Several Fundamentals in One [aep]
**Financial Ratios Indicator**
This comprehensive Financial Ratios Indicator combines various essential metrics to help traders and investors evaluate the financial health of companies at a glance. The following categories are included:
### Valuation Ratios
- **P/B Ratio (Price to Book Ratio)**: Assesses if a stock is undervalued or overvalued by comparing its market price to its book value.
- **P/E Ratio TTM (Price to Earnings Ratio Trailing Twelve Months)**: Indicates how many years of earnings would be needed to pay the current stock price by comparing the stock price to earnings per share over the last twelve months.
- **P/FCF Ratio TTM (Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Trailing Twelve Months)**: Evaluates a company's ability to generate free cash flow by comparing the market price to free cash flow per share over the last twelve months.
- **Tobin Q Ratio**: Indicates whether the market is overvaluing or undervaluing a company’s assets by comparing market value to replacement cost.
- **Piotroski F-Score (0-9)**: A scoring system that identifies financially strong companies based on fundamental metrics.
### Efficiency
- **Net Margin % TTM**: Measures profitability by calculating the percentage of revenue that becomes net profit after all expenses and taxes.
- **Free Cashflow Margin %**: Indicates a company’s efficiency in generating free cash flow from its revenues by showing the percentage of revenue that translates into free cash flow.
- **ROE%, ROIC%, ROA%**: Evaluate a company’s efficiency in generating profits from equity, invested capital, and total assets, respectively.
### Liquidity Metrics
- **Debt to Equity Ratio**: Shows the level of debt relative to equity, helping assess financial leverage.
- **Current Ratio**: Measures a company's ability to pay short-term debts by comparing current assets to current liabilities.
- **Long Term Debt to Assets**: Evaluates the level of long-term debt in relation to total assets.
### Dividend Policy
- **Retention Ratio % TTM**: Indicates the proportion of earnings reinvested in the company instead of distributed as dividends.
- **Dividend/Earnings Ratio % TTM**: Measures the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends to shareholders.
- **RORE % TTM (Return on Retained Earnings)**: Assesses how effectively a company utilizes retained earnings to generate additional profits.
- **Dividend Yield %**: Indicates the dividend yield of a stock by comparing annual dividends per share to the current stock price.
### Growth Ratios
- **EPS 1yr Growth %**: Measures the percentage growth of earnings per share over the last year.
- **Revenue 1yr Growth %**: Evaluates the percentage growth of revenue over the last year.
- **Sustainable Growth Rate**: Indicates the growth rate a company can maintain without increasing debt, assessing sustainable growth using internal resources.
Utilize this indicator to streamline your analysis of financial performance and make informed trading decisions.
"profit" için komut dosyalarını ara
Fractal Breakout Trend Following StrategyOverview
The Fractal Breakout Trend Following Strategy is a trend-following system which utilizes the Willams Fractals and Alligator to execute the long trades on the fractal's breakouts which have a high probability to be the new uptrend phase beginning. This system also uses the normalized Average True Range indicator to filter trades after a large moves, because it's more likely to see the trend continuation after a consolidation period. Strategy can execute only long trades.
Unique Features
Trend and volatility filtering system: Strategy uses Williams Alligator to filter the counter-trend fractals breakouts and normalized Average True Range to avoid the trades after large moves, when volatility is high
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Flexible Risk Management: Users can choose the stop-loss percent (by default = 3%) for trades, but strategy also has the dynamic stop-loss level using down fractals.
Methodology
The strategy places stop order at the last valid fractal breakout level. Validity of this fractal is defined by the Williams Alligator indicator. If at the moment of time when price breaking the last fractal price is higher than Alligator's teeth line (8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future) this is a valid breakout. Moreover strategy has the additional volatility filtering system using normalized ATR. It calculates the average normalized ATR for last user-defined number of bars and if this value lower than the user-defined threshold value the long trade is executed.
When trade is opened, script places the stop loss at the price higher of two levels: user defined stop-loss from the position entry price or down fractal validation level. The down fractal is valid with the rule, opposite as the up fractal validation. Price shall break to the downside the last down fractal below the Willians Alligator's teeth line.
Strategy has no fixed take profit. Exit level changes with the down fractal validation level. If price is in strong uptrend trade is going to be active until last down fractal is not valid. Strategy closes trade when price hits the down fractal validation level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 3% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Williams Fractals to open long trade when price has broken the key resistance level to the upside. This resistance level is the last up fractal and is shall be broken above the Williams Alligator's teeth line to be qualified as the valid breakout according to this strategy. The Alligator filtering increases the probability to avoid the false breakouts against the current trend.
Moreover strategy has an additional filter using Average True Range(ATR) indicator. If average value of ATR for the last user-defined number of bars is lower than user-defined threshold strategy can open the long trade according to open trade condition above. The logic here is following: we want to open trades after period of price consolidation inside the range because before and after a big move price is more likely to be in sideways, but we need a trend move to have a profit.
Another one important feature is how the exit condition is defined. On the one hand, strategy has the user-defined stop-loss (3% below the entry price by default). It's made to give users the opportunity to restrict their losses according to their risk-tolerance. On the other hand, strategy utilizes the dynamic exit level which is defined by down fractal activation. If we assume the breaking up fractal is the beginning of the uptrend, breaking down fractal can be the start of downtrend phase. We don't want to be in long trade if there is a high probability of reversal to the downside. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.19%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.97%
Net Profit: +3036.90 USDT (+30.37%)
Total Trades: 83 (28.92% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.953
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 963.98 USDT (-8.29%)
Average Profit per Trade: 36.59 USDT (+1.12%)
Average Trade Duration: 72 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h and higher time frames and the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Ichimoku Clouds Strategy Long and ShortOverview:
The Ichimoku Clouds Strategy leverages the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technique to offer traders a range of innovative features, enhancing market analysis and trading efficiency. This strategy is distinct in its combination of standard methodology and advanced customization, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
Unique Features:
Enhanced Interpretation: The strategy introduces weak, neutral, and strong bullish/bearish signals, enabling detailed interpretation of the Ichimoku cloud and direct chart plotting.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Dual Trading Modes: Long and Short modes are available, allowing alignment with market trends.
Flexible Risk Management: Offers three styles in each mode, combining fixed risk management with dynamic indicator states for versatile trade management.
Indicator Line Plotting: Enables plotting of Ichimoku indicator lines on the chart for visual decision-making support.
Methodology:
The strategy utilizes the standard Ichimoku Kinko Hyo model, interpreting indicator values with settings adjustable through a user-friendly menu. This approach is enhanced by TradingView's built-in strategy tester for customization and market selection.
Risk Management:
Our approach to risk management is dynamic and indicator-centric. With data from the last year, we focus on dynamic indicator states interpretations to mitigate manual setting causing human factor biases. Users still have the option to set a fixed stop loss and/or take profit per position using the corresponding parameters in settings, aligning with their risk tolerance.
Backtest Results:
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.01.04. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Maximum Single Position Loss: -6.29%
Maximum Single Profit: 22.32%
Net Profit: +10 901.95 USDT (+109.02%)
Total Trades: 119 (51.26% profitability)
Profit Factor: 1.775
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 4 185.37 USDT (-22.87%)
Average Profit per Trade: 91.67 USDT (+0.7%)
Average Trade Duration: 56 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters. Backtest is calculated using deep backtest option in TradingView built-in strategy tester
How to Use:
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired chart and timeframe (optimal performance observed on the 1H chart, ForEx or cryptocurrency top-10 coins with quote asset USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Machine Learning: Optimal RSI [YinYangAlgorithms]This Indicator, will rate multiple different lengths of RSIs to determine which RSI to RSI MA cross produced the highest profit within the lookback span. This ‘Optimal RSI’ is then passed back, and if toggled will then be thrown into a Machine Learning calculation. You have the option to Filter RSI and RSI MA’s within the Machine Learning calculation. What this does is, only other Optimal RSI’s which are in the same bullish or bearish direction (is the RSI above or below the RSI MA) will be added to the calculation.
You can either (by default) use a Simple Average; which is essentially just a Mean of all the Optimal RSI’s with a length of Machine Learning. Or, you can opt to use a k-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) calculation which takes a Fast and Slow Speed. We essentially turn the Optimal RSI into a MA with different lengths and then compare the distance between the two within our KNN Function.
RSI may very well be one of the most used Indicators for identifying crucial Overbought and Oversold locations. Not only that but when it crosses its Moving Average (MA) line it may also indicate good locations to Buy and Sell. Many traders simply use the RSI with the standard length (14), however, does that mean this is the best length?
By using the length of the top performing RSI and then applying some Machine Learning logic to it, we hope to create what may be a more accurate, smooth, optimal, RSI.
Tutorial:
This is a pretty zoomed out Perspective of what the Indicator looks like with its default settings (except with Bollinger Bands and Signals disabled). If you look at the Tables above, you’ll notice, currently the Top Performing RSI Length is 13 with an Optimal Profit % of: 1.00054973. On its default settings, what it does is Scan X amount of RSI Lengths and checks for when the RSI and RSI MA cross each other. It then records the profitability of each cross to identify which length produced the overall highest crossing profitability. Whichever length produces the highest profit is then the RSI length that is used in the plots, until another length takes its place. This may result in what we deem to be the ‘Optimal RSI’ as it is an adaptive RSI which changes based on performance.
In our next example, we changed the ‘Optimal RSI Type’ from ‘All Crossings’ to ‘Extremity Crossings’. If you compare the last two examples to each other, you’ll notice some similarities, but overall they’re quite different. The reason why is, the Optimal RSI is calculated differently. When using ‘All Crossings’ everytime the RSI and RSI MA cross, we evaluate it for profit (short and long). However, with ‘Extremity Crossings’, we only evaluate it when the RSI crosses over the RSI MA and RSI <= 40 or RSI crosses under the RSI MA and RSI >= 60. We conclude the crossing when it crosses back on its opposite of the extremity, and that is how it finds its Optimal RSI.
The way we determine the Optimal RSI is crucial to calculating which length is currently optimal.
In this next example we have zoomed in a bit, and have the full default settings on. Now we have signals (which you can set alerts for), for when the RSI and RSI MA cross (green is bullish and red is bearish). We also have our Optimal RSI Bollinger Bands enabled here too. These bands allow you to see where there may be Support and Resistance within the RSI at levels that aren’t static; such as 30 and 70. The length the RSI Bollinger Bands use is the Optimal RSI Length, allowing it to likewise change in correlation to the Optimal RSI.
In the example above, we’ve zoomed out as far as the Optimal RSI Bollinger Bands go. You’ll notice, the Bollinger Bands may act as Support and Resistance locations within and outside of the RSI Mid zone (30-70). In the next example we will highlight these areas so they may be easier to see.
Circled above, you may see how many times the Optimal RSI faced Support and Resistance locations on the Bollinger Bands. These Bollinger Bands may give a second location for Support and Resistance. The key Support and Resistance may still be the 30/50/70, however the Bollinger Bands allows us to have a more adaptive, moving form of Support and Resistance. This helps to show where it may ‘bounce’ if it surpasses any of the static levels (30/50/70).
Due to the fact that this Indicator may take a long time to execute and it can throw errors for such, we have added a Setting called: Adjust Optimal RSI Lookback and RSI Count. This settings will automatically modify the Optimal RSI Lookback Length and the RSI Count based on the Time Frame you are on and the Bar Indexes that are within. For instance, if we switch to the 1 Hour Time Frame, it will adjust the length from 200->90 and RSI Count from 30->20. If this wasn’t adjusted, the Indicator would Timeout.
You may however, change the Setting ‘Adjust Optimal RSI Lookback and RSI Count’ to ‘Manual’ from ‘Auto’. This will give you control over the ‘Optimal RSI Lookback Length’ and ‘RSI Count’ within the Settings. Please note, it will likely take some “fine tuning” to find working settings without the Indicator timing out, but there are definitely times you can find better settings than our ‘Auto’ will create; especially on higher Time Frames. The Minimum our ‘Auto’ will create is:
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: 90
RSI Count: 20
The Maximum it will create is:
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: 200
RSI Count: 30
If there isn’t much bar index history, for instance, if you’re on the 1 Day and the pair is BTC/USDT you’ll get < 4000 Bar Indexes worth of data. For this reason it is possible to manually increase the settings to say:
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: 500
RSI Count: 50
But, please note, if you make it too high, it may also lead to inaccuracies.
We will conclude our Tutorial here, hopefully this has given you some insight as to how calculating our Optimal RSI and then using it within Machine Learning may create a more adaptive RSI.
Settings:
Optimal RSI:
Show Crossing Signals: Display signals where the RSI and RSI Cross.
Show Tables: Display Information Tables to show information like, Optimal RSI Length, Best Profit, New Optimal RSI Lookback Length and New RSI Count.
Show Bollinger Bands: Show RSI Bollinger Bands. These bands work like the TDI Indicator, except its length changes as it uses the current RSI Optimal Length.
Optimal RSI Type: This is how we calculate our Optimal RSI. Do we use all RSI and RSI MA Crossings or just when it crosses within the Extremities.
Adjust Optimal RSI Lookback and RSI Count: Auto means the script will automatically adjust the Optimal RSI Lookback Length and RSI Count based on the current Time Frame and Bar Index's on chart. This will attempt to stop the script from 'Taking too long to Execute'. Manual means you have full control of the Optimal RSI Lookback Length and RSI Count.
