Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
"gaps" için komut dosyalarını ara
MistaB SMC Navigation ToolkitMistaB SMC Navigation Toolkit
A complete Smart Money Concepts (SMC) toolkit designed for precision navigation of market structure, order flow, and premium/discount trading zones. Perfect for traders following ICT-style concepts and multi-timeframe confluence.
Features
✅ Order Blocks (OBs)
• Automatic bullish & bearish OB detection
• Optional displacement & high-volume filters
• Midline display for quick equilibrium view
• Auto-expiry and broken OB cleanup
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
• Bullish & bearish gap detection
• HTF bias filtering for higher accuracy
• Compact boxes with labels
• Automatic removal when filled
✅ Market Structure (BoS / CHoCH)
• Fractal-based swing detection
• Break of Structure & Change of Character labeling
• Dynamic HTF bias dimming
✅ Premium / Discount Zones
• Auto-calculated mid-level
• Highlighted zones for optimal trade placement
✅ Higher Timeframe (HTF) Confirmation
• Configurable confirmation timeframe
• On-chart HTF status label (Bullish / Bearish / Not Required)
✅ Automatic Cleanup System
• Fast or delayed cleanup for expired/broken zones
• Dimmed colors for invalidated levels
How to Use
Set your preferred HTF in the settings.
Look for OB/FVGs aligned with HTF bias.
Enter in discount zones for longs or premium zones for shorts.
Confirm with BoS / CHoCH signals before entry.
Manage trades towards opposing liquidity zones or HTF levels.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or guarantee future results. Always practice proper risk management and test thoroughly before live trading.
US Macro Cycle (Z-Score Model)US Macro Cycle (Z-Score Model)
This indicator tracks the US economic cycle in real time using a weighted composite of seven macro and market-based indicators, each converted into a rolling Z-score for comparability. The model identifies the current phase of the cycle — Expansion, Peak, Contraction, or Recovery — and suggests sector tilts based on historical performance in each phase.
Core Components:
Yield Curve (10y–2y): Positive & steepening = growth; inverted = slowdown risk.
Credit Spreads (HYG/LQD): Tightening = risk-on; widening = risk-off.
Sector Leadership (Cyclicals vs. Defensives): Measures market leadership regime.
Copper/Gold Ratio: Higher copper = growth signal; higher gold = defensive.
SPY vs. 200-day MA: Equity trend strength.
SPY/IEF Ratio: Stocks vs. bonds relative strength.
VIX (Inverted): Low/falling volatility = supportive; high/rising = risk-off.
Methodology:
Each series is transformed into a rolling Z-score over the selected lookback period (optionally using median/MAD for robustness and winsorization to clip outliers).
Z-scores are combined using user-defined weights and normalized.
The smoothed composite is compared against phase thresholds to classify the macro environment.
Features:
Customizable Weights: Emphasize the indicators most relevant to your strategy.
Adjustable Thresholds: Fine-tune cycle phase definitions.
Background Coloring: Visual cue for the current phase.
Summary Table: Displays composite Z, confidence %, and individual Z-scores.
Alerts: Trigger when the phase changes, with details on the composite score and recommended tilt.
Use Cases:
Align sector rotation or relative strength strategies with the macro backdrop.
Identify favorable or defensive phases for tactical allocation.
Monitor macro turning points to manage portfolio risk.
It's doesn't fill nan gaps so there is quite a bit of zeroes, non-repainting.
Fibs Has Lied 🌟 Fibs Has Lied - Indicator Overview 🌟
Designed for indices like US30, NQ, and SPX, this indicator highlights setups where price interacts with key EMA levels during specific trading sessions (default: 6:30–11:30 AM EST).
🌟 Key Features & Levels 🌟
🔹EMA Crossover Setups
The indicator uses the 100-period and 200-period EMAs to identify bullish and bearish setups:
- Bullish Setup: Triggers when the 100 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, followed by two consecutive candles opening above the 100 EMA, with the low within a specified point distance (e.g., 20 points for US30).
- Bearish Setup: Triggers when the 100 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA, followed by two consecutive candles opening below the 100 EMA, with the high within the point distance.
- Signals are marked with green (buy) or red (sell) triangles and text, ensuring you don’t miss a setup. 📈
🔹 Reset Conditions for Re-Entries
After an initial setup, the indicator watches for “reset” opportunities:
- Buy Reset: If price moves below the 200 EMA after a bullish crossover, then returns with two consecutive candles where lows are above the 100 EMA (within point distance), a new buy signal is plotted.
- Sell Reset: If price moves above the 200 EMA after a bearish crossover, then returns with two consecutive candles where highs are below the 100 EMA (within point distance), a new sell signal is plotted.
This feature captures additional entries after liquidity grabs or fakeouts, aligning with ICT’s manipulation concepts. 🔄
🔹 Session-Based Filtering
Focus your trades during high-liquidity windows! The default session (6:30–11:30 AM EST, New York timezone) targets the London/NY overlap, where price often seeks liquidity or sets up for reversals. Toggle the time filter off for 24/7 signals if desired. 🕒
🔹Symbol-Specific Point Distance
Customizable entry zones based on your chosen index:
- US30: 20 points from the 100 EMA.
- NQ: 3 points from the 100 EMA.
- SPX: 2.5 points from the 100 EMA.
This ensures setups are tailored to the volatility of your market, maximizing relevance. 🎯
🔹 Market Structure Markers (Optional)
Visualize swing points with pivot-based labels:
- HH (Higher High): Signals uptrend continuation.
- HL (Higher Low): Indicates potential bullish support.
- LH (Lower High): Suggests weakening uptrend or reversal.
- LL (Lower Low): Points to downtrend continuation.
- Toggle these on/off to keep your chart clean while analyzing trend direction. 📊
🔹 EMA Visualization
Optionally plot the 100 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red) to see key levels where price reacts. These act as dynamic support/resistance, perfect for spotting liquidity pools or ICT’s Power of 3 setups. ⚖️
🌟 Customization Options 🌟
- Symbol Selection: Choose US30, NQ, or SPX to adjust point distance for entries.
- Time Filter: Enable/disable the 6:30–11:30 AM EST session to focus on high-liquidity periods.
- EMA Display: Toggle 100/200 EMAs on/off to reduce chart clutter.
- Market Structure: Show/hide HH/HL/LH/LL labels for cleaner analysis.
- Signal Markers: Green (buy) and red (sell) triangles with text are auto-plotted for easy identification.
🌟 Usage Tips 🌟
- Best Timeframes: Use on 3m for intraday scalping and 30m for swing trades.
- Combine with ICT Tools: Pair with order blocks, fair value gaps, or kill zones for stronger setups.
- Focus on Session: The default 6:30–11:30 AM EST session captures London/NY volatility—perfect for liquidity-driven moves.
- Avoid Overcrowding: Disable market structure or EMAs if you only want setup signals.
Fractal Suite: MTF Fractals + BOS/CHOCH + OB + FVG + Targets Kese Way
Fractals (Multi-Timeframe): Automatically detects both current-timeframe and higher-timeframe Bill Williams fractals, with customizable left/right bar settings.
Break of Structure (BOS) & CHoCH: Marks structural breaks and changes of character in real time.
