder to fake - it represents actual sales.
Calculation: Take the revenue surprise (actual revenue minus analyst estimate), then divide by the standard deviation of past revenue forecast errors.
Formula: SURGE = (Actual Revenue - Estimated Revenue) / Standard Deviation of Past Errors
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SURGE > +1.5: Strongly positive revenue surprise - the company sold significantly more than expected.
- SURGE between 0 and +1.5: Modest positive surprise.
- SURGE < 0: Revenue missed expectations.
The most powerful signals occur when BOTH SUE and SURGE are positive and elevated (ideally SUE > 2.0 AND SURGE > 1.5). This indicates the company beat on both profitability AND top-line growth - a much stronger signal than either alone.
When SUE and SURGE diverge significantly (e.g., high SUE but negative SURGE), treat with caution - the earnings beat may have come from cost-cutting rather than genuine growth.
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3. SUV (Standardized Unexpected Volume)
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WHAT IT IS:
SUV detects unusual trading volume after accounting for how volatile the stock is. More volatile stocks naturally have higher volume, so raw volume comparisons can be misleading.
Calculation: This uses regression analysis to model the expected relationship between price volatility and volume. The "unexpected" volume is the residual - how much actual volume deviated from what the model predicted. This residual is then standardized into a Z-score.
In plain terms: SUV asks "Given how much this stock typically moves, is today's volume unusually high or low?"
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SUV > +2.0: Exceptionally high volume relative to the stock's volatility. This often signals institutional activity - big players moving in or out.
- SUV between +1.0 and +2.0: Elevated volume - above normal interest.
- SUV between -1.0 and +1.0: Normal volume range.
- SUV < -1.0: Unusually quiet - less activity than expected.
High SUV combined with positive price movement suggests accumulation (buying). High SUV combined with negative price movement suggests distribution (selling).
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4. % From D0 Close
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WHAT IT IS:
This measures how far the current price has moved from the closing price on its initial earnings reaction day (D0). The "reaction day" is the first trading day that fully reflects the earnings news - typically the day after an after-hours announcement, or the announcement day itself for pre-market releases.
Calculation: ((Current Price - D0 Close) / D0 Close) × 100
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Positive values: Stock has gained ground since earnings. The higher the percentage, the stronger the post-earnings drift.
- 0% to +5%: Modest positive drift - earnings were received well but momentum is limited.
- +5% to +15%: Strong drift - buyers continue accumulating.
- > +15%: Exceptional drift - significant institutional interest likely.
- Negative values: Stock has given back gains or extended losses since earnings. May indicate the initial reaction was overdone, or that sentiment is deteriorating.
This metric is most meaningful within the first 5-20 trading days after earnings. Extended drift (maintaining gains over 2+ weeks) is a stronger signal than a quick spike that fades.
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5. # Pocket Pivots
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WHAT IT IS:
Pocket Pivots are a volume-based pattern developed by Chris Kacher and Gil Morales. They identify days where institutional buyers are likely accumulating shares without causing obvious breakouts.
Calculation: A Pocket Pivot occurs when:
- The stock closes higher than it opened (up day)
- The stock closes higher than the previous day's close
- Today's volume exceeds the highest down-day volume of the prior 10 trading sessions
The screener counts how many Pocket Pivots have occurred since the earnings announcement.
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- 0 Pocket Pivots: No detected institutional accumulation patterns since earnings.
- 1-2 Pocket Pivots: Some institutional buying interest - worth monitoring.
- 3+ Pocket Pivots: Strong accumulation signal - institutions appear to be building positions.
Pocket Pivots are most significant when they occur:
- Immediately following earnings announcements
- Near moving average support (10-day, 21-day, or 50-day)
- On above-average volume
- After a period of price consolidation
Multiple Pocket Pivots in a short period suggest sustained institutional demand, not just a one-day event.
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6. ADX/DI (Trend Strength and Direction)
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WHAT IT IS:
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction. DI (Directional Indicator) shows whether the trend is bullish or bearish.
Calculation: ADX uses a 14-period lookback to measure how directional (trending) price movement is. Values range from 0 to 100. The +DI and -DI components compare upward and downward movement.
The screener shows:
- ADX value (trend strength)
- Direction indicator: "+" for bullish (price trending up), "-" for bearish (price trending down)
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- ADX < 20: Weak trend - the stock is moving sideways, choppy. Not ideal for momentum trading.
- ADX 20-25: Trend is emerging - potentially starting a directional move.
- ADX 25-40: Strong trend - clear directional movement. Good for momentum plays.
- ADX > 40: Very strong trend - powerful move in progress, but may be extended.
The direction indicator (+/-) tells you which way:
- "25+" means ADX of 25 with bullish direction (uptrend)
- "25-" means ADX of 25 with bearish direction (downtrend)
For post-earnings plays, ideal setups show ADX rising above 25 with positive direction, confirming the earnings reaction is developing into a sustained trend rather than a one-day spike.
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7. Institutional Buying PASS
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WHAT IT IS:
This proprietary composite indicator detects patterns consistent with institutional accumulation at three stages after earnings:
EARLY (Days 0-4): Looks for "large block" buying on the earnings reaction day (exceptionally high volume with a close in the upper half of the day's range) combined with follow-through buying on the next day.
MID (Days 5-9): Checks for sustained elevated volume (averaging 1.5x the 20-day average) combined with positive drift and consistent upward price movement (more up days than down days).
LATE (Days 10+): Detects either visible accumulation (positive drift with high volume) OR stealth accumulation (positive drift with unusually LOW volume - suggesting smart money is quietly building positions without attracting attention).
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Check mark/value of '1': Institutional buying pattern detected. The stock shows characteristics consistent with large players accumulating shares.
- X mark/value of '0': No institutional buying pattern detected. This doesn't mean institutions aren't buying - just that the typical footprints aren't visible.
A passing grade here adds conviction to other bullish signals. Institutions have research teams, information advantages, and long time horizons. When their footprints appear in the data, it often precedes sustained moves.
Important: This is a pattern detection tool, not a guarantee. Always combine with other analysis.
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8. Strong ATR Drift PASS
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WHAT IT IS:
This measures whether the stock has drifted significantly relative to its own volatility. Instead of asking "did it move 10%?", it asks "did it move more than 1.5 ATRs?"
ATR (Average True Range) measures a stock's typical daily movement. A volatile stock might move 5% daily, while a stable stock might move 0.5%. Using ATR normalizes for this difference.
Calculation:
ATR Drift = (Current Close - D0 Close) / D0 ATR in dollars
The indicator passes when ATR Drift exceeds 1.5 AND at least 5 days have passed since earnings.
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Check mark/value of '1': The stock has drifted more than 1.5 times its average daily range since earnings - a statistically significant move that suggests genuine momentum, not just noise.
- X mark/value of '0': The drift (if any) is within normal volatility bounds - could just be random fluctuation.
Why wait 5 days? The immediate post-earnings reaction (days 0-2) often includes gap fills and noise. By day 5, if the stock is still extended beyond 1.5 ATRs from the earnings close, it suggests real buying pressure, not just a reflexive gap.
A passing grade here helps filter out stocks that "beat earnings" but haven't actually moved meaningfully. It focuses attention on stocks where the market is voting with real capital.
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9. Days Since D0
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WHAT IT IS:
Simply counts the number of trading days since the earnings reaction day (D0).
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Days 0-5 (Green): Fresh earnings - the information is new, institutional repositioning is active, and momentum trades are most potent. This is the "sweet spot" for PEAD strategies.
- Days 6-10 (Neutral): Mid-period - some edge remains but diminishing. Good for adding to winning positions, less ideal for new entries.
- Days 11+ (Red): Extended period - most of the post-earnings drift has typically played out. Higher risk that momentum fades or reverses.
Research shows PEAD effects are strongest in the first 5-10 days after earnings, then decay. Beyond 20-30 days, the informational advantage of the earnings surprise is largely priced in.
Use this to prioritize: focus on stocks with strong signals that are still in the early window, and be more selective about entries as days accumulate.
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PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER
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You can use this screener in the chart view or in the Screener.
One combination of the above filters to develop a shortlist of positive drift candidates may be:
- SUE > 2.0 (significant earnings beat)
- SURGE > 1.5 (significant revenue beat)
- Positive % From D0 Close (price confirming the good news)
- Institutional Buying PASS (big players accumulating)
- Strong ATR Drift PASS (statistically significant movement)
- Days Since D0 < 10 (still in the active drift window)
No single indicator is sufficient. The power comes from convergence - when multiple independent measures all point the same direction.
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SETTINGS
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Key adjustable parameters:
- SUE Method: "Analyst-based" uses consensus estimates; "Time-series" uses year-over-year comparison
- Window Size: Number of quarters used for standardization (default: 8)
- ATR Drift Threshold: Minimum ATR multiple for "strong" classification (default: 1.5)
- Institutional Buying thresholds: Adjustable volume and CLV parameters
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DISCLAIMER
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This screener is a research tool, not financial advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately. Post-earnings trading involves significant uncertainty and volatility. The 'SUE' in this indicator does not represent a real person; any similarity to actual Sue's (or Susans for that matter) living or dead is quite frankly ridiculous, not to mention coincidental.
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able FRVP Reversal# able FRVP Reversal - Complete User Guide
## 📌 Overview
**able FRVP Reversal** is a professional-grade Volume Profile indicator with an integrated reversal detection system. It combines Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) analysis with a confluence-based reversal scoring system to identify high-probability turning points at key volume levels.
---
## ✨ Key Features
| Feature | Description |
|---------|-------------|
| **Session-Based Volume Profile** | Automatically resets at the beginning of each regular trading session |
| **POC (Point of Control)** | Highest volume price level - strongest support/resistance |
| **VAH (Value Area High)** | Upper boundary of the 70% value area - resistance zone |
| **VAL (Value Area Low)** | Lower boundary of the 70% value area - support zone |
| **Confluence Scoring System** | 5-point scoring system for reversal detection |
| **Smart Cooldown** | Prevents signal spam with customizable cooldown period |
| **Real-time Info Table** | Displays all key metrics in a retro-style dashboard |
---
## 🔧 Installation
1. Open TradingView and go to **Pine Editor**
2. Delete any existing code and paste the indicator code
3. Click **"Add to Chart"**
4. Configure settings as needed
---
## ⚙️ Settings Explained
### 📊 Volume Profile Settings
| Setting | Default | Description |
|---------|---------|-------------|
| **Number of Rows** | 50 | Resolution of the volume profile (more rows = finer detail) |
| **Value Area %** | 70 | Percentage of volume to include in Value Area (industry standard: 70%) |
| **Profile Width** | 40 | Visual width of the histogram on chart |
| **Show Histogram** | ✓ | Display volume histogram bars |
| **Show POC/VAH/VAL** | ✓ | Display the three key levels |
| **Show Labels** | ✓ | Display price labels for each level |
| **Extend Lines** | ✓ | Extend levels to the right of current price |
| **Extend Length** | 100 | How far to extend the lines (in bars) |
### 🔄 Reversal Detection Settings
| Setting | Default | Description |
|---------|---------|-------------|
| **Enable Reversal Detection** | ✓ | Turn reversal signals on/off |
| **Min Confluence Score** | 3 | Minimum score required to trigger signal (1-5) |
| **Cooldown Bars** | 10 | Minimum bars between signals to prevent spam |
#### Understanding Min Confluence Score:
- **Score 1-2**: Very sensitive, many signals (not recommended)
- **Score 3**: Balanced - good for most traders ⭐ Recommended
- **Score 4**: Conservative - fewer but higher quality signals
- **Score 5**: Very strict - only strongest reversals
### 🎨 Color Settings
All colors are fully customizable:
- **POC Line**: Default Gold (#FFD700)
- **VAH Line**: Default Coral Red (#FF6B6B)
- **VAL Line**: Default Teal (#4ECDC4)
- **Bullish Reversal**: Default Green (#00E676)
- **Bearish Reversal**: Default Red (#FF5252)
---
## 📖 How to Read the Indicator
### Volume Profile Histogram
```
█████████████ ← High volume = Strong S/R
████████ ← Medium volume
████ ← Low volume = Weak S/R
██
```
- **Darker/Longer bars** = More trading activity at that price
- **Inside Value Area** = Colored based on session direction (Bull/Bear)
- **Outside Value Area** = Muted gray color
### Key Levels
| Level | Color | Meaning |
|-------|-------|---------|
| **POC** | Yellow | Price with highest volume - Strongest magnet |
| **VAH** | Red | Upper resistance - Look for bearish reversals |
| **VAL** | Teal | Lower support - Look for bullish reversals |
---
## 🔄 Reversal Detection System
### How the Scoring System Works
The indicator uses a **5-point confluence scoring system**. Each condition adds 1 point:
#### 🟢 Bullish Reversal Score (at VAL)
| Condition | Points | Description |
|-----------|--------|-------------|
| Price at VAL Zone | +1 | Price is within VAL ± 0.2 ATR |
| Bullish Candle | +1 | Close > Open (green candle) |
| RSI Oversold | +1 | RSI < 35 |
| Rejection Wick | +1 | Lower wick > 1.5× body size |
| Failed Breakdown | +1 | Touched below VAL but closed above |
#### 🔴 Bearish Reversal Score (at VAH)
| Condition | Points | Description |
|-----------|--------|-------------|
| Price at VAH Zone | +1 | Price is within VAH ± 0.2 ATR |
| Bearish Candle | +1 | Close < Open (red candle) |
| RSI Overbought | +1 | RSI > 65 |
| Rejection Wick | +1 | Upper wick > 1.5× body size |
| Failed Breakout | +1 | Touched above VAH but closed below |
### Signal Quality Ratings
| Score | Rating | Meaning |
|-------|--------|---------|
| 5/5 | ★★★ | Excellent - Highest probability |
| 4/5 | ★★ | Good - High probability |
| 3/5 | ★ | Acceptable - Moderate probability |
| <3 | - | No signal triggered |
---
## 📋 Info Table Explained
```
╔═ able-REV ═╗ 15 ████████ SCR
─────────────────────────────────────
ZONE UPPER VA ▒▒▓▓████ ▲
POC 4272.680 ██████·· ▲
VAH 4322.745 ████···· ·
VAL 4264.977 ██████·· ·
═ SCORE ═════════════════════════════
BULL 0/5 ········ ·
BEAR 1/5 ░······· ·
RSI 49 ▒▒▓▓···· ·
◄SIGNAL► WAIT ········ ·
```
| Row | Description |
|-----|-------------|
| **ZONE** | Current price position relative to Value Area |
| **POC/VAH/VAL** | Price levels with distance indicators |
| **BULL Score** | Current bullish confluence score |
| **BEAR Score** | Current bearish confluence score |
| **RSI** | RSI value with OB/OS status |
| **SIGNAL** | Current signal status (BUY/SELL/WAIT) |
### Zone Types
| Zone | Meaning | Bias |
|------|---------|------|
| ABOVE VAH | Price broke above resistance | Bullish (but watch for rejection) |
| ⚠ AT VAH | Price testing resistance | Watch for bearish reversal |
| UPPER VA | Price in upper value area | Slight bullish bias |
| LOWER VA | Price in lower value area | Slight bearish bias |
| ⚠ AT VAL | Price testing support | Watch for bullish reversal |
| BELOW VAL | Price broke below support | Bearish (but watch for rejection) |
---
## 📈 Trading Strategies
### Strategy 1: VAH Rejection (Bearish Reversal)
**Setup:**
1. Price approaches or touches VAH (red dashed line)
2. BEAR score reaches 3+ (or your minimum setting)
3. REV signal appears above the candle
**Entry:**
- Enter SHORT on signal candle close
- Or wait for confirmation candle
**Stop Loss:**
- Above the signal candle high
- Or above VAH + 0.5 ATR
**Take Profit:**
- First target: POC (yellow line)
- Second target: VAL (teal line)
---
### Strategy 2: VAL Bounce (Bullish Reversal)
**Setup:**
1. Price approaches or touches VAL (teal dashed line)
2. BULL score reaches 3+ (or your minimum setting)
3. REV signal appears below the candle
**Entry:**
- Enter LONG on signal candle close
- Or wait for confirmation candle
**Stop Loss:**
- Below the signal candle low
- Or below VAL - 0.5 ATR
**Take Profit:**
- First target: POC (yellow line)
- Second target: VAH (red line)
---
### Strategy 3: POC Bounce
**Setup:**
1. Price pulls back to POC after trending
2. POC acts as support/resistance
3. Watch for reversal candle patterns
**Entry:**
- Long if bullish candle at POC from below
- Short if bearish candle at POC from above
**Stop Loss:**
- Other side of POC ± buffer
---
## ⚠️ Important Notes
### When Signals Work Best
✅ **High Probability Setups:**
- Score 4-5 with clear rejection wick
- RSI confirms (oversold for long, overbought for short)
- First test of VAH/VAL in the session
- Clear trend before reversal
❌ **Low Probability Setups:**
- Score barely meeting minimum (3/5)
- Multiple tests of same level (level weakening)
- Low volume/choppy market
- News events pending
### Risk Management Rules
1. **Never risk more than 1-2% per trade**
2. **Always use stop loss** - place beyond the level
3. **Wait for candle close** - don't enter on wick touches
4. **Respect the cooldown** - avoid overtrading
5. **Consider the trend** - counter-trend reversals are riskier
---
## 🔔 Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alerts:
| Alert | Trigger |
|-------|---------|
| VAL Bullish Reversal | BULL score meets minimum at VAL |
| VAH Bearish Reversal | BEAR score meets minimum at VAH |
### Setting Up Alerts:
1. Right-click on the chart
2. Select "Add Alert"
3. Choose "able FRVP Reversal" as condition
4. Select desired alert type
5. Configure notification method
---
## 💡 Pro Tips
1. **Combine with trend analysis** - Reversals in trend direction are more reliable
2. **Watch for confluence with other S/R** - If VAH/VAL aligns with round numbers, previous highs/lows, or fib levels, the level is stronger
3. **Volume confirmation** - Higher volume on reversal candle = stronger signal
4. **Time of day matters** - Reversals during active trading hours are more reliable
5. **Adjust sensitivity by market** - Volatile assets may need higher Min Confluence Score
6. **Use multiple timeframes** - Check if reversal level aligns with higher timeframe levels
---
## 🔧 Recommended Settings by Trading Style
| Style | Min Confluence | Cooldown | Best For |
|-------|----------------|----------|----------|
| Scalping | 3 | 5-7 | Quick trades, more signals |
| Day Trading | 3-4 | 10-15 | Balanced approach |
| Swing Trading | 4-5 | 20+ | Fewer, higher quality signals |
---
## ❓ Troubleshooting
| Issue | Solution |
|-------|----------|
| No signals appearing | Lower Min Confluence Score or check if market is ranging |
| Too many signals | Increase Min Confluence Score or Cooldown Bars |
| Levels not showing | Enable Show POC/VAH/VAL in settings |
| Histogram too wide/narrow | Adjust Profile Width setting |
---
## 📞 Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please contact the developer.
---
**Version:** 1.0
**Last Updated:** 2024
**Platform:** TradingView (Pine Script v6)
Trend Following $BTC - Multi-Timeframe Structure + ReversTREND FOLLOWING STRATEGY - MULTI-TIMEFRAME STRUCTURE BREAKOUT SYSTEM
Strategy Overview
This is an enhanced Turtle Trading system designed for cryptocurrency spot trading. It combines Donchian Channel breakouts with multi-timeframe structure filtering and ATR-based dynamic risk management. The strategy trades both long and short positions using reverse signal exits to maximize trend capture.
Core Features
Multi-Timeframe Structure Filtering
The strategy uses Swing High/Low analysis to identify market structure trends. You can customize the structure timeframe (default: 3 minutes) to match your trading style. Only enters trades aligned with the identified trend direction, avoiding counter-trend positions that often lead to losses.
Reverse Signal Exit System
Instead of using fixed stop-losses or time-based exits, this strategy exits positions only when a reverse entry signal triggers. This approach maximizes trend profits and reduces premature exits during normal market retracements.
ATR Dynamic Pyramiding
Automatically adds positions when price moves 0.5 ATR in your favor. Supports up to 2 units maximum (adjustable). This pyramid scaling enhances profitability during strong trends while maintaining disciplined risk management.
Complete Risk Management
Fixed position sizing at 5000 USD per unit. Includes realistic commission fees of 0.06% (Binance spot rate). Initial capital set at 10,000 USD. All backtest parameters reflect real-world trading conditions.