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: How far back are we looking to see which RSI length is optimal? Please note the more bars the lower this needs to be. For instance with BTC/USDT you can use 500 here on 1D but only 200 for 15 Minutes; otherwise it will timeout.
RSI Count: How many lengths are we checking? For instance, if our 'RSI Minimum Length' is 4 and this is 30, the valid RSI lengths we check is 4-34.
RSI Minimum Length: What is the RSI length we start our scans at? We are capped with RSI Count otherwise it will cause the Indicator to timeout, so we don't want to waste any processing power on irrelevant lengths.
RSI MA Length: What length are we using to calculate the optimal RSI cross' and likewise plot our RSI MA with?
Extremity Crossings RSI Backup Length: When there is no Optimal RSI (if using Extremity Crossings), which RSI should we use instead?
Machine Learning:
Use Rational Quadratics: Rationalizing our Close may be beneficial for usage within ML calculations.
Filter RSI and RSI MA: Should we filter the RSI's before usage in ML calculations? Essentially should we only use RSI data that are of the same type as our Optimal RSI? For instance if our Optimal RSI is Bullish (RSI > RSI MA), should we only use ML RSI's that are likewise bullish?
Machine Learning Type: Are we using a Simple ML Average, KNN Mean Average, KNN Exponential Average or None?
KNN Distance Type: We need to check if distance is within the KNN Min/Max distance, which distance checks are we using.
Machine Learning Length: How far back is our Machine Learning going to keep data for.
k-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) Length: How many k-Nearest Neighbours will we account for?
Fast ML Data Length: What is our Fast ML Length? This is used with our Slow Length to create our KNN Distance.
Slow ML Data Length: What is our Slow ML Length? This is used with our Fast Length to create our KNN Distance.
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
2Mars - MA / BB / SuperTrend
The 2Mars strategy is a trading approach that aims to improve trading efficiency by incorporating several simple order opening tactics. These tactics include moving average crossovers, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend.
Entering a Position with the 2Mars Strategy:
Moving Average Crossover: This method considers the crossing of moving averages as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Bollinger Bands: If the price crosses either the upper or lower Bollinger Band, it is seen as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Moving Average: If the price crosses the moving average, it is also considered a signal to enter a position.
SuperTrend and Bars confirm:
The SuperTrend indicator is used to provide additional confirmation for entering positions and setting stop loss levels. "Bars confirm" is used only for entry to positions.
Moving Average Crossover Strategy:
A moving average crossover refers to the point on a chart where there is a crossover of the signal or fast moving average, above or below the basis or slow moving average. This strategy also uses moving averages for additional orders #3.
Basis Moving Average Length: Ratio * Multiplier
Signal Moving Average Length: Multiplier
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of three bands: an upper band, a lower band, and a basis moving average. However, the 2Mars strategy incorporates multiple upper and lower levels for position entry and take profit.
Basis +/- StdDev * 0.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 1.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 2.618
Additional Orders:
Additional Order #1 and #2: closing price crosses above or below the Bollinger Bands.
Additional Order #3: closing price crosses above or below the basis or signal moving average.
Take Profit:
The strategy includes three levels for taking profits, which are based on the Bollinger Bands. Additionally, a percentage of the position can be chosen to close long or short positions.
Limit Orders:
The strategy allows for entering a position using a limit order. The calculation for the limit order involves the Average True Range (ATR) for a specific period.
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Multiplier
Stop Loss:
To manage risk, the strategy recommends using stop loss options. The stop loss is updated with each entry order and take-profit level 3. When using the SuperTrend Confirmation, the stop loss requires confirmation of a trend change. It allows for flexible adjustment of the stop loss when the trend changes.
There are three options for setting the stop loss:
1. ATR (Average True Range):
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Short multiplier
2. SuperTrend + ATR:
For long positions: SuperTrend - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: SuperTrend + ATR * Short multiplier
3. StdDev:
For long positions: StdDev - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: StdDev + ATR * Short multiplier
Flexible Stop Loss:
There is also a flexible stop loss option for the ATR and StdDev methods. It is triggered when the SuperTrend or moving average trend changes unfavorably.
For long positions: Stop-loss price + (ATR * Long multiplier) * Multiplier
For short positions: Stop-loss price - (ATR * Short multiplier) * Multiplier
How configure:
Disable SuperTrend, take profit, stop loss, additional orders and begin setting up a strategy.
Pick soucre data
Number of bars for confirm
Pick up the ratio of the base moving average and the signal moving average.
Set up a SuperTrend
Time for set up of the Bollinger Bands and the take profit
And finaly set up of stop loss and limit orders
All done!
For OKX exchange:
Trend Confirmation StrategyThe profitability and uniqueness of a trading strategy depend on various factors including market conditions, risk management, and the strategy's ability to capitalize on price movements. I'll describe the strategy provided and highlight its potential benefits and differences compared to other strategies:
Strategy Overview:
The provided strategy combines three technical indicators: Supertrend, MACD, and VWAP. It aims to identify potential entry and exit points by confirming trend direction and considering the proximity to the VWAP level. The strategy also incorporates stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms, as well as a trailing stop.
Unique Aspects and Potential Benefits:
Trend Confirmation: The strategy uses both Supertrend and MACD to confirm the trend direction. This dual confirmation can increase the likelihood of accurate trend identification and filter out false signals.
VWAP Confirmation: The strategy considers the proximity of the price to the VWAP level. This dynamic level can act as a support or resistance and provide additional context for entry decisions.
Adaptive Stop Loss: The strategy sets a stop-loss range, which helps provide some tolerance for minor price fluctuations. This adaptive approach considers market volatility and helps prevent premature stop-loss triggers.
Trailing Stop: The strategy incorporates a trailing stop mechanism to lock in profits as the trade moves in the desired direction. This can potentially enhance profitability during strong trends.
Partial Profit Booking: While not explicitly implemented in the provided code, you could consider booking partial profits when the MACD shows a crossover in the opposite direction. This aspect could help secure gains while still keeping exposure to potential further price movements.
Key Differences from Other Strategies:
Dual Indicator Confirmation: The combination of Supertrend and MACD for trend confirmation is a unique aspect of this strategy. It adds an extra layer of filtering to enhance the accuracy of entry signals.
Dynamic VWAP: Incorporating the VWAP level into the decision-making process adds a dynamic element to the strategy. VWAP is often used by institutional traders, and its inclusion can provide insights into the market sentiment.
Adaptive Stop Loss and Trailing: The strategy's use of an adaptive stop-loss range and a trailing stop can help manage risk and protect profits more effectively during changing market conditions.
Partial Profit Booking: The suggestion to consider partial profit booking upon MACD crossovers in the opposite direction is a practical approach to secure gains while staying in the trade.
Caution and Considerations:
Backtesting: Before deploying any strategy in real trading, it's crucial to thoroughly backtest it on historical data to understand its performance under various market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy has built-in risk management mechanisms, it's essential to carefully manage position sizes and overall portfolio risk.
Market Conditions: No strategy works well in all market conditions. It's important to be flexible and adjust the strategy or refrain from trading during particularly volatile or unpredictable periods.
Continuous Monitoring: Even though the strategy includes automated components, continuous monitoring of the trades and market conditions is necessary.
Adaptability: Markets can change over time. Traders need to be prepared to adapt the strategy as necessary to stay aligned with evolving market dynamics.
Tri-State SupertrendTri-State Supertrend: Buy, Sell, Range
( Credits: Based on "Pivot Point Supertrend" by LonesomeTheBlue.)
Tri-State Supertrend incorporates a range filter into a supertrend algorithm.
So in addition to the Buy and Sell states, we now also have a Range state.
This avoids the typical "whipsaw" problem: During a range, a standard supertrend algorithm will fire Buy and Sell signals in rapid succession. These signals are all false signals as they lead to losing positions when acted on.
In this case, a tri-state supertrend will go into Range mode and stay in this mode until price exits the range and a new trend begins.
I used Pivot Point Supertrend by LonesomeTheBlue as a starting point for this script because I believe LonesomeTheBlue's version is superior to the classic Supertrend algorithm.
This indicator has two additional parameters over Pivot Point Supertrend:
A flag to turn the range filter on or off
A range size threshold in percent
With that last parameter, you can define what a range is. The best value will depend on the asset you are trading.
Also, there are two new display options.
"Show (non-) trendline for ranges" - determines whether to draw the "trendline" inside of a range. Seeing as there is no trend in a range, this is usually just visual noise.
"Show suppressed signals" - allows you to see the Buy/Sell signals that were skipped by the range filter.
How to use Tri-State Supertrend in a strategy
You can use the Buy and Sell signals to enter positions as you would with a normal supertrend. Adding stop loss, trailing stop etc. is of course encouraged and very helpful. But what to do when the Range signal appears?
I currently run a strategy on LDO based on Tri-State Supertrend which appears to be profitable. (It will quite likely be open sourced at some point, but it is not released yet.)
In that strategy, I experimented with different actions being taken when the Range state is entered:
Continue: Just keep last position open during the range
Close: Close the last position when entering range
Reversal: During the range, execute the OPPOSITE of each signal (sell on "buy", buy on "sell")
In the backtest, it transpired that "Continue" was the most profitable option for this strategy.
How ranges are detected
The mechanism is pretty simple: During each Buy or Sell trend, we record price movement, specifically, the furthest move in the trend direction that was encountered (expressed as a percentage).
When a new signal is issued, the algorithm checks whether this value (for the last trend) is below the range size set by the user. If yes, we enter Range mode.
The same logic is used to exit Range mode. This check is performed on every bar in a range, so we can enter a buy or sell as early as possible.
I found that this simple logic works astonishingly well in practice.
Pros/cons of the range filter
A range filter is an incredibly useful addition to a supertrend and will most likely boost your profits.
You will see at most one false signal at the beginning of each range (because it takes a bit of time to detect the range); after that, no more false signals will appear over the range's entire duration. So this is a huge advantage.
There is essentially only one small price you have to pay:
When a range ends, the first Buy/Sell signal you get will be delayed over the regular supertrend's signal. This is, again, because the algorithm needs some time to detect that the range has ended. If you select a range size of, say, 1%, you will essentially lose 1% of profit in each range because of this delay.
In practice, it is very likely that the benefits of a range filter outweigh its cost. Ranges can last quite some time, equating to many false signals that the range filter will completely eliminate (all except for the first one, as explained above).
You have to do your own tests though :)
Slight Swing Momentum Strategy.Introduction:
The Swing Momentum Strategy is a quantitative trading strategy designed to capture mid-term opportunities in the financial markets by combining swing trading principles with momentum indicators. It utilizes a combination of technical indicators, including moving averages, crossover signals, and volume analysis, to generate buy and sell signals. The strategy aims to identify market trends and capitalize on price momentum for profit generation.
Highlights:
The strategy offers several key highlights that make it unique and potentially attractive to traders:
Swing Trading with Momentum: The strategy combines the principles of swing trading, which aim to capture short-to-medium-term price swings, with momentum indicators that help identify strong price trends and potential breakout opportunities.
Technical Indicator Optimization: The strategy utilizes a selection of optimized technical indicators, including moving averages and crossover signals, to filter out the noise and focus on high-probability trading setups. This optimization enhances the strategy's ability to identify favourable entry and exit points.
Risk Management: The strategy incorporates risk management techniques, such as position sizing based on equity and dynamic stop loss levels, to manage risk exposure and protect capital. This helps to minimize drawdowns and preserve profits.
Buy Condition:
The buy condition in the strategy is determined by a combination of factors, including A1, A2, A3, XG, and weeklySlope. Let's break it down:
A1 Condition: The A1 condition checks for specific price relationships. It verifies that the ratio of the highest price to the closing price is less than 1.03, the ratio of the opening price to the lowest price is less than 1.03, and the ratio of the highest price to the previous day's closing price is greater than 1.06. This condition looks for a specific pattern indicating potential bullish momentum.
A2 Condition: The A2 condition checks for price relationships related to the closing price. It verifies that the ratio of the closing price to the opening price is greater than 1.05 or that the ratio of the closing price to the previous day's closing price is greater than 1.05. This condition looks for signs of upward price movement and momentum.
A3 Condition: The A3 condition focuses on volume. It checks if the current volume crosses above the highest volume over the last 60 periods. This condition aims to identify increased buying interest and potentially confirms the strength of the potential upward price movement.
XG Condition: The XG condition combines the A1 and A2 conditions and checks if they are true for both the current and previous bars. It also verifies that the ratio of the closing price to the 5-period EMA crosses above the 9-period SMA of the same ratio. This condition helps identify potential buy signals when multiple factors align, indicating a strong bullish momentum and potential entry point.
Weekly Trend Factor: The weekly slope condition calculates the slope of the 50-period SMA over a weekly timeframe. It checks if the slope is positive, indicating an overall upward trend on a weekly basis. This condition provides additional confirmation that the stock is in an upward trend.
When all of these conditions align, the buy condition is triggered, indicating a favourable time to enter a long position.
Sell Condition:
The sell condition is relatively straightforward in the strategy:
Sell Signal: The sell condition simply checks if the closing price crosses below the 10-period EMA. When this condition is met, it indicates a potential reversal or weakening of the upward price momentum, and a sell signal is generated.
Backtest Outcome:
The strategy was backtested over the period from January 22nd, 1999 to May 3rd, 2023, using daily candlestick charts for the NASDAQ: NVDA. The strategy used an initial capital of 1,000,000 USD, The order quantity is defined as 10% of the equity. The strategy allows for pyramiding with 1 order, and the transaction fee is set at 0.03% per trade. Here are the key outcomes of the backtest:
Net Profit: 539,595.84 USD, representing a return of 53.96%.