Liquidity Sweeps: Identifies sweep patterns where price takes out a previous swing high/low but closes back within range.
Order Blocks (OB): Highlights the last opposite candle before a BOS, with customizable extension bars.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Finds 3-bar inefficiencies with a minimum size filter.
Confluence Zones: Optionally require OB–FVG overlap for high-probability setups.
Entry, Stop, and Targets: Automatically calculates entry price, stop loss, and up to three take-profit targets based on risk-reward ratios.
Visual Dashboard: Mini on-chart table summarizing structure, last swing points, and settings.
Alerts: Set alerts for new fractals, BOS events, and confluence-based trade setups.
Combined Futures Open Interest [Sam SDF-Solutions]The Combined Futures Open Interest indicator is designed to provide comprehensive analysis of market positioning by aggregating open interest data from the two nearest futures contracts. This dual-contract approach captures the complete picture of market participation, including rollover dynamics between front and back month contracts, offering traders crucial insights into institutional positioning and market sentiment.
Key Features:
Dual-Contract Aggregation: Automatically identifies and combines open interest from the first and second nearest futures contracts (e.g., ES1! + ES2!), providing a complete view of market positioning that single-contract analysis might miss.
Multi-Period Analysis: Tracks open interest changes across multiple timeframes:
1 Day: Immediate market sentiment shifts
1 Week: Short-term positioning trends
1 Month: Medium-term institutional flows
3 Months: Quarterly positioning aligned with contract expiration cycles
Smart Data Handling: Utilizes last known values when data is temporarily unavailable, preventing false signals from data gaps while clearly indicating when stale data is being used.
EMA Smoothing: Incorporates a customizable Exponential Moving Average (default 65 periods) to identify the underlying trend in open interest, filtering out daily noise and highlighting significant deviations.
Dynamic Visualization:
Color-coded main line showing directional changes (green for increases, red for decreases)
Optional fill areas between OI and EMA to visualize momentum
Separate contract lines for detailed rollover analysis
Customizable labels for significant percentage changes
Comprehensive Information Table: Displays real-time statistics including:
Current total open interest across both contracts
Period-over-period changes in absolute and percentage terms
EMA deviation metrics
Visual status indicators for quick assessment
Contract symbols and data quality warnings
Alert System: Configurable alerts for:
Significant daily changes (customizable threshold)
EMA crossovers indicating trend changes
Large percentage movements suggesting institutional activity
How It Works:
Contract Detection: The indicator automatically identifies the base futures symbol and constructs the appropriate contract codes for the two nearest expirations, or accepts manual symbol input for non-standard contracts.
Data Aggregation: Open interest data from both contracts is retrieved and summed, providing a complete picture that accounts for positions rolling between contracts.
Historical Comparison: The indicator calculates changes from multiple lookback periods (1/5/22/66 days) to show how positioning has evolved across different time horizons.
Trend Analysis: The EMA overlay helps identify whether current open interest is above or below its smoothed average, indicating momentum in position building or reduction.
Visual Feedback: The main line changes color based on daily changes, while the optional table provides detailed numerical analysis for traders requiring precise data.
___________________
This indicator is essential for futures traders, particularly those focused on index futures, commodities, or currency futures where understanding the aggregate positioning across nearby contracts is crucial. It's especially valuable during rollover periods when positions shift between contracts, and for identifying institutional accumulation or distribution patterns that single-contract analysis might miss. By combining multiple timeframe analysis with intelligent data handling and clear visualization, it simplifies the complex task of monitoring open interest dynamics across the futures curve.
Estrategia de NY ORB por CPThis strategy marks the New York market opening range during the first 15 minutes and confirms a buy or sell entry once the price returns and retests that range. It’s designed to capture trades of 60 points or more after the range has been retested. I suggest complementing the strategy with an indicator that highlights FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) or order blocks to better understand what price is doing and where it’s heading.
esta estrategia te marca el rango de apertura del mercado de ny de los primeros 15 minutos y te confirma entrada en venta o compra una vez que el precio regrese y retestee el rango. esta diseñada para tener trades de 60 puntos o mas una vez que el rango sea retesteado. sugiero acompañar la estrategia con algun indicador que marque fvg o order blocks para tener una mejor de lo que el precio esta haciendo y hacia donde se dirige.
VG 1.0This script is an enhanced version of SMC Structures and FVG with an advanced JSON-based alert system designed for seamless integration with webhooks and external applications (such as a Swift iOS app).
What it does
It detects and plots on the chart:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) — bullish and bearish.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHOCH).
Key Fibonacci levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) based on the current structure.
Additionally, it generates custom alerts:
FVG Alerts:
When a new FVG is created (bullish or bearish).
When an existing FVG gets mitigated.
BOS & CHOCH Alerts:
Includes breakout direction (bullish or bearish).
Fibonacci Alerts:
When price touches a configured level, with adjustable tick tolerance.
Alerts can be:
Declarative (alertcondition) for manual setup inside TradingView.
Programmatic (alert() JSON) for automated webhook delivery to your system or mobile app.
Key Features
Optional close confirmation to filter out false signals.
Standardized JSON format for direct API or mobile app integration.
Webhook-ready for automated push notifications.
Full visual control with lines, boxes, and labels.
Configurable tick tolerance for Fibonacci “touch” detection.
Signal Stack MeterWhat it is
A lightweight “go or no‑go” meter that combines your manual read of Structure, Location, and Momentum with automatic context from volatility and macro timing. It surfaces a single, tradeable answer on the chart: OK to engage or Standby.
Why traders like it
You keep your discretion and nuance, and the meter adds guardrails. It prevents good trade ideas from being executed in the wrong conditions.
What it measures
Manual buckets you set each day: Structure, Location, Momentum from 0 to 2
Volatility from VIX, term structure, ATR 5 over 60, and session gaps
Time windows for CPI, NFP, and FOMC with ET inputs and an exchange‑offset
Total score and a simple gate: threshold plus a “strong bucket” rule you choose
How to use in 30 seconds
Pick a preset for your market.
Set Structure, Location, Momentum to 0, 1, or 2.
Leave defaults for the auto metrics while you get a feel.
Read the header. When it says OK to engage, you have both your read and the context.
Defaults we recommend
OK threshold: 5
Strong bucket rule: Either Structure or Location equals 2
VIX triggers: 22 and 1.25× the 20‑SMA
Term mode: Diff at 0.00 tolerance. Ratio mode at 1.00+ is available
ATR 5/60 defense: 1.25. Offense cue: 0.85 or lower
ATR smoothing: 1
Gap mode: RTH with 0.60× ATR5 wild gap. ON wild range at 0.80× ATR5
CPI window 08:25 to 08:40 ET. FOMC window 13:50 to 14:30 ET
ET to exchange offset: −60 for CME index futures. Set to 0 for NYSE symbols like SPY
Alert cadence: Once per RTH session. Snooze first 30 minutes optional
New since the last description
Parity with Defense Mode for presets, sessions, ratio vs diff term mode, ATR smoothing, RTH‑key cadence, and snooze options
Event windows in ET with a simple offset to your exchange time
Alternate row backgrounds and full color control for readability
Exposed series for automation: EngageOK(1=yes) plus TotalScore
Debug toggle to see ATR ratio, term, and gap measurements directly
Notes
Dynamic alerts require “Any alert() function call”.