Trading Logic
Entry Conditions
Long Entry: Close price breaks above the 20-period high AND structure trend is bullish (price breaks above Swing High)
Short Entry: Close price breaks below the 20-period low AND structure trend is bearish (price breaks below Swing Low)
Position Scaling
Long positions: Add when price rises 0.5 ATR or more
Short positions: Add when price falls 0.5 ATR or more
Maximum 2 units including initial entry
Exit Conditions
Long Exit: Triggers when short entry signal appears (price breaks 20-period low + structure turns bearish)
Short Exit: Triggers when long entry signal appears (price breaks 20-period high + structure turns bullish)
Default Parameters
Channel Settings
Entry Channel Period: 20 (Donchian Channel breakout period)
Exit Channel Period: 10 (reserved parameter)
ATR Settings
ATR Period: 20
Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: 2.0
Add Position ATR Multiplier: 0.5
Structure Filter
Swing Length: 300 (Swing High/Low calculation period)
Structure Timeframe: 3 minutes
Adjust these based on your trading timeframe and asset volatility
Position Management
Maximum Units: 2 (including initial entry)
Capital Per Unit: 5000 USD
Visualization Features
Background Colors
Light Green: Bullish market structure
Light Red: Bearish market structure
Dark Green: Long position entry
Dark Red: Short position entry
Optional Display Elements (Default: OFF)
Entry and exit channel lines
Structure high/low reference lines
ATR stop-loss indicator
Next position add level
Entry/exit labels
Alert Message Format
The strategy sends notifications with the following format:
Entry: "5m Long EP:90450.50"
Add Position: "15m Add Long 2/2 EP:91000.25"
Exit: "5m Close Long Reverse Signal"
Where the first part shows your current chart timeframe and EP indicates Entry Price
Backtest Settings
Capital Allocation
Initial Capital: 10,000 USD
Per Entry: 5,000 USD (split into 2 potential entries)
Leverage: 0x (spot trading only)
Trading Costs
Commission: 0.06% (Binance spot VIP0 rate)
Slippage: 0 (adjust based on your experience)
Best Use Cases
Ideal Scenarios
Trending markets with clear directional movement
Moderate to high volatility assets
Timeframes from 1-minute to 4-hour charts
Best suited for major cryptocurrencies with good liquidity
Not Recommended For
Highly volatile choppy/ranging markets
Low liquidity small-cap coins
Extreme market conditions or black swan events
Usage Recommendations
Timeframe Guidelines
1-5 minute charts: Use for scalping, consider Swing Length 100-160
15-30 minute charts: Good for short-term trading, Swing Length 50-100
1-4 hour charts: Suitable for swing trading, Swing Length 20-50
Optimization Tips
Always backtest on historical data before live trading
Adjust swing length based on asset volatility and your timeframe
Different cryptocurrencies may require different parameter settings
Enable visualization options initially to understand entry/exit points
Monitor win rate and drawdown during backtesting
Technical Details
Built on Pine Script v6
No repainting - uses proper bar referencing with offset
Prevents lookahead bias with lookahead=off parameter
Strategy mode with accurate commission and slippage modeling
Multi-timeframe security function for structure analysis
Proper position state tracking to avoid duplicate signals
Risk Disclaimer
This strategy is provided for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtesting results may differ from live trading due to slippage, execution delays, and changing market conditions. The strategy performs best in trending markets and may experience drawdowns during ranging conditions. Always practice proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. It is recommended to paper trade first and start with small position sizes when going live.
How to Use
Add the strategy to your TradingView chart
Select your desired timeframe (1m to 4h recommended)
Adjust parameters based on your risk tolerance and trading style
Review backtest results in the Strategy Tester tab
Set up alerts for automated notifications
Consider paper trading before risking real capital
Tags
Trend Following, Turtle Trading, Donchian Channel, Structure Breakout, ATR, Cryptocurrency, Spot Trading, Risk Management, Pyramiding, Multi-Timeframe Analysis
---
Strategy Name: Trend Following BTC
Version: v1.0
Pine Script Version: v6
Last Updated: December 2025
Trend Following $ZEC - Multi-Timeframe Structure Filter + Revers# Trend Following CRYPTOCAP:ZEC - Strategy Guide
## 📊 Strategy Overview
Trend Following CRYPTOCAP:ZEC is an enhanced Turtle Trading system designed for cryptocurrency spot trading, combining Donchian Channel breakouts, multi-timeframe structure filtering, and ATR-based dynamic risk management for both long and short positions.
---
## 🎯 Core Features
1. Multi-Timeframe Structure Filtering
- Uses Swing High/Low to identify market structure
- Customizable structure timeframe (default: 1 minute)
- Only enters trades in the direction of the trend, avoiding counter-trend positions
2. Reverse Signal Exit
- No fixed stop-loss or fixed-period exits
- Exits only when a reverse entry signal triggers
- Maximizes trend profits, reduces premature exits
3. ATR Dynamic Pyramiding
- Adds positions when price moves 0.5 ATR in favorable direction
- Supports up to 2 units maximum (adjustable)
- Pyramid scaling to enhance profitability
4. Complete Risk Management
- Fixed position size (5000 USD per unit)
- Commission fee 0.06% (Binance spot rate)
- Initial capital 10,000 USD
---
## 📈 Trading Logic
Entry Conditions
✅ Long Entry:
- Close price breaks above 20-period high
- Structure trend is bullish (price breaks above Swing High)
✅ Short Entry:
- Close price breaks below 20-period low
- Structure trend is bearish (price breaks below Swing Low)
Add Position Conditions
- Long: Price rises ≥ 0.5 ATR
- Short: Price falls ≥ 0.5 ATR
- Maximum 2 units including initial entry
Exit Conditions
- Long Exit: When short entry signal triggers (price breaks 20-period low + structure turns bearish)
- Short Exit: When long entry signal triggers (price breaks 20-period high + structure turns bullish)
---
## ⚙️ Parameter Settings
Channel Settings
- Entry Channel Period: 20 (Donchian Channel breakout period)
- Exit Channel Period: 10 (reserved parameter, actually uses reverse signal exit)
ATR Settings
- ATR Period: 20
- Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: 2.0 (reserved parameter)
- Add Position ATR Multiplier: 0.5
Structure Filter
- Swing Length: 160 (Swing High/Low calculation period)
- Structure Timeframe: 1 minute (can change to 5/15/60, etc.)
Position Management
- Maximum Units: 2 (including initial entry)
- Capital Per Unit: 5000 USD
---
## 🎨 Visualization Features
Background Colors
- Light Green: Bullish structure
- Light Red: Bearish structure
- Dark Green: Long entry
- Dark Red: Short entry
Optional Display (Default: OFF)
- Entry/exit channel lines
- Structure high/low lines
- ATR stop-loss line
- Next add position indicator
- Entry/exit labels
---
## 📱 Alert Message Format
Strategy sends notifications on entry/exit with the following format:
- Entry: `1m Long EP:428.26`
- Add Position: `15m Add Long 2/2 EP:429.50`
- Exit: `1m Close Long Reverse Signal`
Where:
- `1m`/`15m` = Current chart timeframe
- `EP` = Entry Price
---
## 💰 Backtest Settings
Capital Allocation
- Initial Capital: 10,000 USD
- Per Entry: 5,000 USD (split into 2 entries)
- Leverage: 0x (spot trading)
Trading Costs
- Commission: 0.06% (Binance spot VIP0)
- Slippage: 0
---
## 🎯 Use Cases
✅ Best Scenarios
- Trending markets
- Moderate volatility assets
- 1-minute to 4-hour timeframes
⚠️ Not Suitable For
- Highly volatile choppy markets
- Low liquidity small-cap coins
- Extreme market conditions (black swan events)
---
## 📊 Usage Recommendations
Timeframe Suggestions
| Timeframe | Trading Style | Suggested Parameter Adjustment |
|-----------|--------------|-------------------------------|
| 1-5 min | Scalping | Swing Length 100-160 |
| 15-30 min | Short-term | Swing Length 50-100 |
| 1-4 hour | Swing Trading | Swing Length 20-50 |
Optimization Tips
1. Adjust swing length based on backtest results
2. Different coins may require different parameters
3. Recommend backtesting on 1-minute chart first before live trading
4. Enable labels to observe entry/exit points
---
## ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
1. Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results
- Backtest data is for reference only
- Live trading may be affected by slippage, delays, etc.
2. Market Condition Changes
- Strategy performs better in trending markets
- May experience frequent stops in ranging markets
3. Capital Management
- Do not invest more than you can afford to lose
- Recommend setting total capital stop-loss threshold
4. Commission Impact
- Frequent trading accumulates commission fees
- Recommend using exchange discounts (BNB fee reduction, etc.)
---
## 🔧 Troubleshooting
Q: No entry signals?
A: Check if structure filter is too strict, adjust swing length or timeframe
Q: Too many labels displayed?
A: Turn off "Show Labels" option in settings
Q: Poor backtest performance?
A:
1. Check if the coin is suitable for trend-following strategies
2. Adjust parameters (swing length, channel period)
3. Try different timeframes
Q: How to set alerts?
A:
1. Click "Alert" in top-right corner of chart
2. Condition: Select "Strategy - Trend Following CRYPTOCAP:ZEC "
3. Choose "Order filled"
4. Set notification method (Webhook/Email/App)
---
## 📞 Contact Information
Strategy Name: Trend Following CRYPTOCAP:ZEC
Version: v1.0
Pine Script Version: v6
Last Updated: December 2025
---
## 📄 Copyright Notice
This strategy is for educational and research purposes only.
All risks of using this strategy for live trading are borne by the user.
Commercial use without authorization is prohibited.
---
## 🎓 Learning Resources
To understand the strategy principles in depth, recommended reading:
- "The Complete TurtleTrader" - Curtis Faith
- "Trend Following" - Michael Covel
- TradingView Pine Script Official Documentation
---
Happy Trading! Remember to manage your risk 📈
ALT Risk Metric StrategyHere's a professional write-up for your ALT Risk Strategy script:
ALT/BTC Risk Strategy - Multi-Crypto DCA with Bitcoin Correlation Analysis
Overview
This strategy uses Bitcoin correlation as a risk indicator to time entries and exits for altcoins. By analyzing how your chosen altcoin performs relative to Bitcoin, the strategy identifies optimal accumulation periods (when alt/BTC is oversold) and profit-taking opportunities (when alt/BTC is overbought). Perfect for traders who want to outperform Bitcoin by strategically timing altcoin positions.
Key Innovation: Why Alt/BTC Matters
Most traders focus solely on USD price, but Alt/BTC ratios reveal true altcoin strength:
When Alt/BTC is low → Altcoin is undervalued relative to Bitcoin (buy opportunity)
When Alt/BTC is high → Altcoin has outperformed Bitcoin (take profits)
This approach captures the rotation between BTC and alts that drives crypto cycles
Key Features
📊 Advanced Technical Analysis
RSI (60% weight): Primary momentum indicator on weekly timeframe
Long-term MA Deviation (35% weight): Measures distance from 150-period baseline
MACD (5% weight): Minor confirmation signal
EMA Smoothing: Filters noise while maintaining responsiveness
All calculations performed on Alt/BTC pairs for superior market timing
💰 3-Tier DCA System
Level 1 (Risk ≤ 70): Conservative entry, base allocation
Level 2 (Risk ≤ 50): Increased allocation, strong opportunity
Level 3 (Risk ≤ 30): Maximum allocation, extreme undervaluation
Continuous buying: Executes every bar while below threshold for true DCA behavior
Cumulative sizing: L3 triggers = L1 + L2 + L3 amounts combined
📈 Smart Profit Management
Sequential selling: Must complete L1 before L2, L2 before L3
Percentage-based exits: Sell portions of position, not fixed amounts
Auto-reset on re-entry: New buy signals reset sell progression
Prevents premature full exits during volatile conditions
🤖 3Commas Automation
Pre-configured JSON webhooks for Custom Signal Bots
Multi-exchange support: Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitfinex, Bybit
Flexible quote currency: USD, USDT, or BUSD
Dynamic order sizing: Automatically adjusts to your tier thresholds
Full webhook documentation compliance
🎨 Multi-Asset Support
Pre-configured for popular altcoins:
ETH (Ethereum)
SOL (Solana)
ADA (Cardano)
LINK (Chainlink)
UNI (Uniswap)
XRP (Ripple)
DOGE
RENDER
Custom option for any other crypto
How It Works
Risk Metric Calculation (0-100 scale):
Fetches weekly Alt/BTC price data for stability
Calculates RSI, MACD, and deviation from 150-period MA
Normalizes MACD to 0-100 range using 500-bar lookback
Combines weighted components: (MACD × 0.05) + (RSI × 0.60) + (Deviation × 0.35)
Applies 5-period EMA smoothing for cleaner signals
Color-Coded Risk Zones:
Green (0-30): Extreme buying opportunity - Alt heavily oversold vs BTC
Lime/Yellow (30-70): Accumulation range - favorable risk/reward
Orange (70-85): Caution zone - consider taking initial profits
Red/Maroon (85-100+): Euphoria zone - aggressive profit-taking
Entry Logic:
Buys execute every candle when risk is below threshold
As risk decreases, position sizing automatically scales up
Example: If risk drops from 60→25, you'll be buying at L1 rate until it hits 50, then L2 rate, then L3 rate
Exit Logic:
Sells only trigger when in profit AND risk exceeds thresholds
Sequential execution ensures partial profit-taking
If new buy signal occurs before all sells complete, sell levels reset to L1
Configuration Guide
Choosing Your Altcoin:
Select crypto from dropdown (or use CUSTOM for unlisted coins)
Pick your exchange
Choose quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
Risk Metric Tuning:
Long Term MA (default 150): Higher = more extreme signals, Lower = more frequent
RSI Length (default 10): Lower = more volatile, Higher = smoother
Smoothing (default 5): Increase for less noise, decrease for faster reaction
Buy Settings (Aggressive DCA Example):
L1 Threshold: 70 | Amount: $5
L2 Threshold: 50 | Amount: $6
L3 Threshold: 30 | Amount: $7
Total L3 buy = $18 per candle when deeply oversold
Sell Settings (Balanced Exit Example):
L1: 70 threshold, 25% position
L2: 85 threshold, 35% position
L3: 100 threshold, 40% position (final exit)
3Commas Setup
Bot Configuration:
Create Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Set trading pair to your altcoin/USD (e.g., ETH/USD, SOL/USDT)
Order size: Select "Send in webhook, quote" to use strategy's dollar amounts
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token
Script Configuration:
Paste credentials into 3Commas section inputs
Check "Enable 3Commas Alerts"
Save and apply to chart
TradingView Alert:
Create Alert → Condition: "alert() function calls only"
Webhook URL: api.3commas.io
Enable "Webhook URL" checkbox
Expiration: Open-ended
Strategy Advantages
✅ Outperform Bitcoin: Designed specifically to beat BTC by timing alt rotations
✅ Capture Alt Seasons: Automatically accumulates when alts lag, sells when they pump
✅ Risk-Adjusted Sizing: Buys more when cheaper (better risk/reward)
✅ Emotional Discipline: Systematic approach removes fear and FOMO
✅ Multi-Asset: Run same strategy across multiple altcoins simultaneously
✅ Proven Indicators: Combines RSI, MACD, and MA deviation - battle-tested tools
Backtesting Insights
Optimal Timeframes:
Daily chart: Best for backtesting and signal generation
Weekly data is fetched internally regardless of display timeframe
Historical Performance Characteristics:
Accumulates heavily during bear markets and BTC dominance periods
Captures explosive altcoin rallies when BTC stagnates
Sequential selling preserves capital during extended downtrends
Works best on established altcoins with multi-year history
Risk Considerations:
Requires capital reserves for extended accumulation periods
Some altcoins may never recover if fundamentals deteriorate
Past correlation patterns may not predict future performance
Always size positions according to personal risk tolerance
Visual Interface
Indicator Panel Displays:
Dynamic color line: Green→Lime→Yellow→Orange→Red as risk increases
Horizontal threshold lines: Dashed lines mark your buy/sell levels
Entry/Exit labels: Green labels for buys, Orange/Red/Maroon for sells
Real-time risk value: Numerical display on price scale
Customization:
All threshold lines are adjustable via inputs
Color scheme clearly differentiates buy zones (green spectrum) from sell zones (red spectrum)
Line weights emphasize most extreme thresholds (L3 buy and L3 sell)
Strategy Philosophy
This strategy is built on the principle that altcoins move in cycles relative to Bitcoin. During Bitcoin rallies, alts often bleed against BTC (high sell, accumulate). When Bitcoin consolidates, alts pump (take profits). By measuring risk on the Alt/BTC chart instead of USD price, we time these rotations with precision.
The 3-tier system ensures you're always averaging in at better prices and scaling out at better prices, maximizing your Bitcoin-denominated returns.
Advanced Tips
Multi-Bot Strategy:
Run this on 5-10 different altcoins simultaneously to:
Diversify correlation risk
Capture whichever alt is pumping
Smooth equity curve through rotation
Pairing with BTC Strategy:
Use alongside the BTC DCA Risk Strategy for complete portfolio coverage:
BTC strategy for core holdings
ALT strategies for alpha generation
Rebalance between them based on BTC dominance
Threshold Calibration:
Check 2-3 years of historical data for your chosen alt
Note where risk metric sat during major bottoms (set buy thresholds)
Note where it peaked during euphoria (set sell thresholds)
Adjust for your risk tolerance and holding period
Credits
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Technical Analysis Framework: RSI, MACD, Moving Average theory
Implementation: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Altcoins are especially volatile and many fail completely. The strategy assumes liquid markets and reliable Alt/BTC price data. Always do your own research, understand the fundamentals of any asset you trade, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no liability for trading decisions.
Additional Warning: Using leverage or trading illiquid altcoins amplifies risk significantly. This strategy is designed for spot trading of established cryptocurrencies with deep liquidity.
Tags: Altcoin, Alt/BTC, DCA, Risk Metric, Dollar Cost Averaging, 3Commas, ETH, SOL, Crypto Rotation, Bitcoin Correlation, Automated Trading, Alt Season
Feel free to modify any sections to better match your style or add specific backtesting results you've observed! 🚀Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses. Sonnet 4.5
BTC DCA Risk Metric StrategyBTC DCA Risk Strategy - Automated Dollar Cost Averaging with 3Commas Integration
Overview
This strategy combines the proven Oakley Wood Risk Metric with an intelligent tiered Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) system, designed to help traders systematically accumulate Bitcoin during periods of low risk and take profits during high-risk conditions.
Key Features
📊 Multi-Component Risk Assessment
4-Year SMA Deviation: Measures Bitcoin's distance from its long-term mean
20-Week MA Analysis: Tracks medium-term momentum shifts
50-Day/50-Week MA Ratio: Captures short-to-medium term trend strength
All metrics are normalized by time to account for Bitcoin's maturing market dynamics
💰 3-Tier DCA Buy System
Level 1 (Low Risk): Conservative entry with base allocation
Level 2 (Lower Risk): Increased allocation as opportunity improves
Level 3 (Extreme Low Risk): Maximum allocation during rare buying opportunities
Buys execute every bar while risk remains below thresholds, enabling true DCA accumulation
📈 Progressive Profit Taking
Sell Level 1: Take initial profits as risk increases
Sell Level 2: Scale out further positions during elevated risk
Sell Level 3: Final exit during extreme market conditions
Sell levels automatically reset when new buy signals occur, allowing flexible re-entry
🤖 3Commas Integration
Fully automated webhook alerts for Custom Signal Bots
JSON payloads formatted per 3Commas API specifications
Supports multiple exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, Bybit)
Configurable quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
How It Works
The strategy calculates a composite risk metric (0-1 scale):
0.0-0.2: Extreme buying opportunity (green zone)
0.2-0.5: Favorable accumulation range (yellow zone)
0.5-0.8: Neutral to cautious territory (orange zone)
0.8-1.0+: High risk, profit-taking zone (red zone)
Buy Logic: As risk decreases, position sizes increase automatically. If risk drops from L1 to L3 threshold, the strategy combines all three tier allocations for maximum exposure.
Sell Logic: Sequential profit-taking ensures you capture gains progressively. The system won't advance to Sell L2 until L1 completes, preventing premature full exits.
Configuration
Risk Metric Parameters:
All calculations use Bitcoin price data (any BTC chart works)
Time-normalized formulas adapt to market maturity
No manual parameter tuning required
Buy Settings:
Set risk thresholds for each tier (default: 0.20, 0.10, 0.00)
Define dollar amounts per tier (default: $10, $15, $20)
Fully customizable to your risk tolerance and capital
Sell Settings:
Configure risk thresholds for profit-taking (default: 1.00, 1.50, 2.00)
Set percentage of position to sell at each level (default: 25%, 35%, 40%)
3Commas Setup:
Create a Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token into strategy inputs
Enable 3Commas Alerts checkbox
Create TradingView alert: Condition → "alert() function calls only", Webhook → api.3commas.io
Backtesting Results
Strengths:
Systematically buys dips without emotion
Averages down during extended bear markets
Captures explosive bull run profits through tiered exits
Pyramiding (1000 max orders) allows true DCA behavior
Considerations:
Requires sufficient capital for multiple buys during prolonged downtrends
Backtest on Daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Visual Design
The indicator pane displays:
Color-coded risk metric line: Changes from white→red→orange→yellow→green as risk decreases
Background zones: Green (buy), yellow (hold), red (sell) areas
Dashed threshold lines: Clear visual markers for each buy/sell level
Entry/Exit labels: Green buy labels and orange/red sell labels mark all trades
Credits
Original Risk Metric: Oakley Wood
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Modifications: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading carries substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no responsibility for trading decisions made using this tool.