Percent Profitable: 48.82%
Total Closed Trades: 127
Profit Factor: 2.331
Max Drawdown: 68,422.70 USD
Average Trade: 4,248.79 USD
Average Number of Bars in Trades: 11, indicating the average duration of the trades.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the Swing Momentum Strategy is a quantitative trading approach that combines swing trading principles with momentum indicators to identify and capture mid term trading opportunities. The strategy has demonstrated promising results during backtesting, including a significant net profit and a favourable profit factor.
The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)
Are you tired of manually analyzing charts and trying to find profitable trading opportunities? Look no further! Our algorithmic trading strategy, "Flash," is here to simplify your trading process and maximize your profits.
Flash is an advanced trading algorithm that combines three powerful indicators to generate highly selective and accurate trading signals. The Momentum-RSI, Super-Trend Analysis and EMA-Strategy indicators are used to identify the strength and direction of the underlying trend.
The Momentum-RSI signals the strength of the trend and only generates trading signals in confirmed upward or downward trends. The Super-Trend Analysis confirms the trend direction and generates signals when the price breaks through the super-trend line. The EMA-Strategy is used as a qualifier for the generation of trading signals, where buy signals are generated when the EMA crosses relevant trend lines.
Flash is highly selective, as it only generates trading signals when all three indicators align. This ensures that only the highest probability trades are taken, resulting in maximum profits.
Our trading strategy also comes with two profit management options. Option 1 uses the so-called supertrend-indicator which uses the dynamic ATR as a key input, while option 2 applies pre-defined, fixed SL and TP levels.
The settings for each indicator can be customized, allowing you to adjust the length, limit value, factor, and source value to suit your preferences. You can also set the time period in which you want to run the backtest and how many dollar trades you want to open in each position for fully automated trading.
Choose your preferred trade direction and stop-loss/take-profit settings, and let Flash do the rest. Say goodbye to manual chart analysis and hello to consistent profits with Flash. Try it now!
General Comments
This Flash Strategy has been developed in cooperation between Baby_whale_to_moon and JS-TechTrading. Cudos to Baby_whale_to_moon for doing a great job in transforming sophisticated trading ideas into pine scripts.
Detailed Description
The “Flash” script considers the following indicators for the generation of trading signals:
1. Momentum-RSI
2. ‘Super-Trend’-Analysis
3. EMA-Strategy
1. Momentum-RSI
• This indicator signals the strength of the underlying upward- or downward-trend.
• The signal range of this indicator is from 0 to 100. Values > 60 indicate a confirmed upward- or downward-trend.
• The strategy will only generate trading signals in case the stock (or any other financial security) is in a confirmed upward- (long entry signals) or downward-trend (short entry signals).
• This indicator provides information with regards to the strength of the underlying trend and it does not give any insight with regard to the direction of the trend. Therefore, this strategy also considers other indicators which provide technical confirmation with regards to the direction of the underlying trend.
Graph 1 shows this concept:
• The Momentum-RSI indicator gives lower readings during consolidation phases and no trading signals are generated during these periods.
Example (graph 2):
2. Super-Trend Analysis
• The red line in the graph below represents the so-called super-trend-line. Trading signals are only generated in case the price action breaks through this super-trend-line indicating a new confirmed upward-trend (or downward-trend, respectively).
• If that happens, the super trend-line changes its color from red to green, giving confirmation that the trend changed from bearish to bullish and long-entries can be considered.
• The vice-versa approach can be considered for short entries.
Graph 3 explains this concept:
3. Exponential Moving Average / EMA-Strategy
The functionality of this EMA-element of the strategy has been programmed as follows:
• The exponential moving average and two other trend lines are being used as qualifiers for the generation of trading-signals.
• Buy-signals for long-entries are only considered in case the EMA (yellow line in the graph below) crosses the red line.
• Sell-signals for short-entries are only considered in case the EMA (yellow line in the graph below) crosses the green line.
An example is shown in graph 4 below:
We use this indicator to determine the new trend direction that may occur by using the data of the price's past movement.
4. Bringing it all together
This section describes in detail, how this strategy combines the Momentum-RSI, the super-trend analysis and the EMA-strategy.
The strategy only generates trading-signals in case all of the following conditions and qualifiers are being met:
1. Momentum-RSI is higher than the set value of this strategy. The standard and recommended value is 60 (graph 5):
2. The super-trend analysis needs to indicate a confirmed upward-trend (for long-entry signals) or a confirmed downward-trend (for short-entry signals), respectively.
3. The EMA-strategy needs to indicate that the stock or financial security is in a confirmed upward-trend (long-entries) or downward-trend (short-entries), respectively.
The strategy will only generate trading signals if all three qualifiers are being met. This makes this strategy highly selective and is the key secret for its success.
Example for Long-Entry (graph 6):
When these conditions are met, our Long position is opened.
Example for Short-Entry (graph 7):
Trade Management Options (graph 8)
Option 1
In this dynamic version, the so-called supertrend-indicator is being used for the trade exit management. This supertrend-indicator is a sophisticated and optimized methodology which uses the dynamic ATR as one of its key input parameters.
The following settings of the supertrend-indicator can be changed and optimized (graph 9):
The dynamic SL/TP-lines of the supertrend-indicator are shown in the charts. The ATR-length and the supertrend-factor result in a multiplier value which can be used to fine-tune and optimize this strategy based on the financial security, timeframe and overall market environment.
Option 2 (graph 10):
Option 2 applies pre-defined, fixed SL and TP levels which will appear as straight horizontal lines in the chart.
Settings options (graph 11):
The following settings can be changed for the three elements of this strategy:
1. (Length Mom-Rsi): Length of our Mom-RSI indicator.
2. Mom-RSI Limit Val: the higher this number, the more momentum of the underlying trend is required before the strategy will start creating trading signals.
3. The length and factor values of the super trend indicator can be adjusted:ATR Length SuperTrend and Factor Super Trend
4. You can set the source value used by the ema trend indicator to determine the ema line: Source Ema Ind
5. You can set the EMA length and the percentage value to follow the price: Length Ema Ind and Percent Ema Ind
6. The backtesting period can be adjusted: Start and End time of BackTest
7. Dollar cost per position: this is relevant for 100% fully automated trading.
8. Trade direction can be adjusted: LONG, SHORT or BOTH
9. As we explained above, we can determine our stop-loss and take-profit levels dynamically or statically. (Version 1 or Version 2 )
Display options on the charts graph 12):
1. Show horizontal lines for the Stop-Loss and Take-profit levels on the charts.
2. Display relevant Trend Lines, including color setting options for the supertrend functionality. In the example below, green lines indicate a confirmed uptrend, red lines indicate a confirmed downtrend.
Other comments
• This indicator has been optimized to be applied for 1 hour-charts. However, the underlying principles of this strategy are supply and demand in the financial markets and the strategy can be applied to all timeframes. Daytraders can use the 1min- or 5min charts, swing-traders can use the daily charts.
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The combination of the qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
Channels Strategy [JoseMetal]============
ENGLISH
============
- Description:
This strategy is based on Bollinger Bands / Keltner Channel price "rebounds" (the idea of price bouncing from one band to another).
The strategy has several customizable options, which allows you to refine the strategy for your asset and timeframe.
You can customize settings for ALL indicators, Bollinger Bands (period and standard deviation), Keltner Channel (period and ATR multiplier) and ATR (period).
- AVAILABLE INDICATORS:
You can pick Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels for the strategy, the chosen indicator will be plotted as well.
- CUSTOM CONDITIONS TO ENTER A POSITION:
1. Price breaks the band (low below lower band for LONG or high above higher band for SHORT).
2. Same as 1 but THEN (next candle) price closes INSIDE the bands.
3. Price breaks the band AND CLOSES OUT of the band (lower band for LONG and higher band for SHORT).
4. Same as 3 but THEN (next candle) price closes INSIDE the bands.
- STOP LOSS OPTIONS:
1. Previous wick (low of previous candle if LONG and high or previous candle if SHORT).
2. Extended band, you can customize settings for a second indicator with larger values to use it as STOP LOSS, for example, Bollinger Bands with 2 standard deviations to open positions and 3 for STOP LOSS.
3. ATR: you can pick average true ratio from a source (like closing price) with a multiplier to calculate STOP LOSS.
- TAKE PROFIT OPTIONS:
1. Opposite band (top band for LONGs, bottom band for SHORTs).
2. Moving average: Bollinger Bands simple moving average or Keltner Channel exponential moving average .
3. ATR: you can pick average true ratio from a source (like closing price) with a multiplier to calculate TAKE PROFIT.
- OTHER OPTIONS:
You can pick to trade only LONGs, only SHORTs, both or none (just indicator).
You can enable DYNAMIC TAKE PROFIT, which updates TAKE PROFIT on each candle, for example, if you pick "opposite band" as TAKE PROFIT, it'll update the TAKE PROFIT based on that, on every single new candle.
- Visual:
Bands shown will depend on the chosen indicator and it's settings.
ATR is only printed if used as STOP LOSS and/or TAKE PROFIT.
- Recommendations:
Recommended on DAILY timeframe , it works better with Keltner Channels rather than Bollinger Bands .
- Customization:
As you can see, almost everything is customizable, for colors and plotting styles check the "Style" tab.
Enjoy!
============
ESPAÑOL
============
- Descripción:
Esta estrategia se basa en los "rebotes" de precios en las Bandas de Bollinger / Canal de Keltner (la idea de que el precio rebote de una banda a otra).
La estrategia tiene varias opciones personalizables, lo que le permite refinar la estrategia para su activo y temporalidad favoritas.
Puedes personalizar la configuración de TODOS los indicadores, Bandas de Bollinger (periodo y desviación estándar), Canal de Keltner (periodo y multiplicador ATR) y ATR (periodo).
- INDICADORES DISPONIBLES:
Puedes elegir las Bandas de Bollinger o los Canales de Keltner para la estrategia, el indicador elegido será mostrado en pantalla.
- CONDICIONES PERSONALIZADAS PARA ENTRAR EN UNA POSICIÓN:
1. El precio rompe la banda (mínimo por debajo de la banda inferior para LONG o máximo por encima de la banda superior para SHORT).
2. Lo mismo que en el punto 1 pero ADEMÁS (en la siguiente vela) el precio cierra DENTRO de las bandas.
3. El precio rompe la banda Y CIERRA FUERA de la banda (banda inferior para LONG y banda superior para SHORT).
4. Igual que el 3 pero ADEMÁS (siguiente vela) el precio cierra DENTRO de las bandas.
- OPCIONES DE STOP LOSS:
1. Mecha anterior (mínimo de la vela anterior si es LONGy máximo de la vela anterior si es SHORT).
2. Banda extendida, puedes personalizar la configuración de un segundo indicador con valores más extensos para utilizarlo como STOP LOSS, por ejemplo, Bandas de Bollinger con 2 desviaciones estándar para abrir posiciones y 3 para STOP LOSS.
3. ATR: puedes elegir el average true ratio de una fuente (como el precio de cierre) con un multiplicador para calcular el STOP LOSS.
- OPCIONES DE TAKE PROFIT:
1. Banda opuesta (banda superior para LONGs, banda inferior para SHORTs).
2. Media móvil: media móvil simple de las Bandas de Bollinger o media móvil exponencial del Canal de Keltner .
3. ATR: se puede escoger el average true ratio de una fuente (como el precio de cierre) con un multiplicador para calcular el TAKE PROFIT.
- OTRAS OPCIONES:
Puedes elegir operar sólo con LONGs, sólo con SHORTs, ambos o ninguno (sólo el indicador).
Puedes activar el TAKE PROFIT DINÁMICO, que actualiza el TAKE PROFIT en cada vela, por ejemplo, si eliges "banda opuesta" como TAKE PROFIT, actualizará el TAKE PROFIT basado en eso, en cada nueva vela.
- Visual:
Las bandas mostradas dependerán del indicador elegido y de su configuración.
El ATR sólo se muestra si se utiliza como STOP LOSS y/o TAKE PROFIT.
- Recomendaciones:
Recomendada para temporalidad de DIARIO, funciona mejor con los Canales de Keltner que con las Bandas de Bollinger .
- Personalización:
Como puedes ver, casi todo es personalizable, para los colores y estilos de dibujo comprueba la pestaña "Estilo".
¡Que lo disfrutes!
PIVOT STRATEGY [INDIAN MARKET TIMING]
A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot highest line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot lowest line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot highest , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot lowest , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
Leftbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT —————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK —————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings
↓
properties
↓
order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm, at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60 ) gives us 60% profitability y , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 ,net Profit of 21,500Rs profit .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits .
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ————————> 5
3) Price Cross Ema ——————> 150
4) ATR LONG ————————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT ———————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——————> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
Save it to favorites.
Apply it to your charts Now !!
↓
FOLLOW US FOR MORE !
Thank me later ;)
Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)This strategy is oriented towards shorting during downside moves, whilst ensuring the asset is trading in a higher timeframe downtrend, and exiting after further downside.
This script can work well on coins you are planning to hodl for long-term and works especially well whilst using an automated bot that can execute your trades for you. It allows you to hedge your investment by allocating a % of your coins to trade with, whilst not risking your entire holding. This mitigates unrealised losses from hodling as it provides additional cash from the profits made. You can then choose to hodl this cash, or use it to reinvest when the market reaches attractive buying levels. Alternatively, you can use this when trading contracts on futures markets where there is no need to already own the underlying asset prior to shorting it.