The meter is designed to sit opposite Defense Mode on the chart. Use the position input to avoid overlap.
Defense Mode Dashboard ProWhat it is
A one‑look market regime dashboard for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, and SPY that tells you when to play defense, when you might have an offense cue, and when to chill. It blends VIX, VIX term structure, ATR 5 over 60, and session gap signals with clean alerts and a compact table you can park anywhere.
Why traders like it
Because it filters out the noise. Regime first, tactics second. You avoid trading size into landmines and lean in when volatility cooperates.
What it measures
Volatility stress with VIX level and VIX vs 20‑SMA
Term structure using VX1 vs VX2 with two modes
Diff mode: VX1 minus VX2
Ratio mode: VX1 divided by VX2
Realized volatility using ATR5 over ATR60 with optional smoothing
Session risk from RTH opening gaps and overnight range, normalized by ATR
How to use in 30 seconds
Pick a preset in the inputs. ES, NQ, YM, RTY, SPY are ready.
Leave thresholds at defaults to start.
Add one TradingView alert using “Any alert() function call”.
Trade smaller or stand aside when the header reads DEFENSE ON. Consider leaning in only when you see OFFENSE CUE and your playbook agrees.
Defaults we recommend
VIX triggers: 22 and 1.25× the 20‑SMA
Term mode: Diff with tolerance 0.00. Use Ratio at 1.00+ for choppier markets
ATR 5/60 defense: 1.25. Offense cue: 0.85 or lower
ATR smoothing: 1. Try 2 to 3 if you want fewer flips
Gap mode: RTH. Turn Both on if you want ON range to count too
RTH wild gap: 0.60× ATR5. ON wild range: 0.80× ATR5
Alert cadence: Once per RTH session
Snooze: Quick snooze first 30 minutes on. Fire on snooze exit off, unless you really want the catch‑up ping
New since the last description
Multi‑asset presets set symbols and RTH windows for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, SPY
Term ratio mode with near‑flat warning when ratio is between 1.00 and your trigger
ATR smoothing for the 5 over 60 ratio
RTH keying for cadence, so “Once per RTH session” behaves like a trader expects
Snooze upgrades with quick snooze tied to the first N minutes of RTH and an optional fire‑on‑snooze‑exit
Compact title merge and user color controls for labels, values, borders, and background
Exposed series for integrations: DefenseOn(1=yes) and OffenseCue(1=yes)
Debug toggle to visualize gap points, ON range, and term readings
Stronger NA handling with a clear “No core data” row when feeds are missing
Notes
Dynamic alerts require “Any alert() function call”.
Works on any chart timeframe. Daily reads and 1‑minute anchors handle the regime logic.
ShadowBlocks SMC indicator💼 SMC Indicator – Trade Like Smart Money
The SMC Indicator is a precision-engineered tool built around Smart Money Concepts, revealing how institutional players truly move the markets. Forget retail noise — SMC cuts through the fog to show the real structure, liquidity zones, and key manipulation points that big money uses to trap uninformed traders.
Key Features:
🔹 Market Structure Mapping: Real-time detection of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) for trend identification.
🔹 Liquidity Zones: Highlights internal and external liquidity pools where stop hunts are most likely to occur.
🔹 Order Blocks & Imbalances: Automatic marking of bullish/bearish order blocks, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and mitigation zones.
🔹 Premium/Discount Zones: Smart price equilibrium tracking using internal range Fibonacci logic.
🔹 Entry & Exit Clarity: Clearly defined high-probability entry zones, TP/SL levels, and confirmation-based signals.
Whether you're a price action purist or a strategic SMC trader, this indicator brings the invisible hand of institutions into full view — so you can follow smart money, not fight it.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
ShadowBlocks SMC Indicator is an educational and informational tool. It does not provide financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Bougies bleues en cas de gap haussierHere is the script to visually and quickly identify bullish gaps in blue.
Thank you, Mr. Kabbai Thami, for the power of this 'bullish gap' insight, which you combine with other indicators.
Advance FVG with 3 EMAThis is a very powerful script and is an advanced version of Fair Value Gaps with powerful EMAs.
Multi-Tool Nasdaq US100 IndikatorA combination of several tools such as moving averages (EMA 50, 100, 200), Fibonacci retracements, pivot points, RSI (Relative Strength Index), order blocks, fair value gaps, supply and demand zones, and a simple volume profile.
The indicator is designed to enable high profitability by combining various established technical analysis approaches into one tool, facilitating decision-making regarding entry and exit points.
The script can be integrated and used directly in TradingView by creating a new indicator script and pasting the code there.
Ayman – Full Smart Suite Auto/Manual Presets + PanelIndicator Name
Ayman – Full Smart Suite (OB/BoS/Liq/FVG/Pin/ADX/HTF) + Auto/Manual Presets + Panel
This is a multi-condition trading tool for TradingView that combines advanced Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with classic technical filters.
It generates BUY/SELL signals, draws Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP1, TP2) levels, and displays a control panel with all active settings and conditions.
1. Main Features
Smart Money Concepts Filters:
Order Block (OB) Zones
Break of Structure (BoS)
Liquidity Sweeps
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Pin Bar patterns
ADX filter
Higher Timeframe EMA filter (HTF EMA)
Two Operating Modes:
Auto Presets: Automatically adjusts all settings (buffers, ATR multipliers, RR, etc.) based on your chart timeframe (M1/M5/M15).
Manual Mode: Fully customize all parameters yourself.
Trade Management Levels:
Stop Loss (SL)
TP1 – partial profit
TP2 – full profit
Visual Panel showing:
Current settings
Filter status
Trend direction
Last swing levels
SL/TP status
Alerts for BUY/SELL conditions
2. Entry Conditions
A BUY signal is generated when all these are true:
Trend: Price above EMA (bullish)
HTF EMA: Higher timeframe trend also bullish
ADX: Trend strength above threshold
OB: Price in a valid bullish Order Block zone
BoS: Structure break to the upside
Liquidity Sweep: Sweep of recent lows in bullish context
FVG: A bullish Fair Value Gap is present
Pin Bar: Bullish Pin Bar pattern detected (if enabled)
A SELL signal is generated when the opposite conditions are met.
3. Stop Loss & Take Profits
SL: Placed just beyond the last swing low (BUY) or swing high (SELL), with a small ATR buffer.
TP1: Partial profit target, defined as a ratio of the SL distance.
TP2: Full profit target, based on Reward:Risk ratio.
4. How to Use
Step 1 – Apply Indicator
Open TradingView
Go to your chart (recommended: XAUUSD, M1/M5 for scalping)
Add the indicator script
Step 2 – Choose Mode
AUTO Mode: Leave “Use Auto Presets” ON – parameters adapt to your timeframe.
MANUAL Mode: Turn Auto OFF and adjust all lengths, buffers, RR, and filters.
Step 3 – Filters
In the Filters On/Off section, enable/disable specific conditions (OB, BoS, Liq, FVG, Pin Bar, ADX, HTF EMA).
Step 4 – Trading the Signals
Wait for a BUY or SELL arrow to appear.