Adaptive Risk Management [sgbpulse]1. Introduction:
Adaptive Risk Management is an advanced indicator designed to provide traders with a comprehensive risk management tool directly on the chart. Instead of relying on complex manual calculations, the indicator automates all critical steps of trade planning. It dynamically calculates the estimated Entry Price , the Stop Loss location, the required Position Size (Quantity) based on your capital and risk limits, and the three Take Profit targets based on your defined Reward/Risk ratios. The indicator displays all these essential data points clearly and visually on the chart, ensuring you always know the potential risk-reward profile of every trade.
ARM : The A daptive R isk M anagement every trader needs to ARM themselves with.
2. The Critical Importance of Risk Management
Proper risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. Consistent profitability in the market is impossible without rigorously defining risk limits.
Risk Control: This starts by setting the maximum risk amount you are willing to lose in a single trade (Risk per Trade), and limiting the total capital allocated to the position (Max Capital per Trade).
Defining Boundaries (Stop Loss & Take Profit): It is mandatory to define a technical Stop Loss and a Take Profit target. A fundamental rule of risk management is that the Reward/Risk Ratio (R/R) must be a minimum of 1:1.
3. Core Features, Adaptivity, and Customization
The Adaptive Risk Management indicator is engineered for use across all major trading styles, including Swing Trading, Intraday Trading, and Scalping, providing consistent risk control regardless of the chosen timeframe.
Real-Time Dynamic Adaptivity: The indicator calculates all risk management parameters (Entry, Stop Loss, Quantity) dynamically with every new bar, thus adapting instantly to changing market conditions.
Trend Direction Adjustment: Define the analysis direction (Long/Uptrend or Short/Downtrend).
Intraday Session Data Control: Full control over whether lookback calculations will include data from Extended Trading Hours (ETH), or if the daily calculations will start actively only from the first bar of Regular Trading Hours (RTH).
Status Validation: The indicator performs critical status checks and displays clear Warning Messages if risk conditions are not met.
4. Intuitive Visualization and Real-Time Data
Dynamic Tracking Lines: The Entry Price and Stop Loss lines are updated with every new bar. Crucially, the length of these lines dynamically reflects the calculation's lookback range (e.g., the extent of Lookback Bars or the location of the confirmed Pivot Point), providing a visual anchor for the calculated price.
Risk and Reward Zones: The indicator creates a graphical background fill between Entry and Stop Loss (marked with the risk color) and between Entry and the Reward Targets (marked with the reward color).
Essential Information Labels: Labels are placed at the end of each line, providing critical data: Estimated Entry Price, Stock/Contract Quantity (Quantity), Total Entry Amount, Estimated Stop Loss, Risk per Share, Total Financial Risk (Risk Amount), Exit Amount, Estimated Take Profit 1/2/3, Reward/Risk Ratio 1/2/3, Total Reward 1/2/3, TP Exit Amount 1/2/3.
4.1. Data Window Metrics (16 Full Series)
The indicator displays 16 full data series in the TradingView Data Window, allowing precise tracking of every calculation parameter:
Entry Data: Estimated Entry, Quantity, Entry Amount.
Risk Data (Stop Loss): Estimated Stop Loss, Risk per Share, Risk Amount, Exit Amount.
Reward Data (Take Profit): Estimated Take Profit 1/2/3, Reward/Risk Ratio 1/2/3, Total Reward 1/2/3, TP Exit Amount 1/2/3.
4.2. Instant Tracking in the Status Line
The indicator displays 6 critical parameters continuously in the indicator's Status Line: Estimated Entry, Quantity, Estimated Stop Loss, Estimated Take Profit 1/2/3.
5. Detailed Indicator Inputs
5.1 General
Focused Trend: Defines the analysis direction (Uptrend / Downtrend).
Max Capital per Trade: The maximum amount allocated to purchasing stocks/contracts (in account currency).
Risk per Trade: The maximum amount the user is willing to risk in this single trade (in account currency).
ATR Length: The lookback period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation.
5.2 Intraday Session Data Control
Regular Hours Limitation : If enabled, all daily lookback calculations (for Entry/Stop Loss anchor points) will begin strictly from the first Regular Trading Hours (RTH) bar. This limits the lookback range to the current RTH session, excluding preceding Extended Trading Hours (ETH) data. Only relevant for Intraday charts. Default: False (Off)
5.3 Entry Inputs
Entry Method: Selects the entry price calculation method:
Current Price: Uses the closing price of the current bar as the estimated entry point (Market Entry).
ATR Real Bodies Margin :
- Uptrend: Calculates the Maximum Real Body over the lookback period + the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Calculates the Minimum Real Body over the lookback period - the calculated safety margin.
ATR Bars Margin :
- Uptrend: Calculates the Maximum High price over the lookback period + the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Calculates the Minimum Low price over the lookback period - the calculated safety margin.
Lookback Bars: The number of bars used to calculate the extremes in the ATR-based entry methods (Relevant only for ATR Real Bodies Margin and ATR Bars Margin methods).
ATR Multiplier (Entry): The multiplier applied to the ATR value. The result of the multiplication is the calculated safety margin used to determine the estimated Entry Price.
5.4 Risk Inputs (Stop Loss)
Risk Method: Selects the Stop Loss price calculation method.
ATR Current Price Margin :
- Uptrend: Entry Price - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Entry Price + the calculated safety margin.
ATR Current Bar Margin :
- Uptrend: Current Bar's Low price - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Current Bar's High price + the calculated safety margin.
ATR Bars Margin :
- Uptrend: Lowest Low over lookback period - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Highest High over lookback period + the calculated safety margin.
ATR Pivot Margin :
- Uptrend: The first confirmed Pivot Low point - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: The first confirmed Pivot High point + the calculated safety margin.
Lookback Bars: The lookback period for finding the extreme price used in the 'ATR Bars Margin' calculation.
ATR Multiplier (Risk): The multiplier applied to the ATR value. The result of the multiplication is the calculated safety margin used to place the estimated Stop Loss. Note: If set to 0, the Stop Loss will be placed exactly at the technical anchor point, provided the Minimum Margin Value is also 0.
Minimum Margin Value: The minimum price value (e.g., $0.01) the Stop Loss margin buffer must be.
Pivot (Left / Right): The number of bars required on either side of the pivot bar for confirmation (relevant only for the ATR Pivot Margin method).
5.5 Reward Inputs (Take Profit)
Show Take Profit 1/2/3: ON/OFF switch to control the visibility of each Take Profit target.
Reward/Risk Ratio 1/ 2/ 3: Defines the R/R ratio for the profit target. Must be ≥1.0.
6. Indicator Status/Warning Messages
In situations where the Stop Loss location cannot be calculated logically and validly, often caused by a mismatch between the configured Focused Trend (Uptrend/Downtrend) and the actual price action, the indicator will display a warning message, explaining the reason and suggesting corrective action.
Status Message 1: Pivot reference unavailable
Condition: The Stop Loss is set to the "ATR Pivot Margin" method, but the anchor point (Pivot) is missing or inaccessible.
Message Displayed: "Pivot reference unavailable. Wait for valid price action, or adjust the Regular Hours Limitation setting or Pivot Left/Right inputs."
Status Message 2: Calculated Stop Loss is unsafe
Condition: The calculated Stop Loss is placed illogically or unsafely relative to the trend direction and the Entry price.
Message Displayed: "Calculated Stop Loss is unsafe for current trend. Wait for valid price action or adjust SL Lookback/Multiplier."
7. Summary
The Adaptive Risk Management (ARM) indicator provides a seamless and systematic approach to trade execution and risk control. By dynamically automating all critical trade parameters—from Entry Price and Stop Loss placement to Position Sizing and Take Profit targets—ARM removes emotional bias and ensures every trade adheres strictly to your predefined risk profile.
Key Benefits:
Systematic Risk Control: Strict enforcement of maximum capital allocation and risk per trade limits.
Adaptivity: Dynamic calculation of prices and quantities based on real-time market data (ATR and Lookback).
Clarity and Trust: Clear on-chart visualization, precise data metrics (16 series), and unambiguous Status/Warning Messages ensure transparency and reliability.
ARM allows traders to focus on strategy and analysis, confident that their execution complies with the core principles of professional risk management.
Important Note: Trading Risk
This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation for trading in any form whatsoever.
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of capital loss. It is important to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Psychological LevelsADVANCED PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS - PROFESSIONAL FOREX INDICATOR
This highly customizable indicator automatically identifies and visualizes all major psychological price levels across any Forex chart. Psychological levels represent critical price zones where traders naturally congregate their orders due to human psychology's attraction to round numbers. These levels consistently act as powerful support and resistance zones in the market.
🎯 KEY FEATURES:
✅ Four Distinct Level Types - Choose from 1000-pip, 100-pip, 50-pip, 25-pip, and 10-pip psychological levels
✅ Individual Color Customization - Each level type has its own customizable zone and line colors
✅ Separate Zone Width Control - Adjust zone width independently for each level type
✅ Universal Forex Compatibility - Automatically adapts to JPY pairs and all other currency pairs
✅ Extended Coverage - Displays levels far beyond the visible chart area for comprehensive analysis
✅ Fixed Positioning - Levels remain stationary when scrolling or zooming
✅ Fully Customizable Styling - Choose between solid, dashed, or dotted line styles
📊 LEVEL TYPES EXPLAINED:
🟣 1000-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.0000, 2.0000 | USD/JPY: 100.00, 110.00, 120.00)
The strongest macro-level psychological barriers in the Forex market
Represent massive institutional, long-term price zones
Extremely important for position traders, swing traders, and macro analysis
Used by hedge funds, banks, and large liquidity providers for major order placement
Ideal for identifying long-term support/resistance, trend reversals, and market structure shifts
Default color: Purple (highest, macro-level importance)
🔴 100-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1000, 1.1100, 1.1200 | USD/JPY: 150.00, 151.00, 152.00)
The most significant psychological barriers in Forex trading
Major round numbers where institutional traders place large orders
Strongest support and resistance zones with highest reaction probability
Essential for swing trading and position trading strategies
Default color: Red (highest importance)
🟠 50-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1050, 1.1150, 1.1250 | USD/JPY: 150.50, 151.50, 152.50)
Secondary psychological levels positioned midway between 100-pip levels
Important intermediate zones for profit-taking and order clustering
Highly effective for day trading strategies
Reliable targets for partial profit exits
Default color: Orange (medium-high importance)
🔵 25-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1025, 1.1075, 1.1125 | USD/JPY: 150.25, 150.75, 151.25)
Quartile levels providing granular market structure
Perfect for scalping and short-term trading approaches
Excellent confluence zones with technical indicators
Ideal for tight stop-loss placement
Default color: Blue (medium importance)
🟢 10-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1010, 1.1020, 1.1030 | USD/JPY: 150.10, 150.20, 150.30)
Most detailed psychological levels for precision trading
Optimal for micro scalping and high-frequency strategies
Provides fine-grained market structure analysis
Useful for optimizing entry and exit timing
Default color: Green (detailed analysis)
⚙️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS:
Color Settings (Individual for Each Level):
Zone Color - Customize fill color with adjustable transparency
Line Color - Set center line color independently
Default color scheme uses traffic light logic (Purple → Red → Orange → Blue → Green)
Zone Width Settings (Separate for Each Level):
1000-pip Levels: Default 15 pips (widest zones for long-term significance)
100-pip Levels: Default 8 pips (wider zones for major levels)
50-pip Levels: Default 5 pips (medium zones)
25-pip Levels: Default 3 pips (smaller zones)
10-pip Levels: Default 2 pips (narrowest zones for precision)
Display Settings:
Line Style: Choose between Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Line Thickness: Adjustable from 1 to 5 pixels
Level Selection: Toggle each level type on/off independently
💡 TRADING APPLICATIONS:
📈 Support & Resistance Identification
Instantly recognize where price is likely to react
Identify key reversal zones before they occur
Combine with price action for high-probability setups
🎯 Optimal Entry & Exit Points
Enter trades at psychological support/resistance
Set realistic profit targets at the next psychological level
Improve win rate by trading with market psychology
🛡️ Strategic Stop-Loss Placement
Position stops just beyond psychological levels to avoid stop hunts
Reduce premature stop-outs by understanding where others place stops
Protect profits by moving stops to psychological levels
💰 Profit Target Optimization
Set take-profit orders at psychological levels where profit-taking occurs
Scale out positions at multiple psychological levels
Maximize gains by understanding where demand/supply shifts
📊 Breakout Trading
Identify when price decisively breaks through major psychological barriers
Trade momentum when psychological levels are breached
Confirm breakouts using multiple level types as confluence
⚖️ Risk Management Enhancement
Calculate better risk-reward ratios using psychological levels
Size positions based on distance to next psychological level
Improve overall trading consistency
🔬 WHY PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS WORK:
Psychological levels are self-fulfilling prophecies in financial markets. Because thousands of traders worldwide monitor the same round numbers, these levels naturally attract significant order flow:
Order Clustering: Pending buy/sell orders accumulate at round numbers
Profit Taking: Traders instinctively close positions at psychological levels
Stop Hunts: Market makers often push price to psychological levels to trigger stops
Institutional Activity: Banks and funds use round numbers for large order placement
Pattern Recognition: Human brains naturally gravitate toward simple, round numbers
📋 TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS:
✓ Pine Script Version 6 (latest)
✓ Compatible with all Forex pairs (majors, minors, exotics)
✓ Works on all timeframes (M1 to Monthly)
✓ Automatic JPY pair detection and adjustment
✓ Maximum 500 lines and 500 boxes for optimal performance
✓ Levels extend infinitely across the chart
✓ No repainting - levels are fixed once drawn
✓ Efficient calculation prevents performance issues
✓ Clean visualization without chart clutter
👥 IDEAL FOR:
Day Traders: Use 100-pip and 50-pip levels for intraday setups
Swing Traders: Focus on major 100-pip levels for multi-day positions
Scalpers: Enable 25-pip and 10-pip levels for precision entries
Position Traders: Use 100-pip levels for long-term support/resistance analysis
Beginner Traders: Learn to recognize important market structure easily
Algorithm Developers: Incorporate psychological levels into automated strategies
🚀 HOW TO USE:
Add the indicator to any Forex chart
Select which level types you want to display (100, 50, 25, 10)
Customize colors to match your chart theme
Adjust zone widths based on your trading style and timeframe
Choose line style (solid, dashed, or dotted)
Watch for price reactions at the highlighted psychological zones
Use the levels to plan entries, exits, and stop-loss placement
💎 BEST PRACTICES:
✓ Combine with candlestick patterns for confirmation signals
✓ Wait for price action confirmation before entering trades
✓ Use multiple timeframes to identify the most significant levels
✓ Disable 10-pip levels on higher timeframes to reduce visual noise
✓ Enable only 100-pip levels for clean, uncluttered analysis on Daily/Weekly charts
✓ Adjust zone widths based on pair volatility (wider for volatile pairs)
✓ Use color coding to instantly recognize level importance
⚡ PERFORMANCE OPTIMIZED:
This indicator is engineered for maximum efficiency:
Smart calculation only within visible price range
Duplicate prevention system avoids overlapping levels
Optimized loops with early break conditions
Extended coverage (500 bars) without performance degradation
Handles thousands of levels across all timeframes smoothly
🎨 VISUAL DESIGN:
The default color scheme follows intuitive importance levels:
Purple (1000-pip): Macro-level, highest significance
Red (100-pip): Highest importance - major barriers
Orange (50-pip): Medium-high importance - secondary levels
Blue (25-pip): Medium importance - tertiary levels
Green (10-pip): Detailed analysis - precision levels
This traffic-light inspired system allows instant visual recognition of level significance.
📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE:
Beyond being a trading tool, this indicator serves as an excellent educational resource for understanding market psychology and how professional traders think. It visually demonstrates where the "crowd" is likely to place orders, helping you develop better market intuition.
🔄 CONTINUOUS UPDATES:
This indicator displays levels dynamically based on the current price range, ensuring you always see relevant psychological levels no matter where price moves on the chart.
✨ WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR UNIQUE:
Unlike simple horizontal line indicators, this advanced tool offers:
Individual customization for each level type (colors, widths)
Automatic currency pair detection and adjustment
Visual zones (not just lines) for better support/resistance visualization
Extended coverage ensuring levels are always visible
Professional color-coding system for instant level importance recognition
Performance-optimized for handling hundreds of levels simultaneously
⭐ PERFECT FOR ALL TRADING STYLES:
Whether you're a conservative position trader looking at weekly charts or an aggressive scalper on 1-minute timeframes, this indicator adapts to your needs. Simply enable the appropriate level types and adjust the visualization to match your strategy.
Transform your Forex trading with professional-grade psychological level analysis. Add this indicator to your chart today and start trading with the market psychology on your side!
Psychological levelsADVANCED PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS - PROFESSIONAL FOREX INDICATOR
This highly customizable indicator automatically identifies and visualizes all major psychological price levels across any Forex chart. Psychological levels represent critical price zones where traders naturally congregate their orders due to human psychology's attraction to round numbers. These levels consistently act as powerful support and resistance zones in the market.
🎯 KEY FEATURES:
✅ Four Distinct Level Types - Choose from 100-pip, 50-pip, 25-pip, and 10-pip psychological levels
✅ Individual Color Customization - Each level type has its own customizable zone and line colors
✅ Separate Zone Width Control - Adjust zone width independently for each level type
✅ Universal Forex Compatibility - Automatically adapts to JPY pairs and all other currency pairs
✅ Extended Coverage - Displays levels far beyond the visible chart area for comprehensive analysis
✅ Fixed Positioning - Levels remain stationary when scrolling or zooming
✅ Fully Customizable Styling - Choose between solid, dashed, or dotted line styles
📊 LEVEL TYPES EXPLAINED:
🔴 100-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1000, 1.1100, 1.1200 | USD/JPY: 150.00, 151.00, 152.00)
The most significant psychological barriers in Forex trading
Major round numbers where institutional traders place large orders
Strongest support and resistance zones with highest reaction probability
Essential for swing trading and position trading strategies
Default color: Red (highest importance)
🟠 50-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1050, 1.1150, 1.1250 | USD/JPY: 150.50, 151.50, 152.50)
Secondary psychological levels positioned midway between 100-pip levels
Important intermediate zones for profit-taking and order clustering
Highly effective for day trading strategies
Reliable targets for partial profit exits
Default color: Orange (medium-high importance)
🔵 25-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1025, 1.1075, 1.1125 | USD/JPY: 150.25, 150.75, 151.25)
Quartile levels providing granular market structure
Perfect for scalping and short-term trading approaches
Excellent confluence zones with technical indicators
Ideal for tight stop-loss placement
Default color: Blue (medium importance)
🟢 10-pip Levels (e.g., EUR/USD: 1.1010, 1.1020, 1.1030 | USD/JPY: 150.10, 150.20, 150.30)
Most detailed psychological levels for precision trading
Optimal for micro scalping and high-frequency strategies
Provides fine-grained market structure analysis
Useful for optimizing entry and exit timing
Default color: Green (detailed analysis)
⚙️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS:
Color Settings (Individual for Each Level):
Zone Color - Customize fill color with adjustable transparency
Line Color - Set center line color independently
Default color scheme uses traffic light logic (Red → Orange → Blue → Green)
Zone Width Settings (Separate for Each Level):
100-pip Levels: Default 10 pips (wider zones for major levels)
50-pip Levels: Default 7 pips (medium zones)
25-pip Levels: Default 5 pips (smaller zones)
10-pip Levels: Default 3 pips (narrowest zones for precision)
Display Settings:
Line Style: Choose between Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Line Thickness: Adjustable from 1 to 5 pixels
Level Selection: Toggle each level type on/off independently
💡 TRADING APPLICATIONS:
📈 Support & Resistance Identification
Instantly recognize where price is likely to react
Identify key reversal zones before they occur
Combine with price action for high-probability setups
🎯 Optimal Entry & Exit Points
Enter trades at psychological support/resistance
Set realistic profit targets at the next psychological level
Improve win rate by trading with market psychology
🛡️ Strategic Stop-Loss Placement
Position stops just beyond psychological levels to avoid stop hunts
Reduce premature stop-outs by understanding where others place stops
Protect profits by moving stops to psychological levels
💰 Profit Target Optimization
Set take-profit orders at psychological levels where profit-taking occurs
Scale out positions at multiple psychological levels
Maximize gains by understanding where demand/supply shifts
📊 Breakout Trading
Identify when price decisively breaks through major psychological barriers
Trade momentum when psychological levels are breached
Confirm breakouts using multiple level types as confluence
⚖️ Risk Management Enhancement
Calculate better risk-reward ratios using psychological levels
Size positions based on distance to next psychological level
Improve overall trading consistency
🔬 WHY PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS WORK:
Psychological levels are self-fulfilling prophecies in financial markets. Because thousands of traders worldwide monitor the same round numbers, these levels naturally attract significant order flow:
Order Clustering: Pending buy/sell orders accumulate at round numbers
Profit Taking: Traders instinctively close positions at psychological levels
Stop Hunts: Market makers often push price to psychological levels to trigger stops
Institutional Activity: Banks and funds use round numbers for large order placement
Pattern Recognition: Human brains naturally gravitate toward simple, round numbers
📋 TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS:
✓ Pine Script Version 6 (latest)
✓ Compatible with all Forex pairs (majors, minors, exotics)
✓ Works on all timeframes (M1 to Monthly)
✓ Automatic JPY pair detection and adjustment
✓ Maximum 500 lines and 500 boxes for optimal performance
✓ Levels extend infinitely across the chart
✓ No repainting - levels are fixed once drawn
✓ Efficient calculation prevents performance issues
✓ Clean visualization without chart clutter
👥 IDEAL FOR:
Day Traders: Use 100-pip and 50-pip levels for intraday setups
Swing Traders: Focus on major 100-pip levels for multi-day positions
Scalpers: Enable 25-pip and 10-pip levels for precision entries
Position Traders: Use 100-pip levels for long-term support/resistance analysis
Beginner Traders: Learn to recognize important market structure easily
Algorithm Developers: Incorporate psychological levels into automated strategies
🚀 HOW TO USE:
Add the indicator to any Forex chart
Select which level types you want to display (100, 50, 25, 10)
Customize colors to match your chart theme
Adjust zone widths based on your trading style and timeframe
Choose line style (solid, dashed, or dotted)
Watch for price reactions at the highlighted psychological zones
Use the levels to plan entries, exits, and stop-loss placement
💎 BEST PRACTICES:
✓ Combine with candlestick patterns for confirmation signals
✓ Wait for price action confirmation before entering trades
✓ Use multiple timeframes to identify the most significant levels
✓ Disable 10-pip levels on higher timeframes to reduce visual noise
✓ Enable only 100-pip levels for clean, uncluttered analysis on Daily/Weekly charts
✓ Adjust zone widths based on pair volatility (wider for volatile pairs)
✓ Use color coding to instantly recognize level importance
⚡ PERFORMANCE OPTIMIZED:
This indicator is engineered for maximum efficiency:
Smart calculation only within visible price range
Duplicate prevention system avoids overlapping levels
Optimized loops with early break conditions
Extended coverage (500 bars) without performance degradation
Handles thousands of levels across all timeframes smoothly
🎨 VISUAL DESIGN:
The default color scheme follows intuitive importance levels:
Red (100-pip): Highest importance - major barriers
Orange (50-pip): Medium-high importance - secondary levels
Blue (25-pip): Medium importance - tertiary levels
Green (10-pip): Detailed analysis - precision levels
This traffic-light inspired system allows instant visual recognition of level significance.
📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE:
Beyond being a trading tool, this indicator serves as an excellent educational resource for understanding market psychology and how professional traders think. It visually demonstrates where the "crowd" is likely to place orders, helping you develop better market intuition.
🔄 CONTINUOUS UPDATES:
This indicator displays levels dynamically based on the current price range, ensuring you always see relevant psychological levels no matter where price moves on the chart.
✨ WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR UNIQUE:
Unlike simple horizontal line indicators, this advanced tool offers:
Individual customization for each level type (colors, widths)
Automatic currency pair detection and adjustment
Visual zones (not just lines) for better support/resistance visualization
Extended coverage ensuring levels are always visible
Professional color-coding system for instant level importance recognition
Performance-optimized for handling hundreds of levels simultaneously
⭐ PERFECT FOR ALL TRADING STYLES:
Whether you're a conservative position trader looking at weekly charts or an aggressive scalper on 1-minute timeframes, this indicator adapts to your needs. Simply enable the appropriate level types and adjust the visualization to match your strategy.
The Oracle: Dip & Top Adaptive Sniper [Hakan Yorganci]█ OVERVIEW
The Oracle: Dip & Top Adaptive Sniper is a precision-focused trend trading strategy designed to solve the biggest problem in swing trading: Timing.
Most trend-following strategies chase price ("FOMO"), buying when the asset is already overextended. The Oracle takes a different approach. It adopts a "Sniper" mentality: it identifies a strong macro trend but patiently waits for a Mean Reversion (pullback) to execute an entry at a discounted price.
By combining the structural strength of Moving Averages (SMA 50/200) with the momentum precision of RSI and the volatility filtering of ADX, this script filters out noise and targets high-probability setups.
█ HOW IT WORKS
This strategy operates on a strictly algorithmic protocol known as "The Yorganci Protocol," which involves three distinct phases: Filter, Target, and Execute.
1. The Macro Filter (Trend Identification)
* SMA 200 Rule: By default, the strategy only scans for buy signals when the price is trading above the 200-period Simple Moving Average. This ensures we are always trading in the direction of the long-term bull market.
* Adaptive Switch: A new feature allows users to toggle the Only Buy Above SMA 200? filter OFF. This enables the strategy to hunt for oversold bounces (dead cat bounces) even during bearish or neutral market structures.
2. The Volatility Filter (ADX Integration)
* Sideways Protection: One of the main weaknesses of moving average strategies is "whipsaw" losses during choppy, ranging markets.
* Solution: The Oracle utilizes the ADX (Average Directional Index). It will BLOCK any trade entry if the ADX is below the threshold (Default: 20). This ensures capital is only deployed when a genuine trend is present.
3. The Sniper Entry (Buying the Dip)
* Instead of buying on breakout strength (e.g., RSI > 60), The Oracle waits for the RSI Moving Average to dip into the "Value Zone" (Default: 45) and cross back up. This technique allows for tighter stops and higher Risk/Reward ratios compared to traditional breakout systems.
█ EXIT STRATEGY
The Oracle employs a dynamic dual-exit mechanism to maximize gains and protect capital:
* Take Profit (The Peak): The strategy monitors RSI heat. When the RSI Moving Average breaches the Overbought Threshold (Default: 75), it signals a "Take Profit", securing gains near the local top before a potential reversal.
* Stop Loss (Trend Invalidated): If the market structure fails and the price closes below the 50-period SMA, the position is immediately closed to prevent deep drawdowns.
█ SETTINGS & CONFIGURATION
* Moving Averages: Fully customizable lengths for Support (SMA 50) and Trend (SMA 200).
* Trend Filter: Checkbox to enable/disable the "Bull Market Only" rule.
* RSI Thresholds:
* Sniper Buy Level: Adjustable (Default: 45). Lower values = Deeper dips, fewer trades.
* Peak Sell Level: Adjustable (Default: 75). Higher values = Longer holds, potentially higher profit.
* ADX Filter: Checkbox to enable/disable volatility filtering.
█ BEST PRACTICES
* Timeframe: Designed primarily for 4H (4-Hour) charts for swing trading. It can also be used on 1H for more frequent signals.
* Assets: Highly effective on trending assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and high-volume Altcoins.
* Risk Warning: This strategy is designed for "Long Only" spot or leverage trading. Always use proper risk management.
█ CREDITS
* Original Concept: Inspired by the foundational work of Murat Besiroglu (@muratkbesiroglu).
* Algorithm Development & Enhancements: Developed by Hakan Yorganci (@hknyrgnc).
* Modifications include: Integration of ADX filters, Mean Reversion entry logic (RSI Dip), and Dynamic Peak Profit taking.
Trendshift [CHE] StrategyTrendshift Strategy — First-Shift Structural Regime Trading
Profitfactor 2,603
Summary
Trendshift Strategy implements a structural regime-shift trading model built around the earliest confirmed change in directional structure. It identifies major swing highs and lows, validates breakouts through optional ATR-based conviction, and reacts only to the first confirmed shift in each direction. After a regime reversal, the strategy constructs a premium and discount band between the breakout candle and the previous opposite swing. This band is used as contextual bias and may optionally inform stop placement and position sizing.
The strategy focuses on clear, interpretable structural events rather than continuous signal generation. By limiting entries to the first valid shift, it reduces false recycles and allows the structural state to stabilize before a new trade occurs. All signals operate on closed-bar logic, and the strategy avoids higher-timeframe calls to stabilize execution behavior.
Motivation: Why this design?
Many structure-based systems repeatedly trigger as price fluctuates around prior highs and lows. This often leads to multiple flips during volatile or choppy conditions. Trendshift Strategy addresses this problem by restricting execution to the first confirmed structural event in each direction. ATR-based filters help differentiate genuine structural breaks from noise, while the contextual band ensures that the breakout is meaningful in relation to recent volatility.
The design aims to represent a minimalistic structural trading framework focused on regime turns rather than continuous trend signaling. This reduces chart noise and clarifies where the market transitions from one regime to another.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Baseline reference
Typical swing-based structure indicators report every break above or below recent swing points.
Architecture differences
First-shift-only regime logic that blocks repeated signals until direction reverses
ATR-filtered validation to avoid weak or momentum-less breaks
Premium and discount bands derived from breakout structure
Optional band-driven stop placement
Optional band-dependent position-sizing factor
Regime timeout system to neutralize structure after extended inactivity
Persistent-state architecture to prevent re-triggering
Practical effect
Only the earliest actionable structure change is traded
Fewer but higher-quality signals
Premium/discount tint assists contextual evaluation
Stops and sizing can be aligned with structural context rather than arbitrary volatility measures
Improved chart interpretability due to reduced marker frequency
How it works (technical)
The algorithm evaluates symmetric swing points using a fixed bar window. When a swing forms, its value and bar index are stored as persistent state. A structural shift occurs when price closes beyond the most recent major swing on the opposite side. If ATR filtering is enabled, the breakout must exceed a volatility-scaled distance to prevent micro-breaks from firing.
Once a valid shift is confirmed, the regime is updated to bullish or bearish. The script records the breakout level, the opposite swing, and derives a band between them. This band is checked for minimum size relative to ATR to avoid unrealistic contexts.
The first shift in a new direction generates both the strategy entry and a visual marker. Additional shifts in the same direction are suppressed until a reversal occurs. If a timeout is enabled, the regime resets after a specified number of bars without structural change, optionally clearing the band.
Stop placement, if enabled, uses either the opposite or same band edge depending on configuration. Position size is computed from account percentage and may optionally scale with the price-span-to-ATR relationship.
Parameter Guide
Market Structure
Swing length (default 5): Controls swing sensitivity. Lower values increase responsiveness.
Use ATR filter (default true): Requires breakouts to show momentum relative to ATR. Reduces false shifts.
ATR length (default 14): Volatility estimation for breakout and band validation.
Break ATR multiplier (default 1.0): Required breakout strength relative to ATR.
Premium/Discount Framework
Enable framework (default true): Activates premium/discount evaluation.
Persist band on timeout (default true): Keeps structural band after timeout.
Min band ATR mult (default 0.5): Rejects narrow bands.
Regime timeout bars (default 500): Neutralizes regime after inactivity.
Invert colors (default false): Color scheme toggle.
Visuals
Show zone tint (default true): Background shade in premium or discount region.
Show shift markers (default true): Display first-shift markers.
Execution and Risk
Risk per trade percent (default 1.0): Determines position size as account percentage.
Use band for size (default false): Scales size relative to band width behavior.
Flat on opposite shift (default true): Forces reversal behavior.
Use stop at band (default false): Stop anchored to band edges.
Stop band side: Chooses which band edge is used for stop generation.
Reading & Interpretation
A green background indicates discount conditions within the structural band; red indicates premium conditions. A green triangle below price marks the first bullish structural shift after a bearish regime. A red triangle above price marks the first bearish structural shift after a bullish regime.
When stops are active, the opposite band edge typically defines the protective level. Band width relative to ATR indicates how significant a structural change is: wider bands imply stronger volatility structure, while narrow bands may be suppressed by the minimum-size filter.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Use first-shift entries as initial regime confirmation. Add higher-timeframe trend filters for additional context.
Swing trading: Combine with simple liquidity or fair-value-gap concepts to refine entries.
Bias mapping: Use higher timeframes for structural regime and lower timeframes for execution within the premium/discount context.
Exit management: When using stops, consider ATR-scaling or multi-stage profit targets. When not using stops, reversals become the primary exit.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
The strategy uses only confirmed swings and closed-bar logic, avoiding intrabar repaint. Pivot-based swings inherently appear after the pivot window completes, which is standard behavior. No higher-timeframe calls are used, preventing HTF-related repaint issues.
Persistent variables track regime and structural levels, minimizing recomputation. The maximum bars back setting is five-thousand. The design avoids loops and arrays, keeping performance stable.
Known limitations include limited signal density during consolidations, delayed swing confirmation, and sensitivity to extreme gaps that stretch band logic. ATR filtering mitigates some of these effects but does not eliminate them entirely.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Fewer but stronger entries: Increase swing length or ATR breakout multiplier.
More responsive entries: Reduce swing length to capture earlier shifts.
More active band behavior: Lower the minimum band ATR threshold.
Stricter stop logic: Use the opposite band edge for stop placement.
Volatile markets: Increase ATR length slightly to stabilize behavior.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
Trendshift Strategy is a structural-regime trading engine that evaluates major directional shifts. It is not a complete trading system and does not include take-profit logic or prediction features. It does not attempt to forecast future price movement and should be used alongside broader market structure, volatility context, and disciplined risk management.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Morning ORB FVG Trigger✅ Overview
Morning ORB FVG Trigger is a complete intraday trading framework built around:
A Morning Opening Range Breakout (ORB)
The first Fair Value Gap (FVG) after that breakout
Strict risk management and position sizing
Optional HTF trend filter (Daily / Weekly / Monthly)
Optional Daily ATR filter to avoid extreme days
The script is designed for futures / indices / FX on intraday charts up to 15 minutes and for traders who want a clean, mechanical entry framework with clear risk.
🧠 Core idea
Define a morning opening range (e.g. 09:30–09:45).
Wait for a clean breakout above/below that range.
After the breakout, wait for the first FVG in breakout direction,
confirmed by the next candle (no immediate full reclaim).
Use a chosen stop logic + R:R factor to build risk/reward boxes.
Calculate position size based on your account risk.
(Optional) Only take trades:
In the direction of the HTF EMA trend (D/W/M).
On days where the morning range is within a band of the Daily ATR.
You can also disable all signals/boxes and use the script just as a visual ORB tool.
⏰ 1. ORB / Morning Range
Inputs (Main section)
Morning Range Session
Time window of the opening range in exchange time
Example: 09:30–09:45 for a 15-minute ORB.
You can type custom ranges (e.g. 09:30–09:35 for a 5-minute ORB).
Risk/Reward (TP factor)
Multiplier for the take-profit distance relative to the stop.
2.0 = TP is 2× the stop distance
1.5 = TP is 1.5× the stop distance
Show ORB range
If enabled, draws:
ORB high/low lines
ORB labels (e.g. 15min ORB high / low)
Optional midline
Extend ORB lines to the right (bars)
How many bars to extend the ORB high/low horizontally beyond the ORB itself.
Trade box width (bars)
Horizontal width (in bars) of:
Red risk box (entry–stop)
Green reward box (entry–TP)
Implementation details
The ORB is always calculated on 1-minute data internally, so it stays precise even on 5m/15m charts.
The script only works on intraday timeframes up to 15 minutes.
📦 2. FVG Block
Group: “FVG”
Threshold %
Minimum size of an FVG in % of price.
0 = every FVG
Higher values = only larger gaps
Auto threshold (from volatility)
If enabled, the minimum FVG size is derived from historical volatility
instead of a fixed percentage.
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB
Off (default): the FVG must lie fully outside the ORB.
On: the breakout FVG itself may still overlap the ORB a bit,
as long as it is the first one attached to the breakout move.
Enable FVG entry signals, boxes & alerts
On: full system – FVG detection, entry labels, risk/TP boxes, alerts.
Off: no entries, no risk/TP boxes, no alerts.
You only get the ORB and (optionally) the HTF dashboard, so you can trade your own setups.
Entry mode
Entry mode (Mid / Edge / NextOpen)
Mid – Entry at the midpoint of the FVG.
Edge – Long at the upper FVG edge, short at the lower FVG edge.
NextOpen – No limit order in the gap. Entry is placed at the next bar open after FVG confirmation.
Edge offset (ticks)
Additional offset for Edge entries:
Long:
+ticks = a bit above the FVG (more conservative)
-ticks = deeper into the FVG (more aggressive)
Short:
+ticks = a bit below the FVG
-ticks = deeper into the FVG
FVG detection logic
Uses a LuxAlgo-style 3-candle FVG pattern (gap between candle 1 and 3).
Only one FVG is taken: the first valid FVG after the ORB breakout in breakup direction.
The FVG candle is the middle bar; the script:
Detects the FVG on the previous bar.
Waits for the current bar to confirm it:
Bullish: current low must stay above the lower FVG boundary
Bearish: current high must stay below the upper FVG boundary
Only then an entry signal is generated.
🛑 3. Stop Logic
Group: “Stop Logic”
Stop mode (PrevBar / Pivot / FVG Candle)
PrevBar – Stop at the low/high of the candle before the FVG
(tight/aggressive).
FVG Candle – Stop at the low/high of the FVG candle itself
(medium).
Pivot – Stop at the most recent swing high/low
using pivotLeft / pivotRight pivots (more conservative).
Ticks (stop buffer)
Offset (in ticks) from the selected stop level.
> 0 = further away (more room, more risk)
< 0 = closer (tighter stop)
Pivot left / Pivot right
Number of candles left/right to define a swing high/low
when using Pivot stop mode.
Typical intraday values: 2–3.
The script also sanity-checks the stop:
if the calculated stop would be invalid (e.g. above entry in a long), it moves it by a minimal distance (2 ticks) to keep a valid risk.
📈 4. HTF Trend Filter (Daily / Weekly / Monthly)
Group: “HTF Trend Filter”
Enable HTF trend filter
If enabled, trades are only allowed:
Long when at least 2 of D/W/M closes are above their EMA
Short when at least 2 of D/W/M closes are below their EMA
EMA length (D/W/M)
EMA length for all three higher timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly).
This helps focus entries in the direction of the dominant higher-timeframe trend.
📊 5. ATR Filter (Daily)
Group: “ATR Filter (Daily)”
Use daily ATR filter
If enabled, the height of the ORB (ORB high – ORB low) must be within
a band of the Daily ATR to allow any signals.
Daily ATR length
ATR period on the Daily timeframe.
Min ORB size vs ATR
Lower bound:
Example: 0.3 → ORB must be at least 0.3 × Daily ATR
0.0 = no minimum.
Max ORB size vs ATR
Upper bound:
Example: 1.5 → ORB must be ≤ 1.5 × Daily ATR
0.0 = no maximum.
If the ORB is too small (choppy) or too large (exhausted move), no breakout or FVG signal will be generated on that day.
🧭 6. HTF Dashboard & Signal Labels
Group: “HTF Trend Dashboard”
Show HTF dashboard
Draws a small label at the top of the chart showing:
HTF Trend (EMA X)
D: UP/FLAT/DOWN
W: UP/FLAT/DOWN
M: UP/FLAT/DOWN
Dashboard position
Top Right, Top Center, Top Left – places the dashboard at the top.
Over Risk Info – no top dashboard; instead, the HTF trend info is shown as a label near the risk box when a new signal appears.
Lookback (bars) for top anchor
How many bars to use to determine the top price level for dashboard placement.
Show HTF trend above risk box on signal
Only relevant if Dashboard position = Over Risk Info.
When enabled, a small HTF label appears near the risk box for each new trade.
Signal label vertical offset (ticks)
Vertical spacing between risk info label and HTF label.
Minimum spacing HTF/Risk (ticks)
Ensures a minimum vertical distance so the two labels don’t overlap.
HTF signal label X offset (bars)
Horizontal offset (left/right) relative to the risk info label.
⏳ 7. ORB–FVG Filters (Session & Time Window)
Group: “ORB FVG Filter”
Only same session day
If enabled, FVG entries are only allowed on the same calendar day
as the ORB. When the date changes, all state & drawings are reset.
Limit hours after ORB
Enables a time window after the ORB end.
Trading window after ORB (hours)
Length of that window in hours.
Example: 2.0 → FVG signals only in the first 2 hours after ORB end.
💰 8. Risk Management & Position Sizing
Group: “Risk Management”
Calculate position size
If enabled, the script computes suggested mini and micro contract size for you.
Account size
Your trading account size (in account currency).
Risk mode
Percent – risk is a % of account size (Account risk %).
Fixed amount – risk is a fixed dollar amount (Fixed risk ($)).
Account risk %
Risk per trade as a percentage of account size (e.g. 1.0 for 1%).
Fixed risk ($)
Fixed risk per trade in dollars when using Fixed amount mode.
Micro factor (vs mini)
How much a micro contract is worth relative to a mini.
Example:
0.1 → one micro moves 1/10 of one mini.
Risk Info label
For each new trade, a label is shown above the boxes with:
Stop distance in price and $ risk per mini
Max risk allowed for the trade
Suggested mini and micro size
Text like:
Suggested: 2 mini
Suggested: 5 micro
or Suggested: no trade
This makes the script especially useful for prop-firm rules or strict risk discipline.