ENTRY
This script utilises the MACD indicator accompanied by the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 450 to enter trades. The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 11-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
The EMA 450 is used as additional confirmation to prevent the script from shorting when price is above this long-term moving average. Once price is above the EMA 450 the script will not open any shorts - preventing the rule from attempting to short uptrends. Due to this, this strategy is ideal for setting and forgetting.
The script will enter trades based on two conditions:
1) When the MACD signals a bearish cross. This occurs when the EMA 11 crosses below the EMA 26 within the MACD signalling the start of a potential downtrend.
2) Price has closed below the EMA 450. Price closing below this long-term EMA signals that the asset is in a sustained downtrend. Price breaking above this could indicate a bullish strength in which shorting would not be profitable.
EXIT
This script utilises a set take-profit and stop-loss from the entry of the trade. The take profit is set at 8% and the stop loss of 4%, providing a risk reward ratio of 2. This indicates the script will be profitable if it has a win ratio greater than 33%.
Take-Profit Exit: -8% price decrease from entry price.
OR
Stop-Loss Exit: +4% price increase from entry price.
Based on backtesting results across a selection of assets, the 45-minute and 1-hour timeframes are the best for this strategy.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
The backtesting data was recorded from December 1st 2021, just as the market was beginning its downtrend. We therefore recommend analysing the market conditions prior to utilising this strategy as it operates best on weak coins during downtrends and bearish conditions, however the EMA 450 condition should mitigate entries during bullish market conditions.
Scalping Dips On Trend (by Coinrule)Coinrule's Community is an excellent source of inspiration for our trading strategies.
In these months of Bull Market, our traders opted mostly on buy-the-dips strategies, which resulted in great returns recently. But there has been an element that turned out to be the cause for deep division among the Community.
Is it advisable or not to use a stop-loss during a Bull Market?
This strategy comes with a large stop-loss to offer a safer alternative for those that are not used to trade with a downside protection.
Entry
The strategy buys only when the price is above the Moving Average 50 , making it less risky to buy the dip, which is set to 2%.
The preferred time frame is 1-hour.
The stop-loss is set to be quite loose to increase the chances of closing the trade in profit, yet protecting from unexpected larger drawdowns that could undermine the allocation's liquidity.
Exit
Stop loss: 10%
Take Profit: 3%
In times of Bull Market, such a trading system has a very high percentage of trades closed in profit (ranging between 70% to 80%), which makes it still overall profitable to have a stop-loss three times larger than the take profit.
Pro tip: use a larger stop-loss only when you expect to close in profit most of the trades!
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital and opens a trade at a time. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account.
Pinescript v4 - The Holy Grail (Trailing Stop)After studying several other scripts, I believe I have found the Holy Grail! (Or perhaps I've just found a bug with Tradingview's Pinescript v4 language) Anyhow, I'm publishing this script in the hope that someone smarter than myself could shed some light on the fact that adding a trailing stop to any strategy seems to make it miraculously...no that's an understatement...incredulously, stupendously, mind-bendingly profitable. I'm talking about INSANE profit factors, higher than 200x, with drawdowns of <10%. Sounds too good to be true? Maybe it is...or you could hook it up to your LIVE broker, and pray it doesn't explode. This is an upgraded version of my original Pin Bar Strategy.
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: Forex
Time Frame: H1
Long Entry Conditions:
a) Exponential Moving Average Fan up trend
b) Presence of a Bullish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces the Exponential Moving Average Fan
Short Entry Conditions:
a) Exponential Moving Average down trend
b) Presence of a Bearish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces the Exponential Moving Average Fan
Exit Conditions:
a) Trailing stop is hit
b) Moving Averages cross-back (optional)
c) It's the weekend
Default Robot Settings:
Equity Risk (%): 3 //how much account balance to risk per trade
Stop Loss (x*ATR, Float): 0.5 //stoploss = x * ATR, you can change x
Stop Loss Trail Points (Pips): 1 //the magic sauce, not sure how this works
Stop Loss Trail Offset (Pips): 1 //the magic sauce, not sure how this works
Slow SMA (Period): 50 //slow moving average period
Medium EMA (Period): 18 //medium exponential moving average period
Fast EMA (Period): 6 //fast exponential moving average period
ATR (Period): 14 // average true range period
Cancel Entry After X Bars (Period): 3 //cancel the order after x bars not triggered, you can change x
Backtest Results (2019 to 2020, H1, Default Settings):
AUDUSD - 1604% profit, 239.6 profit factor, 4.9% drawdown (INSANE)
NZDUSD - 1688.7% profit, 100.3 profit factor, 2.5% drawdown
GBPUSD - 1168.8% profit, 98.7 profit factor, 0% drawdown
USDJPY - 900.7% profit, 93.7 profit factor, 4.9% drawdown
USDCAD - 819% profit, 31.7 profit factor, 8.1% drawdown
EURUSD - 685.6% profit, 26.8 profit factor, 5.9% drawdown
USDCHF - 1008% profit, 18.7 profit factor, 8.6% drawdown
GBPJPY - 1173.4% profit, 16.1 profit factor, 7.9% drawdown
EURAUD - 613.3% profit, 14.4 profit factor, 9.8% drawdown
AUDJPY - 1619% profit, 11.26 profit factor, 9.1% drawdown
EURJPY - 897.2% profit, 6 profit factor, 13.8% drawdown
EURGBP - 608.9% profit, 5.3 profit factor, 9.8% drawdown (NOT TOO SHABBY)
As you can clearly see above, this forex robot is projected by the Tradingview backtester to be INSANELY profitable for all common forex pairs. So what was the difference between this strategy and my previous strategies? Check my code and look for "trail_points" and "trail_offset"; you can even look them up in the PineScript v4 documentation. They specify a trailing stop as the exit condition, which automatically closes the trade if price reverses against you.
I however suspect that the backtester is not properly calculating intra-bar price movement, and is using a simplified model. With this simplfied approach, the trailing stop code becomes some sort of "holy grail" generator, making every trade entered profitable.
Risk Warning:
This is a forex trading strategy that involves high risk of equity loss, and backtest performance will not equal future results. You agree to use this script at your own risk.
Hint:
To get more realistic results, and *maybe* overcome the intrabar simulation error, change the settings to: "Stop Loss Trail Points (pips)": 100
I am not sure if this eradicates the bug, but the entries and exits look more proper, and the profit factors are more believable.
Low volatility Buy w/ TP & SL (Coinrule)The compression of volatility usually leads to expansion. When the breakout comes, it can ignite strong trends. One way to catch a coin trading in an accumulation area is to spot three moving averages with values close to each other. The strategy uses a combination of Moving Averages to spot the best time to buy a coin before its breakout.
Buy Condition
The MA200 is greater than the MA100
The MA50 is greater than the MA100
According to backtesting results, the 1-hour time frame is the best to run this strategy.
Sell Condition
Take Profit: the price increases 8% from the entry price
Stop Loss: the price drops 4% from the entry price
The strategy has a profitability of 40-60% (depending on the market conditions). Having a ratio of two between Take profit and Stop Loss helps keeping the strategy profitable in the long term.
Relative Normalized VolatilityThere are plenty of indicators that aim to measure the volatility (degree of variation) in the price of an instrument, the most well known being the average true range and the rolling standard deviation. Volatility indicators form the key components of most bands and trailing stops indicators, but can also be used to normalize oscillators, they are therefore extremely versatile.
Today proposed indicator aim to compare the estimated volatility of two instruments in order to provide various informations to the user, especially about risk and profitability.
CALCULATION
The relative normalized volatility (RNV) indicator is the ratio between the moving average of the absolute normalized price changes value of two securities, that is:
SMA(|Δ(a)/σ(a)|)
―――――――――――
SMA(|Δ(b)/σ(b)|)
Where a and b are two different securities (note that notation "Δ(x)" refer to the 1st difference of x, and the "||" notation is used to indicate absolute value, for example "|x|" means absolute value of x) .
INTERPRETATION
The indicator aim tell us which security is more volatile between a and b , with a value of the indicator greater than 1 indicating that a is on average more volatile than b over the last length period, while a value lower than 1 indicating that the security b is more on average volatile than a .
The indicator use the current symbol as a , while the second security b must be defined in the setting window (by default the S&P500). Risk and profitability are closely related to volatility, as larger price variations could potentially mean larger losses (but also larger gains), therefore a value of the indicator greater than 1 can indicate that it could be more risked (and profitable) to trade security a .
RNV using AMD (top) volatility against Intel (bottom) volatility.
RNV using EURUSD (top) volatility against USDJPY (bottom) volatility.
Larger values of length will make the indicator fluctuate less often around 1. You can also plot the logarithm of the ratio instead in order to have the indicator centered around 0, it will also help make values originally below 1 have more importance in the scale.
POSSIBLE ERRORS
If you compare different types of markets the indicator might return NaN values, this is because one market might be closed, for example if you compare AMD against BTCUSD with the indicator you will get NaN values. If you really need to compare two markets then increase your time frame, else use an histogram or area plot in order to have a cleaner plot.
CONCLUSION
An original indicator comparing the volatility between two securities has been presented. The choice of posting a volatility indicator has been made by my twitter followers, so if you want to decide which type of indicator i should do next make sure to check my twitter to see if there are polls available (i should do one after every posted indicator).
15-Minute ORB Breakout Strategy with VWAP and Volume Filters# 15-Minute ORB Breakout Strategy with VWAP and Volume Filters
## Overview
This strategy implements the 15-minute Opening Range Breakout (ORB) methodology for NASDAQ futures, enhanced with session-anchored VWAP, volume confirmation, and candle strength analysis. The ORB approach waits for the first 15 minutes of the trading session to establish a range, then trades breakouts with defined risk management.
This implementation is based on rules described in a YouTube tutorial by Bull Barbie: www.youtube.com
The strategy was systematically coded and backtested to evaluate performance over an extended period.
**Backtest Disclosure:** Over 1,354 trades from 2010-2026, this systematic implementation produced negative returns. Discretionary traders may achieve different results through real-time adjustments not captured in systematic rules.
---
## How It Works
### Opening Range Calculation
The strategy identifies the high and low of the first 15 minutes after the New York open (first 3 candles on a 5-minute chart). These levels become the breakout triggers for the session.
### Entry Logic
- **Long Entry:** Price closes above the ORB High while meeting all filter conditions
- **Short Entry:** Price closes below the ORB Low while meeting all filter conditions
### Exit Logic
- **Take Profit:** 1x the ORB range beyond the breakout level (approximately 1:1 risk-reward)
- **Stop Loss:** Opposite side of the ORB range
- **Breakeven:** Stop moves to entry when price reaches 50% of the take profit distance
- **Session Close:** All positions closed at end of trading session
### Filters
All filters are toggleable:
1. **Session VWAP Filter:** Price must be above VWAP with upward slope for longs (below with downward slope for shorts). VWAP is anchored to session open and resets daily.
2. **Volume Filter:** Breakout bar must exceed minimum volume threshold (default: 2,500 contracts) to confirm participation.
3. **Candle Strength Filter:** Close must be in the top 30% of the bar range for longs (bottom 30% for shorts), indicating conviction rather than absorption.
---
## Backtest Results
**Instrument:** MNQ (Micro NASDAQ)
**Timeframe:** 5-minute
**Period:** 2010-2026
**Session:** 09:30 - 12:00 ET (Morning)
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Total Trades | 1,354 |
| Win Rate | 50.07% |
| Profit Factor | 0.833 |
| Net P&L | -$11,916 (-23.83%) |
| Max Drawdown | $13,119 (26.21%) |
| Avg Win | +0.30% |
| Avg Loss | -0.37% |
| Expected Payoff | -$8.80/trade |
| Long Win Rate | 52.25% (360/689) |
| Short Win Rate | 47.82% (318/665) |
---
## Strategy Properties
These settings match the published backtest:
| Property | Value |
|----------|-------|
| Initial Capital | $50,000 USD |
| Position Size | 1 contract (fixed) |
| Commission | $4.00 per contract (round-trip) |
| Slippage | 2 ticks |
| Margin | 1% (NinjaTrader intraday reference) |
| Pyramiding | Disabled |
**Instrument Note:** MNQ (Micro NASDAQ) was selected because realistic account sizes ($25,000-$50,000) face margin constraints with full NQ contracts during drawdown periods.