SL and TP levels will be plotted automatically.
TP1 can be used for partial close and TP2 for full exit.
Step 5 – Alerts
Set alerts via BUY Signal or SELL Signal to receive notifications.
5. Best Practices
Scalping: Use M1 or M5 with AUTO mode for gold or forex pairs.
Swing Trading: Use M15+ and adjust buffers/ATR manually.
Combine with price action confirmation before entering trades.
For higher accuracy, wait for multiple filter confirmations rather than acting on the first arrow.
6. Summary Table
Feature Purpose Can Disable?
Order Block Finds key supply/demand zones ✅
Break of Structure Detects trend continuation ✅
Liquidity Sweep Finds stop-hunt moves ✅
Fair Value Gap Confirms imbalance entries ✅
Pin Bar Price action reversal filter ✅
ADX Trend strength filter ✅
HTF EMA Higher timeframe confirmation ✅
SMC Structures and FVGสวัสดีครับ! ผมจะอธิบายอินดิเคเตอร์ "SMC Structures and FVG + MACD" ที่คุณให้มาอย่างละเอียดในแต่ละส่วน เพื่อให้คุณเข้าใจการทำงานของมันอย่างถ่องแท้ครับ
อินดิเคเตอร์นี้เป็นการผสมผสานแนวคิดของ Smart Money Concept (SMC) ซึ่งเน้นการวิเคราะห์โครงสร้างตลาด (Market Structure) และ Fair Value Gap (FVG) เข้ากับอินดิเคเตอร์ MACD เพื่อใช้เป็นตัวกรองหรือตัวยืนยันสัญญาณ Choch/BoS (Change of Character / Break of Structure)
1. ภาพรวมอินดิเคเตอร์ (Overall Purpose)
อินดิเคเตอร์นี้มีจุดประสงค์หลักคือ:
ระบุโครงสร้างตลาด: ตีเส้นและป้ายกำกับ Choch (Change of Character) และ BoS (Break of Structure) บนกราฟโดยอัตโนมัติ
ผสานการยืนยันด้วย MACD: สัญญาณ Choch/BoS จะถูกพิจารณาก็ต่อเมื่อ MACD Histogram เกิดการตัดขึ้นหรือลง (Zero Cross) ในทิศทางที่สอดคล้องกัน
แสดง Fair Value Gap (FVG): หากเปิดใช้งาน จะมีการตีกล่อง FVG บนกราฟ
แสดงระดับ Fibonacci: คำนวณและแสดงระดับ Fibonacci ที่สำคัญตามโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
ปรับตาม Timeframe: การคำนวณและการแสดงผลทั้งหมดจะปรับตาม Timeframe ที่คุณกำลังใช้งานอยู่โดยอัตโนมัติ
2. ส่วนประกอบหลักของโค้ด (Code Breakdown)
โค้ดนี้สามารถแบ่งออกเป็นส่วนหลัก ๆ ได้ดังนี้:
2.1 Inputs (การตั้งค่า)
ส่วนนี้คือตัวแปรที่คุณสามารถปรับแต่งได้ในหน้าต่างการตั้งค่าของอินดิเคเตอร์ (คลิกที่รูปฟันเฟืองข้างชื่ออินดิเคเตอร์บนกราฟ)
MACD Settings (ตั้งค่า MACD):
fast_len: ความยาวของ Fast EMA สำหรับ MACD (ค่าเริ่มต้น 12)
slow_len: ความยาวของ Slow EMA สำหรับ MACD (ค่าเริ่มต้น 26)
signal_len: ความยาวของ Signal Line สำหรับ MACD (ค่าเริ่มต้น 9)
= ta.macd(close, fast_len, slow_len, signal_len): คำนวณค่า MACD Line, Signal Line และ Histogram โดยใช้ราคาปิด (close) และค่าความยาวที่กำหนด
is_bullish_macd_cross: ตรวจสอบว่า MACD Histogram ตัดขึ้นเหนือเส้น 0 (จากค่าลบเป็นบวก)
is_bearish_macd_cross: ตรวจสอบว่า MACD Histogram ตัดลงใต้เส้น 0 (จากค่าบวกเป็นลบ)
Fear Value Gap (FVG) Settings:
isFvgToShow: (Boolean) เปิด/ปิดการแสดง FVG บนกราฟ
bullishFvgColor: สีสำหรับ Bullish FVG
bearishFvgColor: สีสำหรับ Bearish FVG
mitigatedFvgColor: สีสำหรับ FVG ที่ถูก Mitigate (ลดทอน) แล้ว
fvgHistoryNbr: จำนวน FVG ย้อนหลังที่จะแสดง
isMitigatedFvgToReduce: (Boolean) เปิด/ปิดการลดขนาด FVG เมื่อถูก Mitigate
Structures (โครงสร้างตลาด) Settings:
isStructBodyCandleBreak: (Boolean) หากเป็น true การ Break จะต้องเกิดขึ้นด้วย เนื้อเทียน ที่ปิดเหนือ/ใต้ Swing High/Low หากเป็น false แค่ไส้เทียนทะลุก็ถือว่า Break
isCurrentStructToShow: (Boolean) เปิด/ปิดการแสดงเส้นโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน (เส้นสีน้ำเงินในภาพตัวอย่าง)
pivot_len: ความยาวของแท่งเทียนที่ใช้ในการมองหาจุด Pivot (Swing High/Low) ยิ่งค่าน้อยยิ่งจับ Swing เล็กๆ ได้, ยิ่งค่ามากยิ่งจับ Swing ใหญ่ๆ ได้
bullishBosColor, bearishBosColor: สีสำหรับเส้นและป้าย BOS ขาขึ้น/ขาลง
bosLineStyleOption, bosLineWidth: สไตล์ (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) และความหนาของเส้น BOS
bullishChochColor, bearishChochColor: สีสำหรับเส้นและป้าย CHoCH ขาขึ้น/ขาลง
chochLineStyleOption, chochLineWidth: สไตล์ (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) และความหนาของเส้น CHoCH
currentStructColor, currentStructLineStyleOption, currentStructLineWidth: สี, สไตล์ และความหนาของเส้นโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
structHistoryNbr: จำนวนการ Break (Choch/BoS) ย้อนหลังที่จะแสดง
Structure Fibonacci (จากโค้ดต้นฉบับ):
เป็นชุด Input สำหรับเปิด/ปิด, กำหนดค่า, สี, สไตล์ และความหนาของเส้น Fibonacci Levels ต่างๆ (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) ที่จะถูกคำนวณจากโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
2.2 Helper Functions (ฟังก์ชันช่วยทำงาน)
getLineStyle(lineOption): ฟังก์ชันนี้ใช้แปลงค่า String ที่เลือกจาก Input (เช่น "─", "┈", "╌") ให้เป็นรูปแบบ line.style_ ที่ Pine Script เข้าใจ
get_structure_highest_bar(lookback): ฟังก์ชันนี้พยายามหา Bar Index ของแท่งเทียนที่ทำ Swing High ภายในช่วง lookback ที่กำหนด
get_structure_lowest_bar(lookback): ฟังก์ชันนี้พยายามหา Bar Index ของแท่งเทียนที่ทำ Swing Low ภายในช่วง lookback ที่กำหนด
is_structure_high_broken(...): ฟังก์ชันนี้ตรวจสอบว่าราคาปัจจุบันได้ Break เหนือ _structureHigh (Swing High) หรือไม่ โดยพิจารณาจาก _highStructBreakPrice (ราคาปิดหรือราคา High ขึ้นอยู่กับการตั้งค่า isStructBodyCandleBreak)
FVGDraw(...): ฟังก์ชันนี้รับ Arrays ของ FVG Boxes, Types, Mitigation Status และ Labels มาประมวลผล เพื่ออัปเดตสถานะของ FVG (เช่น ถูก Mitigate หรือไม่) และปรับขนาด/ตำแหน่งของ FVG Box และ Label บนกราฟ
2.3 Global Variables (ตัวแปรทั่วทั้งอินดิเคเตอร์)
เป็นตัวแปรที่ประกาศด้วย var ซึ่งหมายความว่าค่าของมันจะถูกเก็บไว้และอัปเดตในแต่ละแท่งเทียน (persists across bars)
structureLines, structureLabels: Arrays สำหรับเก็บอ็อบเจกต์ line และ label ของเส้น Choch/BoS ที่วาดบนกราฟ
fvgBoxes, fvgTypes, fvgLabels, isFvgMitigated: Arrays สำหรับเก็บข้อมูลของ FVG Boxes และสถานะต่างๆ
structureHigh, structureLow: เก็บราคาของ Swing High/Low ที่สำคัญของโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex: เก็บ Bar Index ของจุดเริ่มต้นของ Swing High/Low ที่สำคัญ
structureDirection: เก็บสถานะของทิศทางโครงสร้างตลาด (1 = Bullish, 2 = Bearish, 0 = Undefined)
fiboXPrice, fiboXStartIndex, fiboXLine, fiboXLabel: ตัวแปรสำหรับเก็บข้อมูลและอ็อบเจกต์ของเส้น Fibonacci Levels
isBOSAlert, isCHOCHAlert: (Boolean) ใช้สำหรับส่งสัญญาณ Alert (หากมีการตั้งค่า Alert ไว้)
2.4 FVG Processing (การประมวลผล FVG)