🎨 9. Visual Style (Boxes, Labels, ORB Lines)
Group: “Box & Label Style (Trade)”
Label font size (Very small, Small, Normal, Large)
Entry label BG / text color
Stop label BG / text color
TP label BG / text color
Risk info BG / text color
Risk box color (entry–stop zone)
Reward box color (entry–TP zone)
Group: “ORB Style”
ORB high line color
ORB low line color
ORB line width
ORB label font size
ORB label background color
ORB label text color
Show ORB midline
ORB midline color / width / style (Solid / Dashed / Dotted)
⚠️ 10. Alerts
Group: “Alerts”
The script defines three alert conditions:
Long entry FVG breakout
Triggered when a new long signal appears.
Short entry FVG breakout
Triggered when a new short signal appears.
FVG entry (long/short)
Generic alert for any new signal (long or short).
To use them:
Add the indicator to the chart.
Open the Alerts dialog → “Condition”.
Select this script and one of the alert conditions.
Set your preferred expiration and notification settings.
Alerts only fire when Enable FVG entry signals, boxes & alerts is on.
🧩 11. How the trading logic flows (summary)
Build ORB on 1-minute data during the selected session.
Optionally reject the day if ORB is outside the ATR bounds.
Wait for a breakout (close above high or below low), respecting HTF trend filter.
After breakout, look for the first valid FVG in that direction:
Outside the ORB (unless breakout FVG allowed inside)
Confirmed by the next candle (no full reclaim)
Once confirmed:
Compute entry, stop, target.
Draw risk/reward boxes and all labels.
Optionally show HTF signal label over the risk info.
Trigger alerts if enabled.
If you disable FVG signals, only steps 1–3 (plus dashboard) are effectively active.
⚠️ 12. Notes & Disclaimer
Script is intended for intraday trading up to 15-minute timeframes.
All signals are mechanical and do not guarantee profitability.
Always backtest and forward-test on your own data before risking real money.
This script is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
🚀 Quick-start guide
Add the script to your chart
Use an intraday timeframe ≤ 15 minutes (1m, 3m, 5m, 15m).
Works best on liquid indices, futures, FX and large-cap stocks.
Set the Morning Range
In “Morning Range Session” choose the exchange’s opening window.
Examples
US index futures (CME): 08:30–08:45 or 08:30–08:35
US stocks (NYSE/Nasdaq): 09:30–09:45 or 09:30–09:35
The ORB is always calculated on 1-minute data internally, so the range stays accurate on higher intraday charts.
Keep the default filters at first
HTF Trend Filter: ON
EMA length = 20
This will only allow trades in the direction of the dominant D/W/M trend.
ATR Filter: OFF (optional; you can enable later once you’re comfortable).
Use the full trade system
In the FVG group leave
“Enable FVG entry signals, boxes & alerts” = ON
Entry mode: Mid
Stop mode: FVG Candle or PrevBar
Risk/Reward: 2.0 as a starting point.
Set your risk
Turn on “Calculate position size”.
Enter your Account size and choose either:
Risk mode = Percent (e.g. 1.0 = 1% per trade), or
Risk mode = Fixed amount (e.g. $250 per trade).
The risk info label will show:
Stop distance in price and $/contract
Max allowed risk
Suggested mini and micro contract size.
Enable alerts (optional)
Open the Alerts dialog → Condition: this script.
Choose one of:
Long entry FVG breakout
Short entry FVG breakout
FVG entry (long/short)
Choose “Once per bar” or “Once per bar close”, and your preferred notification type.
Replay & journal
Use the TradingView bar replay tool to step through past days.
Focus on:
How the ORB defines the structure.
How the first confirmed FVG outside the ORB behaves.
Whether the risk/TP levels fit your own style and product.
🎛 Recommended settings & profiles
These are starting points, not rules. Always adapt to the instrument and your own risk tolerance.
1. Conservative / Trend-following
Timeframe: 5m or 15m
Morning Range Session: 15-minute ORB around the cash or futures open
FVG
Threshold %: 0.05–0.1 (filter out very small gaps)
Auto threshold: OFF (keep it simple)
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB: OFF
Enable FVG entry signals/boxes/alerts: ON
Entry mode: Mid
Stop Logic
Stop mode: Pivot
Pivot left/right: 2–3
Stop buffer: +1–2 ticks
HTF Trend Filter
Enabled: ON
EMA length: 20
ATR Filter
Enabled: ON
Daily ATR length: 14
Min ORB vs ATR: 0.3–0.4
Max ORB vs ATR: 1.2–1.5
Risk Management
Risk mode: Percent
Account risk: 0.5–1.0%
Idea: Only trade when the higher-timeframe trend supports the move and the opening range is of a “normal” size for the current volatility.
2. Balanced / Intraday directional
Timeframe: 3m or 5m
FVG
Threshold %: 0.02–0.05
Auto threshold: ON (lets the script adapt to volatility)
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB: ON
(first breakout FVG may partly sit inside the ORB)
Entry mode: Edge
Edge offset (ticks): 0 or +1
Stop Logic
Stop mode: FVG Candle
Stop buffer: 0–1 ticks
HTF Trend Filter
Enabled: ON
ATR Filter
Enabled: OFF (optional)
Risk Management
Risk mode: Percent
Account risk: 1.0–1.5% (if this fits your plan)
Idea: Slightly more aggressive entries at the gap edge, still aligned with HTF trend, but with more flexibility on ATR.
3. Aggressive / Scalping around the ORB
Timeframe: 1m or 3m
FVG
Threshold %: 0.0–0.02
Auto threshold: ON
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB: ON
Entry mode: NextOpen or Edge with a negative offset (deeper into the gap)
Stop Logic
Stop mode: PrevBar
Stop buffer: 0 or -1 tick
HTF Trend Filter
Enabled: OFF (or ON but treat as soft guidance)
ATR Filter
Enabled: OFF
Risk Management
Risk mode: Percent
Account risk: lower, e.g. 0.25–0.5% per trade
Idea: More trades and tighter stops. Best for experienced traders who understand the limitations of scalping and whipsaw risk.
Final reminder
All of these are templates, not guarantees:
Always check how the system behaves on your market and session.
Start on replay and demo before trading real money.
Adjust filters (HTF, ATR, thresholds) until the signals fit your personal approach.
Bassi's Consolidation Breakout — ULTIMATE PRO + VPOverview
Bassi’s Consolidation Breakout — ULTIMATE PRO + VP is a professional-grade breakout detection system that combines price structure, volume confirmation, volatility compression, and custom volume profile logic.
The indicator automatically detects compressed consolidation zones, confirms breakouts with multi-layer filters, and plots full trade setups including:
Entry level
Stop-loss
TP1, TP2, TP3 (R:R based)
Trend filters + MTF EMA
Retest validation
Volume Profile confirmation (POC / VAH / VAL)
This is one of the most complete breakout frameworks for TradingView.
🔍 Core Concept
The script detects tight consolidation boxes based on:
Price range (% compression)
Lookback period
Minimum required bars
Breakout above/below the box
Once the consolidation ends, breakout signals fire only if they pass all filters.
This focuses your trading on high-probability breakouts only.
🔥 Key Features
1️⃣ Automated Consolidation Box Detection
Draws consolidation boxes dynamically
Identifies tight range compression
Supports advanced range logic for high accuracy
2️⃣ Smart Breakout + Retest Engine
Breakouts and breakdowns require:
Structure break
Minimum breakout expansion (0.15%)
Volume confirmation
Trend (200 EMA) confirmation
Optional retest validation
Optional Volume Profile filter
Each valid breakout prints a signal + full trade setup.
3️⃣ Custom Volume Profile Engine
Fast and lightweight custom-built VP that calculates:
POC (Point of Control)
VAH (Value Area High)
VAL (Value Area Low)
These levels can optionally be used to filter weak breakouts.
4️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Trend Filter
Uses 200 EMA from any selected higher timeframe
Helps avoid counter-trend fakeouts
Fully optional
5️⃣ Automatic Trade Setup Projection
Each breakout generates:
Stop-loss (ATR × multiplier)
TP1 (R:R)
TP2 (R:R)
TP3 (optional)
Clean signal labels
Only keeps the last 2 signals to maintain clarity
6️⃣ Alerts Included
Alerts fire instantly when a valid breakout occurs:
“Bassi LONG + VP”
“Bassi SHORT + VP”
Alerts include ticker + entry price.
📘 Usage Guide & Trading Rules
✔ Recommended Trading Steps
1. Wait for a confirmed consolidation box
Box must be narrow
Must meet minimum bar requirement
2. Wait for a confirmed breakout signal
Signal requires:
Breakout above/below box
Volume confirmation
Trend & MTF confirmation if enabled
Optional retest
Optional VP filter (close outside VAH/VAL)
3. Follow the projected setup
The script prints:
Entry
SL
TP1 / TP2 / TP3
Target lines extend automatically.
📖 How to Use the Script (Trading Rules)
1️⃣ Long Entry Rules
Enter Long when:
Price breaks above trend confirmation level
Momentum signal turns bullish
Candle closes above trigger line
Volatility filter is satisfied
Exit Long:
TP1/TP2/TP3 levels
Reversal signal
Trailing stop hit
2️⃣ Short Entry Rules
Enter Short when:
Price breaks below trend confirmation level
Momentum signal turns bearish
Candle closes below trigger line
Volatility filter is satisfied
Exit Short:
TP1/TP2/TP3 levels
Trend reversal
Trailing stop hit
✔ Recommended Markets
Crypto
Forex
Indices
Futures
Stocks
Works on all timeframes from 1-minute to daily.
✔ Best Practice
Avoid taking signals against HTF trend
Prefer signals that break away from VAH/VAL
Use TP1 to secure partial profits
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 if desired
Always follow personal risk management
👤 Author
Created by: Mahdi Bassi
Professional trader & systems designer
Focused on structural, volume-based and volatility-based strategies.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only.
No indicator can guarantee profits.
Always use proper risk management and trade responsibly.
Session Open Range, Breakout & Trap Framework - TrendPredator OBSession Open Range, Breakout & Trap Framework — TrendPredator Open Box
Stacey Burke’s trading approach combines concepts from George Douglas Taylor, Tony Crabel, Steve Mauro, and Robert Schabacker. His framework focuses on reading price behaviour across daily templates and identifying how markets move through recurring cycles of expansion, contraction, and reversal. While effective, much of this analysis requires real-time interpretation of session-based behaviour, which can be demanding for traders working on lower intraday timeframes.
The TrendPredator indicators formalize parts of this methodology by introducing mechanical rules for multi-timeframe bias tracking and session structure analysis. They aim to present the key elements of the system—bias, breakouts, fakeouts, and range behaviour—in a consistent and objective way that reduces discretionary interpretation.
The Open Box indicator focuses specifically on the opening behaviour of major trading sessions. It builds on principles found in classical Open Range Breakout (ORB) techniques described by Tony Crabel, where a defined time window around the session open forms a structural reference range. Price behaviour relative to this range—breaking out, failing back inside, or expanding—can highlight developing session bias, potential trap formation, and directional conviction.
This indicator applies these concepts throughout the major equity sessions. It automatically maps the session’s initial range (“Open Box”) and tracks how price interacts with it as liquidity and volatility increase. It also incorporates related structural references such as:
* the first-hour high and low of the futures session
* the exact session open level
* an anchored VWAP starting at the session open
* automated expansion levels projected from the Open Box
In combination, these components provide a unified view of early session activity, including breakout attempts, fakeouts, VWAP reactions, and liquidity targeting. The Open Box offers a structured lens for observing how price transitions through the major sessions (Asia → London → New York) and how these behaviours relate to higher-timeframe bias defined in the broader TrendPredator framework.
Core Features
Open Box (Session Structure)
The indicator defines an initial session range beginning at the selected session open. This “Open Box” represents a fixed time window—commonly the first 30 minutes, or any user-defined duration—that serves as a structural reference for analysing early session behaviour.
The range highlights whether price remains inside the box, breaks out, or rejects the boundaries, providing a consistent foundation for interpreting early directional tendencies and recognising breakout, continuation, or fakeout characteristics.
How it works:
* At the session open, the indicator calculates the high and low over the specified time window.
* This range is plotted as the initial structure of the session.
* Price behaviour at the boundaries can illustrate emerging bias or potential trap formation.
* An optional secondary range (e.g., 15-minute high/low) can be enabled to capture early volatility with additional precision.
Inputs / Options:
* Session specifications (Tokyo, London, New York)
* Open Box start and end times (e.g., equity open + first 30 minutes, or any custom length)
* Open Box colour and label settings
* Formatting options for Open Box high and low lines
* Optional secondary range per session (e.g., 15-minute high/low)
* Forward extension of Open Box high/low lines
* Number of historic Open Boxes to display
Session VWAPs
The indicator plots VWAPs for each major trading session—Asia, London, and New York—anchored to their respective session opens. These session-specific VWAPs assist in tracking how value develops through the day and how price interacts with session-based volume distributions.
How it works:
* At each session open, a VWAP is anchored to the open price.
* The VWAP updates throughout the session as new volume and price data arrive.
* Deviations above or below the VWAP may indicate balance, imbalance, or directional control.
* Viewed together, session VWAPs help identify transitions in value across sessions.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable VWAP per session
* Adjustable anchor and end times (optionally to end of day)
* Line styling and label settings
* Number of historic VWAPs to draw
First Hour High/Low Extensions
The indicator marks the high and low formed during the first hour of each session. These reference points often function as early control levels and provide context for assessing whether the session is establishing bias, consolidating, or exhibiting reversal behaviour.
How it works:
* After the session starts, the indicator records the highest and lowest prices during the first hour.
* These levels are plotted and extended across the session.
* They provide a visual reference for observing reactions, targets, or rejection zones.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable for each session
* Line style, colour, and label visibility
* Number of historic sessions displayed
EQO Levels (Equity Open)
The indicator plots the opening price of each configured session. These “Equity Open” levels represent short-term reference points that can attract price early in the session.
Once the level is revisited after the Open Box has formed, it is automatically cut to avoid clutter. If not revisited, the line remains as an untested reference, similar to a naked point of control.
How it works:
* At session open, the open price is recorded.
* The level is plotted as a local reference.
* If price interacts with the level after the Open Box completes, the line is cut.
* Untested EQOs extend forward until interacted with.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable/disable per session
* Line style and label settings
* Optional extension into the next day
* Option for cutting vs. hiding on revisit
* Number of historic sessions displayed
OB Range Expansions (Automatic)
Range expansions are calculated from the height of the Open Box. These levels provide structured reference zones for identifying potential continuation or exhaustion areas within a session.
How it works:
* After the Open Box is formed, multiples of the range (e.g., 1×, 2×, 3×) are projected.
* These expansion levels are plotted above and below the range.
* Price reactions near these areas can illustrate continuation, hesitation, or potential reversal.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable per session
* Select number of multiples
* Line style, colour, and label settings
* Extension length into the session
Stacey Burke 12-Candle Window Marker
The indicator can highlight the 12-candle window often referenced in Stacey Burke’s session methodology. This window represents the key active period of each session where breakout attempts, volatility shifts, and reversal signatures often occur.
How it works:
* A configurable window (default 12 candles) is highlighted from each session open.
* This window acts as a guide for observing active session behaviour.
* It remains visible throughout the session for structural context.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable/disable per session
* Configurable window duration (default: 3 hours)
* Colour and transparency controls
Concept and Integration
The Open Box is built around the same multi-timeframe logic that underpins the broader TrendPredator framework.
While higher-timeframe tools track bias and setups across the H8–D–W–M levels, the Open Box focuses on the H1–M30 domain to define session structure and observe how early intraday behaviour aligns with higher-timeframe conditions.
The indicator integrates with the TrendPredator FO (Breakout, Fakeout & Trend Switch Detector), which highlights microstructure signals on lower timeframes (M15/M5). Together they form a layered workflow:
* Higher timeframes: context, bias, and developing setups
* TrendPredator OB: intraday and intra-session structure
* TrendPredator FO: microstructure confirmation (e.g., FOL/FOH, switches)
This alignment provides a structured way to observe how daily directional context interacts with intraday behaviour.
See the public open source indicator TP FO here (click on it for access):
Practical Application
Before Session Open
* Review previous session Open Box, Open level, and VWAPs
* Assess how higher-timeframe bias aligns with potential intraday continuation or reversal
* Note untested EQO levels or VWAPs that may function as liquidity attractors
During Session Open
* Observe behaviour around the first-hour high/low and higher-timeframe reference levels
* Monitor how the M15 and 30-minute ranges close
* Track reactions relative to the session open level and the session VWAP
After the Open Box completes
* Assess price interaction with Open Box boundaries and first-hour levels
* Use microstructure signals (e.g., FOH/FOL, switches) for potential confirmation
* Refer to expansion levels as reference zones for management or target setting
After Session
* Review how price behaved relative to the Open Box, EQO levels, VWAPs, and expansion zones
* Analyse breakout attempts, fakeouts, and whether intraday structure aligned with the broader daily move
Example Workflow and Trade
1. Higher-timeframe analysis signals a Daily Fakeout Low Continuation (bullish context).
2. The New York session forms an Open Box; price breaks above and holds above the first-hour high.
3. A Fakeout Low + Switch Bar appears on M5 (via FO), after retesting the session VWAP triggering the entry.
4. 1x expansion level serves as reference targets for take profit.
Relation to the TrendPredator Ecosystem
The Open Box is part of the TrendPredator Indicator Family, designed to apply multi-timeframe logic consistently across:
* higher-timeframe context and setups
* intraday and session structure (OB)
* microstructure confirmation (FO)
Together, these modules offer a unified structure for analysing how daily and intraday cycles interact.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee profits.
It does not provide buy or sell signals but highlights structural and behavioural areas for analysis.
Users are solely responsible for their trading decisions and outcomes.
Dumb Money Flow - Retail Panic & FOMO# Dumb Money Flow (DMF) - Retail Panic & FOMO
## 🌊 Overview
**Dumb Money Flow (DMF)** is a powerful **contrarian indicator** designed to track the emotional state of the retail "herd." It identifies moments of extreme **Panic** (irrational selling) and **FOMO** (irrational buying) by analyzing on-chain data, volume anomalies, and price velocity.
In crypto markets, retail traders often buy the top (FOMO) and sell the bottom (Panic). This indicator helps you do the opposite: **Buy when the herd is fearful, and Sell when the herd is greedy.**
---
## 🧠 How It Works
The indicator combines multiple data points into a single **Sentiment Index** (0-100), normalized over a 90-day period to ensure it always uses the full range of the chart.
### 1. Panic Index (Bearish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of capitulation and fear. High values contribute to the **Panic Zone**.
* **Exchange Inflows:** Spikes in funds moving to exchanges (preparing to sell).
* **Volume Spikes:** High volume during price drops (panic selling).
* **Price Crash (ROC):** Rapid, emotional price drops over 3 days.
* **Volatility (ATR):** High market nervousness and instability.
### 2. FOMO Index (Bullish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of euphoria and greed. High values contribute to the **FOMO Zone**.
* **Exchange Outflows:** Funds moving to cold storage (HODLing/Greed).
* **Profitable Addresses:** When >90% of holders are in profit, tops often form.
* **Parabolic Rise:** Rapid, unsustainable price increases.
---
## 🎨 Visual Guide
The indicator uses a distinct color scheme to highlight extremes:
* **🟢 Dark Green Zone (> 80): Extreme FOMO**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is euphoric. Risk of a correction is high.
* **Action:** Consider taking profits or looking for short entries.
* **🔴 Dark Burgundy Zone (< 20): Extreme Panic**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is capitulating. Prices may be oversold.
* **Action:** Look for buying opportunities (catching the knife with confirmation).
* **🔵 Light Blue Line:**
* The smoothed moving average of the sentiment, helpful for seeing the trend direction.
---
## 🛠️ How to Use (Trading Strategies)
### 1. Contrarian Reversals (The Primary Strategy)
* **Buy Signal:** Wait for the line to drop deep into the **Burgundy Panic Zone (< 20)** and then start curling up. This indicates that the worst of the selling pressure is over.
* **Sell Signal:** Wait for the line to spike into the **Green FOMO Zone (> 80)** and then start curling down. This suggests buying exhaustion.
### 2. Divergences
* **Bullish Divergence:** Price makes a **Lower Low**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Higher Low** (less panic on the second drop). This is a strong reversal signal.
* **Bearish Divergence:** Price makes a **Higher High**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Lower High** (less FOMO/buying power on the second peak).
### 3. Trend Confirmation (Midline Cross)
* **Crossing 50 Up:** Sentiment is shifting from Fear to Greed (Bullish).
* **Crossing 50 Down:** Sentiment is shifting from Greed to Fear (Bearish).
---
## ⚙️ Settings
* **Data Source:** Defaults to `INTOTHEBLOCK` for on-chain data.
* **Crypto Asset:** Auto-detects BTC/ETH, but can be forced.
* **Normalization Period:** Default 90 days. Determines the "window" for defining what is considered "Extreme" relative to recent history.
* **Weights:** You can customize how much each factor (Volume, Inflows, Price) contributes to the index.
---
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes only. "Dumb Money" analysis is a probability tool, not a crystal ball. Always manage your risk.