---
## Settings Guide
### Main Settings
- **ORB Bars:** Number of bars defining the opening range (3 = 15 minutes on 5-min chart)
- **Trading Session:** Time window for trading (tested: 0930-1200 ET)
- **Take Profit:** Multiple of ORB range for target (1.0 = full range)
- **Breakeven Trigger:** Distance to move stop to entry (0.5 = halfway to TP)
- **Max Trades Per Day:** Daily trade limit (default: 2)
### VWAP Filter
- **Use VWAP Filter:** Enable/disable session VWAP confirmation
- **VWAP Slope Lookback:** Bars to measure VWAP direction (default: 5)
- **Min VWAP Slope:** Minimum slope in points (default: 0.5)
### Volume Filter
- **Use Volume Filter:** Enable/disable volume confirmation
- **Min Breakout Volume:** Minimum contracts required (default: 2,500)
### Candle Strength
- **Use Candle Strength Filter:** Enable/disable close position analysis
- **Min Candle Strength:** Required close position within bar (0.7 = top/bottom 30%)
---
## Visual Elements
- **Orange Background:** ORB forming period (first 15 minutes)
- **Green Background:** Active trading session
- **Green/Red Lines:** ORB High and Low levels
- **VWAP Line:** Color indicates slope direction (green=up, red=down, gray=flat)
- **White Line:** Trade entry price
- **Lime/Red Lines:** Take profit and stop loss levels
- **Orange Line:** Breakeven trigger level
- **Blue Background:** Breakeven activated
- **Triangle Markers:** Candle strength indicators
---
## How to Use
1. Apply to MNQ or NQ on a 5-minute chart
2. Wait for the ORB forming period (orange background) to complete
3. Monitor breakouts above/below ORB levels
4. Check VWAP color for trend alignment
5. Strategy enters automatically when conditions align
---
## Limitations
1. **Systematic vs. Discretionary:** This backtest captures only the mechanical rules. Experienced traders may apply real-time judgment (reading price action, avoiding certain setups, scaling in/out) that improves results but cannot be systematically coded.
2. **Average Loss Exceeds Average Win:** The 0.37% average loss versus 0.30% average win creates negative expectancy even with ~50% win rate.
3. **Commission Impact:** $10,832 in commissions over the test period affects net returns.
4. **Market Regime Variation:** The equity curve shows profitable periods (2023-2025) alongside extended drawdowns, suggesting regime-dependent performance.
5. **Sample Considerations:** While 1,354 trades provides statistical significance, results may vary across different time periods or market conditions.
---
## Research Notes
This strategy was built following rules from Bull Barbie's ORB tutorial video. The systematic backtest could not reproduce the performance figures mentioned in that content. This does not mean the approach is without merit—discretionary execution, trade selection, and real-time adjustments likely play significant roles that systematic backtesting cannot capture.
Traders interested in ORB strategies should consider this as a starting framework for their own research and optimization.
---
## Reference
Original strategy concept: Bull Barbie - "Battle-Tested 15-Minute ORB Trading Strategy for Nasdaq—Rules That Actually Work"
www.youtube.com
Gridbot Ping Pong🏓 Gridbot Ping Pong is a dynamic grid bot indicator that generates buy and sell signals as price oscillates between automatically calculated support and resistance levels. The grid adapts to trending markets through adjustable tilt and anchor parameters, which control the grid slope and shift resistance respectively. Entry signals trigger when price touches grid levels, while take profit and stop signals manage position exits. Unlike traditional grid bots that require horizontal ranges, this indicator maintains its oscillation zone as price trends by tilting and shifting the grid structure to follow momentum. The grid bot approach aims to accumulate gains through frequent touches across multiple grid levels rather than seeking large directional moves. Like a ping pong ball in motion, price oscillates between grid levels — each touch generates a signal.
⚡ THEORY & CONCEPTS ⚡
Grid trading is a systematic approach that places buy and sell orders at predetermined price intervals, creating a grid of orders above and below a set price level. In ranging markets, this method capitalizes on natural price oscillations by buying at lower grid levels and selling at higher ones. Each completed round trip between levels represents a captured opportunity, and the frequency of these oscillations determines the grid's effectiveness. Traditional grid bots excel when price remains within the defined range, methodically accumulating gains as price bounces between levels.
However, traditional grid structures face significant challenges when markets begin to trend. Fixed horizontal levels that performed well during consolidation become liabilities during directional moves. An uptrend leaves buy orders unfilled while sell orders trigger prematurely, and a downtrend creates the opposite problem. Extended trends can result in accumulated positions at increasingly unfavorable prices, with no mechanism to adapt to the new market reality. The static nature of traditional grids assumes markets will return to the mean, yet sustained breakouts regularly invalidate this assumption.
Gridbot Ping Pong addresses these limitations through dynamic grid adaptation. The tilt parameter angles the grid in the direction of the prevailing trend, aligning support and resistance levels with market momentum rather than fighting against it. The anchor parameter creates buffer zones beyond the outer grid boundaries, requiring price to demonstrate conviction before triggering a grid shift. When price breaks through these buffers, the entire grid recenters to the new price level. This combination of tilting grids and controlled shifting allows the indicator to maintain grid trading mechanics while acknowledging that markets trend.
The grid adapts through a downtrend and early reversal. Entry signals (▲▼), take profit signals (△▽), and grid shifts demonstrate the ping pong sequence as price oscillates between levels.
The grid structure consists of five levels: two potential support levels below, a center base price, and two potential resistance levels above. These levels are calculated as percentage intervals from a dynamic base price, with the spacing parameter determining the distance between each level. Trend direction is derived from consecutive grid shifts, where multiple shifts in the same direction confirm momentum. The grid restricts entries to the trend direction — buy signals in uptrends, sell signals in downtrends — while counter-trend signals convert to exits when appropriate.
Full market cycle demonstrating grid adaptation through rally, reversal, decline, and recovery. Buy signals dominate during uptrends, sell signals during downtrends, with take profits at boundaries throughout. Two stop signals mark the trend reversals.
Tilt
The tilt mechanic introduces slope to the grid structure based on trend direction and momentum. When consecutive shifts occur in the same direction, the tilt increases, creating a steeper grid that tracks with the trend. As the trend progresses, support levels rise with it — buy signals trigger on pullbacks to these rising levels rather than static levels abandoned by price. Similarly, resistance levels fall during downtrends, keeping sell signals relevant to current price action. If the trend reverses and shifts occur in the opposite direction, the tilt resets and begins building in the new direction. The tilt strength parameter controls how aggressively the grid slopes, with higher values producing steeper angles. Negative tilt values invert this relationship, angling the grid against the prevailing momentum rather than with it. This counter-trend configuration positions support levels lower during uptrends and resistance levels higher during downtrends, favoring mean reversion entries that anticipate pullbacks rather than continuation.
Negative tilt applied during an uptrend. Despite the bullish price action from late November through December, the grids slope downward, positioning buy signals at deeper support levels. Take profit signals appear at resistance as price reaches the upper grid boundaries before pulling back. The counter-trend configuration captures oscillations within the rising market rather than chasing momentum.
Anchor
The anchor mechanic provides resistance to grid shifting. Buffer zones extend beyond the outer grid boundaries, requiring price to demonstrate conviction before triggering a shift. Higher anchor values create larger buffers, requiring more significant price movement. As consecutive shifts confirm a trend, the pro-trend buffer shrinks, allowing the grid to follow momentum with increasing ease. This lets the indicator commit to established trends while resisting premature shifts during consolidations. Tilt and anchor work in complementary tension: tilt rewards momentum by angling the grid, while anchor resists excessive shifting by requiring price conviction to recenter. When price breaks through these buffers, the entire grid recenters to the new price level and play continues on a fresh table.
Steady uptrend with minimal tilt. The flat grid segments demonstrate that shifting alone keeps the grid aligned with price action. Buy signals (▲) and take profit signals (▽) alternate as price bounces between levels, accumulating gains through repetition across the entire move.
Sustained uptrend from June through September. The grid follows the trend with increasing ease as consecutive shifts reduce the pro-trend buffer. The October consolidation eventually triggers a downward shift and stop signal, but the system adapts to the renewed uptrend in November with fresh entry signals.
Signal Generation
The indicator generates three signal types. Entry signals (▲▼) trigger when price reaches a grid level in the direction of the trend, initiating a new position. Take profit signals (△▽) trigger when price reaches a grid level against the trend direction while a position is held, capturing gains as the rally continues. Stop signals (⦿) trigger when a grid shift occurs while holding a position adverse to the new shift direction. The ball goes off the table.
Trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The grid follows the downtrend through November with consecutive sell signals. A stop signal (⦿) triggers at the bottom as the grid shifts adversely against the held position. The system resets and adapts to the emerging uptrend in December, generating fresh buy signals as the new direction establishes.
Trigger Options
The signal trigger determines what price data the indicator uses to detect grid touches, balancing responsiveness against confirmation.
Auto : The default setting, using wick-based detection for pro-trend signals and close-based detection for counter-trend signals. This balances responsiveness when entering with the trend against confirmation when signaling against it.
Wick Touch : Generates signals in real-time when the high or low touches a grid level, providing the fastest response to price interaction.
Wick Reverse : Requires the wick to cross through the grid level from the previous bar, confirming the touch before signaling.
SWMA : Uses a Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average as the trigger source, generating signals only when the smoothed price crosses grid levels.
Close : Uses the bar's closing price as the trigger source, providing confirmed signals after each bar completes.
Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) trigger during a trend reversal. The smoothed price line filters intrabar noise, generating signals only when the SWMA crosses grid levels rather than reacting to wick touches. The grid follows the downtrend through November, resets at the bottom, and adapts to the emerging uptrend in December.
Signal Safeguards
The indicator includes built-in protections to reduce overtrading and mitigate risk, keeping the ball in play longer:
Boundary Protection : New entries are blocked at the outermost grid levels where breakout risk is highest. Exits remain permitted at these boundaries.
Signal Spacing : Signals maintain one-level separation from the most recent signal, preventing clusters of entries at similar prices.
Trend Alignment : When conflicting conditions arise, signals align with the prevailing trend direction rather than fighting momentum.
Automatic Profit Taking : Counter-trend interactions convert to take profit signals when a position is held, capturing gains rather than reversing exposure.
Adverse Shift Stops : When the grid shifts against a held position, a stop signal triggers to exit before further adverse movement.
Cautious Breakout Entries : On the first shift in a new direction, entries are restricted to favorable grid levels until the trend confirms through consecutive shifts.
Shift Resistance : Counter-trend shifts always require full buffer conviction, while pro-trend shifts become easier only after the trend is confirmed.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION & SETTINGS 🛠️
Core Parameters
SPACING (%) : Sets the percentage distance between grid levels. Higher values create wider grids with more room between signals, lower values create tighter grids with more frequent signal opportunities.
TRIGGER : Selects the price source for signal detection. See Trigger Options above.
TILT : Controls the grid slope factor in the trend direction.
ANCHOR : Controls resistance to grid shifting.
Visual Settings
GRIDS : Sets the colors for support (lower) and resistance (upper) grid levels.
FILL : Sets the gradient fill colors between the price line and outer grid boundaries.
SWMA : Sets the color of the Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average line.
🏓 PLAYING GRIDBOT PING PONG 🏓
⚪The objective is not to predict where price will go, but to be present at each level when it arrives.
⚪Each touch at a boundary counts. Gains accumulate through repetition, not single swings.
⚪The rally continues until it doesn't. When the ball goes off the table, the game resets.
⚪The grid creates boundaries where price bounces back and forth. The table is set — the ball does the work.
⚪Price oscillates between defined levels. The grid is the table. Everything else is just ping pong.
Tennis is a form of ping pong. In fact, tennis is ping pong played while standing on the table. In fact, all racquet games are nothing but derivatives of ping pong. — George Carlin
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Gridbot Ping Pong indicator is a visual analysis tool designed to illustrate grid trading concepts and serve as a framework for understanding grid bot mechanics. While the indicator generates entry, exit, and stop signals, no guarantee is made regarding the profitability of these signals. Like all technical indicators, the grid levels and signals generated by this tool may appear to align with favorable trading opportunities in hindsight. However, these signals are not intended as standalone recommendations for trading decisions. This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes, complementing other tools and methods of market analysis.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
Gridbot Ping Pong is part of the Grid Bot Series, building on the concepts introduced in the Grid Bot Simulator , Grid Bot Auto , and Grid Bot Parabolic indicators. While those tools established the foundation for grid-based analysis, this indicator introduces dynamic tilt and anchor mechanics that adapt to trending market conditions.
This indicator shares the same educational philosophy as the Fibonacci Time-Price Zones and the Fibonacci Geometry Series - providing frameworks for understanding market concepts through visualization and experimentation rather than black-box signals.
The Gridbot Ping Pong indicator, like other xxattaxx indicators , is designed to encourage both education and community engagement. Feedback and insights are invaluable to refining and enhancing this tool. We look forward to the creative applications, observations, and discussions this indicator inspires within the trading community.
EMA and Dow Theory Strategies V2 DOGE Current Optimum Value
📘 Overview
These are the current optimal values for DOGE.
They are intended for use on the 2‑hour timeframe.
This script requires complex configuration, but there is an optimal set of values somewhere.
Here, I’m sharing the settings that I personally use at the moment.
Turning Take Profit off can lead to higher profits, but it also increases risks such as a lower win rate.
With Take Profit on, you can adjust the settings by increasing the values.
I have been trading using Dow Theory for many years.
Trading with Dow Theory and EMA has been my main strategy.
Although it has been profitable, I have long struggled with its low win rate.
The issue lies in the immaturity of the exit strategy, and I’m currently experimenting to see if I can solve that.
In V2, I added three take‑profit lines, securing 30% of the profit at each level to ensure a minimum level of gain.
Additionally, when the trend weakens, half of the position is closed.
In all scenarios, the remaining position is held until the trend reverses.
The system provides precise entries, adaptive exits, and highly visual guidance that helps traders understand trend structure at a glance.
🧠 Key Features
🔹 1. Dual‑EMA Trend Logic (Symbol + External Index)
Both the chart symbol and an external index (OTHERS.D) are evaluated using fast/slow EMAs to determine correlation‑based trend bias.
🔹 2. Dow Theory Swing Detection (Real‑time)
The script identifies swing highs/lows and updates trend direction when price breaks them. This creates a structural trend model that reacts faster than EMAs alone.