ส่วนนี้จะตรวจสอบเงื่อนไขการเกิด FVG (Bullish FVG: high < low , Bearish FVG: low > high )
หากเกิด FVG และ isFvgToShow เป็น true จะมีการสร้าง box และ label ใหม่เพื่อแสดง FVG บนกราฟ
มีการจัดการ fvgBoxes และ fvgLabels เพื่อจำกัดจำนวน FVG ที่แสดงตาม fvgHistoryNbr และลบ FVG เก่าออก
ฟังก์ชัน FVGDraw จะถูกเรียกเพื่ออัปเดตสถานะของ FVG (เช่น การถูก Mitigate) และปรับการแสดงผล
2.5 Structures Processing (การประมวลผลโครงสร้างตลาด)
Initialization: ที่ bar_index == 0 (แท่งเทียนแรกของกราฟ) จะมีการกำหนดค่าเริ่มต้นให้กับ structureHigh, structureLow, structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex
Finding Current High/Low: highest, highestBar, lowest, lowestBar ถูกใช้เพื่อหา High/Low ที่สุดและ Bar Index ของมันใน 10 แท่งล่าสุด (หรือทั้งหมดหากกราฟสั้นกว่า 10 แท่ง)
Calculating Structure Max/Min Bar: structureMaxBar และ structureMinBar ใช้ฟังก์ชัน get_structure_highest_bar และ get_structure_lowest_bar เพื่อหา Bar Index ของ Swing High/Low ที่แท้จริง (ไม่ใช่แค่ High/Low ที่สุดใน lookback แต่เป็นจุด Pivot ที่สมบูรณ์)
Break Price: lowStructBreakPrice และ highStructBreakPrice จะเป็นราคาปิด (close) หรือราคา Low/High ขึ้นอยู่กับ isStructBodyCandleBreak
isStuctureLowBroken / isStructureHighBroken: เงื่อนไขเหล่านี้ตรวจสอบว่าราคาได้ทำลาย structureLow หรือ structureHigh หรือไม่ โดยพิจารณาจากราคา Break, ราคาแท่งก่อนหน้า และ Bar Index ของจุดเริ่มต้นโครงสร้าง
Choch/BoS Logic (ส่วนสำคัญที่ถูกผสานกับ MACD):
if(isStuctureLowBroken and is_bearish_macd_cross): นี่คือจุดที่ MACD เข้ามามีบทบาท หากราคาทำลาย structureLow (สัญญาณขาลง) และ MACD Histogram เกิด Bearish Zero Cross (is_bearish_macd_cross เป็น true) อินดิเคเตอร์จะพิจารณาว่าเป็น Choch หรือ BoS
หาก structureDirection == 1 (เดิมเป็นขาขึ้น) หรือ 0 (ยังไม่กำหนด) จะตีเป็น "CHoCH" (เปลี่ยนทิศทางโครงสร้างเป็นขาลง)
หาก structureDirection == 2 (เดิมเป็นขาลง) จะตีเป็น "BOS" (ยืนยันโครงสร้างขาลง)
มีการสร้าง line.new และ label.new เพื่อวาดเส้นและป้ายกำกับ
structureDirection จะถูกอัปเดตเป็น 1 (Bullish)
structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow จะถูกอัปเดตเพื่อกำหนดโครงสร้างใหม่
else if(isStructureHighBroken and is_bullish_macd_cross): เช่นกันสำหรับขาขึ้น หากราคาทำลาย structureHigh (สัญญาณขาขึ้น) และ MACD Histogram เกิด Bullish Zero Cross (is_bullish_macd_cross เป็น true) อินดิเคเตอร์จะพิจารณาว่าเป็น Choch หรือ BoS
หาก structureDirection == 2 (เดิมเป็นขาลง) หรือ 0 (ยังไม่กำหนด) จะตีเป็น "CHoCH" (เปลี่ยนทิศทางโครงสร้างเป็นขาขึ้น)
หาก structureDirection == 1 (เดิมเป็นขาขึ้น) จะตีเป็น "BOS" (ยืนยันโครงสร้างขาขึ้น)
มีการสร้าง line.new และ label.new เพื่อวาดเส้นและป้ายกำกับ
structureDirection จะถูกอัปเดตเป็น 2 (Bearish)
structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow จะถูกอัปเดตเพื่อกำหนดโครงสร้างใหม่
การลบเส้นเก่า: d.delete_line (หากไลบรารีทำงาน) จะถูกเรียกเพื่อลบเส้นและป้ายกำกับเก่าออกเมื่อจำนวนเกิน structHistoryNbr
Updating Structure High/Low (else block): หากไม่มีการ Break เกิดขึ้น แต่ราคาปัจจุบันสูงกว่า structureHigh หรือต่ำกว่า structureLow ในทิศทางที่สอดคล้องกัน (เช่น ยังคงเป็นขาขึ้นและทำ High ใหม่) structureHigh หรือ structureLow จะถูกอัปเดตเพื่อติดตาม High/Low ที่สุดของโครงสร้างปัจจุบัน
Current Structure Display:
หาก isCurrentStructToShow เป็น true อินดิเคเตอร์จะวาดเส้น structureHighLine และ structureLowLine เพื่อแสดงขอบเขตของโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
Fibonacci Display:
หาก isFiboXToShow เป็น true อินดิเคเตอร์จะคำนวณและวาดเส้น Fibonacci Levels ต่างๆ (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) โดยอิงจาก structureHigh และ structureLow ของโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
Alerts:
alertcondition: ใช้สำหรับตั้งค่า Alert ใน TradingView เมื่อเกิดสัญญาณ BOS หรือ CHOCH
plot(na):
plot(na) เป็นคำสั่งที่สำคัญในอินดิเคเตอร์ที่ไม่ได้ต้องการพล็อต Series ของข้อมูลบนกราฟ (เช่น ไม่ได้พล็อตเส้น EMA หรือ RSI) แต่ใช้วาดอ็อบเจกต์ (Line, Label, Box) โดยตรง
การมี plot(na) ช่วยให้ Pine Script รู้ว่าอินดิเคเตอร์นี้มีเอาต์พุตที่แสดงผลบนกราฟ แม้ว่าจะไม่ได้เป็น Series ที่พล็อตตามปกติก็ตาม
3. วิธีใช้งาน
คัดลอกโค้ดทั้งหมด ที่อยู่ในบล็อก immersive ด้านบน
ไปที่ TradingView และเปิดกราฟที่คุณต้องการ
คลิกที่เมนู "Pine Editor" ที่อยู่ด้านล่างของหน้าจอ
ลบโค้ดเดิมที่มีอยู่ และ วางโค้ดที่คัดลอกมา ลงไปแทน
คลิกที่ปุ่ม "Add to Chart"
อินดิเคเตอร์จะถูกเพิ่มลงในกราฟของคุณโดยอัตโนมัติ คุณสามารถคลิกที่รูปฟันเฟืองข้างชื่ออินดิเคเตอร์บนกราฟเพื่อเข้าถึงหน้าต่างการตั้งค่าและปรับแต่งตามความต้องการของคุณได้
Hello! I will explain the "SMC Structures and FVG + MACD" indicator you provided in detail, section by section, so you can fully understand how it works.This indicator combines the concepts of Smart Money Concept (SMC), which focuses on analyzing Market Structure and Fair Value Gaps (FVG), with the MACD indicator to serve as a filter or confirmation for Choch (Change of Character) and BoS (Break of Structure) signals.1. Overall PurposeThe main purposes of this indicator are:Identify Market Structure: Automatically draw lines and label Choch (Change of Character) and BoS (Break of Structure) on the chart.Integrate MACD Confirmation: Choch/BoS signals will only be considered when the MACD Histogram performs a cross (Zero Cross) in the corresponding direction.Display Fair Value Gap (FVG): If enabled, FVG boxes will be drawn on the chart.Display Fibonacci Levels: Calculate and display important Fibonacci levels based on the current market structure.Adapt to Timeframe: All calculations and displays will automatically adjust to the timeframe you are currently using.2. Code BreakdownThis code can be divided into the following main sections:2.1 Inputs (Settings)This section contains variables that you can adjust in the indicator's settings window (click the gear icon next to the indicator's name on the chart).MACD Settings:fast_len: Length of the Fast EMA for MACD (default 12)slow_len: Length of the Slow EMA for MACD (default 26)signal_len: Length of the Signal Line for MACD (default 9) = ta.macd(close, fast_len, slow_len, signal_len): Calculates the MACD Line, Signal Line, and Histogram using the closing price (close) and the specified lengths.is_bullish_macd_cross: Checks if the MACD Histogram crosses