**Indicator by:** @iCD_creator
**Version:** 1.0
**Pine Script™ Version:** 6
---
## Updates & Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please comment below or message the author.
**Like this indicator? Leave a 👍 and share your feedback!**
Fibonacci Degree System This Pine Script creates a sophisticated technical analysis tool that combines Fibonacci retracements with a degree-based cycle system. Here's a comprehensive breakdown:
Core Concept
The indicator maps price movements onto a 360-degree circular framework, treating market cycles like geometric angles. It creates a visual "mesh" where Fibonacci ratios intersect in both price (horizontal) and time (vertical) dimensions.
How It Works
1. Finding Reference Points
The script looks back over a specified period (default 100 bars) to identify:
Highest High: The peak price point
Lowest Low: The trough price point
Time Locations: Exactly which bars these extremes occurred on
These two points form the boundaries of your analysis window.
2. Creating the Fibonacci Grid
Horizontal Lines (Price Levels):
The script divides the price range between high and low into seven key Fibonacci ratios:
0% (Low) - Bottom boundary in red
23.6% - Minor retracement in orange
38.2% - Shallow retracement in yellow
50% - Midpoint in lime green
61.8% - Golden ratio in aqua (most significant)
78.6% - Deep retracement in blue
100% (High) - Top boundary in purple
Each line represents a potential support/resistance level where price might react.
Vertical Lines (Time Cycles):
The same Fibonacci ratios are applied to the time dimension between the high and low bars. If your high and low are 50 bars apart, vertical lines appear at:
Bar 0 (0%)
Bar 12 (23.6%)
Bar 19 (38.2%)
Bar 25 (50%)
Bar 31 (61.8%)
Bar 39 (78.6%)
Bar 50 (100%)
These suggest when price might make significant moves.
3. The Degree Mapping System
The innovative feature maps the time progression to degrees:
0° = Start point (0% time)
85° = 23.6% through the cycle
138° = 38.2% through the cycle
180° = Midpoint (50%)
222° = 61.8% through the cycle (golden angle)
283° = 78.6% through the cycle
360° = Complete cycle (100%)
This treats market movements as circular patterns, similar to how planets orbit or pendulums swing.
Visual Output
When you apply this indicator, you'll see:
A rectangular mesh extending beyond your high-low range (by 150% default)
Color-coded horizontal lines showing price Fibonacci levels
Matching vertical lines showing time Fibonacci intervals
Price labels on the right showing percentage levels
Degree labels at the bottom showing the angular position in the cycle
Intersection points creating a grid of potentially significant price-time coordinates
Trading Application
Traders use this to identify:
Support/Resistance Zones: Where horizontal and vertical lines intersect
Time Targets: When price might reverse (at vertical Fibonacci times)
Cycle Completion: When approaching 360°, a new cycle may begin
Harmonic Patterns: Geometric relationships between price and time
Customization Features
The script offers extensive control:
Lookback period: Adjust cycle length (10-500 bars)
Mesh extension: How far to project the grid forward
Visual toggles: Show/hide horizontal lines, vertical lines, labels
Styling: Line thickness, style (solid/dashed/dotted), colors
Label positioning: Fine-tune text placement for readability
The intersection at 61.8% time and 61.8% price at 222° becomes a key target zone.
This tool essentially converts the abstract concept of market cycles into a concrete, visual geometric framework that traders can analyze and act upon.
DISCLAIMER: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice.
No guarantee of profits: Past performance and theoretical models do not guarantee future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk of loss.
Not a recommendation: This script illustration does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Do your own research: Always conduct thorough independent research and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Dimensional Resonance ProtocolDimensional Resonance Protocol
🌀 CORE INNOVATION: PHASE SPACE RECONSTRUCTION & EMERGENCE DETECTION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol represents a paradigm shift from traditional technical analysis to complexity science. Rather than measuring price levels or indicator crossovers, DRP reconstructs the hidden attractor governing market dynamics using Takens' embedding theorem, then detects emergence —the rare moments when multiple dimensions of market behavior spontaneously synchronize into coherent, predictable states.
The Complexity Hypothesis:
Markets are not simple oscillators or random walks—they are complex adaptive systems existing in high-dimensional phase space. Traditional indicators see only shadows (one-dimensional projections) of this higher-dimensional reality. DRP reconstructs the full phase space using time-delay embedding, revealing the true structure of market dynamics.
Takens' Embedding Theorem (1981):
A profound mathematical result from dynamical systems theory: Given a time series from a complex system, we can reconstruct its full phase space by creating delayed copies of the observation.
Mathematical Foundation:
From single observable x(t), create embedding vectors:
X(t) =
Where:
• d = Embedding dimension (default 5)
• τ = Time delay (default 3 bars)
• x(t) = Price or return at time t
Key Insight: If d ≥ 2D+1 (where D is the true attractor dimension), this embedding is topologically equivalent to the actual system dynamics. We've reconstructed the hidden attractor from a single price series.
Why This Matters:
Markets appear random in one dimension (price chart). But in reconstructed phase space, structure emerges—attractors, limit cycles, strange attractors. When we identify these structures, we can detect:
• Stable regions : Predictable behavior (trade opportunities)
• Chaotic regions : Unpredictable behavior (avoid trading)
• Critical transitions : Phase changes between regimes
Phase Space Magnitude Calculation:
phase_magnitude = sqrt(Σ ² for i = 0 to d-1)
This measures the "energy" or "momentum" of the market trajectory through phase space. High magnitude = strong directional move. Low magnitude = consolidation.
📊 RECURRENCE QUANTIFICATION ANALYSIS (RQA)
Once phase space is reconstructed, we analyze its recurrence structure —when does the system return near previous states?
Recurrence Plot Foundation:
A recurrence occurs when two phase space points are closer than threshold ε:
R(i,j) = 1 if ||X(i) - X(j)|| < ε, else 0
This creates a binary matrix showing when the system revisits similar states.
Key RQA Metrics:
1. Recurrence Rate (RR):
RR = (Number of recurrent points) / (Total possible pairs)
• RR near 0: System never repeats (highly stochastic)
• RR = 0.1-0.3: Moderate recurrence (tradeable patterns)
• RR > 0.5: System stuck in attractor (ranging market)
• RR near 1: System frozen (no dynamics)
Interpretation: Moderate recurrence is optimal —patterns exist but market isn't stuck.
2. Determinism (DET):
Measures what fraction of recurrences form diagonal structures in the recurrence plot. Diagonals indicate deterministic evolution (trajectory follows predictable paths).
DET = (Recurrence points on diagonals) / (Total recurrence points)
• DET < 0.3: Random dynamics
• DET = 0.3-0.7: Moderate determinism (patterns with noise)
• DET > 0.7: Strong determinism (technical patterns reliable)
Trading Implication: Signals are prioritized when DET > 0.3 (deterministic state) and RR is moderate (not stuck).
Threshold Selection (ε):
Default ε = 0.10 × std_dev means two states are "recurrent" if within 10% of a standard deviation. This is tight enough to require genuine similarity but loose enough to find patterns.
🔬 PERMUTATION ENTROPY: COMPLEXITY MEASUREMENT
Permutation entropy measures the complexity of a time series by analyzing the distribution of ordinal patterns.
Algorithm (Bandt & Pompe, 2002):
1. Take overlapping windows of length n (default n=4)
2. For each window, record the rank order pattern
Example: → pattern (ranks from lowest to highest)
3. Count frequency of each possible pattern
4. Calculate Shannon entropy of pattern distribution
Mathematical Formula:
H_perm = -Σ p(π) · ln(p(π))
Where π ranges over all n! possible permutations, p(π) is the probability of pattern π.
Normalized to :
H_norm = H_perm / ln(n!)
Interpretation:
• H < 0.3 : Very ordered, crystalline structure (strong trending)
• H = 0.3-0.5 : Ordered regime (tradeable with patterns)
• H = 0.5-0.7 : Moderate complexity (mixed conditions)
• H = 0.7-0.85 : Complex dynamics (challenging to trade)
• H > 0.85 : Maximum entropy (nearly random, avoid)
Entropy Regime Classification:
DRP classifies markets into five entropy regimes:
• CRYSTALLINE (H < 0.3): Maximum order, persistent trends
• ORDERED (H < 0.5): Clear patterns, momentum strategies work
• MODERATE (H < 0.7): Mixed dynamics, adaptive required
• COMPLEX (H < 0.85): High entropy, mean reversion better
• CHAOTIC (H ≥ 0.85): Near-random, minimize trading
Why Permutation Entropy?
Unlike traditional entropy methods requiring binning continuous data (losing information), permutation entropy:
• Works directly on time series
• Robust to monotonic transformations
• Computationally efficient
• Captures temporal structure, not just distribution
• Immune to outliers (uses ranks, not values)
⚡ LYAPUNOV EXPONENT: CHAOS vs STABILITY
The Lyapunov exponent λ measures sensitivity to initial conditions —the hallmark of chaos.
Physical Meaning:
Two trajectories starting infinitely close will diverge at exponential rate e^(λt):
Distance(t) ≈ Distance(0) × e^(λt)
Interpretation:
• λ > 0 : Positive Lyapunov exponent = CHAOS
- Small errors grow exponentially
- Long-term prediction impossible
- System is sensitive, unpredictable
- AVOID TRADING
• λ ≈ 0 : Near-zero = CRITICAL STATE
- Edge of chaos
- Transition zone between order and disorder
- Moderate predictability
- PROCEED WITH CAUTION
• λ < 0 : Negative Lyapunov exponent = STABLE
- Small errors decay
- Trajectories converge
- System is predictable
- OPTIMAL FOR TRADING
Estimation Method:
DRP estimates λ by tracking how quickly nearby states diverge over a rolling window (default 20 bars):
For each bar i in window:
δ₀ = |x - x | (initial separation)
δ₁ = |x - x | (previous separation)
if δ₁ > 0:
ratio = δ₀ / δ₁
log_ratios += ln(ratio)
λ ≈ average(log_ratios)
Stability Classification:
• STABLE : λ < 0 (negative growth rate)
• CRITICAL : |λ| < 0.1 (near neutral)
• CHAOTIC : λ > 0.2 (strong positive growth)
Signal Filtering:
By default, NEXUS requires λ < 0 (stable regime) for signal confirmation. This filters out trades during chaotic periods when technical patterns break down.
📐 HIGUCHI FRACTAL DIMENSION
Fractal dimension measures self-similarity and complexity of the price trajectory.
Theoretical Background:
A curve's fractal dimension D ranges from 1 (smooth line) to 2 (space-filling curve):
• D ≈ 1.0 : Smooth, persistent trending
• D ≈ 1.5 : Random walk (Brownian motion)
• D ≈ 2.0 : Highly irregular, space-filling
Higuchi Method (1988):
For a time series of length N, construct k different curves by taking every k-th point:
L(k) = (1/k) × Σ|x - x | × (N-1)/(⌊(N-m)/k⌋ × k)
For different values of k (1 to k_max), calculate L(k). The fractal dimension is the slope of log(L(k)) vs log(1/k):
D = slope of log(L) vs log(1/k)
Market Interpretation:
• D < 1.35 : Strong trending, persistent (Hurst > 0.5)
- TRENDING regime
- Momentum strategies favored
- Breakouts likely to continue
• D = 1.35-1.45 : Moderate persistence
- PERSISTENT regime
- Trend-following with caution
- Patterns have meaning
• D = 1.45-1.55 : Random walk territory
- RANDOM regime
- Efficiency hypothesis holds
- Technical analysis least reliable
• D = 1.55-1.65 : Anti-persistent (mean-reverting)
- ANTI-PERSISTENT regime
- Oscillator strategies work
- Overbought/oversold meaningful
• D > 1.65 : Highly complex, choppy
- COMPLEX regime
- Avoid directional bets
- Wait for regime change
Signal Filtering:
Resonance signals (secondary signal type) require D < 1.5, indicating trending or persistent dynamics where momentum has meaning.
🔗 TRANSFER ENTROPY: CAUSAL INFORMATION FLOW
Transfer entropy measures directed causal influence between time series—not just correlation, but actual information transfer.
Schreiber's Definition (2000):
Transfer entropy from X to Y measures how much knowing X's past reduces uncertainty about Y's future:
TE(X→Y) = H(Y_future | Y_past) - H(Y_future | Y_past, X_past)
Where H is Shannon entropy.
Key Properties:
1. Directional : TE(X→Y) ≠ TE(Y→X) in general
2. Non-linear : Detects complex causal relationships
3. Model-free : No assumptions about functional form
4. Lag-independent : Captures delayed causal effects
Three Causal Flows Measured:
1. Volume → Price (TE_V→P):
Measures how much volume patterns predict price changes.
• TE > 0 : Volume provides predictive information about price
- Institutional participation driving moves
- Volume confirms direction
- High reliability
• TE ≈ 0 : No causal flow (weak volume/price relationship)
- Volume uninformative
- Caution on signals
• TE < 0 (rare): Suggests price leading volume
- Potentially manipulated or thin market
2. Volatility → Momentum (TE_σ→M):
Does volatility expansion predict momentum changes?
• Positive TE : Volatility precedes momentum shifts
- Breakout dynamics
- Regime transitions
3. Structure → Price (TE_S→P):
Do support/resistance patterns causally influence price?
• Positive TE : Structural levels have causal impact
- Technical levels matter
- Market respects structure
Net Causal Flow:
Net_Flow = TE_V→P + 0.5·TE_σ→M + TE_S→P
• Net > +0.1 : Bullish causal structure
• Net < -0.1 : Bearish causal structure
• |Net| < 0.1 : Neutral/unclear causation
Causal Gate:
For signal confirmation, NEXUS requires:
• Buy signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow > 0.05
• Sell signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow < -0.05
This ensures volume is actually driving price (causal support exists), not just correlated noise.
Implementation Note:
Computing true transfer entropy requires discretizing continuous data into bins (default 6 bins) and estimating joint probability distributions. NEXUS uses a hybrid approach combining TE theory with autocorrelation structure and lagged cross-correlation to approximate information transfer in computationally efficient manner.
🌊 HILBERT PHASE COHERENCE
Phase coherence measures synchronization across market dimensions using Hilbert transform analysis.
Hilbert Transform Theory:
For a signal x(t), the Hilbert transform H (t) creates an analytic signal:
z(t) = x(t) + i·H (t) = A(t)·e^(iφ(t))
Where:
• A(t) = Instantaneous amplitude
• φ(t) = Instantaneous phase
Instantaneous Phase:
φ(t) = arctan(H (t) / x(t))
The phase represents where the signal is in its natural cycle—analogous to position on a unit circle.
Four Dimensions Analyzed:
1. Momentum Phase : Phase of price rate-of-change
2. Volume Phase : Phase of volume intensity
3. Volatility Phase : Phase of ATR cycles
4. Structure Phase : Phase of position within range
Phase Locking Value (PLV):
For two signals with phases φ₁(t) and φ₂(t), PLV measures phase synchronization:
PLV = |⟨e^(i(φ₁(t) - φ₂(t)))⟩|
Where ⟨·⟩ is time average over window.
Interpretation:
• PLV = 0 : Completely random phase relationship (no synchronization)
• PLV = 0.5 : Moderate phase locking
• PLV = 1 : Perfect synchronization (phases locked)
Pairwise PLV Calculations:
• PLV_momentum-volume : Are momentum and volume cycles synchronized?
• PLV_momentum-structure : Are momentum cycles aligned with structure?
• PLV_volume-structure : Are volume and structural patterns in phase?
Overall Phase Coherence:
Coherence = (PLV_mom-vol + PLV_mom-struct + PLV_vol-struct) / 3
Signal Confirmation:
Emergence signals require coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70):
• Below 0.70: Dimensions not synchronized, no coherent market state
• Above 0.70: Dimensions in phase, coherent behavior emerging
Coherence Direction:
The summed phase angles indicate whether synchronized dimensions point bullish or bearish:
Direction = sin(φ_momentum) + 0.5·sin(φ_volume) + 0.5·sin(φ_structure)
• Direction > 0 : Phases pointing upward (bullish synchronization)
• Direction < 0 : Phases pointing downward (bearish synchronization)
🌀 EMERGENCE SCORE: MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ALIGNMENT
The emergence score aggregates all complexity metrics into a single 0-1 value representing market coherence.
Eight Components with Weights:
1. Phase Coherence (20%):
Direct contribution: coherence × 0.20
Measures dimensional synchronization.
2. Entropy Regime (15%):
Contribution: (0.6 - H_perm) / 0.6 × 0.15 if H < 0.6, else 0
Rewards low entropy (ordered, predictable states).
3. Lyapunov Stability (12%):
• λ < 0 (stable): +0.12
• |λ| < 0.1 (critical): +0.08
• λ > 0.2 (chaotic): +0.0
Requires stable, predictable dynamics.
4. Fractal Dimension Trending (12%):
Contribution: (1.45 - D) / 0.45 × 0.12 if D < 1.45, else 0
Rewards trending fractal structure (D < 1.45).
5. Dimensional Resonance (12%):
Contribution: |dimensional_resonance| × 0.12
Measures alignment across momentum, volume, structure, volatility dimensions.
6. Causal Flow Strength (9%):
Contribution: |net_causal_flow| × 0.09
Rewards strong causal relationships.
7. Phase Space Embedding (10%):
Contribution: min(|phase_magnitude_norm|, 3.0) / 3.0 × 0.10 if |magnitude| > 1.0
Rewards strong trajectory in reconstructed phase space.
8. Recurrence Quality (10%):
Contribution: determinism × 0.10 if DET > 0.3 AND 0.1 < RR < 0.8
Rewards deterministic patterns with moderate recurrence.
Total Emergence Score:
E = Σ(components) ∈
Capped at 1.0 maximum.
Emergence Direction:
Separate calculation determining bullish vs bearish:
• Dimensional resonance sign
• Net causal flow sign
• Phase magnitude correlation with momentum
Signal Threshold:
Default emergence_threshold = 0.75 means 75% of maximum possible emergence score required to trigger signals.
Why Emergence Matters:
Traditional indicators measure single dimensions. Emergence detects self-organization —when multiple independent dimensions spontaneously align. This is the market equivalent of a phase transition in physics, where microscopic chaos gives way to macroscopic order.
These are the highest-probability trade opportunities because the entire system is resonating in the same direction.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION: EMERGENCE vs RESONANCE
DRP generates two tiers of signals with different requirements:
TIER 1: EMERGENCE SIGNALS (Primary)
Requirements:
1. Emergence score ≥ threshold (default 0.75)
2. Phase coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70)
3. Emergence direction > 0.2 (bullish) or < -0.2 (bearish)
4. Causal gate passed (if enabled): TE_V→P > 0 and net_flow confirms direction
5. Stability zone (if enabled): λ < 0 or |λ| < 0.1
6. Price confirmation: Close > open (bulls) or close < open (bears)
7. Cooldown satisfied: bars_since_signal ≥ cooldown_period
EMERGENCE BUY:
• All above conditions met with bullish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bullish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized upward
EMERGENCE SELL:
• All above conditions met with bearish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bearish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized downward
Premium Emergence:
When signal_quality (emergence_score × phase_coherence) > 0.7:
• Displayed as ★ star symbol
• Highest conviction trades
• Maximum dimensional alignment
Standard Emergence:
When signal_quality 0.5-0.7:
• Displayed as ◆ diamond symbol
• Strong signals but not perfect alignment
TIER 2: RESONANCE SIGNALS (Secondary)
Requirements:
1. Dimensional resonance > +0.6 (bullish) or < -0.6 (bearish)
2. Fractal dimension < 1.5 (trending/persistent regime)
3. Price confirmation matches direction
4. NOT in chaotic regime (λ < 0.2)
5. Cooldown satisfied
6. NO emergence signal firing (resonance is fallback)
RESONANCE BUY:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Trending fractal structure
• Moderate conviction
RESONANCE SELL:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Bearish resonance with trending structure
• Moderate conviction
Displayed as small ▲/▼ triangles with transparency.
Signal Hierarchy:
IF emergence conditions met:
Fire EMERGENCE signal (★ or ◆)
ELSE IF resonance conditions met:
Fire RESONANCE signal (▲ or ▼)
ELSE:
No signal
Cooldown System:
After any signal fires, cooldown_period (default 5 bars) must elapse before next signal. This prevents signal clustering during persistent conditions.
Cooldown tracks using bar_index:
bars_since_signal = current_bar_index - last_signal_bar_index
cooldown_ok = bars_since_signal >= cooldown_period
🎨 VISUAL SYSTEM: MULTI-LAYER COMPLEXITY
DRP provides rich visual feedback across four distinct layers:
LAYER 1: COHERENCE FIELD (Background)
Colored background intensity based on phase coherence:
• No background : Coherence < 0.5 (incoherent state)
• Faint glow : Coherence 0.5-0.7 (building coherence)
• Stronger glow : Coherence > 0.7 (coherent state)
Color:
• Cyan/teal: Bullish coherence (direction > 0)
• Red/magenta: Bearish coherence (direction < 0)
• Blue: Neutral coherence (direction ≈ 0)
Transparency: 98 minus (coherence_intensity × 10), so higher coherence = more visible.