🔹 3. Gradient Trend Zones (Visual Trend Strength)
When trend is up or down, the area between price and the latest swing level is filled with a multi‑step gradient. This makes trend strength and distance-to-structure visually intuitive.
🔹 4. Higher‑Timeframe Swing Trend (htfTrend)
Swing highs/lows from a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H) are plotted to show macro structure. Used only for visual context, not for filtering entries.
🔹 5. RSI‑Based Entry Protection
RSI prevents entries during extreme overbought/oversold conditions.
🔹 6. Dynamic Exit System
Includes:
Custom stop‑loss (%)
Partial take‑profit (TP1/TP2/TP3)
Automatic scale‑out when trend color weakens
“Color‑change lockout” to prevent immediate re‑entry
Real‑time PnL tracking and labels
🔹 7. Alerts for All Key Events
Entry, stop‑loss, partial exits, and trend‑change exits all generate structured JSON alerts.
🔹 8. Visual PnL Labels & Equity Tracking
PnL for the latest trade is displayed directly on the chart, including scale‑out adjustments.
⚙️ Input Parameters
Parameter Description
Fast EMA / Slow EMA EMAs used for symbol trend detection
Index Fast / Slow EMA EMAs applied to external index
StopLoss (%) Custom stop‑loss threshold
Scale‑Out % Portion to exit when trend color weakens
RSI Period / Levels Overbought/oversold filters
Swing Detection Length Bars used to detect swing highs/lows
Stats Display Position of statistics table
🧭 About htfTrend (Higher Timeframe Trend)
The higher‑timeframe swing trend is displayed visually but not used for entry logic.
Why? Strict HTF filtering reduces trade frequency and often removes profitable setups. By keeping it visual‑only, traders retain flexibility while still benefiting from macro structure awareness.
Use it as a contextual guide, not a constraint.
📘 概要
DOGEの現在の最適値です。
2時間足での使用を想定しています。
このスクリプトは複雑な設定が必要ですが、どこかに最適値が存在します。
今回は現在私が個人的に使っている設定値の公開です。
Take ProfitをOFFにするとさらなる利益が望めますが、勝率が下がるなどのリスクが上がります。
ONにした状態で数値を上げることによって調整することが可能です。
私はダウ理論を使ったトレードを長年続けてきました。
ダウ理論とEMAを使ったトレードが私の主力です。
しかし利益は出るものの、長年その勝率の低さに悩んでいました。
問題は出口戦略が未熟なためで、現在はそれらの解決ができないかと試行錯誤を続けています。
V2では3本の利益確定ラインを引き、それぞれ30%ずつ利益を確定し、最低限の利益がでるようにしました。
それ以外にはトレンドが弱まったタイミングで半分の利益確定をし、どのパターンでも残ったポジションはトレンド転換まで持ち続けます。
🧠 主な機能
🔹 1. 銘柄＋外部インデックスの EMA クロス判定
対象銘柄と OTHERS.D の EMA を比較し、相関を考慮したトレンド方向を判定します。
🔹 2. ダウ理論に基づくスイング高値・安値の自動検出
スイング更新によりトレンド方向を切り替える、構造ベースのトレンド判定を採用。
🔹 3. グラデーション背景によるトレンド強度の可視化
スイングラインから現在価格までを段階的に塗り分け、 「どれだけトレンドが伸びているか」を直感的に把握できます。
🔹 4. 上位足スイングトレンド（htfTrend）の表示
4H などの上位足でのスイング高値・安値を表示し、 大局的なトレンド構造を視覚的に把握できます（ロジックには未使用）。
🔹 5. RSI による過熱・売られすぎフィルター
極端な RSI 状態でのエントリーを防止。
🔹 6. 動的イグジットシステム
カスタム損切り（％）
TP1/TP2/TP3 の段階的利確
トレンド色の弱まりによる自動スケールアウト
色変化後の再エントリー制限（waitForColorChange）
リアルタイム PnL の追跡とラベル表示
🔹 7. アラート完備（JSON 形式）
エントリー、損切り、部分利確、トレンド反転などすべてに対応。
🔹 8. 損益ラベル・統計表示
直近トレードの損益をチャート上に表示し、視覚的に把握できます。
⚙️ 設定項目
設定項目名 説明
Fast / Slow EMA 銘柄の EMA 設定
Index Fast / Slow EMA 外部インデックスの EMA 設定
損切り（％） カスタム損切りライン
部分利確割合 トレンド弱化時のスケールアウト割合
RSI 期間・水準 過熱/売られすぎフィルター
スイング検出期間 スイング高値・安値の検出に使用
統計表示位置 テーブルの表示位置
🧭 上位足トレンド（htfTrend）について
上位足スイングの更新に基づくトレンド判定を表示しますが、 エントリー条件には使用していません。
理由： 上位足を厳密にロジックへ組み込むと、トレード機会が大幅に減るためです。
本ストラテジーでは、 「大局の把握は視覚で、エントリーは柔軟に」 という設計思想を採用しています。
→ 裁量で利確判断や逆張り回避に活用できます。
Fibonacci 5 Candles Retracement
================================================================================
FIBONACCI 5 CANDLES RETRACEMENT - STRATEGY GUIDE
================================================================================
WHAT DOES THIS STRATEGY DO?
---------------------------
This strategy automatically identifies market trends and uses Fibonacci
retracements to find the best entry points. The idea is simple: when price
makes a strong movement (trend), it often pulls back before continuing in
the same direction. The strategy captures these "pullbacks" to enter at the
right moment.
HOW IT WORKS?
-------------
1. TREND DETECTION
The strategy looks for 5 consecutive candles of the same color:
- 5 red candles = BEARISH trend (price falls)
- 5 green candles = BULLISH trend (price rises)
2. CALCULATION OF START AND END POINTS
For a BEARISH trend (5 red candles):
- START: The highest point between the first red candle and the previous one
- END: The lowest point reached during the 5 candles (and beyond, if the
trend continues)
For a BULLISH trend (5 green candles):
- START: The lowest point between the first green candle and the previous one
- END: The highest point reached during the 5 candles (and beyond, if the
trend continues)
3. DYNAMIC UPDATE
The END point updates automatically if price continues to move in the
direction of the trend, creating new highs (for bullish trends) or new
lows (for bearish trends).
4. TREND END
Normal Mode:
- BEARISH trend ends when a candle closes above the previous candle's open
- BULLISH trend ends when a candle closes below the previous candle's open
"Extended Trend" mode (optional):
- The trend remains active until a candle closes beyond the dynamic 50%
retracement level
- When this happens, the END point "freezes" (stops updating), but the
trend can continue
5. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT CALCULATION
Once START and END are identified, the strategy automatically calculates
Fibonacci levels. IMPORTANT: for retracements and pending orders, we
consider START as 100% and END as 0%, because we work on the part of the
trend that is recovered (the pullback).
The retracement levels are:
- 70% = level closest to START (smallest retracement)
- 60% = second level
- 50% = central level (often used for entry)
- 25% = level closest to END (largest retracement)
6. PENDING ORDER PLACEMENT
When a trend is identified and completed, the strategy automatically places
a pending order (limit order) at one of the selectable Fibonacci levels.
Available levels:
- 25%: closest to END
- 50%: central level (balanced)
- 60%: closest to START
- 70%: very close to START
The order direction depends on the trend:
- BEARISH trend → SHORT order (bet that price falls)
- BULLISH trend → LONG order (bet that price rises)
Stop Loss and Take Profit (for retracements):
- Stop Loss: always at START level
- Take Profit: always at END level
EXTENDED TAKE PROFIT:
If the order is executed (filled), the strategy can apply an "Extended
Take Profit" if configured. IMPORTANT: for the extended TP calculation,
we consider START as 0% and END as 100% (the original trend movement).
For example, if you set 3%, the Take Profit will be at 103% of the
original trend movement instead of 100%.
AVAILABLE FILTERS
-----------------
1. MINIMUM TREND (pips)
Filters trends that are too small. If a trend is below the set value:
- START and END labels become gray (instead of red/green)
- No pending order is placed
- The trend is still displayed on the chart
Useful for avoiding trading movements that are too small.
2. EMA FILTER
Uses two moving averages (EMA 50 and EMA 200) to filter direction:
- If active: places LONG orders only when EMA50 > EMA200 (uptrend)
- If active: places SHORT orders only when EMA50 < EMA200 (downtrend)
Useful for trading only in the direction of the main trend.
3. EXTENDED TREND
Modifies how the trend is considered "completed":
- If disabled: uses normal logic (opposite candle)
- If active: the trend remains in formation until a candle closes beyond
the dynamic 50%. When this happens, END freezes but the trend can continue.
Useful for capturing longer trends and extended movements.
VISUALIZATION
-------------
The strategy displays on the chart:
1. START AND END LABELS
- Red color for bearish trends
- Green color for bullish trends
- Gray color if the trend is not valid (too small)
- Remain visible even when new trends form
2. START AND END LINES
- Horizontal lines indicating the start (START) and end (END) points of the trend
- White color by default, customizable from the settings panel
- Update dynamically when the END point changes
- Can be shown or hidden via the "Show Start/End Lines" option
3. FIBONACCI LINES
The strategy shows horizontal lines at retracement levels:
- Line at 50% (yellow by default)
- Line at 25% (green by default)
- Line at 60% (azure by default)
- Line at 70% (red by default)
COLOR CUSTOMIZATION:
All line colors can be customized from the settings panel in the
"LINE COLORS" section:
- Start/End Line Color: customize the color of START and END lines
- 50% Line Color: customize the color of the 50% line
- 25% Line Color: customize the color of the 25% line
- 60% Line Color: customize the color of the 60% line
- 70% Line Color: customize the color of the 70% line
Lines update dynamically when the END point changes and can be shown or
hidden individually via options in the "VISUALIZATION" section.
4. PENDING ORDER LABELS
Show pending order information:
- Direction (LONG or SHORT)
- Entry price
- Stop Loss
- Take Profit
Positioned far from the chart to avoid cluttering the visualization.
ALERTS
------
If enabled, alerts send notifications when:
1. PENDING ORDER CREATED
When a new pending order is placed, with all information.
2. PENDING ORDER UPDATED
When the pending order is updated (for example, if the level changes or
if the END point moves).
3. ORDER OPENED
When the pending order is executed (filled) and the position is opened.
Alerts can be configured in TradingView to send notifications via email,
SMS, or other platforms.
RECOMMENDED SETTINGS
--------------------
To get started, you can use these settings:
VISUALIZATION:
- Show all lines and labels to see how it works
- Show Start/End Lines: true (to display lines at START and END points)
- Customize line colors in the "LINE COLORS" section according to your preferences
STRATEGY:
- Pending Order Level: 50% (balanced)
- Extended TP: 0% (use standard TP at 100%)
FILTERS:
- Minimum Trend: 0 pips (disabled initially)
- Use EMA Filter: false (disabled initially)
- Extended Trend: false (use normal logic)
ALERTS:
- Enable Alerts: true (if you want to receive notifications)
PRACTICAL EXAMPLE
-----------------
Scenario: Bearish Trend
1. Price forms 5 consecutive red candles
2. The strategy identifies:
- START = 1.2000 (highest point)
- END = 1.1900 (lowest point)
- Range = 100 pips
3. Calculates Fibonacci levels (for retracements: START = 100%, END = 0%):
- 100% = 1.2000 (START)
- 70% = 1.1930
- 60% = 1.1940
- 50% = 1.1950
- 25% = 1.1975
- 0% = 1.1900 (END)
4. If you set "Pending Order Level" to 50%:
- Places a SHORT pending order at 1.1950 (50% retracement)
- Stop Loss at 1.2000 (START = 100%)
- Take Profit at 1.1900 (END = 0%)
5. If price rises and touches 1.1950:
- The order is executed
- Opens a SHORT position
- If price falls to 1.1900 → Take Profit (profit)
- If price rises to 1.2000 → Stop Loss (loss)
IMPORTANT NOTE
--------------
This strategy is a technical analysis tool. Like all trading strategies,
it does not guarantee profits. Trading involves risks and you can lose money.
Always use appropriate risk management and test the strategy on historical
data before using it with real money.
LICENSE
-------
This code is open source and available for modification. You are free to
use, modify, and distribute this strategy. If you republish or share a
modified version, please kindly mention the original author.
================================================================================
Squeeze Momentum with Trend Exhaustion# Squeeze Momentum + Trend Exhaustion Indicator
## Complete User Manual
---
## Table of Contents
1. (#what-this-indicator-does)
2. (#visual-components)
3. (#market-states)
4. (#how-to-read-signals)
5. (#trading-examples)
6. (#configuration-guide)
7. (#best-practices)
---
## What This Indicator Does
This indicator combines two powerful concepts to identify complete market cycles:
### 1. Squeeze Momentum (LazyBear)
Detects **volatility compression** (consolidation) and subsequent **expansion** (breakout).
**Think of it like:** A spring being compressed, then released.
### 2. Multi-Timeframe Trend Exhaustion
Measures how far price has moved from its moving averages across multiple timeframes.
**Think of it like:** A rubber band being stretched—eventually it must snap back.
### The Complete Cycle
```
Consolidation → Breakout → Trend → Exhaustion → Reversion → Consolidation
```
This indicator shows you exactly where you are in this cycle.