above the 0 line (from negative to positive).is_bearish_macd_cross: Checks if the MACD Histogram crosses below the 0 line (from positive to negative).Fear Value Gap (FVG) Settings:isFvgToShow: (Boolean) Enables/disables the display of FVG on the chart.bullishFvgColor: Color for Bullish FVG.bearishFvgColor: Color for Bearish FVG.mitigatedFvgColor: Color for FVG that has been mitigated.fvgHistoryNbr: Number of historical FVG to display.isMitigatedFvgToReduce: (Boolean) Enables/disables reducing the size of FVG when mitigated.Structures (โครงสร้างตลาด) Settings:isStructBodyCandleBreak: (Boolean) If true, the break must occur with the candle body closing above/below the Swing High/Low. If false, a wick break is sufficient.isCurrentStructToShow: (Boolean) Enables/disables the display of the current market structure lines (blue lines in the example image).pivot_len: Lookback length for identifying Pivot points (Swing High/Low). A smaller value captures smaller, more frequent swings; a larger value captures larger, more significant swings.bullishBosColor, bearishBosColor: Colors for bullish/bearish BOS lines and labels.bosLineStyleOption, bosLineWidth: Style (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) and width of BOS lines.bullishChochColor, bearishChochColor: Colors for bullish/bearish CHoCH lines and labels.chochLineStyleOption, chochLineWidth: Style (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) and width of CHoCH lines.currentStructColor, currentStructLineStyleOption, currentStructLineWidth: Color, style, and width of the current market structure lines.structHistoryNbr: Number of historical breaks (Choch/BoS) to display.Structure Fibonacci (from original code):A set of inputs to enable/disable, define values, colors, styles, and widths for various Fibonacci Levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) that will be calculated from the current market structure.2.2 Helper FunctionsgetLineStyle(lineOption): This function converts the selected string input (e.g., "─", "┈", "╌") into a line.style_ format understood by Pine Script.get_structure_highest_bar(lookback): This function attempts to find the Bar Index of the Swing High within the specified lookback period.get_structure_lowest_bar(lookback): This function attempts to find the Bar Index of the Swing Low within the specified lookback period.is_structure_high_broken(...): This function checks if the current price has broken above _structureHigh (Swing High), considering _highStructBreakPrice (closing price or high price depending on isStructBodyCandleBreak setting).FVGDraw(...): This function takes arrays of FVG Boxes, Types, Mitigation Status, and Labels to process and update the status of FVG (e.g., whether it's mitigated) and adjust the size/position of FVG Boxes and Labels on the chart.2.3 Global VariablesThese are variables declared with var, meaning their values are stored and updated on each bar (persists across bars).structureLines, structureLabels: Arrays to store line and label objects for Choch/BoS lines drawn on the chart.fvgBoxes, fvgTypes, fvgLabels, isFvgMitigated: Arrays to store FVG box data and their respective statuses.structureHigh, structureLow: Stores the price of the significant Swing High/Low of the current market structure.structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex: Stores the Bar Index of the start point of the significant Swing High/Low.structureDirection: Stores the status of the market structure direction (1 = Bullish, 2 = Bearish, 0 = Undefined).fiboXPrice, fiboXStartIndex, fiboXLine, fiboXLabel: Variables to store data and objects for Fibonacci Levels.isBOSAlert, isCHOCHAlert: (Boolean) Used to trigger alerts in TradingView (if alerts are configured).2.4 FVG ProcessingThis section checks the conditions for FVG formation (Bullish FVG: high < low , Bearish FVG: low > high ).If FVG occurs and isFvgToShow is true, a new box and label are created to display the FVG on the chart.fvgBoxes and fvgLabels are managed to limit the number of FVG displayed according to fvgHistoryNbr and remove older FVG.The FVGDraw function is called to update the FVG status (e.g., whether it's mitigated) and adjust its display.2.5 Structures ProcessingInitialization: At bar_index == 0 (the first bar of the chart), structureHigh, structureLow, structureHighStartIndex, and structureLowStartIndex are initialized.Finding Current High/Low: highest, highestBar, lowest, lowestBar are used to find the highest/lowest price and its Bar Index of it in the last 10 bars (or all bars if the chart is shorter than 10 bars).Calculating Structure Max/Min Bar: structureMaxBar and structureMinBar use get_structure_highest_bar and get_structure_lowest_bar functions to find the Bar Index of the true Swing High/Low (not just the highest/lowest in the lookback but a complete Pivot point).Break Price: lowStructBreakPrice and highStructBreakPrice will be the closing price (close) or the Low/High price, depending on the isStructBodyCandleBreak setting.isStuctureLowBroken / isStructureHighBroken: These conditions check if the price has broken structureLow or structureHigh, considering the break price, previous bar prices, and the Bar Index of the structure's starting point.Choch/BoS Logic (Key Integration with MACD):if(isStuctureLowBroken and is_bearish_macd_cross): This is where MACD plays a role. If the price breaks structureLow (bearish signal) AND the MACD Histogram performs a Bearish Zero Cross (is_bearish_macd_cross is true), the indicator will consider it a Choch or BoS.If structureDirection == 1 (previously bullish) or 0 (undefined), it will be labeled "CHoCH" (changing structure direction to bearish).If structureDirection == 2 (already bearish), it will be labeled "BOS" (confirming bearish structure).line.new and label.new are used to draw the line and label.structureDirection will be updated to 1 (Bullish).structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow will be updated to define the new structure.else if(isStructureHighBroken and