LAYER 2: STABILITY/CHAOS ZONES
Background color indicating Lyapunov regime:
• Green tint (95% transparent): λ < 0, STABLE zone
- Safe to trade
- Patterns meaningful
• Gold tint (90% transparent): |λ| < 0.1, CRITICAL zone
- Edge of chaos
- Moderate risk
• Red tint (85% transparent): λ > 0.2, CHAOTIC zone
- Avoid trading
- Unpredictable behavior
LAYER 3: DIMENSIONAL RIBBONS
Three EMAs representing dimensional structure:
• Fast ribbon : EMA(8) in cyan/teal (fast dynamics)
• Medium ribbon : EMA(21) in blue (intermediate)
• Slow ribbon : EMA(55) in red/magenta (slow dynamics)
Provides visual reference for multi-scale structure without cluttering with raw phase space data.
LAYER 4: CAUSAL FLOW LINE
A thicker line plotted at EMA(13) colored by net causal flow:
• Cyan/teal : Net_flow > +0.1 (bullish causation)
• Red/magenta : Net_flow < -0.1 (bearish causation)
• Gray : |Net_flow| < 0.1 (neutral causation)
Shows real-time direction of information flow.
EMERGENCE FLASH:
Strong background flash when emergence signals fire:
• Cyan flash for emergence buy
• Red flash for emergence sell
• 80% transparency for visibility without obscuring price
📊 COMPREHENSIVE DASHBOARD
Real-time monitoring of all complexity metrics:
HEADER:
• 🌀 DRP branding with gold accent
CORE METRICS:
EMERGENCE:
• Progress bar (█ filled, ░ empty) showing 0-100%
• Percentage value
• Direction arrow (↗ bull, ↘ bear, → neutral)
• Color-coded: Green/gold if active, gray if low
COHERENCE:
• Progress bar showing phase locking value
• Percentage value
• Checkmark ✓ if ≥ threshold, circle ○ if below
• Color-coded: Cyan if coherent, gray if not
COMPLEXITY SECTION:
ENTROPY:
• Regime name (CRYSTALLINE/ORDERED/MODERATE/COMPLEX/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (0.00-1.00)
• Color: Green (ordered), gold (moderate), red (chaotic)
LYAPUNOV:
• State (STABLE/CRITICAL/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (typically -0.5 to +0.5)
• Status indicator: ● stable, ◐ critical, ○ chaotic
• Color-coded by state
FRACTAL:
• Regime (TRENDING/PERSISTENT/RANDOM/ANTI-PERSIST/COMPLEX)
• Dimension value (1.0-2.0)
• Color: Cyan (trending), gold (random), red (complex)
PHASE-SPACE:
• State (STRONG/ACTIVE/QUIET)
• Normalized magnitude value
• Parameters display: d=5 τ=3
CAUSAL SECTION:
CAUSAL:
• Direction (BULL/BEAR/NEUTRAL)
• Net flow value
• Flow indicator: →P (to price), P← (from price), ○ (neutral)
V→P:
• Volume-to-price transfer entropy
• Small display showing specific TE value
DIMENSIONAL SECTION:
RESONANCE:
• Progress bar of absolute resonance
• Signed value (-1 to +1)
• Color-coded by direction
RECURRENCE:
• Recurrence rate percentage
• Determinism percentage display
• Color-coded: Green if high quality
STATE SECTION:
STATE:
• Current mode: EMERGENCE / RESONANCE / CHAOS / SCANNING
• Icon: 🚀 (emergence buy), 💫 (emergence sell), ▲ (resonance buy), ▼ (resonance sell), ⚠ (chaos), ◎ (scanning)
• Color-coded by state
SIGNALS:
• E: count of emergence signals
• R: count of resonance signals
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
Phase Space Configuration:
• Embedding Dimension (3-10, default 5): Reconstruction dimension
- Low (3-4): Simple dynamics, faster computation
- Medium (5-6): Balanced (recommended)
- High (7-10): Complex dynamics, more data needed
- Rule: d ≥ 2D+1 where D is true dimension
• Time Delay (τ) (1-10, default 3): Embedding lag
- Fast markets: 1-2
- Normal: 3-4
- Slow markets: 5-10
- Optimal: First minimum of mutual information (often 2-4)
• Recurrence Threshold (ε) (0.01-0.5, default 0.10): Phase space proximity
- Tight (0.01-0.05): Very similar states only
- Medium (0.08-0.15): Balanced
- Loose (0.20-0.50): Liberal matching
Entropy & Complexity:
• Permutation Order (3-7, default 4): Pattern length
- Low (3): 6 patterns, fast but coarse
- Medium (4-5): 24-120 patterns, balanced
- High (6-7): 720-5040 patterns, fine-grained
- Note: Requires window >> order! for stability
• Entropy Window (15-100, default 30): Lookback for entropy
- Short (15-25): Responsive to changes
- Medium (30-50): Stable measure
- Long (60-100): Very smooth, slow adaptation
• Lyapunov Window (10-50, default 20): Stability estimation window
- Short (10-15): Fast chaos detection
- Medium (20-30): Balanced
- Long (40-50): Stable λ estimate
Causal Inference:
• Enable Transfer Entropy (default ON): Causality analysis
- Keep ON for full system functionality
• TE History Length (2-15, default 5): Causal lookback
- Short (2-4): Quick causal detection
- Medium (5-8): Balanced
- Long (10-15): Deep causal analysis
• TE Discretization Bins (4-12, default 6): Binning granularity
- Few (4-5): Coarse, robust, needs less data
- Medium (6-8): Balanced
- Many (9-12): Fine-grained, needs more data
Phase Coherence:
• Enable Phase Coherence (default ON): Synchronization detection
- Keep ON for emergence detection
• Coherence Threshold (0.3-0.95, default 0.70): PLV requirement
- Loose (0.3-0.5): More signals, lower quality
- Balanced (0.6-0.75): Recommended
- Strict (0.8-0.95): Rare, highest quality
• Hilbert Smoothing (3-20, default 8): Phase smoothing
- Low (3-5): Responsive, noisier
- Medium (6-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Smooth, more lag
Fractal Analysis:
• Enable Fractal Dimension (default ON): Complexity measurement
- Keep ON for full analysis
• Fractal K-max (4-20, default 8): Scaling range
- Low (4-6): Faster, less accurate
- Medium (7-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Accurate, slower
• Fractal Window (30-200, default 50): FD lookback
- Short (30-50): Responsive FD
- Medium (60-100): Stable FD
- Long (120-200): Very smooth FD
Emergence Detection:
• Emergence Threshold (0.5-0.95, default 0.75): Minimum coherence
- Sensitive (0.5-0.65): More signals
- Balanced (0.7-0.8): Recommended
- Strict (0.85-0.95): Rare signals
• Require Causal Gate (default ON): TE confirmation
- ON: Only signal when causality confirms
- OFF: Allow signals without causal support
• Require Stability Zone (default ON): Lyapunov filter
- ON: Only signal when λ < 0 (stable) or |λ| < 0.1 (critical)
- OFF: Allow signals in chaotic regimes (risky)
• Signal Cooldown (1-50, default 5): Minimum bars between signals
- Fast (1-3): Rapid signal generation
- Normal (4-8): Balanced
- Slow (10-20): Very selective
- Ultra (25-50): Only major regime changes
Signal Configuration:
• Momentum Period (5-50, default 14): ROC calculation
• Structure Lookback (10-100, default 20): Support/resistance range
• Volatility Period (5-50, default 14): ATR calculation
• Volume MA Period (10-50, default 20): Volume normalization
Visual Settings:
• Customizable color scheme for all elements
• Toggle visibility for each layer independently
• Dashboard position (4 corners) and size (tiny/small/normal)
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: System Familiarization (Week 1)
Goal: Understand complexity metrics and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Enable all features with default parameters
• Watch dashboard metrics for 500+ bars
• Do NOT trade yet
Actions:
• Observe emergence score patterns relative to price moves
• Note coherence threshold crossings and subsequent price action
• Watch entropy regime transitions (ORDERED → COMPLEX → CHAOTIC)
• Correlate Lyapunov state with signal reliability
• Track which signals appear (emergence vs resonance frequency)
Key Learning:
• When does emergence peak? (usually before major moves)
• What entropy regime produces best signals? (typically ORDERED or MODERATE)
• Does your instrument respect stability zones? (stable λ = better signals)
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to instrument characteristics
Requirements:
• Understand basic dashboard metrics from Phase 1
• Have 1000+ bars of history loaded
Embedding Dimension & Time Delay:
• If signals very rare: Try lower dimension (d=3-4) or shorter delay (τ=2)
• If signals too frequent: Try higher dimension (d=6-7) or longer delay (τ=4-5)
• Sweet spot: 4-8 emergence signals per 100 bars
Coherence Threshold:
• Check dashboard: What's typical coherence range?
• If coherence rarely exceeds 0.70: Lower threshold to 0.60-0.65
• If coherence often >0.80: Can raise threshold to 0.75-0.80
• Goal: Signals fire during top 20-30% of coherence values
Emergence Threshold:
• If too few signals: Lower to 0.65-0.70
• If too many signals: Raise to 0.80-0.85
• Balance with coherence threshold—both must be met
Phase 3: Signal Quality Assessment (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Verify signals have edge via paper trading
Requirements:
• Parameters optimized per Phase 2
• 50+ signals generated
• Detailed notes on each signal
Paper Trading Protocol:
• Take EVERY emergence signal (★ and ◆)
• Optional: Take resonance signals (▲/▼) separately to compare
• Use simple exit: 2R target, 1R stop (ATR-based)
• Track: Win rate, average R-multiple, maximum consecutive losses
Quality Metrics:
• Premium emergence (★) : Should achieve >55% WR
• Standard emergence (◆) : Should achieve >50% WR
• Resonance signals : Should achieve >45% WR
• Overall : If <45% WR, system not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
Red Flags:
• Win rate <40%: Wrong instrument or parameters need major adjustment
• Max consecutive losses >10: System not working in current regime
• Profit factor <1.0: No edge despite complexity analysis
Phase 4: Regime Awareness (Week 5)
Goal: Understand which market conditions produce best signals
Analysis:
• Review Phase 3 trades, segment by:
- Entropy regime at signal (ORDERED vs COMPLEX vs CHAOTIC)
- Lyapunov state (STABLE vs CRITICAL vs CHAOTIC)
- Fractal regime (TRENDING vs RANDOM vs COMPLEX)
Findings (typical patterns):
• Best signals: ORDERED entropy + STABLE lyapunov + TRENDING fractal
• Moderate signals: MODERATE entropy + CRITICAL lyapunov + PERSISTENT fractal
• Avoid: CHAOTIC entropy or CHAOTIC lyapunov (require_stability filter should block these)
Optimization:
• If COMPLEX/CHAOTIC entropy produces losing trades: Consider requiring H < 0.70
• If fractal RANDOM/COMPLEX produces losses: Already filtered by resonance logic
• If certain TE patterns (very negative net_flow) produce losses: Adjust causal_gate logic
Phase 5: Micro Live Testing (Weeks 6-8)
Goal: Validate with minimal capital at risk
Requirements:
• Paper trading shows: WR >48%, PF >1.2, max DD <20%
• Understand complexity metrics intuitively
• Know which regimes work best from Phase 4
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended position size
• Focus on premium emergence signals (★) only initially
• Proper stop placement (1.5-2.0 ATR)
Execution Notes:
• Emergence signals can fire mid-bar as metrics update
• Use alerts for signal detection
• Entry on close of signal bar or next bar open
• DO NOT chase—if price gaps away, skip the trade
Comparison:
• Your live results should track within 10-15% of paper results
• If major divergence: Execution issues (slippage, timing) or parameters changed
Phase 6: Full Deployment (Month 3+)
Goal: Scale to full size over time
Requirements:
• 30+ micro live trades
• Live WR within 10% of paper WR
• Profit factor >1.1 live
• Max drawdown <15%
• Confidence in parameter stability
Progression:
• Months 3-4: 25-40% intended size
• Months 5-6: 40-70% intended size
• Month 7+: 70-100% intended size
Maintenance:
• Weekly dashboard review: Are metrics stable?
• Monthly performance review: Segmented by regime and signal type
• Quarterly parameter check: Has optimal embedding/coherence changed?
Advanced:
• Consider different parameters per session (high vs low volatility)
• Track phase space magnitude patterns before major moves
• Combine with other indicators for confluence
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS & KEY BREAKTHROUGHS
The Phase Space Revelation:
Traditional indicators live in price-time space. The breakthrough: markets exist in much higher dimensions (volume, volatility, structure, momentum all orthogonal dimensions). Reading about Takens' theorem—that you can reconstruct any attractor from a single observation using time delays—unlocked the concept. Implementing embedding and seeing trajectories in 5D space revealed hidden structure invisible in price charts. Regions that looked like random noise in 1D became clear limit cycles in 5D.
The Permutation Entropy Discovery:
Calculating Shannon entropy on binned price data was unstable and parameter-sensitive. Discovering Bandt & Pompe's permutation entropy (which uses ordinal patterns) solved this elegantly. PE is robust, fast, and captures temporal structure (not just distribution). Testing showed PE < 0.5 periods had 18% higher signal win rate than PE > 0.7 periods. Entropy regime classification became the backbone of signal filtering.
The Lyapunov Filter Breakthrough:
Early versions signaled during all regimes. Win rate hovered at 42%—barely better than random. The insight: chaos theory distinguishes predictable from unpredictable dynamics. Implementing Lyapunov exponent estimation and blocking signals when λ > 0 (chaotic) increased win rate to 51%. Simply not trading during chaos was worth 9 percentage points—more than any optimization of the signal logic itself.
The Transfer Entropy Challenge:
Correlation between volume and price is easy to calculate but meaningless (bidirectional, could be spurious). Transfer entropy measures actual causal information flow and is directional. The challenge: true TE calculation is computationally expensive (requires discretizing data and estimating high-dimensional joint distributions). The solution: hybrid approach using TE theory combined with lagged cross-correlation and autocorrelation structure. Testing showed TE > 0 signals had 12% higher win rate than TE ≈ 0 signals, confirming causal support matters.
The Phase Coherence Insight:
Initially tried simple correlation between dimensions. Not predictive. Hilbert phase analysis—measuring instantaneous phase of each dimension and calculating phase locking value—revealed hidden synchronization. When PLV > 0.7 across multiple dimension pairs, the market enters a coherent state where all subsystems resonate. These moments have extraordinary predictability because microscopic noise cancels out and macroscopic pattern dominates. Emergence signals require high PLV for this reason.
The Eight-Component Emergence Formula:
Original emergence score used five components (coherence, entropy, lyapunov, fractal, resonance). Performance was good but not exceptional. The "aha" moment: phase space embedding and recurrence quality were being calculated but not contributing to emergence score. Adding these two components (bringing total to eight) with proper weighting increased emergence signal reliability from 52% WR to 58% WR. All calculated metrics must contribute to the final score. If you compute something, use it.
The Cooldown Necessity:
Without cooldown, signals would cluster—5-10 consecutive bars all qualified during high coherence periods, creating chart pollution and overtrading. Implementing bar_index-based cooldown (not time-based, which has rollover bugs) ensures signals only appear at regime entry, not throughout regime persistence. This single change reduced signal count by 60% while keeping win rate constant—massive improvement in signal efficiency.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What This System IS NOT:
• NOT Predictive : NEXUS doesn't forecast prices. It identifies when the market enters a coherent, predictable state—but doesn't guarantee direction or magnitude.
• NOT Holy Grail : Typical performance is 50-58% win rate with 1.5-2.0 avg R-multiple. This is probabilistic edge from complexity analysis, not certainty.
• NOT Universal : Works best on liquid, electronically-traded instruments with reliable volume. Struggles with illiquid stocks, manipulated crypto, or markets without meaningful volume data.
• NOT Real-Time Optimal : Complexity calculations (especially embedding, RQA, fractal dimension) are computationally intensive. Dashboard updates may lag by 1-2 seconds on slower connections.
• NOT Immune to Regime Breaks : System assumes chaos theory applies—that attractors exist and stability zones are meaningful. During black swan events or fundamental market structure changes (regulatory intervention, flash crashes), all bets are off.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have Attractors : Assumes price dynamics are governed by deterministic chaos with underlying attractors. Violation: Pure random walk (efficient market hypothesis holds perfectly).
2. Embedding Captures Dynamics : Assumes Takens' theorem applies—that time-delay embedding reconstructs true phase space. Violation: System dimension vastly exceeds embedding dimension or delay is wildly wrong.
3. Complexity Metrics Are Meaningful : Assumes permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions actually reflect market state. Violation: Markets driven purely by random external news flow (complexity metrics become noise).
4. Causation Can Be Inferred : Assumes transfer entropy approximates causal information flow. Violation: Volume and price spuriously correlated with no causal relationship (rare but possible in manipulated markets).
5. Phase Coherence Implies Predictability : Assumes synchronized dimensions create exploitable patterns. Violation: Coherence by chance during random period (false positive).
6. Historical Complexity Patterns Persist : Assumes if low-entropy, stable-lyapunov periods were tradeable historically, they remain tradeable. Violation: Fundamental regime change (market structure shifts, e.g., transition from floor trading to HFT).
Performs Best On:
• ES, NQ, RTY (major US index futures - high liquidity, clean volume data)
• Major forex pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY (24hr markets, good for phase analysis)
• Liquid commodities: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), NG (natural gas)
• Large-cap stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA (>$10M daily volume, meaningful structure)
• Major crypto on reputable exchanges: BTC, ETH on Coinbase/Kraken (avoid Binance due to manipulation)
Performs Poorly On:
• Low-volume stocks (<$1M daily volume) - insufficient liquidity for complexity analysis
• Exotic forex pairs - erratic spreads, thin volume
• Illiquid altcoins - wash trading, bot manipulation invalidates volume analysis
• Pre-market/after-hours - gappy, thin, different dynamics
• Binary events (earnings, FDA approvals) - discontinuous jumps violate dynamical systems assumptions
• Highly manipulated instruments - spoofing and layering create false coherence
Known Weaknesses:
• Computational Lag : Complexity calculations require iterating over windows. On slow connections, dashboard may update 1-2 seconds after bar close. Signals may appear delayed.
• Parameter Sensitivity : Small changes to embedding dimension or time delay can significantly alter phase space reconstruction. Requires careful calibration per instrument.
• Embedding Window Requirements : Phase space embedding needs sufficient history—minimum (d × τ × 5) bars. If embedding_dimension=5 and time_delay=3, need 75+ bars. Early bars will be unreliable.
• Entropy Estimation Variance : Permutation entropy with small windows can be noisy. Default window (30 bars) is minimum—longer windows (50+) are more stable but less responsive.
• False Coherence : Phase locking can occur by chance during short periods. Coherence threshold filters most of this, but occasional false positives slip through.
• Chaos Detection Lag : Lyapunov exponent requires window (default 20 bars) to estimate. Market can enter chaos and produce bad signal before λ > 0 is detected. Stability filter helps but doesn't eliminate this.
• Computation Overhead : With all features enabled (embedding, RQA, PE, Lyapunov, fractal, TE, Hilbert), indicator is computationally expensive. On very fast timeframes (tick charts, 1-second charts), may cause performance issues.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, forex, stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Leveraged instruments can result in losses exceeding your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results.
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol, including its phase space reconstruction, complexity analysis, and emergence detection algorithms, is provided for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument.
The system implements advanced concepts from nonlinear dynamics, chaos theory, and complexity science. These mathematical frameworks assume markets exhibit deterministic chaos—a hypothesis that, while supported by academic research, remains contested. Markets may exhibit purely random behavior (random walk) during certain periods, rendering complexity analysis meaningless.
Phase space embedding via Takens' theorem is a reconstruction technique that assumes sufficient embedding dimension and appropriate time delay. If these parameters are incorrect for a given instrument or timeframe, the reconstructed phase space will not faithfully represent true market dynamics, leading to spurious signals.
Permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions, transfer entropy, and phase coherence are statistical estimates computed over finite windows. All have inherent estimation error. Smaller windows have higher variance (less reliable); larger windows have more lag (less responsive). There is no universally optimal window size.
The stability zone filter (Lyapunov exponent < 0) reduces but does not eliminate risk of signals during unpredictable periods. Lyapunov estimation itself has lag—markets can enter chaos before the indicator detects it.
Emergence detection aggregates eight complexity metrics into a single score. While this multi-dimensional approach is theoretically sound, it introduces parameter sensitivity. Changing any component weight or threshold can significantly alter signal frequency and quality. Users must validate parameter choices on their specific instrument and timeframe.
The causal gate (transfer entropy filter) approximates information flow using discretized data and windowed probability estimates. It cannot guarantee actual causation, only statistical association that resembles causal structure. Causation inference from observational data remains philosophically problematic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, rejected orders, and liquidity constraints not present in indicator calculations. The indicator provides signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay and price movement. Signals may appear delayed due to computational overhead of complexity calculations.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, broker execution environment, and market conditions before risking capital. Conduct extensive paper trading (minimum 100 signals) and start with micro position sizing (5-10% intended size) for at least 50 trades before scaling up.