---
## Visual Components
### Main Panel (Bottom)
| Element | What It Looks Like | Meaning |
|---------|-------------------|---------|
| **Colored Bars** | Green/Red histogram | Momentum strength and direction |
| **Filled Area** | Yellow/Lime/Red gradient area | Price extension from moving averages |
| **Cross at Zero** | Black/Gray/Blue cross | Squeeze state (volatility) |
| **Dashed Lines** | Horizontal red/green lines | Extension thresholds (±2σ scaled) |
---
### 1. Momentum Histogram (Colored Bars)
| Color | Direction | Meaning |
|-------|-----------|---------|
| **Bright Green** (Lime) | Up ↑ | Strong bullish momentum (increasing) |
| **Dark Green** | Up ↑ | Weak bullish momentum (decreasing) |
| **Bright Red** | Down ↓ | Strong bearish momentum (increasing) |
| **Dark Red** (Maroon) | Down ↓ | Weak bearish momentum (decreasing) |
**Key insight:** When bars change from bright to dark, momentum is fading.
---
### 2. Extension Area (Filled Gradient)
Shows how extended price is from its moving averages across 5 timeframes (5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, Daily).
| Color | Position | Meaning |
|-------|----------|---------|
| **Red** | High above zero | Severely overbought (>2σ scaled) |
| **Orange/Yellow** | Above zero | Moderately overbought |
| **Lime/Green** | Below zero | Moderately oversold |
| **Teal** | Deep below zero | Severely oversold (<-2σ scaled) |
**The area is scaled 3x** for better visibility. Actual values shown in table.
**Reading it:**
- **Area touching upper dashed line** = Price very far above averages (exhaustion territory)
- **Area touching lower dashed line** = Price very far below averages (exhaustion territory)
- **Area near zero** = Price near its averages (normal/neutral)
---
### 3. Squeeze Indicator (Cross at Zero Line)
| Color | Status | Meaning |
|-------|--------|---------|
| **Black** ⚫ | Squeeze ON | Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels → Low volatility, consolidation |
| **Gray** ⚪ | Squeeze OFF | Bollinger Bands outside Keltner Channels → Volatility expanding, breakout |
| **Blue** 🔵 | No Squeeze | Normal volatility conditions |
**Critical:** The transition from Black → Gray is where explosive moves begin.
---
### 4. Entry/Exit Signals
| Symbol | Type | Meaning |
|--------|------|---------|
| 🔺 **Large Green Triangle** | HC Long Entry | High Confidence long setup (Squeeze OFF + Oversold + Confluence) |
| 🔻 **Large Red Triangle** | HC Short Entry | High Confidence short setup (Squeeze OFF + Overbought + Confluence) |
| 🔺 Small green | Medium Long | Long setup without full confluence |
| 🔻 Small red | Medium Short | Short setup without full confluence |
| ✕ Orange X | Exit Long | Close long positions (exhaustion detected) |
| ✕ Teal X | Exit Short | Close short positions (exhaustion detected) |
**Trade only the LARGE triangles** for highest probability setups.
---
## Market States
The indicator identifies 7 distinct market states shown in the info table.
### State 1: 💤 CONSOLIDATION
**Conditions:**
- Squeeze: ON (black cross)
- Extension: Near zero (±1σ)
- Momentum: Contracting
**What's happening:** Price is range-bound, volatility dying down. Spring is being compressed.
**Action:** **WAIT.** Do not trade. Set alerts for Squeeze OFF.
---
### State 2: ⚡ BREAKOUT BULL / BEAR
**Conditions:**
- Squeeze: OFF (gray cross) ← **Key trigger**
- Extension: Still moderate
- Momentum: Strong directional move (bright green or red bars)
**What's happening:** Volatility explosion. Spring released. This is the start of a new trend.
**Action:** **ENTER** in direction of momentum.
- ⚡ BREAKOUT BULL → Go LONG
- ⚡ BREAKOUT BEAR → Go SHORT
**Best scenario:** Breakout from oversold/overbought levels (confluence with exhaustion indicator).
---
### State 3: ↗️ TRENDING UP / ↘️ TRENDING DOWN
**Conditions:**
- Squeeze: OFF or No Squeeze
- Extension: Growing (1σ to 2σ)
- Momentum: Sustained strong bars
**What's happening:** Trend in progress. Price moving away from averages.
**Action:** **HOLD** positions. Let winners run. Don't fight the trend.
---
### State 4: ⚠️ EXTENDED UP / DOWN
**Conditions:**
- Extension: Above 2σ threshold
- Momentum: Still strong (bright bars)
- Confluence: May be weak
**What's happening:** Price stretched but still has power. Caution zone.
**Action:** **CAUTION.** Don't enter new positions. Tighten stops on existing positions.
---
### State 5: 🔴 EXHAUSTION BULL / 🟢 EXHAUSTION BEAR
**Conditions:**
- Extension: >2σ (touching dashed lines)
- Momentum: Fading (bright bars turning dark)
- Velocity: Decreasing
- Confluence: 3/5 or better
**What's happening:** Rubber band stretched to maximum. Trend running out of energy.
**Action:** **EXIT** positions.
- 🔴 EXHAUSTION BULL → Close LONGS, consider SHORT
- 🟢 EXHAUSTION BEAR → Close SHORTS, consider LONG
**This is the highest probability reversal signal.**
---
### State 6: ➡️ TRENDING (Neutral Direction)
**Conditions:**
- Price trending but without clear momentum direction changes
**Action:** **HOLD** or wait for clearer signals.
---
### State 7: — NEUTRAL
**Conditions:**
- Extension near zero
- No squeeze
- Weak momentum
**Action:** No trade. Wait for setup.
---
## How to Read Signals
### Perfect Long Entry (High Confidence ⭐)
**Requirements (all must be true):**
1. ⚫→⚪ Squeeze just turned OFF (gray cross)
2. 📊 Momentum bars bright GREEN and rising
3. 🔻 Extension area BELOW lower dashed line (oversold)
4. ⭐ Confluence: 3/5 or more timeframes agree (shown as "🔻" in table)
**Visual:** Large green triangle appears
**What this means:** Price was oversold across multiple timeframes, consolidated, and is now breaking out upward with fresh momentum.
**Entry:** Next candle after signal
**Stop Loss:** Below recent consolidation low
**Take Profit:** When extension area crosses back above zero, or when exit signal appears
---
### Perfect Short Entry (High Confidence ⭐)
**Requirements (all must be true):**
1. ⚫→⚪ Squeeze just turned OFF (gray cross)
2. 📊 Momentum bars bright RED and falling
3. 🔺 Extension area ABOVE upper dashed line (overbought)
4. ⭐ Confluence: 3/5 or more timeframes agree (shown as "🔺" in table)
**Visual:** Large red triangle appears
**What this means:** Price was overbought across multiple timeframes, consolidated, and is now breaking down with fresh momentum.
**Entry:** Next candle after signal
**Stop Loss:** Above recent consolidation high
**Take Profit:** When extension area crosses back below zero, or when exit signal appears
---
### Exit Signals
#### Exit Long (Orange X)
**Appears when:**
- Extension area reaches upper dashed line (>2σ)
- Momentum bars turning from bright green to dark green
- Price losing upward velocity
**Action:** Close 50-100% of position. Move stop to breakeven on remainder.
#### Exit Short (Teal X)
**Appears when:**
- Extension area reaches lower dashed line (<-2σ)
- Momentum bars turning from bright red to dark red
- Price losing downward velocity
**Action:** Close 50-100% of position. Move stop to breakeven on remainder.
---
### Medium Confidence Signals (Small Triangles)
These appear when squeeze is OFF and momentum is directional, but:
- Extension is only moderate (not extreme), OR
- Confluence is weak (<3/5 timeframes)
**How to trade:**
- Use smaller position size (50% of normal)
- Tighter stops
- Only take if other factors align (support/resistance, volume, etc.)
---
## Trading Examples
### Example 1: Classic Squeeze Play into Trend
```
Step 1: CONSOLIDATION (💤)
Chart: Price moving sideways for 10-20 candles
Indicator: Black cross at zero (Squeeze ON)
Extension: Yellow/Lime area near zero line
Action: Set alert for Squeeze OFF
Step 2: BREAKOUT (⚡)
Chart: Strong green candle breaks resistance
Indicator: Cross turns GRAY (Squeeze OFF)
Bright GREEN momentum bars appear
Extension area still near zero or slightly below
Signal: Large green triangle appears
Action: ENTER LONG
Stop loss below consolidation
Target: Extension upper line
Step 3: TRENDING (↗️)
Chart: Series of higher highs and higher lows
Indicator: Momentum bars stay bright green
Extension area rising toward upper line
Area color transitions yellow → orange → red
Action: HOLD, trailing stop
Step 4: EXHAUSTION (🔴)
Chart: Price makes new high but with smaller candle
Indicator: Extension area touches upper dashed line
Momentum bars turn DARK green (weakening)
Orange X appears
Table shows "EXHAUSTION BULL"
Action: EXIT position
Book profits
Step 5: REVERSION
Chart: Price falls back toward moving averages
Indicator: Extension area shrinks back toward zero
Red momentum bars appear
Action: Wait for next setup
```
**Result:** Caught the entire trend from breakout to exhaustion.
---
### Example 2: Failed Breakout (What NOT to Trade)
```
Situation:
- Squeeze OFF (gray cross) ✓
- Momentum bars bright green ✓
- BUT extension area ABOVE upper line (already overbought) ✗
- Confluence shows 1/5 (only one timeframe agrees) ✗
Indicator: Small green triangle (medium confidence) or no triangle
What happens: Price makes small move up, then reverses
Lesson: Don't chase extended moves even if squeeze fires.
Wait for price to be on the RIGHT SIDE of the extension lines.
```
---
### Example 3: Exhaustion Reversal Trade
```
Step 1: EXTENDED (⚠️)
Chart: Strong uptrend for days
Indicator: Extension area deep in red zone (>2σ)
Momentum still bright green but starting to shorten
Table: "EXTENDED UP" / "CAUTION LONG"
Action: Watch closely, tighten stops
Step 2: EXHAUSTION (🔴)
Chart: Price makes final push but with decreasing volume
Indicator: Momentum bars turn DARK green
Orange X appears
Table: "EXHAUSTION BULL" + "4/5 🔺"
Action: CLOSE any longs
Consider SHORT entry
Step 3: SQUEEZE FORMS (Optional)
Chart: Price starts consolidating
Indicator: Cross turns BLACK (Squeeze ON)
Extension area falling toward zero
Action: Wait for Squeeze OFF to confirm reversal
Step 4: BREAKOUT DOWN (⚡)
Indicator: Cross turns GRAY
Bright RED momentum bars
Large red triangle appears
Action: ENTER SHORT (reversal confirmed)
```
**Result:** Exited at the top, caught the reversal.
---
## Configuration Guide
### Recommended Settings by Timeframe
#### For 4H Charts (Swing Trading)
```
Squeeze Settings: (defaults are fine)
- BB Length: 20
- BB MultFactor: 2.0
- KC Length: 20
- KC MultFactor: 1.5
Exhaustion TFs:
- TF1: 15m
- TF2: 1h
- TF3: 4h
- TF4: 12h or Daily
- TF5: Daily or Weekly
Extension Threshold: 2.0σ
Min Confluence: 3/5
```
#### For 1H Charts (Day Trading)
```
Squeeze Settings: (defaults)
Exhaustion TFs:
- TF1: 5m
- TF2: 15m
- TF3: 1h
- TF4: 4h
- TF5: Daily
Extension Threshold: 2.0σ
Min Confluence: 3/5
```
#### For 15m Charts (Scalping)
```
Squeeze Settings:
- BB Length: 15
- KC Length: 15
Exhaustion TFs:
- TF1: 1m
- TF2: 5m
- TF3: 15m
- TF4: 1h
- TF5: 4h
Extension Threshold: 2.5σ (higher to avoid noise)
Min Confluence: 4/5 (more strict)
```
---
### Understanding the Table
Located in top-right corner:
| Row | Meaning |
|-----|---------|
| **Market State** | Current cycle phase (Consolidation/Breakout/Trending/Exhaustion) |
| **Squeeze** | 🔴 ON / 🟢 OFF / 🔵 No |
| **Momentum** | ↑ Bull / ↓ Bear / ~ Weak / — Neutral |
| **Extension** | Actual value in standard deviations (σ) - NOT scaled |
| **Confluence** | How many timeframes agree (X/5 🔺 or 🔻) |
| **Velocity** | Speed of extension change (↑ increasing, ↓ decreasing) |
| **ACTION** | What to do right now |
**Most important rows:**
1. **Market State** - Quick glance at current cycle
2. **Confluence** - Determines signal quality
3. **ACTION** - Direct guidance
---
## Best Practices
### ✅ DO
1. **Wait for High Confidence signals** (large triangles)
- Don't trade every small signal
- Quality over quantity
2. **Use the complete cycle**
- Enter on Breakout (⚡)
- Hold through Trending (↗️/↘️)
- Exit on Exhaustion (🔴/🟢)
3. **Respect confluence**
- 4/5 or 5/5 = Excellent probability
- 3/5 = Good probability
- 1-2/5 = Skip
4. **Combine with price action**
- Support/resistance levels
- Volume confirmation
- Candlestick patterns
5. **Set alerts**
- "Squeeze OFF" - Don't miss breakouts
- "HC Long Setup" / "HC Short Setup"
- "Exit Long" / "Exit Short"
6. **Scale positions**
- Enter 50% on signal
- Add 25% if extension confirms
- Add final 25% if momentum sustains
7. **Use proper risk management**
- Stop loss: Below/above consolidation
- Position size: 1-2% account risk
- Take profit: Extension targets or signals
---
### ❌ DON'T
1. **Don't trade Consolidation state**
- Black cross (Squeeze ON) = Wait mode
- No signals during consolidation
2. **Don't chase Extended moves**
- If extension already >2σ when Squeeze fires
- Even if momentum looks good
- Wait for reversion first
3. **Don't fight strong trends**
- If extension is growing and momentum strong
- Don't counter-trend trade
- Wait for exhaustion signals
4. **Don't ignore velocity**
- If velocity is ↑ and extension high = still dangerous
- If velocity is ↓ and extension high = safer reversal
5. **Don't trade low confluence**
- 1/5 or 2/5 = Different timeframes disagree
- High chance of false signal
6. **Don't use blindly**
- Check overall market context
- Major news events can override signals
- Trend on higher timeframe matters
7. **Don't overtrade**
- Good setups are rare (that's why they work)
- Wait for complete setup formation
---
## Quick Reference Card
### Signal Quality Checklist
**⭐⭐⭐ PERFECT SETUP (Trade this)**
- Squeeze just turned OFF (⚫→⚪)
- Momentum bright and directional
- Extension >2σ (OPPOSITE direction of entry)
- Confluence ≥3/5
- Large triangle signal
- Action says "LONG/SHORT ENTRY ⭐"
**⭐⭐ GOOD SETUP (Trade with caution)**
- Squeeze OFF
- Momentum directional
- Extension moderate
- Confluence ≥3/5
- Small triangle or Action confirms
**⭐ WEAK SETUP (Skip)**
- Low confluence (<3/5)