is_bullish_macd_cross): Similarly for bullish breaks. If the price breaks structureHigh (bullish signal) AND the MACD Histogram performs a Bullish Zero Cross (is_bullish_macd_cross is true), the indicator will consider it a Choch or BoS.If structureDirection == 2 (previously bearish) or 0 (undefined), it will be labeled "CHoCH" (changing structure direction to bullish).If structureDirection == 1 (already bullish), it will be labeled "BOS" (confirming bullish structure).line.new and label.new are used to draw the line and label.structureDirection will be updated to 2 (Bearish).structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow will be updated to define the new structure.Deleting Old Lines: d.delete_line (if the library works) will be called to delete old lines and labels when their number exceeds structHistoryNbr.Updating Structure High/Low (else block): If no break occurs, but the current price is higher than structureHigh or lower than structureLow in the corresponding direction (e.g., still bullish and making a new high), structureHigh or structureLow will be updated to track the highest/lowest point of the current structure.Current Structure Display:If isCurrentStructToShow is true, the indicator draws structureHighLine and structureLowLine to show the boundaries of the current market structure.Fibonacci Display:If isFiboXToShow is true, the indicator calculates and draws various Fibonacci Levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) based on the structureHigh and structureLow of the current market structure.Alerts:alertcondition: Used to set up alerts in TradingView when BOS or CHOCH signals occur.plot(na):plot(na) is an important statement in indicators that do not plot data series directly on the chart (e.g., not plotting EMA or RSI lines) but instead draw objects (Line, Label, Box).Having plot(na) helps Pine Script recognize that this indicator has an output displayed on the chart, even if it's not a regularly plotted series.3. How to UseCopy all the code in the immersive block above.Go to TradingView and open your desired chart.Click on the "Pine Editor" menu at the bottom of the screen.Delete any existing code and paste the copied code in its place.Click the "Add to Chart" button.The indicator will be added to your chart automatically. You can click the gear icon next to the indicator's name on the chart to access the settings window and customize it to your needs.I hope this explanation helps you understand this indicator in detail. If anything is unclear, or you need further adjustments, please let me know.
MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing SignalMSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal
## Overview
The **MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal** is a custom TradingView indicator designed to help investors dynamically allocate between two YieldMax ETFs: **MSTY** (YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF) and **WNTR** (YieldMax Short MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF). These ETFs are tied to MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, which is heavily influenced by Bitcoin's price due to MSTR's significant Bitcoin holdings.
MSTY benefits from upward movements in MSTR (and thus Bitcoin) through a covered call strategy that generates income but caps upside potential. WNTR, on the other hand, provides inverse exposure, profiting from MSTR declines but losing in rallies. This indicator uses Bitcoin's momentum and MSTR's relative strength to signal when to hold MSTY (bullish phases), WNTR (bearish phases), or stay neutral, aiming to optimize returns by switching allocations at key turning points.
Inspired by strategies discussed in crypto communities (e.g., X posts analyzing MSTR-linked ETFs), this indicator promotes an active rebalancing approach over a "set and forget" buy-and-hold strategy. In simulated backtests over the past 12 months (as of August 4, 2025), the optimized version has shown potential to outperform holding 100% MSTY or 100% WNTR alone, with an illustrative APY of ~125% vs. ~6% for MSTY and ~-15% for WNTR in one scenario.
**Important Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult a financial advisor. Trading involves risk, and you could lose money. The indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
## Key Features
- **Momentum-Based Signals**: Uses a Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Bitcoin's price to detect bullish (price > SMA) or bearish (price < SMA) trends.
- **RSI Confirmation**: Incorporates MSTR's Relative Strength Index (RSI) to filter signals, avoiding overbought conditions for MSTY and oversold for WNTR.
- **Visual Cues**:
- Green upward triangle for "Hold MSTY".
- Red downward triangle for "Hold WNTR".
- Yellow cross for "Switch" signals.
- Background color: Green for MSTY, red for WNTR.
- **Information Panel**: A table in the top-right corner displays real-time data: BTC Price, SMA value, MSTR RSI, and current Allocation (MSTY, WNTR, or Neutral).
- **Alerts**: Configurable alerts for holding MSTY, holding WNTR, or switching.
- **Optimized Parameters**: Defaults are tuned (SMA: 10 days, RSI: 15 periods, Overbought: 80, Oversold: 20) based on simulations to reduce whipsaws and capture trends effectively.
## How It Works
The indicator's logic is straightforward yet effective for volatile assets like Bitcoin and MSTR:
1. **Primary Trigger (Bitcoin Momentum)**:
- Calculate the SMA of Bitcoin's closing price (default: 10-day).
- Bullish: Current BTC price > SMA → Potential MSTY hold.
- Bearish: Current BTC price < SMA → Potential WNTR hold.
2. **Secondary Filter (MSTR RSI Confirmation)**:
- Compute RSI on MSTR stock (default: 15-period).
- For bullish signals: If RSI > Overbought (80), signal Neutral (avoid overextended rallies).
- For bearish signals: If RSI < Oversold (20), signal Neutral (avoid capitulation bottoms).
3. **Allocation Rules**:
- Hold 100% MSTY if bullish and not overbought.
- Hold 100% WNTR if bearish and not oversold.