Never risk more capital than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every trade. Maintain adequate margin/capital reserves. Understand that most retail traders lose money. Sophisticated mathematical frameworks do not change this fundamental reality—they systematize analysis but do not eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, fitness for any particular purpose, or correctness of the underlying mathematical implementations. Users assume all responsibility for their trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
📁 DOCUMENTATION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol is fundamentally a statistical complexity analysis framework . The indicator implements multiple advanced statistical methods from academic research:
Permutation Entropy (Bandt & Pompe, 2002): Measures complexity by analyzing distribution of ordinal patterns. Pure statistical concept from information theory.
Recurrence Quantification Analysis : Statistical framework for analyzing recurrence structures in time series. Computes recurrence rate, determinism, and diagonal line statistics.
Lyapunov Exponent Estimation : Statistical measure of sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Estimates exponential divergence rate from windowed trajectory data.
Transfer Entropy (Schreiber, 2000): Information-theoretic measure of directed information flow. Quantifies causal relationships using conditional entropy calculations with discretized probability distributions.
Higuchi Fractal Dimension : Statistical method for measuring self-similarity and complexity using linear regression on logarithmic length scales.
Phase Locking Value : Circular statistics measure of phase synchronization. Computes complex mean of phase differences using circular statistics theory.
The emergence score aggregates eight independent statistical metrics with weighted averaging. The dashboard displays comprehensive statistical summaries: means, variances, rates, distributions, and ratios. Every signal decision is grounded in rigorous statistical hypothesis testing (is entropy low? is lyapunov negative? is coherence above threshold?).
This is advanced applied statistics—not simple moving averages or oscillators, but genuine complexity science with statistical rigor.
Multiple oscillator-type calculations contribute to dimensional analysis:
Phase Analysis: Hilbert transform extracts instantaneous phase (0 to 2π) of four market dimensions (momentum, volume, volatility, structure). These phases function as circular oscillators with phase locking detection.
Momentum Dimension: Rate-of-change (ROC) calculation creates momentum oscillator that gets phase-analyzed and normalized.
Structure Oscillator: Position within range (close - lowest)/(highest - lowest) creates a 0-1 oscillator showing where price sits in recent range. This gets embedded and phase-analyzed.
Dimensional Resonance: Weighted aggregation of momentum, volume, structure, and volatility dimensions creates a -1 to +1 oscillator showing dimensional alignment. Similar to traditional oscillators but multi-dimensional.
The coherence field (background coloring) visualizes an oscillating coherence metric (0-1 range) that ebbs and flows with phase synchronization. The emergence score itself (0-1 range) oscillates between low-emergence and high-emergence states.
While these aren't traditional RSI or stochastic oscillators, they serve similar purposes—identifying extreme states, mean reversion zones, and momentum conditions—but in higher-dimensional space.
Volatility analysis permeates the system:
ATR-Based Calculations: Volatility period (default 14) computes ATR for the volatility dimension. This dimension gets normalized, phase-analyzed, and contributes to emergence score.
Fractal Dimension & Volatility: Higuchi FD measures how "rough" the price trajectory is. Higher FD (>1.6) correlates with higher volatility/choppiness. FD < 1.4 indicates smooth trends (lower effective volatility).
Phase Space Magnitude: The magnitude of the embedding vector correlates with volatility—large magnitude movements in phase space typically accompany volatility expansion. This is the "energy" of the market trajectory.
Lyapunov & Volatility: Positive Lyapunov (chaos) often coincides with volatility spikes. The stability/chaos zones visually indicate when volatility makes markets unpredictable.
Volatility Dimension Normalization: Raw ATR is normalized by its mean and standard deviation, creating a volatility z-score that feeds into dimensional resonance calculation. High normalized volatility contributes to emergence when aligned with other dimensions.
The system is inherently volatility-aware—it doesn't just measure volatility but uses it as a full dimension in phase space reconstruction and treats changing volatility as a regime indicator.
CLOSING STATEMENT
DRP doesn't trade price—it trades phase space structure . It doesn't chase patterns—it detects emergence . It doesn't guess at trends—it measures coherence .
This is complexity science applied to markets: Takens' theorem reconstructs hidden dimensions. Permutation entropy measures order. Lyapunov exponents detect chaos. Transfer entropy reveals causation. Hilbert phases find synchronization. Fractal dimensions quantify self-similarity.
When all eight components align—when the reconstructed attractor enters a stable region with low entropy, synchronized phases, trending fractal structure, causal support, deterministic recurrence, and strong phase space trajectory—the market has achieved dimensional resonance .
These are the highest-probability moments. Not because an indicator said so. Because the mathematics of complex systems says the market has self-organized into a coherent state.
Most indicators see shadows on the wall. DRP reconstructs the cave.
"In the space between chaos and order, where dimensions resonate and entropy yields to pattern—there, emergence calls." DRP
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Simple Grid Trading v1.0 [PUCHON]Simple Grid Trading v1.0
Overview
This is a Long-Only Grid Trading Strategy developed in Pine Script v6 for TradingView. It is designed to profit from market volatility by placing a series of Buy Limit orders at predefined price levels. As the price drops, the strategy accumulates positions. As the price rises, it sells these positions at a profit.
Features
Grid Types : Supports both Arithmetic (equal price spacing) and Geometric (equal percentage spacing) grids.
Flexible Order Management : Uses strategy.order for precise control and prevents duplicate orders at the same level.
Performance Dashboard : A real-time table displaying key metrics like Capital, Cashflow, and Drawdown.
Advanced Metrics : Includes Max Drawdown (MaxDD) , Avg Monthly Return , and CAGR calculations.
Customizable : Fully adjustable price range, grid lines, and lot size.
Dashboard Metrics
The dashboard (default: Bottom Right) provides a quick snapshot of the strategy's performance:
Initial Capital : The starting capital defined in the strategy settings.
Lot Size : The fixed quantity of assets purchased per grid level.
Avg. Profit per Grid : The average realized profit for each closed trade.
Cashflow : The total realized net profit (closed trades only).
MaxDD : Maximum Drawdown . The largest percentage drop in equity (realized + unrealized) from a peak.
Avg Monthly Return : The average percentage return generated per month.
CAGR : Compound Annual Growth Rate . The mean annual growth rate of the investment over the specified time period.
Strategy Settings (Inputs)
Grid Settings
Upper Price : The highest price level for the grid.
Lower Price : The lowest price level for the grid.
Number of Grid Lines : The total number of levels (lines) in the grid.
Grid Type :
Arithmetic: Distance between lines is fixed in price terms (e.g., $10, $20, $30).
Geometric: Distance between lines is fixed in percentage terms (e.g., 1%, 2%, 3%).
Lot Size : The fixed amount of the asset to buy at each level.
Dashboard Settings
Show Dashboard : Toggle to hide/show the performance table.
Position : Choose where the dashboard appears on the chart (e.g., Bottom Right, Top Left).
How It Works
Initialization : On the first bar, the script calculates the price levels based on your Upper/Lower price and Grid Type.
Entry Logic :
The strategy places Buy Limit orders at every grid level below the current price.
It checks if a position already exists at a specific level to avoid "stacking" multiple orders on the same line.
Exit Logic :
For every Buy order, a corresponding Sell Limit (Take Profit) order is placed at the next higher grid level.
MaxDD Calculation :
The script continuously tracks the highest equity peak.
It calculates the drawdown on every bar (including intra-bar movements) to ensure accuracy.
Displayed as a percentage (e.g., 5.25%).
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and backtesting purposes only. Grid trading involves significant risk, especially in strong trending markets where the price may move outside your grid range. Always use proper risk management.
NIFTY Options Breakout StrategyThis strategy trades NIFTY 50 Options (CALL & PUT) using 5-minute breakout logic, strict trend filters, expiry-based symbol validation, and a dynamic trailing-profit engine.
1️⃣ Entry Logic
Only trades NIFTY 50 options, filtered automatically by symbol.
Trades only between 10:00 AM – 2:15 PM (5m bars).
Breakout trigger:
Price enters the buy breakout zone (high of last boxLookback bars ± buffer).
Trend filter:
Price must be above EMA50 or EMA200,
AND EMA50 ≥ EMA100 (to avoid weak conditions).
Optional strengthening:
EMA20>EMA50 OR EMA50>EMA100 recent cross can be enforced.
Higher-timeframe trend check:
EMA50 > EMA200 (bullish regime only).
Start trading options only after expiry–2 months (auto-parsed).
2️⃣ One Trade Per Day
Maximum 1 long trade per day.
No shorting (long-only strategy).
3️⃣ Risk Management — SL, TP & Trailing
Includes three types of exits:
🔹 A) Hard SL/TP
Hard Stop-Loss: -15%
Hard Take-Profit: +40%
🔹 B) Step-Ladder Trailing Profit
As the option price rises, trailing activates:
Max Profit Reached Exit Trigger When Falls To
≥ 35% ≤ 30%
≥ 30% ≤ 25%
≥ 25% ≤ 20%
≥ 20% ≤ 15%
≥ 15% ≤ 10%
≥ 5% ≤ 0%
🔹 C) Loss-Recovery Exit
If loss reaches –10% but then recovers to 0%, exit at breakeven.
4️⃣ Trend-Reversal Exit
If price closes below 5m EMA50, the long is exited instantly.
5️⃣ Optional Intraday Exit
EOD square-off at 3:15 PM.
6️⃣ Alerts for Automation
The strategy provides alerts for:
BUY entry
TP/SL/Trailing exit
EMA50 reversal exit
EOD exit
Oracle Protocol — Arch Public (Testing Clone) Oracle Protocol — Arch Public Series (testing clone)
This model implements the Arch Public Oracle structure: a systematic accumulation-and-distribution engine built around a dynamic Accumulation Cost Base (ACB), strict profit-gate exit logic, and a capital-bounded flywheel reinvestment system.
It is designed for transparent execution, deterministic behaviour, and rule-based position management.
Core Function Set
1. Accumulation Framework (ACB-Driven)
The accumulation engine evaluates market movement against defined entry conditions, including:
Percentage-based entry-drop triggers
Optional buy-below-ACB mode
Capital-gated entries tied to available ledger balance
Fixed-dollar and min-dollar entry rules (as seen in Arch public materials)
Automated sizing through flywheel capital
Range-bounded ledger for controlled backtesting input
Each qualifying buy updates the live ACB, maintains the internal ledger, and forms the next reference point for exit evaluation.
No forecasting mechanisms are included.
2. Profit-Gate Exit System
Exits are governed by the standard Arch public approach:
A sealed ACB reference for threshold evaluation
Optional live-ACB visibility
Profit-gate triggers defined per asset class
Candle-confirmation integration (“ProfitGate + Candle” mode)
Distribution only when the smallest active threshold is met
This provides a consistent cadence with published Arch diagrams and PDFs.
3. Once-Per-Rally Governance
After a distribution, the algorithm locks until price retraces below the most recent accumulation base.
Only after re-arming can the next profit gate activate.
This prevents over-frequency selling and aligns with the public-domain Oracle behaviour.
4. Quiet-Bars & Threshold Cluster Control
A volatility-stabilisation layer prevents multiple exits from micro-fluctuations or transient spikes.
This ensures clean execution during fast markets and high volatility.
5. Flywheel Reinvestment
Distribution proceeds automatically return to the capital pool where permitted, creating a closed system of:
Entry sizing
Exit proceeds
Ledger-managed capital state
All sizing respects capital boundaries and does not breach dollar floors or overrides.
6. Automation Hooks and Integration
The script exposes:
3Commas-compatible JSON sizing
Entry/exit signalling via alertcondition()
Deterministic event reporting suitable for external automation
This allows consistent deployment across automated execution environments.
7. Visual Tooling
Optional displays include:
Live ACB line
Exit-guide markers
Capital, state, and ledger panels
Realized/unrealized outcome tracking based on internal logic only
Visual components do not influence execution rules.
Operating Notes
This model is rule-based, deterministic, and non-predictive.
It executes only according to the explicit thresholds, capital limits, and state transitions defined within the script.
No discretionary or forward-looking logic is included.
(CRT) MTF Candle Range Theory Model# 🚀 **CASH Pro MTF – Candle Range Theory (CRT) Indicator**
**The Smart Money ICT Setup Detector** 🔥
Hey Traders!
Here is the **ultimate Pine Script indicator** that automatically detects one of the most powerful Smart Money / ICT setups: **Candle Range Theory (CRT)**
---
### What is Candle Range Theory – CRT?
**CRT** is a high-probability price action model based on **liquidity grabs** and **range expansion**.
Price loves to:
1️⃣ Raid the low/high of the previous candle (take stop-losses)
2️⃣ Then reverse and run to the opposite side of the range (or beyond)
When this happens near a **key higher-timeframe level**, magic happens!
### Bullish CRT Model
- Price touches a **strong HTF support**
- Previous candle closes near that support
- Next candle **sweeps the low** (grabs liquidity)
- Current candle **closes above the raided low AND breaks the high** of the sweep candle
**Result → Aggressive bullish move expected!**
**Entry:** On close above the high (or on retest + MSS)
**Stop Loss:** Below the swept low
**Take Profit:** CRT High or next liquidity pool
### Bearish CRT Model
- Price touches a **strong HTF resistance**
- Previous candle closes near resistance
- Next candle **sweeps the high** (grabs buy stops)
- Current candle **closes below the raided high AND breaks the low** of the sweep candle
**Result → Strong bearish expansion!**
**Entry:** On close below the low
**Stop Loss:** Above the swept high
**Take Profit:** CRT Low or next downside liquidity
This whole setup can form in **just 3 candles**… or sometimes more if price consolidates after the sweep.
---
### Why This Indicator is Special
This is **NOT** a simple 3-candle pattern scanner!
This is a **true CRT + MTF confluence beast** with:
- **Multi-Timeframe Confirmation** (default 4H – fully customizable)
- **Built-in RSI Filter** (avoid fake moves in overbought/oversold)
- **Day-2 High/Low Levels** automatically drawn (the exact CRT range!)
- **Clean “LONG” / “SHORT” labels** right on the candle (no ugly arrows or offset)
- **Background highlight** on signal
- **Fully grouped inputs** – super clean settings panel
---
### Features at a Glance
| Feature | Included |
|--------------------------------|----------|
| Higher Timeframe Confirmation | Yes |
| RSI Overbought/Oversold Filter | Yes |
| Day-2 High/Low Lines + Labels | Yes |
| Clean Text Signals (no offset) | Yes |
| Background Highlight | Yes |
| Fully Customizable Colors & Text| Yes |
| Works on All Markets & TFs | Yes |
---
### How to Use
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. Wait for a **LONG** or **SHORT** label to appear
3. Confirm price is near a **key HTF level** (order block, FVG, etc.)
4. Enter on close or retest (your choice)
5. Manage risk with the drawn Day-2 levels
**Pro Tip:** Combine with ICT Market Structure Shift (MSS) or Fair Value Gaps for even higher accuracy!
Vital Wave 20-50Simplicity is almost always the most effective approach, and here I’m giving you a trend-following system that exploits the bullish bias of traditional markets and their trending nature, with very basic rules.
Rules (long entries only)
• Market entry: When the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 (from below)
• Main market exit: When the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50 (from above)
• Fixed Stop Loss: Placed at the price level of the Lower Bollinger Band at the moment the trade is entered.
In my strategy, the primary exit is when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50. However, this crossover can sometimes take a while to occur, and in the meantime the price may have already dropped significantly. The Stop Loss based on the Lower Bollinger Band is designed to limit losses in case the market moves sharply against the position without giving the bearish crossover signal in time. Having two exit conditions makes the strategy much more robust in terms of risk management.
Risk Management:
• Initial capital: $10,000
• Position size: 10% of available capital per trade
• Commissions: 0.1% on traded volume
• Stop Loss: Based on the Lower Bollinger Band
• Take Profit / Exit: When EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50
Recommended Markets:
XAUUSD (OANDA) (Daily)
Period: January 3, 1833 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$6,030.62 USD (+57.57%)
Maximum Drawdown: $541.53 USD (3.83%)
Total Trades: 136
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 36.03% (49/136)
Profit Factor: 2.483
XAUUSD (OANDA) (12-hour)
Period: March 19, 2006 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$1,209.56 USD (+11.89%)
Maximum Drawdown: $384.58 USD (3.61%)
Total Trades: 97
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 35.05% (34/97)
Profit Factor: 1.676
XAUUSD (OANDA) (8-hour)
Period: March 19, 2006 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$1,179.36 USD (+11.81%)
Maximum Drawdown: $246.88 USD (2.32%)
Total Trades: 147
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 31.97% (47/147)
Profit Factor: 1.626
Tesla (NASDAQ) (4-hour)
Period: June 29, 2010 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss (Absolute): +$11,687.90 USD (+116.88%)
Maximum Drawdown: $922.05 USD (6.50%)
Total Trades: 68
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 39.71% (27/68)
Profit Factor: 4.156
Tesla (NASDAQ) (3-hour)
Total Profit & Loss: +$11,522.33 USD (+115.22%)
Maximum Drawdown: $1,247.60 USD (8.80%)
Total Trades: 114
Winning Trades: 33.33% (38/114)
Profit Factor: 2.811
Additional Recommendations
(These assets have shown good trending behavior with the same strategy across multiple timeframes):
• NVDA (15 min, 30 min, 1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• NFLX (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• MA (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• META (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• AAPL (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• SPY (12h, Daily)
About the Code
The user can modify:
• EMA periods (20 and 50 by default)
• Bollinger Bands length (20 periods)
• Standard deviation (2.0)
Visualization
• EMA 20: Blue line
• EMA 50: Red line
• Green background when EMA20 > EMA50 (bullish trend)
• Red background when EMA20 < EMA50 (bearish trend)
Important Note:
We can significantly increase the profit factor and overall profitability by risking a fixed percentage per trade instead of a fixed amount. This would prevent losses from fluctuating with changes in volatility.
This could be implemented by reducing position size or adjusting leverage based on the volatility percentage required for each trade, but I’m not sure if this is fully possible in Pine Script. In my other script, “ Golden Cross 50/200 EMA ,” I go deeper into this topic and provide examples.
I hope you enjoy this contribution. Best regards!
Hash Momentum IndicatorHash Momentum Indicator
Overview
The Hash Momentum Indicator provides real-time momentum-based trading signals with visual entry/exit markers and automatic risk management levels. This is the indicator version of the popular Hash Momentum Strategy, designed for traders who want signal alerts without backtesting functionality.
Perfect for: Live trading, automation via alerts, multi-indicator setups, and clean chart visualization.
What Makes This Indicator Special
1. Pure Momentum-Based Signals
Captures price acceleration in real-time - not lagging moving average crossovers. Enters when momentum exceeds a dynamic ATR-based threshold, catching moves as they begin accelerating.
2. Automatic Risk Management Visualization
Every signal automatically displays:
Entry level (white dashed line)
Stop loss level (red line)
Take profit target (green line)
Partial TP levels (dotted green lines)
3. Smart Trade Management
Trade Cooldown: Prevents overtrading by enforcing waiting period between signals
EMA Trend Filter: Only trades with the trend (optional)
Session Filters: Trade only during Tokyo/London/New York sessions (optional)
Weekend Toggle: Avoid low-liquidity weekend periods (optional)
4. Clean Visual Design
🟢 Tiny green dot = Long entry signal
🔴 Tiny red dot = Short entry signal
🔵 Blue X = Long exit
🟠 Orange X = Short exit
No cluttered labels or dashboard - just clean signals
5. Professional Alerts Ready
Set up TradingView alerts for:
Long signals
Short signals
Long exits
Short exits
How It Works
Step 1: Calculate Momentum
Momentum = Current Price - Price
Normalized by standard deviation for consistency
Must exceed ATR × Threshold to trigger
Step 2: Confirm Acceleration
Momentum must be increasing (positive momentum change)
Price must be moving in signal direction
Step 3: Apply Filters
EMA Filter: Long only above EMA, short only below EMA (if enabled)
Session Filter: Check if in allowed trading session (if enabled)
Weekend Filter: Block signals on Sat/Sun (if enabled)
Cooldown: Ensure minimum bars passed since last signal
Step 4: Generate Signal
All conditions met = Entry signal fires
Lines automatically drawn for entry, stop, and targets
Step 5: Exit Detection
Opposite momentum detected = Exit signal
Stop loss or take profit hit = Exit signal
Lines removed from chart
⚙️ Settings Guide
Core Strategy
Momentum Length (Default: 13)
Number of bars for momentum calculation. Higher values = stronger signals but fewer trades.
Aggressive: 10
Balanced: 13
Conservative: 18-24
Momentum Threshold (Default: 2.25)
ATR multiplier for signal generation. Higher values = only trade the biggest momentum moves.
Aggressive: 2.0
Balanced: 2.25
Conservative: 2.5-3.0
Risk:Reward Ratio (Default: 2.5)
Your target profit as a multiple of your risk. With 2.2% stop and 2.5 R:R, your target is 5.5% profit.
Conservative: 3.0+ (need 25% win rate to profit)
Balanced: 2.5 (need 29% win rate to profit)
Aggressive: 2.0 (need 33% win rate to profit)