- Extension same direction as entry
- Momentum weak or conflicting
- Already in Extended/Exhaustion state
---
### State → Action Quick Guide
| See This State | Do This |
|---------------|---------|
| 💤 CONSOLIDATION | Wait, set alerts |
| ⚡ BREAKOUT | Enter in direction |
| ↗️/↘️ TRENDING | Hold positions |
| ⚠️ EXTENDED | Tighten stops, no new entries |
| 🔴/🟢 EXHAUSTION | Exit, consider reversal |
| — NEUTRAL | No trade |
---
## Troubleshooting
**Q: Indicator shows Exhaustion but price keeps going**
**A:** Check velocity and momentum. If still bright bars + velocity ↑, wait. True exhaustion needs momentum weakening.
**Q: Too many false signals**
**A:** Increase Min Confluence to 4/5. Use longer timeframe chart (4h instead of 1h).
**Q: Missing good trades**
**A:** Set alerts for "Squeeze OFF" and "HC Entry" signals. You can't watch charts 24/7.
**Q: Extension area looks weird**
**A:** Remember it's scaled 3x for visibility. Check table for actual values.
**Q: Which timeframe is best?**
**A:** 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading. Lower = more signals but more noise.
**Q: Can I use this with other indicators?**
**A:** Yes! Combine with:
- Volume profile
- Support/resistance levels
- Moving averages on chart
- RSI for additional confirmation
---
## Final Thoughts
This indicator gives you a complete picture of market structure:
- **Where are we?** (Market State)
- **Where are we going?** (Momentum)
- **How far can it go?** (Extension)
- **When will it reverse?** (Exhaustion)
The key is **patience**. Wait for the complete setup:
1. Consolidation (⚫ Squeeze ON)
2. Breakout (⚪ Squeeze OFF)
3. Right extension direction (oversold for longs, overbought for shorts)
4. Strong confluence (3/5+)
When all pieces align, you get high-probability trades with clear entries, targets, and exits.
**Trade the cycle, not every wiggle.**
---
## Support & Updates
For questions or suggestions, refer to the original script documentation or TradingView community.
**Remember:** No indicator is perfect. Always use proper risk management and combine multiple forms of analysis.
**Good trading! 📈**
ICT Liquidity Sweep/Swing Fail Pattern V.1# ICT Liquidity Sweep/Swing Fail Pattern V.1
## Indicator Description & User Guide
---
## 📊 Indicator Overview
**Name:** ICT Liquidity Sweep/Swing Fail Pattern V.1
**Type:** Support/Resistance & Liquidity Detection
**Trading Style:** ICT Concepts (Inner Circle Trader)
**Best Timeframes:** 1M, 5M, 15M, 1H
---
## 🎯 Core Features
### 1. **Support & Resistance Lines**
- Automatically draws key swing high and swing low levels
- Based on significant pivot points in price structure
- Updates dynamically as new swings form
### 2. **"X" Mark - Liquidity Sweep**
- **Symbol:** X marker on chart
- **Meaning:** Indicates a liquidity sweep (stop hunt)
- **What it shows:** Price briefly moved beyond a key level to trigger stops, then reversed
- **Trading significance:** High-probability reversal zones after liquidity is taken
### 3. **"SFP" Label - Swing Failure Pattern**
- **Symbol:** SFP text label
- **Meaning:** Swing Failure Pattern detected
- **What it shows:** Price attempted to make a new high/low but failed and reversed sharply
- **Trading significance:** Strong reversal signal - smart money rejecting the level
---
## 📈 How to Use This Indicator
### Entry Setup Strategy:
#### **For SHORT Trades (Sell):**
1. Wait for **SFP** to appear at a swing high
2. Look for **X marker** confirming liquidity sweep above the high
3. **Entry Zone (Red Box):** Enter SHORT positions when price returns to this zone
4. **Stop Loss:** Place above the red zone (above the swept high)
5. **Take Profit (Green Box):** Target the green zone below
#### **For LONG Trades (Buy):**
1. Wait for **SFP** to appear at a swing low
2. Look for **X marker** confirming liquidity sweep below the low
3. **Entry Zone (Green Box):** Enter LONG positions when price returns to this zone
4. **Stop Loss:** Place below the green zone (below the swept low)
5. **Take Profit (Red Box):** Target the red zone above
---
## 🎨 Color Coding System
| Color | Zone Type | Usage |
|-------|-----------|-------|
| 🔴 **Red Box** | Stop Loss / Supply Zone | Place SL here for LONG trades / Entry zone for SHORT trades |
| 🟢 **Green Box** | Take Profit / Demand Zone | Target zone for LONG trades / Place SL here for SHORT trades |
| ❌ **X Mark** | Liquidity Sweep Point | Stop hunt occurred - reversal likely |
| 📝 **SFP Label** | Swing Failure Pattern | Failed breakout - strong reversal signal |
---
## 💡 Trading Examples
### Example 1: SHORT Trade (As shown in your chart)
```
1. SFP appears at swing high (Red zone around 4,000)
2. X marker confirms liquidity sweep above the high
3. Entry: SHORT when price re-enters red zone
4. Stop Loss: Above red zone (e.g., 4,002)
5. Take Profit: Green zone below (3,964-3,972)
6. Risk:Reward = 1:3+
```
### Example 2: LONG Trade
```
1. SFP appears at swing low (Green zone)
2. X marker confirms liquidity sweep below the low
3. Entry: LONG when price re-enters green zone
4. Stop Loss: Below green zone
5. Take Profit: Previous red zone above
6. Risk:Reward = 1:2 minimum
```
---
## ⚠️ Important Trading Rules
### ✅ DO:
- Wait for BOTH SFP and X marker confirmation
- Enter on price returning to the zone (not on first touch)
- Use proper position sizing (1-2% risk per trade)
- Combine with market structure analysis
- Look for confluences (orderblocks, fair value gaps)
### ❌ DON'T:
- Trade against the higher timeframe trend
- Enter without confirmation signals
- Ignore the colored zones for SL/TP placement
- Overtrade - wait for quality setups
- Move stop loss to breakeven too early
---
## 🔧 Indicator Settings (Typical)
**Adjustable Parameters:**
- Swing Length: Number of bars to identify swing points
- Show/Hide X markers
- Show/Hide SFP labels
- Zone opacity and colors
- Line thickness
---
## 📚 ICT Concepts Explained
### **Liquidity Sweep:**
Smart money intentionally pushes price beyond key levels to trigger retail stop losses, then reverses to their intended direction. The X marker identifies these moments.
### **Swing Failure Pattern (SFP):**
Price attempts to make a new high/low but lacks follow-through, indicating weak momentum and likely reversal. Similar to a "false breakout" but more specific to swing structures.
### **Supply & Demand Zones:**
- **Red zones** = Areas where selling pressure overwhelmed buyers
- **Green zones** = Areas where buying pressure overwhelmed sellers
- These zones act as magnets for price to return and react
---
## 🎓 Best Practices
1. **Confluence is Key:**
- Combine with daily/weekly bias
- Check for orderblocks nearby
- Look for imbalances (FVG)
2. **Session Timing:**
- Best during London/New York sessions
- Avoid low liquidity periods
3. **Risk Management:**
- Never risk more than 1-2% per trade
- Use proper lot sizing
- Take partial profits at key levels
4. **Timeframe Correlation:**
- Check higher timeframe for bias
- Enter on lower timeframe for precision
- Exit based on higher timeframe targets
---
## 📞 Support & Updates
**Version:** 1.0
**Compatibility:** TradingView Pine Script v5
**Updates:** Regular improvements based on ICT methodology
---
## ⚡ Quick Reference Card
| Signal | Action | SL Placement | TP Target |
|--------|--------|--------------|-----------|
| SFP + X at High | SHORT at Red Zone | Above Red | Green Zone |
| SFP + X at Low | LONG at Green Zone | Below Green | Red Zone |
**Remember:** The indicator shows you WHERE to trade, but YOU decide WHEN based on confirmation and market context.
---
*Disclaimer: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis. Always use proper risk management and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.*
OCC Strategy Optimized (MA 5 + Delayed TSL)# OCC Strategy Optimized (MA 5 + Delayed TSL) - User Guide
## Introduction
The **OCC Strategy Optimized** is an enhanced version of the classic **Open Close Cross (OCC)** strategy. This strategy is designed for high-precision trend following, utilizing the crossover logic of Open and Close moving averages to identify market shifts. This optimized version incorporates advanced risk management, multi-timeframe analysis, and a variety of moving average types to provide a robust trading solution for modern markets.
>
> **Special Thanks:** This strategy is based on the original work of **JustUncleL**, a renowned Pine Script developer. You can find their work and profile on TradingView here: (in.tradingview.com).
---
## Key Features
### 1. Optimized Core Logic
- **MA Period (Default: 5):** The strategy is tuned with a shorter MA length to reduce lag and capture trends earlier.
- **Crossing Logic:** Signals are generated when the Moving Average of the **Close** crosses the Moving Average of the **Open**.
### 2. Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Analysis
- **Alternate Resolution:** Use a higher timeframe (Resolution Multiplier) to filter out noise. By default, it uses $3 \times$ your current chart timeframe to confirm the trend.
- **Non-Repainting:** Includes an optional delay offset to ensure signals are confirmed and do not disappear (repaint) after the bar closes.
### 3. Advanced Risk Management
This script features a hierarchical exit system to protect your capital and lock in profits:
- **Fixed Stop Loss (Initial):** Protects against sudden market reversals immediately after entry.
- **Delayed Trailing Stop Loss (TSL):**
- **Activation Delay:** The TSL only activates after the trade reaches a specific profit threshold (e.g., 1%). This prevents being stopped out too early in the trade's development.
- **Ratchet Trail:** Once activated, the stop loss "ratchets" up/down, never moving backward, ensuring you lock in profits as the trend continues.
- **Take Profit (TP):** A fixed percentage target to exit the trade at a pre-defined profit level.
### 4. Versatility
- **12 MA Types:** Choose from SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, WMA, VWMA, SMMA, HullMA, LSMA, ALMA, SSMA, and TMA.
- **Trade Direction:** Toggle between Long-only, Short-only, or Both.
- **Visuals:** Optional bar coloring to visualize the trend directly on the candlesticks.
---
## User Input Guide
### Core Settings
- **Use Alternate Resolution?:** Enable this to use the MTF logic.
- **Multiplier for Alternate Resolution:** How many charts higher the "filter" timeframe should be.
- **MA Type:** Select your preferred moving average smoothing method.
- **MA Period:** The length of the Open/Close averages.
- **Delay Open/Close MA:** Use `1` or higher to force non-repainting behavior.
### Risk Management Settings
- **Use Trailing Stop Loss?:** Enables the TSL system.
- **Trailing Stop %:** The distance the stop follows behind the price (Optimized Default: 1.5%).
- **TSL Activation % (Delay):** The profit % required before the TSL starts moving. (Optimized Default: 2.0% to ensure 0.5% profit is locked immediately).
- **Initial Fixed Stop Loss %:** Your hard stop if the trade immediately goes against you.
- **Take Profit %:** Your ultimate profit target for the trade.
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## How to Trade with This Strategy
1. **Identify the Trend:** Look for the Moving Average lines (Close vs Open) to cross.
2. **Wait for Confirmation:** If using MTF, ensure the higher timeframe also shows a trend change.
3. **Manage the Trade:** Let the TSL work. With the default **2.0% Activation** and **1.5% Trail**, the strategy will automatically lock in **0.5% profit** the moment the threshold is hit, then follow the price higher.
4. **Position Sizing:** Adjust the `Properties` tab in the script settings to match your desired capital allocation (Default is 10% of equity).
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## Recommended Settings
1. Trialing < Activation
2. Check ranging
## Credits
Original Strategy by: **JustUncleL**
Optimized and Enhanced by: **Antigravity AI**