- Neutral otherwise (e.g., during choppy or extreme markets) – consider holding cash or avoiding trades.
4. **Rebalancing**:
- Switch signals trigger when the hold changes (e.g., from MSTY to WNTR).
- Recommended frequency: Weekly reviews or on 5% BTC moves to minimize trading costs (aim for 4-6 trades/year).
This approach leverages Bitcoin's influence on MSTR while mitigating the risks of MSTY's covered call drag during downtrends and WNTR's losses in uptrends.
## Setup and Usage
1. **Chart Requirements**:
- Apply this indicator to a Bitcoin chart (e.g., BTCUSD on Binance or Coinbase, daily timeframe recommended).
- Ensure MSTR stock data is accessible (TradingView supports it natively).
2. **Adding to TradingView**:
- Open the Pine Editor.
- Paste the script code.
- Save and add to your chart.
- Customize inputs if needed (e.g., adjust SMA/RSI lengths for different timeframes).
3. **Interpretation**:
- **Green Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to MSTY – Bitcoin is in an uptrend, MSTR not overbought.
- **Red Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to WNTR – Bitcoin in downtrend, MSTR not oversold.
- **Yellow Switch Cross**: Rebalance your portfolio immediately.
- **Neutral (No Signal)**: Panel shows "Neutral" – Hold cash or previous position; reassess weekly.
- Monitor the panel for key metrics to validate signals manually.
4. **Backtesting and Strategy Integration**:
- Convert to a strategy script by changing `indicator()` to `strategy()` and adding entry/exit logic for automated testing.
- In simulations (e.g., using Python or TradingView's backtester), it has outperformed buy-and-hold in volatile markets by ~100-200% relative APY, but results vary.
- Factor in fees: ETF expense ratios (~0.99%), trading commissions (~$0.40/trade), and slippage.
5. **Risk Management**:
- Use with a diversified portfolio; never allocate more than you can afford to lose.
- Add stop-losses (e.g., 10% trailing) to protect against extreme moves.
- Rebalance sparingly to avoid over-trading in sideways markets.
- Dividends: Reinvest MSTY/WNTR payouts into the current hold for compounding.
## Performance Insights (Simulated as of August 4, 2025)
Based on synthetic backtests modeling the last 12 months:
- **Optimized Strategy APY**: ~125% (by timing switches effectively).
- **Hold 100% MSTY APY**: ~6% (gains from BTC rallies offset by downtrends).
- **Hold 100% WNTR APY**: ~-15% (losses in bull phases outweigh bear gains).
In one scenario with stronger volatility, the strategy achieved ~4533% APY vs. 10% for MSTY and -34% for WNTR, highlighting its potential in dynamic markets. However, these are illustrative; real results depend on actual BTC/MSTR movements. Test thoroughly on historical data.
## Limitations and Considerations
- **Data Dependency**: Relies on accurate BTC and MSTR data; delays or gaps can affect signals.
- **Market Risks**: Bitcoin's volatility can lead to false signals (whipsaws); the RSI filter helps but isn't perfect.
- **No Guarantees**: This indicator doesn't predict the future. MSTR's correlation to BTC may change (e.g., due to regulatory events).
- **Not for All Users**: Best for intermediate/advanced traders familiar with ETFs and crypto. Beginners should paper trade first.
- **Updates**: As of August 4, 2025, this is version 1.0. Future updates may include volume filters or EMA options.
If you find this indicator useful, consider leaving a like or comment on TradingView. Feedback welcome for improvements!
Currency Weekend - shading weekend trading// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// © 2025, Steve / Steven Anthony – "Currency Weekend"
// This script highlights the low-liquidity weekend window that often affects
// both fiat currency markets and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
//
// ╭─────────────────────────────── DESCRIPTION ───────────────────────────────╮
// | This indicator shades a customizable time window on your chart, |
// | originally set to highlight the **forex weekend lull** from |
// | **Friday 21:00 UTC to Sunday 21:00 UTC**, when traditional fiat |
// | currency markets close. |
// | |
// | Traders who observe Bitcoin, Ethereum, or other crypto assets may |
// | notice reduced liquidity or increased erratic moves during this time, |
// | due to overlapping behaviors from professional forex traders who |
// | trade both markets. |
// ╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
//
// 🔧 Flexible Configuration:
// - Define your own start and end **day + time** for shading
// - Useful for shading other custom quiet periods or session transitions
//
// 💡 Use Cases:
// - Avoid trading during low-liquidity periods
// - Spot potential weekend traps or price gaps
// - Align crypto behavior with fiat market hours
//
// 📍 Default Settings:
// - Start: Friday 21:00 UTC
// - End: Sunday 21:00 UTC
//
// Timezone is normalized to the chart’s timezone for seamless integration.
//
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Previous Day Liquidity ZonesThis indicator is designed for intraday liquidity-based trading strategies and helps traders identify high-probability reversal or breakout zones based on smart money concepts.
It automatically plots the:
🟥 Previous Day High Zone – potential buy-side liquidity trap
🟩 Previous Day Low Zone – potential sell-side liquidity trap
🟧 Previous Day Close Zone – potential rebalancing or indecision zone
These levels are critical areas where institutional stop-hunting, reversals, and fake breakouts often occur.
🎯 How to Use
Use this indicator on 1-minute or 5-minute charts for stocks, indices (like NIFTY, BANKNIFTY), or forex.
Watch for price entering these zones during live market hours.
Combine with price action confirmation:
Rejection wicks
Engulfing candles
Change of character (CHoCH) or BOS
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
First 5-minute candle (9:15 AM in Indian market) is highlighted for breakout setups.
🧠 Smart Money Logic
These zones mimic the logic used by institutions to:
Trigger retail stop-losses
Reverse market direction near liquidity pools
Trap breakout traders around session extremes
⚙️ Features
Configurable zone width (%)
Visual fill zones with subtle shading
Support for all assets and timeframes
Highlights first candle of day to assist with pre-trade bias
✅ Ideal For:
Smart money traders
ICT / Wyckoff / SMC followers
Breakout trap or reversal strategy users
Anyone who trades key session levels
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is an informational tool. Always use confirmation and sound risk management before executing any trade.
ICT Opening Gaps & EHPDA [LuxAlgo Modified]Modified version of LuxAlgo's original opening gap indicator to include NMOGs and NYOGs
Auto NWOG Levels x5Indicator Name: Auto NWOG Levels with Labels
Description:
This indicator automatically plots the NWOG (Naked Weekly Open Gap) price levels on your chart. It includes:
NWOG High & Low: Solid maroon lines representing the high and low boundaries of the NWOG zone.
Intermediate Levels: Dotted maroon lines at 25%, 50%, and 75% levels within the NWOG range, providing visual guidance for possible support/resistance zones.
Labels: Each level is labeled on the right side of the chart, including a customizable date label for context.
Extendable Lines: All lines extend horizontally for a customizable number of bars (default: 500 bars) for better visibility over time.
Inputs:
NWOG High: Price level of the NWOG high.
NWOG Low: Price level of the NWOG low.
Date Label: Text to be displayed on the labels (e.g., the week of the NWOG).
This tool is useful for traders who monitor weekly price gaps and want clear, persistent levels drawn automatically on their charts.
